Understanding Investments Theories and Strategies
Understanding Investments Theories and Strategies
Understanding Investments Theories and Strategies
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Nikiforos Laopodis
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This revised and fully expanded edition of Understanding Investments continues to incorporate the
elements of traditional textbooks on investments, but goes further in that the material is presented
from an intuitive, practical point of view, and the supplementary material included in each chapter
lends itself to both class discussion and further reading by students. It provides the essential tools
to navigate complex, global financial markets and instruments including relevant (and classic)
academic research and market perspectives.
The author has developed a number of key innovative features. One unique feature is its
economic angle, whereby each chapter includes a section dedicated to the economic analysis of that
chapter’s material. Additionally, all chapters contain sections on strategies that investors can apply
in specific situations and the pros and cons of each are also discussed. The book provides further
clarification of some of the concepts discussed in the previous edition, thereby offering a more
detailed analysis and discussion, with more real-world examples. The author has added new,
shorter text boxes, labeled “Market Flash” to highlight the use of, or changes in current practices
in the field; updates on strategies as applied by professionals; provision of useful information for
an investor; updates on regulations; and anything else that might be relevant in discussing and
applying a concept. This second edition also includes new sections on core issues in the field of
investments, such as alternative investments, disruptive technologies, and future trends in
investment management.
This textbook is intended for undergraduate students majoring or minoring in finance and also
for students in economics and related disciplines who wish to take an elective course in finance or
investments.
Nikiforos T. Laopodis is a finance professor at the School of Business and Economics’ Finance
Department at The American College of Greece. Dr Laopodis is widely published in the areas of
finance and economics on topics such as investments, monetary and fiscal policies, and financial
econometrics and in highly respected finance journals. Since 1995, he has been, and continues to
be, a regular participant in the Eastern Finance Association, Financial Management Association (US
and Int’l) and later in the European Financial Management Association.
Understanding
Investments
Theories and Strategies
SECOND EDITION
Nikiforos T. Laopodis
Second edition published 2021
by Routledge
2 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon OX14 4RN
and by Routledge
52 Vanderbilt Avenue, New York, NY 10017
Typeset in Joanna MT
by Apex CoVantage, LLC
Detailed contents ix
List of illustrations xxiii
Acknowledgmentsxxix
Preface to the second edition xxxi
Preface to the first edition xxxiii
Appendix 601
Index 607
Detailed contents
Lessons of our times: Lessons learned from financial crisis and recommendations
for financial institutions 124
Key concepts 125
Questions and problems 126
Appendix: Calculating a stock market index 127
Appendix A: How to find and graph the optimal two-asset portfolio using EXCEL 288
Appendix B: The single-index asset model 291
Appendix 601
Index 607
Illustrations
Figures
Figure 1.1 Assets, liabilities, and net worth of households and nonprofits 8
Figure 2.1 The expected return-risk trade-off 34
Figure 2.2 Asset allocation and security selection 36
Figure 2.3 Asset allocation types 41
Figure 2.4 Top-down and bottom-up approaches to investing 43
Figure 2.5 Debit balances in customers’ securities margin accounts, 2019 48
Figure 2.6 Demand schedules 56
Figure 2.7 Supply schedules 56
Figure 2.8 Market price equilibrium 57
Figure 3.1 Annual returns of US stocks, Treasury bonds, and Treasury bills, 1960–2019 65
Figure 3.2 Compounded value of $1 invested in US stocks, Treasury bonds, and
Treasury bills, 1960–2019 66
Figure 3.3 The relationship between nominal interest rates and inflation, 1960–2019 70
Figure 3.4 The standard normal distribution 73
Figure 3.5 Histogram and statistics of Apple’s returns, daily, 1/1/2009–9/1/2019 74
Figure 3.6 Utility and wealth 80
Figure 3.7 A set of indifference curves for goods H and N 82
Figure 3.8 A set of indifference curves for risk and return 83
Figure 3.9 Indifference curves for investors with different degrees of risk 83
Figure 4.1 The circular flow of funds in financial markets 96
Figure 4.2 Securities and securities exchanges 100
Figure 4.3 Prices of seats at the NYSE, 2005 102
Figure 4.4 NYSE membership prices, 1869–2005 102
Figure 4.5 The size of the US bond market, 2nd quarter 2019 110
Figure 4.6 Global bond offerings by all countries, 2010:I–2019:I 112
Figure 5.1 Direct and indirect investing in securities 132
Figure 5.2 Asset-backed (ABCP), financial (FCP) and nonfinancial commercial
paper (NFCP) in the US 140
Figure 5.3 The effective federal funds rate, 2000–2019 (monthly) 144
Figure 5.4 3-month LIBOR, January 2009–September 2019 147
Figure 5.5 T-bill and commercial paper minus the federal funds rate, 2009–2019 149
Figure 5.6 Yield spreads between AAA, BAA, and the 10-year T-note, 2009–2019 155
Figure 6.1 Relationships among the firm, syndicate, and investors 171
Figure 6.2 The book-building process 175
Figure 6.3 Mutual funds held by individual and institutional investors, 2003–2018 179
Figure 6.4 Indirect investing 180
Figure 6.5 Total net assets by UIT category, 2007–2018 182
Figure 6.6 Worldwide classification of mutual funds by regions and fund type, 2018 188
Figure 6.7 Performance of all REITs relative to S&P 500 index 200
xxiv | Illustrations
Tables
Table 1.1 Selected balance sheet items of US households and nonprofit
organizations, 2019Q2 7
Table 1.2 Sources of financial and economic information 14
Table 1.3 Selected finance and accounting pays, 2018–19 23
Table 2.1 Average return of the S&P 500 index by decade, 1950–2018 33
Table 2.2 Dollar-cost averaging example 46
Table 3.1 Periodic cash flows of an asset 66
Table 3.2 Arithmetic and geometric means of US stocks, Treasury bonds,
and Treasury bills, 1928–2019 67
Table 3.3 Probability distribution of HPR of stock X 71
Table 3.4 Calculation of the variance of stock X 72
Table 3.5 Descriptive statistics of US stocks, T-bonds, and T-bills, 1928–2010 75
Table 3.6 Central banks’ key interest rates, September 2019 77
Table 4.1 Chronology of selected events at the NYSE 101
Table 4.2 Dow Jones Industrial Average components and statistics 108
Table 5.1 Selected money market instruments and rates 135
Table 5.2 Recent Treasury bill auction results, 1st week of October, 2019 137
Table 5.3 Currency assets and liabilities of non-US banks vis-à-vis all sectors 148
Table 5.4 Equivalent taxable yields and corresponding tax-exempt yields 152
Table 5.5 Average daily volume of issuance of bonds by various US entities,
2009−2019 154
Table 5.6 Bond ratings by S&P, Moody’s, and Fitch companies 154
Table 6.1 Some IPO pricings, filings, and withdrawals 175
Table 6.2 Performance of selected initial public offerings, September 2019 178
Table 6.3 Comparison of annual returns between two funds 190
Table 6.4 Rates of return of top ETFs, as of October 2019 196
Table 7.1 Portfolios and expected standard deviations of returns 214
Table 7.2 Economic scenarios and securities returns 218
Table 7.3 Economic scenarios and securities returns 226
Table 7.4 Summary of portfolios’ expected returns and risks 228
Table 8.1 Two-asset portfolio expected return and risk for three
correlation coefficients 256
Table 8.2 Correlation coefficients, diversification benefits, and portfolio risk 257
Table 8.3 Two-asset portfolio expected return and risk with short sales 258
Table 8.4 Correlations among selected financial assets and commodities, 2014–2019 260
Table 9.1 The prisoner’s dilemma 321
xxvi | Illustrations
Boxes
Box 1.1 Ponzi scheme and Bernie Madoff 19
Box 1.2 CFA’s code of ethics and conduct 24
Box 2.1 The hedgehog bests the fox 39
Box 2.2 Example of a risk tolerance questionnaire 40
Box 3.1 Returns and risk aversion 77
Box 3.2 The St. Petersburg Paradox 81
Illustrations | xxvii
The author wishes to thank the following people for their comments and suggestions to the second
edition.
My students at The American College of Greece: Foteini Rompora, Apostolos Pappas, Angelos
Thanos-Filis, Aspasia Romana, Walid Zorba, Konstandinos Kondylis, Christos Lamnidis, Zakari
Amin-Karkabi, Marianna Tsiouri, and Dimitrios Dritsas.
My colleagues whose criticisms improved the flow and focus of the second edition.
Anna Giannopoulou-Merika, Solon Molho, Panagiotis Asimakopoulos and Vassilios Sogiakas
from The American College of Greece, Greece. Eleftheria Kostika, The Bank of Greece, Greece.
Dimitrios Koutmos, Worcester Polytechnic Institute, MA, USA. Bansi Sawhney, and Daniel Ger-
lowski, University of Baltimore, MD, USA. Stefanos Papadamou, University of Thessaly, Greece.
Arav Ouandlous, Savannah State University, GA, USA. Anne Anderson, Middle Tennessee State
University, TN, USA. Nodas Katsikas, University of Kent, UK.
Preface to the second edition
To the student
Following up on the first edition, the revised version of the textbook continues presenting the
theories and strategies of investments from an intuitive, practical way in an effort to convey the
underlying stories behind the investments concepts. Using the economics point of view approach,
students appreciate their discipline, whichever this may be, because the interpretation of concepts
is emphasized rather than their mere memorization and mechanical application.
In the second edition of the textbook, some general new and innovative features are listed
below:
1. New boxes labeled “Market Flash” highlight the use of, or changes in current practices in, the
field, provide updates on strategies as applied by investment/portfolio professionals, offer
useful information for an investor, and give updates on regulations and more.
2. Current research, academic and/or professional, is included in each chapter, and is presented
in a concise fashion and abstracted from quantitative aspects so it can be useful to the
students.
3. Finally, the questions and problems at the end of each chapter are not mechanical and dry;
instead, they are ripped from the headlines and aim at soliciting the students’ critical thinking
and quantitative expertise to address real-life financial problems
Thus, the innovative features of the second edition of the textbook are its enhanced pedagogy
and the additional material in the text itself, where students will read how professionals deal with
real economic and financial problems and how policymakers set policies. Moreover, now each
chapter contains sections on investment strategies that novice investors can apply, and the pros and
cons of each strategy are discussed.
More specifically, each chapter has been updated and enhanced in discussion on both theories
and strategies as well as market insights.
Chapter 5 has further analyses on the money market instruments and discusses some worries
the market has about the fed funds rate and LIBOR, and includes some new investment strategies,
which take into account climate change.
Chapter 6 presents the IPO process in greater detail, discusses the mutual fund companies
within the context of new regulations as well, and ends with some more advanced strategies in
mutual funds.
Chapter 7 has a more elaborate analysis of the steps in the investment process, and details the
asset allocation decision.
Chapter 8 includes a section on dynamic asset correlations and another on multifactor models
and their use in portfolio building.
Chapter 9 in general expands upon the discussions of market efficiency and behavioral finance.
Chapter 10 explains stock market quotations, expands upon the analysis of the management
of an equity portfolio (including a global equity portfolio), and includes some discussion on
some Federal Reserve monetary policies and their implications for investment strategies.
Chapter 11 includes more equity-valuation models, along with real-data applications, and a
section on the information content of dividends.
Chapter 12 updates the discussion on the global bond market and bond valuation, and includes
some analysis of strategies using the yield curve.
Chapter 13 now has a more detailed view of the bond investment management process, more
passive and active bond portfolio strategies, and a section on bond market efficiency and its conse-
quences on bond portfolio management.
Chapter 14 offers a clearer view of the mechanics of the options market and its participants,
and some more detailed analysis on selected options strategies.
Chapter 15 details the functions of the futures market and its organizational structure and
includes a section on risk arbitrage.
Chapter 16 has greatly expanded to include many more sections on alternative investments,
disruptive technologies such as cryptocurrencies, fintech, smart beta analytics and energy alterna-
tives, trends in investment management such as demographic shifts, cannabis equities, and inno-
vative pricing schemes.
