Examining framings of
geoengineering using Q
methodology
Rose Cairns
Climate Geoengineering Governance Working Paper Series: 002.
Published online 6 June 2013
Climate Geoengineering Governance (CCG)
Climate Geoengineering Governance
(http://geoengineeringgovernanceresearch.org) is a research project which aims
to provide a timely basis for the governance of geoengineering through robust
research on the ethical, legal, social and political implications of a range of
geoengineering approaches. It is funded by the Economic and Social Research
Council (ESRC) and the Arts and Humanities Research Council (AHRC) - grant
ES/J007730/1
CGG Working Papers
The CGG Working Paper series is designed to give a first public airing to a wide
range of papers broadly related to the project’s themes. Papers published in this
series may be, but are not necessarily, early outputs from the project team;
equally they may be from other authors, and reflect different perspectives and
different issues from those directly pursued by the project itself. The aim is to
promote vigorous and informed debate, in a spirit of pluralism.
What the working papers have in common is that they will all be at an early
stage of development, prior to full publication. Comment and response, at any
level of detail, is therefore doubly welcome. Please send all responses in the
first instance to the authors themselves - each paper contains a correspondence
address. We will be looking for opportunities to use the website or other project
activities to give a wider airing to any dialogues and debates that develop
around a paper or issue.
About the author
Rose Cairns (
[email protected]) is a research fellow at SPRU – Science
and Technology Policy Research, at the University of Sussex. Her primary
research interests are in environmental politics and governance, participatory
research methods and discourse analysis, and the theory and practice of
interdisciplinary research for sustainability. Rose completed her PhD on
conservation politics on the Galápagos Islands from Leeds University in 2012.
She also holds an MSc in Conservation and Biodiversity from Exeter University,
and a BA in Social Anthropology from Cambridge University. Prior to her recent
roles in academia Rose worked for a number of years in environmental
campaigning and the voluntary sector.
Examining framings of geoengineering using
Q methodology
Rose Cairns
SPRU – Science and Technology Policy Research
University of Sussex
June 2013
Abstract
Despite (or perhaps reflecting) widespread awareness of its ambiguity, the term
‘geoengineering’ has in recent years become massively more prominent.
Academic, policy and civil society circles routinely use this term to describe,
support or oppose a diverse range of techniques and ideas. This study aims to
contribute to understandings of ways in which variously envisaged approaches to
‘geoengineering’ of the global climate are currently being framed. It asks not
only about variously viewed implications of geoengineering itself, but also what
these diverse framings can reveal about wider politics in contemporary debates
around climate change, science and technology. The paper applies Q
methodology to analyse geoengineering as a subjective discursive construct, the
bounds of which are continually negotiated and contested. 35 participants from
a variety of disciplinary and institutional backgrounds in the UK, US, Canada and
Japan undertook a ‘Q sort’ of 48 opinion statements about geoengineering
between December 2012 and February 2013. Four distinctive framings emerged
from this analysis, labelled: ‘At the very least we need more research’; ‘We are
the planetary maintenance engineers’; ‘Geoengineering is a political project’;
and ‘Let’s focus on Carbon.’ Results indicate a strong polarity around
divergently-construed pros and cons of geoengineering as a whole –
underscoring the political salience of this term. But additional axes of difference
suggest a more nuanced picture than straightforward pro/anti positioning. The
ambiguity of the term is argued to offer interpretive flexibility for articulating
diverse interests within and across contending framings. The paper questions
whether increasing terminological precision will necessarily facilitate greater
clarity in governance discussions or public engagement, and argues that the
merits of any given form of precision will depend on particular framings. Much
ambiguity in this area may thus be irreducible, and hence the challenge lies
rather in realising the wider implications of the political pluralities this reveals.
Introduction
This paper explores divergent societal framings of variously-envisaged
approaches to ‘geoengineering’ of the global climate (henceforth
geoengineering). A diverse array of technologies are commonly referred to as
geoengineering, including those that have been collectively labelled as solar
radiation management methods (such as stratospheric aerosol injection and
marine cloud brightening), and those referred to as carbon dioxide removal
methods (such as ocean iron fertilization, or direct air capture) (Shepherd et al.
2009). Although the term geoengineering has become increasingly prominent in
discussions of these approaches in scientific, policy, and civil society circles,
there is evidence of a growing sense that the label itself may be so broad and
ambiguous as to be unhelpful, or even incoherent. Thus the recent report from
the IPCC ‘expert meeting on geoengineering’ draws attention to the ‘fuzzy’
boundary between geoengineering and other approaches to dealing with climate
change, and suggests that ‘because of the longstanding ambiguity surrounding
the term geoengineering … the individual methods discussed might be referred
to more specifically’ (Edenhofer et al. 2012, p.3). This refrain about the need to
look at different technologies and approaches separately runs through many
other reports on geoengineering, and yet many of them (like the IPCC report)
retain the word geoengineering in their titles (Shepherd et al. 2009; GAO 2010).
In one such report by the US think tank, the Bipartisan Policy Centre (Long et al.
2011), debates around whether the term geoengineering ‘was too
imprecise…[or] too controversial’ (Sarewitz 2011, p.7), actually resulted in the
appearance of the additional (equally imprecise) term ‘climate remediation’
being used alongside geoengineering in the title. Given the widespread
awareness of the ambiguity of the term, and the difficulties this poses for
meaningful governance, is it the case that the term geoengineering can be said
to have simply outgrown its usefulness? Or is it that, as has been argued to be
the case for terms such as ‘sustainability’ or ‘sustainable development’ (Baker et
al. 1997) it is the very ambiguity of the terms that might make them particularly
useful to certain actors and give them a resilience they might not otherwise have
had?
In this study rather than seeing ambiguity as ‘a linguistic veil which can be lifted
to reveal the truth’ (Rydin 1999, p.468), and attempting to remove it by
carrying out our own boundary work to define a sub-set of technologies or
approaches as our object of study, we embrace the ambiguity of the term
geoengineering. This study is thus distinct from previous work on frames and
framing of geoengineering, much of which starts by offering a definition of
geoengineering as the object of study (Sikka 2012; Luokkanen, Huttunen &
Hildén 2013; Huttunen & Mikael Hilden 2012; Scholte et al. 2013; Nerlich &
Jaspal 2012).1 This paper takes a fundamentally different approach: rather than
treating geoengineering as an object, a ‘novel controversial technology’
(Luokkanen, Huttunen & Hildén 2013), or even a set of technologies about which
there exists an array of sometimes conflicting opinions, or for which there is
support or opposition, this study treats geoengineering as a discursive
phenomenon, the bounds of which are continually being negotiated. This is in
1
An
exception
might
be
the
work
of
Bellamy
et
al.(Bellamy
et
al.
2012)
who
do
explicitly
explore
the
ambiguity
in
the
term
at
the
outset
of
their
paper,
however
there
is
a
subsequent
attempt
to
minimise
this
ambiguity
by
adopting
a
singular
definition
(ibid
p.
7).
line with insights from post-positivist policy analysts such as Hajer who have
drawn attention to the fact that environmental conflict should not be understood
as ‘a conflict over a pre-defined unequivocal problem with competing actors pro
and con,’ but rather should be seen as ‘a complex and continuous struggle over
the definition and meaning of the environmental problem itself’ (M. A. Hajer
1997, p.14). Focusing analytical attention on the inherently ambiguous,
undifferentiated category ‘geoengineering’ (a term that has been referred to as
a ‘quasi-stable meta-label’ (Porter & Hulme 2013, p.3)), is argued to be the best
way to identify (rather than impose) the most significant axes for distinction, as
these relate to key differences in divergent perspectives.
Rather than working to remove ambiguity from the term geoengineering then,
this study shifts the focus to an exploration of the kinds of work it does (in spite
of, or because of the ambiguities within it), the boundary work it prompts and
the tensions and ambivalences it inspires and reveals. We ask what these can
reveal about the kinds of politics at work in contemporary debates around
climate change, science and technology.
Framing geoengineering
There is a small but growing body of social scientific literature examining
discourses and framing of geoengineering, including work examining framings of
geoengineering in the media (Porter & Hulme 2013; Scholte et al. 2013;
Luokkanen, Huttunen, Hildén, et al. 2013), academic literature (Bellamy et al.
2012; Huttunen & Mikael Hilden 2012), work examining the use of metaphor in
framings of geoengineering (Nerlich & Jaspal 2012), or examining the framings
within particular influential texts (Gardiner 2011). While a number of common
themes (for example the importance of ‘climate emergency’ as a framing device)
emerge from this work, a diversity of findings have been presented regarding
the relative openness or otherwise of the discourse around geoengineering, or
the relative importance of strategic framing to the issue. Given that the term is
arguably still unfamiliar to many people, some have argued that the ‘first
impression, frame, and narrative has yet to be set’ (Leiserowitz 2010, cited by
Buck 2013), or suggested that there is a need for more active and strategic
framing of the issue by scientists in particular ways (Buck 2013). On the other
hand others have suggested that the way that appraisals of geoengineering
options have been carried out to date, provide evidence of a premature ‘closing
down’ around particular ‘sets of values and assumptions with respect to the
instrumental framing effects of contexts, methods and criteria and options’
(Bellamy et al. 2012, p.28), or cite evidence from analysis of the metaphors
used to describe geoengineering as indicative of ‘restrictions in the interpretative
flexibility’ of the term (Luokkanen, Huttunen & Hildén 2013). Sikka takes a
particularly strong view of the strategic nature of the framing of geoengineering
to date, arguing that ‘special interests, including private corporations,
conservative think tanks and scientists affiliated with both have drawn on a
variety of discursive frames to limit, shape and mould the current debate
surrounding geoengineering’ (Sikka 2012, p.173). Conversely others have drawn
evidence from an analysis of the changing frames of geoengineering apparent in
English speaking newspapers in recent years, to argue that there is evidence of
a progressive ‘opening up’ of the debate around geoengineering (Scholte et al.
2013).
This study falls broadly under the description of a frame-reflective analysis
outlined by Schon and Rein (Schön & Rein 1995), and complements and builds
upon the corpus of work on framing of geoengineering by bringing a distinctive
focus on the ambiguity of the term, as outlined above. Within this study, frames
are understood as ‘schemata of interpretation’ (Goffman 1974, p.21), or
narratives of understanding that ‘help to render events meaningful and thereby
function to organize experience and guide action’ (Benford & Snow 2000, p.614).
Crucially, frames have both ontological and normative dimensions in that they
‘link causal accounts of policy problems to particular proposals for action, and so
link accounts of ‘is’ and ‘ought’ (Rein and Schon cited in Fischer and Forester
1993, p. 11). Hoppe (1999) emphasises that frames are necessary for
judgement and action, acting as ‘a sort of mental grappling hook’ (p.207) to
enable people to make sense of and act on a given situation. Through
selectively emphasizing certain facets of a given issue over others, and linking
interpretation with action, frames in and of themselves can be understood to
perform particular functions (c.f. Entman 2004). However there may be a
distinction made between the use of the verb framing and the resulting frames
or framings as nouns, with the former denoting ‘an active processual
phenomenon that implies agency and contention at the level of reality
construction’(Benford & Snow 2000, p.614). Although not exclusively a
conscious phenomenon, a rich literature from the study of social movements has
highlighted the ways in which framing can be used as a tool to affect change. In
this sense, framing can be understood as ‘the conscious strategic efforts by
groups of people to fashion shared understandings of the world and of
themselves that legitimate and motivate collective action’ (Snow, in McAdam,
McCarthy and Zald, 1996:6 Emphasis added).
