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Europe and America: The End of the Transatlantic Relationship?

2019, European Security

Given the current geopolitical situations in Europe and the United States, Europe and America: The End of the Transatlantic Relationship? is both timely and insightful. Both the United States and the European Union are on foreign policy trajectories that were, until 2016, unexpected. This is true as regards their general foreign policy as well as their foreign policy vis-à-vis one another. Throw into the mix the (at present, unconcluded) departure from the European Union of one of the US' staunchest allies, a revanchist Russia, a rising China, continued instability in the Middle East and Africa and the fact that the US and the EU do not always see eye-toeye on these issues, and the future of the relationship becomes increasingly difficult to predict. And yet, attempting to predict the future of the US/European relationship is one of the two stated purposes of this book. The first purpose is to help the reader "better understand which variables determine the foreign policies of" Europe and America through a 10-case study comparison. Through this case-study comparison, the authors hope to accomplish the second purpose, "to try to foresee the future of transatlantic relations" (p. 2). To accomplish these purposes, the editor, Federiga Bindi, rightly diversifies the case study countries to include four "big" European countries (Germany, France, Italy, the United Kingdom), two "midsize" European countries (Poland, Spain), two "small" European countries (Czech Republic, Denmark), and finish up with two of Europe's primary influencers/partners: the United States as the primary focus of this work, and its primary rival on the continent, Russia. The editor not only diversifies the cases, but also allows the authors considerable flexibility in their approach and structure with four important results. First, the reader is able to identify common trends across the countries and regions. For example, France, Italy and Spain are all lukewarm toward NATO, while the UK, Poland, Denmark and the Czech Republic all strongly favour NATO involvement on the continent. Germany is somewhere in between (more on this later). Some of this is historical (de Gaulle's uneasy relationship with the US and the UK, and Denmark being one of the stalwarts within NATO), and some of it is much more political (domestic opposition to NATO campaigns in Spain is equally rivalled by domestic support for NATO in the Czech Republic). Regardless of the cause, the book highlights key generalisations such as regional geopolitical preferences vis-à-vis the US. Second, and following on from the first, the diversity in content and structure allows the reader to get a sense of the complexity facing the US if they are to maintain a strong relationship with Europe. The diversity of interests across Europe means that the US, in maintaining a strong relationship with Europe, will also be more closely tied with troubles in northern and sub-Saharan Africa, the Middle East, the Balkans, and the rising influence of Russia and China within Europe. Where the US may be involved with some of these issues anyway (specifically the Middle East, Russia and China), the book really highlights the potential magnification and diversification of such tensions that, were the US to draw down their relationship with Europe, do not necessarily need be. That's a tempting proposition to a US that, under current President Donald Trump, is unabashedly "America first". Third, the diversity does allow for some predictability as regards the US/European relationship going forward. This is because most relations between the US and the individual case EUROPEAN SECURITY

