Wipro 4Q FY 2013
Wipro 4Q FY 2013
Wipro 4Q FY 2013
Wipro
Performance Highlights
(` cr) Net revenue EBITDA EBITDA margin (%) PAT 4QFY13 11,026 2,253 20.4 1,737 3QFY13 11,025 2,218 20.1 1,725 % chg (qoq) 0.0 1.6 31bp 0.7 4QFY12 9,869 1,961 19.9 1,481 % chg (yoy) 11.7 14.9 56bp 17.3
ACCUMULATE
CMP Target Price
Investment Period
Stock Info Sector Market Cap (` cr) Net debt (` cr) Beta 52 Week High / Low Avg. Daily Volume Face Value (`) BSE Sensex Nifty Reuters Code Bloomberg Code IT 90,448 (9,020) 0.8 418/290 147,559 2 19,016 5,783 WIPR.BO WPRO@IN
`369 `385
12 Months
Wipro came out with a lower-than-expected set of results for 4QFY2013; the results are lower on the revenue as well the margin front. The IT services USD revenue growth came in at just 0.5% qoq. The only positive in the results was the 2.5% qoq volume growth in IT services. Going forward, for 1QFY2014, the Management has given a USD revenue guidance of US$1,575mn-1,610mn, which translates into a qoq growth of -0.6 to +1.6%, which is well below our expectation of +1.5-3.5% qoq growth. The Management has factored in the continued uncertainty in ramp up of discretionary projects. We recommend an Accumulate rating on the stock. Quarterly highlights: For 4QFY2013, Wipros consolidated revenues came in at `11,026cr, almost flat qoq. The consolidated EBITDA margin increased by 31bp qoq to 20.4%, while its EBIT margin declined by 98bp qoq to 16.7%. The overall reported EBIT margin of the business, excluding demerged entities, stood at 17.8%, in line with estimates. The EBIT margin for IT services stood at 20.2%, down ~60bp qoq. The PAT came in-line with expectations at `1,737cr, up 0.7% qoq, aided by `328cr of other income. Outlook and valuation: The Management has given a USD revenue guidance of US$1,575mn-1,610mn for 1QFY2014, which translates into a qoq growth of -0.6 to +1.6%. The soft guidance is on account of 1Q tending to be a seasonally weak quarter for India and the Middle East geographies, which have been the growth drivers in 4QFY2013. Additionally, revenues around discretionary segments remain uncertain. The company however expects the growth rates to improve going into 2QFY2014 and 3QFY2014. The Management indicated that the pipeline for the company as on March 2013 appears similar to that as in March 2012; however, the company sees itself better placed than around this time last year, to latch on to the opportunities in the market. We expect USD and INR revenue CAGR for IT services to be at 7.6% and 7.2%, respectively over FY2013-15. We value the stock at 13.5x FY2015E EPS of `28.5, which gives us a target price of `385. We recommend Accumulate rating on the stock.
Shareholding Pattern (%) Promoters MF / Banks / Indian Fls FII / NRIs / OCBs Indian Public / Others 78.3 3.3 7.3 11.1
3m (5.1)
1yr 9.3
(7.2) (13.7)
Ankita Somani
+91 22 3935 7800 Ext: 6819 [email protected]
4QFY13 11,026 7,201 3,826 1,573 2,253 415 1,838 328 2,175 438 1,737 1,737 7.0 34.7 20.4 16.7 18.7
3QFY13 11,025 7,281 3,744 1,526 2,218 272 1,946 271 2,210 485 1,725 1,725 6.9 34.0 20.1 17.7 18.1
% chg (qoq) 0.0 (1.1) 2.2 3.1 1.6 52.6 (5.6) (1.6) (9.7) 0.7 0.7 1.7 (74)bp 31bp (98)bp 62bp
4QFY12 9,869 6,580 3,289 1,328 1,961 267 1,694 198 1,893 402 1,491 10 1,481 6.0 33.3 19.9 17.2 15.1
% chg (yoy) 11.7 9.4 16.3 18.4 14.9 55.7 8.5 14.9 9.0 16.5 (100.0) 17.3 16.3 137bp 56bp (50)bp 362bp
FY2013 43,361 29,772 13,588 6,074 8,752 1,237 7,514 990 8,505 1,835 6,670 10 6,660 27.0 31.3 20.2 17.3 17.6
FY2012 37,525 26,317 11,207 4,806 7,414 1,013 6,401 574 6,975 1,376 5,599 26 5,573 22.7 29.9 19.8 17.1 16.4
% chg (yoy) 15.6 13.1 21.2 26.4 18.0 22.2 17.4 21.9 33.3 19.1 (62.1) 19.5 18.9 147bp 43bp 27bp 126bp
(%)
(1.3) Offshore
3.2 3.0
1.4 1.1
(%)
1 0
(1.0)
3QFY13
4QFY13
Offshore
