Macro Uzbekistán

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PIB= VENTAS PIB=C+I+G+EXP-IMP C+I+G= mercado inte

Tipos de PIB G=gasto corrriente EXP+IMP= mercado ex


Vía gastos gasto de capital
Vía factores EXP= exportaciones
Vía sectores IMP= importaciones
I= inversiones

Elasticidad
∆%Y/∆%X variables discretas y= >1 x afecta consider
x= <1 x afecta margin
ε= 0 es perfectamente inelas
[∂Y/∂X][X/Y] variables continuas
C+I+G= mercado interno
EXP+IMP= mercado externo

>1 x afecta considerablemente a y elastico


<1 x afecta marginalmente a y inelastico
es perfectamente inelastico (no tiene sustituto inmediato)
Producto Interno Bruto (PIB) %PIB Gastos
Consumo Inversión Gubernamental
Precios Precios
Años Constantes Corrientes 1 C2 I3 G4
(2010) 1
2000 3.800 6,174.199 56.429 19.600 32.852
2001 4.200 9,339.312 57.826 21.100 30.617
2002 4.000 12,332.253 57.914 21.200 34.627
2003 4.200 15,369.874 55.784 20.800 31.538
2004 7.400 19,960.905 52.316 24.500 29.406
2005 7.000 26,022.986 50.007 28.000 28.069
2006 7.500 35,333.036 49.536 29.610 24.715
2007 9.500 47,317.677 51.258 28.206 24.834
2008 9.000 61,477.677 49.446 32.036 26.485
2009 8.100 78,936.619 53.929 29.948 27.476
2010 7.094 103,232.580 61.521 27.178 26.405
2011 7.525 127,590.236 61.236 26.708 23.652
2012 7.102 153,311.335 62.413 30.072 23.929
2013 7.297 186,829.496 64.112 27.474 25.227
2014 6.874 221,350.906 63.318 27.959 24.865
2015 7.219 255,421.862 64.903 26.343 24.567
2016 5.932 317,476.369 66.292 25.759 23.304
2017 4.395 426,641.024 64.167 29.136 22.352
2018 5.880 532,712.489 61.928 37.204 24.822
2019 5.982 605,514.900 59.542 41.809 27.115
2020 1.996 738,425.200 58.881 39.955 28.714
2021 7.403 888,349.226 59.789 40.368 30.485
2022 5.669 4,155.558 61.918 38.298 33.381
Media Geometrica(2000-2022)= 58.223 28.622 27.159

Sector Externo: EXP+IMP= 55.516


Sector Interno: C+I+G= 114.004

1) Fuente: Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI)


Enlace: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/April/weo-report?c=456,&s=NGDP_R,N
2) Fuente: Banco Mundial (BM)
Enlace: https://datos.bancomundial.org/indicator/NE.CON.PRVT.ZS?locations=SA
3) Fuente: Banco Mundial (BM)
Enlace: https://datos.bancomundial.org/indicador/NE.GDI.TOTL.ZS?locations=SA&view=chart
4) Fuente: FMI
Enlace: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/April/weo-report?c=456,&s=GGX_NGD
5) Fuente: FMI
Enlace: https://datos.bancomundial.org/indicador/NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS?locations=SA&view=chart
6) Fuente: FMI
Enlace: https://datos.bancomundial.org/indicador/NE.IMP.GNFS.ZS?locations=SA&view=chart
Exportaciones Importaciones Billones

