Hexaware Result Updated
Hexaware Result Updated
Hexaware Result Updated
Hexaware
Performance highlights
Y/E December (` cr) Net revenue EBITDA EBITDA margin (%) PAT* 1QCY12 438 98 22.4 88 4QCY11 432 99 23.0 88 % chg (qoq) 1.5 (1.2) (61)bp 0.2 1QCY11 319 46 14.3 54 % chg (yoy) 37.6 115.8 812bp 64.5
NEUTRAL
CMP Target Price
Investment Period
Stock Info Sector Market Cap (` cr) Beta 52 Week High / Low Avg. Daily Volume Face Value (`) BSE Sensex Nifty Reuters Code Bloomberg Code IT 3,792 1.1 134/61 263,827 2 17,134 5,191 HEXT.BO HEXW@IN
`130 -
For 1QCY2012, Hexaware reported a healthy set of results. Major highlights of the results were whopping 6.6% qoq volume growth even in a seasonally soft quarter for IT companies. Hexaware has been outperforming in the mid-cap space since eight quarters by reporting a scorching 7.7% CQGR. Management has been outperforming its guidance every quarter and has maintained CY2012 yoy revenue growth guidance of at least 20%. We expect the company to continue its revenue growth on the back of increasing traction for enterprise services as well as continue its operational exuberance. We remain Neutral on the stock. Quarterly highlights: For 1QCY2012, Hexaware reported USD revenue of US$88mn, up 4.7% qoq, led by 6.6% qoq volume growth. In INR terms, revenue came in at `438cr, up 1.5% qoq. The companys EBITDA and EBIT margins declined by 61bp and 77bp qoq to 22.4% and 20.8%, respectively, majorly due to qoq INR appreciation against USD. PAT for the quarter stood flat qoq to `88cr. Outlook and valuation: Hexaware signed two deals during 4QFY2012, each worth US$10mn plus. Also, management indicated that it is in the final stages of signing two large deals each worth US$25mn plus. Management intends to hire 1,500 net employees in CY2012 with 600-700 of them being freshers. Management has maintained the companys CY2012 yoy revenue growth guidance of at least 20% i.e., above US$370mn. We expect USD and INR revenue to post a scorching 18.1% and 20.5% CAGR over CY201012E, respectively. Hexaware has adequate levers to expand its margins such as strong volume growth, improvement in utilization level, broadening of the employee pyramid and rationalizing SGA costs which can elevate its EBITDA margin to 19.0% for CY2012 from 18.2% in CY2011. Thus, we expect EBITDA and PAT to post a CAGR of 21.7% and 9.5%, respectively. We value the company at 12x CY2013E EPS of `10.7, which gives us a target price of `128. The stock price has run up significantly and we see limited upside from current levels. We maintain our Neutral rating on the stock. Key financials (Indian GAAP, Consolidated)
Y/E December (` cr) Net sales % chg Net profit % chg EBITDA margin (%) EPS (`)* P/E (x) P/BV (x) RoE (%) RoCE (%) EV/Sales (x) EV/EBITDA (x) CY2010 1,055 1.5 85 (36.4) 8.9 2.9 45.2 3.8 10.9 6.9 3.2 35.6 CY2011 1,451 37.6 267 212.9 18.2 8.9 14.6 3.7 26.3 23.6 2.3 12.6 CY2012E 1,821 25.5 295 10.4 19.0 9.8 13.2 3.1 23.7 25.4 1.8 9.5 CY2013E 2,105 15.6 321 8.9 18.6 10.7 12.1 2.7 22.4 24.9 1.5 8.1
Shareholding Pattern (%) Promoters MF / Banks / Indian Fls FII / NRIs / OCBs Indian Public / Others 28.0 9.6 42.1 20.4
3m (0.6) 57.7
Ankita Somani
+91 22 39357800 Ext: 6819 [email protected]
Stellar performance
For 1QCY2012, Hexaware reported healthy USD revenue growth of 4.7% qoq, with revenue coming at US$88mn, primarily led by 6.6% qoq volume growth. In INR terms, revenue came in at `438cr, up merely 1.5% qoq, impacted by qoq INR appreciation against USD in 1QCY2012. During the quarter, the company reported a 1.2% qoq increase in onsite bill rates to US$73.90/hour from US$73.01/hour in 4QCY2011. Offshore billing rates stood almost flat qoq at US$22.9/hour. Going ahead, the company expects bill rates to remain stable.
