Time Value Ch6

Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 37

Time Value of Money

Value of Money = f(Time)

6-1
Chapter outline
• The concept of TVM
• Interest rate (Meaning, Components, Simple vs
Compound)
• Time lines (why important?)
• Present value, Future value
• Annuities (ordinary vs annuity due)
• Nominal/Quoted vs Effective Interest rates
• Amortization Schedule

6-2
Time Value of Money
Define
Indicates the purchasing power of money changes during time
being or the money in your hand now is not equal to the
money will be in future
Why matters
- Inflation/Deflation
- Uncertainty/Risk
- Opportunity costs
Applications
• planning for retirement,
• valuing stocks and bonds,
• setting up loan payment schedules, and making corporate
decisions regarding investing in new plant and equipment
6-3
Interest Rate
An interest rate is the percentage of principal
charged by the lender for the use of its money/fund
Components:
- Inflation
- Opportunity cost
- Risk

Simple vs Compound Interest Rate

6-4
Time lines

0 1 2 3
i%

CF0 CF1 CF2 CF3

• Show the timing of cash flows.


• Tick marks occur at the end of periods, so Time
0 is today; Time 1 is the end of the first period
(year, month, etc.) or the beginning of the
second period.
6-5
Drawing time lines:
$100 lump sum due in 2 years;
3-year $100 ordinary annuity

$100 lump sum due in 2 years


0 1 2
i%

100
3 year $100 ordinary annuity
0 1 2 3
i%

100 100 100


6-6
Drawing time lines:
Uneven cash flow stream; CF0 = -$50,
CF1 = $100, CF2 = $75, and CF3 = $50

Uneven cash flow stream


0 1 2 3
i%

-50 100 75 50

6-7
What is the future value (FV) of an initial $100
after 3 years, if i/YR = 10%?

• Finding the FV of a cash flow or series of cash


flows when compound interest is applied is
called compounding.
• FV can be solved by using the arithmetic,
financial calculator, and spreadsheet methods.

0 1 2 3
10%

100 FV = ?
6-8
Solving for FV:
The arithmetic method
• After 1 year:
FV1 = PV ( 1 + i ) = $100 (1.10)
= $110.00
• After 2 years:
FV2 = PV ( 1 + i )2 = $100 (1.10)2
=$121.00
• After 3 years:
FV3 = PV ( 1 + i )3 = $100 (1.10)3
=$133.10
• After n years (general case):
FVn = PV ( 1 + i )n
6-9
FV (some examples)
If Cash inflow and outflow one time:
- If you deposit $1000 for 10 years at 12% interest rate, how much will you
receive after 10 years? Calculate and show time lines.
- If your grand father deposited $5000 before 30 years at 10% interest rate
at a commercial bank, how much would you receive today. Show
calculations and time lines.
If there is more than one cash outflow and one cash
inflow:
- If you deposit $1000 now, $5000 after 1 year, $6000 after 2 year, and
$4000 after 3 years, how much will you receive after 4 years at 10%
interest rate. Show calculations and time lines.
- If your forefathers deposited $10000 before 50 years at 6% interest rate,
and more $10000 before 30 years at 8% interest rate. How much in total
you would receive today. Show calculations and time lines of each
scenario.
6-10
What is the present value (PV) of $100 due in
3 years, if i/YR = 10%?

• Finding the PV of a cash flow or series of cash


flows when compound interest is applied is
called discounting (the reverse of compounding).
• The PV shows the value of cash flows in terms of
today’s purchasing power.

0 1 2 3
10%

PV = ? 100
6-11
Solving for PV:
The arithmetic method
• Solve the general FV equation for PV:
PV = FVn / ( 1 + i )n

PV = FV3 / ( 1 + i )3
= $100 / ( 1.10 )3
= $75.13

6-12
What is the PV of this uneven cash flow
stream?

0 1 2 3 4
10%

100 300 300 -50


90.91
247.93
225.39
-34.15
530.08 = PV
6-13
Present value concept

© Dr. Sheikh Abu Taher 6-14


Solving for PV:
Uneven cash flow stream
• Input cash flows in the calculator’s “CFLO”
register:
– CF0 = 0
– CF1 = 100
– CF2 = 300
– CF3 = 300
– CF4 = -50
• Enter I/YR = 10, press NPV button to get NPV =
$530.09. (Here NPV = PV.)

6-15
Exercises (PV and FV)
• If you deposit $10000 for 5 years at 10% interest rate, how
much will you receive after 5 years?
• If you would like to receive $20000 after 5 years, how much
do you need to deposit today if the interest rate is 10%?
• If you deposit $3000 at year 1, 3500 at year 2, $0 at year 4 and
$4000 at year 5, how much will you receive after 5 years if the
interest rate is 10%? Show time lines.
• If you would like to receive $3000 at year 1, 3500 at year 2, $0
at year 4 and $4000 at year 5, how much do you need to
deposit today if the interest rate is 10%? Show time lines.

6-16
Discussion: Annuity
Annuity define: Series of equal payment or receipt/cash inflow
or outflow for number of periods (periods can be day, month,
quarter, year, etc)

Examples: EMI, home loan, automobile loan, Internet bill, house


rent, etc

i = 1, 2, …………………….n

Types:
1. Ordinary annuity
2. Annuity due
6-17
What is the difference between an ordinary
annuity and an annuity due?

