Chapter 5

Chapter 5
Modern Portfolio
Concepts
Modern Portfolio Concepts
Learning Goals
1. Understand portfolio objectives and the
procedures used to calculate portfolio return
and standard deviation.
2. Discuss the concepts of correlation and
diversification and the key aspects of
international diversification.
3. Describe the components of risk and the use of
beta to measure risk.
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Modern Portfolio Concepts
Learning Goals (contd)

4. Explain the capital asset pricing model
(CAPM)conceptually, mathematically, and
graphically.
5. Review the traditional and modern approaches

to portfolio management.
6. Describe portfolio betas, the risk-return

tradeoff, and reconciliation of the two
approaches to portfolio management.

What is a Portfolio?
Portfolio is a collection of investments

assembled to meet one or more investment
goals.
Growth-Oriented Portfolio: primary
objective is long-term price appreciation
Income-Oriented Portfolio: primary
objective is to produce regular dividend and
interest income

The Ultimate Goal:
An Efficient Portfolio
Efficient portfolio
A portfolio that provides the highest return for a
given level of risk
Requires search for investment alternatives to

get the best combinations of risk and return

Portfolio Return and Risk Measures
The return on a portfolio is simply the

weighted average of the individual assets
returns in the portfolio
The standard deviation of a portfolios

returns is more complicated, and is a
function of the portfolios individual assets
weights, standard deviations, and
correlations with all other assets

Return on Portfolio

Correlation:
Why Diversification Works!
Correlation is a statistical measure of the

relationship between two series of numbers
representing data
Positively Correlated items tend to move in the
same direction
Negatively Correlated items tend to move in
opposite directions
Correlation Coefficient is a measure of the
degree of correlation between two series of
numbers representing data

Correlation Coefficients
Perfectly Positively Correlated describes two

positively correlated series having a
correlation coefficient of +1
Perfectly Negatively Correlated describes
two negatively correlated series having a
correlation coefficient of -1
Uncorrelated describes two series that lack
any relationship and have a correlation
coefficient of nearly zero

Figure 5.1 The Correlation Between
Series M, N, and P

Correlation:
Why Diversification Works!
Assets that are less than perfectly positively
correlated tend to offset each others
movements, thus reducing the overall risk
in a portfolio
The lower the correlation the more the
overall risk in a portfolio is reduced
Assets with +1 correlation eliminate no risk
Assets with less than +1 correlation eliminate some risk
Assets with less than 0 correlation eliminate more risk
Assets with -1 correlation eliminate all risk

Figure 5.2 Combining Negatively
Correlated Assets to Diversify Risk

Figure 5.3 Portfolios of IBM and
Celgene

Figure 5.4 Risk and Return for Combinations of
Two Assets with Various Correlation Coefficients

Why Use International
Diversification?
Offers more diverse investment alternatives than

U.S.-only based investing
Foreign economic cycles may move independently
from U.S. economic cycle
Foreign markets may not be as efficient as U.S.
markets, allowing true gains from superior
research

International Diversification
Advantages of International Diversification

Broader investment choices
Potentially greater returns than in U.S.
Reduction of overall portfolio risk
Disadvantages of International
Diversification
Currency exchange risk
Less convenient to invest than U.S. stocks
More expensive to invest
Riskier than investing in U.S.

Components of Risk
Diversifiable (Unsystematic) Risk

Results from uncontrollable or random events
that are firm-specific
Can be eliminated through diversification
Examples: labor strikes, lawsuits
Nondiversifiable (Systematic) Risk

Attributable to forces that affect all similar
investments
Cannot be eliminated through diversification
Examples: war, inflation, political events

Components of Risk

Beta: A Popular Measure of Risk
A measure of undiversifiable risk

Indicates how the price of a security responds to market
forces
Compares historical return of an investment to the market
return (the S&P 500 Index)
The beta for the market is 1.0
Stocks may have positive or negative betas. Nearly all are
positive.
Stocks with betas greater than 1.0 are more risky than the
overall market.
Stocks with betas less than 1.0 are less risky than the overall
market.

