ECON 337: Agricultural Marketing

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ECON 337:

Agricultural Marketing

Lee Schulz
Assistant Professor
[email protected]
515-294-3356
Econ 337, Spring 2013

Chad Hart
Associate Professor
[email protected]
515-294-9911

Livestock Price Risk Tools


Livestock Futures and Options
Livestock Revenue Insurance
Livestock Revenue Protection (LRP)
Livestock Gross Margin (LGM)
http://www.rma.usda.gov/livestock/
Factsheets
Premium calculator
http://www.extension.iastate.edu/agdm/ldcostsreturns.html

Econ 337, Spring 2013

Livestock Risk Protection (LRP)


Price risk insurance coverage for hogs, fed cattle,
feeder cattle, and lamb
Insurance protects against low livestock prices
70% to 100% guarantees available for cattle and
hogs, based on CME futures prices

Econ 337, Spring 2013

Livestock Risk Protection


Coverage is available for up to 26 weeks for
hogs and 52 weeks for cattle
Works sort of like a put option
Premiums are subsidized, the government pays
13% of the premium

Econ 337, Spring 2013

Livestock Risk Protection


Guarantees available are posted at:

http://www3.rma.usda.gov/apps/livestock_reports/

Posted after the CME closes each day


until 9:00 am Central Time the next
working day
Assures that guarantees reflect the most
recent market movements
Econ 337, Spring 2013

LRP Example

Econ 337, Spring 2013

http://www.extension.iastate.edu/agdm/livestock/pdf/b1-50.pdf

LRP vs. Futures/Options


Futures and options have fixed contract
sizes
Hogs: 400 cwt. or about 150 head
Fed cattle: 400 cwt. or about 32 head
Feeder cattle: 500 cwt., 60-100 head

LRP can be purchased for any number of


head or weight

Econ 337, Spring 2013

LRP vs. Futures/Options


Futures hedge or options can be
offset at any time before the
contract expires
LRP can not be offset, once you
buy the coverage, youre locked
in
Econ 337, Spring 2013

Livestock Gross Margin (LGM)


Insures a margin between revenue and cost
of major inputs for cattle, hogs, and dairy
Protects against decreases in cattle/hog prices
and/or increases in input costs
Hogs
Value of hog corn and soybean meal costs

Cattle
Value of cattle feeder cattle and corn costs

We talked about dairy earlier in the semester


Econ 337, Spring 2013

Livestock Gross Margin


Cattle (coverage for up to a year out)
Calves
Yearlings

Hogs (coverage for up to 6 months out)


Farrow to finish
Finishing feeder pig
Finishing SEW pig

Econ 337, Spring 2013

LGM Guarantees for Hogs


Farrow to Finish
Gross margin per hogt =
2.6*0.74*Lean Hog Pricet - 12 bu. * Corn Pricet-3
- (138.55 lb./2000 lb.) * SoyMeal Pricet-3

Finishing
Gross margin per hogt =
2.6*0.74*Lean Hog Pricet - 9 bu. * Corn Pricet-2
- (82 lb./2000 lb.) * SoyMeal Price t-2

SEW
Gross margin per hogt =
2.6*0.74*Lean Hog Pricet 9.05 bu. * Corn Pricet-2
- (91 lb./2000 lb.) * SoyMeal Price t-2

Econ 337, Spring 2013

LGM Guarantees for Cattle


Yearlings
Gross margin per headt =
12.5*Live Cattle Pricet 7.5*Feeder Cattle Pricet-5
- 50 bu. * Corn Pricet-2

Calves
Gross margin per headt =
11.5*Live Cattle Pricet 5.5*Feeder Cattle Pricet-8
- 52 bu. * Corn Pricet-4

Econ 337, Spring 2013

Livestock Gross Margin


Has deductibles, like car or home
insurance
For cattle, deductibles from $0 to $150
per head by $10 increments
For hogs, deductibles from $0 to $20 per
head by $2 increments
Example premiums available at:
http://www.iaii.us/

Econ 337, Spring 2013

LGM-Swine Farrow-to-Finish,
Feb. 2012
April

May

June

July

August

Gross
Margin

$78.74

$93.20

$91.74

$91.59

$90.59

Lean Hog
Price

$89.88

$98.83

$99.57

$99.66

$99.25

Corn Price

$6.05

$6.22

$6.40

$6.42

$6.43

Soybean
Meal Price

$311.70

$322.15

$332.60

$333.85

$335.10

Econ 337, Spring 2013

LGM Example
Say we insure 100 hogs in April and
choose a $2 deductible
Our LGM policy is protecting us against
gross margins below $76.74 per head
When April comes, the insurance
company will compute the actual margin
using the same formula as was used for
the guarantee

Econ 337, Spring 2013

LGM Example
If the lean hog price fell to $88 per cwt., the
corn price fell $6.00 per bu., and the soybean
meal price stayed at $311.70 per ton, then the
actual gross margin is
Actual gross margin per hogt =
2.6*0.74*$88 - 12 bu. * $6.00 - (138.55 lb./2000 lb.) * $311.70
= $75.72 per head

Per head indemnity = $76.74 - $75.72 = $1.02

Econ 337, Spring 2013

LGM Issues
Only available on the last business
Friday of the month
Is a complicated insurance policy
Works like an Asian basket option
Asian = uses a price average
Basket = covers more than one commodity
Like a put on cattle/hogs and calls on feeder
cattle, corn, and soybean meal

Econ 337, Spring 2013

Who can benefit from


LGM/LRP?
Producers who depend on the daily cash
market or a formula related to it.
Producers with low cash reserves.
Smaller producers who do not have the
volume to use futures contracts or put
options.
Producers who prefer insurance to the
futures market. No margin account.
Econ 337, Spring 2013

Some Risks Remain


LRP, LGM do not insure against
production risks
Futures prices and cash index prices
may differ from local cash prices
(basis risk)
Selling weights and dates may differ
from the guarantees
Econ 337, Spring 2013

Class web site:


http://www.econ.iastate.edu/~chart/Classes/econ337/
Spring2013/

Remember, exam due on Tuesday.

Econ 337, Spring 2013

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