Although there are several different quantitative and qualitative methods
applicable to framing analysis, this study uses Q method (see Box 1), to create a
typology of frames in a systematic way so as to render these shared subjective
constructions of the world observable (c.f. Dayton 2000). While various framing
analyses have explored discursive elements in isolation (e.g. metaphors), in its
application of Q method, this work aims to use an operant approach to allow
participants autonomy to bring these framing elements together to constitute
frames.
Data collection
The ‘Q sort’ is the basic unit of data in a Q study, and consists of a selection of
subjective statements about the topic of interest, rank-ordered by a participant
according to a particular instruction (for example according to those that are
most-to-least like the participant’s point of view). To select the statements that
are to be sorted, the researcher first gathers as comprehensive as possible a
selection of statements to reflect the diversity of opinions about the subject. This
selection of statements is known as the ‘concourse’, and represents an attempt
to capture the ‘volume of discussion’ on a given topic (Brown 1986, p.58). In
this case, subjective statements about the topic of geoengineering were sought
from a diverse range of sources, including academic papers, government policy
documents, NGO reports, scientific and popular news media sources, television
and radio interviews, blog posts and comments on online news sites. It is
common practice within Q studies to include some statements that are
‘deliberately ambiguous’ (Dryzek & Berejikian 1993) or contain ‘excess meaning’
(Brown 1970). Because the statements do not just have one objective meaning
set by the researcher, but are intended to act as stimuli to reveal the internal
frames of reference of the participants, this ambiguity is not problematic as it
would be in, for example a questionnaire design.
Box 1. Q method overview
Q is a ‘quali-quantitative’ method that can be used to examine the subjectivity inherent
in any given topic around which there is social contestation, and as such, lends itself
particularly well to the study of frames (c.f. Dayton 2000). Q has disciplinary roots in
psychology (Stephenson 1935), but is now commonly applied across a range of
disciplines including political sciences (Brown 1980; Dryzek & Berejikian 1993),
geography (Eden et al. 2005); ecological economics (Swedeen 2006) and environmental
policy analysis (Webler et al. 2009; Addams & Proops 2000). Q is an intensive ‘small n’
method in which a number of purposively selected participants (usually between 20 –
50) are asked to rank order a number of statements about a given topic. Outcomes are
then statistically analysed using factor analysis to look for patterns in ways of thinking
and talking about the topic (i.e. frames). Interview data and comments from the
participants are used to aid interpretation of these patterns, and potentially to gain an
insight into the more or less active processes of framing that different actors undertake.
Although it has quantitative features, the method has a large qualitative component, and
as with any other methodology, must be ‘employed reflexively and creatively, with full
awareness of its interpretative dimensions and not as a number-crunching exercise’
(Eden, Donaldson, & Walker, 2005, p. 421). Q methodology does not impose categories
of discourse onto the data, a priori, or position participants with respect to some predefined framework. Rather it asks its participants to decide what is or is not meaningful
and relevant to their opinion by the process of sorting of statements. It has been argued
that the method’s potential to reveal discourses that might otherwise be obscured, might
facilitate processes of ‘opening up’ policy to reflexive appraisal (Stirling 2007; Ockwell
2008), and proponents of the method have claimed that by allowing the researcher to
‘surrender the monopoly of control in their relationship with the researched’ Q method
can contribute to a more democratic research design and implementation (Robbins &
Krueger 2000, p.636).
The concourse in this study consisted of 322 statements, after which point the
research team decided that the addition of further statements did not add to the
diversity of opinions present, and that ‘saturation point’ (Eden et al. 2005) had
been reached. To narrow down the concourse to the sample of statements to be
presented to participants, a structured approach was adopted whereby
statements were categorised into a number of themes that were observed in the
concourse as a whole. These were: 1) context (the nature of ‘the problem’); 2)
definitions and characteristics of geoengineering; 3) appraisals of
geoengineering; 4) the relationship between science/research and deployment;
and 5) governance concerns. Approximately equal numbers of statements from
each category were sought, with the aim that each would capture a particular
dimension of the issue around which opinion might be divided. The choice of
the number of statements to be included in the final Q sample must balance the
need to incorporate as great a diversity of statements as possible, against the
need not to overly tax the abilities and patience of the participants. In line with
a rule of thumb that suggests a Q sample size of between 20 – 60 statements
(Webler et al. 2009, p.15), the final sample consisted of 48 statements. A pilot
was carried out with 7 project members and colleagues in order to test the
clarity of the statements, the comprehensiveness of the themes and topics
covered by the statement sample, and the ease with which it was possible to
sort them. Following the pilot a number of statements were removed because
they were felt to be confusing or to duplicate existing themes in the sample,
others were paraphrased for greater clarity, and a number of additional
statements were added to cover themes that were felt by pilot participants to be
missing. The final set of 48 statements is listed in Table 1.
Participants and the Q sort
The aim of this study was to uncover the different framings of the term
geoengineering, hence the approach to participant selection was to focus on
people who are or have been involved in debates and discussions around
geoengineering, or those (self- selected) who would consider themselves to
‘have an opinion’ on geoengineering. The aim was not to try to elicit the views
of some imagined wider ‘public’ as such, and no claim can be made that the
sample group was in any sense representative of a larger population, but this is
not the aim of a Q study (See Box 2). Rather, participants were selected on the
basis that it was felt that they had the potential to reveal something interesting
about the way in which debates around geoengineering are structured and the
existing frames and framing strategies that are being employed. Based on an
initial review of the academic and non-academic literature on the topic, a list of
participants was drawn up to encompass a range of people involved in making
statements about geoengineering, and attempts were made to incorporate as
diverse as possible a group of people (from different disciplinary backgrounds,
sectors, nationalities and genders). This was complemented by a snowballing
approach whereby participants were asked to identify other possible recruits
with opinions that might differ from their own. Additionally an invitation to
participate was circulated to the geoengineering Google list (an online forum for
discussion on geoengineering 2), Geoengineering Net Forum (a Japanese
discussion forum3) and the African Technology Policy Studies Network4. Given
that the interest of the study was in revealing framings, rather than making any
attempt to test the validity of viewpoints, the sole criterion for participation for
those people responding to the general invitation was that participants
considered themselves to ‘have an opinion’ about geoengineering. This criterion
was applied based on the rationale that in order to have formulated an opinion
on geoengineering an individual would need to have engaged with debates and
discussions around the topic in some way, and their opinion would thus be as
representative as anyone else’s of the types of framings of the issue that are
emerging.
Box 2. The notion of ‘sample size’ and generalizability of findings
in a Q study
Within traditional quantitative (‘R’) methods, the term ‘sample size’ refers to the number
of participants, and is ideally as large as possible in order to be statistically
representative of the larger population from which participants have been sampled, and
thus to make it possible for inferences to be made about that population on the basis of
the results of measurements of the sample. In Q methodology, the concept of sample
size is more applicable to the concourse of statements, and the notion of representation
is relevant in as far as the statements in the concourse should be representative of the
total range of statements being made about the topic. Thus participants for a Q study
are not randomly sampled from a population, but are deliberately chosen for their
relevance to the topic in question (Brown 1980). The most important principle of
participant selection is diversity of opinion, so that ideally if a particular discourse exists,
even if is very marginal, the process would hope to reveal it. It is also important that
the participants are familiar with the topic and have ‘well-formed opinions’ (Webler et
al., 2009 p. 9 ).
Given that the aim of a Q study is to search for distinct subjective viewpoints or framings
of a given issue, and no claim is made about the proportions of the views uncovered in a
wider population, the same need for large sample sizes does not apply in a Q study.
Rather as Dryzek & Berejikian point out ‘our units of analysis, when it comes to
generalization, are not individuals but discourses’ (Dryzek & Berejikian 1993). Thus
although no claim can be made that the subjects who carried out the Q test are
2
https://groups.google.com/forum/?fromgroups#!forum/geoengineering
http://geoeng.brs.nihon-‐u.ac.jp/
4
http://www.atpsnet.org/
3
statistically representative of some larger population this is not the aim of a Q study.
Instead in so far as the concourse is ‘representative’ of the breadth of opinion on the
topic each factor described should ‘prove a genuine representation of that discourse as it
exists within a larger population’ (Dryzek and Berejikian, 1993 p. 52). And thus
although it cannot be asserted that the factors uncovered by this study are the only
viewpoints that exist on the topic, the discovery of factors other than those described
(for example through the participation of an additional individual with a unique point of
view) should ‘in no way influence description’ of the existing factors (Brown, 1980 p.
67).
Furthermore, within a Q study, individual cases are not treated as anomalies, or
insignificant, but can provide valuable insights to the topic in question. As Brown
explains, given that ’the interest of Q methodology is in the nature of the segments
[discourses] and the extent to which they are similar or dissimilar, the issue of large
numbers, so fundamental to most social research, is rendered relatively unimportant. In
principle as well as practice, single cases can be the focus of significant research’
(Brown, 1993 p. 93).
Participants were asked to sort the statements into a grid along a scale from +4
(most like their point of view) to -4 (least like their point of view). As is common
in Q studies, the grid had a pyramidal or ‘quasi-normal’ shape, which limited the
number of statements that could be placed in each category (See Figure 1).
Although the imposition of this distribution shape is not necessary for the
technique to work (Brown 1971; Burt 1972; Barry & Proops 1999), it is
considered good practice as it encourages the participants to consider the
relative placement of the statements more carefully and hence to reveal their
preferences more thoroughly (Webler et al. 2009). In the majority of cases
participants carried out a Q sort during a face-to-face interview with the
researcher, and (with participant consent) comments made at the time of the Q
sort were recorded to aid interpretation. Interviews lasted between 25 minutes
up to 1.5 hours, averaging approximately 1 hour.
In addition, to maximise the diversity of the participant group and facilitate
participation from international participants, there was an option for participants
to take part via an online interface using Q-Assessor (http://q-assessor.com ), a
tool specifically designed for online Q studies. The online study can be accessed
(and carried out) by visiting http://q-assessor.com/studies/753/responses/new.
The use of a combination of face-to-face Q sorts and online sorts has precedents
in the literature on Q method (e.g. Gruber 2011) and is supported by empirical
work which has shown there to be no apparent difference in the reliability or
validity of face-to-face sorts and those carried out remotely by mail (Van
Tubergen & Olins 1979); between paper sorts and online sorts in general (Hogan
2010); and between paper sorts and the specific online sorting program we
applied in this study, Q-Assessor (Reber et al. 2000).5
Thirty-five people, including 5 people involved with the Geoengineering
Governance Project in various ways, carried out a Q sort. The inclusion of
researchers’ own Q sorts is considered good practice in scholarship on Q
methodology (Robbins & Krueger 2000; Swedeen 2006). Given that there is no
such thing as a truly ‘frame neutral position’ (Schön & Rein 1995, p.38) from
which to examine framings, in this study it was decided that to enhance both the
reflexivity and transparency of the Climate Geoengineering Governance Project,
it would be desirable both for the lead researcher and others less directly
involved in this component of the project to reflect upon and reveal their own
positionality within these debates. With participant permission, the list of
participants and their institutional affiliations (where applicable) are listed in
Appendix I. Twenty-one individuals carried out face-to-face interviews, while
thirteen people carried out the Q sort online6. Participants who carried out a
web-based sort are distinguished in the results table by the letter (W), while
individuals associated with the Climate Geoengineering Governance project,
including the author, are distinguished by the letters CGG.
