UBSRSI Environmental Impact
UBSRSI Environmental Impact
UBSRSI Environmental Impact
Environmental Impacts
DURING MARCELLUS SHALE GAS DRILLING: CAUSES, IMPACTS, AND REMEDIES
CENTER FOR ENERGY ECONOMICS AND PUBLIC POLICY SCHOOL OF ENERGY RESOURCES | THE UNIVERSITY OF WYOMING THE PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY CENTER FOR ENERGY ECONOMICS AND PUBLIC POLICY SHALE RESOURCES AND SOCIETY INSTITUTE | STATE UNIVERSITY OF NEW YORK AT BUFFALO
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS
DURING MARCELLUS SHALE GAS DRILLING: CAUSES, IMPACTS, AND REMEDIES REPORT 2012 1
TIMOTHY CONSIDINE CENTER FOR ENERGY ECONOMICS AND PUBLIC POLICY SCHOOL OF ENERGY RESOURCES | THE UNIVERSITY OF WYOMING ROBERT WATSON THE PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY NICHOLAS CONSIDINE CENTER FOR ENERGY ECONOMICS AND PUBLIC POLICY JOHN MARTIN SHALE RESOURCES AND SOCIETY INSTITUTE STATE UNIVERSITY OF NEW YORK AT BUFFALO
* The authors gratefully acknowledge comments from Scott Anderson of the Environmental Defense Fund, Andrew Hunter of Cornell University, Robert Jacobi of the State University of New York at Buffalo, Brigham McCown of United Transportation Advisors, LLC, and George Rusk of Ecology and Environment, Inc. with the usual disclaimer that the authors accept full responsibility for any remaining errors and omissions. The opinions and conclusions expressed or implied in the report are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the University at Buffalo. University at Buffalo does not make any warranty, expressed or implied, or assume any legal liability or responsibility for the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any information, apparatus, product, or process disclosed, or represents that its use would not infringe upon privately owned rights. Trademarks and copyrights mentioned with this report are the ownership of their respective companies.
Executive Summary
The development of shale gas through hydraulic fracturing has awakened what some have described as an American energy renaissance. Shale gas formations thought to be economically unrecoverable as recently as a decade ago now provide nearly 25 percent of our nations total natural gas supply. According to the Energy Information Administrations reference case forecast of April 2011, natural gas production from shale formations will comprise 46.5 percent of total U.S. dry gas production in 2035. The investments under way for developing these shale resources are generating tens of thousands of jobs, billions in state and local tax revenues, and hundreds of billions in direct economic activity. Indirect benefits to oil and gas suppliers, to U.S. manufacturers that utilize natural gas as a feedstock, and to consumers enjoying lower electricity and heating bills multiply the already substantial direct economic gains. In short, the incentives for states to encourage and facilitate development are substantial. But surprisingly little comprehensive analysis exists to quantify the success or failure of states in effectively and safely managing natural gas development. Without such information, it is very difficult for regulators, elected officials, and citizens to engage in productive dialogue around natural gas development and the process of hydraulic fracturing. Whether considering regulatory changes in a state where development is already under way, or debating the permitting of natural gas development where it has not yet occurred, quantifying measurements of success are necessary for building consensus and making sound decisions. To address this question, this study provides a detailed analysis of notices of violations (NOVs) from the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection (PA DEP) from January 2008 through August 2011, categorizing each violation. Of the 2,988 violations, 1,844, or 62 percent, were for administrative or preventative reasons. The remaining 38 percent, or 1,144 NOVs, were for environmental violations. The number of these environmental violations, however, is a misleading metric because an individual event may be associated with multiple environmental violations. As such, the 845 unique environmental events considered in this study were associated with 1,144 NOVs.
