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Greenhouse gas (GHGs) emissions from forestry and other land uses, contributed 17% in 1970 and 11% in 2010 of total global GHG emissions, reflecting a clear global trend towards reducing emissions in this sector. The mechanism for Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation and its variants (REDD-plus), derailed the climate regime, when articulating the strengthening of biogenic carbon sinks´ activities with compensation schemes of fossil fuel emissions. To counteract criticism of REDD-plus initiatives for its dubious contribution to effective mitigation, and its local negative impacts, it has resorted to 'relabelling" to hide its shortcomings and gain public acceptance. The Salvadoran government accounted in the Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC) to the Paris Agreement, targets by 2030 of tree cover-conservation of 27% and forest carbon stocks increase of 25% of the national territory; which should not be used to offset fossil emissions under the Bonn Challenge, via REDD-plus, to avoid double counting of carbon.
Environmental Research Letters, 2007
Carbon emissions from deforestation and degradation account for about 20% of global anthropogenic emissions. Strategies and incentives for reduced emissions from deforestation and degradation (REDD) have emerged as one of the most active areas in the international climate change negotiations under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). While the current negotiations focus on a REDD mechanism in developing countries, it should be recognized that risks of carbon losses from forests occur in all climate zones and also in industrialized countries. A future climate change agreement would be more effective if it included all carbon losses and gains from land use in all countries and climate zones. The REDD mechanism will be an important step towards reducing emissions from land use change in developing countries, but needs to be followed by steps in other land use systems and regions. A national approach to REDD and significant coverage globally are needed to deal with the risk that deforestation and degradation activities are displaced rather than avoided. Favourable institutional and governance conditions need to be established that guarantee in the long-term a stable incentive and control system for maintaining forest carbon stocks. Ambitious emission reductions from deforestation and forest degradation need sustained financial incentives, which go beyond positive incentives for reduced emissions but also give incentives for sustainable forest management. Current data limitations need-and can be-overcome in the coming years to allow accurate accounting of reduced emissions from deforestation and degradation. A proper application of the conservativeness approach in the REDD context could allow a simplified reporting of emissions from deforestation in a first phase, consistent with the already agreed UNFCCC reporting principles.
2012
The Durban Platform and the Cancun Agreement adopted REDD-plus as an option for climate change mitigation designed to offset emissions in developed countries by reducing emissions from the forestry sector in developing countries, even though the mechanism has serious inherent problems that make it ineffective for climate change mitigation, such as leakeage, lack of additionality, measurability complexity and temporality. El Salvador has get involved into the issue of REDD-plus by incorporating to the mechanism of the Forest Carbon Partnership Facility (FCPF) of the World Bank (WB), which is routed to purchase and trade carbon credits directly in the carbon markets or through brokerage funds, such as the Forest Carbon Fund (FCF) to offset emissions in developed countries. Such approach seeks the commodification of nature through the commercialization of carbon stored in ecosystems and territories from which indigenous, rural and farming communities depend for survival. The adoption of REDD-plus in El Salvador would be arising unlinked to the strategic policy framework on climate change, and without the best technical, scientific and methodological knowledge nor social legitimating as to ensure its viability and effective implementation. The lack of such a framework and an appropriate environmental policy for addressing climate change effectively in the country, has led to the execution of actions improvised, scattered, and unrelated to the legal mandates and commitments under international climate change treaties, as evidenced by the preparation without consultation by the Ministry of Environment and Natural Resources (MARN) of the proposal (R-PP) to the FCPF for an eventual REDD-plus strategy, without a previous analysis on potential social, economic, political and environmental implications and impacts at local, national and global levels. The proposal has serious misconceptions and scientific and technical failures which are insurmountable even under the lax criteria of the FCPF. They summarize in four substantive issues: the approach of "Mitigation based on Adaptation", which does not consider climate change and lacks scientific methodology foundation to properly address adaptation; the weaknesses and gaps in the climate change strategic and political framework of the country; the direct link to international trade mechanisms for offsetting emissions from developed countries, and the failings of the establishment of an information system to monitor and report on the approach and enforcement of the seven REDD-plus safeguards. This explains why the REDD-plus proposed for the country would generate greater vulnerability, impacts and maladaptation to climate change, posing serious threats to environmental governance. The disrespect of the safeguards adopted in the multilateral process and the weakening of global efforts to mitigate climate change effectively, which would result from the eventual implementation of the proposed National Strategy for REDD-plus in the country, as has been made by the MARN, legitimize their rejection and the requirement to adopt the national strategic framework for comprehensive and effective approach to climate change.
