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1/09
Marcos Aguiar
Cameron Bailey
Arindam Bhattacharya
Thomas Bradtke
Jesús de Juan
Jim Hemerling
Kim Wee Koh
David C. Michael
Harold L. Sirkin
Carl Stern
Andrew Tratz
Kevin Waddell
Bernd Waltermann
January 2009
bcg.com
© The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. 2009. All rights reserved.
Introduction 6
David C. Michael
Senior Partner and Managing Director
BCG Beijing
+86 10 8527 9000
[email protected]
I
n our discussions with the CEOs and other senior To better understand these companies as a group, we
executives of industry-leading companies around have selected a sample of 100 global challengers for the
the world, there has been little surprise that a new 2009 BCG 100 New Global Challengers list. These compa-
wave of global challengers has emerged onto the nies represent a diverse group from many regions and
world stage. What has been a surprise—and often industry sectors. We interviewed many of their CEOs and
a shock—is that they have achieved leadership so quickly other senior executives to get an inside perspective on
in so many industries. In just two years, from 2006 to their international expansion strategies, future directions,
2008, the number of companies based in Brazil, China, and current challenges. This perspective, augmented by
India, and Russia on the FT Global 500 list more than additional research, has shaped our view into how chal-
quadrupled, from 15 to 62. And, like those high achievers, lengers are growing and changing in response to the cur-
many other companies based in rapidly developing econ- rent turbulent times in the global economy.
omies (RDEs) have set their sights on global markets.
The process by which RDE-based companies are attain-
The tremendous diversity of industries represented, busi- ing scale and moving into global markets is just begin-
ness models deployed, and strategies adopted by the ning. But the competition between global challengers
global challengers makes it difficult to generalize about and industry incumbents is already heating up. There
these companies. However, most challengers exhibit sev- will be winners and losers in both camps, particularly in
eral core characteristics that have played a key role in view of the current economic instability, volatile prices,
their development into contenders for global leadership. fluctuating exchange rates, and keen competition for cus-
These characteristics include their favorable starting posi- tomers, suppliers, raw materials, talent, and brand recog-
tions in RDEs―which gave them early privileged access nition. Those challenger companies that adapt fastest to
to high-growth markets, natural resources, and low-cost these tough times will find themselves in an advantaged
talent pools, as well as freedom from the burdens of cost- position as they continue on the path to leadership. Some
ly and aging legacy assets typical of companies in high- will end up being defeated by the powerful incumbents
cost, low-growth economies. The challengers’ ability to that dominate their industries—or displaced by new chal-
reach an initial position of strength in their home mar- lengers that are just setting out on their journey to be-
kets has provided a solid platform for growth. come global companies. Others will be unable to sur-
mount the tremendous risks of rapid global expansion or
A second shared characteristic of most challengers is the to repay the debt incurred in financing their aggressive
vision and will of their ambitious owners and founders, growth. The incumbents, for their part, must be vigilant
who have taken enormous risk in pursuit of global lead- about the competitive threat that the global challengers
ership. A third characteristic is the ability to reach outside pose to their businesses and must continually seek new
their home markets, to learn fast, and to adapt their busi- sources of advantage to sustain and enhance their leader-
ness models as needed. In the process, many choose in- ship positions.
ternational mergers and acquisitions (M&A) as a quick
path to developing globally competitive businesses.
T
he new global challengers are formidable Gazprom (Russia) is the leading producer of natural gas,
competitors. In many industries, they have and MISC Berhad (Malaysia) is the leading shipper of liq-
already reached global leadership positions: uefied natural gas. China Petroleum & Chemical Corpora-
several on our list rank among the top five tion (Sinopec) and PetroChina, a subsidiary of China Na-
in their industries in worldwide market tional Petroleum Corporation (CNPC), (both China) are
share. Moreover, it would be a misconception to assume among the top ten energy companies in the world in
that they have done so only by developing low-margin, terms of revenue.
export-oriented businesses. Many have succeeded in
highly sophisticated industries traditionally dominated Huawei Technologies and ZTE (both China) have
by large, incumbent multinational corporations (MNCs) emerged among the top telecommunications equipment
based in developed countries. Building on their RDE- manufacturers, and China Mobile (also China) is the top
based strengths, the challengers have moved boldly to telecommunications network provider in the world in
establish strong global operational footprints and distri- terms of subscriber base. In electronics manufacturing,
bution networks. Galanz Group, Johnson Electric, and Midea Group (all
three China) hold leadership positions in microwaves,
The rise of global challengers as industry leaders has small electric motors, and electric fans, respectively.
broad implications in their competition with incumbents.
This competition extends beyond just battling for market The challengers are no lightweights when it comes to lo-
share to include competing for talent and other resources gistics, either. Cosco Group (China) is one of the largest
across both developing and developed economies, her- shipping companies in the world; it also owns a sizable
alding a new era of what BCG has called “globality”—the stake in challenger China International Marine Contain-
current, radically different competitive environment that ers Group (CIMC) (China), the world’s largest manufac-
is being shaped in part by the arrival in global markets of turer of shipping containers. China Shipbuilding Industry
lean, ambitious, resourceful RDE-based companies that Corporation (CSIC) (China) is one of the world’s biggest
are largely unfettered by legacy issues or traditional ways shipbuilding companies. Likewise, China Communica-
of doing business.1 So it is critical to understand how chal- tions Construction Company’s subsidiary Shanghai Zhen-
lengers are rising to leadership positions in such a diverse hua Port Machinery (China) leads in manufacturing con-
array of industries and at such a rapid pace. Toward that tainer cranes.
end, take a look at some of their achievements.
