Renewables in India's Power Sector

Download as pptx, pdf, or txt
Download as pptx, pdf, or txt
You are on page 1of 12

Renewables in India’s Power

Sector
A time to review the RPO trajectory
Total Installed Capacity
Fuel MW % of Total
Total Thermal 2,30,600 62.80%
Coal 1,98,525 54.20%
Lignite 6,610 1.7%

Gas 24,937 6.90%


Diesel 510 0.10%
Hydro (Renewable) 45,699 12.40%
Nuclear 6,780 1.90%
RES* (MNRE) 87,028 23.50%
Total 3,70,106
Energy generation from Conventional
Sources
Energy Generation from

Year Conventional Sources % of growth

(BU)

2009-10 771.551 6.6

2010-11 811.143 5.56

2011-12 876.887 8.11

2012-13 912.056 4.01

2013-14 967.15 6.04

2014-15 1048.673 8.43

2015-16 1107.822 5.64

2016-17 1160.141 4.72

2017-18 1206.306 3.98

2018-19 1249.337 3.57

2019-20* 1252.611 0.26


PLF of Thermal Plants
PLF Sector-wise PLF (%)
Year
% Central State Private

2009-10 77.5 85.5 70.9 83.9

2010-11 75.1 85.1 66.7 80.7

2011-12 73.3 82.1 68 69.5

2012-13 69.9 79.2 65.6 64.1

2013-14 65.6 76.1 59.1 62.1

2014-15 64.46 73.96 59.83 60.58

2015-16 62.29 72.52 55.41 60.49

2016-17 59.88 71.98 54.35 55.73

2017-18 60.67 72.35 56.83 55.32

2018-19 61.07 72.64 57.81 55.24

2019-20* 56.08 65.36 50.26 54.73


Energy & Peak Availability
Energy Peak
Requirement Availability Surplus(+)/ Peak Peak Met Surplus(+) / Deficts(-)
Year Deficts(-) Demand
(MU) (MU) (MU) (%) (MW) (MW) (MW) (%)
-
2010-11 8,61,591 7,88,355 73,236 -8.5 1,22,287 1,10,256 -12,031 -9.8
-
2011-12 9,37,199 8,57,886 79,313 -8.5 1,30,006 1,16,191 -13,815 -10.6
-
2012-13 9,95,557 9,08,652 86,905 -8.7 1,35,453 1,23,294 -12,159 -9
-
2013-14 10,02,257 9,59,829 42,428 -4.2 1,35,918 1,29,815 -6,103 -4.5
-
2014-15 10,68,923 10,30,785 38,138 -3.6 1,48,166 1,41,160 -7,006 -4.7

2015-16 11,14,408 -
10,90,850 23,558 -2.1 1,53,366 1,48,463 -4,903 -3.2
2016-17 11,42,929 11,35,334 -7,595 -0.7 1,59,542 1,56,934 -2,608 -1.6
2017-18 12,13,326 12,04,697 -8,629 -0.7 1,64,066 1,60,752 -3,314 -2
2018-19 12,74,595 12,67,526 -7,070 -0.6 1,77,022 1,75,528 -1,494 -0.8
2019-20* 12,90,247 12,83,690 -6,557 -0.5 1,83,804 1,82,533 -1,271 -0.7
Year-wise RE generation (MU)
Source 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-2020

Large Hydro 1,29,244 1,21,377 1,22,313 1,26,134 1,35,040 1,55,970

Small Hydro 8,060 8,355 7,673 5,056 8,703 9,366

Solar 4,600 7,450 12,086 25,871 39,268 50,103

Wind 28,214 28,604 46,011 52,666 62,036 64,639

Bio mass 14,944 16,681 14,159 15,252 16,325 13,843

Other 414 269 213 358 425 366

Total 1,91,025 1,87,158 2,04,182 2,27,973 2,61,797 294,288

Total utility 11,05,446 11,68,359 12,36,392 13,02,904 13,71,517 13,85,114


power
% Renewable 17.28% 16.02% 16.52% 17.50% 19.10% 21.25%
power
Additional Energy Availability & Share of RE
in it
Share of Solar &
Growth in Energy
Year Wind in Total Energy
Availability (MU)
Solar & Wind (MU) Availability

17-18 69,363 78537 113.23%


18-19 62,829 1,01,304 161.24%
19-20 16,164 1,14,742 709.86%
Share of Solar & Wind in Total Energy
Availability
Energy Availability Solar & Wind Energy Share of Solar & Wind
Year (MU) (MU) in Energy Availability

17-18 12,04,697 78537 6.52%


18-19 12,67,526 1,01,304 7.99%
19-20 12,83,690 1,14,742 8.94%
Conclusions
• PLF of Thermal Power Plants is reducing over the
years as we are adding more and more Solar and
Wind energy. Current Avg. PLF of thermal PPs is
hovering around technical minimum (55%)
• Additional energy availability from Generation by
Solar & Wind exceeds much more than the
addition in demand thereby causing this
reduction of PLF of thermal plants as RE is having
“Must Run” Status.
Conclusions
• While cost of RE generation is less than thermal,
the associated balancing costs in form of higher
associated transmission charges (due to lower
utilization of green corridors etc.), massive
increase in ancillary services requirement etc.,
make it comparable to conventional power.
• Besides, discoms will have to continue paying
for fixed charges for stranded thermal capacity
caused due to backing down of thermal PPAs.
Conclusions
• Therefore, any growth in RE power will be at the cost of
existing thermal power plants. The present financial stress is
when share of RE is less than 9%. If is increases to 21% by
2022, the financial stress in the sector will grow manifold as
more and more thermal plants will become in-operational but
need continued debt servicing.
• Average cost of supply will continue to increase because of
these additional costs will adversely affect the affordability of
consumers to pay for expensive power. This will further
deteriorate the financial stress of discoms and contagion will
be passed on to the power sector through defaults by discoms
and gencos to the banks leading to NPAs.
Suggested Solutions
• Addition of Renewables ( Solar & Wind) should be
limited to :
– Replace the retiring thermal PPs
– At least 20% of RE should with storage system to give
RTC (round the clock power)
– At least 80% of any increase in demand should be met
by RE and remaining through preferably hydro.
– RE being part of UNFCC action plan, should continue to
be “a shared concern with differentiated responsibility”
and therefore, every state should have its own
trajectory.

You might also like