Theoretical Economics Letters, 2023, 13, 1698-1718
https://www.scirp.org/journal/tel
ISSN Online: 2162-2086
ISSN Print: 2162-2078
The Complex Phenomenon of Corruption: An
Empirical Analysis
Maria-Eleni Syrmali1, George Sfakianakis2,3, George Agiomirgianakis3,4,5
1
Department of Sociology, University of the Aegean, Mytilene, Greece
Department of Business Administration, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece
3
Hellenic Scientific Institute on the Economics of Education & Life-Long Learning, Research and Innovation, Athens, Greece
4
Department of Accounting and Finance, Hellenic Mediterranean University, Heraklion, Greece
5
School of Social Sciences, Hellenic Open University, Patras, Greece
2
How to cite this paper: Syrmali, M.-E.,
Sfakianakis, G., & Agiomirgianakis, G. (2023).
The Complex Phenomenon of Corruption:
An Empirical Analysis. Theoretical Economics Letters, 13, 1698-1718.
https://doi.org/10.4236/tel.2023.137098
Received: October 8, 2023
Accepted: December 25, 2023
Published: December 28, 2023
Copyright © 2023 by author(s) and
Scientific Research Publishing Inc.
This work is licensed under the Creative
Commons Attribution International
License (CC BY 4.0).
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Open Access
Abstract
Corruption is a complex social, economic and political phenomenon, which
exists in all countries. The structural characteristics of corruption differ between
countries. The deeper roots of corruption depend on the individual conditions
of each country, whereas they can be detected in bureaucratic tradition, economic development and social history, among others. At the policy level, the
associated reform measures are inadequate if they are not supported by the
appropriate institutional framework and good governance practices. However, in case policies that are applied in order to combat corruption fail, it evolves
from occasional to endemic problems impeding the efforts to limit corruption. In addition, fragile institutional environments flourish the conditions
strengthening systemic corruption, which has penetrated into the value system of societies.
Keywords
Corruption, Institutions, Governance, Economic Development
1. Introduction
Corruption is a global phenomenon, which reflects the level not only of economic, but also of wider social and institutional development. A key feature of
corruption is its structural nature, particularly regarding less developed countries, which are affected by structural constraints and instabilities in the economic, institutional, and broader socio-political spheres (World Bank, 1997).
The endemic nature of the problem, i.e. the embeddedness of corruption in political and social culture, limits the effectiveness of policies in order to address it
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(Uberti, 2022).
This institutional and macroeconomic view of corruption allows for its conceptual linkage with issues such as human development, as well as the income
level. Democratic institutions and social cohesion act as strategic pillars for the
formulation of appropriate policies and ensure their reliable implementation to
overcome structural weaknesses that hinder social and political development (Ades
& Di Tella, 1999). In this analytical framework, the examination of governance,
which expresses qualitative factors of development, is considered indispensable
because it provides a strong indication of the evolution of macroeconomic, structural and institutional characteristics of each economy.
Corruption is a complex concept (Lane, 2017), whereas its multiple dimensions—economic, social and political—interact, making it difficult to tackle.
However, if the necessary long-term efforts to combat corruption are not applied, its multidimensional characteristics become structural (Commission of the
European Communities, 2003). For this reason, it is necessary to identify the
deeper drivers of corruption, so that the problem to be confronted on a sustainable basis (Jain, 2001).
The root causes of corruption depend on the specific circumstances of each
country and can be traced back to bureaucratic tradition, political development
and social history. Moreover, corruption tends to spread where institutions are
weak and government policies allow for the creation of revenue (Vavouras, Manolas, Sirmali, & Sfakianakis, 2011). Institutional pathologies were already considered from the early stages of investigating the phenomenon as the most important factor that increases the potential for public officials to engage in corrupt
practices (Bliss & Di Tella, 1997). Corruption contributes to government failure
through the erosion of public institutions, social instability and exacerbation of
poverty that impedes sustainable development (United Nations Development
Programme, 2008). Corruption is, therefore, a symptom of underlying institutional weaknesses and according to the World Bank is also recognized as one of
the greatest obstacles to economic and social development (World Bank, 1992).
Historical evidence indicates that efforts to combat corruption are almost as
old as the existence of the phenomenon (Riley, 1998). It should, therefore, be
considered why corruption is more prevalent in some countries than in others,
and why, despite efforts to tackle the phenomenon, suppression of corruption is
difficult (Treisman, 2000). However, in cases where the required long-term and
targeted actions to address the phenomenon are not implemented, corruption
becomes structural, which further complicates effective policy responses to the
problem (Dixit, 2009).