EXP5 IMP6 C I G EXP

24.663 19.391 2.144 0.745 1.248 0.937


29.675 27.101 2.429 0.886 1.286 1.246
30.920 28.034 2.317 0.848 1.385 1.237
38.238 32.222 2.343 0.874 1.325 1.606
41.790 34.806 3.871 1.813 2.176 3.092
37.809 31.716 3.501 1.960 1.965 2.647
36.514 30.958 3.715 2.221 1.854 2.739
39.671 34.743 4.869 2.680 2.359 3.769
41.169 38.579 4.450 2.883 2.384 3.705
34.663 34.011 4.368 2.426 2.226 2.808
24.275 24.980 4.364 1.928 1.873 1.722
23.669 25.974 4.608 2.010 1.780 1.781
19.267 24.961 4.433 2.136 1.699 1.368
18.630 23.737 4.678 2.005 1.841 1.359
16.044 20.315 4.352 1.922 1.709 1.103
13.766 16.984 4.685 1.902 1.773 0.994
12.333 16.859 3.932 1.528 1.382 0.732
20.748 27.037 2.820 1.281 0.982 0.912
26.841 44.365 3.641 2.188 1.460 1.578
28.298 44.220 3.562 2.501 1.622 1.693
24.178 37.661 1.175 0.797 0.573 0.483
23.677 40.172 4.426 2.988 2.257 1.753
27.269 44.310 3.510 2.171 1.892 1.546
26.124 29.392

eo-report?c=456,&s=NGDP_R,NGDP,&sy=2000&ey=2022&ssm=0&scsm=1&scc=0&ssd=1&ssc=0&sic=0&sort=country&ds
=SA&view=chart

eo-report?c=456,&s=GGX_NGDP,&sy=2000&ey=2022&ssm=0&scsm=1&scc=0&ssd=1&ssc=0&sic=0&sort=country&ds=.&

=SA&view=chart

=SA&view=chart
IMP

0.737
1.138
1.121
1.353
2.576
2.220
2.322
3.301
3.472
2.755
1.772
1.955
1.773
1.732
1.396
1.226
1.000
1.188
2.609
2.645
0.752
2.974
2.512

1&ssc=0&sic=0&sort=country&ds=.&br=1
sc=0&sic=0&sort=country&ds=.&br=1
Billones
Función Lineal
X Y Crecimiento
Numero de
observacio
nes(N) Años C PIB ∆%PIB ∆%C
1 2000 2.144 3.800
2 2001 2.429 4.200 10.526% 13.264%
3 2002 2.317 4.000 -4.762% -4.618%
4 2003 2.343 4.200 5.000% 1.139%
5 2004 3.871 7.400 76.190% 65.236%
6 2005 3.501 7.000 -5.405% -9.580%
7 2006 3.715 7.500 7.143% 6.133%
8 2007 4.869 9.500 26.667% 31.069%
9 2008 4.450 9.000 -5.263% -8.611%
10 2009 4.368 8.100 -10.000% -1.841%
11 2010 4.364 7.094 -12.420% -0.091%
12 2011 4.608 7.525 6.076% 5.585%
13 2012 4.433 7.102 -5.621% -3.808%
14 2013 4.678 7.297 2.746% 5.543%
15 2014 4.352 6.874 -5.797% -6.964%
16 2015 4.685 7.219 5.019% 7.648%
17 2016 3.932 5.932 -17.828% -16.069%
18 2017 2.820 4.395 -25.910% -28.286%
19 2018 3.641 5.880 33.788% 29.121%
20 2019 3.562 5.982 1.735% -2.185%
21 2020 1.175 1.996 -66.633% -67.004%
22 2021 4.426 7.403 270.892% 276.612%
23 2022 3.510 5.669 -23.423% -20.697%
o r
P

3.661 6.307 11.942% 12.345%


m
io d
e
:

1.696 0.098
0.144 0.547
0.868 0.679
138.227 21.000
63.713 9.680
Función Doble-Log Función SEM(Y) Función SEM(X)
LN(X) LN(Y) X LN(Y) LN(X) Y

