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    Lecture 39

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    waqas_shahzad0077575
    This document summarizes population trends and their implications in Pakistan from 1950 to 2010. It shows that Pakistan's population grew significantly from 20 million in 1950 to over 151 million in 2010, while GDP per capita increased from $79 to $492 over the same period. However, Pakistan's economic growth has not kept pace with its population growth, leaving many without access to basic needs. Rapid population growth is projected to outstrip educational and healthcare facilities, exacerbating issues like poverty, unemployment, environmental degradation and food shortages. Urgent action is needed to address population issues, boost social spending, and integrate population into development planning in Pakistan.

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    Lecture 39

    Uploaded by

    waqas_shahzad0077575
    26 views26 pages
    This document summarizes population trends and their implications in Pakistan from 1950 to 2010. It shows that Pakistan's population grew significantly from 20 million in 1950 to over 151 million in 2010, while GDP per capita increased from $79 to $492 over the same period. However, Pakistan's economic growth has not kept pace with its population growth, leaving many without access to basic needs. Rapid population growth is projected to outstrip educational and healthcare facilities, exacerbating issues like poverty, unemployment, environmental degradation and food shortages. Urgent action is needed to address population issues, boost social spending, and integrate population into development planning in Pakistan.

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    Lecture 39

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    This document summarizes population trends and their implications in Pakistan from 1950 to 2010. It shows that Pakistan's population grew significantly from 20 million in 1950 to over 151 million in 2010, while GDP per capita increased from $79 to $492 over the same period. However, Pakistan's economic growth has not kept pace with its population growth, leaving many without access to basic needs. Rapid population growth is projected to outstrip educational and healthcare facilities, exacerbating issues like poverty, unemployment, environmental degradation and food shortages. Urgent action is needed to address population issues, boost social spending, and integrate population into development planning in Pakistan.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as ppt, pdf, or txt
    26 views26 pages

    Lecture 39

    Uploaded by

    waqas_shahzad0077575
    This document summarizes population trends and their implications in Pakistan from 1950 to 2010. It shows that Pakistan's population grew significantly from 20 million in 1950 to over 151 million in 2010, while GDP per capita increased from $79 to $492 over the same period. However, Pakistan's economic growth has not kept pace with its population growth, leaving many without access to basic needs. Rapid population growth is projected to outstrip educational and healthcare facilities, exacerbating issues like poverty, unemployment, environmental degradation and food shortages. Urgent action is needed to address population issues, boost social spending, and integrate population into development planning in Pakistan.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as ppt, pdf, or txt
    of 26

    INTRODUCTION

    TO
    SOCIOLOGY
    Lecture 39

    IMPLICATIONS
    OF
    POPULATION
    GROWTH

    GDP and per Capita income


    of Pakistan, 1950-2003
    ____________________________
    1950
    2003 Increase
    GDP
    20*
    4018*
    200
    Per Capita 79^ 492^
    6 .
    * In billion Rs. ^ In US$

    Comparison of Pakistan
    with South Korea
    Population (in millions)

    GDP (per capita in US$)


    10700

    151

    47.7
    33
    20

    Pakistan

    79
    South Korea

    1951

    2004

    503

    82

    Pakistan
    1951

    South Korea
    2004

    Number of Private Farms by size


    Farm size
    (acres)

    1980
    Number
    (million)

    1990
    %

    Number
    (million)

    Under 3 Acres 2.07

    50.90

    3.25

    64.10

    3-5

    0.92

    22.60

    0.86

    17.00

    5-10

    0.71

    17.40

    0.62

    12.20

    10+

    0.37

    9.15

    0.34

    6.80

    Total

    4.07

    100.0

    5.07

    100.0

    Population Projection, 1998-2010


    (in millions)

    Population Pyramids of Pakistan

    Old Age 4.78 million

    Old Age 6.46 million

    Women in
    Reproductive Age
    28.8 million

    55.54
    million

    Women in
    Reproductive Age
    42.36 million

    62.79 million

    Population Aged 5-14, 1998-2010


    (in millions)

    Primary Students, 1998-2010


    (in millions)

    Primary Teachers Required,


    1998-2010 (in 000)

    Primary Schools Required


    1998-2010 (in 000)

    Primary Expenditure Required,


    1998-2010 (in billions)

    Doctors Production &


    Management, 1998-2010 (in 000)

    Annual Recurrent Health


    Expenditure, 1998-2010 (in billions)

    Additional GDP needed per yr.


    3.0 million people added yearly.
    GDP / Capita US$ 652.
    Total GDP required (652x3=) $1.956
    billion.
    Additional $5.868 billion investment
    needed to create additional GDP of
    1.956 billion to maintain current per
    capita.

    Hard Facts
    Population living below poverty line
    49 million
    Population with NO access to safe
    drinking water 54 million
    Population with one room houses
    56 million
    Population with no sanitation
    76 million

    Hard Facts (Contd.)


    Infant Mortality Rate
    (per 1000 live births)

    80

    Maternal Mortality Rate


    350-500
    Deliveries at home (%)
    76
    (per 100,000 live births)

    Environment

    Forest Cover
    At less than 5% of the total

    surface area is being reduced by


    2.5% - 3.1% per year 2nd highest
    deforestation rate in the world.
    Land Degradation
    38% of the irrigated land is water
    logged and 14% saline.

    Environment (cont.)

    Air Pollution
    Suspended particle matter in air

    in most urban centers are 6.4


    times higher than WHO
    guidelines.
    Traffic Increase
    0.8 million to 4.0 million over last
    20 years 500 % increase.

    Summary of Implications
    Shortage of:

    Educational

    facilities
    Health Services

    Housing Units
    Food

    Living Space
    Arable Land
    Clean water

    Increase in:
    Unemployment Over crowding
    Land
    Katchi abadis
    fragmentation
    Import of food

    Environmental
    problems
    Congestion
    in households

    Poverty
    Unrest
    Crime

    Conclusions

    Issues related to population need to be

    advocated for from the top level of the


    government;
    The public sector allocations for social sectors
    remains very low and needs to be enhanced;
    Population needs to be taken up as a core basis
    for any future development planning;
    Issues related to Gender and adolescents need
    to be addressed;
    Fighting poverty, illiteracy, ill health and
    meeting unmet need are major challenges

    INTRODUCTION
    TO
    SOCIOLOGY
    Lecture 39

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