The concept of governance is broad and multidimensional. However, although
the term is used extensively, there is no single and exhaustive definition due to
its complex nature (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development,
2009). However, there is a general consensus that governance refers to the way
in which power in a country is exercised. Thus, it should be noted that the conDOI: 10.4236/tel.2023.137098
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cept of governance is broader than that of government and, therefore, the two
terms are not identical (Kjaer, 2004: p. 3). According to the United Nations Development Programme (2007), governance is discerned at the national, global,
and local levels.
Most of the causes and, consequently, the policies to suppress corruption are
institutional in nature (Uslaner, 2011). Corruption can vary from an isolated act
to an endemic dysfunction of the political and economic system (Gupta, Davoodi, & Alonso-Terme, 2002). Dealing with corruption is particularly difficult
when it is systemic, i.e. when it has eroded the broader value system of society to
the extent that it is considered the norm in everyday life (World Bank, 1994). In
countries where corruption is systemic in nature, countries affected by the phenomenon are characterized by structural bottlenecks and constraints in the economic, institutional and broader socio-political sectors (Klitgaard, 1988). In addition, in this case, formal institutions, such as the legal framework, are maintained but their application in practice is often violated by the operation of informal rules, which take precedence over the formal ones (Gwartney, Hall, &
Lawson, 2010).
In the case of systemic underdevelopment, pathologies and dysfunctions are
inherent in the entire spectrum of economic and institutional systems, which operate in parallel and interconnected ways (Easterly, Ritzen, & Woolcock, 2006).
Thus, developing countries, in particular, are trapped in a vicious cycle of systemic corruption and fragile development (Campos, Lien, & Pradhan, 1999).
Corruption is more pronounced in less developed countries because of several
factors, which are prevalent in these countries that contribute to their lagged
development (Gründler & Potrafke, 2019). These conditions include large income inequalities, low income and human development, imbalances between
changing moral standards and the inefficiency of social and government enforcement mechanisms (Nye, 1967). Beyond the costs of systemic corruption, it
should be clarified that the phenomenon is a symptom of a “disease”, but not the
“disease” itself (Rose-Ackerman, 1999). This observation may possibly explain
the failure of policies pursued as they usually do not take into account the structural nature of the problem thus making it impossible to address it sustainably
(Scharbatke-Church & Chigas, 2019). Therefore, in order to combat systemic
corruption, the institutional culture of dealing with the phenomenon needs to be
transformed as in this case, corruption is an entrenched situation and has deeper
causes (Bräutigam & Knack, 2004).
2. Determinants of Corruption
Investigating the determinants of corruption is important to effectively address
the phenomenon (Aidt, 2009). Thus, it is widely accepted and confirmed in the
context of this analysis that levels of corruption vary across countries due to the
level of income and income inequality, the quality of governance and the level of
human development. The focus of relevant policies is, therefore, on economic
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growth, high standards of social cohesion and the consequent reduction of income inequalities (Hall & Jones, 1999).
In particular, corruption, in addition to the level of economic development,
reveals the level of institutional, social and political development (La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, Shleifer, & Vishny, 1999). It should also be noted that institutional dysfunctions, such as corruption, constitute a failure of governance. To
improve the level of corruption, all states, especially the developed ones, should
strengthen their mechanisms for exercising good governance (Transparency International, 2020). Countries with high-quality governance are expected to have
lower levels of corruption (Alesina & La Ferrara, 2002). State efficiency, which is
a partial determinant of governance, is essential for the provision of necessary
goods and services as well as for the functioning of institutions. On the other hand,
institutional deficiencies threaten sustainable development, both economic and
social (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, 1995). Good
governance enhances the existence of democratic power structures (Saha, Gounder, & Su, 2009). Economic progress that is not accompanied by a corresponding
rise in the level of social and political development can only temporarily lead to
a rise in living standards. Τhe deficit of good governance acts as a constraint on
sustained prosperity (United Nations Development Programme, 2010: p. 6).
One of the most prevalent definitions of governance in the literature is that of
the World Bank according to which “governance is the traditions and institutions through which power is exercised in a country” (Kaufmann, Kraay, &
Zoido-Lobatón, 1999). This definition includes three main dimensions of governance:
1) The political dimension refers to the process of appointing, controlling and
replacing governments.
2) The economic dimension refers to the ability of governments to effectively
formulate and implement stable policies.
3) The institutional dimension refers to the respect of citizens and the state for
the institutions that define the economic and social interactions between them.
For each of the above three dimensions, two measures of governance are constructed, thus resulting in a set of six defining dimensions of governance, which
are the following (Kaufmann, Kraay, & Mastruzzi, 2010):
1) The process of appointment, control and replacement of governments:
a) Voice and Accountability (VA): Perceptions of the extent to which a country’s residents can participate in the election of their governments, as well as
freedom of expression, freedom of participation and freedom of the media.
b) Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism (PV): Perceptions of
the possibility of destabilization or overthrow of the government by unconstitutional or violent means including politically motivated violence and terrorism.