Although none of the automotive challengers has yet be-
Some of the challengers are among today’s world leaders come a world-leading passenger-vehicle OEM in terms of
in the natural resources sector. Vale (Brazil) is the world
leader in iron ore and pellets. Basic Element (Russia) and
the Aluminum Corporation of China (Chalco) (China) are 1. For a groundbreaking discussion of globality, see Harold L. Sirkin,
James W. Hemerling, and Arindam K. Bhattacharya, Globality: Com-
world leaders in alumina production. Votorantim Group peting with Everyone from Everywhere for Everything (New York: Busi-
(Brazil) is among the top five producers of zinc globally. ness Plus, 2008).
T
he paths that challengers have taken to con- outdated assets or technologies left over from the past
tend for leadership have been as diverse as wave of globalization. Similarly, they have not generally
the challengers themselves. But a number been bound by entrenched agreements with suppliers,
of characteristics common to many chal- distribution channels, or labor unions. Moreover, they
lengers offer insights into the powerful forc- have been able to pick which (if any) high-cost, slow-
es underlying the emergence of these companies on the growing developed markets to enter: this advantage has
global stage. These characteristics include early advan- given them a great deal of flexibility in charting their fu-
tages as a result of their location in RDEs, the ambition ture course.
and determination to go for global leadership, and a will-
ingness to reach outside for rapid growth. Access to Low-Cost Labor Pools. RDEs benefit from low
labor costs, which give labor-intensive businesses based
Early Advantages there an often significant cost advantage over rivals based
in developed countries. Moreover, as some of the largest,
The business environments in the challengers’ countries fastest-growing, and most exciting companies in their
of origin have played a key role in their development. home countries, challengers typically provide compelling
The early advantages that the challengers have enjoyed career opportunities for new recruits, and some have de-
include privileged access to high-growth markets and re- veloped the ability to hire and train at lower costs than
sources, freedom from legacy assets in high-cost, slow- competitors.
growing countries, and access to low-cost labor pools.
Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories (India) cites several drivers for
Privileged Access to Markets and Resources. Protected attracting and retaining the best talent, including offering
or highly regulated market environments have given a better learning experience, giving people a sense of em-
challengers access to valuable natural resources or rap- powerment, and having a company culture that is valued
idly growing markets where there was initially little or no by employees. Providing career opportunities is also key;
threat from global competitors. Many challengers have Sinomach (China National Machinery Industry Corpora-
enjoyed success in their home markets (or export mar- tion) (China) states that, as a large-scale enterprise, it can
kets) by mastering their sources of competitive advantage offer employees the opportunity to make a real impact in
before globalizing their operations. They have been able the industry, which is an important attraction for re-
to “ride the wave” and rapidly build the scale necessary cruits.
to contend for leadership at a global level. Their govern-
ments have also, in some cases, provided some defense Global challengers also have the ability to hire and train
against incursions by global incumbents or challengers at lower cost than competitors. Nowhere is this more evi-
from other RDEs into their home territory. dent than in the IT sector in India, where talent manage-
ment is one of the critical levers of competitive advan-
Freedom from Legacy Assets. Unlike their established tage. For example, to attract the new employees it needs
rivals, the challengers have not needed to contend with in order to continue its impressive growth, Wipro (India)
Despite the aggressive expansion plans of the challenger Challengers are also increasingly working with outside
executives and their high tolerance for risk, few challeng- partners such as private-equity firms to make the most of
ers have adopted a go-it-alone strategy in their quest their M&A activity. These partnerships can constitute a
for global leadership. Most recognize the tremendous win-win relationship, with challengers providing opera-
opportunities available in the form of part- tional expertise and private-equity firms
nerships with incumbents and with other assisting with financing and regulatory ap-
challengers, acquisitions of companies be- Managing the M&A proval. Teaming up with a partner can also
yond their borders, and international man- process to maximize help overcome negative public relations
agement talent. The ability to reach beyond from a perceived foreign takeover. How-
home markets to leverage international ex-
value creation ever, such partnerships are no guarantee
perience and resources is a critical success is no easy task. of success. Huawei Technologies teamed
factor for many challengers. up with Bain Capital (United States) in a
bid for the U.S. networking-equipment
Partnering to Build World-Class Capabilities—Fast. company 3Com but was unable to win regulatory ap-
Often, the challengers fill any gaps in their capabilities by proval for the deal.
