Time Value of Money: Future Value Present Value Annuities Rates of Return Amortization

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CHAPTER 5

Time Value of Money


 Future value
 Present value
 Annuities
 Rates of return
 Amortization
6-1
Future Value
 Future value (FV) is the value of a current asset
 at a future date based on an assumed rate of
growth.
 The future value is important to investors and
financial planners, as they use it to estimate
how much an investment made today will be
worth in the future.

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Present Value (PV)

6-6
Annuity
 An annuity is a series of payments made at
equal intervals.
 Examples of annuities are;
 regular deposits to a savings account,
 monthly home mortgage payments,
 monthly insurance payments and,
 pension payments.
6-7
Types of Annuity

6-8
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Rate of return
 In finance, return is a profit on an
investment. It comprises any change in value
of the investment, and/or cash flows which
the investor receives from that investment,
such as interest payments, coupons, cash
dividends, stock dividends or the payoff from
a derivative or structured product

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Time lines
0 1 2 3
i%

CF0 CF1 CF2 CF3

 Show the timing of cash flows.


 Tick marks occur at the end of periods, so
Time 0 is today; Time 1 is the end of the
first period (year, month, etc.) or the
beginning of the second period.
6-13
Drawing time lines:
$100 lump sum due in 2 years;
3-year $100 ordinary annuity

$100 lump sum due in 2 years


0 1 2
i%

100
3 year $100 ordinary annuity
0 1 2 3
i%

100 100 100


6-14
Drawing time lines:
Uneven cash flow stream; CF0 = -$50,
CF1 = $100, CF2 = $75, and CF3 = $50

Uneven cash flow stream


0 1 2 3
i%

-50 100 75 50

6-15
What is the future value (FV) of an initial
$100 after 3 years, if I/YR = 10%?
 Finding the FV of a cash flow or series of
cash flows when compound interest is
applied is called compounding.
 FV can be solved by using the arithmetic,
financial calculator, and spreadsheet
methods.
0 1 2 3
10%

100 FV = ?
6-16
Solving for FV:
The arithmetic method
 After 1 year:
 FV = PV ( 1 + i ) = $100 (1.10)
1
= $110.00
 After 2 years:
 FV = PV ( 1 + i )2 = $100 (1.10)2
2
=$121.00
 After 3 years:
 FV = PV ( 1 + i )3 = $100 (1.10)3
3
=$133.10
 After n years (general case):
 FV = PV ( 1 + i )n
n
6-17
Solving for FV:
The calculator method
 Solves the general FV equation.
 Requires 4 inputs into calculator, and will
solve for the fifth. (Set to P/YR = 1 and
END mode.)

INPUTS 3 10 -100 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 133.10

6-18
What is the present value (PV) of $100
due in 3 years, if I/YR = 10%?
 Finding the PV of a cash flow or series of
cash flows when compound interest is
applied is called discounting (the reverse of
compounding).
 The PV shows the value of cash flows in
terms of today’s purchasing power.
0 1 2 3
10%

PV = ? 100
6-19
Solving for PV:
The arithmetic method
 Solve the general FV equation for PV:
 PV = FVn / ( 1 + i )n

 PV = FV3 / ( 1 + i )3
= $100 / ( 1.10 )3
= $75.13

6-20
Solving for PV:
The calculator method
 Solves the general FV equation for PV.
 Exactly like solving for FV, except we
have different input information and are
solving for a different variable.

INPUTS 3 10 0 100
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -75.13

6-21
Solving for N:
If sales grow at 20% per year, how long
before sales double?
 Solves the general FV equation for N.
 Same as previous problems, but now
solving for N.

INPUTS 20 -1 0 2
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 3.8

6-22
What is the difference between an
ordinary annuity and an annuity due?

Ordinary Annuity
0 1 2 3
i%

PMT PMT PMT


Annuity Due
0 1 2 3
i%

PMT PMT PMT


6-23
Solving for FV:
3-year ordinary annuity of $100 at 10%
 $100 payments occur at the end of
each period, but there is no PV.

INPUTS 3 10 0 -100
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 331

6-24
Solving for PV:
3-year ordinary annuity of $100 at 10%
 $100 payments still occur at the end of
each period, but now there is no FV.