2) The ability of governments to effectively formulate and implement stable
policies:
a) Government Effectiveness (GE): Perceptions of the quality of public servicDOI: 10.4236/tel.2023.137098
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es, the quality of public officials and their degree of independence from political
pressures, the quality of policy design and implementation and the credibility of
government commitment to these policies.
b) Regulatory Quality (RQ): Perceptions of the government’s ability to design
and implement stable policies and regulations that enable and promote private
sector development.
3) Respect by citizens and the state for the institutions that define their economic and social interactions:
a) Rule of Law (RL): Perceptions of the extent to which citizens trust and comply
with the rules of society, such as the ability to enforce contracts, property rights
and courts.
b) Control of Corruption (CC): Perceptions of the extent to which public power
is exercised for private gain.
The income level of countries is considered a key determinant variable of
corruption as poor countries are considered to be the most affected by this
problem (Acemoglu, 2009). In particular, countries undergoing a crisis face severe instability in the economic sector (Agiomirgianakis, Papadogonas, & Sfakianakis, 2016). As a result, key sectors of economies are affected (Agiomirgianakis & Sfakianakis, 2022). In addition, the concept of human development is
examined, which is important as it emphasizes certain qualitative aspects of development. Human development is defined as the process of expanding the choices of individuals, the most important of which is to have a long and healthy life,
high levels of education and a decent standard of living. Moreover, corruption is
widespread in environments of high-income inequality (Rontos, Syrmali, Salvati,
& Vavouras, 2023).
In addition, certain geographic regions are more affected by corruption, such
as Latin American countries, which are frequently mentioned in the literature
(World Bank, 1989). Moreover, the specificities of individual regions seem to create
favourable conditions for the spread of corruption. One such case is Sub-Saharan
African countries, where the political instability and unrest, poor governance
and social insecurity prevalent in these countries contribute to the exacerbation
of the phenomenon (Transparency International, 2009). On the other hand, Scandinavian countries are considered to be among the least corrupt countries in the
world (International Monetary Fund, 2013).
3. Methodology of Research
The empirical analysis is based on data from 132 countries for the period 20002020 based on data availability. The employed panel data is estimated with the
Fixed Effects (FEs) method (applying the White diagonal correction of standard
errors for heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation). To decide on the estimation
method a Hausman test was conducted (Baltagi, 2005), which indicated that the
Fixed Effects (FEs) method is preferred instead of the Random Effects (REs)
method. The Fixed Effects (FEs) method can be used with panel data to estimate
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the effect of time-varying independent variables in the presence of time-constant
omitted variables (Wooldridge, 2013). Therefore, the unobserved heterogeneity
could be treated by assuming that omitted variables do not change over time
and, as a result, by eliminating their effect through the FE method. To test the
validity of the results the Panel Least Squares method (without fixed or random
effects either for cross section or time series data) is also performed, which is
presented in Column (3) in Table 6.
The corruption variable is approximated by the Corruption Perceptions Index
(CPI), which is provided by the international non-governmental organisation
Transparency International (TI) in its Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI) Report. According to Transparency International, corruption is defined as “the
abuse of entrusted power for private gain”. The index ranks countries according
to the perceptions of corruption in the public sector and evaluates administrative
as well as political corruption (Transparency International, 2020). Although perceptions should not be confused with the every-day incidents of corruption, there
is a general consensus that these assessments provide a reliable indication of the
actual levels of corruption (Lambsdorff, 2007). The scale of the index ranges
from 0 to 100, where zero indicates maximum levels of corruption1. On the other
hand, as the value of the index increases there are perceptions that there is no
corruption in the country under consideration.
Governance is approached with the variable Government Effectiveness (GE),
which reflects perceptions of the quality of public services, the quality of public
officials and their degree of independence from political pressures, the quality of
policy planning and its reliable implementation (Kaufmann, Kraay, & Mastruzzi,
2010). Therefore, this variable assesses government’s ability to effectively formulate and implement stable policies. Government effectiveness is one of the six
defining dimensions of governance2. The measurement scale of the indicator is
defined between −2.5 and 2.5, where higher values correspond to improved levels of government effectiveness and, thus, better quality of governance.
Gross National Income (GNI) per capita is expressed in Purchasing Power
Parities (PPPs) and is provided by the World Bank3, This measure of income
is widely used in international comparisons to measure economic growth in a
country. Gross national income at purchasing power parities is the national income converted into international dollars using the purchasing power parity. An
international dollar has the same purchasing power on gross national income as
that of a US dollar in the United States of America. Gross national income expressed in purchasing power parities is a useful measure for comparing living
standards between countries as purchasing power parities take into account the
relative cost of living in different countries as opposed to nominal gross national
income or real Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It should be noted that to facili1
The index of corruption has been transferred into the 0 - 10 measurement scale.
http://info.worldbank.org/governance/wgi/index.aspx#home.