Ordinary Annuity
0 1 2 3
i%

PMT PMT PMT


Annuity Due
0 1 2 3
i%

PMT PMT PMT


6-18
Future Value Annuity

6-19
Present Value Annuity

6-20
The Power of Compound Interest
A 20-year-old student wants to start saving for
retirement. She plans to save $3 a day. Every day, she
puts $3 in her drawer. At the end of the year, she
invests the accumulated savings ($1,095) in an online
stock account. The stock account has an expected
annual return of 12%.

How much money will she have when she is 65 years


old?

6-21
Classifications of interest rates
• Nominal rate (iNOM) – also called the quoted or
state rate. An annual rate that ignores
compounding effects.
– iNOM is stated in contracts. Periods must also be
given, e.g. 8% Quarterly or 8% Daily interest.
• Periodic rate (iPER) – amount of interest charged
each period, e.g. monthly or quarterly.
– iPER = iNOM / m, where m is the number of
compounding periods per year. m = 4 for quarterly
and m = 12 for monthly compounding.

6-22
Nominal vs Effective Annual Rate
Example: If nominal interest rate is 10%, what
will be the effective interest rate, if

1.If payment is made quarterly


2. If payment is made monthly
3. If payment is made daily

© Dr. Sheikh Abu Taher 6-23


Classifications of interest rates
• Effective (or equivalent) annual rate (EAR = EIR)–
the annual rate of interest actually being earned,
taking into account compounding.
for 10% semiannual investment
EAR/EIR = ( 1 + iNOM / m )m - 1
= ( 1 + 0.10 / 2 )2 – 1 = 10.25%
– An investor would be indifferent between an
investment offering a 10.25% annual return
and one offering a 10% annual return,
compounded semiannually.
Relationship between EIR and m is

6-24
Why is it important to consider effective rates of
return?

• An investment with monthly payments is different


from one with quarterly payments. Must put each
return on an % basis to compare rates of return.
Must use % for comparisons. See following values
of % rates at various compounding levels.

EARANNUAL 10.00%
EARQUARTERLY 10.38%
EARMONTHLY 10.47%
EARDAILY (365) 10.52%
➢ Estimate the above using the formula discussed and
find out the relationship between EAR and m. 6-25
Can the effective rate ever be equal to the
nominal rate?

• Yes, but only if annual compounding is


used, i.e., if m = 1.
• If m > 1, EFF% will always be greater than
the nominal rate.

6-26
When is each rate used?
• iNOM written into contracts, quoted by banks
and brokers. Not used in calculations or
shown on time lines.
• iPER Used in calculations and shown on time
lines. If m = 1, iNOM = iPER = EAR.
• EAR Used to compare returns on investments
with different payments per year. Used in
calculations when annuity payments don’t
match compounding periods.

6-27
What is the FV of $100 after 3 years under 10%
semiannual compounding? Quarterly
compounding?

i
FVn =PV(1+ )
NOM mn
m

FV3S =$100(1+ 0.10 )23


2
FV3S =$100(1.05)=$134.01
6

FV3Q =$100(1.025)12
=$134.49
6-28
What’s the FV of a 3-year $100 annuity, if the
quoted interest rate is 10%, compounded
semiannually?
1 2 3
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
5%

100 100 100

• Payments occur annually, but compounding


occurs every 6 months.
• Cannot use normal annuity valuation techniques.

6-29
Loan amortization
• Amortized Loan - A loan that is repaid in equal
payments over its life.
• Amortization tables are widely used for home
mortgages, auto loans, business loans,
retirement plans, etc.
• Financial calculators and spreadsheets are
great for setting up amortization tables.

• EXAMPLE: Construct an amortization schedule


for a $1,000, 10% annual rate loan with 3 equal
payments.
6-30
Step - 1
• Find how much do you need to pay equally in
each installment
You need to follow annuity formula here

6-31
Step 2:
Find the interest paid in Year 1
• The borrower will owe interest upon the initial
balance at the end of the first year. Interest to
be paid in the first year can be found by
multiplying the beginning balance by the
interest rate.

INTt = Beg balalancet (i)


INT1 = $1,000 (0.10) = $100

6-32
Step 3:
Find the principal repaid in Year 1
• If a payment of $402.11 was made at the end
of the first year and $100 was paid toward
interest, the remaining value must represent
the amount of principal repaid.

PRIN = PMT – INT


= $402.11 - $100 = $302.11

6-33
Step 4:
Find the ending balance after Year 1
• To find the balance at the end of the period,
subtract the amount paid toward principal
from the beginning balance.

END Balance= BEG Balance – PRIN


= $1,000 - $302.11
= $697.89

6-34
Constructing an amortization table:
Repeat steps 1 – 4 until end of loan

Year BEG BAL PMT (2) INT (3) PRIN END


(1) (4) BAL (6)
1 $1,000 $402 $100 $302 $698
2 698 402 70 332 366
3 366 402 37 366 0
TOTAL 1,206.34 206.34 1,000 -

• Interest paid declines with each payment as the


balance declines. What are the tax implications
of this?
6-35
Illustrating an amortized payment:
Where does the money go?

$
402.11
Interest

302.11

Principal Payments

0 1 2 3
• Constant payments.
• Declining interest payments.
• Declining balance.
6-36
Example
• Construct Loan Amortization Schedule,
$100,000 at 6% for 5 Years

6-37

You might also like