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
Least like my point of view
view
+2
+3
+4
Most like my point of
Figure 1. The distribution shape onto which participants were asked to sort the
statements in the Q sample.
5
Although
more
qualitative
data
can
be
collected
from
face-‐to-‐face
interviews
as
compared
to
online
sorts
(and
hence
a
possible
bias
emerges
in
the
fact
that
these
sorts
might
be
more
fully
interpreted
than
the
online
sort
patterns),
the
benefit
to
the
overall
study
of
being
able
to
incorporate
a
greater
diversity
of
participants
was
felt
to
outweigh
this
concern.
6
The
author’s
own
Q
sort
brought
the
total
number
of
sorts
to
35.
Analysis
The 35 sorts were analysed with the freely available software PQMethod
(Schmolck 2002). Each sort was correlated with every other sort, and a 35 by
35 correlation matrix was generated. Principal components analysis was then
used to identify clusters of similarly performed Q sorts, and the resulting factors
were rotated using a varimax rotation that aimed to find the simplest structure
in the data and to explain the greatest amount of variance.7 It is important to
bear in mind that there is not just one objectively ‘correct’ or ‘mathematically
superior’ solution regarding the number of factors that emerge from a Q study
(Watts & Stenner 2005, p.80). Rather, although the data itself is ‘fixed’ in the
sense that the correlation scores between individual Q sorts do not change,
there could be many vantage points from which to view and describe the
similarities and differences between views, that are largely dependent on what
one is interested in (for example, whether one is interested particularly in
revealing minority views, or examining more dominant discourses). In this study
a solution was sought that maximised the simplicity, clarity, distinctness and
stability of the emerging framings (Webler et al. 2009, p.31), and ensured that
at least 2 individual Q sorts correlated uniquely with each factor (cf. Brown,
1980 p. 293).
Based on these criteria, a three-factor solution was selected as optimal.
However, scrutiny of the results revealed that one of the factors was ‘bipolar’:
certain individuals’ sorts were highly positively correlated with this factor, while
others were highly negatively correlated, indicating the presence of two groups
of people who sorted the statements in more or less opposite ways. In line with
standard practice in Q studies (Brown 1980), the bipolar factor was split into two
separate factors (highly negatively correlated with one another) resulting in a
final solution consisting of the four factors that will be described below.
Correlations between an individual’s Q sort and a given factor were deemed as
being statistically significant at the p<0.01 level, if they exceeded a factor
loading of +/-0.38, based on the equation: 2.58 x (1/√n), where n = the
number of statements in the Q sample: 2.58(1/ √48) = 0.3723 (Brown 1980).
Sorts that were significantly correlated with a factor (i.e. those that load at +/0.38 for that factor) were considered representative of that view, and the
weighted average of those sorts were used to calculate an idealised sorting
pattern for that factor along the original response scale (-4 to +4). These
idealised sorting patterns are listed in Table 1. The degree to which each
7
It
is
also
possible
to
extract
factors
using
the
centroid
method,
and
to
rotate
factors
‘by
hand’
in
order
to
explore
the
data
based
on
particular
theoretical
hypotheses
about
how
particular
clusters
relate
or
how
particular
individual’s
sorts
fit
into
the
overall
picture,
and
some
researchers
argue
that
this
is
the
preferable
approach
(Brown,
1980).
In
this
instance
both
procedures
were
carried
out
and
the
results
compared.
While
not
substantially
different,
principal
components
analysis
and
varimax
produced
the
clearest
and
most
stable
and
interpretable
result.
participant’s sort correlated with each factor is described is given in Table 2.
The degree of correlation between factors is given in Table 3. Narrative
descriptions of each factor were drafted by examining these idealised sorting
patterns and analysing the interview comments made by those people’s whose
sorts were significantly correlated with that factor. Draft descriptions of these
factor narratives were sent to all participants, who were asked to comment on
whether they felt that their views had been appropriately represented. These
comments were used to test the validity of the views described.
Table of statements sorted by participants, and the idealised sorting
pattern (from -4 to +4) for each factor
Statement:
Idealised
sort
pattern
1
2
3
4
1.
Geoengineering
is
about
fruitlessly
trying
to
solve
problems
with
the
same
mind-‐
set
that
created
them:
attempting
to
control
nature.
-‐3
-‐4
2
-‐3
2.
Geoengineering
can
only
ever
be
fundamentally
undemocratic.
-‐2
-‐1
1
-‐4
3.
The
risks
of
not
doing
geoengineering
research
outweigh
the
risks
of
doing
it.
3
2
-‐2
1
4.
Hasty
pursuit
of
international
regulation
of
geoengineering
risks
lock-‐in
to
commitments
that
might
soon
be
regretted,
such
as
a
total
ban
on
research
or
testing,
or
burdensome
vetting
of
even
innocuous
research
projects.
1
3
-‐2
0
5.
Calls
for
more
science
on
geoengineering
don't
really
make
sense:
full
trials
are
unethical
and
small
scale
experiments
are
pointless
(since
any
impacts
are
drowned
in
the
noise
of
global
weather).
-‐4
-‐3
2
-‐3
6.
We
might
once
have
trusted
nature
to
look
after
the
environmental
regulation,
but
not
any
more:
like
it
or
not,
we
are
the
planetary
maintenance
engineers.
1
3
-‐2
-‐1
7.
Deliberate
geoengineering
of
the
climate
has
been
happening
for
decades;
the
current
suggestion
that
it’s
all
about
dealing
with
climate
change
is
just
a
front
intended
to
legitimize
on
going
activities
that
have
other
motivations.
-‐4
-‐2
0
-‐1
8.
One
of
the
central
motivations
for
the
growing
interest
in
geoengineering
research
is
the
potential
for
strategic
military
applications
of
these
technologies.
-‐4
-‐2
1
1
9.
The
belief
that
technological
solutions
can
be
found
to
social
problems,
and
to
problems
arising
in
earlier
technological
development,
is
a
dangerous
illusion
which
fails
to
address
political
and
social
drivers
and
implications.
-‐1
-‐1
3
-‐1
10.
Geoengineering
is
a
bit
like
chemotherapy:
the
decision
to
undertake
it
would
be
difficult,
but
it
could
turn
out
to
be
the
least
bad
option
we
are
going
to
have.
2
1
-‐3
-‐2
11.
Carbon
emissions
will
never
be
reduced
to
zero
because
this
would
require
a
complete
change
in
the
way
humans
are.
0
2
0
-‐4
12.
At
the
very
least,
we
need
to
do
more
research
in
order
to
learn
what
approaches
to
avoid
even
if
we
become
desperate.
4
2
0
3
13.
It
is
inappropriate
to
make
geoengineering
research
decisions
subject
to
'upstream
engagement'
or
public
control.
-‐2
0
-‐4
-‐2
14.
Geoengineering
is
the
most
revolutionary
and
potentially
valuable
new
idea
in
climate
policy
today.
-‐3
2
-‐1
-‐3
15.
Geoengineering
is
potentially
the
key
to
unlock
the
mitigation
puzzle:
a
way
of
controlling
climate
risks
during
the
many
decades
that
it
will
take
to
transform
the
global
energy
system.
0
1
-‐3
1
16.
The
idea
of
actually
deploying
a
geoengineering
system
would
be
very
controversial,
but
the
narrower
question
of
a
research
program
should
not
be.
3
-‐1
-‐1
-‐1
17.
The
climate
system
is
too
complex
and
chaotic
to
judge
cause
and
effect
of
various
geoengineering
ideas,
even
as
we
try
them
out.
-‐2
-‐2
1
4
18.
After
realizing
that
our
actions
en
masse
affect
the
climate,
anything
we
do
to
address
it
(including
nothing),
is
geo-‐engineering.
-‐3
1
-‐2
3
19.
The
technical
community
has
a
responsibility
to
explore
back-‐up
strategies
for
dealing
with
an
unexpected
climate
emergency.
1
2
-‐1
1
20.
We
use
technology
to
clean
up
land
and
water,
so
why
not
clean
up
the
1
1
0
1
contaminated
sky?
21.
Attempts
by
us
to
regulate
the
Earth's
climate
and
chemistry
would
condemn
humanity
to
a
Kafkaesque
fate
from
which
there
may
be
no
escape.
-‐1
-‐4
2
-‐2
22.
The
laudable
goal
of
combating
climate
change
has
no
business
in
the
definition
of
geoengineering,
as
it
suggests
that
technologies
do,
in
fact,
combat
climate
change
giving
the
whole
suite
of
planet-‐altering
technologies
a
veneer
of
respectability
they
have
not
earned.
0
-‐1
1
-‐1
23.
Some
geoengineering
technologies
might
be
able
to
provide
win-‐win
solutions,
allowing
economic
growth
and
climate
change
mitigation
to
proceed
hand
in
hand.
0
2
0
2
24.
More
than
a
set
of
technologies,
geoengineering
is
a
political
strategy.
-‐1
0
3
2
25.
Until
there
has
been
a
full
debate
on
the
course
all
countries
wish
to
go,
it
is
common
sense
to
institute
a
moratorium
on
all
geoengineering
activities
outside
the
laboratory.
-‐2
-‐4
4
2
26.
Much
current
policy
discussion
of
'geoengineering
governance'
makes
no
reference
to
the
possibility
that
the
world
could
decide
not
to
go
down
this
path,
and
is
thus
little
more
than
a
marketing
exercise.
-‐2
-‐1
1
0
27.
Commercial
involvement
in
geoengineering,
including
competition,
may
be
positive
in
that
it
mobilizes
innovation
and
capital
investment,
which
could
lead
to
the
development
of
more
effective
and
less
costly
technologies
at
a
faster
rate
than
in
the
public
sector.
1
1
-‐2
1
28.
'Encapsulated'
geoengineering
technologies
are
ethically
preferable
to
non-‐
encapsulated
technologies.
2
-‐1
0
1
29.
In
a
geoengineered
world,
rather
than
finding
deep
meaning
in
our
natural
surroundings,
humanity
might
start
to
view
them
as
a
constant
potential
threat.
-‐1
-‐3
0
-‐2
30.
Complex
control
systems
never
work
perfectly,
humans
can
make
mistakes
in
design,
manufacturing,
and
operation
(think
of
Chernobyl,
the
Exxon
Valdez,
airplane
crashes
etc);
given
this
fallibility,
it
is
unwise
to
stake
so
much
on
a
more
complicated
arrangement
than
anything
attempted
before.
0
-‐2
4
3
31.
There
are
such
things
as
morally
bad
research
projects.
3
0
2
3
32.
We
don't
have
the
luxury
of
waiting
around
for
a
change
in
attitude
that
is
never
going
to
happen,
or
until
it
is
far
too
late
for
action.