forming international partnerships with incumbents and
other challengers. These partnerships can range from Actions that companies take following the acquisition are
technology-transfer arrangements to sales and distribu- also critical. Wang Guoliang, CFO of Chinese oil company
tion agreements. Effective use of partners can help chal- CNPC, states that 20 percent of the risk occurs during the
lengers quickly overcome entry hurdles and tap into M&A process, whereas 80 percent comes during the post-
global markets. acquisition period. Accordingly, challengers adopt a vari-
ety of approaches to integrating companies once the
Using Acquisitions as a Quick Path to Global Leader- deals have closed. Some challengers prefer to minimize
ship. With their high tolerance of risk, challengers often disruption to acquired businesses, keeping existing man-
look to international M&A as a preferred way to gain agement teams in place and conducting limited, if any,
footholds overseas quickly. formal integration among existing companies. Tata
Group’s “light touch” strategy exemplifies this approach:
Of the 100 new global challengers in our list, those in the it relies on buying businesses with solid management
natural resources and metallurgy sectors and in the ser- teams already in place and minimizing interference in
vice sector were most likely to use M&A as a way of grow- company operations. This strategy has been one of the
ing the business. Challengers in those sectors conducted keys allowing Tata Group to grow into the largest RDE-
an average of 9.5 and 5.3 outbound deals, respectively, based diversified conglomerate in the world. Similarly,
between January 2000 and mid-2008. By contrast, chal- Vedanta Resources (India) does not conduct formal post-
lengers in the consumer durables sector (excluding auto- merger-integration activities but relies on executive dis-
motive OEMs and component suppliers) tended to rely cussions, workshops, and audits to ensure that subsidiar-
mostly on organic growth, with only 1.4 average deals per ies perform consistently with best practices developed
company during this time period. (See Exhibit 1.) within the group.
The global challengers’ hunger for value-creating M&A At the opposite end of the spectrum are companies that
deals is clear. However, while successful overseas M&A adopt a philosophy of systematically integrating acquired
can provide a launching pad for global leadership, failed companies, seeking to maximize synergies and share best
acquisitions can halt an otherwise promising challenger practices between acquiring and target organizations. For
in its tracks. Effectively managing the M&A process to example, Nemak (Mexico) has recognized the benefits
maximize value creation is no easy task. Grupo Bimbo that increased integration can confer. It launched an ini-
(Mexico), a baking company that relies heavily on acquisi- tiative in 2007 to integrate its previously acquired compa-
tions to grow its brand portfolio abroad, identified thor- nies under one roof.
189
200
0
Natural Industrial Services Fast-moving Consumer Total
resources goods consumer durables2
and and goods and
metallurgy automotive retail
Building Management Teams with a Global Outlook. ization acting in a governance role. Agility cites this ap-
Many challengers are working to globalize their manage- proach as a key source of competitive advantage, allow-
ment team by tapping into talent beyond their domestic ing the company to take on projects in emerging markets
markets. The boards of directors of challenger companies that competitors would find difficult to pursue. The trend
are already as international as those of most developed- toward international management teams is likely to con-
country MNCs, despite the fact that many challengers tinue as challengers globalize further. In the future, RDE-
have entered international markets only quite recently. based challengers are likely to surpass many incumbents
Some, such as Lenovo Group (China) and Tata Steel (In- in terms of the international character of their boards of
dia), have truly embraced the benefits of having interna- directors.
tional management teams and have integrated talent
from acquired companies into their top ranks. Agility (Ku- To better understand how the new challengers will affect
wait) has also built a highly international management the global business landscape, we look first to some of
team distributed across multiple headquarters around the front-runners among the global challengers—100
the world. These international managers are empowered companies that are aggressively contending for global
to take on risks and make big bets, with the central organ- leadership.
T
his year, as twice in the past, BCG has se- ◊ Agility (Kuwait) is one of the world’s top ten logistics
lected a list of 100 global challengers that service providers, with 2007 revenues of $6.3 billion, a
are already quite large, actively expanding presence in 100 countries, and very active cross-border
their businesses into overseas markets, and M&A activity. The company is composed of three in-
accessing global resources. We look to these terrelated business groups: Global Integrated Logistics,
companies’ innovative business models and recent suc- Defense & Government Services, and Investments.
cesses—as well as the challenges they face and the set- Agility has grown 127 percent annually since 2004,
backs they have overcome—to help us understand how when its revenues totaled $541 million.
challengers in general are growing and changing. (See
Exhibit 2.) ◊ Camargo Corrêa Group (Brazil) is one of the largest
conglomerates in Brazil, with activity in construction
In selecting this year’s list, we again went through a rigor- and engineering, footwear, textiles, infrastructure,
ous screening process to identify 100 companies that best building materials, and real estate; 2007 revenues of
exemplify the characteristics of global challengers. (For $6.4 billion; and a significant presence across Latin
details on that process, see the sidebar “Methodology for America, Spain, and Africa. Camargo Corrêa doubled
Selecting the 2009 BCG 100 New Global Challengers.”) in size from 2005 to 2007, and its international reve-
nues are estimated to be increasing even faster.
