Public Copy Burglary Oct 13

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HU UN OL EP NT LI PA TE IC AR ER CE RT RS E DE TM SV ME VI EN IL NT LL T LE E PO

9630 Julian Clark Ave P.O. Box 664 Huntersville, N.C. 28070 (704) 464-5400 Fax (704) 947-9200

MONTHLY CRIME BULLETIN Burglary October 2013 Activity Summary: There were four (4) burglaries reported in October 2013. There were twenty-one (21) burglaries reported during the same time frame in 2012. This is an 81% decrease from 2012 to 2013. Three (3), or 75%, of the incidents involved construction site locations. Three (3) incidents, or 75%, involved non-forced entry. Four (4) incidents, or 100%, were discovered on a Friday. Three (3) incidents, or 75%, were discovered between the hours of 0800 1159. Historically, HPD has an average of 18 burglaries during the month of October with a current threshold of 14 to 22. This October, we were well under the threshold with 4 reported burglaries. Forecast for November: The average number of burglaries for the month of November is 22 plus or minus 9. By the end of November, there is a 68% chance HPD will have received between 13 and 31 reported B&Es/burglaries.

Prepared by: L. Rooks, Crime Analyst

BURGLARY October 2013

Geographic Analysis
Number of Crimes per Location

Location Commercial Residential Residential out building Construction Site Other

# 3 1 0 0 0 4

% of total 75% 25% 0% 0% 0% 100%

Incidents by Response Area

Zone 9211(W1) 9212(E1) 9213(W2) 9214(E2)

# 1 0 0 3

% of total 25% 0% 0% 75%

100%

Incidents by District

District East West

# 3 1 4

% of total 75% 25% 100%

Temporal Analysis
# of Incident/Day at Found Time Crimes Found by 4hr Intervals

Day Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday

# 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 4

% Total 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 100%

Time Period 0000-0359 0400-0759 0800-1159 1200-1559 1600-1959 2000-2359

# 0 0 3 1 0 0 4

% per Allocation 0% 0% 75% 25% 0% 0% 100%

Modus Operandi Analysis


Forced or Non-forced Entries Method of Entry

Entry Type Forced Unforced Unknown

# 1 3 0 4

% of total 25% 75% 0% 100%

Method Force Door Force Window Cut Hole in Fence Pry/Cut Lock Key No Force Other/Unknown

# 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 4

% of total 25% 0% 0% 0% 0% 75% 0% 100%

Point of Entry

Means of Entry

Point of Entry Door (Front) Door (Back) Door (Side)


Door to out bldg Door to Garage

# 3 1 0 0 0 0 4

% of total 75% 25% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%

Window Other/Unknown

Means Bodily Force Brick/Rock Pliers Hammer Blunt Object Cut Tool Pick Tool Pry Tool No Force Unknown Other

# 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 0 4

% of total 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 25% 75% 0% 0% 100%

Monthly Crime Analysis for October 2013 Burglary


Date From 10/4/13 10/3/13 10/3/13 10/3/13 Time From 0935 1800 1800 1800 Date To 10/4/13 10/4/13 10/4/13 10/4/13 Time To 1203 1130 1100 1100

Zone 9211 9214 9214 9214

Case # 20131004120300 20131004115002 20131004122600 20131004122604

Street Taunton Dr Vanguard Pky Vanguard Pky Vanguard Pky

Incidents per Month 2012 Compared to 2013 Month October October Year 2012 2013 # of Incidents 21 4 % Change

-81%

Comparison of # of Incidents in October to # of Incidents in November over time Month Year # of Incidents Month Year # of Incidents Mean October 2007 17 November 2007 22 19.5 October 2008 21 November 2008 19 20 October 2009 18 November 2009 18 18 October 2010 25 November 2010 15 20 October 2011 13 November 2011 13 13 October 2012 21 November 2012 27 24 Standard Deviation from Mean in incidents # for 2007-2012 +-3.5 Standard Deviation for change in incidents # b/w October & November:

# Change by Month +5 -2 0 -10 0 +6 +-5.7

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