1
4
-‐2
2
33.
Government
support
for
geoengineering
research
is
important,
because
good
policy
decisions
depend
on
good
science.
3
2
0
2
34.
A
ban
on
geoengineering
would
be
unenforceable
and
counter-‐productive
as
those
carrying
out
tests
would
do
so
in
secrecy.
0
1
-‐3
-‐2
35.
Geoengineering
technologies
will
not
"solve"
the
climate
change
"problem";
rather,
they
will
redesign
major
Earth
systems
-‐
including
not
just
natural
but
human
and
built
systems
-‐
powerfully,
unpredictably
and
potentially
irreversibly.
0
-‐3
3
0
36.
Substantial
investment
in
geoengineering
research
will
encourage
political
inertia
on
mitigation
and
adaptation,
and
also
facilitate
the
actual
deployment
of
geoengineering
"solutions".
-‐1
-‐2
2
-‐1
37.
In
a
nutshell:
someone,
somewhere
is
going
to
do
geoengineering
research,
so
it
might
as
well
be
someone
responsible.
2
0
-‐1
-‐2
38.
Given
that
geoengineering
experiments
are
already
underway
-‐
uncontrolled,
unmonitored,
illegal
-‐
then
it
is
time
for
the
world
to
have
a
serious
conversation
about
geoengineering.
2
0
2
0
39.
Even
if
we
stopped
emitting
any
greenhouse
gases
right
now,
we'd
still
have
4
0
-‐1
0
locked
in
at
least
1.5
degrees
of
warming,
probably
more,
and
there's
no
sign
that
we're
going
to
stop
emitting
any
time
soon.
So
some
kinds
of
geoengineering
might
be
a
necessity,
not
as
a
solution,
but
as
a
postscript
to
a
solution.
40.
Although
there
is
a
lot
of
variety
in
the
geoengineering
approaches
being
proposed,
at
the
end
of
the
day
they
are
technological
fixes
-‐
and
so
flawed.
-‐3
-‐3
1
-‐4
41.
It
is
likely
that
some
new
technologies
will
be
needed
to
move
to
lower-‐polluting
energy
systems
and
to
adapt
to
likely
climatic
changes;
but
the
types
of
technologies
pursued,
the
interests
they
favour
and
the
future
societal
vision
they
serve
(or
suppress)
ought
to
be
the
subject
of
public
deliberation
and
ultimately
public
control.
2
-‐1
4
4
42.
The
governance
challenges
of
controlling
the
global
climate
through
geoengineering
are
more
difficult
to
overcome
than
those
of
transforming
the
global
energy
system.
1
-‐2
1
0
43.
Since
we
know
that
accumulating
carbon
dioxide
in
the
atmosphere
is
a
problem
requiring
action,
then
we
need
to
focus
our
energies
on
finding
ways
of
taking
it
out
and
storing
it
somewhere
safe
and
permanent,
the
same
way
we
do
with
problems
like
nuclear
waste
and
arsenic
in
water
supplies.
0
3
-‐1
4
44.
The
anti-‐geoengineering
people
are
ideologically
motivated
and
rely
on
doom
and
gloom
stories
about
the
environment;
the
last
thing
they
want
to
see
is
that
some
of
these
techniques
might
work.
-‐1
0
-‐4
-‐1
45.
All
of
the
technologies
needed
to
meet
global
2020
emissions
reductions
exist
today.
4
0
3
-‐3
46.
It’s
not
a
question
of
if
but
when
humanity
will
be
compelled
to
use
geoengineering.
-‐1
4
-‐4
0
47.
There
is
an
important
difference
between
geoengineering
field
experiments
that
do
not
cause
damage
to
the
environment,
and
those
that
specifically
aim
to
perturb
natural
systems;
so
a
blanket
ban
on
field
testing
doesn't
make
sense.
2
1
-‐1
2
48.
Right
now,
the
Arctic
(and
hence
the
Earth)
is
in
a
state
of
dire
emergency,
and
only
immediate
drastic
action,
including
some
forms
of
geoengineering,
can
save
us
from
catastrophe.
-‐2
4
-‐3
0
Table 2. Degree to which each participant’s sort correlated with each factor
Participants
(by
professional
sector)
Degree
of
correlation
of
Q
sorts
with
each
factor
1
2
3
4
Participants
whose
sorts
correlate
with
just
one
factor:
Media
0.7146*
0.2620
-‐0.2620
0.3663
Academia
(physical/natural
sciences)
0.5894*
0.2479
-‐0.2479
0.1008
Academia
(physical/natural
sciences)
0.6133*
0.1971
-‐0.1971
0.1116
Government
0.8248*
-‐0.0039
0.0039
0.0494
Academia
(physical/natural
sciences)
0.6957*
0.0514
-‐0.0514
0.2540
Academia
(physical/natural
sciences)
0.5064*
0.3414
-‐0.3414
0.0585
NGO
0.5218*
-‐0.2054
0.2054
0.3222
Academia
(physical/natural
sciences)
0.5637*
-‐0.2639
0.2639
0.0650
Academia
(physical/natural
sciences)
0.6423*
-‐0.0186
0.0186
0.3463
Industry
0.6968*
0.2824
-‐0.2824
0.2885
NGO
-‐0.6110
0.2209
W
0.3744
0.6110*
NGO
0.1652
0.7993*
-‐0.7993
0.2589
NGO
-‐0.1203
-‐0.7913
0.7913*
0.1451
-‐0.3013
-‐0.7216
0.7216*
0.0222
-‐0.0880
W
Academia
(social
sciences/humanities)
W
Media
-‐0.1471
-‐0.7851
0.7851*
0.2630
-‐0.6437
0.6437*
0.2930
Academia
(social
sciences/humanities)
-‐0.0386
-‐0.8237
0.8237*
-‐0.0222
Academia
(physical/natural
sciences)
0.3661
-‐0.2500
0.2500
0.6441*
Industry
-‐0.0618
0.5440*
Academia
(social
sciences/humanities)
(CGG)
W
0.1517
0.0618
Industry
0.3012
-‐0.1675
0.1675
0.5893*
Academia
(social
sciences/humanities)
-‐0.2322
0.1116
-‐0.1116
0.7681*
Participants
whose
sorts
correlated
with
more
than
one
factor:
Government
0.6669*
0.4148*
-‐0.4148
-‐0.0534
W
NGO
W
Industry
W
Academia
(physical/natural
sciences)
W
Industry
W
Academia
(social
sciences/humanities)
0.6418*
0.0730
-‐0.0730
0.4445*
0.405*
0.4904*
-‐0.4904
0.4047*
0.4325*
-‐0.0165
0.0165
0.4227*
0.4206*
0.5229*
-‐0.5229
0.4998*
0.4087*
-‐0.4449
0.4449*
0.1662
Academia
(physical/natural
sciences)
0.5006*
-‐0.3921
0.3921*
-‐0.0582
Academia
(physical/natural
sciences)
0.5248*
0.2192
-‐0.2192
0.5806*
Industry
0.5671*
0.5335*
-‐0.5335
0.0511
0.5572*
0.0330
-‐0.0330
0.5167*
0.6124*
0.4552*
-‐0.4552
0.3127
0.519*
0.4099*
-‐0.4099
0.3618
0.0775
-‐0.5757
0.5757*
0.5035*
0.1935
-‐0.6088
0.6088*
W
Academia
(social
W(CGG
sciences/humanities)
)
W
Industry
Academia
(physical/natural
sciences)
(CGG)
Academia
(social
sciences/humanities)
(CGG)
Academia
(social
sciences/humanities)
W(CGG)
0.5097*
w
* Indicates that a sort correlates significantly with the factor at the p < 0.01 level; ( ) indicates
that an individual carried out a web based Q sort using Q assessor; (CGG) indicates that an
individual is associated with the Climate Geoengineering Governance research project, including
the author.
Table 3. Correlations between factors.
Factor
1
Factor
2
Factor
3
Factor
4
Factor
1
1
Factor
2
0.4015
1
Factor
3
-‐0.2080
-‐0.7225
1
Factor
4
0.3588
0.2007
0.0726
1
Results
Narrative descriptions of the four factors that emerged from analysis are given
below. The factors were assigned names drawn from statements that were
ranked particularly highly for that factor, and act as an abbreviated story line,
capturing some essence of the larger narrative. The numbers in square brackets
within the text refer to the statement upon which the interpretation is based
(see Table 1). It will be noted (in Table 2) that a number of individuals’ Q sorts
correlated with more than one factor which suggests that ‘there is not
necessarily radical discontinuity across discourses’ (Dryzek & Berejikian 1993),
and that many individuals have access to, and may move between discourses or
framings (c.f. Collins & Yearley 1992). The relatively high number of these
individuals might also be illustrative of the fundamentally ambiguous nature of
the term geoengineering, or perhaps suggestive of the fact that around and
between the more stable framings described below, the discursive landscape is
characterised by a high degree of ambivalence as people struggle to formulate
opinions incorporating contradictory normative positions. Although the framings
will be described below as discrete in order to facilitate an exploration of some of
the different tensions within and between them, it should be remembered that
this is not actually the case
Factor 1: “At the very least we need more research”
Ten participants’ sorts were correlated significantly with this factor, including six
individuals from academic (natural/physical science) backgrounds, one
journalist, one government employee, one non-governmental organisation
professional, and an individual from an industrial background. This framing has
been summarised as follows:
Action on climate change is clearly urgent [39], but arguments that frame the
need for geoengineering in terms of an emergency are unhelpful and
counterproductive [48]. Geoengineering is certainly not the most revolutionary
new idea in climate policy [14], however we shouldn’t rule any options out, and
at the very least we need more research in this area to understand what
approaches won’t work and should be avoided at all costs [12]. Research is the
only way to determine the potential impacts of different technologies, and we
have now achieved the level of scientific sophistication to make research in this
area worthwhile [5, 17]. Research is clearly distinct from deployment, and if
carried out in a responsible manner, should not be overly controversial [16].
Indeed, if responsible parties don’t carry out research, it will be done by less
responsible parties [37]. Furthermore, the technical community has a
responsibility to explore back-up strategies for dealing with possible future
climate emergences [19]. Now is the time for a serious societal conversation
about if and how we want to develop these different technologies [38], and
public involvement in choices about directions of research and development in
this area are crucial [13, 41]. Regulation of research is important, but should be
undertaken carefully, as there is a risk that hastily developed regulation might
be counter-productive and stifle innovation and scientific freedom [4]. Given the
variety of different research activities that might take place a moratorium on all
activities outside the laboratory doesn’t make sense [25, 47]. Although the
deployment of geoengineering is by no means inevitable [46], and we already
have all the technology we need to reduce emissions [45], some kinds of
geoengineering will probably be a necessary part of any solution [39].
Geoengineering technologies that are likely to be more ethically preferable are
‘encapsulated technologies’ such as air capture, rather than non-encapsulated
techniques such as stratospheric aerosols or iron fertilization [28]. Commercial
involvement in geoengineering might be helpful [27], but we should probably be
wary of claims of technologies to provide win-win solutions allowing economic
growth and mitigation to proceed hand in hand [23].
