4 Principles of Stock Assesement 29.12.11.4

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PRINCIPLES OF STOCK

ASSESSMENT
Aims of stock assessment
The overall aim of fisheries science is to provide
information to managers on the state and life history of the
stocks
This information feeds into the decision making process.
Fisheries science, economic, social and political
considerations all have an impact on the final management
decision
Stock assessment involves using mathematical and
statistical models to examine the retrospective development
of the stock and to make quantitative predictions to address
the following fisheries management questions:
Aims of stock assessment conted..

1. What is the current state of the stock?


2. What has happened to the stock in the past?
3. What will happen to the stock in the future under
alternative management choices?
Stock assessment is the process of collecting and
analyzing demographic information about fish
populations to describe the conditions or status of a fish
stock.
The result of a stock assessment is a report that often
includes an estimation of the amount or abundance of
the resource,
Aims of stock assessment conted..

An estimation of the rate at which it is being removed due to


harvesting and other causes, and one or more reference levels of
harvesting rate and/or abundance at which the stock can maintain
itself in the long term.
Stock assessment often contain short-term (1-5 years,
typically) projections or prognoses for the stock under a number
of different scenarios
This information on resource status is used by managers to
determine what actions are needed to promote the best use of our
living marine resources.
Aims of stock assessment conted..

Stock assessment reports describe a range of life history


characteristics for a given species, including age, growth, natural
mortality, sexual maturity and reproduction, stock boundaries, diet
preferences, habitat characteristics, species interactions, and
environmental factors that may affect the species
Assessment reports also include descriptions of the fishery for a
species, using information from both scientists and fishermen
Additionally, stock assessments describe the assessment model,
or the collection of mathematical and statistical techniques that
were used to perform the stock assessment.
Aims of stock assessment conted..

Stock assessment analyses rely on various sources of


information to estimate resource abundance and population
trends
The principal information comes from the commercial and
recreational fisheries (fishery-dependent information)
For example, the quantity of fish caught and the individual
sizes of the fish, their biological characteristics (e.g. age,
maturity, and sex), and the ratio of fish caught to the time spent
fishing (catch per unit of effort) are basic data for stock
assessments.
Aims of stock assessment conted..

Understanding the natural history of the harvested


species and the other species with which they interact
is crucial to understanding the population dynamics of

living marine resources.


Fish abundance

Fish abundance or population size can be expressed as


either the number of fish or the total fish weight (or biomass)
Increases in the amount of fish are determined by body
growth of individual fish in the population, and the addition
or recruitment of new generations of young fish (i.e.
recruits; recruits from the same year are said to comprise a
year-class [or cohort]).
Fish abundance conted

Those gains must then be balanced against the proportion of


the population removed by harvesting (called fishing mortality,
F) and other losses due, for example, to predation, starvation, or
disease (called natural mortality, M).
In stock assessment work, removals of fish from the population
are commonly expressed in terms of rates within a time period.
The fishing mortality rate is a function of fishing effort,
which includes the amount, type, and effectiveness of fishing gear
and the time spent fishing.
Fish abundance conted

Catch per unit of effort (CPUE) is an index showing the ratio


of a catch of fish, in numbers or in weight, and a standard
measure of the fishing effort expended to catch them.
Surplus production (or production) is the total weight of fish
that can be removed by fishing without changing the size of the
population.
It is calculated as the sum of the growth in weight of
individuals in a population, plus the addition of biomass from new
recruits, minus the biomass of animals lost to natural mortality
Fish abundance conted
The production rate is expressed as a proportion of the
population size or biomass. The production rate can be highly
variable owing to environmental fluctuations, predation, and other
biological interactions with other populations
On average, production decreases at low and high population
sizes, and biomass decreases as the amount of fishing effort
increases

This means there is a relationship between average production

and fishing effort. This relationship is known as the production

function
Fish abundance conted

Production functions are the basis for certain important


concepts like: maximum sustainable yield.
In addition, the term stock level is employed as a biological
reference for determining resource status relative to the biomass
that would on average support the sustainable yield.
Recent average yield also is reported in order to allow
comparison of the current situation to the sustainable yield.
Fish abundance conted

Many other reference levels are used as benchmarks for


guiding management decisions
A number of these are expressed as fishing mortality rate levels
that would achieve specific results from the average recruit to the
fishery if the stock were subjected to fishing at those rates
indefinitely

Some of these benchmarks are used to index potential fishery

production, and others are used to index potential reproductive

output.

Fmax is the fishing mortality rate that maximizes the yield

obtained from the average recruit.


Fish abundance conted

Growth overfishing occurs over the range of fishing mortality,

at which the losses in weight from total mortality exceed the gain

in weight due to growth. This range is defined as beyond Fmax.


Maximum Sustainable Yield (MSY)
MSY is the maximum long-term average yield that can be achieved
through conscientious stewardship by controlling F through regulating
fishing effort or total catch levels. MSY is a reference point for judging
the potential of the resource.
However, it is not necessarily the goal of fishery managers to always
set the maximum yield

Other factors influence the choice of a management objective, such

as socioeconomic considerations or conservation and ecosystem

concerns for other marine life indirectly affected by fishery harvests.


Maximum Sustainable Yield conted
The methods of estimating MSY, and MSY itself, may be
controversial.
One of the major objectives of fish stock assessment is
regularisation or optimisation of effort.
Standardization of fishing effort increasing the effort in
the long term gives highest yield.
The basic principle is smaller a population, when effort is
not put at required level, the greater will be production.
Maximum Sustainable Yield conted
At optimal level of effort, the production will be maximum for a
given Fmsy.

For all practical purposes, the effort should be monitored at


various levels of fishing mortality.
Maximum Sustainable Yield conted
The basic principle in stock assessment models is to
provide estimates of optimum yield.
The environmental factors, economic factors are to be
taken into account for arriving at appropriate management
decisions.
When intensity of fishing is not monitored, the population
of a stock show sign of depetion and there will be a
decrease in mean length of fish and length at minimum
maturity.
Maximum Sustainable Yield conted

In principle as age increases the number of survivors will


be less.

In a virgin (unfished) biomass, the population is at


equilibrium.
Maximum Sustainable Yield conted
The population neither grows nor declines which means that
each years recruitment is balanced by each year losses due to
mortality.

When a stock is brought below b level, the population grows.


The maximum surplus production is achieved when the stock
biomass is reduced to of the level of B.
Maximum Sustainable Yield conted

In principle, the highest yield achieved on a long term basis for a


particular effort is the Fmsy and the corresponding yield is MSY or
Maximum Sustainable Yield.
END

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