Bonds and Bond Valuation

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At a glance
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The key takeaways are the differences between debt and equity, types of bonds and their characteristics, and how factors like call provisions, sinking funds, and inflation affect bonds.

Debt represents a liability where equity represents ownership. Debt holders do not have voting rights or ownership but have priority over equity in bankruptcy. Interest paid on debt is tax deductible for companies while dividends paid to equity holders are not.

A bond indenture is a legal contract between a company and bondholders that specifies the bond's terms such as amount issued, interest rate, maturity date, call provisions, and covenants. It helps protect bondholders.

Differences Between Debt and Equity

• Equity
• Debt – Ownership interest
– Not an ownership interest
– Common stockholders
– Creditors do not have vote for the board of
voting rights directors and other issues
– Interest is considered a cost – Dividends are not
of doing business and is tax considered a cost of doing
deductible business and are not tax
– Creditors have legal deductible
recourse if interest or – Dividends are not a
principal payments are liability of the firm and
missed stockholders have no
– Excess debt can lead to legal recourse if
financial distress and dividends are not paid
bankruptcy – An all equity firm can not
go bankrupt
The Bond Indenture
• Contract between the company and the
bondholders and includes
– The basic terms of the bonds
– The total amount of bonds issued
– A description of property used as security, if applicable
– Sinking fund provisions
– Call provisions
– Details of protective covenants
Bond Classifications
• Registered vs. Bearer Forms
• Security
– Collateral – secured by financial securities
– Mortgage – secured by real property, normally land or
buildings
– Debentures – unsecured
– Notes – unsecured debt with original maturity less than
10 years
• Seniority
Bond Characteristics and Required
Returns
• The coupon rate depends on the risk
characteristics of the bond when issued
• Which bonds will have the higher coupon,
all else equal?
– Secured debt versus a debenture
– Subordinated debenture versus senior debt
– A bond with a sinking fund versus one without
– A callable bond versus a non-callable bond
How does adding a “call
provision” affect a bond?
• Issuer can refund if rates decline. That
helps the issuer but hurts the investor.
• Therefore, borrowers are willing to pay
more, and lenders require more, on callable
bonds.
• Most bonds have a deferred call and a
declining call premium.
When would bonds be called?
• In general, if a bond sells at a premium,
then (1) coupon > kd, so (2) a call is likely.
• So, expect to earn:
– YTC on premium bonds.
– YTM on par & discount bonds.
What’s a sinking fund?
• Provision to pay off a loan over its life
rather than all at maturity.
• Similar to amortization on a term loan.
• Reduces risk to investor, shortens average
maturity.
• But not good for investors if rates decline
after issuance.
Sinking funds are generally handled in
2 ways

1. Call x% at par per year for sinking


fund purposes.
2. Buy bonds on open market.
Company would call if kd is below the
coupon rate and bond sells at a
premium. Use open market purchase
if kd is above coupon rate and bond
sells at a discount.
Protective Covenants
• Agreements to protect bondholders
• Negative covenant: Thou shalt not:
– pay dividends beyond specified amount
– sell more senior debt & amount of new debt is limited
– refund existing bond issue with new bonds paying lower interest
rate
– buy another company’s bonds
• Positive covenant: Thou shalt:
– use proceeds from sale of assets for other assets
– allow redemption in event of merger or spinoff
– maintain good condition of assets
– provide audited financial information
Bond Ratings – Investment
Quality
• High Grade
– Moody’s Aaa and S&P AAA – capacity to pay is
extremely strong
– Moody’s Aa and S&P AA – capacity to pay is very
strong
• Medium Grade
– Moody’s A and S&P A – capacity to pay is strong,
but more susceptible to changes in circumstances
– Moody’s Baa and S&P BBB – capacity to pay is
adequate, adverse conditions will have more
impact on the firm’s ability to pay
Bond Ratings - Speculative
• Low Grade
– Moody’s Ba, B, Caa and Ca
– S&P BB, B, CCC, CC
– Considered speculative with respect to capacity to
pay. The “B” ratings are the lowest degree of
speculation.
• Very Low Grade
– Moody’s C and S&P C – income bonds with no
interest being paid
– Moody’s D and S&P D – in default with principal
and interest in arrears
What factors affect default risk
and bond ratings?
• Financial performance
– Debt ratio
– TIE, FCC ratios
– Current ratios
• Provisions in the bond contract
– Secured vs. unsecured debt
– Senior vs. subordinated debt
– Guarantee provisions
– Sinking fund provisions
– Debt maturity
• Other factors
– Earnings stability
– Regulatory environment
– Potential product liability
– Accounting policies
Importance of bond ratings

• Bond interest rate, cost of debt


capital
• Clientele
Key Features of a Bond
• Bond
– Contract under which a borrower agrees to
make payments of principal and interest on
specific dates to the holders of the bond
• Bonds are the most common form of
financing
Key Features of a Bond

1. Par value: Face amount; paid


at maturity. Assume $1,000.