Newcomers to This Year’s List
◊ China National Chemical Corporation (ChemChina)
Regular readers of this report will note that 19 new com- (China) is a chemical company with estimated 2007
panies have displaced others from last year’s list. In most revenues of $14.5 billion. The company has experi-
cases, the companies that no longer appear on this year’s enced rapid growth at home and abroad, driven in part
list continue to be powerful contenders within their re- by significant overseas acquisitions. In 2007, ChemChi-
spective industries but are not growing their internation- na purchased Fibres Worldwide (United Kingdom) and
al businesses as rapidly as others on the list. Nonetheless, Rhodia Silicones (France). It also launched a multibil-
on average, the removed companies have continued to lion-dollar bid for Nufarm (an Australian farm-chemi-
grow revenues faster than their developed-country peers, cals group), which was not completed.
although some have been less aggressive overall in con-
tinuing their international growth. And a handful of com- ◊ Dalian Machine Tool Group (DMTG) (China) is the
panies that have undergone or are undergoing major re- largest machine-tool company in China, with 2007 rev-
structurings or potential changes in control have been enues of $1.4 billion. It has been actively buying and
removed from the list until their future structures become partnering with overseas machine-tool companies to
clear. gain access to proprietary technologies. DMTG pur-
chased two divisions from Ingersoll International USA
The 19 new additions to the BCG 100 New Global Chal- and acquired a majority stake in German machine-tool
lengers list for 2009 are the following companies: manufacturer F. Zimmermann.
As in past years, we generated this year’s BCG 100 list by fewer resources with which to mount aggressive globaliza-
employing a rigorous screening process. Our goal was to tion efforts. We looked at companies’ globalization poten-
identify companies that exemplify the characteristics of tial, seeking companies that already have track records of
global challengers. The countries of focus for this year’s globalization (as demonstrated by international revenues
report are located in Asia, Central and Eastern Europe, or large cross-border M&A deals) and companies with
the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), the Mid- credible aspirations to build truly global footprints rather
dle East, and Latin America. We did not include either the than pure export-processing models. We used several
newly industrialized economies in Asia (the “Asian Ti- scoring criteria to determine globalization potential, in-
gers”) or South Africa in the scope of this report. cluding each company’s international presence, the num-
ber and size of the international investments it had pur-
After defining the geographic scope of our search, we cre- sued over the past five years, its access to capital for
ated an initial master list of more than 3,000 companies financing international expansion, the breadth and depth
drawn from local rankings of the top companies based in of its intellectual property, and the international appeal of
each of these countries. We excluded joint ventures and its value propositions. Last, we looked at the size of each
companies with significant overseas equity holders. We company relative to other challengers and to incumbent
decided to include for consideration a few companies that MNCs in its industry in order to ensure that all the com-
are headquartered in financial capitals—London, Hong panies on our list are credible contenders for leadership
Kong, and Singapore—on the condition that these com- positions in their industries.
panies’ operations take place primarily in RDEs. These
companies were classified under the RDE in which their This process yielded a substantial list of candidate com-
operations are primarily located. panies. We based our selection of the final 100 on a com-
bination of the companies’ scores on our initial criteria
Next, we applied a set of quantitative and qualitative cri- and input from BCG’s industry experts around the world.
teria to the resulting list of companies. We deemed com-
pany size an important factor, as smaller companies have
◊ Dubai World (United Arab Emirates) is a diversified China, India, Saudi Arabia, and other countries. It fo-
holding company focused on transport and logistics, cuses primarily on emerging markets but entered the
drydocks and maritime, urban development, and in- United States in 2006 with the $1 billion purchase of
vestment and financial services, with more than 80 John Laing Homes.
companies operating in more than 100 countries. In
2006, Dubai World’s port-operating company DP ◊ Emirates Airline (United Arab Emirates) is a passenger
World purchased the P&O Group for $6.8 billion, mak- airline with a modern fleet, substantial international
ing it the fourth-largest port operator in the world. In growth, a rising position among global airlines, and
2007, Dubai World’s investment arm Istithmar World 2007 revenues of $10.6 billion. Except during its first
purchased prominent U.S. retailer Barneys and invest- three years in operation, Emirates has never recorded
ed significantly in the MGM Mirage. Its equity invest- an annual loss since its founding in 1985. As of Octo-
ment exceeds $2.6 billion. Dubai World’s real-estate ber 2008, it had 122 aircraft in service and firm orders
developer Nakheel built the iconic Jumeirah Palm in for another 174—a clear indication of its aggressive
Dubai and is currently adding more than 1,000 kilome- growth ambitions.
ters of coastline to Dubai with its projects.
◊ Etisalat (United Arab Emirates) is a telecommunica-
◊ Emaar Properties (United Arab Emirates) is a FT Glob- tions services provider with operations in 16 countries
al 500–listed real-estate and development company spanning Africa, Asia, and the Middle East, with 2007
with a highly global approach and 2007 revenues of revenues of $5.8 billion. Its continued acquisitions,
$4.8 billion. Emaar frequently uses joint ventures in its such as the 45 percent stake in Swan Telecom in India
investments; it has applied this strategy successfully in that it recently acquired for $900 million, clearly dem-
2
10 Consumer durables
Other1 17
◊ Food and beverage: 13
Fast-moving ◊ Textiles: 2
Russia 6 19 consumer goods
and retail ◊ Other: 4
Mexico 7
India 20 ◊ Logistics: 5
20 Services ◊ Telecommunications: 5
◊ Other: 10
◊ Automotive: 10
China 36 Industrial goods
31 ◊ Chemicals: 5
and automotive
◊ Electrical equipment: 5
◊ Other: 11
These strategies continue to be the primary methods by had created in less turbulent times. Nonetheless, they
which the challengers have expanded internationally. It continued to grow revenues rapidly in 2007 and early
is important to note that these strategies are not mutu- 2008 while maintaining superior levels of profitability.
ally exclusive―some of the challengers effectively em- They also wielded hefty purchasing power and exhibited
ploy several of them in their quest for global leadership. a healthy appetite for M&A deals, as well as a bold atti-
tude toward risk in general.