Industry wise, Wipros growth was led by energy & utilities and manufacturing & hi-tech industry verticals, the revenues from which grew by 3.9% and 3.4% qoq, respectively, in CC terms. For FY2013, energy & utilities was the only vertical that grew in double digits (ie by ~19% yoy), aided by the acquisition of SAIC, while global media & telecom was the only vertical that declined (-3.9% yoy). Coming back to 4QFY2013, in tandem with its peers, Wipro reported a muted revenue growth in the global media and telecom industry segment, the revenues of which declined by 1.9% qoq in CC terms. The Management indicated that revenue growth from the telecom industry is expected to remain sluggish for the next few quarters. The revenue from retail & transportation and healthcare, lifesciences & services grew by 1.3% and 2.8% qoq, respectively in CC terms. The Management indicated that the company is seeing bottoming out of weakness in multiple segments like in telecom OEMs and hi-tech, which should help growth from 2QFY2014 onwards.
April 19, 2013
Service wise, Wipros anchor service lines - business application services (contributed 31.4% to revenue) and technology infrastructure services (contributed 24.5% to revenue) posted a 0.4% and 4.0% qoq revenue growth, respectively. The application development and maintenance (ADM) segment (contributed 20.7% to revenue) declined by 3.4% qoq. The analytics and information management services segment, the R&D business, and the BPO delivered an almost flat revenue performance on a sequential basis. The Management indicated that analytics, mobility and data will be the next growth drivers for the overall IT industry, and that the company is making continuous investments in these areas. The company is seeing bottoming out of weakness in multiple segments, such as the IMS business out of India, and product engineering.
% growth (qoq) % growth (yoy) 4.0 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 (3.4) 0.5 5.2 12.0 7.2 5.8 11.0 (4.3) (9.7) (10.0) (12.7)
Geography wise, Wipros primary revenue growth came in from India and the Middle East geographies, which cumulatively grew by 7.0% qoq, while revenues from Europe declined by 0.9% qoq in CC terms. For the full year FY2013, it was the other emerging markets segment that drove growth for Wipro, growing by ~25% yoy, while the others grew in low single digits.
Segmental performance
During the quarter, the IT services segments revenue came in at US$1,585mn, up 0.5% qoq, with India and the Middle East geographies being the major revenue drivers, cumulatively growing by 4.7% qoq.
(%)
2 0
2QFY13
4QFY13
2.4 2.0 0.8 0.8 4QFY12 1QFY13 (1.4) 0.2 2QFY13 3QFY13 (1.0) 1.7
2.5
(%)
0.5
4QFY13
The IT products segment reported a 14.7% yoy increase in its revenue to `1,075cr during the quarter. The consumer care and lighting segment posted another modest quarter with a 15.1% yoy growth in revenue to `1,044cr; the company is hiving off this business into an unlisted entity.
25
1,000
15
(` cr)
(5)
(` cr)
(%)
950
23
(%)
900
2.9 937
953
Margins mixed
During 4QFY2013, Wipros consolidated EBITDA margin increased by 31bp qoq to 20.4%, while its EBIT margin declined by 98bp qoq to 16.7% as depreciation increased by 53% qoq. The overall reported EBIT margin in the business, excluding demerged entities, stood at 17.8%, in line with estimates. The IT services segments EBIT margin was at 20.2%, down ~60bp qoq. The EBIT margin during the quarter saw headwinds from currency and a qoq decline in productivity; however, factors like a decline in SGA expenses as a percentage of sales by ~30bp qoq and a shift in the mix by ~40bp qoq in favor of offshore, partially offset the same. The EBIT margin of the IT products business segment grew by 10bp qoq to 2.5%.
(%)
12.5
10 5 0
2.4 3QFY13
2QFY13
Client pyramid
Wipro added 52 new clients in 4QFY2013, with its active client base increasing to 978 from 966 in 3QFY2013. The companys client pyramid witnessed an addition of three clients in the US$20mn-50mn revenue bracket. Overall, six clients were added in the US$1mn+ revenue brackets. The companys revenue from its top clients jumped up by 13% qoq, while revenues from the top 5/10 clients declined by 0.3%/1.7% qoq.