3
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GNP.PCAP.CD.
2
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tate the interpretation of results the GNI index has been converted into the logarithmic scale [ln(GNI)].
The index of income inequality (GINI) is obtained from the Standardized World
Income Inequality Database (SWIID). The advantage of the Gini index is that it
maximizes the comparability of income inequality data not only across countries
but also over time within the same country. The measurement scale of the index
has a theoretical range between 0 - 100, where zero indicates perfect equality
(i.e. each unit receives an equal share of income), while 100 indicates perfect
inequality (one unit receives all income)4.
The Human Development Index (HDI) was introduced in 1990 by the United
Nations Development Programme (UNDP) in its first Human Development
Report. The HDI is based on three sub-indicators, which are: 1) longevity, expressed by life expectancy at birth. This variable approximates the level of health
and nutritional conditions; 2) the level of education as calculated by combining
the percentage of adults who know how to write and the primary school enrolment rate, secondary and tertiary education; and 3) living standards, as measured by real per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at purchasing power parities. According to the value assigned to the HDI, countries are classified into
four categories, which are as follows: 1) very high human development, if the
value of the index is higher than 0.900; 2) high human development, if the value
of the index is between 0.800 and 0.899; 3) medium human development, if the
value of the index is between 0.500 and 0.799; 4) low human development, if the
value of the index is lower than 0.5005.
Based on the theoretical analysis above, the equation to be estimated is as follows:
CPI =
β 0 + β1LSPR + β 2 GE + β3 ln ( GNI ) + β 4 GINI + β5 HDI + β 6 PR + e
(5.1)
4. Empirical Results
The use of descriptive statistical measures presented below can make apparent
the variations between countries with respect to the main variables of interest in
the empirical analysis, namely corruption, government effectiveness, income,
level of human development and income inequalities depending on the geographical region to which they belong. To this end, Table 1 presents geographical regions for selected countries of the samples. Thus, the geographical breakdown includes Sub-Saharan Africa, which according to the United Nations
geographical categorization consists of all African countries except for Egypt,
Algeria, Morocco and Tunisia6. Also, the countries of Asia are included, which
are divided into sub-regions, namely East Asia, South Asia and Southeast Asia.
The geographic identification of Latin America & the Caribbean and Middle
East & North Africa (MENA) countries is based on the World Bank’s geographic
4
https://dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtml?persistentId=hdl:1902.1/11992.
http://hdr.undp.org.
6
See http://unstats.un.org/unsd/methods/m49/m49regin.htm.
5
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Table 1. Geographical areas for selected countries of the sample.
Sub-Saharan
Africa
(1)
Asia
(2)
Latin America
& Caribbean
(3)
Middle East &
Scandinavia
North Africa
(5)
(4)
East Africa
East Asia
Argentina
Egypt
Denmark
Ethiopia
Japan
Venezuela
Algeria
Norway
Zambia
China
Bolivia
Jordan
Sweden
Zimbabwe
Korea, South
Brazil
Iran
Finland
Kenya
Mongolia
Guatemala
Israel
Madagascar
Dominican
Morocco
Malawi
Republique
Tunisia
Mauritius
Ecuador
Mozambique
El Salvador
Burundi
Colombia
Uganda
Costa Rica
Rwanda
Mexico
Nicaragua
Honduras
Uruguay
Panama
Paraguay
Peru
Chile
West Africa
South Asia
Ghana
India
Mali
Bangladesh
Benin
Pakistan
Senegal
Central Africa
Southeast Asia
Angola
Vietnam
Chad
Indonesia
Malaysia
Singapore
Philippines
South Africa
Lesotho
Botswana
Namibia
South Africa
Swaziland
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classification7. It is also interesting to examine Scandinavian countries as they
occupy the top positions in the global ranking in terms of income and corruption indicators and are traditionally considered countries with low levels of income inequalities (International Monetary Fund, 2013).
Table 2 presents the mean and standard deviation of the main variables of interest for the above geographical groups over the period 2000-2020. Examination
of the above table shows that Asian countries with regard to the corruption variable have the highest mean (4.168), after the Scandinavian countries, and a
high standard deviation (2.266), which indicates high variability of values. In
other words, the observations are “scattered” around their mean value and, consequently, the values obtained by the countries for this indicator vary considerably in relation to the average. Thus, some countries perform higher and others
lower. The government effectiveness variable for Asian countries has a high standard deviation (0.948) and a low mean (0.360). However, the mean value of government effectiveness is higher than Middle Eastern & North African countries,
as well as Sub-Saharan African & Latin American countries, which have a negative mean value on the relevant indicator.