More than half of the new entrants to this year’s list em-
phasize the importance of turning RDE engineering into Value Creation During Economic Turbulence. The
global innovation or rolling out new business models to year 2008 was difficult for the challengers in terms of
multiple markets. Clearly, these remain prominent choic- value creation, as global economic turmoil took its toll on
es for emerging challengers as they go global. The new the companies’ formerly soaring stock prices. (See Ex-
natural-resources companies on the list globalize by ac- hibit 4.) The first ten months of the year saw the challeng-
quiring natural resources. Several challengers are assum- ers’ performance on total shareholder return (TSR) lag-
ing global category leadership in their fields, including ging behind their developed- and emerging-market peers,
Tata Chemicals, which achieved the number two position as measured by a market capitalization–weighted com-
globally in soda ash in 2008. United Spirits exemplifies a posite index of the 78 challengers that are publicly traded
company taking RDE brands global as it continues to ex- on major stock exchanges. Much of the underperfor-
pand the distribution of its portfolio of spirits brands in mance can be attributed to the significant declines in
both developed and emerging markets worldwide. stock prices of a few very large challengers, while the re-
maining challengers continued to perform well relative
A Snapshot of the BCG 100 to their peers. Many of the factors that contributed to the
challengers’ rapid growth over the past few years, such as
As a group, the 100 companies on this year’s list had a high leverage, are presenting new challenges as these
tough time creating the kind of value in 2008 that they companies adapt to highly volatile economic conditions.
1,200 100
900 75
600 50
300 25
0 0
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Nov Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov
2007 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008
Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct
2007 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008
1
Challengers MSCI EMI S&P 500
There will be both winners and losers from the list of 100 notably higher than the 14 percent average operating
challengers, and economic turmoil can provide a crucible profit of the S&P 500 companies. This high profitability
for defining those that will ultimately achieve and sustain plays a vital role in enabling the challengers’ overseas
global leadership positions. expansion.
Robust Revenues and Profits. The challengers’ revenues Hefty Purchasing Power. The global challengers are
grew at the impressive rate of 29 percent per year from making an impact along their entire supply chains. Many
2005 to 2007, reflecting their aggressive expansion. This companies that serve as their partners and suppliers are
outstanding performance significantly outpaced constitu- also benefiting tremendously from their rise. In view of
ents of the S&P 500, Nikkei 225, and DAX 30. (See Exhibit these 100 challengers’ $1.5 trillion in revenues, it is not
5.) In total, the challengers’ sales reached a combined surprising that they are also very large buyers of every-
$1.5 trillion dollars in 2007, of which more than $600 bil- thing from iron ore to paper clips. In 2007, these challeng-
lion represented sales outside their domestic markets. ers spent an estimated $600 billion to $800 billion on raw
This trend continued into the first half of 2008, when the materials, parts, and components, as well as $80 billion to
challengers’ revenue growth soared by close to 32 percent. $100 billion on services. This represents a significant in-
However, with the credit crisis constraining some chal- crease over their 2006 spending, caused in part by higher
lengers’ ability to finance new acquisitions, these growth commodity prices during this period.
rates will be difficult to sustain over the near term.
A Tremendous Appetite for M&A. In 2007, these 100
Moreover, challengers are not just competing for market challengers conducted at least 88 outbound M&A trans-
share at the expense of profits. In 2007, these 100 chal- actions—a significant increase from the estimated 19
lengers had an average operating profit of 17 percent— such deals they conducted in 2000. The average value of
Average operating
CAGR (%) margin (%)
40 30
25
30 29
20
17
20 15 14
17 17
10 8 8
10
5 5
0 0
BCG 100 S&P 500 Nikkei 225 DAX 30 BCG 100 S&P 500 Nikkei 225 DAX 30
the 2007 deals for which value was disclosed was quite bankruptcy. As of November 2008, 18 of the challengers
large, at nearly $600 million. (See Exhibit 6.) (Greenfield had either debt-equity ratios more than 30 percent above
investments and organic expansion also played a signifi- their industry peers or very low solvency ratios. Some
cant role in the challengers’ overseas growth, contribut- sustained sizable foreign exchange losses owing to the
ing approximately 70 percent of their international rev- sudden appreciation of the U.S. dollar in late 2008. These
enue growth in 2007.) factors, combined with tightened credit markets caused
by the economic crisis, threaten the very existence of
The target regions for the challengers’ outbound M&A some of the challengers that relied on high leverage to
deals vary widely. Europe is the M&A destination of sustain their growth during the boom years. Accordingly,
choice for challengers based in India and Russia, whereas it is likely that some challengers will need to restructure
Chinese challengers’ outbound M&A targets have been their businesses significantly in order to survive during
more geographically diverse, with 26 percent of their these difficult economic times.
