Bonds, Bond Valuation, and Interest Rates
Bonds, Bond Valuation, and Interest Rates
Bonds, Bond Valuation, and Interest Rates
chapter 6
Bonds, Bond Valuation,
and Interest Rates
Topics in Chapter
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5-2
Bond Issuers
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5-3
Key Features of a Bond
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5-4
Key Features of a Bond (cont’d)
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5-6
Retractable Bonds
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5-7
What’s a sinking fund?
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0 1 2 n
%
Rd
...
5-11
Value of a 15-year, 10%
coupon bond if rd = 10%
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0 1 2 15
Rd=10% ...
V=? 100 100 100 + 1,000
Another Equation:
M 1
1-
VB (1 r d)
N
1 + r d
N + INT
rd
1
1-
$1,000 (1 0.10)15
VB 15 + 100
1+ .10 0.10
PV annuity $ = 760.61
PV maturity value = 239.39
Value of bond $1,000.00
=
INPUTS
15 10 100 1000
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -1,000
5-15
Zero-coupon Bond Prices
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5-16
What would happen if going market
rate of interest rd = 15%?
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INPUTS
15 15 100 1000
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -707.63
5-17
What would happen if rd
declined to 5%?
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INPUTS
15 5 100 1000
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -1,518.98
5-18
What’s “yield-to-maturity”?
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5-19
YTM on a 14-year, 10% annual coupon,
$1,000 par value bond selling for $1,494.93
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0 1 13 14
rd=?
...
100 100 100
PV1 1,000
.
.
.
PV10
PVM
1,494.93 Find rd that “works”!
5-20
Find rd
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INT INT M
VB + ... + +
1 + r d 1 + r d 1 + r d
1 N N
1,000
1494.93 100 1 + ... + 100
14 +
1 + r d 1+ r d 1 + r d
14
INPUTS
14 -1494.93 100 1000
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT5 = YTM
5-22
Callable Bonds and Yield to Call
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5-23
Yield to Call (YTC)
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INPUTS
9 -1494.93 100 1100
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT4.21=YTC
5-24
If you bought bonds, would you be
more likely to earn YTM or YTC?
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5-25
If you bought bonds, would you be more
likely to earn YTM or YTC? (cont’d)
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5-26
Current yield
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5-27
Capital gains yield
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5-28
Changes in Bond Values ($)
Over Time
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Discount bond
714
0 1 2 3 14 15
5-29
Changes in Bond Values ($)
Over Time (cont’d)
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5-30
Changes in Bond Values ($)
Over Time (cont’d)
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INPUTS
2n rd/2 OK INT/2 OK
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT
5-32
Value of 15-year, 10% coupon,
semiannual bond if rd = 5%
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5-33
Market Interest Rate
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rd = r* + IP + DRP + LP + MRP
where rd = Required rate of return on a
debt security.
r* = Real risk-free rate.
IP = Inflation premium.
DRP = Default risk premium.
LP= Liquidity premium.
MRP = Maturity risk premium.
5-34
Real Risk-free Rate of
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Interest (r*)
• R* = rate of return on a riskless
security if no inflation is expected
• The best estimate is the short-term
government T-bills in an inflation-
free world
• R* is not static, changing over time
5-35
Inflation Premium (IP)
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5-36
What is the nominal risk-free rate?
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• rRF= (1+r*)(1+IP)-1
= r*+ IP + (r*x IP)
≈ r*+ IP. (Because r*x IP is small)
• rRF = Rate on short- or long-term
government bonds.
5-37
Default Risk Premium (DRP)
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5-39
Bond Ratings Provide
One Measure of Default Risk
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5-40
What factors affect default
risk and bond ratings?
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• Financial performance
– Debt ratio
– Coverage ratios, such as interest coverage ratio
or EBITDA coverage ratio
– Current ratios
• Other factors
– Earnings stability
– Regulatory environment
– Potential product liability
– Accounting policies
5-41
Liquidity Premium (LP)
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5-42
Bond Spreads, the DRP, and
the LP
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5-43
Maturity Risk Premium
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(MRP)
• All bonds, including Governmental
bonds, are exposed to two extra
risks: interest rate (price) risk and
reinvestment risk.
• MRP is the net effect of these two
sources of risk on a bond’s yield
5-44
Interest rate (or price) risk for 1-
year and 10-year 10% bonds
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5-45
What is reinvestment rate risk?
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5-46
What is reinvestment rate
risk? (cont’d)
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5-47
Remarks of MRP
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5-48