The above results, particularly with regard to high standard deviation, should
not be surprising. Asian countries include states with low levels of corruption
and high levels of income, such as Japan and Singapore, but also, states, such as
Pakistan and Vietnam, which are affected by high levels of corruption, low income, political instability and wider institutional inefficiencies and social dysfunctions.
For Sub-Saharan African countries should be noted that they perform poorly
on all indicators, with particular reference to the corruption indicator, government effectiveness and the human development indicator as presented in Table
2. The Latin America region performs low in terms of the income inequality indicator and, therefore, associated countries are highly unequal.
On the other hand, the Scandinavian countries have the lowest levels of corruption as expressed by the highest average value of the corresponding index for
all the geographical areas considered, while they have competitive economies
and low levels of income inequality. They also perform high on the other socio-economic variables (income, government effectiveness, human development),
which are analysed in Table 2. These results are expected as these countries have
a high level of development not only economic but also socio-political. Moreover, the Nordic countries have low standard deviation for all the variables considered, as they exhibit uniform performance in terms of their institutional, structural and qualitative characteristics.
Figure 1 depicts the scatter plot between corruption (CPI) and income
[ln(GNI)] variables for all the countries in the sample over the period 2000-2020.
The analysis of the scatter plot is important as it provides some initial indications regarding the existence of possible non-linear relationships. The examination of the scatter plot yields the following:
7
http://www.worldbank.org/en/country.
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Table 2. Mean and standard deviation by geographical area, 2000-2020.
Variables
Mean value
Standard deviation
Corruption
Asia
4.168
2.266
Sub-Saharan Africa
3.159
1.038
Middle East & North Africa
3.901
1.259
Latin America
3.549
1.283
Scandinavia
9.119
0.386
Asia
8.150
0.710
Sub-Saharan Africa
3.520
0.449
Middle East & North Africa
4.290
0.405
Latin America
3.760
0.350
Scandinavia
5.400
0.159
Income
Income inequality
Asia
6.423
0.436
Sub-Saharan Africa
5.713
0.865
Middle East & North Africa
6.330
0.962
Latin America
5.223
0.991
Scandinavia
7.575
1.178
Asia
0.360
0.948
Sub-Saharan Africa
−0.430
0.563
Middle East & North Africa
−0.030
0.620
Latin America
−0.190
0.542
Scandinavia
2.050
0.159
Asia
0.711
0.141
Sub-Saharan Africa
0.479
0.109
Middle East & North Africa
0.736
0.098
Latin America
0.737
0.072
Scandinavia
0.931
0.025
Government effectiveness
HDI
- The richest countries appear to have lower levels of corruption as proved for
the Nordic countries (Denmark, Norway, Sweden, Finland), Switzerland and
New Zealand. Indeed, the relationship between corruption and income becomes stronger for higher income levels.
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Figure 1. Corruption and income, 2000-2020. Sources: 1) http://www.transparency.org/cpi2010/in_detail;
2) https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GNP.PCAP.CD.
- The poorest countries appear to have higher levels of corruption as is the case
for Sub-Saharan Africa (Angola, Zimbabwe, Kenya, Mali, Mozambique, Chad)
but also for Latin America (Argentina, Venezuela, Bolivia).
- However, it should also be noted that corruption varies significantly between
countries even when the effect of income is taken into account. Saudi Arabia,
the United Arab Emirates and Greece appear as more corrupt countries given
their income level. These deviations around the regression line suggest that
the relevant theories on the determinants of corruption are to some extent
incomplete. Also, this divergence or heterogeneity of observations around the
regression line suggests the existence of a non-linear relationship between the
variables under consideration, namely income and corruption. Therefore,
although income is an important variable and explains to a large extent the
level of corruption in a country, it is not in itself sufficient in terms of studying the determinant factors of corruption. Instead, institutional and social
factors in addition to the economic dimension of the phenomenon should be
taken into account.
Figure 2 shows the relationship between corruption (CPI) and income (GNI)
of the countries in the total sample for different levels of income inequality
(GINI). More specifically, the relationship between corruption and income is
examined by separating the total sample of countries according to the average
value of income inequality. In this case, it is observed that the slope of the regression line is larger for countries with income inequality value higher than the
sample mean (rhombus). That is, the relationship between income and corruption is stronger for improved levels of income inequality. Therefore, in environments of low-income inequality, high income has a greater positive effect on
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Figure 2. Corruption and income at different levels of income inequality over the period 2000-2020. Sources: 1)
http://www.transparency.org/cpi2010/in_detail;
2) https://www.weforum.org/publications/the-global-competitiveness-report-2020/;
3) https://dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtml?persistentId=hdl:1902.1/11992.
corruption than in the case of aggravated inequalities, where the strength of this
relationship appears to diminish. The above observations indicate the existence
of a non-linear correlation between income and corruption, where the level of
income inequality enters into this relationship and co-shapes it.
