Power Supply Procurement Plan

2021

Oriental Mindoro Electric Cooperative, Incorporated

(ORMECO, Inc.)
Historical Consumption Data

Coincident MWh System

MWh Offtake MWh Input MWh Output Load Factor System Loss
Peak MW Loss

2000 20.40 75,017 75,017 65,570 9,447 42% 12.59%

2001 21.50 87,199 87,199 75,274 11,925 46% 13.68%
2002 26.45 95,524 95,524 82,450 13,075 41% 13.69%
2003 26.45 105,944 105,944 91,395 14,549 46% 13.73%
2004 26.67 113,948 113,948 98,513 15,435 49% 13.55%
2005 25.62 124,879 124,879 108,479 16,400 56% 13.13%
2006 26.75 113,846 113,846 99,012 14,834 49% 13.03%
2007 25.05 125,245 125,245 109,619 15,626 57% 12.48%
2008 24.53 128,306 128,306 113,586 14,720 60% 11.47%
2009 28.32 138,575 138,575 123,050 15,525 56% 11.20%
2010 27.00 153,115 153,115 136,783 16,332 65% 10.67%
2011 28.93 157,191 157,191 141,867 15,325 62% 9.75%
2012 30.30 171,671 171,671 155,078 16,593 65% 9.67%
2013 33.52 187,367 187,367 168,896 18,471 64% 9.86%
2014 39.02 204,740 204,740 182,990 21,750 60% 10.62%
2015 42.70 224,371 224,371 199,364 25,007 60% 11.15%
2016 42.27 243,288 243,288 216,050 27,239 66% 11.20%
2017 45.75 265,477 265,477 236,614 28,863 66% 10.87%
2018 52.10 301,015 301,015 265,744 35,271 66% 11.72%
2019 56.65 326,979 326,979 287,675 39,304 66% 12.02%
2020 57.08 327,690 327,690 287,569 40,121 66% 12.24%

Peak Demand increased from 56.65 MW in 2019 to 57.08 MW in 2020 at a rate of 0.76% only due
to the effect of COVID19 Pandemic. MWh Offtake increased from 326,979 MWh in 2019 to 327,690
MWh in 2020 at a rate of 0.22% only due to the effect of the pandemic also. Within the same period,
Load Factor ranged from 42% to 66%. There was an abrupt change in consumption on 2018 due to
abnormal growth on year 2015 to 2017 and most of potential spot loads on year 2018 were
energized.

Historical Consumption
350,000 60.0
300,000 50.0
250,000 40.0
MWh

200,000
MW

30.0
150,000
100,000 20.0
50,000 10.0
0 0.0

Year

MWh Output MWh System Loss Coincident Peak MW

MWh Output decreased from year 2019 to year 2020 at a rate of 8.20%, while MWh System Loss
increased at an average rate of 2.08% within the same period. Note that transmission loss are
include to the system loss reflected on the table above.
 Historical Losses
16.00%
14.00%
12.00%
10.00%
8.00%
6.00%
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Year

Transm'n Loss System Loss

ORMECO’s loss from 2000 to 2014 acquired highest mark due to overloaded and unsystematic
distribution line. The coop attains the single digit System Loss by 20011 to 2013 due to most of the
major projects under CAPEX 2012 to 2016 were implemented. On the other hand, System loss
spikes increasingly since ORMECO took over System Operation of Oriental Mindoro Grid. This
results to shouldering the subtransmission and substation losses within the franchise area.

Previous Year's Shares of Energy Sales

Others
Industrial 8.82%
9.01%

Commercial
19.51% Residential
62.65%

Residential customers account for the bulk of energy sales at 62.65% despite of the low number of
new connections this year. In addition, mostly the load of Oriental Mindoro are residential. In
contrast, Other customers, St. Lights and Public Building specifically, accounted for only 8.82% of
energy sales due to the low number of connections.
 MWh Offtake for Last Historical Year
35,000

30,000

25,000

20,000
MWh

15,000

10,000

5,000

0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Month

LCMHPP-Lower Cascade LCMHPP-Upper Cascade POC

GBH OPI MGC Calapan
MGC Bongabong DMCI CHEPP
IMHPP PHESI Wind Energy Power Facility POC 3 EPP
FRONTIER 1 EPP DMCI 5 EPP FRONTIER 2 EPP

For PHESI Wind Energy Power Facility, Inabasan Mini Hydro Power Plant (IMHPP), Mindoro Grid
Corporation-Calapan (MGC-Calapan), MGC-Bongabong, GBH Power Resources Incorporated
(GBH PRI), Linao Cawayan Mini Hydro Power Plant-Lower Cascade (LCMHPP-Lower Cascade),
LCMHPP-Upper Cascade, Catuiran Hydro Electric Power Plant (CHEPP), Ormin Power
Incorporated (OPI) and Power One Corporation (POC) the total energy Offtake for the historical year
is lower than the quantity stipulated in their PSA, except DMCI Power Corporation with higher energy
Offtake than the quantity stipulated in the PSA due to DMCI Power Corporation plays the role of
system regulator.