2. Coupon interest rate: Stated


interest rate. Multiply by par
to get $ of interest. Generally
fixed.
3. Maturity: Years until bond
must be repaid. Declines.

4. Issue date: Date when bond


was issued.
What’s “yield to maturity”?
• YTM is the rate of return earned on a bond held
to maturity.
• We will use the symbol rd or YTM to refer to
yield to maturity
• YTM is the appropriate discount rate for the
bond. It represents the opportunity cost that
could be earned on bonds of similar risk.
What’s the value of a 10-year,
10% coupon bond if rd = 10%?
0 1 2 10
10% ...
V=? 100 100 100 + 1,000

$100 $100 $1, 000


VB = + . . . + +
(1 + r d ) (1 + r d ) (1+ d )
1 10 10
r

= $90.91 + . . . + $38.55 + $385.54


= $1,000.
The bond consists of a 10-year, 10%
annuity of $100/year plus a $1,000 lump
sum at t = 10:
PV annuity = $ 614.46
PV maturity value = 385.54
PV annuity = $1,000.00

INPUTS 10 10 100 1000


N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -1,000
The Bond-Pricing Equation
 1 
1 -
 (1 + r ) t  PAR
Bond Value = C  d
+
 (1 + rd )
t
 rd
 
What would happen if expected inflation
rose by 3%, causing rd = 13%?

INPUTS 10 13 100 1000


N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -837.21

When rd rises, above the coupon rate,


the bond’s value falls below par, so it
sells at a discount.
What would happen if inflation
fell, and rd declined to 7%?

INPUTS 10 7 100 1000


N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -1,210.71

Price rises above par, and bond sells


at a premium, if coupon > rd.
The bond was issued 20 years ago and now has
10 years to maturity. What would happen to its
value over time if the yield to maturity remained
at 10%, or at 13%, or at 7%?
Bond Value ($)
1,372 rd = 7%.
1,211

rd = 10%. M
1,000

837
rd = 13%.
775

30 25 20 15 10 5 0

Years remaining to Maturity


• At maturity, the value of any bond must
equal its par value.
• The value of a premium bond would
decrease to $1,000.
• The value of a discount bond would
increase to $1,000.
• A par bond stays at $1,000 if rd remains
constant.
Valuing a Discount Bond with
Annual Coupons
• Consider a bond with a coupon rate of 10% and
coupons paid annually. The par value is $1000 and the
bond has 5 years to maturity. The yield to maturity is
11%. What is the value of the bond?
– Using the formula:
• B = PV of annuity + PV of lump sum
• B = 100[1 – 1/(1.11)5] / .11 + 1000 / (1.11)5
• B = 369.59 + 593.45 = 963.04
– Using the calculator:
• N = 5; I/Y = 11; PMT = 100; FV = 1000
• CPT PV = -963.04
Valuing a Premium Bond with
Annual Coupons
• Suppose you are looking at a bond that has a 10%
annual coupon and a face value of $1000. There
are 20 years to maturity and the yield to maturity
is 8%. What is the price of this bond?
– Using the formula:
• B = PV of annuity + PV of lump sum
• B = 100[1 – 1/(1.08)20] / .08 + 1000 / (1.08)20
• B = 981.81 + 214.55 = 1196.36
– Using the calculator:
• N = 20; I/Y = 8; PMT = 100; FV = 1000
• CPT PV = -1196.36
• If coupon rate < rd, discount.

• If coupon rate = rd, par bond.

• If coupon rate > rd, premium.

• If rd rises, price falls.

• Price = par at maturity.


What’s the YTM on a 10-year, 9%
annual coupon, $1,000 par value bond
that sells for $887?
0 1 9 10
rd=?
...
90 90 90
PV1 1,000
.
.
.
PV10
PVM
887 Find rd that “works”!
INPUTS 10 -887 90 1000
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 10.91
Semiannual Bonds
1.Multiply years by 2 to get periods = 2n.
2.Divide nominal rate by 2 to get periodic
rate = rd/2.
3.Divide annual INT by 2 to get PMT =
INT/2.

INPUTS 2n rd/2 OK INT/2 OK


N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT
Find the value of 10-year, 10% coupon,
semiannual bond if rd = 13%.