INPUTS 3 10 100 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -248.69

6-25
Solving for FV:
3-year annuity due of $100 at 10%
 Now, $100 payments occur at the
beginning of each period.
 Set calculator to “BEGIN” mode.

INPUTS 3 10 0 -100
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 364.10

6-26
Solving for PV:
3 year annuity due of $100 at 10%
 Again, $100 payments occur at the
beginning of each period.
 Set calculator to “BEGIN” mode.

INPUTS 3 10 100 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -273.55

6-27
What is the PV of this uneven
cash flow stream?

0 1 2 3 4
10%

100 300 300 -50


90.91
247.93
225.39
-34.15
530.08 = PV
6-28
Solving for PV:
Uneven cash flow stream
 Input cash flows in the calculator’s “CFLO”
register:
 CF0 = 0
 CF1 = 100
 CF2 = 300
 CF3 = 300
 CF4 = -50
 Enter I/YR = 10, press NPV button to get NPV
= $530.09. (Here NPV = PV.)
6-29
Solving for I:
What interest rate would cause $100 to
grow to $125.97 in 3 years?
 Solves the general FV equation for I.

INPUTS 3 -100 0 125.97

N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 8

6-30
The Power of Compound
Interest
A 20-year-old student wants to start saving for
retirement. She plans to save $3 a day. Every
day, she puts $3 in her drawer. At the end of
the year, she invests the accumulated savings
($1,095) in an online stock account. The stock
account has an expected annual return of 12%.

How much money will she have when she is 65


years old?
6-31
Solving for FV:
Savings problem
 If she begins saving today, and sticks to
her plan, she will have $1,487,261.89
when she is 65.

INPUTS 45 12 0 -1095
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 1,487,262

6-32
Solving for FV:
Savings problem, if you wait until you are
40 years old to start
 If a 40-year-old investor begins saving today, and
sticks to the plan, he or she will have $146,000.59
at age 65. This is $1.3 million less than if starting
at age 20.
 Lesson: It pays to start saving early.

INPUTS 25 12 0 -1095
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 146,001

6-33
Solving for PMT:
How much must the 40-year old deposit
annually to catch the 20-year old?
 To find the required annual contribution,
enter the number of years until retirement
and the final goal of $1,487,261.89, and
solve for PMT.

INPUTS 25 12 0 1,487,262

N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -11,154.42

6-34
Will the FV of a lump sum be larger or
smaller if compounded more often,
holding the stated I% constant?
 LARGER, as the more frequently compounding
occurs, interest is earned on interest more often.
0 1 2 3
10%

100 133.10
Annually: FV3 = $100(1.10)3 = $133.10
0 1 2 3
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
5%

100 134.01
Semiannually: FV6 = $100(1.05)6 = $134.01
6-35
Classifications of interest rates
 Nominal rate (iNOM) – also called the quoted or
state rate. An annual rate that ignores
compounding effects.
 iNOM is stated in contracts. Periods must also be
given, e.g. 8% Quarterly or 8% Daily interest.
 Periodic rate (iPER) – amount of interest charged
each period, e.g. monthly or quarterly.
 iPER = iNOM / m, where m is the number of
compounding periods per year. m = 4 for
quarterly and m = 12 for monthly
compounding. 6-36
Classifications of interest rates
 Effective (or equivalent) annual rate (EAR =
EFF%) – the annual rate of interest actually
being earned, taking into account
compounding.
 EFF% for 10% semiannual investment
EFF% = ( 1 + iNOM / m )m - 1
= ( 1 + 0.10 / 2 )2 – 1 = 10.25%
 An investor would be indifferent between
an investment offering a 10.25% annual
return and one offering a 10% annual
return, compounded semiannually.
6-37
Why is it important to consider
effective rates of return?
 An investment with monthly payments is different
from one with quarterly payments. Must put each
return on an EFF% basis to compare rates of
return. Must use EFF% for comparisons. See
following values of EFF% rates at various
compounding levels.

EARANNUAL 10.00%
EARQUARTERLY 10.38%
EARMONTHLY 10.47%
EARDAILY (365) 10.52%
6-38
Can the effective rate ever be
equal to the nominal rate?
 Yes, but only if annual compounding
is used, i.e., if m = 1.
 If m > 1, EFF% will always be greater
than the nominal rate.