(US$ mn)
70 65 60
4.7
5 4 3 2
2QCY11
3QCY11
4QCY11
1QCY12
(US$/hr)
50 40 30 20 10 1QCY11 2QCY11 Onsite 3QCY11 4QCY11 Offshore 1QCY12 22.20 22.50 23.00 23.00 22.90
Service vertical wise, the companys growth was broad-based. Growth was led by business intelligence (BI) and analytics (contributed 12.5% to revenue), revenue from which grew by 24.6% qoq. Hexawares anchor service vertical, application development and maintenance (ADM) (contributed 38.9% to revenue) reported decent 2.6% qoq growth in revenue. Revenue from other service verticals such as enterprise solutions and testing grew by 1.5% and 1.8% qoq, respectively. Going forward, management indicated that it is witnessing strong traction for services such as enterprise solutions, BI and infrastructure management services.
(%)
75
Industry segment wise, travel and transportation and healthcare and insurance led the companys growth by posting 11.2% and 10.4% qoq growth in revenue, respectively. Revenue from the banking and capital market industry segment remained almost flat qoq.
Geography wise, growth was again led by revenue from Europe, which reported 7.9% qoq growth. Revenue from America grew by 3.7% qoq, while revenue from Asia Pacific geography remained flat qoq.
Hiring continues
During 1QCY2012, Hexaware added 307 net employees, out of which 225 were freshers. Of the total hiring done, 298 employees were added in the technical employee base, taking the total technical employee base to 7,925. Management intends to hire 1,500 net employees in CY2012 with 600-700 of them being freshers and management indicated that the company is on track to meet its guidance. Attrition rate during 1QCY2012 declined to 11.0% from 13.9% in 4QCY2011.
Utilization level, including trainees, dipped by 110bp qoq to 68.6% in 1QCY2012 from 69.7% in 4QCY2011 because of addition of freshers in the system. Increasing utilization from current levels will be an important margin lever for the company going forward, as trainees would turn billable.
(%)
70 69 68 67
4QCY10
1QCY11
2QCY11
3QCY11
4QCY11
1QCY12
Margins decline
During 1QCY2012, the company witnessed a 61bp and 77bp qoq decline in its EBITDA and EBIT margins to 22.4% and 20.8%, respectively, largely because of INR appreciation. Factors aiding margins were: 1) 45bp qoq positive impact from offshore effort shift, 2) 20bp positive impact from better billing rates, 3) 125bp positive impact derived from improvement in employee pyramid, 4) 75bp negative impact due to INR appreciation against USD, 5) 35bp negative impact due to decline in utilization level and 6) 120bp qoq negative impact due to increased SG&A costs. Going ahead, Hexaware expects its margin to further expand by using levers such as 1) rationalizing employee pyramid, 2) increasing utilization level, 3) lowering SG&A expenses and 4) shifting the revenue mix offshore.
(%)
22.4 20.8
4QCY11
1QCY12
Gross margin
Source: Company, Angel Research
EBIT margin
Client pyramid
During 1QCY2012, Hexaware added 12 new clients one in travel and transportation, three in banking and one in healthcare and insurance industry segment. From a service vertical perspective, six clients were added in enterprise solutions, one in testing, one in BI and analytics and one in infrastructure management services. Of these 12 new client additions, five were added from the American geography, while four were from Europe and three from Asia Pacific. The company added one new client in the US$10mn-20mn plus revenue bracket and two in the US$1mn-5mn revenue bracket. Active client base of the company increased to 201 in 1QCY2012 from 192 in 4QCY2011.