To the student
Congratulations for studying finance and welcome to the exciting field of investments! You will be
pleased to know that I decided to write this textbook in order to discuss and present the material
in a different way than what current textbooks do. My main objective in this textbook is to write
the material from an intuitive and practical way for you to understand. This means that the concepts
and applications will be presented from the economics point of view, that is, to tell the underlying story
behind the investments notions. I have always taught investments in this way and students seem to
appreciate it more than just learning and applying concepts in a dry, mechanical way. You will be
shown to think of investments (as well as finance) as a special branch (application) of economics
because many topics discussed in investments come from (micro and macro) economics but are
simply termed differently. Let me present some illustrative examples:
l When the interest rate (or the discount rate) is discussed in many investments textbooks, you
may not realize that the interest rate is nothing but an opportunity cost (of money) as you
have learned in your economics courses.
l When decisions involving investor selection among investment alternatives are discussed, you
may not see that what is really being applied is cost-benefit analysis or comparison between
marginal costs and marginal benefits.
l When discussing other investment topics, you may not be aware of sound economic analysis
that many market participants perform. For example, several financial organizations such as
the Securities and Exchange Commission and the New York Stock Exchange routinely make
economic decisions that you may not see in existing textbooks (because they are never explic-
itly exposed) but will see in this textbook.
l When the role of financial markets is discussed, you may not infer (or read in other textbooks)
that what is really meant concerns the efficiency with which resources are allocated in the
economy for a mutually beneficial exchange among participants.
l Finally, have you ever wondered how the equilibrium price of a share is determined? You
guessed it, from the interactions of demand for and supply of shares in the market.
Besides understanding the economics behind the actions of market participants, how else are
you going to learn about investments from this textbook? There are several other ways:
l Each chapter contains several boxes that enhance your understanding of the material and three
specific boxes labeled “Applying Economic Analysis”, “Lessons of Our Times” and “Interna-
tional Focus”, all found at the end of each chapter.
l In addition, some chapters contain appendices that show you how to apply several investment
techniques with real data, a financial calculator, and EXCEL. In some EXCEL cases, the equa-
tions are presented as cell information.
l Finally, each chapter contains thought-provoking questions and problems that require you to
think critically of the answers and display good skills in solving the problems, thus avoiding
tedious and useless memorization.
xxxiv | Preface to the first edition
So, let the challenge of learning the basics of investments begin and enjoy it!
To the instructor
What led me to write this textbook is my continuous quest to find a textbook in investments that
would present the concepts from the economics point of view so students can soundly interpret
these concepts relying on economic theory. Therefore, the concepts herein are presented in a sim-
ple-to-understand way and with the minimum required rigor so students grasp them without too
much effort. Thus, students will be able to put these investment concepts in perspective with the
economic knowledge they have from earlier classes. I have found this to be invaluable to my stu-
dents after teaching investments for more than a decade.
The chapters are shorter than those in the conventional textbooks in the sense that unnecessary
details on topics are not included. Only the important points on the subject will be presented and
discussed so students remain focused on the essence of the topic. For example, when presenting
topics such as stock exchanges, many textbooks present a lot of detail on how they operate but this
can be done by simply directing the student to the appropriate website for more information or
through a question/problem at the end of the chapter. Or, when discussing asset valuations, many
undergraduate textbooks go into the details of empirical research which could either be redundant,
if instructors omit it, or with no real value to the student, if instructors very briefly go over it. In
this textbook, current research is presented in a concise fashion and abstracted from quantitative
aspects so it can be useful to students. Furthermore, there are only 16 chapters in the textbook for
two reasons. First, the typical semester is about 14–15 weeks and thus instructors will be able to
finish their syllabus fully. Because textbooks typically have many more than 20 chapters, instructors
never get to all of them and thus may have to “cut corners”. This means that they either have to
skip entire chapters, or sections of chapters, or select sections that they deem necessary. Thus, with
the right number of chapters, instructors can avoid all of these forced decisions and simply concen-
trate on the delivery of material.
Finally, the small number of exercises at the end of each chapter are a mix of questions (for
thought and discussion) and problems. Questions are thought-provoking and problems will often
require knowledge of economics and statistics (which students typically have before taking the
course), not mechanical applications of formulas. The idea of such questions/problems is to enable
the student to continue learning the chapter material. As a result, the questions and problems come
from real-life experiences in the financial markets. Some sources include the Wall Street Journal, Finan-
cial Times, YahooFinance and the Economist. And since the chapters are short, you can present a chapter
per week, with some time left to go over some of the end-of-chapter problems in class for class
discussion.
Target audience
This textbook is intended for undergraduate students majoring in finance taking an investments
course at the 200 level and above in their field of study. The relevant course would be Introduction to
Investments, Principles of Investments, and Introduction to Finance. In addition to the majors, students minoring
in finance can use this textbook as well as students in economics who wish to take an elective course
in investments. Majors and non-majors (other than in economics) can also take the course as a
general business elective since it does not involve heavy quantitative analysis. In general, almost
every major discipline requires some knowledge of mathematics and statistics and thus the text-
book would be suitable for them.
Preface to the first edition | xxxv
Pedagogy
The innovative features of the text are its pedagogy and the additional boxes, where students can read
how professionals deal with real problems. Moreover, each chapter has a section on some strategies
that investors can apply in specific situations, as well as the pros and cons of each strategy.
Overall, the innovative features of this textbook are the following:
1. Presentation of material from the economics point of view stressing the interpretation of con-
cepts not the mere memorization and mechanical application of them.
2. Shorter chapters so instructors and students can focus on the main points of subjects rather
than wrestle with unnecessary details distracting them from the main issues.
3. Fewer chapters than in current textbooks so instructors can comfortably finish their syllabus
(or the entire textbook) within a semester.
4. Illustrations of current events through boxes which can be used to further the students’ knowl-
edge on the subject without having to follow the text’s flow.
5. Three types of special boxes appear in each chapter: boxes with “International Focus”, boxes
with “Applying Economic Analysis”, and boxes with ideas from well-known economists and
professionals on a given issue, labeled “Lessons of Our Times”.
6. Inclusion of a section on strategies in each chapter that investors can use and explanations of
their pros and cons.
7. A short list of thought-provoking questions and interpretive problems ripped from the head-
lines addressing real-life issues and dilemmas is at the end of each chapter.
Part I
Investment basics
What is an investment and why do people invest? Investment is the sacrifice of your resources (time,
money, and effort) today for the expectation of earning more resources tomorrow. What can you
do with your money? Spend it, save some of it, or invest it? If you choose the latter, where are you
going to invest it? There are many investment alternatives (like stocks and bonds), and the amount
of information on each one of them is staggering. What is your goal in investing? What are your
constraints and risks? Once you have defined these, what is the next step? Are you going to do the
investing on your own or are you going to hire a professional money manager? These are some of
the questions that you need to address as a (novice) investor, and we will deal with them in this
part of this textbook. In the remaining chapters, we will have more to say about the field of invest-
ments in general, the strategies that you can apply to achieve your goals, and the risks involved in
investing.
Chapter 1 examines the general investment framework by defining investments and the vari-
ous investment alternatives available in the market. It also presents the objectives and constraints of
individual and institutional investors, and the roles of the various financial intermediaries that assist
you in investing. Chapter 2 lays out the investment process (that is, the two main steps that you
need to take before investing) and presents some very basic and simple investment strategies.
Finally, Chapter 3 discusses in detail the basic elements of investments: risk and return. This chapter
also addresses the objective of investing, which is the maximization of your expected return, and
its constraint, which is (subject to) risk.
We end with a cautionary word. This textbook cannot make investment decisions for you! It
can only assist you in making informed decisions by providing you with valuable information so that
you can apply it to your particular investment situation.
Chapter 1
Chapter contents
1.1 Introduction 4
1.2 The general financial and economic environment 4
1.3 The objectives and constraints of investors 10
1.4 The investment management process 12
1.5 The role of investment information 13
1.6 Agency and ethical issues in investing 15
1.7 So why study investments? 22
1.8 Chapter summary 23
1.9 The plan of the textbook 25
Key concepts 27
Questions and problems 28
4 | INVESTMENT BASICS
Chapter objectives
After studying this chapter, you should be able to
l See what investment is and distinguish between real and financial assets
l Know the various classes of securities
l Understand the roles of the financial markets and financial intermediaries
l Know your investment objectives and constraints
l Evaluate the role of financial information on investments alternatives
l Understand some issues that arise in financial markets like agency theory, asymmetric infor-
mation, and ethical investment behavior
1.1 Introduction
This chapter deals with the general economic and financial environment in which market partici-
pants make investment decisions. Specifically, it discusses the securities an investor can invest in as
well as the financial markets that facilitate the trade of securities among investors. In this respect,
the functions of financial markets and financial intermediaries are explored. The chapter also
explains the investment management process and highlights the roles of investment or financial
information. Further, the objectives and constraints of investors, individual and institutional alike,
are listed and discussed. The latter deals with problems encountered among market participants
when engaging in mutual trades of securities and the occurrences of unethical investment behavior
in the marketplace. Next, we present some issues that arise in financial markets like agency theory,
asymmetric information, and ethical investment behavior. The chapter ends with the significance
of learning and practicing investments.
Investing also involves a similar sacrifice, as we saw above. However, there is a fundamental difference
between saving and investment. Saving does not entail risk (or, at most, very little) but investment
does. For example, if you put your money in a bank account like a certificate of deposit, you incur no
risk (of losing your money) because your savings up to $250,000 (at the time of writing) is insured
by the federal government (the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation or FDIC). But, if you invest in the stock
market then you are faced with significant risk that you may lose all your invested capital. In general,
investment assets carry various amounts of risk ranging from none to very high risk.
1.2.2.1 Securities
A generic term for a financial asset is security. A security is a legal claim on the revenue streams of
financial assets or real assets. Examples of securities with claims on a financial asset are bonds and
stocks. Although many securities have a specific collateral (or pledge) to back up the claim to a
revenue stream, others have not but simply represent a promise to pay. An example of a security
with a claim on a real asset with collateral is a mortgage bond (where the collateral is the actual
house). A share of stock is an example of a security without collateral and represents a promise to
pay wherever the corporation’s directors deems appropriate.
Equity securities
Equity securities, or common stocks, represent ownership interest in a corporation. A common
stockholder is an investor who owns a share in a company and each share entitles the owner to one
vote in the corporation’s important financial matters. Common stockholders are the residual
claimants in the sense that if the corporation is liquidated they are the last in line among other
claimants (like creditors, the government and so on) to receive what is left. Many common stocks
pay dividends, which are cash payments made by many corporations to their common stockholders.
Preferred stock, although an equity security, also has the characteristics of a debt security. It resembles
an equity instrument because it pays dividends and a bond because those dividend payments are
fixed in amount and known in advance. Thus, sometimes preferred stock is known as a hybrid
security.
Debt securities
Debt securities are claims on some known, periodic stream of payments until the end of their life (the
maturity date). Debt securities are also known as fixed-income securities because they promise a fixed
stream of payments or pay a stream of payments on the basis of some formula. The most important
category of debt securities is a bond. A bond is a contractual obligation of the issuer (or seller) of the
bond to repay the holder (or buyer) of the bond a certain amount of interest on the loan in fixed
dates throughout its life plus the loan’s principal (or initial amount lent) at the maturity date. There
are other categories of bonds (or debt instruments) that do not pay interest periodically, sell at
discount and return their face value to the investor. These are known as (pure) discount bonds and
an example of them is the Treasury bill. In general, there are several categories of debt and other
fixed-income securities such as corporate bonds, government bonds, agency bonds, municipal
bonds, and international bonds (we will discuss them all in detail in Chapter 5).
Derivative securities
Derivative securities, also known as contingent claims, are securities whose values are derived from (or are
contingent upon) the underlying asset(s). The two most important types of such securities are
options and futures. In general, an option entitles (or gives the right, but not the obligation to) its
owner to buy (a call option) or sell (a put option) something on or before some specific point in time.
Options and futures have exploded in growth since the 1990s and have received wide use since
then as a means of hedging (or insuring against) risk. A futures contract obligates the traders to buy
or sell an asset at a pre-specified price at a specified time frame. For example, a buyer might be
committed to purchase the commodity in exchange for cash given to the seller upon delivery of the
commodity on the delivery date. The distinction between the right to do something and the obli-
gation to do something makes options more flexible instruments. However, this flexibility comes
with a price, called the premium, which is the compensation of the option purchaser to exercise the
option when there is a profitable opportunity.
