Activity Immediate Predecessor(s) Time Estimates (Days) Optimistic Time Most Likely Time Pessimistic Time

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Class activity 3 : Company ABC has developed the tasks, durations, and predecessor relationships in the

following table.

Activity Immediate Time estimates (days)


predecessor(s) Optimistic time Most likely time Pessimistic time
A - 4 6 7
B - 1 2 3
C A 6 6 6
D A 5 8 11
E B,C 1 9 18
F D 2 3 6
G D 1 7 8
H E,F 4 4 6
I G,H 1 6 8
J I 2 5 7
K I 8 9 11
L J 2 4 6
M K 1 2 3
N L,M 6 8 10

Tasks:

1. Develop AON for critical path.


2. Calculate the probability of being done in 53 days.
3. What date results in a 99% probability of completion?

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