There were months that Frontier, POC and DMCI EPP did not reach its contracted energy due to
intermittent power supply from the contracted renewable power suppliers.
Previous Year's Load Profile

Previous Year's Load Duration Curve

60.0

50.0

40.0
MW

30.0

20.0

10.0

0.0
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Percent of the Time

Based on the Load Duration Curve, the minimum load is 0 MW and the maximum load is 57.08 MW
for the last historical year. We recorded 0 MW because Oriental Mindoro was hardly hit by typhoon
Quinta last October 2020.

Previous Year's Load for Peak MWh and MW Days

70.0

60.0

50.0

40.0
MW

30.0

20.0

10.0

0.0
0:00
0:00
1:00
1:00
2:00
2:00
3:00
3:00
4:00
4:00
5:00
5:00
6:00
6:00
7:00
8:00
8:00
9:00
9:00
10:00
10:00
11:00
11:00
12:00
12:00
13:00
13:00
14:00
14:00
15:00
16:00
16:00
17:00
17:00
18:00
18:00
19:00
19:00
20:00
20:00
21:00
21:00
22:00
22:00
23:00

Time

2014-085RC 2011-017RC 2013-164RC 2013-212RC

2014-001RC 2012-131RC 2013-041RC 2014-003RC
LCMHPP-UPPER FPTAS-EPP POC BANSUD-EPP GBH-EPP
Peak MWh Day Peak MW Day

Peak MW occurred on September 4, 2020 1:00 pm due to the effect of the pandemic also. Because
historically during summer season we experience peak MW load. Peak daily MWh occurred on June
2020 because historically, at day period ORMECO recorded greater sales than night period due to
many offices, schools and other establishments are open.
 Previous Year's Loading Summary
72.31
65.00
57.08

37.84

25.20

MVA Tot NCP CP Ave 5th PCTL

The Non-coincident Peak Demand is 72.31 MW, which is around 139% of the total substation
capacity of 65 MVA at a power factor of 0.80. The load factor or the ratio between the Average Load
of 37.84 MW and the Non-coincident Peak Demand is 52.33% of. A safe estimate of the true
minimum load is the fifth percentile load of 25.2 MW which is 34.85% of the Non-coincident Peak
Demand.

Substation Substation
Metering Point
MVA Peak MW

Minolo (Puerto Galera) 10 5.158

Taurus (Calapan) 20 30.875
Gemini (Naujan) 5 4.694
Leo (Victoria) 5 3.859
Virgo (Socorro) 5 4.909
Libra (Pinamalayan) 5 6.043
Scorpio (Bansud) 10 5.390
Capricorn (Bongabong) 3.290
Pisces (Roxas) 5 8.094

All substations are loaded above 70% this year 2020 except Minolo (Puerto) substation which
recorded only 64.45% of the allowable capacity of the power transformer. But take note that this
power substation reaches 8 MW last 2019 summer season but due to COVID 19 pandemic this
year, Minolo substation did not reach its real peak demand. The overloading problems of all the
substation are going to be solve by the 2017-2021 CAPEX projects of ORMECO that are targeted
to be implemented this year upon approval. Bongabong substation is temporarily connected to 10
MVA NPC Bansud substation while the bank loan for the installation of additional capacity at
Bongabong is on going.

The figures illustrate the critical substations that must be uprated in terms of capacity. But we must
take note and must not disregard that most of the power providers are embedded in the distribution
line. The table also shows also the coincident peak per substation. To address the overloading
issue of Naujan substation, we transfer some portion of it to Victoria substation.
Forecasted Consumption Data

Coincident Peak Existing Target MW Surplus /

Contracted MW Pending MW Planned MW
MW Contracting Level Contracting Level Deficit