The incidence of polluting environmental events [in Pennsylvania] declined 60 percent between 2008 and August 2011
To produce an accurate accounting of the environmental impacts of these 845 unique events, this study defines major and non-major environmental events through a detailed examination of NOV records. Major environmental events are defined in this study to include major site restoration failures, serious contamination of local water supplies, major land spills, blowouts and venting, and gas migration. Our evaluation of NOV records identified 25 such events. In all but six cases, the resulting environmental impacts from major events have been mitigated. Non-major environmental events concern site restoration, water contamination, land spills, and cement and casing events that do not involve what is classified as having major environmental impact. Many of the NOVs in this category, while resulting in measurable pollution, were rather
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258 OF 3,533 WELLS DRILLED HAD MINOR SURFACE WATER CONTAMINATION VIOLATIONS
1,144 ENVIRONMENTAL VIOLATIONS (38% OF ALL NOVs) 845 ENVIRONMENTAL EVENTS OF 3,533 WELLS DRILLED
1,844 ADMINISTRATIVE VIOLATIONS NON-POLLUTION VIOLATIONS (OFTEN PREVENTIVE) (62% OF ALL NOVs)
minor, involving, for example, a gallon of diesel fuel or antifreeze spilled on the ground. The 820 non-major events identified, comprise the overwhelming majority of environmental NOVs issued by the PA DEP, as shown in figure ES 1. Significantly, the incidence of polluting environmental events declined 60 percent between 2008 and August 2011, from 52.9 percent of all wells drilled in 2008 to 20.8 percent through August 2011 (Figure ES2). On this basis, the Marcellus industry has cut its incidence of environmental violations by more than half in three years, a rather notable indicator of improvement by the industry and oversight by the regulators.
52.9% 50%
1,405 1,248
40%
30%
710
24.4% 22.9% 20.8%
20%
322
10%
170 90
260
173
0%
2008
Wells Drilled
2009
Environmental Events
2010
2011 August
In conclusion, this study demonstrates that the odds of non-major environmental events and the much smaller odds of major environmental events are being reduced even further by enhanced regulation and improved industry practice. Moreover, the environmental impacts of most of these events have been almost completely mitigated by remedial actions taken by the companies. The observed impacts of development in Pennsylvania captured within the paper provide a metric to gauge the regulatory proposal, known as the Supplemental Generic Environmental Impact Statement or SGEIS, currently under review in New York State. The last part of this study compares each of the 25 major incidents that occurred in Pennsylvania against New Yorks proposed SGEIS guidelines. Findings indicate that each of the underlying causes associated with these specific events could have been either entirely avoided or mitigated under New York States proposed regulatory framework. This suggests that regulators are not only responding effectively within their states, but are learning and acting on the experiences of other states as well a positive sign for the continued successful state regulation of natural gas development through hydraulic fracturing.
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Table of Contents
Executive Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .i List of Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .v List of Figures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .v 1. Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1 2. Emergence of Shale Energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2 3. Economic Impacts of Shale Energy Development . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 4. Producing Energy from Shale Formations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 5. Complications Associated With Natural Gas Development . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 6. Notice of Violations in the Pennsylvania Marcellus . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 7. Environmental Events . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 7.1 Blowouts & Venting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16 7.2 Spills on Land . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16 7.3 Gas Migration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16 7.4 Cement & Casing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17 7.5 Site Restoration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17 7.6 Surface Water Contamination . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17 7.7 Analysis of Environmental Events . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 7.8 Pennsylvania Regulatory Response to Environmental Events . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 8. Implications for Regulatory Policy in New York State . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 8.1 Supplemental Generic Environmental Impact Statement (SGEIS) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 8.2 New York Regulations and Environmental Events . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 8.21 Blowouts & Venting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .24 8.22 Spills on Land . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25 8.23 Gas Migration, and Casing & Cementing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25 8.24 Site Restoration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .26 8.25 Water Contamination . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .27 8.26 Commentary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .27 9. Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .30 10. References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31