Factor 2: “We are the planetary maintenance engineers”
Two participants’ sorts were correlated significantly with this factor, both of
whom are associated with non-governmental organisations. The framing has
been summarised as follows:
We are currently in an unprecedented planetary emergency brought about by
climate change [4], immediate action is urgent [32], and it is likely to be only a
question of time before humanity is compelled to use geoengineering [46].
Geoengineering is an important part of the solution to climate change [35, 40],
hence, research on geoengineering is both crucial and worthwhile [5, 17], and
should be supported by governments as the best basis for sound policy making
[33]. Humans have demonstrated their ability to build functioning complex
control systems [30], and now need to apply that knowledge to the task of
planetary maintenance engineering that (like it or not) now falls upon us [6].
Given the dire state of the climate, neither research nor deployment of
geoengineering should be overly controversial [16]. Although there might be
some risk associated with research, not carrying out research given what we
know about climate change would be riskier [3]. Only through research can we
learn what technologies might be helpful, and conversely which shouldn’t be
deployed [12]. Investment in geoengineering research isn’t likely to have a
significantly negative impact on policies towards mitigation and adaptation,
especially when one considers the dire state that mitigation policies are in
already [36], and while the governance of geoengineering brings particular
challenges, these are likely to be less difficult to overcome than the challenges of
transforming the global energy system [42], which so far appears to have failed.
Indeed geoengineering has the potential to revolutionise climate policy [14],
opening-up possibilities for economic growth and climate change mitigation to
proceed hand in hand [23]. We should not be too hasty in pursuing regulation,
which might be stifling to innovation and research [4]. A ban on geoengineering
would just be counterproductive [25], likely resulting in research being carried
out in secrecy or by less responsible parties [34, 47]. Those carrying out
research are motivated by a desire to find solutions to the climate change
problem, and for developing ‘back-up’ strategies for dealing with a possible
future climate emergency [19], rather than any other motivation [8, 7]. Given
the urgency of the problem, commercial involvement in geoengineering might be
positive in terms of mobilizing innovation and capital investment, possibly
increasing the speed with which these technologies could be developed [27].
Factor 3: “Geoengineering is a political strategy”
Five participants’ sorts were significantly correlated with this factor, including 3
individuals from academic (social science/ humanities) backgrounds, one
journalist and one individual associated with a non-governmental organisation.
This framing has been summarised as follows:
Geoengineering won’t solve climate change, but is likely to cause unpredictable
and irreversible damage to the planet [35]. Attempts to control the climate
through geoengineering are neither feasible [30], nor inevitable [46], and would
likely lead humanity to a dystopian future in which we would find ourselves
trapped by the consequences of our hubristic actions [21]. Geoengineering
proposals stem from the same mind set of attempting to control nature that got
us into the environmental mess we are in today [1], and are built on the
dangerous illusion that complex social problems can be solved with technology
[9]. The idea that all of the proposed technologies can be defined as
geoengineering because their stated intent is to deal with climate change, is
misleading [22]. More than as a set of technologies defined by a stated shared
intent, geoengineering can be thought of as a political strategy [24] that serves
the interests of the status quo. The commercial interest in some of these
technologies only serves to highlight this, and if we were really serious that
geoengineering was about ‘saving the planet’ we wouldn’t leave such a task to
business [27]. We have all the technologies we need to mitigate carbon
emissions effectively; it’s just a question of using them [45]. More research into
new technologies isn’t the most crucial thing [12], indeed, the risks of doing
research (including the risk of strategic military applications of these
technologies [8]) may well outweigh the benefits [3]. It isn’t possible to separate
out research from deployment in any straightforward way, and both should be
considered controversial [16]: carrying out research, especially field trials, is the
first step toward deployment, and drawing distinctions between different types
of field test only serves to obscure this fact [47]. Since full-scale trials are
unethical and small-scale trials can’t produce useful data in the noise of global
weather [5], it is common sense to institute a moratorium on all testing
activities outside the laboratory [25]. The argument that ‘someone somewhere
will do it, so it might as well be us’ [37] is not acceptable, nor are arguments
stemming from claims of present day [48] or hypothetical future emergencies
[12]. The governance challenges of controlling the global climate through
geoengineering would likely be more complex and difficult to overcome than
those of transforming the global energy system [42], and given the
undemocratic and risky nature of proposals for geoengineering, we probably
shouldn’t be going down this path [21]. Publics need to be engaged meaningfully
in decisions about research [13], and ultimately have control over which (if any)
of these technologies are to be pursued [41]. However, much talk of governance
seems to see deployment as inevitable, and is hence a purely instrumental
exercise for smoothing this process, rather than allowing genuine dissent to
emerge [26].
Factor 4: “Let’s focus on carbon”
Four participants’ sorts were significantly correlated with this factor, including
two individuals from industrial backgrounds, and two individuals from academic
backgrounds (one social scientist, one natural scientist). The framing has been
summarised as follows:
Action on climate change is urgent [32], and is likely to require the development
and deployment of new technologies [45], including some that might be labelled
as geoengineering [39]. However, the definition of geoengineering is slippery
and after realising that our actions en masse affect the climate, anything we do
to address it (including nothing) might be considered geoengineering [18].
Although ambiguous, the concept of geoengineering might be useful as a
political strategy to help open up the solution space available to us for dealing
with climate change [24]. There is nothing wrong with a technological fix per se
[40, 20], but it’s important to remember that technology alone will not ‘solve’
the climate change problem [35]. It is important to ensure that the direction of
development of these technologies is the subject of public deliberation and
control [41], so that, appropriately managed, Geoengineering does not have to
be fundamentally undemocratic [2]. We clearly need research into new
technologies, if only to be able to rule out those that shouldn’t be deployed [12],
but some research is more morally acceptable [31] than others, and the
argument that ‘someone will do it so it might as well be someone responsible’
(i.e. us) is problematic [37]. Research cannot be neatly separated from
deployment, and thus it is difficult to defend the idea that only deployment
should be controversial [16]. For this reason publics should be engaged
‘upstream’ in the direction of research in this area [13]. The inherent
complexities of the climate system limit the human ability to predict and judge
cause and effects of interventions [17]. This complexity, coupled with human
fallibility, means that attempts to control the climate system are likely to fail
[30]. Hence we should focus our energies on removing carbon dioxide from the
atmosphere [43] (an endeavour in which commercial involvement might be
helpful [27]), so that with the right technological and social changes, a carbon
neutral future for humanity can be achieved [11], and mitigation and continuing
economic activity can take place [23].
Discussion
No claim is made that the four framings of geoengineering that have been
described above, constitute any kind of comprehensive, authoritative or final set
of framings. As in any study of discourse (whether acknowledged or not), these
might rather be thought of as stylised representations that will hopefully be of
heuristic utility in offering ‘tools to think with’ in processes of further enquiry
(c.f. Brand & J. Fischer 2012). This discussion will draw out some of the tensions
between and within the different framings, starting with an examination of the
fluidity and ambiguity of the term itself and the definitions of geoengineering
given by participants, before examining how concepts of control, research,
novelty and interests all feature within and constitute the different framings of
geoengineering.
Given the existence of campaigns both for8 and against9 geoengineering in
general, one might expect to find opinion around geoengineering highly
polarised. The emergence of a bipolar factor (split into factors 2 and 3),
indicating highly opposed views, is therefore perhaps unsurprising. The
prominence of this axis also confirms the general salience for this purpose of an
aggregated concept of ‘geoengineering’. However, the existence of a further two
factors clearly indicates that the picture is not as simple as a description of a
straightforward ‘pro’ /‘anti’ axis might suggest. With regard to the coherence or
ambiguity of the term geoengineering, it appears that (although the most
different in terms of their framing of geoengineering) individuals loading on
factor 2 (broadly in favour of geoengineering), and factor 3 (decidedly against
geoengineering), actually appeared to find it less problematic making statements
about geoengineering as a non-differentiated category, than those loading on
factors 1 and 4. Thus for example, within the factor-3 framing, a total ban on all
geoengineering activities outside the laboratory is a necessary and coherent
thing to call for [25]. Likewise within the factor-2 framing, geoengineering (in
general) is one of the most revolutionary new ideas in climate policy [14].
Interview data collected at the time of the Q sorts can be instructive in
understanding this. Thus a participant whose sort correlated with factor 2
explained why he considered the term geoengineering to be useful:
‘The term has proven to be very useful because of the discussions it
catalyses. I view the real utility of geoengineering not really as being the
technological interventions but as being so extreme as a concept that it
actually provokes imagination and the ability to open up discussions that
are otherwise mired in more detailed political positions…it opens up new
opportunities for reframing how we deal with climate…’
On the other hand the following quote from a participant whose sort correlated
with factor 3 illustrates why he feels it is meaningful to object to geoengineering
8
9
E.g.
AMEG
(the
Arctic
Methane
Emergency
Group)
www.amegme
E.g.
The
HOME
(Hand’s
Off
Mother
Earth)
campaign
http://www.handsoffmotherearth.org/
is possible, and disaggregating the term is not considered to be of primary
importance:
‘I just think there's a broader thing afoot about trying to solve problems
through technological solutions rather than the heavy lifting of social
change and actually addressing the root causes and so forth, and
geoengineering in some way I think is totemic for that… it’s not just about
a geoengineering solution, it kind of speaks to, we're going to have a
technological solution for this, whether its carbon capture and storage or
biofuels or air capture or nuclear power, whatever it is, we're going to
craft a technological way round this, such that we don't have to
significantly disrupt the economy…’
But while this participant appears to be able to object to geoengineering as
illustrative of a broader (in his view) problematic attitude towards the application
of technology to social and environmental problem solving, , participants loading
on factor 1, appeared much less willing to take such a general or abstract stand.
A fairly typical quote from a participant loading on factor 1 illustrates this:
‘My reaction to the term is that it isn’t particularly helpful because it
describes different groups of approaches. So there’s negative emissions,
taking carbon out of the air, carbon dioxide removal I guess it’s called in
the academic world, which is a very different set of interventions than the
solar radiation management stuff. So geoengineering is a catch-all term
that creates challenges for us to then have a clear position on… and within
those there’s lots of different approaches which each have their pros and
cons and different risk profile.
Another commented:
‘I don't want to have a debate about the terminology too much, I think I
want to have a debate more about what the technologies do to our
climate and I don't think having huge arguments about what a term is or
not really make much difference to that’.
Interestingly, although the factor-1 perspective appears to find the ‘catch all’
nature of the term presents a problem for the making of general statements
about geoengineering, and prefers to focus attention on individual technologies,
this view is very clear about what geoengineering is not. Hence it appears from
the negative score awarded to statement 18, that the definition of
geoengineering (while encompassing a broad range of technologies) does not
include those activities the effects of which were inadvertent.
A different perspective still was offered by factor 4, whose agreement with
statement 18, suggest a distinctive take on the issue of intent, and a broader
understanding of what might constitute geoengineering. For example, one
factor-4 participant defined the term to include interventions not generally
classed as technological, such as the implementation of a carbon tax (See
definition 7 in Table 4 below). While subscribing to a very broad definition of the
term itself (to the extent that it might be difficult to differentiate from other
categories of effort such as mitigation), factor-4 participants were also conscious
of the possible utility of the term itself as offering something distinctive on the
discursive level at least. Hence one participant argued against the so-called
‘moral hazard’ argument against geoengineering research [36], by referred to
the fact that arguments against geoengineering such as this act to prematurely
close down ‘the solution space, the option space that you want to keep open.’
