Hexaware Result Updated
Hexaware Result Updated
Hexaware Result Updated
February 3, 2012
Hexaware
Performance highlights
Y/E December (` cr) Net revenue EBITDA EBITDA margin (%) PAT* 4QCY11 432 99 23.0 88 3QCY11 366 69 18.7 65 % chg (qoq) 18.0 44.9 427bp 36.3 4QCY10 300 35 11.5 40 % chg (yoy) 44.2 188.1 1150bp 122.7
ACCUMULATE
CMP Target Price
Investment Period
Stock Info Sector Market Cap (` cr) Beta 52 Week High / Low Avg. Daily Volume Face Value (`) BSE Sensex Nifty Reuters Code Bloomberg Code IT 2,895 1.2 100/46 261,669 2 17,605 5,270 HEXT.BO HEXW@IN
`99 `109
-
For 4QCY2011, Hexaware reported robust set of results. Major highlights of the results were whopping growth of 6.7% qoq revenue growth (highest in the industry) even in a seasonally soft quarter for IT companies. Hexaware has been outperforming in the mid-cap space since six quarters by growing at a scorching 8.1% CQGR over 1QCY20104QCY2012. Management has been outperforming its guidance every quarter and has guided for at least 20% yoy revenue growth for CY2012. We expect the company to continue its revenue growth on the back of increasing traction for enterprise services as well as continue its operational exuberance. We maintain Accumulate rating on the stock. Quarterly highlights: For 4QCY2011, Hexaware reported USD revenue of US$84.1mn, up 6.7% qoq led by 4.8% qoq volume growth. In INR terms, revenue came in at `432cr, up 18.0% qoq. The companys EBITDA and EBIT margins expanded by 427bp and 455bp qoq to 23.0% and 21.6%, respectively, largely aided by INR deprecation. PAT for the quarter stood at `88cr, up 36.3% qoq. Outlook and valuation: On the back of an improving deal pipeline, management has guided to grow its revenue in CY2012 by at least 20% i.e., above US$370mn, which is highest in the industry. This seems easily achievable by the company given the revenue visibility on account of six large deals signed in past few quarters. Thus, we expect the companys niche focus in enterprise solutions and business intelligence to play out strongly. Further, we expect USD and INR revenue to grow at a scorching 17.9% and 20.6% CAGR over CY201012E, respectively. Hexaware has adequate levers to expand its margins - such as strong volume growth, improvement in utilization level, broadening of the employee pyramid and maintaining SGA at absolute levels which can elevate its EBITDA margin to 19.0% for CY2011 from 18.2% in CY2011. Thus, we expect EBITDA and PAT to grow at a CAGR of 20.3% and 6.3%, respectively. We value the company at PE of 10.8x CY2013E EPS, which gives us a target price of `109. We maintain Accumulate rating on the stock Key financials (Indian GAAP, Consolidated)
Y/E December (` cr) Net sales % chg Net profit % chg EBITDA margin (%) EPS (`)* P/E (x) P/BV (x) RoE (%) RoCE (%) EV/Sales (x) EV/EBITDA (x) CY2010 1,055 1.5 85 (36.4) 8.9 2.9 34.5 2.9 10.9 6.9 2.3 26.0 CY2011 1,451 37.6 267 212.9 18.2 8.9 11.1 2.9 26.3 23.6 1.7 9.2 CY2012E 1,864 28.5 277 3.9 19.0 9.2 10.7 2.3 22.0 25.4 1.3 6.7 CY2013E 2,108 13.1 302 8.9 18.2 10.1 9.8 2.0 21.2 24.2 1.1 5.9
Shareholding Pattern (%) Promoters MF / Banks / Indian Fls FII / NRIs / OCBs Indian Public / Others 28.2 9.4 41.4 21.0
3m 0.7 15.1
Ankita Somani
+91 22 39357800 Ext: 6819 [email protected]
Stellar performance
For 4QCY2011, Hexaware reported strong USD revenue growth of 6.7% qoq, with revenue coming at US$84.1mn, primarily led by 4.8% and 1.3% qoq volume and pricing growth. The companys revenue was negatively impacted by 1.1% qoq due to cross-currency movement. In constant currency (CC) terms, revenue came in at US$84.9mn, up 7.8% qoq. In INR terms, revenue came in at `432cr, up 18.0% qoq higher growth as against USD revenue due to qoq steep INR depreciation against USD in 4QCY2011.
February 3, 2012
9.0
9.2 84.1
10 9 8 7
(%)
78.8 5.3
6.7 4.8
6 5 4 3 2
1QCY11
2QCY11
3QCY11
4QCY11
During the quarter, the company reported a 0.7% qoq increase in onsite bill rates to US$73.01/hour from US$72.50/hour in 3QCY2011. Offshore billing rates stood flat qoq at US$23.0/hour. Going ahead, the company expects bill rates to remain stable.
71.22
72.00
72.00
72.50
73.01
50 40 30 20 10 4QCY10 1QCY11 Onsite 2QCY11 3QCY11 Offshore 4QCY11 21.87 22.20 22.50 23.00 23.00
Along with volume growth of 4.8% qoq, increased price realization and onsite effort mix shift aided USD revenue growth by 1.3% and 1.7% qoq, respectively. However, these gains were partially overshadowed by negative impacts from crosscurrency movement by 1.7% qoq.