2021 Jan 47.28 20.88 26.40 0.000 44% 100% 0.00

Feb 50.35 12.45 37.90 0.000 25% 100% 0.00
Mar 54.58 17.98 36.60 0.000 33% 100% 0.00
Apr 54.78 19.58 35.20 0.000 36% 100% 0.00
May 64.78 21.28 23.70 10.950 33% 86% -8.85
Jun 61.77 20.98 24.00 13.000 34% 94% -3.79
Jul 57.74 23.00 27.90 10.000 40% 105% 3.16
Aug 58.79 23.00 27.90 10.000 39% 104% 2.11
Sep 58.93 23.00 27.90 10.000 39% 103% 1.97
Oct 58.36 23.00 33.10 10.000 39% 113% 7.74
Nov 56.73 23.00 33.10 10.000 41% 117% 9.37
Dec 55.33 23.00 33.10 10.000 42% 119% 10.77
2022 Jan 52.09 19.20 36.90 10.000 37% 127% 14.01
Feb 52.66 19.20 36.90 10.000 36% 126% 13.44
Mar 57.98 23.00 24.60 15.000 40% 108% 4.62
Apr 62.61 23.00 24.60 15.000 37% 100% -0.01
May 62.82 23.00 24.60 15.000 37% 100% -0.22
Jun 62.29 21.60 16.60 15.000 35% 85% -9.09
Jul 60.90 21.60 16.60 15.000 35% 87% -7.70
Aug 62.00 21.60 16.60 15.000 35% 86% -8.80
Sep 62.13 17.80 16.60 0.000 29% 55% -27.73
Oct 61.51 23.00 23.90 0.000 37% 76% -14.61
Nov 59.78 23.00 25.10 0.000 38% 80% -11.68
Dec 58.29 23.00 25.10 0.000 39% 83% -10.19
2023 Jan 54.86 19.20 31.90 0.000 35% 93% -3.76
Feb 55.45 19.20 31.90 0.000 35% 92% -4.35
Mar 61.04 23.00 24.60 0.000 38% 78% -13.44
Apr 65.90 23.00 24.60 31.000 35% 119% 12.70
 May 66.10 23.00 24.60 31.000 35% 119% 12.50
Jun 65.54 21.60 16.60 31.000 33% 106% 3.66
Jul 64.06 21.60 16.60 31.000 34% 108% 5.14
Aug 65.20 21.60 16.60 31.000 33% 106% 4.00
Sep 65.32 17.80 16.60 31.000 27% 100% 0.08
Oct 64.67 23.00 23.90 31.000 36% 120% 13.23
Nov 62.83 23.00 25.10 31.000 37% 126% 16.27
Dec 61.25 23.00 25.10 31.000 38% 129% 17.85
2024 Jan 57.64 19.20 31.90 18.000 33% 120% 11.46
Feb 58.24 19.20 31.90 18.000 33% 119% 10.86
Mar 64.10 23.00 24.60 31.000 36% 123% 14.50
Apr 69.19 23.00 24.60 35.000 33% 119% 13.41
May 69.39 23.00 24.60 35.000 33% 119% 13.21
Jun 68.78 21.60 16.60 35.000 31% 106% 4.42
Jul 67.22 21.60 16.60 35.000 32% 109% 5.98
Aug 68.40 21.60 16.60 35.000 32% 107% 4.80
Sep 68.52 17.80 16.60 35.000 26% 101% 0.88
Oct 67.82 23.00 23.90 35.000 34% 121% 14.08
Nov 65.88 23.00 25.10 35.000 35% 126% 17.22
Dec 64.21 23.00 25.10 35.000 36% 129% 18.89
2025 Jan 60.41 19.20 31.90 22.000 32% 121% 12.69
Feb 61.03 19.20 31.90 22.000 31% 120% 12.07
Mar 67.16 23.00 24.60 35.000 34% 123% 15.44
Apr 72.48 23.00 24.60 38.000 32% 118% 13.12
May 72.68 23.00 24.60 38.000 32% 118% 12.92
Jun 72.03 21.60 16.60 38.000 30% 106% 4.17
Jul 70.38 21.60 16.60 38.000 31% 108% 5.82
Aug 71.60 21.60 16.60 38.000 30% 106% 4.60
Sep 71.71 17.80 16.60 38.000 25% 101% 0.69
Oct 70.97 23.00 23.90 38.000 32% 120% 13.93
Nov 68.93 23.00 25.10 38.000 33% 125% 17.17
Dec 67.17 23.00 25.10 38.000 34% 128% 18.93
2026 Jan 63.18 19.20 31.90 25.000 30% 120% 12.92
 Feb 63.83 19.20 31.90 25.000 30% 119% 12.27
Mar 70.22 23.00 24.60 38.000 33% 122% 15.38
Apr 75.77 23.00 24.60 41.000 30% 117% 12.83
May 75.96 23.00 24.60 41.000 30% 117% 12.64
Jun 75.27 21.60 16.60 41.000 29% 105% 3.93
Jul 73.53 21.60 16.60 41.000 29% 108% 5.67
Aug 74.81 21.60 16.60 41.000 29% 106% 4.39
Sep 74.91 17.80 16.60 41.000 24% 101% 0.49
Oct 74.12 23.00 23.90 41.000 31% 119% 13.78
Nov 71.98 23.00 25.10 41.000 32% 124% 17.12
Dec 70.13 15.00 25.10 41.000 21% 116% 10.97
2027 Jan 65.96 11.20 31.90 28.000 17% 108% 5.14
Feb 66.62 11.20 31.90 28.000 17% 107% 4.48
Mar 73.28 15.00 24.60 41.000 20% 110% 7.32
Apr 79.06 15.00 24.60 51.000 19% 115% 11.54
May 79.25 15.00 24.60 51.000 19% 114% 11.35
Jun 78.52 15.00 16.60 51.000 19% 105% 4.08
Jul 76.69 15.00 16.60 51.000 20% 108% 5.91
Aug 78.01 15.00 16.60 51.000 19% 106% 4.59
Sep 78.11 11.20 16.60 51.000 14% 101% 0.69
Oct 77.27 15.00 23.90 51.000 19% 116% 12.63
Nov 75.02 15.00 25.10 51.000 20% 121% 16.08
Dec 73.09 15.00 25.10 51.000 21% 125% 18.01
2028 Jan 68.73 11.20 31.90 38.000 16% 118% 12.37
Feb 69.41 11.20 31.90 38.000 16% 117% 11.69
Mar 76.34 15.00 24.60 51.000 20% 119% 14.26
Apr 82.35 15.00 24.60 54.000 18% 114% 11.25
May 82.54 15.00 24.60 54.000 18% 113% 11.06
Jun 81.76 15.00 16.60 54.000 18% 105% 3.84
Jul 79.85 15.00 16.60 54.000 19% 107% 5.75
Aug 81.21 15.00 16.60 54.000 18% 105% 4.39
Sep 81.30 11.20 16.60 54.000 14% 101% 0.50
Oct 80.42 15.00 23.90 54.000 19% 116% 12.48
 Nov 78.07 15.00 25.10 54.000 19% 121% 16.03
Dec 76.05 15.00 25.10 54.000 20% 124% 18.05
2029 Jan 71.51 11.20 31.90 41.000 16% 118% 12.59
Feb 72.20 11.20 31.90 41.000 16% 116% 11.90
Mar 79.40 15.00 24.60 54.000 19% 118% 14.20
Apr 85.64 15.00 24.60 57.000 18% 113% 10.96
May 85.82 15.00 24.60 57.000 17% 113% 10.78
Jun 85.01 15.00 16.60 57.000 18% 104% 3.59
Jul 83.01 15.00 16.60 57.000 18% 107% 5.59
Aug 84.41 15.00 16.60 57.000 18% 105% 4.19
Sep 84.50 11.20 16.60 57.000 13% 100% 0.30
Oct 83.57 15.00 23.90 57.000 18% 115% 12.33
Nov 81.12 15.00 25.10 57.000 18% 120% 15.98
Dec 79.01 15.00 25.10 57.000 19% 123% 18.09
2030 Jan 74.28 11.20 31.90 44.000 15% 117% 12.82
Feb 74.99 11.20 31.90 44.000 15% 116% 12.11
Mar 82.46 15.00 24.60 57.000 18% 117% 14.14
Apr 88.93 15.00 24.60 60.000 17% 112% 10.67
May 89.11 15.00 24.60 60.000 17% 112% 10.49
Jun 88.25 15.00 16.60 60.000 17% 104% 3.35
Jul 86.17 15.00 16.60 60.000 17% 106% 5.43
Aug 87.61 15.00 16.60 60.000 17% 105% 3.99
Sep 87.69 11.20 16.60 60.000 13% 100% 0.11
Oct 86.72 15.00 23.90 60.000 17% 114% 12.18
Nov 84.17 15.00 25.10 60.000 18% 119% 15.93
Dec 81.97 15.00 25.10 60.000 18% 122% 18.13