We expect Wipros volume growth to continue to lag from some of its peer companies. Wipro has chosen a growth strategy of focusing on a selected few segments in terms of industry verticals and services. We expect Wipro's transition to take longer than had been anticipated earlier, and the uncertain macro environment will further push the timeline. We are modeling in an ~1% qoq USD revenue growth for 1QFY2014 and an ~2.1% CQGR over 2Q-4QFY2014. We expect USD and INR revenue CAGR for IT services to be at 7.6% and 7.2%, respectively over FY2013-15. Wipro has been showing a decent performance in the past five quarters by rationalizing costs. The Management has indicated towards giving wage hikes from June 1, the quantum of which is yet to be decided (the Management has guided for a single digit increase in wages for offshore). This implies one months impact on margins in 1QFY2014. On the operating front, Wipro has tailwinds of improving utilization level and headwinds of moderate volume growth and wage hikes. We expect the IT services EBIT margin to continue to be narrow; we expect an EBIT margin of 19.7% and 19.8% for FY2014 and FY2015, respectively, for the IT services segment. The stock is currently trading at 14.1x FY2014E and 12.9x FY2015E EPS. We value the stock at 13.5x FY2015E EPS of `28.5, which gives us a target price of `385. We recommend Accumulate rating on the stock.
(`)
Oct-06
Oct-07
Oct-08
Oct-09
Oct-10
Oct-11
Oct-12
7x
Apr-06
Apr-07
Apr-08
Apr-09
Apr-10
Apr-11
Apr-12
Price
Source: Company, Angel Research
34x
28x
21x
14x
Apr-13
Company background
Wipro is one of the leading Indian companies, majorly offering IT services. The company is also engaged in IT hardware (11% of sales) and consumer care and lighting (10% of sales) businesses. Wipro's IT arm is India's fourth largest IT firm, employing more than 1,45,000 professionals, offering a wide portfolio of services such as ADM, consulting and package implementation, and servicing more than 950 clients.
10
Note: *exclude numbers of hived off consumer care and lighting segment
11
12
13
Key Ratios
Y/E March Valuation ratio(x) P/E (on FDEPS) P/CEPS P/BVPS Dividend yield (%) EV/Sales EV/EBITDA EV/Total assets Per share data (`) EPS (Fully diluted) Cash EPS Dividend Book value DuPont analysis Tax retention ratio (PAT/PBT) Cost of debt (PBT/EBIT) EBIT margin (EBIT/Sales) Asset turnover ratio (Sales/Assets) Leverage ratio (Assets/Equity) Operating ROE Return ratios (%) RoCE (pre-tax) Angel RoIC RoE Turnover ratios (x) Asset turnover(fixed assets) Receivables days Payable days
Note: Closing price as on 18 April 2013
FY2011 17.0 8.2 3.8 1.6 2.6 12.4 2.2 21.7 45.1 6.0 98 0.8 7.7 0.0 0.8 1.5 22.2 15.5 28.0 22.0 0.9 66 71
FY2012 16.2 7.6 3.2 1.6 2.2 10.9 1.9 22.7 48.8 6.0 117 0.8 6.9 0.0 0.9 1.5 19.6 14.7 25.8 19.5 0.9 69 63
FY2013E 13.7 6.5 3.2 1.6 1.7 8.6 1.7 27.0 56.7 6.0 114 0.8 6.9 0.0 1.0 1.5 23.5 17.1 32.5 23.4 1.0 66 58
FY2014E 14.1 6.8 2.8 1.6 1.7 8.5 1.4 26.2 54.1 6.0 133 0.8 7.0 0.0 0.8 1.5 19.8 14.1 30.5 19.7 0.9 68 58
FY2015E 12.9 6.2 2.4 1.6 1.5 7.1 1.1 28.5 59.2 6.0 155 0.8 7.2 0.0 0.8 1.4 18.5 13.7 32.1 18.4 0.8 69 58
14
E-mail: [email protected]
Website: www.angelbroking.com
DISCLAIMER
This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report.
Disclosure of Interest Statement 1. Analyst ownership of the stock 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock 4. Broking relationship with company covered
Wipro No No No No
Note: We have not considered any Exposure below ` 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors
Ratings (Returns):
15