1.2.2.3 Types of investors
Within an economy there are four types of security investors (or players or market participants),
namely households, businesses, the government, and the rest of the world. A further classification
of investor types is retail and institutional. In general, a retail or individual investor is one that has
a “small” amount of money to invest, whereas an institutional one invests millions of (or more)
dollars. Examples of individual investors are you and me (or households) and examples of institu-
tional investors are mutual funds, banks, insurance companies, and other financial institutions.
What are the differences and characteristics of each of these players? Let us start with households
first.
THE INVESTMENT FRAMEWORK | 7
Households comprise consumers and individual (or retail) investors and they invest in securities
in order to earn higher returns (and accumulate wealth) to meet their future needs. Typically, they
are (net) savers and they are the ones supplying the funds to other market participants. Institutional
investors are entities dealing in financial assets and move billions of dollars around financial instru-
ments. These investors comprise mutual funds, investment banks, money managers, insurance
companies, and other financial institutions. They are net borrowers of funds (or in constant need
of receiving financing). Households invest in a wide variety of securities, just like institutional
investors, but differ in many ways. Specifically, retail investors cannot always enjoy all the benefits
of investing due to their unique financial circumstances, their limited budget, and tax liabilities
which may not be relevant for institutional investors. For example, households may be responsible
for paying taxes when receiving income from an investment but institutional investors may have
the (lawful) ability to pass their tax liabilities on to you, the investor (as we will see in Chapter 6).
Hence, institutional investors are much larger (in terms of portfolio size) than retail investors and
have a unique position within the financial system.
Table 1.1 shows the latest data (second quarter of 2019) on the balance sheet of households’
and nonprofit organizations in the United States. As you notice, household and nonprofit organi-
zations financial assets include not only stocks and bonds but items like bank accounts, pension,
and life insurance funds. Figure 1.1 illustrates the trend in ownership of assets, liabilities, and net
worth of both households and nonprofits roughly following the global financial crisis of 2008. As
Table 1.1 Selected balance sheet items of US households and nonprofits, 2019Q2
Source: Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors, Flow of Funds Accounts of the United States. Amounts outstanding end of
period, not seasonally adjusted. Assets and liabilities sides do not add up because of omitted items.
8 | INVESTMENT BASICS
is evident from the graph, we see a rapid change in assets and net worth with liabilities remaining
roughly constant. Specifically, asset growth was approximately 68% and net worth about 44%.
The government, in its three classifications, namely federal, state, and local, is another type of
market player. The government is also the regulator of many investment activities and sets the rules
of the game in the market. The government, at any point in time, can either be a net borrower of
funds or a net supplier of funds. By net borrower we mean that it runs a budget deficit, that is,
when its expenditures exceed its revenues and by budget surplus when the opposite is true. Most
of the time (except for a few years in the late 1990s) the US government ran (and still runs) budget
deficits and thus it continuously needs to borrow funds from the public.
Finally, it is important to realize that all above players can also be foreign entities, that is, a for-
eign individual (investor), a foreign corporation, or a foreign (sovereign) government. For exam-
ple, the multinational corporation is a foreign investor because it borrows funds from the global
financial markets to run its worldwide operations. It is through trade and investment (financial and
real) that foreign investors play an important role in any economy.
goods and services. So, would it be possible for an economy to produce goods and services if there
were no financial markets to facilitate the flow of funds from those who have excess of funds, the
savers, to those in need, the investors? No, because it would not be possible to trade financial assets!
Therefore, the role of financial markets is to efficiently allocate financial resources among compet-
ing uses and ultimately contribute to the production of real assets in the economy. Real assets define
the wealth of an economy, while financial assets define the allocation of wealth among individuals.
By efficiency in financial markets we mean that it should not be possible for an investor to find
bargains in security markets. In other words, security markets (or assets) should incorporate all
relevant information quickly and efficiently regarding the value (price) of those securities so that
no investor has an advantage over them. This notion, referred to as the efficient market hypothesis, is
discussed in detail in Chapter 9.
It is important to note, at this point, that financial markets are not always efficient.1 There can
always be factors (exceptions) that will permit an astute investor to exploit the market (or an asset)
and earn a higher (abnormal) return but only temporarily and not on a consistent basis. We refer
to such factors as anomalies. One can ask then, “How efficient are financial markets?” We will learn
that there are three types of market efficiency. But even if the markets are mostly efficient, there
will always be people who will not believe that asset prices are fair (correct), will employ different
investment strategies, or have a need of a professional to manage their portfolios. In an efficient
market, asset prices would be fair, only one investment strategy would be the best, and investors
would invest on their own. Again, we discuss these situations and more in Chapter 9.
Another role of financial markets is to enable individuals to shift their consumption patterns
over their lifetime. When individuals do not wish to consume all of their income in the present,
they can save a portion of it for consumption or investment in later periods. Furthermore, they can
select among the vast diversity of financial instruments with varying degrees of risk to invest in.
If an investor wishes to purchase stock in a company, then he is taking on more risk than simply
“parking” the money in a safe bank account. So, financial markets permit investors to spread or
allocate risk in their investment holdings depending upon their tolerance for risk. This issue is
further taken up in Chapter 3. The box on International Focus discusses the causes that created the
global financial market crisis of 2008. The box on Lessons of our Times highlights the issues that
financial institutions faced and contributed to the global financial crisis and discusses the lessons
learned from such an experience.
In sum, financial markets allow individuals to achieve a higher level of utility in the future than
would be possible in their absence. More discussion on these and other functions of the global
financial markets is offered in Chapter 4. Please see the box Applying Economic Analysis for an
example of how financial markets maximize the utility of individuals.
is done, at the same time achieving a low cost (per unit) of investing, is referred to as economies of
scale. The latter also generate huge advantages for small investors who obtain timely information on
their current and prospective investment choices.
MARKET FLASH
Are you realizing your objectives?
With student debt on the rise in the US, some young millennials (ages 22–28) are choosing to put off
four-year college and house purchases. Prospective students are considering other options, such as tak-
ing online classes and completing a two-year degree instead, and other millennials are delaying buying
homes because of high student debt.
Despite the 2018 market volatility, investors saving for retirement are not panicking but are stay-
ing focused on their long-term savings strategy. Other investment institutions report similar long-term
thinking and perspective among their customers in retirement accounts, suggesting a more disciplined
investment mindset.
Approximately half of Americans with children aged 18 or older have sacrificed or are sacrificing their
own retirement security in order to financially support their kids.
Institutional investors such as mutual funds, pension funds, endowment funds, insurance
companies, and banks, which provide investment services for a fee, also have objectives. For exam-
ple, mutual funds, which pool together individual investors’ funds and invest them on their behalf,
have specific objectives (called investment policies) for their business and are outlined in their
prospectuses. For example, an equity fund’s objective is to invest primarily in stocks and to provide
its customers with either high current income (or high dividend yields) and/or capital gains.
A bank’s objective is to maximize its earnings by earning a positive spread between lending and
borrowing rates. Finally, a life insurance company’s objective would be to earn sufficient funds to
meet future obligations for its policyholders.
Investors’ objectives vary among each group (retail and institutional) and can arise from
various factors. One factor, for the retail investor, is the investor’s age. Age can define an investor’s
objective by making him more aggressive or conservative in his investment choices. Simply put,
when individual investors are young, or at the early years of their productive and earning years,
they can tolerate taking some risks. The reason is that they have ample time ahead of them to not
only recoup any losses that would occur during their working life but also to increase their
expected rates of return. So, we can say that such investors have a high level of risk tolerance and
can be aggressive in their investment choices. At the other extreme, it is possible for a conserv-
ative investor to outlive his investment income because he was overly conservative! By contrast,
older individuals such as retired people cannot afford to assume much risk because they not only
have a smaller number of years left to live but also because they live on fixed incomes. So, for
these investors risk tolerance diminishes and they usually (tend to) invest in more conservative
securities.
Another factor is individual investor preferences. These include investments in human capital
(education and/or building up their earning power) or major purchases during the lifetime of the
investor. A great concern of individual investors during their prime working years is also protection
against risk (due to sickness or loss of employment). In this sense, individuals purchase insurance
as a hedge (or protection) against disability or death. Major purchases involve real assets, such as a
house, and financial assets, such as stocks and bonds. These investments are made possible by the
increase in the investor’s earning power over time and have become an essential element in an
investor’s portfolio. No wonder then that an entire financial industry (i.e., professional investors)
has emerged in order to assist these individuals with their investment choices by giving them advice
and/or managing investment accounts for them.
12 | INVESTMENT BASICS
individuals and companies in achieving their goals. We said above that once the client’s investment
policy statement is prepared, the next step is the construction of the actual portfolio (comprising
of the asset allocation and security selection steps) and finally an evaluation of the portfolio’s per-
formance. It is important to stress that the process does not stop there. Once the portfolio is built,
the manager (and the client) can’t just sit back and relax! Since investing is an ongoing process, the
portfolio must be continually monitored and adjusted, aligning it with the investor’s objectives and
constraints. This is a dynamic and systematic process that can be both simple and complex. We will
treat the investment (management) process in greater detail in Chapter 2.
What is the objective of the investment management process? First of all, recognize that pro-
fessional portfolio managers get paid for managing other people’s money and that their pay is
fee-based. This means that the more money a manager is handling, the greater the resulting fees
and the higher the manager’s salary. The objective of the portfolio manager is to use the inputs (i.e.,
funds, technology) as efficiently as possible in order to generate the greatest expected return pos-
sible for the client, given the constraints. The inputs are spelled out in the investor’s policy state-
ment and the constraints are the investor’s risk tolerance and preferences. Thus, the objective of
investment management is to maximize a client’s expected return given his risk constraints.
What could the future for investment management hold? Gary Brinson, a 35-year veteran
investment manager, argues that investment analysis and management will become more rigorous
in the future.2 In addition, the process of constructing global portfolios will change dramatically
becoming much more focused and specific. For example, country equity asset allocation will be
replaced by global sector or industry asset allocation. Furthermore, due to the fragmentation and
lumpiness of investment management, investment advisers (and their clients) need to be more
careful in recognizing the characteristics of the markets. He hopes that “investors will spend more
time on an organization’s investment philosophy, process and people than on past results and,
when analyzing past performance data, will apply statistically rigorous performance evaluation”.3
A recent book by R. Kahn on the future of investment management warns that the field is in a
state of flux, as active management is under pressure, with investors switching from active to index
funds; new financial products offer low-cost exposures to many active ideas; markets and regula-
tions have changed significantly over the past ten to 20 years; and data and technology are evolving
even more rapidly. He discusses various trends that have shaped the investment management field
including indexing, smart beta investing, and pure alpha investing that necessitate goals beyond
simple returns.4
There are numerous sources of information for investors on practically all sorts of investment
alternatives. Investors can read newspapers, navigate the internet, watch television, listen to the
radio, go to the library, or simply consult a company. When investors wish to obtain comprehen-
sive and structured information, they may visit a brokerage firm (such as Schwab, Goldman Sachs,
JPMorgan Chase) and pay a service fee. The brokers who offer such information are known as
full-service firms, whereas those who do not provide information to their clients but only transact
on their behalf are known as discount brokers. We will discuss these brokers and the sources of
information in detail in Chapter 6. Table 1.2 contains some sources of financial and economic
information an investor typically uses.
Despite the abundance of information (even public information), information is not free but
comes with a cost. Economic intuition will help us understand why information is costly. Theoret-
ically, an investor can collect enormous amounts of information about a specific security before
making a decision. But the gathering of information is costly in terms of time, money, effort, etc.
In addition, the amount of information will surely contain conflicting notions about the security
in interest and the investor may not be able (or knowledgeable enough) to ignore this “noisy”
information. Here, we assume that all available information may not be embedded in the current
asset’s price, which is why the investor searches for additional information (this is an important
topic on informational efficiency and financial markets and will be discussed at length in Chapter 8).
So the investor needs to balance the extra (marginal) cost of obtaining information with the mar-
ginal benefit of using the information before making a decision on the asset (to purchase, buy, or
hold it), among other things.