The Peak Demand was forecasted using Regression Analysis and was assumed to occur on the month of May. Monthly Peak Demand is at its
lowest on the month of February due to cold weather during this month. In general, Peak Demand is expected to grow at an average rate of 5.8%
annually. Contracted MW varies in some months every year, because we reflected the yearly Preventive Maintenance Schedule. As tabulated on
year 2022 there was a deficit, because as of this period the contract of the Interim Power Supply will going to expire.
 Forecasted Supply vs Demand
120.0
100.0
80.0
MW

60.0
40.0
20.0
0.0
Oct

Oct

Oct

Oct

Oct

Oct

Oct

Oct

Oct

Oct
Jan

Jul

Jan

Jan
Apr

Apr
Jul

Apr
Jul

Jan

Jan

Jan
Apr
Jul

Jan

Jul
Apr

Apr
Jul

Apr
Jul

Jan
Apr
Jul

Jan

Jan
Apr
Jul

Apr
Jul
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Month

Contracted MW Pending MW Planned MW

Retail Electricity Suppliers MW Coincident Peak MW

The available supply is generally above the Peak Demand from year 2021 to 2030. This is because
of the Planned 60MW new power plant to be installed at Roxas, Calapan and Pinamalayan Oriental
Mindoro wherein 47 MW of this supply was base load and 13 MW was mid merit.

Forecasted Supply vs Demand

120.0
100.0
80.0
MW

60.0
40.0
20.0
0.0
Jan

Jan
Jan

Jul

Jan

Jan
Apr

Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct

Apr
Jul
Oct

Apr
Jul
Oct

Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct

Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Month

2014-085RC 2011-017RC 2013-164RC

2013-212RC 2014-001RC 2012-131RC
2013-041RC 2014-003RC LCMHPP-UPPER
GBH-EPP OPEN TECHNOLOGY - BL POC BANSUD-EPP
FPTAS-EPP INTERIM CALAPAN INTERIM BANSUD
INTERIM ROXAS OPEN TECHNOLOGY - LF Coincident Peak MW

Of the available supply, the largest is 47 MW from the Base Load Open Technology Power Plant.
This is followed by 15 MW from DMCI Power Corporation.
 Procurement Timing
70.0
60.0
50.0
MW

40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
Jul
Apr

Apr
Jul

Apr
Jul

Jul
Apr
Jul

Apr

Apr
Jul

Apr
Jul

Apr
Jul

Apr
Jul

Apr
Jul
Oct

Oct

Oct

Oct

Oct

Oct

Oct

Oct

Oct
Jan

Oct
Jan

Jan

Jan

Jan

Jan

Jan

Jan

Jan

Jan
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Month

INTERIM CALAPAN INTERIM BANSUD INTERIM ROXAS

OPEN TECHNOLOGY - BL OPEN TECHNOLOGY - LF

The first wave of supply procurement will be for 15 MW planned interim to be available by the month
of May 2021. This will be followed by the 60 MW regular power plant, specifically 47 MW base load
and 13 MW mid merit. This 47 MW are divided into 8 schedules and two location. First one to four
schedule has a total of 28 MW to be located at Roxas, Oriental Mindoro and the next is the 19 MW
to be located at Pinamalayan Oriental Mindoro. The 13 MW mid merit power plant was planned to
be put up in Calapan City Oriental Mindoro.