deals in Europe, 26 percent in the United States and Can-
ada, and the rest widely distributed around the world. Often, challengers seek to minimize the risks inherent in
(See Exhibit 7.) Interestingly, however, despite the many M&A deals by purchasing minority stakes rather than ob-
examples of high-profile outbound deals from China, the taining outright control of acquired companies. The per-
36 challengers based there are less acquisitive as a group centage of challengers’ outbound deals resulting in a
than either their 20 Indian or their 6 Russian counter- majority stake declined from a high of nearly 84 percent
parts. Brazilian and Mexican challengers have made more in 2004 to just below 68 percent in 2007. M&A deals lead-
outbound M&A deals in Latin America than other chal- ing to minority stakes were most common in the natural-
lengers, and Brazilian challengers are also major acquir- resources and metallurgy sectors and in service sectors
ers in the United States and Canada. such as telecommunications. In many cases, companies
can fulfill their strategic objectives through minority-stake
A Bold Attitude Toward Risk. International expansion purchases without having to overcome the additional
is not without its risks, which most challengers have em- regulatory and integration hurdles that result from an
braced in their quest for global leadership. However, dur- outright acquisition. Outbound M&A is always risky, but
ing difficult economic times, this attitude toward risk can pursuing minority stakes can mitigate the possibility of a
easily backfire, sending companies into retreat or even failed postmerger integration.
0 0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Exhibit 7. The Regions in Which the Global Challengers Conduct Outbound M&A Deals
Vary Widely
Locations of outbound M&A targets for the 2009 BCG 100 Global Challengers
based in BRIMC countries, January 2005–mid-2008
Number of deals
80
67 65
60
43
40
40
29
20
0
Russia-based India-based China-based Brazil-based Mexico-based
challengers challengers challengers challengers challengers
I
ncreased pressures on several fronts—including tails higher freight costs, but production of synthetic soda
significantly more volatile costs, changes in gov- ash uses more energy. Tata Chemicals’ strategy has paid
ernment priorities, and the need for international off, as high energy prices in 2007 and early 2008 put in-
brand recognition and world-class R&D capabili- cumbents focused on synthetic soda ash at a cost disad-
ties—have not deterred the challengers from their vantage.
growth ambitions. As a group, they are responding to all
these pressures by adapting and strengthening their Similarly, high energy prices have caused other challeng-
businesses. ers to look more closely at opportunities to improve en-
ergy efficiency. Severstal states that energy efficiency is
Significantly More Volatile Costs beginning to play a very significant role in its business;
the company has several initiatives under way designed
From 2005 to early 2008, the challengers saw their oper- to improve on this dimension. Basic Element, too, has
ating margins buffeted by rising costs in several catego- launched a series of initiatives to improve energy effi-
ries. As a result, their average operating margins declined ciency at its production facilities.
from 18 percent in 2005 and 2006 to 17 percent
in 2007. Many RDEs registered significant increases in labor costs
in 2007 and 2008, and some regions experienced labor
Commodity price increases affected nearly every global shortages during this period. In response to these devel-
challenger in 2007 and early 2008, increasing costs for opments, some challengers, such as Basic Element, are
most and boosting profits for a select few. Many resource creating new educational programs to help attract and
owners benefited from record high prices, although some retain skilled manufacturing workers.
encountered significant profitability challenges. In 2007,
challengers in the manufacturing sector faced signifi- But it is nevertheless important to note that despite the
cantly higher costs for many materials, such as plastics recent wage increases in RDEs, the gap in labor costs be-
and steel, which they could not always pass on through tween RDEs and developed countries is still wide and
price increases. As commodity prices fell in late 2008, unlikely to close anytime soon. So RDEs should remain
concerns about high resource prices were supplanted by highly competitive as sites for labor-intensive industries.
the impending challenges posed by global economic in- Productivity gains in RDEs have also offset some of the
stability. labor-cost increases.
Challengers adopted various strategies to hedge against In addition to rising costs, currency appreciation in some
commodity price volatility. Tata Chemicals, for example, RDE countries hurt challengers’ international sales in
chose to produce a higher proportion of natural soda ash 2007. Some challengers’ currencies, such as the Chinese
to synthetic soda ash (60/40 compared with the world yuan, are governed by strict currency controls that
average of 30/70)―a clear departure from the strategy limit the challengers’ ability to address this risk through
typically pursued by incumbents. Natural soda ash en- financial hedges. The currency appreciation issue has af-
Diversifying Geographically. The challengers’ geo- Seeking Government Support. In some cases, challeng-
graphic expansion acts as an indirect hedge against both ers with strong support from national governments have
rising labor costs and exchange rate fluctuations. For in- used these relationships to help buffer their profits against
stance, although Lenovo is based in China, its manufac- cost increases. Sinopec, as the largest refiner in China,
turing plant network spans Europe, North America, South was able to offset some of the profit it lost because of
America, and Asia, effectively containing its risk from price controls on refined fuels thanks to government-
possible appreciation of the yuan. Similarly, Severstal bal- supplied subsidies. The opposite effect takes place in
ances its growth between developed and emerging mar- some developed countries, where politicians may seek to
kets as part of its risk-management approach, tapping impose windfall profits taxes on local incumbents in the
into the growth and cash-generation potential of the fossil fuels industry.
emerging markets as well as the stability and capability
development available from competing in the developed Changes in Government Priorities
markets.