Here is an example. On average and on a consistent basis, money (mutual) funds managers
have been unable to beat the stock market, that is, to earn a higher return than the aggregate
market. Any informational advantage they (thought they) possessed was quickly dissipated
through the (global) investment community and thus eliminated any excess gains to be made.
This is true given the widespread availability of information and the speed with which such infor-
mation is transmitted. So, any additional information that you might have collected or uncovered,
as an individual investor, might not work to your benefit. We will explore this situation in greater
detail in Chapter 9.
How do you feel about investing on your own? If you think that you are not knowledgeable,
you are afraid or you are hesitant, do not despair! A recent study reveals that while 60% of affluent
millennials do not feel knowledgeable about investing, those who learned about investing before
they were 15 years old are twice as likely to feel like they understand the topic compared to those
who did not.5 Investopedia and Chirp Research surveyed 1,405 affluent Americans online, including
844 millennials aged 23–38. While the median household income for millennials in the US is
$69,000 a year, the Investopedia study talked to millennials with a median household income of
$132,000. But while this generation (and you, perhaps) may fear the (global) financial markets,
the evolution of investment vehicles has made investing easier for millennials than it was for their
parents.
So, where would you go to learn about investing, besides reading this textbook (among oth-
ers) and taking relevant finance courses? We discussed the sources of information above, but mil-
lennials also learn about investing and keep up-to-date with financial information by talking to
professionals. The above survey found that almost two-thirds of millennials believe financial advi-
sors are the most trusted source of financial advice and information. More than half also trust
financial information from books (58%), television shows (54%) and newspapers (53%). How-
ever, since you are a serious finance learner, you should always be cautious about investment (or
any, for that matter) advice! We will learn of the various ways unscrupulous investment advisors
and portfolio managers act in order to extract value from your investment portfolio. Simply by
using your common sense and equipped with some knowledge, you should be able to navigate
these uncharted waters.
1.6.1 Asymmetric information
The problem of asymmetric information arises when one party has more (or better) information than
the other party in a transaction. If the party with the additional information cannot reveal it to the
other party, then we have an inefficient allocation of resources. Consider a similar example of the
market for used cars, which highlighted George Akerlof’s award of the Nobel in Economics in 2001
and his famous paper titled “The Market for Lemons: Quality, Uncertainty, and the Market
16 | INVESTMENT BASICS
Mechanisms”, published in 1970. The potential buyer of a used car cannot know how the car’s
previous owner drove it or its exact condition. In this case, the seller of the used car has more
information that the potential buyer. The alternative would be to buy a similar used car from a
dealer. The price of the dealer’s used car would be higher than the price of the private person’s used
car. Only if you knew with certainty that these two used cars were nearly identical might you be
indifferent between the two cars. In some cases, asymmetry of information is powerful enough to
distort a market or shut it down completely.
Why is asymmetric information so crucial to an understanding of financial markets? Perhaps
because it is related to people’s needs for financial assets in the first place. People who trade financial
assets have no intrinsic desire for the asset itself, they only care about how its value will change in
the future. That means that while information is important for many products, when it comes to
financial markets, information is the product.
Why should asymmetric information be of concern, particularly for investors? First, because
asymmetric information poses significant problems to a firm’s shareholders. For example, manag-
ers usually have better information than investors about the (uncertain) prospects of a proposed
project. If the firm does not have sufficient funds internally to finance this project, it may be forced
to raise those funds from new investors (new shareholders). A conflict may arise in this case
because existing shareholders will be unwilling to share their portion of ownership with new
investors as they will suffer a dilution (or spread) of earnings as a result. In addition, managers may
have to give up an investment project that would potentially raise the wealth of both current and
new shareholders. Foregoing a potentially profitable project because of such conflicts is economi-
cally wasteful and results in an inefficient allocation of resources.
Second, asymmetric information generates two equally important (and related) problems for
firms and their stakeholders. One is adverse selection, which emerges when one person is more
informed about the qualities of a commodity than another person and, as a result, the other less
informed person runs the risk of purchasing the lower-quality commodity. For example, people
who purchase health insurance know more about their personal health than their insurance com-
panies. Furthermore, if these people have serious health problems, they will tend to buy more
insurance compared to other people who are relatively healthy. So if insurance companies are to
stay in business, they must price the provision of health care higher than average to reflect the costs
of the sicker people, on average. This pricing policy, in turn, may discourage average healthy indi-
viduals from purchasing health insurance, which implies market failure.
The second problem of asymmetric information is moral hazard. Moral hazard is closely related
to the agent-principal problem we discuss next. It arises when one party cannot effectively monitor
the actions of another party who is hired to do a job (say, a manager in a corporation). As a result,
the hired person has an incentive to shirk and/or work to benefit himself much more than his
employer.
Can you exploit asymmetric information to your advantage, as an individual investor? Perhaps.
Consider this example. You are researching to find companies that you wish to invest in and thus
you spend time, money, and effort to select among the thousands of possibilities. In order to have
a chance at success, you should be able to uncover something that other investors have not found
or simply do not know about. For example, if you look at the companies near where you live, it is
possible to know a bit more about them (for instance, how they conduct business with the public,
whether they give to the community, what their relationships with employees and suppliers are,
and the like) than investors who live far away. Thus, you have an upper hand on the publicly avail-
able information because you know a bit more about the company that is not published anywhere,
especially if you deal with it as a customer. Thus, by looking at such companies, you lower the cost
of your search (for information) but increase your marginal benefit from the extra information you
have. Thus you might profitably exploit such information asymmetry to your benefit, meaning that
if you invest in the company you might be rewarded. See the Market Flash box.
THE INVESTMENT FRAMEWORK | 17
MARKET FLASH
Reducing asymmetric information
Information asymmetry is adversely affecting all market agents and the competitive market in general,
and consumers have to make decisions based on partial and often biased information. But today, a grow-
ing number of companies arm consumers with the same information that businesses have long had. With
full information, consumers are able to see through marketing schemes, overpriced products, and inferior
goods and services, and they can then offer their business to the companies that offer the highest quality
offerings for the most reasonable price.
The auto industry is one such market in which buyers are increasingly gaining access to equal infor-
mation and being put on a more level playing field. With publications on the values of new and used cars
and appraisals services, consumers are now equipped to negotiate on more equal terms with the dealer.
The real estate market is another market in which consumers are gaining more access to information with
which to make more informed decisions. Realtors are now providing homebuyers with critical information
like average home prices by neighborhood, a property’s historic sale pricing, as well as details on similar
homes for comparison purposes.
Source: Huffpost.com
MARKET FLASH
Conflicts between managers and shareholders?
The Business Roundtable, an association of the most powerful chief executive officers (CEOs) in the US,
announced in August 2019 that the era of shareholder prevalence, the principals, is over. America’s cor-
porate leaders now believe that they can decide freely whom they serve. However, agents argue that
this decision is not for the principals to make. That American CEOs think they can choose their own mas-
ters attests not just to their own sense of entitlement, but also to the state of corporate America, which
has spread its power all over the globe. For example, JPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon, the chair of the Business
Roundtable’s own board of directors, served as both CEO and chair of the board of directors, in violation of
corporate-governance principles that recommend separating these two positions.
For CEOs, maximization of the share price is everything. Why, then, would CEOs come out against
a status quo that has allowed them to reign almost unchallenged, in favor of a stakeholder governance
model that puts employees and the environment on an equal footing with shareholders? The answer is
that share price primacy has ceased to protect CEOs in the way it once did and, most importantly, it has
become a threat. The emergence of powerful shareholder blocs has changed the corporate-governance
game as moving trillions of dollars of savings that need to be invested, institutional investors simply “rule”.
American CEOs seem to have concluded that best defense is a good offense. But if they are serious
about abandoning the shareholder-primacy model, they will need to engage in a variety of actions such
as public statements and legal reforms, particularly the measures needed to hold corporate directors and
officers accountable to the principals they serve.
claimed it had nonexistent accounts in US banks hiding its actual debt and transferring huge
amounts of money to the founder’s family business. The company’s CEO went to jail in Italy and
the company collapsed in 2004. In 2008, a wave of financial companies like Bear Stearns, Lehman
Brothers, and others filed for bankruptcy or were liquidated because they were involved in risky
securities in the housing industry and withheld those risks from their investors. These companies’
CEOs either were under federal investigation or indicted. A recent unethical behavior incident was
admitted by Wells Fargo’s CEO, John Stumpf, who in a congressional hearing in 2016 apologized
for the bank opening as many as 2 million bogus customer accounts that generated fees for the
lender. “I accept full responsibility for all unethical sales practices”, he said in the hearing. Finally,
another example of unethical behavior by one of Wall Street’s top brokers came to light in
2008/2009 which, as expected, burned many investors from a so-called Ponzi scheme. See Box 1.1
for details.
Other scandals involving a different kind of behavior rocked Wall Street in the 1990s. Account-
ing scandals involving the once-major accounting firm Arthur Andersen (in association with Enron
and other corporations), or investment banking scandals such as Credit Suisse First Boston and
Citigroup/Solomon Smith Barney banks. In Arthur Andersen’s case, the company was barred from
auditing companies’ books and was ultimately dissolved. Investment bankers assist a firm to go
public and launch a first-time stock offering called an initial public offering (more on that in Chap-
ter 6). The firms allocated shares to preferred clients as a quid pro quo for their investment banking
services. Several CEOs from these banks were indicted and sentenced to jail and/or required to pay
huge fines. A recent incident (as of October 2019) of unethical conduct involved the company
Infosys, where the US Securities and Exchange Commission cited anonymous whistleblowers (cur-
rent Infosys employees), who said they had evidence that senior executives oversaw irregular
accounting practices in order to boost the company’s short-term financial statements.
So what is being currently done to suppress future episodes of unethical behavior? Despite the
mechanisms already in place to deter such wrongdoings, such as being cast (forced) out, and the
increasing public outcry from consumers combined with the threat of activist investors, unscrupu-
lous people have always found (and, naturally, will continue to find) ways around the laws to
pursue their own self-interest. New laws have been enacted in recent years in response to these
waves of unethical board practices (now called crises in corporate governance) that have resulted in
severe financial crises, like the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, and the Securities and Exchange Com-
mission’s Fair Disclosure regulation put forth in 2000. The Sarbanes-Oxley Act created the Public
20 | INVESTMENT BASICS
Company Accounting Oversight Board to oversee the auditing of companies, and it made CEOs
personally responsible for certifying their firms’ financial reports. The SEC’s regulation prohibits
the dissemination of relevant information to outsiders, such as analysts, before it is made public.
The rationale for this is to quell biased analysts’ research in exchange for other services by the
company. A securities investor has some extra protection coming from the Securities Investor Pro-
tection Corporation (SIPC). SIPC is a nonprofit corporation that insures customer accounts (for up
to $500,000) with brokerage member firms against failure. An investor can seek damages from a
brokerage firm (that is, a firm that buys/sells securities on his behalf), if he is not happy with its
advice and services. This is done via arbitration before a major stock exchange body (the National
Association of Securities Dealers, NASD, as we will see in later chapters).
Finally, another way to deter such practices by professional managers and advisers is for the
investor to shun such organizations. In other words, investors should reward institutions which
apply ethical behavior or social investing and “punish” those that do not. As an example, investors
might want to avoid investing in firms that pollute the environment irresponsibly. An actual exam-
ple can be drawn from the 1980s, when US multinational corporations and other investors avoided
investing (or doing business) in South Africa (because of apartheid).
A related issue is socially responsible investing (SRI), which encompasses additional socially con-
scious investment activities such as those that do not harm the environment, that protect human
rights and that generally promote (and maximize) the social good. Investors concerned with SRI
are urged to avoid companies that pollute the environment, apply unfair labor practices, or engage
in unethical business practices. In general, socially conscious investors use three investment strate-
gies to maximize both their return and the social good: they remove their investment portfolios
from abuser firms (called screening), they take an active role in discussing general societal or busi-
ness-governance concerns (called shareholder activism), and they direct their investment activities
toward less-advantaged communities (known as community investing). According to the 2019
Report on Socially Responsible Investing Trends, “total US-domiciled assets under management using SRI
strategies grew from $8.7 trillion at the start of 2016 to $12.0 trillion at the start of 2018, an
increase of 38 percent. This represents 26 percent of the $46.6 trillion in total US assets under
professional management”.6
less likely to go bankrupt.10 ESG issues are a “hot topic” as money managers and other institutional
investors worldwide realize the value of these three items (environment, social conditions, and
corporate governance) for their clients and companies alike. It is no wonder that universities and
companies have dedicated vast resources to studying the trends in these items.