Contracting Levels
140%
120%
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Jan
Jan

Jul
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr

Oct

Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan

Jul
Apr

Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Month

Existing Contracting Level Target Contracting Level

The highest target contracting level is 129% which is expected to occur on December 2023. The
lowest target contracting level is 55% which is expected to occur on September 2022.
 MW Surplus / Deficit
30.00

20.00

10.00

0.00

Apr
Jul
Oct

Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct

Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr

Jan

Jan
Apr

Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct

Oct

Apr
Jul
Oct

Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul

Jan

Jan
Apr

Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
-10.00
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
-20.00

-30.00

-40.00
Month

The highest deficit is 27.73 MW which is expected to occur on the month of September 2022. The
lowest deficit is 0.01 MW which is expected to occur on the month of April 2022.

MWh Offtake MWh Output MWh System Loss System Loss

2021 Jan 24,428 21,057 3,371 13.80%

Feb 26,096 22,843 3,253 12.47%
Mar 26,467 22,904 3,563 13.46%
Apr 30,025 25,531 4,494 14.97%
May 31,740 27,325 4,415 13.91%
Jun 31,703 27,444 4,259 13.43%
Jul 30,149 26,532 3,618 12.00%
Aug 30,532 26,869 3,664 12.00%
Sep 31,082 27,352 3,730 12.00%
Oct 31,238 27,490 3,749 12.00%
Nov 30,919 27,209 3,710 12.00%
Dec 29,206 25,701 3,505 12.00%
2022 Jan 26,737 23,529 3,208 12.00%
Feb 27,845 24,504 3,341 12.00%
Mar 29,073 25,584 3,489 12.00%
Apr 32,631 28,715 3,916 12.00%
May 33,558 29,531 4,027 12.00%
Jun 33,423 29,412 4,011 12.00%
Jul 31,907 28,078 3,829 12.00%
Aug 32,290 28,415 3,875 12.00%
Sep 24,524 28,899 3,941 12.00%
Oct 26,231 29,036 3,959 12.00%
Nov 29,844 28,755 3,921 12.00%
Dec 34,471 27,247 3,716 12.00%
2023 Jan 29,929 25,075 3,419 12.00%
Feb 31,827 26,050 3,552 12.00%
Mar 30,831 27,131 3,700 12.00%
Apr 34,388 30,262 4,127 12.00%
May 35,315 31,077 4,238 12.00%
 Jun 35,180 30,959 4,222 12.00%
Jul 33,664 29,625 4,040 12.00%
Aug 34,047 29,962 4,086 12.00%
Sep 34,597 30,445 4,152 12.00%
Oct 34,753 30,583 4,170 12.00%
Nov 34,434 30,302 4,132 12.00%
Dec 32,720 28,794 3,926 12.00%
2024 Jan 30,252 26,622 3,630 12.00%
Feb 31,360 27,597 3,763 12.00%
Mar 32,588 28,677 3,911 12.00%
Apr 36,146 31,808 4,337 12.00%
May 37,073 32,624 4,449 12.00%
Jun 36,938 32,505 4,433 12.00%
Jul 35,422 31,171 4,251 12.00%
Aug 35,805 31,508 4,297 12.00%
Sep 36,355 31,992 4,363 12.00%
Oct 36,511 32,129 4,381 12.00%
Nov 36,191 31,848 4,343 12.00%
Dec 34,478 30,340 4,137 12.00%
2025 Jan 32,010 28,168 3,841 12.00%
Feb 33,117 29,143 3,974 12.00%
Mar 34,345 30,224 4,121 12.00%
Apr 37,903 33,355 4,548 12.00%
May 38,830 34,170 4,660 12.00%
Jun 38,695 34,052 4,643 12.00%
Jul 37,179 32,718 4,461 12.00%
Aug 37,562 33,055 4,507 12.00%
Sep 38,112 33,538 4,573 12.00%
Oct 38,268 33,676 4,592 12.00%
Nov 37,949 33,395 4,554 12.00%
Dec 36,235 31,887 4,348 12.00%
2026 Jan 33,767 29,715 4,052 12.00%
Feb 34,874 30,690 4,185 12.00%
Mar 36,103 31,770 4,332 12.00%
Apr 39,660 34,901 4,759 12.00%
May 40,587 35,717 4,870 12.00%
Jun 40,453 35,598 4,854 12.00%
Jul 38,936 34,264 4,672 12.00%
Aug 39,319 34,601 4,718 12.00%
Sep 39,869 35,085 4,784 12.00%
Oct 40,025 35,222 4,803 12.00%
Nov 39,706 34,941 4,765 12.00%
Dec 37,992 33,433 4,559 12.00%
2027 Jan 35,524 31,261 4,263 12.00%
Feb 36,632 32,236 4,396 12.00%
Mar 37,860 33,317 4,543 12.00%
Apr 41,418 36,448 4,970 12.00%
May 42,345 37,263 5,081 12.00%
Jun 42,210 37,145 5,065 12.00%
 Jul 40,694 35,811 4,883 12.00%
Aug 41,077 36,148 4,929 12.00%
Sep 41,627 36,631 4,995 12.00%
Oct 41,783 36,769 5,014 12.00%
Nov 41,463 36,488 4,976 12.00%
Dec 39,750 34,980 4,770 12.00%
2028 Jan 37,282 32,808 4,474 12.00%
Feb 38,389 33,783 4,607 12.00%
Mar 39,617 34,863 4,754 12.00%
Apr 43,175 37,994 5,181 12.00%
May 44,102 38,810 5,292 12.00%
Jun 43,967 38,691 5,276 12.00%
Jul 42,451 37,357 5,094 12.00%
Aug 42,834 37,694 5,140 12.00%
Sep 43,384 38,178 5,206 12.00%
Oct 43,540 38,315 5,225 12.00%
Nov 43,221 38,034 5,186 12.00%
Dec 41,507 36,526 4,981 12.00%
2029 Jan 39,039 34,354 4,685 12.00%
Feb 40,147 35,329 4,818 12.00%
Mar 41,375 36,410 4,965 12.00%
Apr 44,933 39,541 5,392 12.00%
May 45,859 40,356 5,503 12.00%
Jun 45,725 40,238 5,487 12.00%
Jul 44,209 38,904 5,305 12.00%
Aug 44,592 39,241 5,351 12.00%
Sep 45,141 39,724 5,417 12.00%
Oct 45,297 39,862 5,436 12.00%
Nov 44,978 39,581 5,397 12.00%
Dec 43,265 38,073 5,192 12.00%
2030 Jan 40,797 35,901 4,896 12.00%
Feb 41,904 36,876 5,028 12.00%
Mar 43,132 37,956 5,176 12.00%
Apr 46,690 41,087 5,603 12.00%
May 47,617 41,903 5,714 12.00%
Jun 47,482 41,784 5,698 12.00%
Jul 45,966 40,450 5,516 12.00%
Aug 46,349 40,787 5,562 12.00%
Sep 46,899 41,271 5,628 12.00%
Oct 47,055 41,408 5,647 12.00%
Nov 46,735 41,127 5,608 12.00%
Dec 45,022 39,619 5,403 12.00%