February 3, 2012
6.7 4.8
1.7
1.3
(1.1) Business mix shift Pricing Cross currency Total revenue growth
Service vertical wise, the companys growth was broad-based. The companys growth was led by testing (contributed 10.8% to revenue) and business intelligence (BI) and analytics (contributed 10.5% to revenue) service verticals which posted 25.3% and 16.7% qoq growth, respectively. Hexawares anchor service vertical, application development and maintenance (ADM) (contributed 39.7% to revenue) emerged as the primary growth driver for the company by reporting 4.6% qoq revenue growth. Going forward, management indicated that it is witnessing strong traction for services such as enterprise solutions, BI and data warehousing.
Industry segment wise, healthcare and insurance led the companys growth by posting 28.7% qoq growth in revenues. Revenues from banking and capital market industry segment grew by 6.4% qoq, while on the other hand, revenue from the travel and transportation segment again declined qoq by 4.8% qoq.
February 3, 2012
Geography wise, growth was again led by revenue from the Europe, which reported 7.9% qoq growth. Revenues from Americas and Asia Pacific grew by 6.2% and 6.7% qoq.
Hiring continues
During 4QCY2011, Hexaware added 153 net employees, most of them being freshers. Of the total hiring done, 140 employees were added in the technical employee base, taking the total technical employee base to 7,627. Management intends to hire 1,500 net employees in CY2012 with 600-700 of them being freshers.
Utilization level, including trainees, dipped by 90bp qoq to 69.7% in 4QCY2011 from 70.6% in 3QCY2011 because of addition of freshers in the system. The company added 225 employees in January 2012 which are currently undergoing training and induction. Increasing utilization from current levels will be an important margin lever for the company going forward, as trainees would turn billable.
February 3, 2012
70 69 68 67 3QCY10
4QCY10
1QCY11
2QCY11
3QCY11
4QCY11
Margins enhance
During 4QCY2011, the company witnessed 427bp and 455bpp qoq expansion in its EBITDA and EBIT margins to 23.0% and 21.6%, respectively, largely aided by INR deprecation. Factors aiding margins were: 1) 250bp qoq positive impact from gross margin increase 180bp qoq positive due to INR depreciation, 120bp positive due to increase in pricing and 50bp negative due to onsite effort mix shift, 2) 180bp qoq positive impact because of lower SG&A costs and 3) 30bp qoq due to lower depreciation. Going ahead, Hexaware expects its margin to further expand by using levers such as 1) rationalizing employee pyramid, 2) increasing utilization level, 3) lowering SG&A expenses and 4) shifting the revenue mix offshore.
34.5
37.3
36.6
38.2
40.7
25 20 15 10 5 4QCY10 1QCY11 Gross margin 2QCY11 EBITDA margin 9.3 11.5 14.3 12.3 15.3
February 3, 2012
Client pyramid
During 4QCY2011, Hexaware added 15 new clients - three in travel and transportation, two in banking and two in healthcare and insurance industry segment. From a service vertical perspective, four clients were added in enterprise solutions, two in testing, two in BI and analytics and two in BPO space. Of these 15 new client addition, 10 were added from American geography while five from Asia Pacific region. The company added one new client in the US$10-20mn plus revenue bracket; this was shifted from the US$5mn-100mn revenue bracket.
4QCY10 39 7 2 2 174 11
1QCY11 39 6 2 2 180 10
2QCY11 40 6 2 2 190 14
3QCY11 39 8 1 3 194 12
4QCY11 40 7 2 3 192 15
February 3, 2012
100 80 60 40 20 0
Sep-06 Sep-07 Sep-08 Sep-09 Sep-10 May-06 May-07 May-08 May-09 May-10 May-11 Sep-11 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12
Price
Source: Company, Angel Research
16x
13x
9x
5x
2x
February 3, 2012
February 3, 2012
February 3, 2012
10
February 3, 2012
11
Key ratios
Y/E December Valuation ratio (x) P/E P/CEPS P/BVPS Dividend yield (%) EV/Sales EV/EBITDA EV/Total assets Per share data (`) EPS Cash EPS Dividend Book value DuPont analysis Tax retention ratio (PAT/PBT) Cost of debt (PBT/EBIT) EBIT margin (EBIT/Sales) Asset turnover ratio (Sales/Assets) Leverage ratio (Assets/equity) Operating ROE Return ratios (%) RoCE (pre-tax) Angel RoIC RoE Turnover ratios(x) Asset turnover (fixed assets) Debtor days 2.4 54 2.6 66 3.0 75 3.7 74 4.1 72 20.2 39.8 15.8 6.9 13.2 10.9 23.6 43.2 26.3 25.4 43.4 22.0 24.2 42.9 21.2 0.9 0.8 0.2 1.2 1.0 15.1 0.9 1.4 0.1 1.1 1.0 8.9 0.9 1.3 0.2 1.4 0.9 23.8 0.8 1.1 0.2 1.5 1.0 22.0 0.8 1.1 0.2 1.5 1.0 21.2 4.6 5.5 0.7 29.1 2.9 4.5 1.5 33.8 8.9 10.0 4.7 34.7 9.2 10.6 4.7 43.1 10.1 11.6 4.7 48.8 21.8 18.0 3.4 0.7 2.4 12.3 2.9 34.5 22.0 2.9 1.5 2.3 26.0 2.4 11.1 9.9 2.9 4.7 1.7 9.2 2.4 10.7 9.3 2.3 4.7 1.3 6.7 1.9 9.8 8.5 2.0 4.7 1.1 5.9 1.6 CY2009 CY2010 CY2011 CY2012E CY2013E
February 3, 2012
12
E-mail: [email protected]
Website: www.angelbroking.com
DISCLAIMER
This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report.
Disclosure of Interest Statement 1. Analyst ownership of the stock 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock 4. Broking relationship with company covered
Hexaware No No No No
Note: We have not considered any Exposure below `1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors
Ratings (Returns):
February 3, 2012
13