One ever-present consideration in any RDE is the possi-
Optimizing Supply Chains. The challengers seek ways bility of changes in government policies. RDE-based gov-
to optimize their supply chains in order to reduce costs, ernments frequently revise their policies on trade, foreign
variability, and risk of disruption. Strategies may include direct investment, domestic subsidies, and industry re-
relocating manufacturing or assembly operations to low- structuring or consolidation. Challengers that are aligned
cost regions or closer to end customers. Some challengers with current government priorities stand to gain, while
opt to produce low-complexity components in low-cost those that are not must operate with caution.
regions and use plants in high-cost countries to produce
more complex components that require frequent interac- Most recently, as the global financial crisis began to un-
tion with customers. fold in late 2008, governments around the world respond-
ed by abruptly launching a range of regulatory programs.
Improving Productivity. Challengers are improving the These programs will have direct effects, both positive and
productivity of their operations both by investing in new negative, on challengers’ competitive positions. Indeed,
technologies and by reducing their labor resources or re- most challengers must respond simultaneously to multi-
allocating them to more effective use. Wipro, for example, ple government programs at home and abroad. Given the
has applied lean-manufacturing concepts to software de- extent of the financial crisis and the multiplicity of gov-
velopment, often generating efficiency improvements of ernmental responses, whole industries will be reshaped.
10 percent or more on individual projects. Thai Union It will be imperative for all challengers, regardless of
Frozen Products (Thailand) cites its continuous drive for home country or industry, to navigate these complex new
operational excellence as key to being a low-cost produc- circumstances effectively.
Exhibit 8. Despite Fast Growth in Patent Applications, RDEs Still Lag Far Behind
Developed Economies
+6%
40,000
35,000
+2%
10,000
T
he challengers find themselves at a cross- they face will more closely resemble those of the incum-
roads. They are expanding and building bents than those of other emerging challengers. Some
global businesses, while at the same time may go even further, creating a new definition for a glob-
their established MNC competitors are seek- ally transformed business.
ing a deeper foothold in the challengers’ at-
tractive home markets. Pressures are building, and the Segment Leadership. Many challengers may not be-
allure of entering developed markets—with their high come global leaders in the near future but will carve out
profit margins, high consumption levels, and wealth of profitable segments in which they can sustain competi-
talent and technologies—is counterbalanced by the tre- tive advantage in the long run. Some companies have
mendous growth opportunities in emerging markets, already benefited from the advantages that segment
both at home and abroad. Accordingly, challengers must leadership can bring, and they can build from these posi-
accelerate their decisions about where they want to build tions of strength. For example, while challenger Nemak
defensible competitive positions and where they want to trails behind automotive component titans such as Del-
become leaders. Failure to make these hard choices may phi and Bosch in overall revenues, it has built a leader-
leave them in an unsustainable position—neither glob- ship position in aluminum engine heads and blocks.
ally strong nor locally competitive.
A Defined Geographic Focus. Some challengers will fo-
Future Directions for Challengers cus either on other emerging markets or on developed
markets. Others will choose to develop strong regional
The choices that challenger-company executives make leadership positions and not to expand beyond those re-
about investing their scarce resources into both domestic gions. Sinomach currently focuses mostly on emerging
and overseas markets will drive their companies down markets, where its low-cost position gives it an advantage
very different paths. Accordingly, challengers should when it bids against developed-market competitors for
choose their aspirations carefully. Most will move toward projects. Suntech Power, in contrast, currently takes the
one of five outcomes: global industry leadership, segment opposite approach, exporting most of its solar-energy
leadership, a defined geographic focus, a return to the modules to developed countries that have strong markets
domestic market, or partnerships or other combinations for solar products.
with incumbents to build global powerhouses.
A Return to the Domestic Market. For many challeng-
Global Industry Leadership. Several challengers have ers, RDEs continue to be significant growth markets.
already joined the ranks of global leaders in their indus- Some may choose to refocus their efforts on capturing
tries; for many others, global leadership remains the goal. domestic market share before continuing their aggressive
Vale is already the global leader in iron ore and pellets, expansion abroad. In some cases, this choice will reflect
supplying steel companies all over the world. Similarly, a strong ambition to grow; in other cases, it will be a re-
Tata Tea is the number two producer of tea worldwide. sponse to a direct competitive threat by an incumbent or
As these companies continue to evolve, the challenges another challenger.
In June 2008, Japanese pharmaceutical company Daiichi markets. There will also be a convergence of the “generic”
Sankyo announced the purchase of a majority equity and “innovator” business models, enabling companies to
stake in Ranbaxy Laboratories, India’s largest manufac- better serve various customers and stakeholders in differ-
turer of pharmaceuticals. This deal marked the first sale ent markets. As strategic preparation for this convergence,
of a majority stake to an incumbent by any of the BCG 100 Ranbaxy decided to forge ahead and “shape the menu
new global challengers. We met with Malvinder Mohan rather than waiting and being forced to pick [a partner]
Singh, CEO and managing director of Ranbaxy, to better out of a limited set of options,” Malvinder Singh told us.
understand the strategic rationale for this deal.