2(10) 13/2 100/2


INPUTS 20 6.5 50 1000
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -834.72
YTM with Semiannual Coupons
• Suppose a bond with a 10% coupon rate and
semiannual coupons, has a face value of $1000, 20
years to maturity and is selling for $1197.93.
– Is the YTM more or less than 10%?
– What is the semiannual coupon payment?
– How many periods are there?
– N = 40; PV = -1197.93; PMT = 50; FV = 1000; CPT
I/Y = 4% (Is this the YTM?)
– YTM = 4%*2 = 8%
What’s interest rate (or price) risk? Does a 1-
year or 10-year 10% bond have more risk?

Interest rate risk: Rising rd causes


bond’s price to fall.

kd 1-year Change 10-year Change


5% $1,048 $1,386
+4.8% +38.6%
10% 1,000 1,000
-4.4% -25.1%
15% 956 749
Interest Rate Risk
• Price Risk
– Change in price due to changes in interest rates
– Long-term bonds have more price risk than
short-term bonds
• Reinvestment Rate Risk
– Uncertainty concerning rates at which cash
flows can be reinvested
– Short-term bonds have more reinvestment rate
risk than long-term bonds
Government Bonds
• Treasury Securities
– Federal government debt
– T-bills – pure discount bonds with original maturity of one
year or less
– T-notes – coupon debt with original maturity between one
and ten years
– T-bonds coupon debt with original maturity greater than
ten years
• Municipal Securities
– Debt of state and local governments
– Varying degrees of default risk, rated similar to corporate
debt
– Interest received is tax-exempt at the federal level
Example 7.3
• A taxable bond has a yield of 8% and a municipal
bond has a yield of 6%
– If you are in a 40% tax bracket, which bond do you
prefer?
• 8%(1 - .4) = 4.8%
• The after-tax return on the corporate bond is 4.8%, compared
to a 6% return on the municipal
– At what tax rate would you be indifferent between the
two bonds?
• 8%(1 – T) = 6%
• T = 25%
Zero-Coupon Bonds
• Make no periodic interest payments (coupon rate
= 0%)
• The entire yield-to-maturity comes from the
difference between the purchase price and the par
value
• Cannot sell for more than par value
• Sometimes called zeroes, or deep discount bonds
• Treasury Bills and principal only Treasury strips
are good examples of zeroes
Floating Rate Bonds
• Coupon rate floats depending on some index value
• Examples – adjustable rate mortgages and
inflation-linked Treasuries
• There is less price risk with floating rate bonds
– The coupon floats, so it is less likely to differ
substantially from the yield-to-maturity
• Coupons may have a “collar” – the rate cannot go
above a specified “ceiling” or below a specified
“floor”
Convertible Bonds

• Conversion ratio:
– Number of shares of stock acquired by conversion
• Conversion price:
– Bond par value / Conversion ratio
• Conversion value:
– Price per share of stock x Conversion ratio
• In-the-money versus out-the-money
More on Convertibles
• Exchangeable bonds
– Convertible into a set number of shares of a third
company’s common stock.
• Minimum (floor) value of convertible is the
greater of:
– Straight or “intrinsic” bond value
– Conversion value
• Conversion option value
– Bondholders pay for the conversion option by
accepting a lower coupon rate on convertible bonds
versus otherwise- identical nonconvertible bonds.
Inflation and Interest Rates
• Real rate of interest – change in purchasing
power
• Nominal rate of interest – quoted rate of
interest, change in purchasing power and
inflation
• The ex ante nominal rate of interest
includes our desired real rate of return plus
an adjustment for expected inflation
The Fisher Effect
• The Fisher Effect defines the relationship between
real rates, nominal rates and inflation
• (1 + R) = (1 + r)(1 + h), where
– R = nominal rate
– r = real rate
– h = expected inflation rate
• Approximation
– R=r+h
Example 7.6
• If we require a 10% real return and we expect
inflation to be 8%, what is the nominal rate?
• R = (1.1)(1.08) – 1 = .188 = 18.8%
• Approximation: R = 10% + 8% = 18%
• Because the real return and expected inflation are
relatively high, there is significant difference
between the actual Fisher Effect and the
approximation.
Term Structure of Interest Rates
• Term structure is the relationship between time to
maturity and yields, all else equal
• It is important to recognize that we pull out the
effect of default risk, different coupons, etc.
• Yield curve – graphical representation of the term
structure
– Normal – upward-sloping, long-term yields are higher
than short-term yields
– Inverted – downward-sloping, long-term yields are
lower than short-term yields

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