C PIB C PIB C PIB


0.763 1.335 2.144 1.335 0.763 3.800
0.887 1.435 2.429 1.435 0.887 4.200
0.840 1.386 2.317 1.386 0.840 4.000
0.851 1.435 2.343 1.435 0.851 4.200
1.354 2.001 3.871 2.001 1.354 7.400
1.253 1.946 3.501 1.946 1.253 7.000
1.312 2.015 3.715 2.015 1.312 7.500
1.583 2.251 4.869 2.251 1.583 9.500
1.493 2.197 4.450 2.197 1.493 9.000
1.474 2.092 4.368 2.092 1.474 8.100
1.473 1.959 4.364 1.959 1.473 7.094
1.528 2.018 4.608 2.018 1.528 7.525
1.489 1.960 4.433 1.960 1.489 7.102
1.543 1.987 4.678 1.987 1.543 7.297
1.471 1.928 4.352 1.928 1.471 6.874
1.544 1.977 4.685 1.977 1.544 7.219
1.369 1.780 3.932 1.780 1.369 5.932
1.037 1.480 2.820 1.480 1.037 4.395
1.292 1.772 3.641 1.772 1.292 5.880
1.270 1.789 3.562 1.789 1.270 5.982
0.161 0.691 1.175 0.691 0.161 1.996
1.488 2.002 4.426 2.002 1.488 7.403
1.256 1.735 3.510 1.735 1.256 5.669

0.989 0.555 0.333 0.571 4.833 0.270


0.058 0.075 0.026 0.098 0.460 0.596
0.933 0.094 0.888 0.121 0.840 0.748
291.589 21.000 166.964 21.000 110.266 21.000
2.580 0.186 2.457 0.309 61.651 11.741
-Tc Tc

1 3
Tc(α,GL)= 2.080
α= 5%
GL=N-No.VAR= 21.000 zonas:
Tp1= b/σb = 10.501 3
como: Tp1 cae en zona 3 se rechaza Ho.
conclusión: El modelo semi logarítmico en x es
estadisiticamente significativo.
Y=±a±bLN(X)
Donde:
a= 0.270
b= 4.833
x= C
y= PIB
Sustituyendo lo anterior en la función Y:
PIB=0.270+4.883LN*C

∆%Y/∆%X variables discretas

ε=
[∂Y/∂X][X/Y] variables continuas

[∂Y/∂X][X/Y]
[∂Y/∂X]= 1316.47/X
X=C= 3.661
[∂Y/∂X]= 1.320
Y=PIB 6.307
[X/Y]= 0.580
ε= 0.766 0.766 El consumo Afecta el PIB un poco.
∆%PIB 9.460%
Función del Consumo
C=[YD,i,(Px/PM),INPC]
Donde:
C= Consumo
YD=Ingreso Disponible YD=A+CF;CF=C+G
i= Tasa de Interés (A/P)
(Px/PM)= Índice de Términos de Intercambio.
INPC= Índice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor
A=Ahorro
G= Gasto Gubertamental
CF= Consumo Final
Ahorro Nacional Bruto (A)
Miles de millones(MN) %PIB
Años PIB A1
2000 3.800 0.000
2001 4.200 0.000
2002 4.000 0.000
2003 4.200 0.000
2004 7.400 0.000
2005 7.000 2.425 34.636
2006 7.500 2.807 37.431
2007 9.500 3.783 39.820
2008 9.000 4.369 48.547
2009 8.100 2.901 35.812
2010 7.094 2.250 31.714
2011 7.525 2.532 33.651
2012 7.102 2.321 32.678
2013 7.297 2.152 29.488
2014 6.874 2.083 30.301
2015 7.219 1.862 25.794
2016 5.932 1.446 24.379
2017 4.395 1.413 32.155
2018 5.880 2.084 35.447
2019 5.982 2.068 34.576
2020 1.996 0.666 33.389
2021 7.403 2.451 33.107
2022 5.669 2.126 37.499

1) Fuente: Banco Mundial (BM)


Enlace: https://datos.bancomundial.org/indicador/NY.GNS.ICTR.ZS?view=chart
Ingreso Disponible (YD)