MWh Offtake was forecasted using Regression Analysis. The assumed load factor is 60%. On last
quarter of year 2022 there was a deficit on energy and capacity, we reflect this just to show that we
need a Certificate of Exemption (COE) for these period. On the first quarter of year 2023 there was
a surplus in energy but deficit in capacity, only also to show how complicated the Energy Supply
Agreement of ORMECO with different power suppliers and also to justify the need of this COE.

Based on the same study, the Distribution System can adequately convey electricity to customers.
 Forecasted Consumption
50,000 100.0
40,000 80.0
30,000 60.0
MWh

MW
20,000 40.0
10,000 20.0
0 0.0
Jan

Jan
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct

Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan

Jul
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr

Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct

Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan

Jul
Apr

Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Month

MWh Output MWh System Loss Coincident Peak MW

MWh Output was expected to grow at an average rate of 3.6% annually.

Forecasted Losses
20.00%

10.00%

0.00%
Jan
Jan

Jan

Jan

Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct

Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan

Jul
Apr

Oct

Apr
Jul
Oct

Apr
Jul
Oct

Apr
Jul
Oct
-10.00%
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
-20.00%

-30.00%

-40.00%
Month

Transm'n Loss System Loss

Data reflected from January 2021 to June 2021 was actual. As shown on the graph, transmission
loss there was an abrupt change due to deficit energy from September to November and excess
energy from December to February. On December to February period, we reflect that there was
an excess energy but deficit on capacity. This can be a justification that ORMECO needs a COE
for this period to compensate these deficit.
Power Supply
Minimum Minimum
Case No. Type GenCo PSA Start PSA End
MW MWh/yr
2014-085RC Base DMCI Power Corporation 15.00 50,600 2/7/2013 2/6/2035
2011-017RC Base Ormin Power, Inc. 6.40 59,270 11/11/2010 11/11/2026

The PSA with DMCI Power Corporation filed with ERC under Case No. 2014-085RC was procured through Competitive Selection process. It was
selected to provide for base and regulating requirements due to inadequate power supply of ORMECO and that it is capable to synchronized
operation in parallel with the power system both at regulation and base loading mode. Historically, the utilization of the PSA is 120.95% this is due
to reliability issue brought by force majeure on year 2015 to 2019, and also it is the regulating power plant in Oriental Mindoro Grid and has to run
24 hours of at least 2 units online to serve reliable power supply. The actual billed overall monthly charge under the PSA ranged from 5.6404
P/kWh to 6.3172 P/KWh in the same period under Subsidized Approved Generation Rate (SAGR). There were discrepancies recorded between
the forecasted and the Minimum MWh/yr because of the erratic load curve of the Oriental Mindoro Province and also due to the variable renewable
resources on our system. Due to this erratic load curve, we have excess in terms of energy (MWh) and have a shortage in terms of capacity (MW).