The analysis in Figure 2 reveals some outliers. In particular, Singapore has
some of the lowest levels of corruption in the world despite being in the category
of countries with higher than the average income inequality values in the sample
and, thus, high levels of income inequality. At the same time, however, it should
be noted that both of them are high-income countries. That is, despite the worsening inequalities, the high level of income seems to be positively associated
with the low level of corruption.
The above empirical observations (stylized facts) can be rendered in a more
formal or schematic way in Table 3 below. If economies are separated according
to the level of income (high - low), as well as according to the level of income
inequality (high - low), four groups of countries emerge. Groups II and III describe two predominant categories (polar cases). Group II includes countries
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Table 3. Corruption, income and income inequality: a grouped presentation of countries.
High level of
income
Low level of
income
High
level of
income
inequality
I. Countries with
low levels of corruption:
Asia (e.g. Singapore)
II. Countries with high levels of
corruption:
Sub-Saharan Africa (e.g. Ghana, Burundi,
Rwanda, Somalia, Sudan),
Latin America (e.g. Argentina, Colombia)
Low
level of
income
inequality
III. Countries with low
levels of corruption:
Scandinavian countries
(e.g. Denmark, Norway,
Sweden, Finland, Denmark)
IV. Countries with high levels of
corruption:
Sub-Saharan Africa
(e.g. Ethiopia, Burundi)
with high levels of corruption in a low-income environment and high levels of
income inequality, such as countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (Ghana, Burundi,
Rwanda, Somalia, Sudan) and Latin America (Argentina, Colombia). Group III
includes countries with low levels of corruption in a high-income environment
and low levels of income inequality, as is the case of Nordic countries (Denmark,
Norway, Sweden, Finland). Between these two types, intermediate categories can
be observed. Group I includes countries with high levels of income and high levels of income inequality but for which low levels of corruption are observed, as
is the case for some Asian countries (Singapore). Group IV includes countries
with low income and low levels of income inequality, where high levels of corruption prevail as is observed for Ethiopia and Burundi8.
Table 4 presents descriptive statistics in order to summarize data regarding
the main variables of interest, namely corruption, income and income inequality.
Based on the minimum (1.3) as well as the maximum (9.6) value of corruption
(CPI) on the 0 - 10 measurement scale, it can be entailed that the observations
cover a wide range of values, as this is a global sample and therefore includes
countries with both high and low levels of corruption. As can be seen from the
examination of data, no country in the sample is totally free of corruption scoring
10 on the relevant indicator, which corresponds to zero levels of corruption.
The correlation matrix below gives results that are consistent with the theoretical predictions of the relationships between corruption (CPI), income [ln(GNI)]
and income inequality (GINI), as shown in Table 5. Corruption (CPI) is positively
related to the income variable [ln(GNI)] and income inequality (GINI). That is,
higher levels of income and lower levels of income inequality are associated with
lower levels of corruption. There is also a positive correlation between the income variable [ln(GNI)] and income inequality (GINI) as indicated by the corresponding correlation coefficient. That is, richer countries are expected, on average, to have lower levels of income inequality.
8
It is possible that the levels of income inequality appear to be reduced because the population as a
whole is poor, as seems to be the case for Ethiopia and Burundi (Keefer & Knack, 1997).
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Table 4. Descriptive measures.
CPI
(1)
GINI
(2)
GCI
(3)
Mean
4.4
6.2
4.1
Median
3.4
6.5
4.3
Standard deviation
2.1
0.7
0.7
Minimum value (Min)
1.3
3.2
2.6
Maximum value (Max)
9.6
8.1
5.9
Sources: 1) http://www.transparency.org/cpi2010/in_detail;
2) https://www.weforum.org/publications/the-global-competitiveness-report-2020/;
3) https://dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtml?persistentId=hdl:1902.1/11992.
Table 5. Correlation table.
CPI
GINI
GCI
CPI
(1)
GINI
(2)
GCI
(3)
1
0.679
0.857
1
0.569
1
Sources: 1) http://www.transparency.org/cpi2010/in_detail;
2) https://www.weforum.org/publications/the-global-competitiveness-report-2020/;
3) https://dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtml?persistentId=hdl:1902.1/11992.
The results according to the Fixed Effects (FEs), Random Effects (REs) and
Panel Least Squares (PLSs) methods are presented in Table 6. Below the coefficient estimates, the standard error, the t-statistic and the p-value are presented. In addition, the results of the Hausman test, which is performed to
select the method for estimating panel data, are presented in the last row in
Table 6 together with the corresponding p-value (in parentheses). It should
be noted that the results with respect to the three estimation methods do not
differ significantly in terms of their economic and statistical significance.
Therefore, the estimates using the proposed Fixed Effects method are set out
below.
