Factor's Influencing The Malays Votes

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MASTER OF HUMAN SCIENCES IN POLITICAL SCIENCE (MHSPS)

RESEARCH PROPOSAL

FACTOR’S INFLUENCING THE MALAYS TO VOTE DURING ELECTION


AND THEIR SATISFACTION WITH THE CONDUCT OF THE 14th GENERAL
ELECTION: A CASE STUDY AT TAMBUN PARLIAMENT, IPOH, PERAK

PREPARED BY:
(1) DR MOHD FUZI OMAR
SUPERVISOR:
(1) DR MOHD FUZI OMAR
(2) DR SYAZA FARHANA
CONTENTS
INTRODUCTION

STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM

OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY

RESEARCH QUESTIONS

SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY

LIMITATION OF THE STUDY

THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK OF THE STUDY

METHODOLOGY
(A) INTRODUCTION
(1) HOW TO LOOK AT MALAYSIA AS MULTICULTURAL COUNTRY?
Ethnicity does played a vital role amongst the Malaysian people
 The sociopolitical context of Malaysia election – considering social factors as
part of the voting behavior analysis
 Between ethnic attitudes and voting behavior – influences the political
instability in Malaysia
 Eg Mat Jali Mohd Fuad et al (2011)
 Malays voters cared very much about which party won the election (ethnicity
of the candidates)

(2) PREVIOUS TAMBUN PARLIAMENTARY VOTING BEHAVIOR?


 Constituency reform in the GE-14 is the first political realignment in this
constituency
 Candidates are coming from the same ethnicity background won (BN
Candidates)
 Higher Malay population compared to Chinese and Indian (and others)
Population of the Tambun
Voters

Malay Chinese
Indian Others
voters voters
(12%) (2%)
(64%) (22%)
(B) STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM

Where Malaysia
could finally move
beyond its
entrenched race
based dominated
political system?

The problem of the


Malay conservative
mind? – the change
only symbolic, not
really a free will of the
Malays?

The change of the


human rights?
Toward more
democratic country?
Reason to choose social
analysis?
Subsequent analysis
on the voting pattern
will reveal the
significant social
factors played a
significant role in
changing political
dynamics of the
Malay It may reveal something
voters.
about the future political
references within the
circle of the Malay
voters.
(C) OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY

To identify the factors


influencing the voting
behavior among the
Malay voters

To analyze the levels of To study the people’s


satisfaction influencing attitude toward conduct
voting behavior during of election at Tambun
election Parliament
(D) RESEARCH QUESTIONS

What were the factor


analysis influencing the
voting behavior in the
GE14 among the Malay
voters?

What are the levels of


What are the people’s
satisfaction among
attitude toward conduct
Malay which affect their
of election at Tambun
voting behavior during
Parliament?
the election?
(E) SIGNIFICANCE OF THE
STUDY

What occurrence
can be taken out
in five domains?
Can identify about
the patterns of the
voting behavior in
14th general election
& the levels
Underlying of of
thoughts
satisfaction
the shifts? Perhaps these
social factors that
influenced Malay voting
behavior were the
product of the Malay
feudal history?
(F) LIMITATION OF THE STUDY

The study does not involve the whole population of a Malay


community in other constituency within Perak. Considering
the limited sample which only focuses on the Malay majority
Tambun constituency, it may not represent all Malay
community in Malaysia.
The study does not include the perception of the political
affiliation of each person, but rather focuses on the social
factors influencing the voting behavior during GE14.
Following sociology interpretation of the voting behavior,
the study does not intended to provide a definitive
Theinterpretation
identity of the. respondents in this study is not revealed.
They are identified as Respondent 1, Respondent 2 and
Respondent 3 etc in order to protect their confidentiality.
This study is not to access respondent’s background, but
rather identifying the factor analysis influencing the voting
behavior among the Malay community in transition with the
context of Tambun Parliament.
(G) THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK OF THE
STUDY

(1) Using the sociological model of voting behavior (Colombian model)


 Assembled by Paul Lazarsfeld, Bernard Berelson & William McPhee
 In their study – it shows that social context (the group affiliation) exercises main influences in
the process of forming voters’ political options
 ‘people vote not only with their social group, but for it too’ (Lazarsfeld et al, 2004)

 This study is further classified into five different domains:


(1) family domain,
(2) friendship domain
(3) print and new media domain
(4) Religion domain
(5) Economic domain;

**and they are been connected as well by their satisfaction during the conduct of election.
SOCIOLOGICAL MODEL OF VOTING
BEHAVIOR

SOCIAL
LEVELS OF
CONSTRUCT SATISFACTION
(1) Family domain (1) Candidate’s
(2) Friendship personality
domain (2) Campaign
(3) New and print period
media domain (3) Polling station
(4) Religion (4) Party manifesto
domain (5) Media
(5) Economic information
domain

VOTING BEHAVIOR OF THE MALAYS


(H) METHODOLOGY

 SAMPLE POPULATION:
 300 participants
 Four age categories (ranging from 21-60 years old)
 Voters residing under Tambun Parliament focusing on two areas (Manjoi &
Ulu Kinta)

 RESEARCH INSTRUMENTS
Technique of data collection – giving respondents questionnaire, a set of
questions
56 quantitative questions
Secondary sources (references) obtain from the published numerical data
 Online journals – to obtain secondary data (in the form of articles, books,
proceedings, yearly reports and published academic papers)
 PILOT STUDY
Tested the reliability using the Cronbach’s Alpha reliability test in SPSS
application
Taken about 50 respondents for the pilot study to test the reliability
 Cronbach alpha analysis shows about 0.8 above

 SAMPLING METHOD
The members from the population will be selected accordingly to the
convenience sampling (also known as availability sampling)
Convenience sampling is a specific type of non-probability sampling method
that relies on data collection from population members who are conveniently
available to participate in study
Distribute the questionnaires to the respondents at any public places such as
retail shops, shopping malls, schools, night market and residences area
 METHOD OF ANALYSIS
The data obtained from the SPSS will be analyzed using a factor
analysis
Factor analysis is used to investigate variable relationships
Allows researcher to investigate concepts that are not easily
measured directly by collapsing a large number of variables into a few
interpretable underlying factors

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