Understanding ‘the strategically and politically loaded negotiation of definition
and meaning’ (Walker & Shrove 2007, p.216) is crucial to understanding
framing, and definitions themselves can be understood as key elements of wider
frames. Table 4. lists a selection of definitions of geoengineering given by
participants.10
Table 4. Selection of participants’ definitions of geoengineering
Definitions of geoengineering (factor number(s) with which participant’s
sort correlated).
1.
‘Deliberate large scale interventions in the earth’s natural systems’ (1/4)
2.
‘I suppose I’ve been influenced quite a bit by the Royal Society report and its very
inclusive definition of geoengineering to include any deliberate attempt to change the
climate, to fix the climate… Any deliberate attempt to fix the climate apart from cutting our
actual emissions’. (1)
3.
‘To me it means intentional technical interference with atmospherics in order to mitigate
some or all of the impacts of anthropogenic climate change…my framing would always be
to have something to do with the impacts of climate change …I guess I can’t see why
[weather modification for other purposes] wouldn’t be included…but all the discussions I’ve
had have been with the climate change community and it has been a climate change
framed discussion’(1)
4.
‘I guess the scientific definition would be: the modification of climate variables to offset
rising greenhouse gas concentrations and associated rise in temperature’(1)
5.
‘Large scale, intentional attempts to change the climate system and other large scale
systems’ (3)
6.
‘All sorts of technological ways to combat climate change, so I’d be including removing
green house gases, so particularly things like carbon scrubbing that takes out carbon
dioxide and buries it underground, and also what they call solar radiation management,
actually reflecting the sun. To me it’s all those things’ (2)
7.
‘Geoengineering is the intentional intervention in the global planetary system to affect
weather and climate… I am agnostic on what those interventions are, I don’t differentiate
geoengineering by methodology, so if you capture carbon from smokestacks in coal plants,
or you implement a carbon tax, or you put particulates in the stratosphere, those are all
examples of geoengineering…. (4)
8.
‘What it conjures up to me really is talking about the global climate change, and thinking
of technological solutions that can either dramatically speed up the rate of mitigation of
10
Not
all
participants
provided
definitions
(those
carrying
out
online
sorts
for
example
were
not
asked
to
define
geoengineering),
and
there
was
a
degree
of
repetition
among
those
that
did,
hence
the
table
is
not
a
comprehensive
list,
but
offers
a
selection
indicative
of
the
diversity
of
definitions
given.
climate change or do something different, that is prevent some of the worst effects of
climate change’ (1)
9.
‘It’s about humans taking interventions to try and control the climate system, which we’ve
never deliberately done before even if we are now changing the climate system through
our pollution, so it crosses a particular barrier…’ (1/4)
10. ‘I just stick to the Royal Society definition really: deliberate, large scale manipulation of
planetary environment in order to counteract anthropogenic climate change’ (3)
11. [Climate remediation] ‘is trying to have available one or more, preferably a set of
technologies such that if the planet gets into a really rather unfortunate situation with
respect to the people living on it and the environment more generally you don’t have to
live with the situation for hundreds and hundreds of years even if you shut down
greenhouse gas emissions’ (1/2)
12. ‘When I say geoengineering I mean something like solar radiation management.
Geoengineering via carbon dioxide removal is a lot more blurred between geoengineering
and mitigation, because is planting the Amazon rainforest and re-growing lots of trees
mitigation? Or is it geoengineering because we're going to be locking up a lot of carbon in
those trees? That is a very blurry line’ (1)
An examination of the definitions reveals potentially significant ‘grey areas’ and
ambiguities in the term. For example: is geoengineering defined as being solely
about interventions in the climate system (e.g. 2, 3, 4), or could the definition
also include any large-scale natural system (e.g. 1, 5)? Is geoengineering
defined as being about purely ‘technical’ or ‘technological’ interventions (e.g. 3,
6), or could it also encompass economic or social changes (e.g. 7)? At what
scale does an intervention become geoengineering? Is weather modification
included (e.g. 7), or is it only about global change (e.g. 3, 8 10)? Is the attempt
to counteract climate change fundamental to the definition of geoengineering
(e.g. 3, 4, 6, 10), or could an intervention be defined as geoengineering if
carried out with other intent (e.g. 1, 5)? Is it primarily about control (e.g. 9)?
Should it actually be called something else, such as climate remediation (e.g.
11)? Or should the definition be narrowed down to just solar radiation
management and exclude carbon dioxide removal (e.g. 12)?
While the term’s ambiguity is therefore clear, it might be said to have ‘functional
malleability’ (Gledhill, 1994 p 216). Hence there appears to be a sense
(particularly expressed by factor-2 participants) that the term in all its ambiguity
might be politically useful in terms of acting as a catalyst for certain kinds of
discussions. Ironically the primary discourse of opposition as represented by
factor 3, in its view of geoengineering as emblematic of the fundamentally
flawed nature of the global neo-liberal political economy, might actually act to
breathe life into it. Within the factor-1 framing, the desire to disaggregate the
term might be read as an opposition to the constraints of the term, or as an
example of boundary work aimed at reducing ambiguity; while the broad
definition of geoengineering offered by factor-4 participants could be read as a
different type of boundary work actually aimed at increasing the ambiguity of
the term.
Scholte et al (2012) argue that ‘ambivalence’ about geoengineering is a frame in
and of itself (characterised by the presentation of arguments for and against
geoengineering within one text), and they suggest that the increasing
prevalence of ‘the ambivalence frame’ above other framings of geoengineering
articles in newspapers, provides hope for increasing reflexivity in the debate.
We concur that ambivalence is a characteristic of the discourse as a whole, as
indicated by the co-existence of multiple divergent normative positions within
the debate. However, counter to the argument made by Scholte et al,
ambivalence is not here understood as a singular way of framing geoengineering
in and of itself. The relatively high number of so-called ‘confounders’
(individuals whose Q sorts correlated with more than one frame), that emerged
from the analysis presented here, could be interpreted as revealing different
forms of ambivalence with respect to these framings. However, ambivalence
with respect to the framings described here need not correspond to an individual
being ambivalent about geoengineering per se, although equally, this may be
the case in some instances. The existence of these ambivalences might best be
interpreted as a degree of instability in the discourse, suggesting that the
meanings attributed to geoengineering are still in some senses quite negotiable.
Within the four frames uncovered by this study, there emerges clear (nonambivalent) support for, and opposition to geoengineering represented by the
polarised factors 2 and 3. In addition, the positions represented by factors 1
and 4, rather than being distinguished by ambivalence, may actually be
interpreted instead as clear efforts to formulate non-ambivalent positions with
respect to different issues within the geoengineering discourse. For example, this
may be by discriminating in more detail between particular technologies (to
allow non-ambivalence on each). Or it may be through seeking to elucidate a
discriminating normative position in relation to specific issues such as the
controllability/knowability of the climate, the neutrality or otherwise of research,
and the role of technology in society, each of which also has the effect of
reducing ambivalence in particular instances.
The existence of the framing exemplified by factor 4, also problematises the
frequent calls for increasing precision around the term geoengineering as a prerequisite for effective governance discussion. This is because it highlights how no
one framework for partitioning of the term geoengineering into sub-categories
can in itself be thought of as final. The commonly used CDR/SRM distinction, for
instance, or even to the level of ‘individual’ technologies, only makes sense from
within particular frames. Alternative partitionings of the overarching field, like
those defined under factor 4, may cross-cut such a taxonomy – and each other.
So any one form of precision may reduce particular ambiguities, but leave others
unaddressed – or even compound them. Calls for greater precision must
therefore be interrogated as to particular axes of precision involved and their
implications. And it cannot be assumed that precision in and of itself will remedy
ambiguity.
Axes of difference
Hulme (2008) argues that the prospective routes held out to us for dealing with
climate change all have ‘connotations of global control and mastery of the
climatic future’ (p. 12), and this observation is borne out of the factors that
emerged from this study, in which various ideas around the issue of control
constitute one of the axes of difference between the framings. Unsurprisingly
perhaps, the starkest contrast is between the polarised views of factor 2 and 3,
although interestingly notions of control are arguably central to both, with the
former affirming the notion that ‘we can and should control the climate’, and the
latter affirming the notion that ‘we can and should control the research.’ Hence
the factor-2 framing of geoengineering as ‘planetary maintenance engineering’
[6], and its emphasis on the human ability to create complex control systems
[30], building on an ever increasing scientific sophistication allowing greater
understanding of complexity [17]. Conversely the factor-3 framing emphasizes
what is perceived to be the folly of attempts to control nature [1, 15], the
irreducible complexity and chaos of the climate system [17], and human
fallibility in attempting to create complex control systems in the past [30]. The
roles are reversed when the focus becomes control of research and other
geoengineering activities, with the factor-2 framing emphasizing what is felt to
be the ‘counterproductive’ nature of attempts to ban on geoengineering which
would result in testing carried out in secrecy [34], and the inappropriateness of
a moratorium on geoengineering [25], while the factor-3 framing emphasizes
the perceived necessity of strong controls on research. With regard to the
degree to which this control of research is believed to be possible, one
participant commented:
‘It may be true that it’s not fully enforceable but it has very powerful norm
setting… it’s very important to set that as the standard.’
While rejecting the ‘planetary maintenance’ metaphor, the factor-1 and 4
framings diverge somewhat in their view of the feasibility of achieving climate
control, with more reticence being expressed within the factor-4 framing, about
the possibilities for either knowledge of complexity [17], and control of the
climate [30].
The concept of research represents another fault line or tension between the
framings. Given that much discussion of geoengineering occurs in academic
journals, and much of the discussion is about research of various types and
disciplines, Geoengineering is thus framed by many as being ‘at the research
stage’, and in particular factor 1 participants appeared to adhere to this view.
Thus for example, a fairly typical factor-1 viewpoint was expressed thus:
‘I would be paranoid and scared of anybody saying we're going to start
geoengineering tomorrow, but I'd be just as worried about someone
saying we're going to outlaw any research on geoengineering. We need
to do this research. Whether or not we actually do anything with the
research is another matter. But in case we need to geoengineer, we
should do the research now. Because when you're doing it in a panic and
you think you've only got 20 years before London is underwater, you're
not going to do science as well as when you think we might not need to
do this, you can actually sit back and concentrate and take a slightly
longer term view of it’.
The emphasis on research is broadly shared by factors 1, 2 and 4, as illustrated
by factor scores for statements 3, 12, and 33, but is problematized by factor 3 in
particular, and to a lesser extent factor 4 (statements 16 and 37). Thus a factor
3 participant commented about research:
‘[research] creates a dynamic where you're moving towards something, it
creates the beginnings of almost an industry of people who have invested
in all of that.’
And the same participant was keen to unpick the term, asking ‘what’s hidden in
the term research’? and commenting:
‘I think it’s a very deliberate, the term [research] gets kept together, and
by being kept together it means that people who actually don't ever want
to move to some kind of experimentation should nonetheless feel they
have to support that statement [3] … it speaks to scientific freedom and
all these kind of things, which of course and if you’re in academia are
deeply important and rightly so, but I think it’s a deliberate strategy to
keep that language obscure’.