2010
PNAS, 2020
Reducing emissions from deforestation and forest degradation (REDD+) has gained international attention over the past decade, as manifested in both United Nations policy discussions and hundreds of voluntary projects launched to earn carbon-offset credits. There are ongoing discussions about whether and how projects should be integrated into national climate change mitigation efforts under the Paris Agreement. One consideration is whether these projects have generated additional impacts over and above national policies and other measures. To help inform these discussions, we compare the crediting baselines established ex-ante by voluntary REDD+ projects in the Brazilian Amazon to counterfactuals constructed ex-post based on the quasi-experimental synthetic control method. We find that the crediting baselines assume consistently higher deforestation than counterfactual forest loss in synthetic control sites. This gap is partially due to decreased deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon during the early implementation phase of the REDD+ projects considered here. This suggests that forest carbon finance must strike a balance between controlling conservation investment risk and ensuring the environmental integrity of carbon emission offsets. Relatedly, our results point to the need to better align project-and national-level carbon accounting. impact evaluation | synthetic control | payment for environmental services | carbon credit | deforestation C oncerns over global warming have led both the public and private sectors to promote climate change mitigation through the reduction of carbon (CO 2) emissions from deforestation and forest degradation in tropical countries-a concept known as REDD+ (1). This strategy gained international attention after 2005 as a voluntary, performance-based payment mechanism for reduced carbon emissions (2). While the regulations and capacity for national REDD+ programs are still under development in many countries, hundreds of voluntary, subnational REDD+ projects are operational worldwide (3). These projects intend to preserve forests through a variety of activities, e.g., improved monitoring and control, promotion of sustainable land uses, and engagement of local communities (4), either as proof of concept or to profit from the commercialization of "carbon-offset credits" (i.e., Mg CO 2 removed from or not emitted to the atmosphere) in a variety of markets. While these markets do not provide the level of funding originally envisioned for national REDD+ programs, they are substantial: In 2018 alone, the volume of carbon offsets traded totaled 98.4 million Mg CO 2 , with a market value of US$295.7 million; a third of those credits (30.5 million Mg CO 2) were generated by REDD+ projects (5). The Paris Agreement has raised thorny questions about how the carbon emission reductions claimed by these projects relate to nationally determined contributions (NDCs) and national greenhouse gas (GHG) emission inventories reported to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (6-8). Carbon credits from REDD+ [at both the project and national levels (1)] are issued based on performance, as defined by the comparison of realized forest cover to a baseline scenario constructed by projecting the forest cover expected in the absence of REDD+ (9). These baseline scenarios typically assume a continuation of historical deforestation trends (10), and thus eventually become unrealistic counterfactuals as the regional economic and political context change. Notably, these types of changes were observed in the Brazilian Amazon during 2004-2012, a period of sharply declining rates of forest loss (11), and also during 2019, when deforestation soared again (12) (Fig. 1). Consequently, credits for reduced deforestation (or lack thereof) claimed by voluntary REDD+ projects in the Brazilian Amazon may have been artifacts of external factors rather than REDD+ activities. Furthermore, critics of voluntary REDD+ projects have raised concerns that deforestation baselines might be intentionally inflated by profiteers seeking to financially benefit from the commercialization of superfluous credits, or "hot air" (13-15). In addition to the direct cost of not effectively offsetting GHG emissions, the excess credits generated by these projects impose an indirect cost on legitimate climate change mitigation efforts by undercutting the price of their credits. Early efforts to address these concerns included the establishment of standards and registries for voluntary carbon-offset projects. These standards were designed to ensure the environmental integrity of carbon offsets by requiring projects to use approved carbon-accounting methodologies for establishing deforestation baselines, monitoring, and reporting, all subject to third-party audits. Among those, the verified carbon standard Significance There are efforts to integrate the reduced carbon emissions from avoided deforestation claimed by voluntary REDD+ projects into national greenhouse gas emission inventories. This requires careful consideration of whether and how much of the reduced carbon emissions can be attributed to projects. However , credible evidence on the effectiveness of such voluntary activities is limited. We adopted the quasi-experimental synthetic control method to examine the causal effects of 12 voluntary REDD+ projects in the Brazilian Amazon. We compared these ex-post estimates of impacts with the reductions in forest loss claimed by those projects based on ex-ante baselines. Results suggest that the accepted methodologies for quantifying carbon credits overstate impacts on avoided deforestation and climate change mitigation.
