Topic 2 - Basics of Valuation and Bond Valuation
Topic 2 - Basics of Valuation and Bond Valuation
Topic 2 - Basics of Valuation and Bond Valuation
Example :
Par Value : RM1000, Interest 5% (annually), Maturity 4 years
RM1000
RM50 RM50 RM50 RM50
0 1 2 3 4
Terminology & Characteristic of Bonds..
Debentures
Subordinated Debentures
Mortgage Bonds
Eurobonds
Zero and Very Low Coupon Bonds
Junk Bonds (High-Yield Bonds)
Debentures
Any unsecured long-term debt
Viewed as more risky than secured bonds and
provide a higher yield than secured bonds
Subordinated Debenture
Unsecured “junior” debt
The claims of subordinated debentures are
honored only after the claims of secured
debt and unsubordinated debentures have
been satisfied.
Mortgage Bond
A bond secured by a lien on real property
Typically,the value of the real property is
greater than that of the bonds issued.
Eurobonds
Securities(bonds) issued in a country different from
the one in whose currency the bond is denominated
example – Bond issued in Asia by an American
company that pays interest and principal to the
lender in US dollars.
Reasons of issuing Eurobond:
◦ The borrowing rates are lower
◦ To avoid SEC regulations.
Zero and Very Low Coupon Bonds
• This type of bond pays no or very low
coupon rate (interest).
• Return comes from appreciation of the
bond.
• In other words, the bond holder’s return
is determined entirely by the price
discount.
Issued at a substantial discount from the
$1,000 face value of the bond.
12
Zero and Very Low Coupon Bonds
Disadvantage:
• Issuer faces large cash outflow in excess of the
cash inflow when the bond was issued
Advantages:
• Cash outflows don’t occur with zero coupon
bonds and are relatively low level with low
coupon bonds
• Strong investor demand tends to bid up prices
and yields are bid down.
Junk Bonds (High-Yield Bonds)
High
risk debt with ratings of BB or below by
Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s
High
yield — typically pay 3%-5% more than
AAA grade long-term bonds
Malaysian bond market
Development of the bond market centers
on the need to establish a well-diversified
financial base to meet the changing needs
of the Malaysian economy.
Main issuers of bond comes from
Government (from public market) and
Corporate (from private market)
Malaysia offers a wide variety of Islamic
bonds that are based on Shariah compliant
concept.
15
Sukuk
Sukuk are bonds have been created to meet a
demand for assets that comply with Shariah, or
Islamic law.
Shariah does not permit the charging or paying of
interest.
Sukuk are typically bought and held to maturity,
and are extremely illiquid.
Remarks
As interest rates increase, present values decrease
So,as interest rates increase, bond prices
decrease and vice versa
7-18
What is the single biggest factor
that influences the price of bonds?
Interest Rates
Interest rates go , bond prices go
Interest rates go , bond prices go
The Bond Pricing Equation
1
1 -
(1 i) n M
Bond Value (Vb) I
(1 i)
n
i
7-20
Valuing a Discount Bond with Annual Coupons
Example: Consider a bond with a coupon rate of 10% and
annual coupons. The par value is $1,000, and the bond
has 5 years to maturity. The yield to maturity is 11%.
What is the price of the bond?
Solution:
1
1 - (1 i) n M
Bond Value (Vb) I
(1 i)
n
i
Solution:
1
1 -
(1 i) n M
Bond Value (Vb) I
i (1 i) n
Vb = 100[{1 – 1/(1.08)20}/ 0.08]+ 1000 / (1.08)20
Vb = 981.81 + 214.55 = 1196.36
Examples- Bond Valuation
Suppose ABC firm decides to issue 20-year bonds with a par
value of $1,000 and annual coupon payments. The firm also
decides to offer a 12% coupon interest rate. The required
return on bonds of similar risk is 12%. What would be a fair
price for the bond?
Solution:
1
1 - (1 i) n M
Bond Value (Vb) I
(1 i)
n
i
Vb = 120[{1 – 1/(1.12)20}/ 0.12] + 1,000 / (1.12) 20
Vb = $1000
Dr. Rasidah Mohd Rashid
Suppose interest rate has fallen immediately after the firm
issues the bonds. The required return on bonds of similar risk
dropped to 10%. What would happen to the bond’s intrinsic
value?
Solution: 1
1 - (1 i) n M
Bond Value (Vb) I
(1 i)
n
i
Note: If the coupon rate > investor’s required rate, the bond
will sell for a premium or above face value.
Suppose interest rate has risen immediately after the firm
issues the bonds. The required return on bonds of similar risk
raised to 14%. What would happen to the bond’s intrinsic
value?
Solution:
1
1 - (1 i) n M
Bond Value (Vb) I
(1 i)
n
i
B = 120[{1 – 1/(1.14) 20}/ 0.14] + 1,000 / (1.14) 20
B = $ 867.54
Note: If the coupon rate < investor’s required rate, the bond
will sell at a discount or below face value.
Exercise : Bonds Valuation (Vb)
1) You own a bond that pay $100 in annual
interest, with a $1000 par value. It matures
in 15 years. Your required rate of return is
12%. Calculate the value of the bond
1
1 - (1 i/2) 2n M
Bond Value (Vb) I/2
i/2 (1 i/2) 2n
Example
Suppose ABC firm decides to issue 20-year bonds with a par
value of $1,000 and semi-annual coupon payments. The firm
also decides to offer a 12% coupon interest rate. The required
return on bonds of similar risk is 14%. What would be a fair
price for the bond?
Solution:
1
1 - (1 i/2) 2n M
Bond Value (Vb) I/2
i/2 (1 i/2) 2n
Vb = 120/2[{1 – 1/(1.07) 40}/ 0.07] + 1,000 / (1.07) 40
Vb = $866.68
Current Yield
The ratio of the interest payment to the bond’s current market price.
P-M
YTM =
I +
n
P+M
2
I = Amount of Coupon Interest
P = Par Value of the bond
M = Market Price of the bond
n = Number of years to maturity
Example :
A bond’s market price is $1100. It has a $1000
par value, will mature in 5 years and pays
interest 10% annually. What is your expected
rate of return (YTM)?
Solution:
YTM= 50 + (1000 -798.50) / 10
= 7.80%
(1000 + 798.50) / 2
So,
YTM = 7.80% X 2 = 15.60%
Exercise : YTM
Second Relationship
The relationship between market price (M) and par value (P)
of a bond depends on the investor’s required rate of return
(kb) and the coupon rate (I).
If kb = I, then M=P
If kb > I, then P > M (discount bond)
If kb < I, then P < M (premium bond)
Third Relationship
As the maturity approaches, the market value of the
bond approaches its par value.
Fourth Relationship
Long-term bonds have greater interest rate risk than
do short–term bonds.
Fifth Relationship
The sensitivity to changes of a bond’s value depends
on:
Length of time to maturity
The pattern of the cash flows provided by the bond
Thank You For Your Attention !!!