Overall, responsible investing is widely understood as the integration of ESG factors into
investment processes and decision making. ESG factors cover issues that traditionally are not part
of financial analysis and hence they need to be included in the decision-making process. This might
include how corporations respond to climate change, how effective their safety policies are in the
protection against accidents, how they manage their supply chains, how they treat their workers,
and whether they have a corporate culture that builds trust and fosters innovation.
United States
United Kingdom
one. Therefore the study of investments is a highly rewarding one for all practical purposes, ena-
bling you personally to feel good about making wise lifetime decisions.
education from a nonprofit institution called the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) Institute. Its
mission includes the establishment of a code of ethics and professional conduct, in which the guidelines for
appropriate professional investment behavior are outlined. Box 1.2 describes this organization’s
mission.
Next, the various sources of obtaining information on various investment instruments (vehi-
cles) as well as on the various financial institutions so as to compare among instruments and select
the ones that would (or should) offer you the best risk-return combination were discussed. Some
issues that arise because of the nature of a corporation such as asymmetric information, adverse
selection, and agency conflicts were also presented. The sources of asymmetry and its consequences
(and benefits) were explored. The discussion also involved the reasons why conflicts might arise
between managers and shareholders and between shareholders and creditors. The chapter con-
cluded with the question “Why should you study finance and investments?” We arrived at the
conclusion that such knowledge is not only useful for practitioners in the areas of investments,
capital markets, and corporate finance – the three interrelated areas of finance – but also for making
decisions in everyday life.
International focus
Causes and consequences of the financial crisis of 2008
The financial (credit) crisis of 2007/8 began in the US housing market; experts say that it started as a bub-
ble. This was because the real estate market in the US peaked in 2006, ending up with a sharp decline in
the values of the underlying securities. Therefore, the owners of such securities – the mortgage-backed
26 | INVESTMENT BASICS
securities and the collateralized debt obligations – who are scattered throughout the world, suffered
severe losses. In addition, the financial institutions that originated the mortgage loans and those who
owned such securities were equally damaged. Major US and European financial giants – like Lehman
Brothers, American International Group, Merrill Lynch, Freddie Mac – who owned such securities ended
up collapsing or being “taken over” by the government. The impact was immediately felt in the stock
markets worldwide which ended up collapsing. Investor trust in the global financial system was shattered.
Naturally the declines in equity markets impacted the real economy, as it hampered the ability of financial
institutions to extend further lending (financing) to economic agents (like households, businesses, and
the government), which slowed down economic activity and raised unemployment. Defaults by home-
owners and foreclosures on their properties rose to unprecedented highs in the US and spread through-
out Europe and Asia.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) estimated that banks in the US and Europe lost more than
$1 billion on such assets (termed “toxic assets”) from 2007 to mid-2009. According to IMF estimates, US
bank losses amounted to 60% and Eurozone (and British) to about 40%. Finally, many world political lead-
ers started massive efforts to shore up their financial markets in an effort to abate the crisis’s impact and
save their nations from default. However, some nations (like Greece) were forced to seek IMF assistance in
order to survive through this truly global financial crisis.
In general the financial crisis has brought into question national financial architectures as regards
systemic financial institutions and the evaluation of risks and vulnerabilities. The global nature of the
financial crisis has made it clear that integrated financial markets have benefits and risks, with huge global
economic consequences.
Source: Adapted from S. Claessens, G. Dell’Ariccia, D. Igan and L. Laeven, Lessons and Policy Implications from the Global
Financial Crisis, IMF Working Paper, February 2010.
THE INVESTMENT FRAMEWORK | 27
Key concepts
Investment is the sacrifice you currently make for the expectation of higher future returns
Opportunity cost is defined as the value of an activity that must be given up in order to engage in
another activity
Saving means sacrificing consumption today for greater consumption in the future
Real assets are tangible and can be used to produce a good or a service
Financial assets are intangible (or electronic entries) and represent claims on the revenues generated
from real assets or claims created by the government
A security is a legal claim on the revenue streams of financial assets or real assets
A common stockholder is an investor who owns a share in a company and each share entitles the owner
to one vote in the corporation’s important financial matters
Preferred stock, although an equity security, also has the characteristics of a debt security
Debt securities, or fixed-income securities, promise a known, fixed stream of payments periodically
until the end of their life (or maturity date)
Derivative securities, also known as contingent claims, are securities whose value is derived from (or
contingent upon) the underlying asset(s)
In general, an option entitles (or gives the right, but not the obligation to) its owner to buy (a call
option) or sell (a put option) something
A futures contract obliges the traders to buy or sell an asset at a prespecified price at a specified time
frame
A retail or individual investor is one that has a “small” amount of money to invest, whereas an
institutional is one who invests millions of dollars (or more)
Financial intermediaries are institutions that bring together lenders and borrowers of funds
Risk is defined as the probability that an adverse event is going to take place, or in the case of inves-
tors, that there could be an unexpected fluctuation in the rate of return of a security
A risk-loving investor is one who would take on a fair game (a fair game is one whose expected
payoff is zero)
A risk-averse investor is one who is reluctant to accept risk
A risk-neutral (or indifferent) investor is one who does not care much about risk
Individual and institutional investor constraints are either internally defined, that is, arising from
investors’ specific circumstances and needs, or are externally imposed
Taxes, the regulatory environment, liquidity, age, and the investor’s investment horizon are examples of
constraints
In order for an investor to achieve his or her objectives (given the constraints), it must be possible
to obtain adequate information on the available investment choices
The problem of asymmetric information arises when one party has more (or better) information than
the other party in a transaction
A principal-agent conflict arises when the agent does not pursue actions in the best interests of the
owners, as should be the ideal case
Adverse selection emerges when one person is more informed about the qualities of a commodity than
another person and, as a result, the other less informed person runs the risk of purchasing the
lower-quality commodity
Moral hazard is another problem of the principal-agent problem
28 | INVESTMENT BASICS
Unethical kinds of behavior by professional managers are typically found in the marketplace and
particularly in investments
Social responsibility refers to the efforts that businesses make in enhancing society’s welfare
Notes
1 See Justin Fox, The Myth of Rational Markets, HarperCollins Publishers, 2009.
2 Gary P. Brinson, The future of investment management, Financial Analysts Journal 61(4), July–August, 2005,
24–28.
THE INVESTMENT FRAMEWORK | 29
3 Ibid., p. 28.
4 Ronald N. Kahn, The Future of Investment Management, CFA Institute Research Foundation, 2018.
5 Joetta Gobell, Affluent millennials are economically optimistic, but afraid to invest, Investopedia, October 2,
2019. Joanna Campione, Most rich millennials don’t feel knowledgeable about investing, Yahoo!Finance,
October 6, 2019.
6 https://www.ussif.org/files/Trends/Trends%202018%20executive%20summary%20FINAL.pdf
7 Robert G. Eccles, Ioannis Ioannou and George Serafeim, The impact of corporate sustainability on organi-
zational processes and performance, Management Science 60(11), 2013, 2835–2857.
8 Mozaffar Khan, George Serafeim and Aaron Yoon, Corporate sustainability: first evidence on materiality,
The Accounting Review 91(6), 2016, 1697–1724.
9 https://www.bloomberg.com/professional/blog/global-sustainable-investments-grow-25-23-trillion/
10 https://hbr.org/2019/05/the-investor-revolution
Notes
1 John C. Bogle, Bogle on Mutual Funds, Irwin Publishing Company, 1994, p. 235.
2 http://www.sec.gov/investor/pubs/assetallocation.htm
3 B. Graham, The Intelligent Investor, Collins Publishing, 2005.
4 Benjamin Graham and Jason Zweig, The Intelligent Investor: The Definitive Book on Value Investing. A Book of Practical
Counsel, HarperCollins, 2008 edition.
https://jasonzweig.com/lessons-and-ideas-from-benjamin-graham-2/
5 John Reese, Warren Buffett’s investing formula revealed, Forbes.com, Oct 11, 2011.
6 B. Graham, The Intelligent Investor, Collins Publishing, 2005, p. 13.
7 B. Graham, The Intelligent Investor, Collins Publishing, 2005, pp. 18–20.
8 See D. Kahneman and A. Tversky, Subjective probability: a judgment of representativeness, Cognitive Psychol-
ogy 3(3), 1972, 430–454; A. Tversky and D. Kahneman, Availability: a heuristic for judging frequency and
probability, Cognitive Psychology 5(2), 1973, 207–232; W.F.M. DeBondt and R.H. Thaler, Do security analysts
overreact?, American Economic Review 80, 1990, 52–57; B.M. Barber and T. Odean, Trading is hazardous to
your wealth: the common stock investment performance of individual investors, Journal of Finance 55(2),
2000, 773–806; K.L. Fisher and M. Statman, Investment advice from mutual fund companies, Journal of
Portfolio Management 24(1), 1997, 9–25.
9 See Barron’s, The truth about timing, Nov 5, 2001.
10 It’s a good time to be in the market, R.M. Leary & Company, Dec 3, 2001 (press release).
11 Eric C. Chang, and Wilbur G. Lewellen, Market timing and mutual fund performance, Journal of Business
57(1), 1984, 57–72. Roy D. Henriksson, Market timing and mutual fund performance: an empirical
investigation, Journal of Business, 57(1), 1984, 73–96.
12 Burton Malkiel, The case for index funds, Mutual Funds Magazine, February 1999, p. 72.
13 For the combined approach, see Jack Treynor, Index funds and active portfolio management, Financial Ana-
lysts Journal, May–June 1974, 18.
14 Technically, you would need to invest for four weeks to earn that amount in one week using the average price.
15 Paul S. Marshall, A statistical comparison of value averaging vs. dollar cost averaging and random Invest-
ment techniques, Journal of Financial and Strategic Decisions 13(1), 1–13. P.S. Marshall and E.J. Baldwin, A statis-
tical comparison of dollar-cost averaging and purely random investing techniques, Journal of Financial &
Strategic Decision Making 7(2), 1994.
16 Karyl B. Leggio, and Donald Lien, An empirical examination of the effectiveness of dollar-cost averaging
using downside risk performance measures, Journal of Economics and Finance 27(2), Summer 2003, 211–223.
17 Michael, J. Brennan, Li Feifei and Walter N. Torous, Dollar cost averaging, Review of Finance 9(4), 2005,
509–535.
18 https://www.fidelity.com/learning-center/trading-investing/trading/avoiding-margin-account-trading-
violations
1 Caution is called for when we refer to the “total return” on an asset because we are ignoring several other
components that we will discuss in Part IV.
2 We will also encounter the term yield in the chapters on equities and debt where, for the latter, we offer a
slightly different definition.
3 Here we make an implicit assumption that the price in calculating HPY includes some additional compo-
nents such as accrued interest, but we will deal with that in the chapter on bonds.
4 There is one more very important metric, known as the Sharpe ratio, to judge the risk-return trade-off but
we will discuss it in a later chapter.
5 Ben S. Bernanke, Monitoring the financial system, Speech at the 49th Annual Conference on Bank Structure
and Competition, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, 2013. Jeremy Stein, Remarks at the Restoring House-
hold Financial Stability after the Great Recession Research Symposium, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis,
2013. Larry Fink, Chairman’s letter, Blackrock 2015 Annual Report, 2016.
6 Douglas W. Diamond and Raghuram G. Rajan, Illiquid banks, financial stability, and interest rate policy,
Journal of Political Economy 120, 2012, 552–591. Itamar Drechsler, Alexi Savov, and Philipp Schnabl, A model
of monetary policy and risk premia, Journal of Finance 73, 2018, 317–373.
7 Jaewon Choi and Mathias Kronlund, Reaching for yield by corporate bond mutual funds, Working Paper,
2016. Marco Di Maggio and Marcin T. Kacperczyk, The unintended consequences of the zero lower bound
policy, Journal of Financial Economics 123, 2017, 59–80. Aleksandar Andonov, Rob M.M.J. Bauer, and K.J.