Miles de millones(MN)
Años A C G CF YD
2000 0.000 2.144 1.248 3.393 3.393
2001 0.000 2.429 1.286 3.715 3.715
2002 0.000 2.317 1.385 3.702 3.702
2003 0.000 2.343 1.325 3.668 3.668
2004 0.000 3.871 2.176 6.047 6.047
2005 2.425 3.501 1.965 5.465 7.890
2006 2.807 3.715 1.854 5.569 8.376
2007 3.783 4.869 2.359 7.229 11.012
2008 4.369 4.450 2.384 6.834 11.203
2009 2.901 4.368 2.226 6.594 9.495
2010 2.250 4.364 1.873 6.237 8.487
2011 2.532 4.608 1.780 6.388 8.920
2012 2.321 4.433 1.699 6.132 8.453
2013 2.152 4.678 1.841 6.519 8.671
2014 2.083 4.352 1.709 6.062 8.145
2015 1.862 4.685 1.773 6.459 8.321
2016 1.446 3.932 1.382 5.315 6.761
2017 1.413 2.820 0.982 3.802 5.216
2018 2.084 3.641 1.460 5.101 7.185
2019 2.068 3.562 1.622 5.184 7.252
2020 0.666 1.175 0.573 1.748 2.415
2021 2.451 4.426 2.257 6.683 9.134
2022 2.126 3.510 1.892 5.402 7.528
(Y) (X) %
Años Activa Pasiva1 SAMA r2 Periodos iP π
2000 7.000 r (X,Y)=
2
2013-2022 7.000% -1.125%
2001 2.750 0.786 2.750% -1.121%
2002 2.500 2.500% 0.247%
2003 1.750 1.750% 0.612%
2004 2.500 2.500% 0.516%
2005 4.750 4.750% 0.479%
2006 5.200 5.200% 2.209%
2007 5.500 5.500% 4.168%
2008 2.500 2.500% 9.870%
2009 2.000 2.237 2.000% 5.057%
2010 1.563 0.138 1.563% 5.339%
2011 1.548 0.117 1.548% 5.826%
2012 1.548 0.117 1.548% 2.866%
2013 2.000 0.128 2.000% 3.533%
2014 2.000 0.109 2.000% 2.236%
2015 2.000 0.254 2.000% 1.206%
2016 2.000 0.396 2.000% 2.069%
2017 2.000 0.254 2.000% -0.838%
2018 3.000 2.013 3.000% 2.458%
2019 2.250 1.763 2.250% -2.093%
2020 1.000 0.512 1.000% 3.445%
2021 1.000 0.507 1.000% 3.063%
2022 5.000 4.395 5.000% 2.474%

1) FUENTE:
ENLACE:
Real( r )
8.217
3.915
2.247
1.131
1.974
4.250
2.926
1.279
-6.708
-2.910
-3.585
-4.043
-1.282
-1.480
-0.231
0.784
-0.067
2.862
0.529
4.436
-2.364
-2.002
2.465
ÍNDICE NACIONAL DE PRECIOS AL CONSUMIDOR (INPC)
[2010]
Tasa de
Años INPC1 π(%)
Precios (π)
1999 77.563
2000 76.691 -1.125 -1.125%
2001 75.831 -1.121 -1.121%
2002 76.019 0.247 0.247%
2003 76.484 0.612 0.612%
2004 76.878 0.516 0.516%
2005 77.247 0.479 0.479%
2006 78.953 2.209 2.209%
2007 82.244 4.168 4.168%
2008 90.361 9.870 9.870%
2009 94.931 5.057 5.057%
2010 100.000 5.339 5.339%
2011 105.826 5.826 5.826%
2012 108.859 2.866 2.866%
2013 112.705 3.533 3.533%
2014 115.225 2.236 2.236%
2015 116.615 1.206 1.206%
2016 119.028 2.069 2.069%
2017 118.030 -0.838 -0.838%
2018 120.931 2.458 2.458%
2019 118.400 -2.093 -2.093%
2020 122.479 3.445 3.445%
2021 126.231 3.063 3.063%
2022 129.354 2.474 2.474%

1) FUENTE: BM
ENLACE: https://datos.bancomundial.org/indicador/FP.CPI.TOTL?locations=SA&view=chart
Índice de Términos de Intercambio (PX/PM)

Años (PX/PM)1
2000 100.000
2001 90.052
2002 90.370
2003 100.896
2004 119.003
2005 149.508
2006 133.871
2007 133.147
2008 148.203
2009 104.294
2010 120.789
2011 148.267
2012 145.721
2013 143.771
2014 138.561
2015 92.345
2016 82.880
2017 104.862
2018 116.393
2019 120.058
2020 86.498
2021
2022