The way in which geoengineering is framed (particularly but not exclusively by
factor 1 participants) as being at the research stage, also feeds into ideas about
the degree to which geoengineering represents something fundamentally new
and untried, or is a continuation/the latest manifestation of practices and ideas
with a long history. Of the four framings uncovered by this study, the emphasis
on continuity is most apparent within the factor-3 and 4 framings, while as
outlined above, 1 and 2 appear to emphasize research and novelty. For
example, factor 3 was distinctive among the four factors in awarding neither a
positive nor negative ranking to statement 7 (that deliberate geoengineering has
been happening for decades and was not all about dealing with climate change).
Interview data and comments from participants who loaded on factor 3 point to
a division over exactly what this means. One view was characterised by the
following comments:
‘Geoengineering technologies patented decades ago have been and are
being used covertly as political/economic/military weapons. This is
obvious to anyone who studies the sky and knows the history of
weather/climate modification development. Look up!’
Although not all factor-3 participants shared this view, the issue of continuity
with other technologies and the idea that the issue was broader than the current
climate change focus might suggest were shared. Hence another factor 3
participant commented:
‘I do think there’s other interests in geoengineering other than climate
change, particularly commercial interests. I think there’s an attempt to
create new markets in the longer term, there is military interest… I don’t
think they’ve been spraying but I do think it’s not all about climate
change. There’s more reasons to want to have geoengineering as a tool in
the box than climate change’.
The distinction between geoengineering, weather modification and so-called
‘chemtrails’ theories is worthy of a brief note at this point. As a subject
discussed and debated by governments, think-tanks and academics,
geoengineering in all its ambiguity appears to have acquired widespread
credibility as a ‘serious’ (Keith & Dowlatabadi 1992) scientific subject. Weather
modification on the other hand, has a relatively less authoritative status,
occasionally presented as a ‘pseudo-science’, associated with an array of more
or less credible characters driven by a variety of more or less honourable
intentions (Fleming 2006). While finally the ‘chemtrail’ theory (positing the
existence of a global network of weather modification for nefarious ends), lacks
credibility and authority and is widely labelled (dismissively) as a conspiracy
theory. However, as this examination of the multiple framings of geoengineering
has revealed, the boundaries around terms and activities are by no means clear
cut or un-ambiguous, and on-going boundary work (c.f. Gieryn 1983) is required
to maintain the distinction between terms in such a way as to maintain the
epistemic authority of certain actors.
Interview comments from factor-4 participants reveal a view that is more explicit
about the fluid and blurred nature of the boundaries between different activities:
‘We’re already geoengineering the climate … I mean we do a lot to try and
change the climate system, we dam rivers, we irrigate large parts of
farmland that changes the local climate, we deforest. In the western US I
think there’s 169 weather modification project that try to improve rainfall,
China does it systematically…’
And when questioned further about the distinctiveness of weather modification
from geoengineering, the same participant highlighted the continuum between
them and the constructed character of notions of ‘climate’, by commenting:
‘Weather is events and climate is statistics…’
The distinction between weather modification and geoengineering is also brought
into question by the following comment made by a factor-1 participant:
‘[The Chinese] are raising from 70 million to 500 million a year the
amount they’re spending on their weather modification program, and once
you get to half a billion dollars a year, you’re actually talking about
something that on aggregate could have a significant effect.. Assume it’s
effective , you’re now at a stage where you’re modifying local weather
sufficiently over a long enough period that it’s kind of like a
geoengineering intervention […] I think we’re going to back-step into
geoengineering in that way.’
The emphasis on novelty or continuity in different framings of geoengineering is
intimately connected to different framings of the interests and motivations at
play, and this is another axis of difference along which the framings uncovered
by this study can be seen to diverge. Again, factors 3 and 4 are united by a
shared framing of the potential for non-climate change related application of
geoengineering technologies, including military applications.
But beyond more radical uses of geoengineering technologies for purposes other
than combating climate change, a key distinguishing characteristic of the factor3 perspective is that geoengineering – both the technologies it comprises and
the attitude it is understood to represent – is an explicitly political project. The
framing of the issue is understood to be a key component of that project. As a
participant explained:
‘On the pro-geoengineering side I think there is a small core of
ideologically motivated and politically smart and active people who are
moving people intentionally, particularly in the whole framing game in
very careful ways … while there is a lot of naivety and good intention
throughout the discussion there’s also some very active interests… I can
see some evidence of that. That sounds conspiratorial, it’s not … it’s just
looking at the political economy of discussions around climate change’.
Finally, various authors have noted the use of a real or hypothetical climate
emergency as a powerful framing device within which geoengineering
interventions are situated, and similarly the existence of a climate emergency
was an important element of one of the framings (factor 2) that emerged from
this study. The following comment typifies this element of the framing:
‘The risks from the climate are infinitely worse than the risks from
geoengineering, I mean that’s absolutely obvious. I say infinitely because
that means the end of everything, end of civilisation possibly all human
life, I mean it’s as serious as that […] Long term it’s a catastrophe.
However, although interviews reveal that the urgency of the climate predicament
is clearly important for many people, it appears that the framing of the issue in
terms of emergency is being consciously rejected by all but factor-2 participants
[statement 48]. For example, one factor-1 participant commented: ‘I think the
whole idea of a climate emergency is really kind of counter-productive.’ Another
hinted at a more strategic view of framing by commenting that it was not a
question of whether emergency was a reality or not, but whether or not the
emergency frame was helpful for achieving particular ends:
‘I think people are consciously stepping away from [the emergency
framing] because it’s become clear that different ideas about what
emergency means makes the term useless… It’s difficult to use
emergency to promote particular actions.’
However, although emergency was rejected as a valid framing of the issue by
participants that loaded on factors 1 and 4, the idea of a hypothetical future
emergency still featured within these views as a rationale for research
[statement 19]. Participants loading on factor 3 rejected any emergency
rationale (either present or future) for geoengineering. One participant
explained why he considered the climate emergency framing to be problematic:
‘The dangerous things to do with geoengineering, is to frame it … only to
be a climate discussion, because if you do then it becomes this unidimensional, you know, climate change has got terribly bad, we need to
have a fix for it, everything gets arbitrated within this very narrow climate
thing, but what your changing is the planet, or you know, large parts of it,
which are much more than about climate, climate is just one factor.’
Significant silences
It is worth noting that a number of people involved with critical environmental
NGO’s, who were invited to take part in this study did not respond to invitations
to participate, and hence it is likely that there may be a number of significant
silences or gaps in the research presented. The reasons for individuals’
reticence about involvement (whether about the subject matter, this particular
study, or the Geoengineering Governance Project more broadly) were not
specified and thus can only be the subject of conjecture. However, Walker and
Shrove point out that involvement of a broad range of stakeholders in
participatory projects and processes, can raise a number of issues, with the
potential for inclusion to be ‘re-interpreted as a process of co-option and
neutering of dissent, producing deeply problematic tensions for those taking
part’ (Walker & Shrove 2007, p.221). Indeed the issue of co-option was one that
was raised explicitly by a factor 3 participant, who argued that much of the
discussion around geoengineering was being manipulated by people interested in
slowing down and confusing governance of climate change; and that hence even
being drawn into these discussions would be to play into the hands of these
interests. He commented:
‘There's a lot of well-intentioned people, who are caught up in the
discussion and I think to some extent are being used, and some of them
are letting themselves be used...’
If then, one views the conversation itself as a massive distraction from existing
governance discussions around climate change, then perhaps silence and nonparticipation in that conversation, as embodied by refusals to participate in just
such processes and projects as this one, can be read as an effective form of
dissent (c.f. J. Whelan & Lyons 2005).
Conclusion
Fischer and Hajer (1999, p.2) argued that although conceptually weak, the term
‘sustainable development’ created a generative metaphor or story-line around
which different interests could converge, and thus proved to be a very functional
concept. Arguably the same might be said of the term ‘geoengineering’ (on a
smaller, subordinate and more idiosyncratic canvas). As this study has
illustrated, geoengineering has a fluid and ambiguous set of meanings and is
framed by different actors in a number of ways. Interestingly (and unlike
‘sustainability’), the convening power of the term seems equally potent in two
opposing directions. This evident polarity within the debate as revealed by the
existence of factors 2 and 3, appears to indicate a ‘framing gulf’ across which
actors are likely to ‘talk past one another’ rather than engage meaningfully (c.f.
Hoffman 2011).
However, it is also the case that the existence of additional framings not defined
purely along this axis of difference suggests an emerging resistance among
certain actors to the debate becoming polarised in this way. These alternative
framings appear to be seeking either to increase (in the case of factor 4) or
decrease (in the case of factor 1) the ambiguity of the term, but given the
multiple framings and meanings within the term, the latter is unlikely ever to be
fully realizable. Unlike the picture suggested by Scholte et al. (2013), who
suggest that what they call ‘the ambivalence frame may prove to be less
powerful than other frames that evoke strong positive or negative feelings’, our
findings suggest that ambivalence is not best seen as a frame in and of itself
able to garner or lose support. Rather, along with ambiguity, it is a more
pervasive and fundamental feature of the discursive landscape of
geoengineering.
Interviews have highlighted the diversity of actors broadly ascribing to shared
framings of geoengineering, which might suggest the coming into existence of
various discourse coalitions (F. Fischer & Forester 1993) around the term, linking
otherwise disparate actors and networks through certain shared narratives and
the utilisation of certain discursive resources (e.g. the narrative of the neutrality/
normative desirability of ‘research’ linking disparate groups within factor 1, or
the narrative of the essentially undemocratic nature of engineering at the
planetary scale, linking groups within factor 3). And that the ambiguous nature
and interpretative flexibility of the term facilitates this process by allowing
individuals with perhaps little in common, to speak the same language or
advance shared interests. Clearly there is also a danger here of co-option of
certain actors by others utilizing particular framing devices strategically to
garner support for a particular view.
Finally there may be significant silences in the picture presented, and evidence
of a desire for non-engagement in debates around geoengineering, which might
have implications for future work on public engagement.
References
Addams, H. & Proops, J., 2000. Social discourse and environmental policy: an
application of Q methodology, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.
Baker, S. et al., 1997. The Politics of Sustainable Development, London:
Routledge.
Barry, J. & Proops, J., 1999. Seeking sustainability discourses with Q
methodology. Ecological Economics, 28(3), pp.337–345.
Bellamy, R. et al., 2012. Appraising Geoengineering. Tyndall Centre for Climate
Change Research, Working Paper, (June).
Benford, R.D. & Snow, D.A., 2000. Framing processes and social movements: An
overview and assessment. Annual Review of Sociology, 26, pp.611 – 639.
Brand, R. & Fischer, J., 2012. Overcoming the technophilia/technophobia split in
environmental discourse. Environmental Politics, (November 2012), pp.1–
20.
Brown, S.R., 1970. On the use of variance designs in Q methodology.
Psychological Record, 20, pp.179–189.
Brown, S.R., 1980. Political Subjectivity: Applications of Q methodology in
political science, New Haven and London: Yale University Press.