Beta as a Measure of Risk
Table 5.4 Selected Betas and Associated

Interpretations

Interpreting Beta
Higher stock betas should result in higher expected

returns due to greater risk
If the market is expected to increase 10%, a stock
with a beta of 1.50 is expected to increase 15%
If the market went down 8%, then a stock with a
beta of 0.50 should only decrease by about 4%
Beta values for specific stocks can be obtained
from Value Line reports or websites such as
yahoo.com

Interpreting Beta

Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
Model that links the notions of risk and

return
Helps investors define the required return
on an investment
As beta increases, the required return for a
given investment increases

Capital Asset
Pricing Model (CAPM) (contd)
Uses beta, the risk-free rate and the

market return to define the required return
on an investment

Capital Asset
Pricing Model (CAPM) (contd)
CAPM can also be shown as a graph

Security Market Line (SML) is the picture
of the CAPM
Find the SML by calculating the required
return for a number of betas, then plotting
them on a graph

Figure 5.6 The Security Market Line
(SML)

Two Approaches to Constructing
Portfolios
Traditional Approach
versus
Modern Portfolio Theory

Traditional Approach
Emphasizes balancing the portfolio using

a wide variety of stocks and/or bonds
Uses a broad range of industries to diversify
the portfolio
Tends to focus on well-known companies
Perceived as less risky
Stocks are more liquid and available
Familiarity provides higher comfort levels for
investors

Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT)
Emphasizes statistical measures to develop

a portfolio plan
Focus is on:
Expected returns
Standard deviation of returns
Correlation between returns
Combines securities that have negative (or

low-positive) correlations between each
others rates of return

Key Aspects of MPT:
Efficient Frontier
Efficient Frontier
The leftmost boundary of the feasible set of
portfolios that include all efficient portfolios:
those providing the best attainable tradeoff
between risk and return
Portfolios that fall to the right of the efficient
frontier are not desirable because their risk
return tradeoffs are inferior
Portfolios that fall to the left of the efficient
frontier are not available for investments

Figure 5.7 The Feasible or Attainable
Set and the Efficient Frontier

Key Aspects of MPT:
Portfolio Betas
Portfolio Beta
The beta of a portfolio; calculated as the
weighted average of the betas of the individual
assets the portfolio includes
To earn more return, one must bear more risk
Only nondiversifiable risk (relevant risk)
provides a positive risk-return relationship

Figure 5.8 Portfolio Risk and
Diversification

Key Aspects of MPT: Portfolio Betas
Table 5.6 Austin Funds Portfolios V and W

Interpreting Portfolio Betas
Portfolio betas are interpreted exactly the same

way as individual stock betas.
Portfolio beta of 1.00 will experience a 10% increase when
the market increase is 10%
Portfolio beta of 0.75 will experience a 7.5% increase
when the market increase is 10%
Portfolio beta of 1.25 will experience a 12.5% increase
when the market increase is 10%
Low-beta portfolios are less responsive and less
risky than high-beta portfolios.
A portfolio containing low-beta assets will have a
low beta, and vice versa.

Interpreting Portfolio Betas
Table 5.7 Portfolio Betas and Associated Changes in Returns

Reconciling the Traditional
Approach and MPT
Recommended portfolio management policy uses

aspects of both approaches:
Determine how much risk you are willing to bear
Seek diversification between different types of securities
and industry lines
Pay attention to correlation of return between securities
Use beta to keep portfolio at acceptable level of risk
Evaluate alternative portfolios to select highest return for
the given level of acceptable risk

Figure 5.9 The Portfolio Risk-Return
Tradeoff

Chapter 5
Additional
Chapter Art

Table 5.1 Individual and Portfolio Returns and Standard
Deviation of Returns for IBM and Celgene

Table 5.2 Portfolio Returns and Standard
Deviations for IBM and Celgene

Chapter 5 - Modern Portfolio Concepts

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Learning Goals (contd)

5. Review the traditional and modern approaches

6. Describe portfolio betas, the risk-return

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Portfolio is a collection of investments

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Requires search for investment alternatives to

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The return on a portfolio is simply the

The standard deviation of a portfolios

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Correlation is a statistical measure of the

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Perfectly Positively Correlated describes two

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Offers more diverse investment alternatives than

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Advantages of International Diversification

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Diversifiable (Unsystematic) Risk

Nondiversifiable (Systematic) Risk

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A measure of undiversifiable risk

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Table 5.4 Selected Betas and Associated

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Higher stock betas should result in higher expected

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Model that links the notions of risk and

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Uses beta, the risk-free rate and the

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CAPM can also be shown as a graph

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Emphasizes balancing the portfolio using

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Emphasizes statistical measures to develop

Combines securities that have negative (or

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Table 5.6 Austin Funds Portfolios V and W

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Portfolio betas are interpreted exactly the same

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