The PSA with ORMIN Power, Inc. filed with ERC under Case No. 2011-017RC was procured through Competitive Selection process. It was
selected to provide for base requirements in order to steer clear of the looming power supply in the immediate future and as a long-term solution
also in order to assure the continuous, stable and efficient supply of electricity in the Province of Oriental Mindoro. Historically, the utilization of the
PSA is 70.01%. Outages of the plant led to unserved energy of around 5035.1758 MWh in the past year. The actual billed overall monthly charge
under the PSA is 5.6404 P/kWh in the same period under Subsidized Approved Generation Rate (SAGR).

Minimum Minimum
Case No. Type GenCo PSA Start PSA End
MW MWh/yr
2013-164RC Base Other 4.40 38,544 11/22/2018 11/22/2043
2013-212RC Base Ormin Power, Inc. 6.00 51,840 1/14/2019 1/14/2044
2014-001RC Base Other 6.00 66,000 12/5/2019 12/4/2044
2012-131RC Base DU-owned 1.20 9,600 1/24/2012 1/24/2044
2013-041RC Base Mindoro Grid Corporation 5.00 43,560 12/18/2012 3/16/2022
2014-003RC Base Power One Corporation 9.00 78,840 5/14/2012 5/13/2032
LCMHPP-UPPER Base DU-owned 1.50 13,140 2/2/2015 2/2/2045
POC BANSUD-EPP Intermediate Power One Corporation 4.00 1,200 4/19/2020 5/17/2021
GBH-EPP Base GBH Power Resources, Inc. 2.00 1,030 12/26/2020 4/26/2021
FPTAS-EPP Intermediate Other 3.00 800 4/30/2020 1/19/2021
The PSA with Sta. Clara Power Corporation filed with ERC under Case No. 2013-164RC was procured through Memorandum of Understanding
(MOU) with ORMECO. It was selected to provide for base requirements due to the desires of ORMECO to ensure the adequacy and reliability of
the supply of power to its franchise area with the use of renewable sources of energy and to distribute the same to the residents, members, and
consumers of its service area. Historically, the utilization of the PSA is 59.9%. Outages of the plant led to unserved energy of around 15454.92
MWh in the past year. The actual billed overall monthly charge under the PSA is 5.9000 P/kWh in the same period under Feed-In Tariff Structure.
Sta. Clara Power Corporation can’t obtain the contracted MWh due to its intermittent dependable capacity.

The PSA with Ormin Power, Inc. filed with ERC under Case No. 2013-212RC was procured through MOU with ORMECO. It was selected to provide
for base requirements due to the desires of ORMECO to ensure the adequacy and reliability of the supply of power to its franchise area with the
use of renewable sources of energy and to distribute the same to the residents, members, and consumers of its service area. Historically, the
utilization of the PSA is 50.69%. Outages of the plant led to unserved energy of around 24159.218 MWh in the past year. The actual billed overall
monthly charge under the PSA is 5.6404 P/kWh in the same period under SAGR. Inabasan Mini Hydro Power Plant can’t obtain the contracted
MWh due to its intermittent dependable capacity. Even if it reaches its full capacity during rainy season, Inabasan generates very low supply of
power during dry season.

The PSA with Philippine Hybrid Energy System, Inc. filed with ERC under Case No. 2014-001RC was procured through Swiss Challenge. It was
selected to provide for base requirements due to the load requirement of ORMECO to meet during the peak demand for the succeeding years and
as a long term solution in order to avoid looming power supply in the immediate future. Historically, the utilization of the PSA is 15.36%. Outages
of the plant led to unserved energy of around 19465.36 MWh in the past year. The actual billed overall monthly charge under the PSA is 5.6404
P/kWh in the same period under SAGR. PHESI can’t obtain the contracted MWh due to its intermittent dependable capacity. But as soon as its
additional equipment, the Battery Energy Storage System, is operational it will help PHESI to reach its monthly Minimum MWh Offtake.

The PSA with Linao Cawayan Mini Hydro Power Plant-Lower Cascade (LCMHPP-Lower Cascade) filed with ERC under Case No. 2012-131RC
was owned by ORMECO. It was selected to provide for base requirements due to help alleviate the power crisis and the persistent brownouts it
experienced in 2011 due to power shortage caused by the unexpected increase in road demand brought about by the operation of various
commercial establishments and industrial businesses within its franchise area and the reduced power supply from the National power Corporation
(NPC). Historically, the utilization of the PSA is 47.55%. Outages of the plant led to unserved energy of around 5035.1758 MWh in the past year.
The actual billed overall monthly charge under the PSA is 5.9000 P/kWh in the same period Feed-In Tariff Structure. Lower Cascade can’t obtain
the contracted MWh due to its intermittent dependable capacity and low generation during dry season.