Appendixes
A. Economic Impact Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .32 B. Detailed Discussion of Major Environmental Events . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .34 B.1 Atlas Resources Major site restoration failure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 B.2 PA General Energy Creek discharge . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .34 B.3 Cabot Oil & Gas Dimock gas migration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .34 B.4 Cabot Oil & Gas Stevens Creek fish kill . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .35 B.5 Range Resources Stream discharge into Brush Run . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .35 B.6 EOG Resources Clearfield County stream discharge . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .35 B.7 Atlas Resources Diesel spill . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .36
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Talisman Energy Armenia pit overflow . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .36 Atlas Resources Hopewell pit overflow into Dunkle Creek . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .36 Anadarko Clinton County mud spill . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .37
B.10 Chesapeake Energy Bradford County gas migration incident . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .37 B.12 Chief Oil and Gas Bradford County uncontrolled flowback . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .37 B.13 EOG Resources Clearfield County well blowout . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .38 B.14 JW Operating Company Mud spill . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .38 B.15 Cabot Oil & Gas Susquehanna County hose failure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .38 B.16 Chief Oil and Gas Susquehanna County fluid spill . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .38 B.17 Talisman Energy Tioga County blowout . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .39 B.18 Talisman Energy Jackson production fluid release . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .39 B.19 Carrizo Monroe mud spill . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .39 B.20 Carrizo Wyoming County drilling mud spill . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .39 B.21 Chesapeake Energy Washington County pit fire . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .40 B.22 Ultra Resources Flowback spill . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .40 B.23 Chesapeake Energy Leroy Township blowout . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .40 B.24 CNX Gas Company Mud spill . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .40 B.25 Ultra Resources Major site restoration failure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .41 B.26 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .41
List of Tables
Table 1: Classification of Environmental Violations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10 Table 2: Regulatory Decisions and Incidence of Environmental Violations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .15 Table 3: Polluting Environmental Events in the Pennsylvania Marcellus Shale . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .18 Table 4: Major Environmental Events and NY SGEIS Requirements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .28 Table A1: Projected Marcellus Activity in New York (2011, 2015, 2020) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .32 Table A2: Projected Value Added in New York by Sector (2012, 2016, 2021) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .33
List of Figures
Figure ES1: Environmental Violations and Events in Pennsylvania Marcellus . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .ii Figure ES2: Wells Drilled and Environmental Events in Pennsylvania Marcellus . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .iii Figure 1: Shares of Total Energy Consumption by Source, 2010 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2 Figure 2: Horizontal and Vertical Wells . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Figure 3: Groundwater Protection through Proper Well Construction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 Figure 4: Shares of Administrative and Environmental Violations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 Figure 5: Shares of Administrative Violations and Environmental Violations by Category . . . . . . .12 Figure 6: Composition of Environmental Violations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Figure 7: Wells Drilled and Environmental Violations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .14 Figure 8: Polluting Environmental Events by Category . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19 Figure 9: Wells Drilled and Polluting Environmental Events . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20
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1.