1) FUENTE: BM
ENLACE: https://datos.bancomundial.org/indicador/TT.PRI.MRCH.XD.WD?view=chart
Función del Consumo
C=F[YD,i,(PX/PM),INPC]
Donde:
C= Consumo Privado
Y D= Ingreso Disponible
(PX/PM)= Índice de Términos de Intercambio
INPC= Índice de Nacional de Precios al Consumidor

Y X1 X2 X3 X4 Prueba Multicolinealid
Años C YD i (Pasiva) (PX/PM) INPC r2(x1,x2)=
2000 2.144 3.393 7.000 100.000 76.691 r2(x1,x3)=
2001 2.429 3.715 2.750 90.052 75.831 r2(x1,x4)=
2002 2.317 3.702 2.500 90.370 76.019 r2(x2,x3)=
2003 2.343 3.668 1.750 100.896 76.484 r2(x2,x4)=
2004 3.871 6.047 2.500 119.003 76.878 r2(x3,x4)=
2005 3.501 7.890 4.750 149.508 77.247
2006 3.715 8.376 5.200 133.871 78.953
2007 4.869 11.012 5.500 133.147 82.244
2008 4.450 11.203 2.500 148.203 90.361
2009 4.368 9.495 2.000 104.294 94.931
2010 4.364 8.487 1.563 120.789 100.000
2011 4.608 8.920 1.548 148.267 105.826
2012 4.433 8.453 1.548 145.721 108.859
2013 4.678 8.671 2.000 143.771 112.705
2014 4.352 8.145 2.000 138.561 115.225
2015 4.685 8.321 2.000 92.345 116.615
2016 3.932 6.761 2.000 82.880 119.028
2017 2.820 5.216 2.000 104.862 118.030
2018 3.641 7.185 3.000 116.393 120.931
2019 3.562 7.252 2.250 120.058 118.400
2020 1.175 2.415 1.000 86.498 122.479

Función Lineal Función dob


Y X1 X2 X3 LN(Y)
Años C YD i (Pasiva) (PX/PM) C
2000 2.144 3.393 7.000 100.000 0.763
2001 2.429 3.715 2.750 90.052 0.887
2002 2.317 3.702 2.500 90.370 0.840
2003 2.343 3.668 1.750 100.896 0.851
2004 3.871 6.047 2.500 119.003 1.354
2005 3.501 7.890 4.750 149.508 1.253
2006 3.715 8.376 5.200 133.871 1.312
2007 4.869 11.012 5.500 133.147 1.583
2008 4.450 11.203 2.500 148.203 1.493
2009 4.368 9.495 2.000 104.294 1.474
2010 4.364 8.487 1.563 120.789 1.473
2011 4.608 8.920 1.548 148.267 1.528
2012 4.433 8.453 1.548 145.721 1.489
2013 4.678 8.671 2.000 143.771 1.543
2014 4.352 8.145 2.000 138.561 1.471
2015 4.685 8.321 2.000 92.345 1.544
2016 3.932 6.761 2.000 82.880 1.369
2017 2.820 5.216 2.000 104.862 1.037
2018 3.641 7.185 3.000 116.393 1.292
2019 3.562 7.252 2.250 120.058 1.270
2020 1.175 2.415 1.000 86.498 0.161
2010

Periodo (2000-2020) Periodo (200


β3 β2 β1 β0 β3
-0.002 -0.073 0.398 1.285 -0.186
0.005 0.058 0.049 0.477 0.186
0.878 0.393 #N/A #N/A 0.910
40.792 17.000 #N/A #N/A 57.301
18.896 2.625 #N/A #N/A 2.347

Periodo(2000-2010) Periodo(200
β3 β2 β1 β0 β3
-0.004 -0.053 0.338 1.733 -0.127
0.008 0.064 0.059 0.673 0.269
0.920 0.341 #N/A #N/A 0.950
26.799 7.000 #N/A #N/A 44.474
9.371 0.816 #N/A #N/A 0.913