The PSA with Mindoro Grid Corporation filed with ERC under Case No. 2013-041RC was procured through Competitive Selection Process (CSP)
for Calapan and Bongabong Power Plants. It was selected to provide for base requirements due to the load requirement of ORMECO to meet
during the peak demand to its franchise area. Historically, the utilization of the PSA are 72.78% and 76.99% respectively. Outages of the plant led
to unserved energy of around 11857.168 MWh and 10023.012 MWh correspondingly in the past year. The actual billed overall monthly charge
under the PSA is 5.6404 P/kWh in the same period under SAGR. MGC can’t obtain its contracted capacity is because this power plant is embedded
at the 5MVA power transformer of Roxas substation, that’s why it cannot maximize its full capacity.
The PSA with Power One Corporation filed with ERC under Case No. 2014-003RC was procured through Competitive Selection Process (CSP).
It was selected to provide for base and peaking requirements to ensure the adequate provision of power supply the franchise area. Historically,
the utilization of the PSA is 67.63%. Outages of the plant led to unserved energy of around 25520.328 MWh in the past year. The actual billed
overall monthly charge under the PSA is 5.6404 P/kWh in the same period under SAGR. There were discrepancies recorded between the
forecasted and the Minimum MWh/yr because of the erratic load curve of the Oriental Mindoro Province and also due to the variable renewable
resources on our system

The PSA with Linao Cawayan Mini Hydro Power Plant Upper Cascade (LCMHPP-Upper Cascade) had pending application filed with ERC and
owned by ORMECO. It was selected to provide for base requirements to ensure the adequate provision of power supply the franchise area.
Historically, the utilization of the PSA is 47.63%. Outages of the plant led to unserved energy of around 6882 MWh in the past year. The actual
billed overall monthly charge under the PSA is 5.6404 P/kWh in the same period under Feed-In Tariff Structure. Lower Cascade can’t obtain the
contracted MWh due to its intermittent dependable capacity and low generation during dry season.

The EPSA with Frontier Power Technologies and Allied Services, GBH Power Resource Inc., DMCI Power Corporation and Power One Corporation
for their Emergency Power Procurement had pending application with ERC and were procured through Negotiated Power Procurement by virtue
of Certificate of Exception (COE) to conduct CSP from Department of Energy (DOE). It was selected to provide for intermediate requirements due
to the load requirement of ORMECO to meet during the peak demand to its franchise for the period of 1 year. The actual billed overall monthly
charge under the EPSA ranged from 10.00 P/kWh to 15.00 P/KWh in the same period under True Cost Generation Rate (TCGR).
 OPEN OPEN
INTERIM INTERIM INTERIM
TECHNOLOGY TECHNOLOGY
CALAPAN BANSUD ROXAS
- BL - LF
Type Intermediate Intermediate Intermediate Base Intermediate
Minimum MW 5.00 5.00 5.00 47.00 13.00
Minimum MWh/yr 21,000 21,000 21,000 56,502 8,237
PSA Start 5/5/2021 5/5/2021 3/16/2022 3/1/2023 3/1/2023
PSA End 8/28/2022 8/28/2022 8/28/2022 12/31/2031 12/31/2031
Publication 3/3/2021 3/3/2021 3/3/2021 10/3/2021 10/3/2021
Pre-bid 3/24/2021 3/24/2021 3/24/2021 10/24/2021 10/24/2021
Opening 5/23/2021 5/23/2021 5/23/2021 12/23/2021 12/23/2021
Awarding 6/22/2021 6/22/2021 6/22/2021 1/22/2022 1/22/2022
PSA Signing 7/22/2021 7/22/2021 7/22/2021 2/21/2022 2/21/2022
Joint Filing 7/31/2021 7/31/2021 7/31/2021 3/2/2022 3/2/2022

Procurement Schedule

Joint Filing Joint Filing

PSA Signing PSA Signing
Awarding Awarding
Opening Opening
Pre-bid Pre-bid
Publication Publication

1/4/21 2/23/21 4/14/21 6/3/21 7/23/21 9/11/21 10/31/2112/20/21 2/8/22 3/30/22

INTERIM CALAPAN INTERIM BANSUD

INTERIM ROXAS OPEN TECHNOLOGY - BL
OPEN TECHNOLOGY - LF

For the procurement of 15 MW Interim Power supply which is planned to be available on May 5,
2021, the first publication or launch of CSP will be on March 3, 2021. Joint filing is planned on April
25, 2021, in accordance with DOE’s 2018 CSP Policy. 5 MW of Interim Roxas was part of this
15MW Interim Power Supply which will be available on March 2022 until August 2022.

For the procurement of 60 MW of Power supply which is planned to be available on May 2023, the
first publication or launch of CSP will be on October 3, 2021. Joint filing is planned on March 2,
2022, in accordance with DOE’s 2018 CSP Policy.
Captive Customer Connections

Historical and Forecasted Captive

Connections in Sector
300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0

2022
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021

2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
Year

Residential Commercial Industrial Others

The number of captive connections is expected to grow at a rate of 4.21% annually. Said customer
class is expected to account for 62.65% of the total consumption.

The assumptions made in the forecast are the basic linear forecasting the same reflected in the
National Statistics Office table of population.