Martijn Cremers, Pension fund asset allocation and liability discount rates, Review of Financial Studies 30, 2017,
2555–2595.
8 Lian Chen, Yueran Ma and Carmen Wang, Low interest rates and risk taking: evidence from individual
investment decisions, Working Paper, MIT, 2018.
9 Albert Ando and Franco Modigliani, The life-cycle hypothesis of saving: aggregate implications and tests,
American Economic Review 53(1), 1963, 55–84.
10 James Tobin, Liquidity preference as behavior towards risk, Review of Economic Studies, 25, 1958, 65–86.
1 https://us.etrade.com/what-we-offer/pricing-and-rates
2 https://www.wsj.com/articles/dark-pools-draw-more-trading-amid-low-volatility-11556886916
3 https://www.finra.org/about/what-we-do
1 If you insert the price for a 4-week bill into equation (1) and change n to 61 days, you will find the yield
of 1.569%.
2 See, Bankers’ acceptances: yesterday’s instrument to restart today’s credit markets?, Economic Synopses No. 5,
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 2009.
3 Mark Carlson and Burcu Duygan-Bump, The tools and transmission of Federal Reserve monetary policy in
the 1920s, FEDS Notes 2016-11-22, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US).
4 Late in 2010, the Fed proposed offering interest on such (short-term) bank deposits. The rationale was that
the Fed would be better able to control the federal funds rate and entice banks to restrict loans in times of
inflationary pressures.
1 Katherine, D. Spiess and John Affleck-Graves, Underperformance in long-run stock returns following sea-
soned equity offerings, Journal of Financial Economics 38(3), 1995, 243–267.
2 Tim Loughran and Jay R. Ritter, The operating performance of firms conducting seasoned equity offerings,
Journal of Finance 52(5), 2012, 1823–1850. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1540-6261.
1997.tb02743.x
3 For a complete list of such dealers, see https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/primarydealers
4 https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/knowledge/finance/ipo-process/
5 https://www.nyse.com/publicdocs/nyse/listing/nyse_ipo_guide.pdf
6 MMTec, Inc., through its operating entity, Gujia (Beijing) Technology Co., Ltd., provides comprehensive,
Internet-based technology services and solutions to the Chinese language-speaking hedge funds, mutual
funds, registered investment advisors, proprietary trading groups, and brokerage firms engaging in secu-
rities market transactions and settlements globally.
7 https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/mmtec-inc-announces-pricing-of-a-1-8-million-share-
firm-commitment-initial-public-offering-300775204.html
8 This example was from Vanguard’s Global Minimum Volatility Fund Summary Prospectus, Feb. 2019.
9 https://www.ipohub.org/costs-going-public/https://www.pwc.com/us/en/services/deals/library/
cost-of-an-ipo.html
10 https://www.forbes.com/sites/jayritter/2014/06/19/why-is-going-public-so-costly/#2c96bb9c4ff0
11 https://www.theguardian.com/business/2019/feb/28/aston-martin-sets-aside-30m-for-brexit-
as-revenues-rise
12 Jean Eaglesham and Eliot Brown, WeWork investors turned off by ‘sloppy’ IPO filings and information gaps,
Barrons.com, October 7, 2019.
13 IPO SYNDICATE vs SHORT SELLER: Just one day after a short seller slammed SmileDirectClub, all 10 banks
on its IPO rate it a buy, MarketWatch.com, October 8, 2019.
14 https://www.reuters.com/article/us-stocks-classaction/a-lawsuit-a-day-u-s-securities-class-actions-
soar-idUSKBN1FI2FM
15 https://www.icifactbook.org/ch3/19_fb_ch3
16 https://www.cefa.com/Learn/Content/CEF-Highlights-September-2019.fs
17 https://www.icifactbook.org/ch3/19_fb_ch3#equity
18 See SEC’s website, Mutual fund classes, www.sec.gov
19 FINRA’s website, Understanding mutual fund classes, www.finra.org
20 To get this value, first subtract the expense percentages from the growth rate: 0.08–0.0025 = 0.075. Then,
add 1 to it and raise it in the power of 45: (1+0.075)^45, which equals 28.7592. Finally, multiply this
value by $100,000 to get the ending value. Verify the value in the text with the 0.80% expense ratio.
21 Another tax issue is a wash sale. A wash sale is the repurchase of securities within a month after their prior
sale. For instance, if you own shares in a mutual fund whose value depreciated, you incur a paper loss (no
tax implication). But if you sold the shares you would realize a capital loss and thus you would reduce your
tax liability. So the purpose of a wash sale is to forbid the investor from converting a paper loss into a
realized loss by selling shares, reducing his tax liability, and them immediately repurchasing the shares.
22 Michael Jensen, The performance of mutual funds in the period 1945–1964, Journal of Finance 23(2), 389–
416, 1968.
23 Burton Malkiel, Returns from investing in equity mutual funds 1971–1991, Journal of Finance 50(2), June
1995.
24 M. Grinblatt and Sheridan Titman, Mutual fund performance: an analysis of quarterly portfolio holdings,
Journal of Business 62, 1989, 393–416.
25 William F. Sharpe, Mutual fund performance, Journal of Business 39(1 part 2), supplement 1966, 119–138.
26 Mark Gilbert, Sometimes investors should just run for the hills, Bloomberg, October 17, 2019.
27 Wall Street Journal, Monday, February 1, 2010, p. R1
28 Hailey Lynch, Sébastien Page, Robert A. Panariello, James A. Tzitzouris Jr. and David Giroux, The revenge
of the stock pickers, Financial Analysts Journal 75(2), 2019, 34–43. Itzhak Ben-David, Francesco A. Franzoni
and Rabih Moussawi, Do ETFs increase volatility? Journal of Finance 73(6), 2018, 2471–2535.
29 Andrea Riquier, Welcome to the adult table: SEC sets new ETF rules, Marketwatch, October 9, 2019.
30 Saqib I. Ahmed, SEC adopts new rules to level playing field for ETF providers, Reuters, September 26, 2019.
31 Jason Zweig, When funds lend stock, who gains?, Wall Street Journal, Sat.–Sun., 1–2 October, 2011.
1 Actually, others say that it was Mark Twain who first expressed that advice, but this is irrelevant to our
discussion.
2 Meir Statman, How many stocks make a diversified portfolio?, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 22,
September 1987, 355.
3 Bruno Solnik, Why not diversify internationally rather than domestically? Financial Analysts Journal, July 1974,
48–54.
4 The graph was generated in EXCEL using hypothetical data on a 60-asset portfolio with a standard deviation
of 30% and a correlation coefficient of 40%; then the same number of securities were used assuming that
they had a standard deviation of 25% and a correlation coefficient of 20% (to simulate the international
portfolio).
5 Nikiforos T. Laopodis, Portfolio diversification benefits within Europe: implications for a US investor,
International Review of Financial Analysis 14, 2005, 455–476.
6 See http://www.vanguard.com/pdf/icrieid.pdf
7 Harry M. Markowitz, Portfolio selection, Journal of Finance 7(1), 1952, 77–91.
8 Sébastien Page and Robert A. Panariello, When diversification fails, Financial Analysts Journal 74(3), 2018,
19–32.
9 D.B. Chua, M. Kritzman and S. Page, The myth of diversification, Journal of Portfolio Management 36(1), 2009,
26–35.
10 M.L. Leibowitz and A. Bova, Diversification performance and stress-betas, Journal of Portfolio Management 35(3),
2009, 41–47.
11 Please read Appendix A to this chapter for a review of regression analysis, which differs from correlation
analysis, and which will be useful in later chapters.
12 M. Cardinale, M. Navone and A. Pioch, The power of dynamic asset allocation, Journal of Portfolio Management
40(301), Spring 2014.
13 See Zvi Bodie, Alex Kane and Allan J. Markus, Essentials of Investments, McGraw-Hill, 2007, p. 134 for this
analysis of A.
14 Gary P. Brinson, L. Randolph Hood and Gilbert L. Beebower, Determinants of portfolio performance,
Financial Analysts Journal 42(4), July/August, 1986, 39–48; and Determinants of portfolio performance II: an
update, Financial Analysts Journal 47(3), May/June, 1991, 40–48.
15 Roger G. Ibbotson and Paul D. Kaplan, Does asset allocation policy explain 40, 90, or 100 percent of per-
formance?, Financial Analysts Journal 56(1), Jan/Feb, 2000, 26–33.
16 Roger G. Ibbotson, The importance of asset allocation, Financial Analysts Journal 66(2), 2010, 18–20.
17 William Jahnke, The importance of asset allocation, Journal of Investing 9(1), Spring 2000, 61–64.
18 Gary P. Brinson, L. Randolph Hood and Gilbert L. Beebower, Determinants of portfolio performance,
Financial Analysts Journal 42(4), July/August 1986, 39–48.
19 The variance of this portfolio, and its square root or its standard deviation, is found by substituting z and (1-z)
in lieu of the w’s (wH and wN weights) in equation (3) in Chapter 8, and recalling that the standard deviation
of the risk-free rate is zero and noting that its covariance with the risky asset (or portfolio) is also zero.
20 Paul A. Samuelson, Risk and uncertainty: a fallacy of large numbers, in The Collected Scientific Papers of Paul A.
Samuelson, ed. Joseph E. Stiglitz, MIT Press, 1966, 153–158.
21 If your version of EXCEL does not have Data Analysis in the Tools main menu, do the following: from Tools,
click Add-ins and select the Analysis Toolpaks-VBA. Then, return to Tools and you will see Data Analysis toward the
end of the drop-down menu.
1 We discuss behavioral finance extensively in the next chapter.
2 See E.S. Browning, The herd instinct takes over, Wall Street Journal, July 12, 2010.
3 This concept is related to Fisher’s separation theorem according to which an investor’s (consumer) decision
process takes place with production opportunities and capital market exchange opportunities and occurs
in two separate and different steps: first, the optimal production decision by taking on projects until the
marginal rate of return on investment equals the objective market rate is selected, and second, the optimal
consumption pattern by borrowing or lending along the capital market line to equate your subjective time
preference with the market rate of return is chosen. The underlying assumption is perfect and complete
capital markets. James Tobin, Liquidity preference as behavior towards risk, Review of Economic Studies 25(1),
1958, 65–86.
4 William F. Sharpe, Capital asset prices: a theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk, Journal of
Finance (September 1964), 425–552. This seminal article awarded Sharpe the Nobel Prize in Economics in
1990.
5 Richard Roll, A critique of the capital asset theory tests: Part I: on the past and potential testability of the
theory, Journal of Financial Economics 4, 1977, 129–176.
6 Eugene Fama and Kenneth French, The cross-section of expected stock returns, Journal of Finance 47, June
1992, 427–465.
7 Eugene Fama and Kenneth French, Multifactor explanations of asset pricing anomalies, Journal of Finance 51,
1996, 55–84.
8 Stephen A. Ross, Return, risk and arbitrage, in Risk and Return in Finance, I Friend and J. Bicksler, eds, Ballinger
Press, 1976.
9 Michael C. Jensen, Fischer Black and Myron Scholes, The capital asset pricing model: some empirical tests,
in Studies in the Theory of Capital Markets, Michael C. Jensen, ed., Praeger, 1972. Sanjoy Basu, Investment perfor-
mance of common stocks in relation to their price-earnings ratios: a test of the efficient market hypothesis,
Journal of Finance 32, 1977, 663–682. Marc R. Reinganum, Misspecification of the capital asset pricing:
empirical anomalies based on earning yield and market value’, Journal of Financial Economics 9, 1981, 19–46.
Eugene F. Fama and Kenneth R. French, The cross-section of expected stock returns, Journal of Finance 47,
1992, 427–465. Eugene F. Fama and Kenneth R. French, Common risk factors in the returns on bonds and
stocks, Journal of Financial Economics 33, 1993, 3–56.
10 Richard Roll and Stephen A. Ross, An empirical investigation of the arbitrage pricing theory, Journal of Finance
35, December 1980, 1073–1103.