1QCY11 39 6 2 2 180 10
2QCY11 40 6 2 2 190 14
3QCY11 39 8 1 3 194 12
4QCY11 40 7 2 3 192 15
1QCY12 42 7 3 3 201 12
of at least 20% i.e., above US$370mn. This seems easily achievable by the company given the revenue visibility on account of six large deals signed in the past few quarters. We expect the company to continue its revenue growth on the back of increasing traction for enterprise services as well as continue its operational exuberance. Thus, we expect the companys niche focus in enterprise solutions and business intelligence to play out strongly. Further, we expect USD and INR revenue to post a scorching 18.1% and 20.5% CAGR over CY201012E, respectively. Hexaware has adequate levers to expand its margins such as 1) strong volume growth and improvement in utilization level (currently at 68.6%), 2) broadening of the employee pyramid, 3) ability to grow even with rationalizing SGA costs and 4) enterprise solutions and business intelligence, the companys strong growth drivers, offering improvement in business mix and leading to increased revenue productivity. We expect EBITDA margin to improve to 19.0% for CY2012 from 18.2% in CY2011. Thus, we expect EBITDA and PAT to post a CAGR of 21.7% and 9.5%, respectively. At the CMP, the stock is trading at PE of 12.1x CY2013E EPS of `10.7. We value the company at 12x CY2013E EPS of `10.7, which gives us a target price of `128. The stock price has run up significantly and we see limited upside from current levels. We maintain our Neutral rating on the stock.
(`)
Sep-06
Sep-07
Sep-08
Sep-09
Sep-10
May-06
May-07
May-08
May-09
May-10
May-11
Sep-11
Jan-06
Jan-07
Jan-08
Jan-09
Jan-10
Jan-11
Price
Source: Company, Angel Research
16x
13x
9x
5x
2x
Jan-12
10
11
Key ratios
Y/E December Valuation ratio (x) P/E P/CEPS P/BVPS Dividend yield (%) EV/Sales EV/EBITDA EV/Total assets Per share data (`) EPS Cash EPS Dividend Book value DuPont analysis Tax retention ratio (PAT/PBT) Cost of debt (PBT/EBIT) EBIT margin (EBIT/Sales) Asset turnover ratio (Sales/Assets) Leverage ratio (Assets/equity) Operating ROE Return ratios (%) RoCE (pre-tax) Angel RoIC RoE Turnover ratios(x) Asset turnover (fixed assets) Debtor days 2.4 54 2.6 66 3.0 75 3.6 74 4.1 74 20.2 39.8 15.8 6.9 13.2 10.9 23.6 43.2 26.3 25.4 43.4 23.7 24.9 44.8 22.4 0.9 0.8 0.2 1.2 1.0 15.1 0.9 1.4 0.1 1.1 1.0 8.9 0.9 1.3 0.2 1.4 0.9 23.8 0.8 1.2 0.2 1.5 1.0 23.7 0.8 1.2 0.2 1.5 1.0 22.4 4.6 5.5 0.7 29.1 2.9 4.5 1.5 33.8 8.9 10.0 4.7 34.7 9.8 11.1 5.8 42.5 10.7 12.2 4.7 48.9 28.5 23.6 4.5 0.5 3.3 16.7 3.9 45.2 28.8 3.8 1.1 3.2 35.6 3.3 14.6 13.0 3.7 3.6 2.3 12.6 3.3 13.2 11.7 3.1 4.5 1.8 9.5 2.6 12.1 10.6 2.7 3.6 1.5 8.1 2.2 CY2009 CY2010 CY2011 CY2012E CY2013E
12
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Disclosure of Interest Statement 1. Analyst ownership of the stock 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock 4. Broking relationship with company covered
Hexaware No No No No
Note: We have not considered any Exposure below `1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors
Ratings (Returns):
13