According to the Fixed Effects (FEs) estimates presented in Column (1) in
Table 6, all independent variables are statistically significant and have the expected sign with the exception of the Human Development Index (HDI). In
particular, the HDI is negative but not statistically significant9. On the other
hand, income inequality and government effectiveness have the expected positive signs and are statistically significant at conventional significance levels
(1%).
9
The non-significance of the HDI variable may be attributed to the high correlation with the income
variable (0.821).
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Table 6. Estimates with the Fixed Effects (FEs), Random Effects (REs) and Panel Least
Squares (PLSs) methods, 2000-2020.
FE
(1)
RE
(2)
PLS
(3)
Constant
2.103***
0.358
5.741
0.000
2.019***
0.437
4.306
0.000
21.648***
1.868
11.586
0.000
ln(GNI)
0.321***
0.580
2.435
0.000
0.499***
0.148
3.006
0.004
0.246***
0.041
5.234
0.000
GINI
0.398***
0.121
3.306
0.001
0.531***
0.150
3.511
0.000
0.160***
0.041
4.077
0.000
ln(GNI) * GINI
0.192***
0.027
4.996
0.000
0.112***
0.025
3.124
0.000
0.192***
0.027
4.996
0.000
HDI
−0.027
0.004
−1.542
0.068
−0.352
0.071
−1.601
0.071
−0.123
0.060
−1.159
0.078
GE
0.340***
0.454
3.672
0.001
0.287**
0.038
2.008
0.046
0.339***
0.076
4.559
0.000
LATIN
−0.341***
0.103
−3.051
0.000
−0.109***
0.099
−3.891
0.000
−1.215***
0.168
−4.675
0.000
SCANDINAVIAN
0.239***
0.029
5.742
0.000
0.409***
0.072
4.539
0.000
0.398***
0.081
4.572
0.000
R2
0.798
0.779
0.801
F-statistic
360.551
358.692
709.396
Prob (F-statistic)
0.000
0.000
0.000
Hausman
120.668
(0.000)
136.781
(0.000)
196.839
(0.000)
Note: ***, **, and * indicate statistical significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% level respectively.
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Moreover, in the empirical analysis dummy geographical variables are included in order to mitigate the effect of non-observed heterogeneity between
countries. In particular, the dummy variable of Latin American countries has the
expected negative sign and is statistically significant at the 1% level. On the other
hand, the dummy of Scandinavian countries has the expected positive sign and
is statistically significant at the 1% level.
In order to study the mutual effect of the level of income and income inequalities on corruption, the interaction term [ln(GNI) * GINI] between these two
variables is inserted into the model. In order to ensure that the interaction term
does not incorporate either the effect of income or income inequality both terms
are retained into the empirical model (Brambor, Clark, & Golder, 2006). Based
on empirical estimates, the interaction term [ln(GNI) * GINI] is positive and
statistically significant at the 1% level. The positive value of the interaction term
denotes that the relationship between income [ln(GNI)] and corruption (CPI) is
non-linear, as the effect of income on corruption is larger for improved levels of
income inequalities, which correspond to higher values of the inequality index.
Therefore, the marginal effect of income on corruption depends on the level of
income inequality. As a result, the level of income and income inequalities are
positively correlated and serve as complements regarding the control of corruption.
Based on the results of the estimates, if in the year 2022 Greece (21,740) had
the income level of Luxembourg (91,200), which is one of the richest countries
in the global sample, then the level of corruption in Greece (52) would decrease
and approach the level of Japan (73).
The adjusted coefficient of determination has a satisfactory value ( R 2 = 0.798),
which means that the model has good explanatory power explaining much of the
variation in the dependent variable.
5. Discussion of Our Results
Corruption occurs in all countries regardless of the level of economic development, with varying degrees of intensity in each one depending on the specific
conditions of each economy. Hence, the analysis of the determinant factors of
corruption should not be restricted on individual sectors but, instead, should be
multidisciplinary. It is, therefore, apparent that corruption is a complex social,
economic and political phenomenon. In the case of less developed countries it is
a structural problem, as it has deeper causes and is part of everyday practice. The
systemic corruption observed in these countries, which are characterized by
structural rigidities and institutional weaknesses corresponding to well-established
features of the economies, makes it difficult to control the phenomenon.
Corruption reveals the level not only of economic but, also, of the wider social
and political development of a country. A one-sided examination of economic
development in terms of income, without considering the broader political and
social conditions, proves inadequate. Structural weaknesses of the public sector,
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the lack of competitiveness, inadequacies in the exercise of governance, among
others, are pinpointed as the main causes of corruption. As a result, this phenomenon is primarily political and social in nature, while its structural character,
i.e. its embeddedness in the political and social culture, makes it difficult to deal
with it effectively. The multiple dimensions of the problem, i.e. the economic,
political and social, affect each other creating a vicious circle from which it is difficult to escape. Consequently, in order to combat corruption effectively the root
causes of the problem must be addressed. Anti-corruption policies prove to be
unsuccessful if they are not supported by the appropriate institutional framework
and good governance practices.