Daiichi Sankyo was exactly the kind of partner Malvinder
Ranbaxy was the first multinational pharmaceutical com- Singh was looking for. Both companies recognized the tre-
pany based in India. It began to look overseas as early as mendous potential and synergies that a combination
the 1970s, when India’s economy remained largely closed could bring. Ranbaxy could leverage Daiichi Sankyo’s
and few pharmaceutical capabilities existed. The former deeply innovative R&D capabilities and its commercial
CEO of Ranbaxy, the late Parvinder Singh, recognized that presence in Japan and other developed markets. Daiichi
globalization was imperative if his young company were Sankyo would benefit from the low cost, efficiency, and
to develop a substantial position, given that the Indian global reach offered by Ranbaxy. To make this combina-
market constituted less than 1 percent of the global phar- tion successful, the companies decided to preserve each
maceutical market. Today, Ranbaxy has achieved an im- other’s strengths while collaborating on specific areas of
pressive global footprint with ground presence in 49 coun- synergy. As a result, Ranbaxy will continue to operate in-
tries, 2007 sales of $1.6 billion, and a formidable position dependently following the combination.
in the generics markets in the United States and Europe,
as well as in many emerging markets. Other challengers should weigh the benefits and risks of a
strategic combination with a developed-country incum-
The next wave of globalization, according to Malvinder bent, especially in industries in which global scale and
Singh, will see innovative products produced in emerging reach are critical to success.
Recent volatility in the global financial and commodity ◊◊ Clearly defined governance and responsibilities for each
markets and rapidly changing business environments are aspect of risk management
placing many challengers in precarious situations that
they had not fully anticipated. The issues posed by the ◊◊ Executive information systems that provide an inte-
challengers’ rapid expansion further compound the risks grated view of risks
they face. Regardless of the success of their underlying
business models, challengers need to develop world-class Companies can use strong enterprise risk management
enterprise risk-management systems to systematically to drive significant value creation. For instance, they can
identify risks (financial, legal, political, and other), evalu- use risk management to reduce the overall volatility of
ate their potential business impact, and develop mitiga- cash flows, allowing more effective use of capital and low-
tion strategies. Companies that do not develop such capa- ering the possibility of a financial crisis. In fact, risk man-
bilities remain exposed to issues that threaten to curtail agement can generate a net increase in cash flows overall,
their impressive growth. as events with negative value implications can be antici-
pated and actively managed. Incorporating risk manage-
A world-class risk-management system encompasses five ment practices can also play a strong role in defining com-
key characteristics: pany strategy, as executives have a clearer picture of
risk-return tradeoffs when making critical decisions.
◊◊ A clearly articulated risk policy that is aligned with com-
pany strategy
Not all industries are equally vulnerable to the challeng- tional positions, using either organic expansion or out-
es posed by RDE-based competitors. To assess your in- bound M&A?
dustry’s vulnerability, ask yourself the following ques-
tions: ◊◊ Do regulations make global product rollouts difficult?
◊◊ Is cost critical as a basis for competitive advantage? Can ◊◊ Are middle and lower-tier segments growing faster than
a low-cost competitor enter the market? high-end segments, lowering barriers to entry for non-
branded competitors?
◊◊ Are RDEs driving most industry growth, and is this
growth disproportionately benefiting local players? ◊◊ Is the pace of innovation relatively slow in the sector,
reducing the competitive advantage of established in-
◊◊ Is there a trend toward increasing diversity of customer cumbents?
needs and preferences across international markets?
◊◊ Are there incumbent competitors that could be take-
◊◊ Is there a risk that the value chain in the sector could over targets for fast-growing challengers?
be deconstructed or altered?
It’s likely that your company is already competing with ◊◊ How flexible is the company’s organization in reacting
one or more RDE-based challengers for market share at to new competitive threats?
home or abroad. To assess your company’s vulnerability
to disruption, ask yourself the following questions: ◊◊ Does the company have compelling value propositions
for the “next billion” consumers entering the middle
◊◊ Is the company’s cost structure competitive with chal- markets in RDEs?
lengers?
◊◊ How well developed is the company’s ability to acquire
◊◊ Is the company’s manufacturing footprint aligned with and integrate other companies in international
best-cost locations? markets?
Reinforcing Traditional MNC Strengths. Established MNCs Transforming the Business Globally. The steps outlined
still hold several competitive advantages that should not above may not be enough to guarantee success in the
be discounted. Chief among them are the existing posi- evolving competition with challengers. Some MNCs are
tions they have built with their brands, as well as existing exploring more radical approaches to tapping into RDE
investments in R&D and innovation that challengers can- markets and resources fast—even to the extent of relocat-
not easily replicate. In these two categories, the differ- ing entire divisions there. While the risks of this approach
ences between challengers and incumbents remain strik- should not be understated, these bold moves may also be
ing. Incumbents should not abandon these investments just what is needed to keep up with the rapid growth
in the rush to compete with new challengers from abroad; achieved by the global challengers operating in these
rather, they should reinforce them and position them as markets.
a core part of their response strategy. This approach will
become especially important as incumbents and chal- Gain advantage during difficult times. Rather than be-
lengers clash increasingly in middle markets—those of- coming overly preoccupied by short-term business pres-
ten underserved market spaces between the high-end sures caused by difficult economic times, incumbents
premium segments historically dominated by incumbent should recognize the tremendous opportunity that such
MNCs and the low-cost value segments in RDEs often times represent. These are the times when the rules of
occupied by challenger companies. the game can be changed.
Leveraging RDE Opportunities to Improve Your Cost Base. Incumbents should look for opportunities to buy attrac-
Although costs in many RDEs are rising, those costs are tive challengers or other RDE-based companies in order
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