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2000
Rapid reductions in global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions will be needed if the nations of the world are to succeed in reducing the risks of climate change. Globally, tropical deforestation and land-use change causes approximately 15% of annual GHG emissions. Many scientists, economists, and policymakers agree that reducing tropical deforestation can significantly reduce GHG emissions in a cost-effective manner. Because the development of a new international climate treaty that could take effect when the Kyoto Protocol's first commitment period sunsets at the end of this year continues to be delayed, efforts now are under way outside the formal international negotiations conducted under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change to realize the potential for reduced emissions from deforestation and degradation and additional forest carbon sequestration (REDD+) activities to reduce near-term GHG emissions. One of the most promising alternative pathways to begin to realize this potential and provide proof-of-concept that REDD+ could become an important source of low-cost, high-volume GHG emissions offsets is the Governors' Climate and Forests Task Force (GCF). The GCF is composed of representatives from 16 states and provinces of Brazil, Indonesia, Mexico, Nigeria, Peru, and the United States, including 14 states and provinces located in tropical forest nations that are developing jurisdiction-wide REDD+ programs capable of coming into alignment with California's new statewide GHG cap-and-trade program and other emerging market and non-market opportunities. This report reviews the status of these REDD+ programs, assesses progress made toward the development of nine essential components of REDD+ programs, and evaluates the potential of these programs to provide high-quality GHG emissions offsets that could be used for compliance purposes in emerging GHG cap-and-trade systems in California and elsewhere or transferred into other systems of performance-based compensation. The report presents four detailed case studies of evolving REDD+ programs. It includes the two states (Acre, Brazil, and Chiapas, Mexico) that have signed a memorandum of understanding to link their REDD+ programs with California's new GHG cap-and-trade system. It also includes the state that has achieved the greatest emissions reductions (Mato Grosso, Brazil) and one of the most mature REDD+ programs in Indonesia (Aceh).
Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 2014
The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) recently published its Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) which concluded that warming of the earth's climate is now unequivocal, and that it is clear that this is due to emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs) from human activities, particularly from the last half of the 20th century onwards (IPCC 2013). Atmospheric concentrations of the GHGs, which include carbon dioxide (CO 2), methane (CH 4), and nitrous oxide (N 2 O), are higher than any time over the last 650,000 years. Rapid increases in the emissions, especially in Asia, of short-lived gases such as sulphur dioxide that have a net cooling effect may temporarily slow down the warming, but are no structural solution (Kaufmann et al. 2011; Klimont et al. 2013). While fossil fuel use remains the dominant concern, conversion of forests into agricultural land is also a major source of GHG emissions. Currently, a gross figure of 13 million ha of forests are lost annually, with net losses, allowing for afforestation and reforestation, at about 5.2 million ha y −1 (FAO 2010). Deforestation and degradation together release an estimated 4.4 Gt CO 2 y −1 into the atmosphere (van der Werf et al. 2009), both through the burning of the forest biomass, and from the oxidation of carbon stored in the soil under the trees during cultivation and in peatlands under drainage. Degradation, defined as decrease of density or increase of disturbance in forest classes, may represent up to 20 % of this loss (Putz et al. 2008). Other GHGs, such as CH 4 and N 2 O may also be emitted during slash-and-burn and subsequent land use. Emissions from land use change in this way represented an estimated 20 % of anthropogenic GHG emissions in the period 1990-2000, although this is now estimated to be around 12 % (2008) due to the continued rise of fossil fuel emissions (Le Quéré et al. 2009).
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