Therefore, anti-corruption principles, strategies and interventions should be
developed to promote a sustainable perspective in addressing the phenomenon.
Fighting corruption is a difficult task, which can be achieved through the effective implementation of appropriate long-term policies. The overarching issue
that needs to be addressed is the policies to tackle corruption under the constraints of the economic, social and political system. As a result, improving economic conditions only has limited effects in terms of controlling corruption, as it
also requires drastic improvements in the institutional, structural, organizational
and qualitative parameters associated with corruption.
The analysis also showed that corruption is closely linked to the way governments carry out their functions. Hence, the quality of governance determines the
extent of corruption. Improving governance requires structural transformations
in the established political culture. Changing perceptions, however, can occur as
a result of social development, which is linked to social transformation and
changes in the structural characteristics of society. This long-term social development strategy should be the result of promoting concrete and appropriate institutional reforms.
Based on the analysis above, institutional dysfunctions, such as corruption,
constitute a failure of governance. State efficiency, which is a fundamental pillar
of governance, is essential for the provision of the necessary goods and services
as well as for the functioning of democratic institutions. Good governance reinforces the existence of democratic power structures and limited corruption, whereas it is linked to institutional consolidation. Moreover, it is considered a critical factor in promoting economic and social development. Economic progress
that is not accompanied by a corresponding rise in the level of social and political development can only temporarily lead to a rise in living standards. The deficit of good governance also acts as a constraint to sustained, overall prosperity.
The theoretical and empirical findings of the study indicate that the problem
of corruption, beyond its economic dimension, has a strong political and social
character. Improving economic conditions only is not sufficient to sustainable
rise in living standards. Instead, these policies should be accompanied by institutional improvements, so as to be more effective. Moreover, the extent of corruption provides a strong indication of the evolution of the macroeconomic and
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structural characteristics of each economy. Corruption contributes to government failure through the erosion of public institutions, social instability and the
exacerbation of poverty that hampers sustainable growth. Corruption is, therefore, a symptom of underlying institutional weaknesses and is also recognized as
one of the greatest obstacles to economic and social development.
6. Conclusion
Strategies to tackle corruption should take into consideration the root causes of
the problem in order to successfully implement concrete economic and systemic
reforms. Particularly, for the least developed countries, the most important determinants of corruption are structural in nature. Therefore, effective responses
at the policy level require to consider the long-term nature of the problem. Reform
policies prove inadequate if they are not supported by the appropriate institutional framework and good governance practices. For this aim, the institutional
culture of dealing with corruption needs to change, as in these cases, it has penetrated into the whole spectrum of economic, social and political life. When the
policies implemented to tackle corruption fail, it evolves from a transitory to a
structural problem. In addition, it is noted that tackling corruption requires transformation in the established institutional culture of dealing with the problem,
which implies changes in social perceptions. This transition can ultimately emerge
as a result of targeted political actions, institutional reforms and extensive shifts
in economic resources.
These results can be used at the policy level. In order to ensure coherent action on economic and social sustainability issues, key issues such as the promotion of appropriate educational reforms should be highlighted. After all, the
most effective method of reducing economic and social inequalities is free access
to education for all. In this way, education can be a means to support social cohesion and reduce social conflicts, especially in less developed countries, where
the level of social development is low. Moreover, education is one of the most
important factors to enhance social participation and raise the level of social
capital.
Strategies to tackle corruption should take into account the deeper causes of
the problem, so as to successfully implement targeted economic and systemic
transformation. In particular, as far as less developed countries are concerned,
the most important determinant factors of corruption are of structural character.
As a result, regarding the most efficient confrontation of these pathogeneses, the
long-term character of the problem should be taken into consideration while designing policies. Reform strategies prove to be inadequate if they are not supported by the appropriate institutional framework and good governance practices. The institutional culture of confronting corruption should change as in
low-income countries, corruption has penetrated into the whole spectrum of economic, social and political life. In case policies applied for the control of corruption fail, it evolves from a temporal to a structural problem. Consequently,
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the conditions that further strengthen systemic corruption evolve, which impedes
the confrontation of the problem.
Therefore, principles, strategies and interventions against corruption should
be developed in order to forward a sustainable prospect with regard to the confrontation of the phenomenon. The efficient control of corruption is a difficult
goal at the policy level, which is achieved through the successful implementation
of appropriate long-term policies. The dominant issue that should be forwarded
is the policy control of corruption under the restrictions of the economic as well
as the wider social and political system.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare no conflicts of interest regarding the publication of this paper.
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