Periodo(2011-2020) Periodo(201
β3 β2 β1 β0 β3
-0.008 -0.142 0.626 0.569 -0.233
0.003 0.109 0.038 0.303 0.084
0.987 0.151 #N/A #N/A 0.993
157.314 6.000 #N/A #N/A 304.388
10.725 0.136 #N/A #N/A 1.588
Y=F(X1,X2,X3,X4)= Multicolinealidad
r2 = r2=(X1,X2) r2=(X2,X3)
r2=(X1,X3) r2=(X2,X4)
r2=(X1,X4) r2=(X3,X4)

Prueba Multicolinealidad
0.001 No existe
0.498 No existe
0.018 Existe
0.018 No existe
0.324 No existe
0.002 No existe

Función doble-Log
LN(X1) LN(X2) LN(X3)
YD i (Pasiva) (PX/PM)
1.222 1.946 4.605
1.312 1.012 4.500
1.309 0.916 4.504
1.300 0.560 4.614
1.800 0.916 4.779
2.066 1.558 5.007
2.125 1.649 4.897
2.399 1.705 4.891
2.416 0.916 4.999
2.251 0.693 4.647
2.139 0.447 4.794
2.188 0.437 4.999
2.134 0.437 4.982
2.160 0.693 4.968
2.097 0.693 4.931
2.119 0.693 4.526
1.911 0.693 4.417
1.652 0.693 4.653
1.972 1.099 4.757
1.981 0.811 4.788
0.882 0.000 4.460

Periodo (2000-2020)
β2 β1 β0
-0.005 0.856 0.517
0.055 0.086 0.773
0.117 #N/A #N/A
17.000 #N/A #N/A
0.232 #N/A #N/A

Periodo(2000-2010)
β2 β1 β0
-0.055 0.671 0.632
0.058 0.101 1.099
0.083 #N/A #N/A
7.000 #N/A #N/A
0.048 #N/A #N/A

Periodo(2011-2020)
β2 β1 β0
-0.062 1.168 0.186
0.065 0.059 0.346
0.042 #N/A #N/A
6.000 #N/A #N/A
0.010 #N/A #N/A
Función del Consumo
C=F[YD,i,(PX/PM),INPC]
Donde:
C= Consumo Privado
YD= Ingreso Disponible
(PX/PM)= Índice de Términos de Intercambio
INPC= Índice de Nacional de Precios al Consumidor

Y X1 X2 X3 X4 Prueba Multicolinealid
Años C YD i (Real) (PX/PM) INPC r2(x1,x2)=
2000 2.144 3.393 8.217 100.000 76.691 r2(x1,x3)=
2001 2.429 3.715 3.915 90.052 75.831 r2(x1,x4)=
2002 2.317 3.702 2.247 90.370 76.019 r2(x2,x3)=
2003 2.343 3.668 1.131 100.896 76.484 r2(x2,x4)=
2004 3.871 6.047 1.974 119.003 76.878 r2(x3,x4)=
2005 3.501 7.890 4.250 149.508 77.247
2006 3.715 8.376 2.926 133.871 78.953
2007 4.869 11.012 1.279 133.147 82.244
2008 4.450 11.203 -6.708 148.203 90.361
2009 4.368 9.495 -2.910 104.294 94.931
2010 4.364 8.487 -3.585 120.789 100.000
2011 4.608 8.920 -4.043 148.267 105.826
2012 4.433 8.453 -1.282 145.721 108.859
2013 4.678 8.671 -1.480 143.771 112.705
2014 4.352 8.145 -0.231 138.561 115.225
2015 4.685 8.321 0.784 92.345 116.615
2016 3.932 6.761 -0.067 82.880 119.028
2017 2.820 5.216 2.862 104.862 118.030
2018 3.641 7.185 0.529 116.393 120.931
2019 3.562 7.252 4.436 120.058 118.400
2020 1.175 2.415 -2.364 86.498 122.479