Brown, S.R., 1986. Q technique and method: Principles and procedures. In W.
D. Berry & M. S. Lewis-Beck, eds. New tools for social scientists: Advances
and applications in research methods. Beverly Hills: Sage, pp. 57–76.
Brown, S.R., 1971. The forced-free distinction in Q technique. Journal of
Educational Measurement, 8(4), pp.283–287.
Buck, H.J., 2013. Climate engineering: spectacle, tragedy, or solution? A content
analysis of news media framing. In C. Methmann, D. Rothe, & B Stephen,
eds. (De-)Constructing the Greenhouse: interpretative approaches to global
climate governance. London: Routledge.
Burt, C., 1972. The reciprocity principle. In S. R. Brown & D. J. Brenner, eds.
Science, psychology and communication. New York: Teachers College Press.
Collins, H.M. & Yearley, S., 1992. Epistemological Chicken. In A. Pickering, ed.
Science as practice and culture. Chicago, USA: University of Chicago Press,
pp. 301–326.
Dayton, B.W., 2000. Policy Frames, Policy Making and the Global Climate
Change Discourse. In H. Addams & J. Proops, eds. Social discourse and
environmental policy: an application of Q methodology. Cheltenham, UK:
Edward Elgar Publishing, Inc.
Dryzek, J.S. & Berejikian, J., 1993. Reconstructive Democratic Theory. The
American Political Science Review, 87(1), pp.48–60.
Eden, S., Donaldson, A. & Walker, G., 2005. Structuring subjectivities? Using Q
methodology in human geography. Area, 37(4), pp.413–422.
Edenhofer, O. et al., 2012. Meeting Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change Expert Meeting on Geoengineering, Lima.
Entman, R., 2004. Projections of power: Framing news, public opinion, and US
foreign policy, Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Fischer, F. & Forester, J., 1993. The argumentative turn in policy analysis and
planning, Routledge.
Fleming, J.R., 2006. The pathological history of weather and climate
modification : Three cycles of promise and hype. Historical Studies in the
Physical and Biological Sciences, 37(1).
GAO, 2010. Climate Change: A Coordinated Strategy Could Focus Federal
Geoengineering Research and Inform Governance Efforts. Report to the
Chairman, Committee on Science and Technology, House of
Representatives, Washington D.C.
Gardiner, S.M., 2011. Some Early Ethics of Geoengineering the Climate : A
Commentary on the Values of the Royal Society Report. Environmental
Values, 20, pp.163–188.
Gieryn, T.F., 1983. Boundary-Work and the Demarcation of Science from NonScience : Strains and Interests in Professional Ideologies of Scientists.
American Sociological Review, 48(6), pp.781–795.
Goffman, E., 1974. Frame analysis: An essay on the organization of experience,
Harper & Row.
Gruber, J., 2011. Perspectives of effective and sustainable community-based
natural resource management: an application of Q methodology to forest
projects. Conservation and Society, 9(2), pp.159–171.
Hajer, M. & Fischer, F., 1999. Living with nature: Environmental politics as
cultural discourse. In F. Fischer & M. A. Hajer, eds. Living with nature:
environmental politics as cultural discourse. New York: Oxford University
Press, pp. 1–20.
Hajer, M.A., 1997. The Politics of Environmental Discourse: Ecological
Modernization and the Policy Process, Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Hoffman, A.J., 2011. Talking Past Each Other? Cultural Framing of Skeptical and
Convinced Logics in the Climate Change Debate. Organization &
Environment, 24(1), pp.3–33.
Hogan, A., 2010. A comparison of offline and online Q factors. Paper read at the
International Society for the Scientific Study of Subjectivity (ISSSS) 26th
Annual Q Conference, Akron, OH, USA, October 7-9, pp.1–6.
Hoppe, R., 1999. Argumentative turn. Policy analysis, science and politics: from
“speaking truth to power” to “making sense together”. Science and Public
Policy, 26(3), pp.201–210.
Hulme, M., 2008. The conquering of climate: discourses of fear and their
dissolution. The Geographical Journal, 174(1), pp.5–16.
Huttunen, S. & Hilden, Mikael, 2012. Framing geoengineering in academic
literature (DRAFT).
Keith, D. & Dowlatabadi, H., 1992. A serious look at geoengineering. Eos,
Transactions American Geophysical Union, 73(27), pp.292 –293.
Long, J. et al., 2011. Geoengineering: A national strategic plan for research on
the potential effectiveness, feasibility, and consequences of climate
remediation technologies, Washington D.C.
Luokkanen, M., Huttunen, S., Hildén, M., et al., 2013. Geoengineering, news
media and metaphors: Framing the controversial. Public Understanding of
Science.
Luokkanen, M., Huttunen, S. & Hildén, M., 2013. Geoengineering, news media
and metaphors – framing the controversial. Public Understanding of Science.
Nerlich, B. & Jaspal, R., 2012. Metaphors we die by? Geoengineering,
metaphors, and the argument from catastrophe. Metaphor and Symbol,
27(2), pp.131–147.
Ockwell, D.G., 2008. “Opening up” policy to reflexive appraisal: a role for Q
Methodology? A case study of fire management in Cape York, Australia.
Policy Science, 41(4), pp.263–292.
Porter, K. & Hulme, M., 2013. The emergence of the geoengineering debate in
the UK print media: a frame analysis. The Geographical Journal, online ver.
Reber, B.H., Kaufman, S.E. & Cropp, F., 2000. Assessing Q-Assessor: A
Validation Study of Computer-Based Q Sorts versus Paper Sorts. Operant
Subjectivity, 23(4), pp.192 – 209.
Robbins, P. & Krueger, R., 2000. Beyond bias? The promise and limits of Q
method in human geography. The Professional Geographer, 52(4), pp.636–
648.
Rydin, Y., 1999. Can we talk ourselves into sustainability? The role of discourse
in the environmental policy process. Environmental Values, 8, pp.467–484.
Sarewitz, D., 2011. The voice of science: let’s agree to disagree. Nature, 478(7),
p.2011.
Schmolck, P., 2002. PQMethod 2.11. Downloaded from http://www.lrzmuenchen.de/~schmolck/qmethod/downpqx.htm.
Scholte, S., Vasileiadou, E. & Petersen, A., 2012. Opening Up the Societal
Debate on Climate Engineering: How Newspaper Frames are Changing.
SSRN Electronic Journal, pp.1–28.
Scholte, S., Vasileiadou, E. & Petersen, A.C., 2013. Opening up the societal
debate on climate engineering: how newspaper frames are changing.
Journal of Integrative Environmental Sciences, (February 2013), pp.1–16.
Schön, D.A. & Rein, M., 1995. Frame reflection: Toward the resolution of
intractable policy controversies, Basic Books.
Shepherd, J. et al., 2009. Geoengineering the climate: science, governance and
uncertainty, London: The Royal Society.
Sikka, T., 2012. A critical discourse analysis of geoengineering advocacy. Critical
Discourse Studies, 9(2), pp.163–175.
Stephenson, W., 1935. Correlating persons instead of tests. Character and
Personality, 4(1), pp.17–24.
Stirling, A., 2007. “Opening Up” and “Closing Down”: Power, Participation, and
Pluralism in the Social Appraisal of Technology. Science, Technology &
Human Values, 33(2), pp.262–294.
Swedeen, P., 2006. Post-normal science in practice: A Q study of the potential
for sustainable forestry in Washington State, USA. Ecological Economics,
57(2), pp.190–208.
Van Tubergen, G.N. & Olins, R.A., 1979. Mail vs personal interview
administration for Q sorts: a comparative study. Operant Subjectivity, 2(2),
pp.51 – 59.
Walker, G. & Shrove, E., 2007. Ambivalence, sustainability and the governance
of sociotechnical transitions. Journal of Environmental Policy and Planning,
9(3-4), pp.213 – 225.
Watts, S. & Stenner, P., 2005. Doing Q methodology: theory, method and
interpretation. Qualitative Research in Psychology, 2(1), pp.67–91.
Webler, T. et al., 2009. Using Q Method to Reveal Social Perspectives in
Environmental Research.
Whelan, J. & Lyons, K., 2005. Community engagement or community action:
Choosing not to play the game. Environmental Politics, 14(5), pp.596–610.
Appendix: Participant list
Name
Adrian Tuck
Andrew Lockley
Andy Boston
Angus Ferraro
Ben Parker
Catherine Scott
Cathy Johnson
Clare Heyward (CGG)
Hayley Stevenson
Hiroshi Mizutani
Holly Buck
James Greyson
Professional self-description
and discipline (where
applicable)
Professor, physical chemistry
and meteorology
Internet Marketing Consultant/
moderator of Geoengineering
Google group
Technical Head, Business
Modelling
PhD researcher, meteorology
and climate science
Post-doctoral research fellow,
climate modelling
PhD researcher, atmospheric
sciences
Climate science researcher
Research Fellow, political
philosophy
Lecturer, politics
Professor of biogeochemistry and
sociogeochemistry
PhD researcher, development
sociology
Consultant
Jim Thomas
Research Fellow/ Deputy
Director, Centre for Engineering
Policy, physics/policy
Research programme manager
John Nissen
Chairman
Jon Taylor
Jolene Cook
Climate change programme
manager
Researcher, climate science
Masahiro Sugiyama
Researcher
Matt Woodhouse
Research Fellow, atmospheric
chemistry
Freelance journalist
Jason Blackstock
(CGG)
Max Mogren
Institution/organisation
(where applicable)
Imperial College London, UK
Business Angel consulting, UK
E.ON, UK
Reading University, UK
University of Leeds, UK
University of Leeds, UK
Department for Energy and
Climate Change, UK
Oxford University, UK
Sheffield University, UK
Nihon University, Japan
Cornell University, US
Blindspot thinktank & Carbon
Gold, UK
University College London, UK
Etc Group, Canada
Arctic Methane Emergency
Group, UK
WWF, UK
Department for Energy and
Climate Change, UK
Central Research Institute of
Electric Power Industry, Japan
University of Leeds, UK
NA
Friends of the Earth, UK
Paul Appleby
Head of Policy, Research and
Science
Head of Energy Economics
Peter Davidson
Consultant chemical engineer
Davidson technologies, UK
Peter Healey (CGG)
Research Fellow, sociology
Oxford University, UK
Phil Renforth
Oxford University, UK
Piers Forster
Research Fellow, civil
engineering/geochemistry
Professor, atmospheric sciences
Richard Mountford
Founder/ director
2percent for the planet, UK
Mike Childs
BP, UK
University of Leeds, UK
Roger Pielke
Professor, environmental studies
University of Colorado, US
Ronal Larson
Consultant/ coordinator of Yahoo
discussion group on biochar
PhD researcher, atmospheric
physics
Science journalist
Larson Consulting , US
Programme manager /James
Martin Fellow, Oxford
Geoengineering Programme
Lecturer, communication
Oxford University, UK
Research Fellow, geoengineering
governance
Oxford University, UK
Simon Driscoll
Stephen Battersby
Tim Kruger
Tina Sikka
Nils Markusson (CGG)
Oxford University, UK
New Scientist, UK
Simon Fraser University, Canada
(CGG) indicates a participant associated with the Climate Change Governance project.