Error Management: OGHFA 1 - HP - 06 - VIS - Error Management OGHFA 1 - HP - 06 - VIS - Error Management

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Error

Management

OGHFA 1_HP_06_VIS_Error Management 1


Accidents

Serious incidents
Severity of event

Minor incidents

Normal operations:
• threats and errors
• deviations
• failures and successes

Frequency of event, Quantity of data

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Accidents

Serious incidents
Severity of event

Minor incidents

Normal operations:
• threats and errors
• deviations
• failures and successes

Frequency of event, Quantity of data

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LOSA (Line Operations Safety Audit) results:

 More than 70% of flights had at least one error or violation

 About
30% of errors/violations were mismanaged or
consequential
Leading to “undesired aircraft state” or another
error/violation

Courtesy of University of Texas. Based on 3309 flights.


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This presentation is about coping with
errors in normal operations, typically detected
with flight operations monitoring tools,

It is not about incidents, usually subject to a detailed


investigation.

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1. Why do we sometimes fail?

2. Consequences on flight safety

3. Managing errors and violations

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1. Why do we sometimes fail?

2. Consequences on flight safety

3. Managing errors and violations

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 Intention to achieve something
 Good plan
 Action “on autopilot”
 Unintended deviation from plan

 Several error mechanisms, for example:


“Strong but wrong” habits
Inaccuracies

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 The climb is getting bumpy…

 Radar was off!

 Predictive windshear had been set to “auto”

 Radar remained off

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 Intention to achieve something

 Good plan

 Something is skipped, omitted

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Mistake

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 Intention to achieve something

 The solution is…


Deficient

Wrong

Dangerous

Clumsy

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 Deliberate violation of a rule, procedure, policy or norm

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Completely new
Mistakes Exceptional
(capacity overflow) violations

Mistakes
(incorrect solutions) Optimizing
violations

Slips & Lapses Routine


violations

Routine
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1. Why do we sometimes fail?

2. Consequences on flight safety

3. Managing errors and violations

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 Thereis a very loose coupling between an error and
negative consequences
Other factors shape the outcome
Especially true in aviation

 Nevertheless…

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 Flaps not set for takeoff (lapse)
Aircraft type and performance?
Actual takeoff weight?
Runway length?
Obstructions ahead?
Takeoff
configuration
warning?

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1. Why do we sometimes fail?

2. Consequences on flight safety

3. Managing errors and violations

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ERROR PREVENTION

ERROR MANAGEMENT

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 Error Reduction
Minimizing the likelihood of error
Minimizing the consequences of error

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 Error Detection
Facilitate easy and rapid detection of errors

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Error Management Strategies

 Error Recovery
Make it easy to rapidly recover to a safe state

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 Error Tolerance
Build the system to
tolerate errors

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 Error Prevention
Where reasonable and where doing so does not
increase other risks, remove an error-prone task
by (re)design of system, procedure or process.

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Mistakes Exceptional
(capacity overflow) violations

Mistakes
(incorrect solutions) Optimizing
violations

Routine
Slips & Lapses
violations

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Mistakes
(incorrect solutions) Optimizing
violations

Routine
Slips & Lapses
violations

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Mistakes
Optimizing
(incorrect solutions)
violations

• Error Tolerance
• Error Reduction
• Error Detection

Routine
Slips & Lapses violations

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Mistakes
Optimizing
(incorrect solutions)
violations

Key issues:
• Situation Recognition and
Diagnosis
• Decision Making
Routine
violations

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Optimizing
violations

Violation
Management

Routine
violations

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 Expectation that rules will
have to be bent to get the job Optimizing
violations
done
 Feeling of Powerfulness:
above-average people need
not follow all procedures
 Opportunities to “short cut”
 Inadequate Planning, forcing
people to improvise
The “Lethal Routine
Cocktail” violations

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 Remove the need to Violate
Optimizing
Adequate planning violations
Capability to adapt to new
demands
Open communication

 Safety Culture

Routine
violations

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 Can’t we hold people responsible for their mistakes and
violations?

 Real safety enhancement usually comes from systemic


solutions
Not from actions at the individual level

 Situation
where a person really has to be removed from
operation is very rare

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Look BEHIND the error or violation
What type of error?

Find solutions
Real, systemic

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