11 Nai-Fu Chen, Richard Roll and Stephen A. Ross, Economic forces and the stock market: testing the APT and
alternative asset pricing theories, Journal of Business 59(3), July 1986, 383–403.
12 Phoebe Dhrymes, Irwin Friend and Mustafa Gultekin, A critical reexamination of the empirical evidence
on the arbitrage pricing theory, Journal of Finance 39(2), June 1984, 323–346.
13 Eugene F. Fama and Kenneth R. French, The cross-section of expected stock returns, Journal of Finance 47(2),
1992, 427–465.
14 Mark M. Carhart, On persistence in mutual fund performance, Journal of Finance 52(1), 1997, 57–82.
15 Eugene F. Fama and Kenneth R. French, A five-factor asset pricing model, September 2014. Fama-Miller
Working Paper. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2287202 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/
ssrn.2287202
16 William F. Sharpe, Mutual fund performance, Journal of Business 39(S1), 1966, 119–138. Jack L. Treynor,
How to rate management of investment funds, Harvard Business Review 43(1), 1965, 63–75. Michael C.
Jensen, The performance of mutual funds in the period 1945–1964, Journal of Finance 23(2), 1968,
389–416.
17 Fischer Black, Capital market equilibrium with restricted borrowing, Journal of Business 45, July 1972,
444–455.
18 Wayne Ferson, Investment performance evaluation, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, CenFis Working Paper
10–01, January 2010. Veronique LeSourd, Performance measurement for traditional investment: literature
survey, EDHEC Business School, France, January 2007.
19 Edwin Burmeister, Richard Roll and Stephen A. Ross. Using macroeconomic factors to control portfolio
risk, Working Paper, 2003.
20 Roger M. Edelen, Alan J. Marcus and Hassan Tehranian, Relative sentiment and stock returns, Financial Ana-
lysts Journal 66(4), 2010, 20–32.
1 Sanford J. Grossman and Joseph E. Stiglitz, On the impossibility of informationally efficient markets, Amer-
ican Economic Review 70, June 1980, 405.
2 The formula used to compute returns was the continuously compounded return, log(Current price/Previ-
ous price) x 100.
3 Richard Roll, R2, Journal of Finance 43, 1988, 541–566. David M. Cutler, James M. Poterba and Laurence H.
Summers, What moves stock prices, Journal of Portfolio Management 15, 1989, 4–12.
4 Steven L. Heston, Robert A. Korajczyk, Ronnie Sadka and Lewis D. Thorson, Are you trading predictably?,
Financial Analysts Journal 67(2), 2011, 36–44.
5 Mark Haug and Mark Hirschey, The January effect: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=
935154
6 Donald B. Keim, Size-related anomalies and stock return seasonality: some further evidence, Journal of Finan-
cial Economics 12, June 1983, 12–32.
7 Mustafa N. Gultekin and Bukent N. Gultekin, Stock market seasonality: international evidence, Journal of
Financial Economics 12, December 1983, 469–481. Lawrence D. Brown and Liyu Luo, The January barometer:
further evidence, Journal of Investing, Spring 2006, 25–31.
8 Gaert Rouwenhorst, International momentum strategies, Journal of Finance 53(1), 1998, 267–284.
9 Robert Shiller, Irrational Exuberance, Princeton University Press, 2nd edition, 2005.
10 William F.M. DeBondt, and Richard H. Thaler, Does the stock market overreact?, Journal of Finance 40, 1985,
793–805.
11 Robert Shiller, Do stock prices move too much to be justified by subsequent changes in dividends?, American
Economic Review 71, June 1981, 421–436.
12 Sanjoy Basu, Investment performance of common stocks in relation to price/earnings ratios: a test of the
efficient market hypothesis, Journal of Finance 32(3), June 1977, 663–682.
13 Marc R. Reinganum, Misspecification of the capital asset pricing: empirical anomalies based on earnings
yields and market values, Journal of Financial Economics 12, 1981, 89–104.
14 William Brock, Joseph Lakonishok and B. LeBaron, Simple technical trading rules and the stochastic prop-
erties of stock returns, Journal of Finance XLVII(5), 1992, 1731–1764. Robert Hudson, Michael Dempsey and
Kevin Keasey, A note on the weak form efficiency of capital markets: the application of simple technical
trading rules to UK stock prices – 1935 to 1994, Journal of Banking and Finance 20, 1996, 1121–1132.
15 Kuntara Pukthuanthong-Le, and Lee R. Thomas III, Weak-form efficiency in currency markets, Financial
Analysts Journal 64(3), May/June 2008, 31–52.
16 Tarun Chordia, Richard Roll and Avanidhar Subramanyam, Evidence on the speed of convergence to mar-
ket efficiency, Journal of Financial Economics 72, 2004, 485–518.
17 Nejar H. Seyhun, Insiders’ profits, costs of trading and market efficiency, Journal of Financial Economics 16,
1996, 189–212.
18 John C. Bogle and Rodney N. Sullivan, Markets in crisis, Financial Analysts Journal 65(1), Jan/Feb 2009, 17–24.
19 Eugene F. Fama and Kenneth French, Common risk factors in the returns of stocks and bonds, Journal of
Financial Economics 33, 1993, 3–56. Joseph Lakonishok, Andrei Shleifer and R. Vishny, Contrarian invest-
ment, extrapolation, and risk, Journal of Finance 50, 1995, 1541–1578.
20 Eugene F. Fama, Efficient capital markets: II, Journal of Finance XLVI(5), Dec 1991, 1575–1617.
21 Nicholas Barberis and Richard Thaler, A survey of behavioral finance, in Handbook of the Economics of Finance,
Volume 1, Part B, 2003, 1053–1112.
22 Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, On the psychology of prediction, Psychological Review 80, 1973,
237–251. Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, Choices, values, and frames, American Psychologist 39, 1984,
341–350.
23 William E.F. DeBond and Richard Thaler, Do security analysts overreact?, American Economic Review 80, 1990,
52–57.
24 Terrance Odean, Volume, volatility, price, and profit when all traders are above average, Journal of Finance 53,
1998, 1887–1934. Albert F. Wang, Overconfidence, investor sentiment and evolution, Journal of Financial
Intermediation 10, 2001, 138–170.
25 Hersh Shefrin and Meir Statman, The disposition to sell winners too early and ride losses too long, Journal
of Finance 40, July 1985, 777–790.
26 Jason Zweig, Investing experts urge “Do as I say, not as I do”, Wall Street Journal, January 3, 2009.
27 Robert J. Shiller, Stock prices and social dynamics, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2, 1984, 457–498.
Robert J. Shiller, Market Volatility, MIT Press, 1991.
28 Laurence H. Summers, Does the stock market rationally reflect fundamental values?, Journal of Finance 41,
1986, 591–601.
29 Jason Zweig, Investing experts urge “Do as I say, not as I do”, Wall Street Journal, January 3, 2009.
30 Alistair Byrne and Stephen P. Utkus, Behavioural Finance, Vanguard. Hamish Douglas, 10 cognitive biases that
can lead to investment mistakes, Magellan, July 2019.
31 N. Jegadeesh, and S. Titman, Returns to buying winners and selling losers: implications for stock market
efficiency. Journal of Finance 48(1), 1993, 65–91. N. Jegadeesh, Evidence of predictable behavior of security
returns, Journal of Finance 45(3), 1990, 881–898. W. DeBondt and R. Thaler, Does the market overreact?
Journal of Finance 40(3), 1985, 793–805.
1 Google 10-K report, Feb. 2010.
2 Joseph Lakonishok and Baruch Lev, Stock splits and stock dividends: why, who, and when, Journal of Finance 62,
1987, 913–932. Paul Schultz, Stock splits, tick size and sponsorship, Journal of Finance 55, 2000, 429–450.
3 Frank J. Fabozzi and Pamela Paterson Drake, Capital Markets, Financial Management, and Investment Management, John
Wiley & Sons, 2009.
4 E. F. Fama and K. R. French, Common risk factors on stocks and bonds, Journal of Financial Economics 33(1),
1993, 3–56.
5 J. A. Christopherson and C. N. Williams, Equity style: what it is and why it matters, in The Handbook of Equity
Style Management, 2nd edn, T. Daniel Coggin, Frank J. Fabozzi and Robert D. Arnott, eds., John Wiley & Sons,
1997, 9–10.
6 Ronald Q. Doeswijk, Trevin Lam and Laurens Swinkels, The global multi-asset market portfolio 1959–
2012, Financial Analysts Journal, 2014. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2352932
7 Cullen Roche, Is the global financial asset portfolio the perfect indexing strategy?, SeekingAlpha, Aug. 20,
2014. Cullen Roche, This is how the 2018 version of an efficient global investment portfolio looks,
MarketWatch, Jan. 4, 2018.
8 Michael Porter, Competitive Strategy, Free Press, 1980.
1 James Tobin, A general equilibrium approach to monetary theory, Journal of Money Credit and Banking 1(1),
1969, 15–29.
2 Another free, online source is Reuters (Reuters.com).
3 Of course, we could estimate it using actual data but we need to think how many years to go back and
whether to use weekly, daily, or monthly data. Different inputs yield different results.
4 Eric H. Sorensen and David A. Williamson, Some evidence on the value of dividend discount models,
Financial Analysts Journal 41(6), 1985, 60–69.
5 To obtain ROE from the survey, find the item referred to as Return on Shareholder Equity and to obtain the
dividend payout ratio find the item referred to as All dividends to Net Profits.
6 Franco Modigliani and Merton Miller, The cost of capital, corporation finance, and the theory of invest-
ment, American Economic Review 48, 1958, 261–297. Merton Miller and Franco Modigliani, Dividend policy,
growth and the valuation of shares, Journal of Business 34, 1961, 411–433.
7 Lal C. Chugh and Joseph W. Meador, The stock valuation process: the analysts’ view, Financial Analysts Journal
40(6), 1984, 41–48.
8 Glen D. Moyes, Brahim Saadounib, John Simon and Patricia A. Williams, A comparison of factors affecting
UK and US analyst forecast revisions, The International Journal of Accounting 36(1), 2001, 47–63.
9 S. Basu, Investment performance of common stocks in relation to their price-earnings ratios: a test of the
efficient market hypothesis, Journal of Finance 32(3), 1977, 663–682.
10 H. Levy and Z. Lerman, Testing P/E filters by stochastic dominance rules, Journal of Portfolio Management 11(2),
1985, 31–40.
11 S. A. Sharpe, Stock prices, expected returns, and inflation, Finance and Economics Discussion Series, 1999–02, 1999, 1.
12 Eugene F. Fama and William G. Schwert, Asset returns and inflation, Journal of Financial Economics, Nov. 1977,
129.
13 John Lintner, Distribution of incomes of corporations among dividends, retained earnings and taxes, Amer-
ican Economic Review 46(2), 1956, 97–113.
14 Merton Miller and Kevin Rock, Dividend policy under asymmetric information, Journal of Finance 40 (4),
1985, 1030–1051. Schlomo Benartzi, Roni Michaely and Richard Thaler, Do dividends signal the future
or the past?, Journal of Finance 52(3), 1997, 1007–1034. Gustavo Grullon, Roni Michaely and B. Swamina-
than, Are dividend changes a sign of firm maturity?’, Journal of Business 75(3), 2002, 387–424.
15 Eugene F. Fama and Kenneth R. French, Disappearing dividends: changing firm characteristics or lower
propensity to pay?, Journal of Financial Economics 60, 2001, 3–44. Gustavo Grullon and Roni Michaely, Divi-
dends, share repurchase and the substitution hypothesis, Journal of Finance 57, 2002, 1649–1684.
16 https://www.cnbc.com/market-strategist-survey-cnbc/
17 Michael Kamstra, Pricing firms on the basis of fundamentals, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Economic
Review, First Quarter 2003. Burton G. Malkiel, The efficient market hypothesis and its critics, Journal of Eco-
nomic Perspectives 17(1), Winter 2003, 59–82.