Función Lineal
Y X1 X2 X3
Años C YD i (real) (PX/PM)
2000 2.144 3.393 8.217 100.000
2001 2.429 3.715 3.915 90.052
2002 2.317 3.702 2.247 90.370
2003 2.343 3.668 1.131 100.896
2004 3.871 6.047 1.974 119.003
2005 3.501 7.890 4.250 149.508
2006 3.715 8.376 2.926 133.871
2007 4.869 11.012 1.279 133.147
2008 4.450 11.203 -6.708 148.203
2009 4.368 9.495 -2.910 104.294
2010 4.364 8.487 -3.585 120.789
2011 4.608 8.920 -4.043 148.267
2012 4.433 8.453 -1.282 145.721
2013 4.678 8.671 -1.480 143.771
2014 4.352 8.145 -0.231 138.561
2015 4.685 8.321 0.784 92.345
2016 3.932 6.761 -0.067 82.880
2017 2.820 5.216 2.862 104.862
2018 3.641 7.185 0.529 116.393
2019 3.562 7.252 4.436 120.058
2020 1.175 2.415 -2.364 86.498

β3 β2 β1 β0
-0.003 0.009 0.410 1.135
0.006 0.031 0.057 0.507
0.867 0.410 #N/A #N/A
36.926 17.000 #N/A #N/A
18.657 2.863 #N/A #N/A
Y=F(X1,X2,X3,X4)= Multicolinealidad
r2 = r2=(X1,X2) r2=(X2,X3)
r2=(X1,X3) r2=(X2,X4)
r2=(X1,X4) r2=(X3,X4)

Prueba Multicolinealidad
0.261 No existe
0.498 No existe
0.018 Existe
0.092 No existe
0.124 No existe
0.002 No existe
Ingreso Nacional (YN)
Miles de Miles de
UMN a Precios Actuales millones(MN) %PIB millones(MN)
Años PIB 1 INB 2 PIB YN
2000 7.107E+11 7.140E+11 3.8 100.471% 3.818
2001 6.905E+11 6.972E+11 4.2 100.963% 4.240
2002 7.110E+11 7.159E+11 4 100.686% 4.027
2003 8.093E+11 8.121E+11 4.2 100.343% 4.214
2004 9.703E+11 9.767E+11 7.4 100.665% 7.449
2005 1.231E+12 1.241E+12 7 100.827% 7.058
2006 1.411E+12 1.426E+12 7.5 101.017% 7.576
2007 1.559E+12 1.583E+12 9.5 101.538% 9.646
2008 1.949E+12 1.984E+12 9 101.763% 9.159
2009 1.609E+12 1.642E+12 8.1 102.013% 8.263
2010 1.981E+12 2.007E+12 7.094 101.334% 7.189
2011 2.537E+12 2.574E+12 7.525 101.431% 7.633
2012 2.782E+12 2.823E+12 7.102 101.481% 7.207
2013 2.827E+12 2.878E+12 7.297 101.799% 7.428
2014 2.875E+12 2.937E+12 6.874 102.156% 7.022
2015 2.511E+12 2.575E+12 7.219 102.581% 7.405
2016 2.497E+12 2.556E+12 5.932 102.361% 6.072
2017 2.681E+12 2.721E+12 4.395 101.496% 4.461
2018 3.175E+12 3.204E+12 5.88 100.911% 5.934
2019 3.145E+12 3.174E+12 5.982 100.942% 6.038
2020 2.754E+12 2.805E+12 1.996 101.883% 2.034
2021 3.257E+12 3.314E+12 7.403 101.751% 7.533
2022 4.156E+12 4.197E+12 5.669 101.001% 5.726

1) Fuente: Banco Mundial (BM)


Enlace: https://datos.bancomundial.org/indicador/NY.GDP.MKTP.CN?locations=SA&view=chart
2) Fuente: Banco Mundial (BM)
Enlace: https://datos.bancomundial.org/indicador/NY.GNP.MKTP.CN?locations=SA&view=chart
Lista Asistencia 07/09/2023 Equipo Arabia Saudita
Campos Flores Monserrat
Ramírez Gómez Paulina
Martinez Pantoja Raymundo
Sotelo Aguilar Esteban Edilberto

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