Introduction
There are a growing number of states that are reviewing their regulations regarding shale energy development. This study examines New York as a representative example, since it has just completed a three-month public comment period addressing proposed environmental regulations governing shale gas development. A majority of citizens of New York may be supportive of oil and natural gas resource development if the environmental impacts appear manageable in light of the anticipated economic benefits. There is, however, a void of factual information concerning the environmental impacts, inadequate data on assessing the risks from development, and an incomplete articulation of strategies on how regulation may mitigate these impacts and risks. Existing research previously conducted by Considine, et al. (2011a) provides a categorization of incidents in the Pennsylvania Marcellus Shale, parsing administrative failures from physical environmental events. There is, however, a noticeable lack of digestible research classifying physical incidents, and specific explanations of the causes and impacts associated with each category of physical incident. Offering this information is an important precursor to understanding the safeguards New York has adopted, and in communicating how regulation can prevent future incidents and protect local residents. This study provides an extension of the research by Considine, et al. (2011a) with a more detailed analysis of notice of environmental violations (NOV) from the Pennsylvania Marcellus Shale industry. Not all environmental violations result in environmental pollution because many violations are citations for administrative failures or are issued to prevent pollution from occurring. Accordingly, this study makes the critical distinction between environmental violations and events, providing a complete enumeration and classification of environmental violations and the corresponding subset of events that resulted in actual, measurable pollution during drilling and completion operations in the Pennsylvania Marcellus. The categories for violations and events include drilling or well construction failures, surface handling and treatment of fluids, and failures in the drilling and completion process itself. Based upon this analysis, this study then examines how New Yorks proposed regulatory regime addresses these different categories of concern. Coupling known risk with existing responses will both: 1) help the public differentiate between largely unrealized threats, such as migration of fracturing fluids out of a formation, and existing issues of concerns, such as improper surface disposal or wellhead and well casing failures, and 2) enable regulators to demonstrate strengths and potentially identify areas where state rules should be strengthened. To quantify these risks and assess their impacts, this study provides a detailed analysis of environmental violations incurred during the drilling of natural gas wells in the Pennsylvania Marcellus from 2008 through 2011. The analysis of environmental violations estimates their probability of occurrence and severity, and identifies their causes, describing the response of natural gas production companies, available technologies to remedy these problems, and the implications for regulation. The structure of this study is as follows. The next section provides an overview of the emergence of the shale energy industry. The study then provides a primer on the economic impacts from developing and producing energy from shale formations. What follows next is an overview of shale energy development, which is then followed by a discussion of complications associated with shale energy drilling and completion operations. The next three sections of the report provide the core analysis of the environmental violations and environmental events. A detailed discussion of 25 major environmental events appears in Appendix B. The implications for New York State regulatory policy are presented in section eight. The study concludes with a summary of the main findings and recommendations.
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2.
The U.S. economy is powered by fossil fuels, with slightly more than 83 percent of domestic energy consumption supplied by oil, natural gas, and coal. Oil leads with a share of 36.7 percent, natural gas is second with 25.2 percent, and coal provides 21.3 percent of total energy consumption (see Figure 1). Nuclear energy supplies 8.62 percent of total consumption, with biomass and hydroelectricity providing 4.39 percent and 2.56 percent, respectively. Wind energy provided 0.94 percent of total energy consumption during 2010, up from 0.76 percent in 2009. Geothermal energy furnished 0.22 percent of total consumption during 2010. Finally, solar photovoltaic provided 0.11 percent during 2010 (see Figure 1).
HYDROELECTRIC
2.56%
GEOTHERMAL
0.22%
NUCLEAR
8.62%
SOLAR
0.11%
WIND
0.94%
BIOMASS
4.39%
NATURAL GAS
25.17%
COAL
21.25%
The contribution from natural gas in total energy consumption has been rising in recent years, expanding from 22.3 percent in 2006 to 25.2 percent in 2010. Much of this increase has been due to greater use of natural gas in electric power generation. Since 2005, natural gas use in electricity production has increased 25 percent. In 2010, more than a third of U.S. end-use natural gas consumption occurred in electric power generation. The electricity industry is now the single largest user of natural gas, and will likely expand consumption significantly in future years to meet higher demand for electricity and to replace aging coal-fired power plants. Since natural gas electric power generation has only 41 percent of the carbon dioxide emissions of coal-fired power generation, such a transition could significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions.1
1 According to data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, net electricity generation from coal and natural gas in 2009 was 1,755,904 and 920,929 thousand megawatt hours, respectively, while emissions of carbon dioxide were 1,742.2 and 372.6 million metric tons from coal and natural gas, respectively.