European Security ISSN: 0966-2839 (Print) 1746-1545 (Online) Journal homepage: https://www.tandfonline.com/loi/feus20 Europe and America: The End of the Transatlantic Relationship? Jeremy W. Lamoreaux To cite this article: Jeremy W. Lamoreaux (2019): Europe and America: The End of the Transatlantic Relationship?, European Security, DOI: 10.1080/09662839.2019.1649253 To link to this article: https://doi.org/10.1080/09662839.2019.1649253 Published online: 11 Aug 2019. Submit your article to this journal Article views: 4 View related articles View Crossmark data Full Terms & Conditions of access and use can be found at https://www.tandfonline.com/action/journalInformation?journalCode=feus20 EUROPEAN SECURITY BOOK REVIEW Europe and America: The End of the Transatlantic Relationship?, edited by Federiga Bindi, Washington, DC, Brookings Institution Press, 2019, 315 pp., $44.99 (paperback), ISBN: 9780815732808 Given the current geopolitical situations in Europe and the United States, Europe and America: The End of the Transatlantic Relationship? is both timely and insightful. Both the United States and the European Union are on foreign policy trajectories that were, until 2016, unexpected. This is true as regards their general foreign policy as well as their foreign policy vis-à-vis one another. Throw into the mix the (at present, unconcluded) departure from the European Union of one of the US’ staunchest allies, a revanchist Russia, a rising China, continued instability in the Middle East and Africa and the fact that the US and the EU do not always see eye-toeye on these issues, and the future of the relationship becomes increasingly difficult to predict. And yet, attempting to predict the future of the US/European relationship is one of the two stated purposes of this book. The first purpose is to help the reader “better understand which variables determine the foreign policies of” Europe and America through a 10-case study comparison. Through this case-study comparison, the authors hope to accomplish the second purpose, “to try to foresee the future of transatlantic relations” (p. 2). To accomplish these purposes, the editor, Federiga Bindi, rightly diversifies the case study countries to include four “big” European countries (Germany, France, Italy, the United Kingdom), two “midsize” European countries (Poland, Spain), two “small” European countries (Czech Republic, Denmark), and finish up with two of Europe’s primary influencers/partners: the United States as the primary focus of this work, and its primary rival on the continent, Russia. The editor not only diversifies the cases, but also allows the authors considerable flexibility in their approach and structure with four important results. First, the reader is able to identify common trends across the countries and regions. For example, France, Italy and Spain are all lukewarm toward NATO, while the UK, Poland, Denmark and the Czech Republic all strongly favour NATO involvement on the continent. Germany is somewhere in between (more on this later). Some of this is historical (de Gaulle’s uneasy relationship with the US and the UK, and Denmark being one of the stalwarts within NATO), and some of it is much more political (domestic opposition to NATO campaigns in Spain is equally rivalled by domestic support for NATO in the Czech Republic). Regardless of the cause, the book highlights key generalisations such as regional geopolitical preferences vis-à-vis the US. Second, and following on from the first, the diversity in content and structure allows the reader to get a sense of the complexity facing the US if they are to maintain a strong relationship with Europe. The diversity of interests across Europe means that the US, in maintaining a strong relationship with Europe, will also be more closely tied with troubles in northern and sub-Saharan Africa, the Middle East, the Balkans, and the rising influence of Russia and China within Europe. Where the US may be involved with some of these issues anyway (specifically the Middle East, Russia and China), the book really highlights the potential magnification and diversification of such tensions that, were the US to draw down their relationship with Europe, do not necessarily need be. That’s a tempting proposition to a US that, under current President Donald Trump, is unabashedly “America first”. Third, the diversity does allow for some predictability as regards the US/European relationship going forward. This is because most relations between the US and the individual case 2 BOOK REVIEW study states is somewhat predictable. The US and UK will continue to have something of a “special” relationship. The US and France will continue in their tepid, though grudgingly accepting, relationship. Denmark, Poland, and the Czech Republic will continue to support extensive US involvement in Europe, while Spain and Italy will continue to be so consumed with domestic political instability as to view the US/Europe relationship as of secondary importance. Russia and the US will continue in their icy glare-down, while China will continue to lengthen its tendrils throughout Europe in its non-aggressive, but no-less invasive, practice of investing everywhere and in everything. The fourth, and perhaps the largest (but largely un-emphasised), take away of the book is just how central Germany is in US/European relations. The book’s laissez-faire structure does not mandate a focus on any one key issue or player. Nonetheless, Germany comes up as a key player time and again. Not only is there a chapter focused entirely on Germany, but the chapters on the UK, France, Poland, Denmark, the Czech Republic and Russia also shed considerable light on the importance of Germany within Europe and, as such, on any future relations between the US and Europe. With functioning relations with the US, Russia and China, as the primary economic player within the EU, and with working relations with all of the other states mentioned in the book, the future of US/Europe relations may well hinge on US/German relations. However, the emergence of Germany as one of the key predictors of US/Europe relations going forward highlights how the book’s laissez-faire approach is also the book’s primary weakness. This is obvious in three different contexts. First, the common trends identified in the first point above are not readily obvious. They are there to be seen, but the book could do much more to make these trends obvious. Second, and as a specific example of this, the reader has to do some extra leg-work to realise just how important Germany is for US/European relations. For such a key point, it is not emphasised nearly enough throughout the text. In fact, this trend is not even mentioned in the introduction, the conclusion, or the chapter on Germany. But a reading of the book makes it obvious that this ought to be one of their key findings. Third, the book’s title focuses on Europe and America, yet America/the US is a secondary focus for most of the chapters, and barely registers in others. Perhaps this is indicative of US/Europe relations but, if so, the authors need to really highlight that perception. Additionally, even the conclusion has only a small section on potential future relations with the US, and that section is not even the largest section in the conclusion (this honour goes to future European relations with the Middle East). When abstracting the summary of the individual chapters, the section in the conclusion that actually analyses the future of US/European relations is also smaller than the section summarising European relations with Russia. Again, this is all potentially indicative of future relations, but the book needs to make that clear and emphasise, and re-emphasise, this perception. Unfortunately, it does not. Finally, let’s conclude with the two primary purposes of the book: to understand the variables governing future US/Europe relations and to foresee the future of the relationship. Does the book accomplish these two objectives? As regards the first objective, the book succeeds admirably. The 10 case studies illustrate that the relationship is extremely complex because of the differing geopolitical, strategic, historical and economic interests of so many different European states. However the relationship looks in the future, if it is to remain on a positive footing, it will take delicacy, compromise, goodwill, and a healthy dose of dedication and understanding from all sides. As regards the second purpose, to attempt to foresee the future of the relationship, the book falls just short. Perhaps this is because of a decision on part of the authors to stop short of any predictions (which tend to be the remit of political commentators, spin-doctors, and politicians rather than academics). However, this conjecture aside, the primary reason for this shortcoming EUROPEAN SECURITY 3 is the weak structure of the book. The editor mentions in the Foreword that the book started as a comparison between EU member-states’ foreign policies and the foreign policy of the EU. It only later became an attempt to comment on future US/European relations. While the editor made a very admirable attempt to re-direct the focus of the book, the individual chapters seem to have missed the memo (as evinced by the lack of commentary about the US in individual chapters, as mentioned above). Consequently, the editor could not make any substantial predictions about the relationship in the conclusion simply because of the inconsistent consideration about individual states’ relations with the US. In conclusion, the book is still very much worth a read. The content and insight are both firstrate, even if not sufficiently focused on the US/European relationship and, if willing to put in the effort to extrapolate from the content, the reader may still be able to make some predictions about the US/European relationship going forward. Jeremy W. Lamoreaux Brigham Young University – Idaho, Rexburg, USA [email protected] © 2019 Jeremy W. Lamoreaux https://doi.org/10.1080/09662839.2019.1649253