6-39
When is each rate used?
 iNOM written into contracts, quoted by
banks and brokers. Not used in
calculations or shown on time lines.
 iPER Used in calculations and shown on
time lines. If m = 1, iNOM = iPER =
EAR.
 EAR Used to compare returns on
investments with different payments per
year. Used in calculations when annuity
payments don’t match compounding periods.
6-40
What is the FV of $100 after 3 years under
10% semiannual compounding? Quarterly
compounding?
iNOM mn
FVn  PV ( 1  )
m

0.10 23
FV3S  $100 ( 1  )
2
6
FV3S  $100 (1.05)  $134.01
12
FV3Q  $100 (1.025)  $134.49
6-41
What’s the FV of a 3-year $100
annuity, if the quoted interest rate is
10%, compounded semiannually?
1 2 3
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
5%

100 100 100

 Payments occur annually, but compounding


occurs every 6 months.
 Cannot use normal annuity valuation
techniques.

6-42
Method 1:
Compound each cash flow
1 2 3
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
5%

100 100 100


110.25
121.55
331.80

FV3 = $100(1.05)4 + $100(1.05)2 + $100


FV3 = $331.80
6-43
Method 2:
Financial calculator
 Find the EAR and treat as an annuity.
 EAR = ( 1 + 0.10 / 2 )2 – 1 = 10.25%.

INPUTS 3 10.25 0 -100


N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 331.80

6-44
Find the PV of this 3-year
ordinary annuity.
 Could solve by discounting each cash
flow, or …
 Use the EAR and treat as an annuity to
solve for PV.

INPUTS 3 10.25 100 0


N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -247.59

6-45
Loan amortization
 Amortization tables are widely used for
home mortgages, auto loans, business
loans, retirement plans, etc.
 Financial calculators and spreadsheets are
great for setting up amortization tables.

 EXAMPLE: Construct an amortization


schedule for a $1,000, 10% annual rate
loan with 3 equal payments.

6-46
Step 1:
Find the required annual payment
 All input information is already given,
just remember that the FV = 0 because
the reason for amortizing the loan and
making payments is to retire the loan.

INPUTS 3 10 -1000 0

N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 402.11

6-47
Step 2:
Find the interest paid in Year 1
 The borrower will owe interest upon the
initial balance at the end of the first
year. Interest to be paid in the first
year can be found by multiplying the
beginning balance by the interest rate.

INTt = Beg balt (i)


INT1 = $1,000 (0.10) = $100
6-48
Step 3:
Find the principal repaid in Year 1
 If a payment of $402.11 was made at
the end of the first year and $100 was
paid toward interest, the remaining
value must represent the amount of
principal repaid.

PRIN= PMT – INT


= $402.11 - $100 = $302.11
6-49
Step 4:
Find the ending balance after Year 1
 To find the balance at the end of the
period, subtract the amount paid
toward principal from the beginning
balance.

END BAL = BEG BAL – PRIN


= $1,000 - $302.11
= $697.89
6-50
Constructing an amortization table:
Repeat steps 1 – 4 until end of loan
Year BEG BAL PMT INT PRIN END
BAL
1 $1,000 $402 $100 $302 $698
2 698 402 70 332 366
3 366 402 37 366 0
TOTAL 1,206.34 206.34 1,000 -

 Interest paid declines with each payment as


the balance declines. What are the tax
implications of this?
6-51
Illustrating an amortized payment:
Where does the money go?
$
402.11
Interest

302.11

Principal Payments

0 1 2 3
 Constant payments.
 Declining interest payments.
 Declining balance.
6-52
Partial amortization
 Bank agrees to lend a home buyer $220,000
to buy a $250,000 home, requiring a $30,000
down payment.
 The home buyer only has $7,500 in cash, so
the seller agrees to take a note with the
following terms:
 Face value = $22,500
 7.5% nominal interest rate
 Payments made at the end of the year, based
upon a 20-year amortization schedule.
 Loan matures at the end of the 10th year.
6-53
Calculating annual loan payments
 Based upon the loan information, the
home buyer must make annual
payments of $2,207.07 on the loan.

INPUTS 20 7.5 -22500 0

N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 2207.07

6-54
Determining the balloon payment
 Using an amortization table
(spreadsheet or calculator), it can be
found that at the end of the 10th year,
the remaining balance on the loan will
be $15,149.54.
 Therefore,
 Balloon payment = $15,149.54

 Final payment = $17,356.61

6-55

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