18 www2.standardandpoors.com
1 https://www.oecd.org/finance/Sovereign-Borrowing-Outlook-in-OECD-Countries-2019.pdf
2 J.Y. Campbell, R. Shiller and L.M. Viciera, Understanding inflation-indexed bond markets, Working Paper
available at http://kuznets.fas.harvard.edu/~campbell/papers/CampbellShillerViceira_20090503.pdf
3 M. Fleckenstein, F.A. Longstaff and H. Lustig, Why does the Treasury issue TIPS? The TIPS-Treasury bond
puzzle, NBER Working Paper number 16358, September 2010.
4 https://www.spglobal.com/en/research-insights/articles/u-s-corporate-debt-market-the-state-of-play-
in-2019
5 Ibid.
6 It is still possible for the investor to pay taxes (at all levels of government) on the imputed or not actually
received interest that accrues each year.
7 https://www.dealogic.com/insight/dcm-highlights-full-year-2018/
8 Ibid.
9 Antonio Velandia and Rodrigo Cabral, Why are more sovereigns issuing in euros?, The World Bank Group,
December 2017.
10 Read again the Appendix in Chapter 3 on Present/Future Value calculations.
11 For those students who want to be more mathematically savvy, here are the mathematical expressions for
PVIFA and PVIF: 1/r[1–1/(1+r)T] and 1/(1+r)T, respectively.
12 You can also find expanded tables either on the internet by doing a search or in any finance textbook.
13 You can also compute a bond’s price using EXCEL. The relevant EXCEL function is PRICE. Inserting the
above values along with the frequency input of 1 (for yearly payments or 2 for semiannual payments) you
can obtain the same number(s) above.
14 The easiest approach is to use EXCEL and its function of YIELD. Thus, for the example above type in the cells
1/1/2000 for settlement, 1/1/2009 for maturity, 10% for rate, 112.47 for price, 100 for redemption, 1 for frequency
(to denote yearly payments) and leave blank the basis input. Click OK to obtain 8%.
15 As with YTM, you can compute the YTC using the same EXCEL function substituting price for the call price.
16 F. Fabozzi, Bond Markets, Analysis and Strategies, Prentice Hall, 4th edition.
17 Ibid.
18 A. Estrella and Mary R. Tubin, The yield curve as a leading indicator: some practical issues, Current Issues in
Economics and Finance 12(5), Federal Reserve of New York, August 2006.
1 Christopher Blake, Edwin Elton and Martin Gruber, The performance of bond mutual funds, Journal of Business
56(3), 1993, 371–403. Vladyslav Sushko and Grant Turner, The implications of passive investing for
securities markets, BIS Quarterly Review, March 2018.
2 Frank Fabozzi, Bond Markets, Analysis and Strategies, 4th edition, Prentice Hall, 2000, p. 489.
3 M.J. Patterson, The biggest cause of tracking error in corporate ETFs, SeekingAlpha.com, March 4, 2011.
4 https://www2.investinginbonds.com/learnmore.asp?catid=6&id=390
5 Martin L. Leibowitz, Horizon analysis for managed bond portfolios, Journal of Portfolio Management 1(3), 1975,
23–43.
6 Martin L. Leibowitz and Alfred Weinberger, Contingent immunization–Part I: risk control procedures,
Financial Analysts Journal 38(6), Nov.–Dec. 1982, 17–32.
7 Note that as you directly type geomean in the function bar, do not forget to add the equal (=) sign before
the word.
8 Adrian W. Throop, Interest rate forecasts and market efficiency, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Economic Review, Spring 1981, 29–43.
9 Steven Katz, The price adjustment process of bonds to ratings reclassifications: a test of bond market effi-
ciency, Journal of Finance 29(2), May 1974, 551–559.
10 Steven G. Hall and David K. Miles, Measuring efficiency and risk in the major bond markets, Oxford Economic
Papers 44, 1992, 599–625. D. Cutler, J. Poterba and L. Summers, Speculative dynamics, NBER. Working
Paper No. 3242, Cambridge, Mass., January, 1989. R. I. Shiller, Market Volatility, MIT Press, 1989.
11 International Capital Market Association, Bond Market Transparency Standard–amended. Jan. 14, 2009.
12 Christopher Blake, Edwin J. Elton and Martin J. Gruber, The performance of bond mutual funds, Journal of
Business 56(3), 1993, 371–403.
1 www.cboe.com
2 The Options Institute.
3 Note that just like the daily absolute yield changes, the logs of the daily yield changes have a slight bias
toward lower yields.
4 John C. Cox, Stephen A. Ross and Mark Rubinstein, Option pricing: a simplified approach, Journal of Financial
Economics 7, 1979, 229–263.
5 Fischer Black and Myron Scholes, The pricing of options and corporate liabilities, Journal of Political Economy
81(2), May–June 1973, 637–654. Robert C. Merton, Theory of rational option pricing, Bell Journal of Eco-
nomics and Management Science 4(1), 1973, 141–183.
6 You can find these values in two ways: either look at the cumulative normal distribution tables (found in
all statistics textbooks) or seek the NORMDIST function in Excel. When using the tables, you may need to
interpolate (for accuracy). However, with the Excel function, just enter the exact number in X box, then
enter 0 for mean, 1 for standard deviation and type “true” in the cumulative box. Hit “OK” and you will
get the above values.
7 CBOE’s site (http://www.cboe.com/tradtool/ivolmain.aspx) offers a free service (calculator) for calculat-
ing the implied volatility of options.
8 Eric Ghysels, Andrew Harvey and Eric Renault, Stochastic volatility, in Statistical Methods in Finance, C. Rao and
G. Maddala (eds), Elsevier Science, North-Holland Series in Statistics and Probability, 1996.
1 www.nyse.com
2 www.tfx.co.jp/en/about_tfx/index_shtml
3 The Nodal Exchange is a US derivatives exchange providing price, credit, and liquidity risk management
to participants in the North American commodity markets. The Exchange has introduced the world’s larg-
est set of electric power locational futures contracts, as well as environmental contracts. Nodal Exchange
currently offers over 1,000 power and gas contracts on hundreds of unique locations, providing the most
effective basis risk management available to its energy market participants.
4 https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2019/09/18/business/financial-markets/electricity-futures-trad-
ing-japan-tokyo-commodity-exchange/#.Xef3spMzbIU
5 https://www.ft.com/content/f888af02-7c88-11e9-81d2-f785092ab560
6 As of 8:53 am and using the CNNMoney site.
7 To convert the dividends into points, you do the following: obtain the S&P 500 dividend yield, here
1.0345%, and multiply it by the S&P 500 spot index value, here 1,160. Obtain the value of 12 points. Then,
multiply these points by the days to expiration year adjustment (75/360) to derive the final dividend
conversion into points, or 2.5 points.
1 Daniel L. Thornton, Tests of covered interest rate parity, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, July/August 1989.
2 James R. Lothian and Liuren Wu, Uncovered interest rate parity over the past two centuries, Journal of Inter-
national Money and Finance 30(2), April 2011, 448–473.
3 B. Protess, Banks increase their holdings in derivatives, New York Times, Sept. 23, 2011.
4 International Monetary Fund, Global Stability Report, 2006.
5 D. Mengle, Credit derivatives: an overview, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Economic Review, fourth quarter
2007, 17.
6 H. Sender, Greenlight founder calls for CDS ban, Financial Times, Nov. 9, 2007.
7 P. Davies, Synthetic CDO equity investments, FT.com, July 31, 2006.
8 SEC report cites flaws at credit rating agencies, Yahoo!Finance, Oct. 2, 2011.
9 The REIT Story, REIT.com, Feb. 2011.
10 Jeffery R. Kosnett, Growing risk in REITs, Kiplinger.com, March 5, 2010.
11 Terry Pristin, A closer, and skeptical, look at nontraded REITS, New York Times, July 19, 2011.
12 F. Goltz and D. Schroeder, Hedge fund transparency: where do we stand?, Journal of Alternative Investments
12(4), Spring 2010, 20–37.
13 https://www.investor.gov/introduction-investing/basics/investment-products/hedge-funds
14 S. Bond and L. Johnson, Alternative asset pricing: momentum and the hedge fund puzzle, Journal of Alternative
Investments 13(1), Summer 2010, 55–71.
15 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-10-07/hedge-funds-post-the-best-performance-
this-year-since-2013
16 https://www.evidenceinvestor.com/third-quarter-2019-hedge-fund-performance-update/
17 https://www.wsj.com/articles/hedge-fund-performance-goes-from-bad-to-less-bad-11570413901
18 B. Protess, Think globally, deal locally, New York Times, Sept. 28, 2011.
19 Ibid.
20 Alternative Investments in Perspective, RREEF Research, A member of the Deutsche Bank Group, Sep. 2007.
21 https://www.eib.org/en/products/equity/infra-environment-funds/infrastructure-equity-funds.
htm?q=&sortColumn=_g_fundsInformation_vintageYear&sortDir=desc&pageNumber=0&itemPer
Page=25&pageable=true&language=EN&defaultLanguage=EN&_g_fundsInformations_fundType=infra
structure-equity-funds&or_g_fundsInformations_fundType=true&yearFrom=&yearTo=&orCountries=
true&orCountries.region=true
22 Rommel C. Gavieta, The global financial crisis, vulture funds, and Chinese official development assistance:
impact on Philippine infrastructure development, Journal of Structured Finance 16(2), 2010, 62–76.
23 M. Kassem and A. Shahine, Leveraging the Nile, Bloomberg Markets, Dec. 2010, 112–118.
24 C.A. Taylor and M. King, Investing in a vineyard? Beware grapes of wrath, The Guardian, Saturday April 23,
2011.
25 Christine Senior, The art of alternative investment, FTMandate.com, October 2010.
26 https://www.barrons.com/articles/art-funds-draw-few-investors-but-some-are-worth-a-look-
01556034302
27 Elan Weisz, Driving a tough bargain in the vintage car market, CNBC.com, Oct. 20, 2010.
28 Jack Shamash, Stamps do not always deliver top investment returns, Guardian.co.uk, August 6, 2010.
29 Barbara, Kollmeyer, From stamps to betting on life spans, Marketwatch.com, June 18, 2009.
30 https://hbr.org/2015/12/what-is-disruptive-innovation
31 https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-cryptocurrency-bill/u-s-proposes-barring-big-tech-companies-
from-offering-financial-services-digital-currencies-idUSKCN1U90NL
32 Jim Cunha and Colm Murphy, Are cryptocurrencies a good investment? Journal of Investing 28(3), 2019,
45–56.
33 E. Kostika and N. Laopodis, Dynamic linkages among cryptocurrencies, exchange rates and global equity
markets, Studies in Economics and Finance, 2019; https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/
SEF-01-2019-0032/full/html
34 Shaen Corbet, Andrew Meegan, Charles Larkin, Brian Lucye and Larisa Yarovaya, Exploring the dynamic
relationships between cryptocurrencies and other financial assets, Economics Letters 165, 2018, 28–34.
35 Dimitrios Koutmos, Return and volatility spillovers among cryptocurrencies, Economics Letters 173, 2018,
122–127.
36 https://www.cfainstitute.org/-/media/documents/support/programs/cfa/cfa-program-level-iii-fintech-
in-investment-management.ashx
37 https://www.cnbc.com/2016/01/19/10-things-investors-need-to-know-about-smart-beta.html
38 https://www.ubs.com/global/en/wealth-management/chief-investment-office/investment-opportunities/
longer-term-investments/2019/demographic-change-investment-opportunities.html
39 https://www.mckinsey.com/~/media/McKinsey/Industries/Financial%20Services/Our%20Insights/
The%20new%20Great%20Game%20in%20North%20American%20asset%20management/North-Amer
ican-asset-management-2018-vf.ashx
40 Robin Wigglesworth, Fidelity’s search for the technology of tomorrow, FT.com, Oct 20, 2019.
41 https://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/ch/Documents/financial-services/ch-fs-en-innovation-
in-private-banking-and-wealth-management.pdf
42 https://www.pwc.com/gx/en/asset-management/asset-management-insights/assets/pwc-awm-revolution-
pressure-on-profitability.pdf
43 The “Know thyself” maxim comes from ancient Greek meaning “know yourself” or do not think that you
know everything or are better than others. It was inscribed on the entrance of the Apollo Temple in Delphi,
Greece.
44 Sean D. Campbell and Francis X. Diebold, Weather forecasting for weather derivatives, Journal of the American
Statistical Association 100(469), 2000, 6–16.