The National Institute of Finance: Providing The Data and Tools Needed To Safeguard The U.S. Financial System

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The National Institute of Finance

Providing the Data and Tools Needed to


Safeguard the U.S. Financial System
Allan I. Mendelowitz
[email protected]
The Committee to Establish
the National Institute of Finance

AEI Conference on Systemic Risk Regulation


June 3, 2009
Current Regulation

Conceptual flaws in the current approach


Failure to define and monitor systemic risk
The whole is greater than the sum of the parts
Regulating individual institutions does not regulate the
financial system overall
Excessive focus on GAAP measures of capital
Accounting capital is a poor measure of solvency
Backward looking versus forward looking
Inadequate focus on probability of insolvency
Insufficient attention to leverage, cash flows and liquidity

Committee to Establish the National Institute of Finance


www.ce-nif.org 2
Current Regulation
Weaknesses in implementation
Inadequate data
Lehman decision
Response to Madoff allegations
Insufficient capacity for risk analytics
401k QDIA safe-harbor decision of 2007
Gaps between regulators reports and financial condition
OFHEO solvency report, July 2008
Over-reliance on industry for critical analysis
NRSROs: conflict between rating agencies role and issuers
Internal risk models (e.g., Basel II, stress tests)
Model risk: misspecified/misused models (e.g., VaR)

Committee to Establish the National Institute of Finance


www.ce-nif.org 3
Current Regulation
Current data-collection hodge-podge
Regulators doing their best,
but seriously constrained by:
Scope of authority
Inability to exploit
economies of scale
Result:
Stove-piping of data and
analytics
Limited and infrequent
data collection

Committee to Establish the National Institute of Finance


www.ce-nif.org 4
Systemic Regulation

Public debate has focused on:


The identity of the systemic regulator
Authorities of the systemic regulator
On- versus off-exchange trading of derivatives
Absent from the debate is a discussion of:
Data requirements
Analytic capacity requirements
How regulators will measure and manage systemic risk

Committee to Establish the National Institute of Finance


www.ce-nif.org 5
Introducing the National Institute of Finance

Mission
The National Institute of Finance, as an
independent federal agency, will maintain a
national repository of financial transaction
and entity position data, and offer the
analytical capacity to take full advantage of
that information.

Committee to Establish the National Institute of Finance


www.ce-nif.org 6
Introducing the National Institute of Finance

Mission
The National Institute of Finance, as an
independent federal agency, will maintain a
national repository of financial transaction
and entity position data, and offer the
analytical capacity to take full advantage of
that information.

Committee to Establish the National Institute of Finance


www.ce-nif.org 7
Federal Financial Data Center (FFDC)
The FFDC will collect and manage transaction and position
data for U.S. based financial entities and their affiliates:
Develop and maintain standards for reporting
transaction and position data
Database of legal entity identifiers
Database of financial products
Data format for reporting individual transactions and
positions
Collect, clean, and maintain transaction and position
data in a secure database
Provide regulators access to the databases
Provide access to aggregated and/or delayed data to
improve market transparency

Committee to Establish the National Institute of Finance


www.ce-nif.org 8
Introducing the National Institute of Finance

Mission
The National Institute of Finance, as an
independent federal agency, will maintain a
national repository of financial transaction
and entity position data, and offer the
analytical capacity to take full advantage of
that information.

Committee to Establish the National Institute of Finance


www.ce-nif.org 9
Risk Analytics

Data does not by itself constitute useful information.


Analytical capability to develop systemic risk metrics
Monitor system-wide risk levels and patterns
Benchmark industry risk measures and facilitate regulatory
risk assessments of individual financial entities
Analytical support for policy makers
response to financial emergencies,
after-action analyses of market disruptions (analogous to NTSB)
Provide advice to Executive and Congress, as requested
Scientific research into financial markets
Support regulatory policy
Continuously improve systemic risk regulation

Committee to Establish the National Institute of Finance


www.ce-nif.org 10
Structure and Governance
NIF structure and governance
Independent agency
corporate culture of quantitative analysis
Non-appropriated funding
able to pay above-Title V salaries
Five-member commission
appointed by President, Senate confirmation
Advisory board of financial regulatory leaders

Committee to Establish the National Institute of Finance


www.ce-nif.org 11
Realization

Some things that appear impossible are merely difficult

Committee to Establish the National Institute of Finance


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Realization

There is an alternative. Do you really want to go there?

Committee to Establish the National Institute of Finance


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Thank you!
www.ce-nif.org

Committee to Establish the National Institute of Finance


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