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These additional demands for natural gas have been increasingly supplied by shale gas production. There are three major shale gas plays in the United States. The Barnett shale in Texas was the first to be developed and produced 1.936 billion cubic feet (BCF) of natural gas during 2011.2 The Haynesville shale now appears to be the largest shale gas-producing field, according to the Energy Information Administration.3 The third-largest producing field is the Marcellus in Pennsylvania and West Virginia, with estimated production of 1.2 BCF during 2011 (Considine, et al. 2011b). As conventional natural gas deposits deplete, the role of shale gas in the U.S. natural gas supply is likely to continue to increase. Indeed, the Energy Information Administration projects that the share of shale gas in total U.S. dry gas production will rise from 24.8 percent in 2011 to 46.5 percent in 2035.4 Shale resources also contain crude oil and petroleum liquids. The Marcellus Shale in Appalachia is emerging as a major producer of natural gas liquids such as propane and butane. These fuels are a critical input in petrochemical industries. Production of crude oil from the Bakken shale play in North Dakota is also increasing rapidly. For example, crude oil production from North Dakota rose from an average of 123,620 barrels per day during 2007 to 418,923 barrels per day during 2011 (North Dakota, 2011). From negligible amounts in 2007, the Eagle Ford shale play in south Texas produced 83,434 barrels per day during 2011 (Texas Railroad Commission, 2011). The Niobrara plays in eastern Colorado and Wyoming are also promising. Production from these new oil-producing areas and the deep waters of the Gulf of Mexico are reversing the long-term decline in U.S. oil production that began in the early 1970s.
This large reserve base suggests that it will take decades to fully develop the shale energy potential.
According to the Energy Information Administration (2011), there are nearly 24 billion barrels of technically recoverable oil and 862 trillion cubic feet of natural gas from shale resources. The Potential Gas Committee (2011) estimated that the total natural gas resource base for the United States is even larger at 1,898 trillion cubic feet. This large reserve base suggests that it will take decades to fully develop the shale energy potential.
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3.
Shale gas production is different from conventional natural gas production from shallow fields because the production decline curve is much steeper, with output declining roughly 50 percent during the first few years of production before leveling out. This high rate of output early during the production period often implies very high rates of return, even at low prices. These high rates of return provide the incentive to continue drilling, which allows shale energy-producing companies to maintain or increase production as they bring new wells on stream to offset the steep production decline of older wells. Accordingly, shale energy development resembles continuous energy manufacturing, unlike conventional natural gas development with an intensive three- to seven-year period of well and pipeline infrastructure development, and relatively little labor and resource use afterward. The continuity of drilling effort and the economic activity that it generates set shale resource development apart from other energy development activities. Developing coal mines, wind turbines, hydroelectric resources, and solar energy involves significant job creation during construction. Once the facilities are in place, however, their operation requires relatively few workers. In contrast, the labor-intensive aspects of shale gas development accelerate over time and can persist for decades, if the reserves in place are large enough, and market prices for natural gas justify continued investment.
Transportation costs are high for key materials used in the exploration, drilling, and construction of gas-processing plants and pipelines. Therefore, support industries, including well support, steel, sand and gravel, concrete, trucking, and scientific and engineering services, often arise locally. Most of these support activities are not easily outsourced to foreign suppliers. And in regions with private mineral rights, shale gas development requires lease and bonus payments to landowners, who in turn pay taxes and spend this income on local goods and services. While the footprint of a shale well site is small, the shale deposits occupy an extensive geographical area, necessitating the leasing of large tracts of land. Economic-impact studies have been conducted for the Barnett, Fayetteville, Haynesville, and Marcellus Shale gas plays. These studies employ input-output models to estimate the direct, indirect, and induced impacts on regional value added (the regional equivalent of contribution to the nations gross domestic product), employment, and tax revenues. Direct impacts constitute the purchases by natural gas companies from other sectors of the economy. Indirect impacts refer to the supply chain. For example, a natural gas company contracts with a drilling supply company, which then hires workers and other companies to supply it with materials, equipment, and services. Induced impacts constitute the rounds of transactions throughout the economy set off by the spending of workers, hired directly or indirectly, on goods and services. Induced impacts also result from landowners spending of lease, bonus, and royalty payments. The development of these shale energy resources during 2010 alone supported more than 600,000 jobs, increased gross domestic product or value added by $76 billion, and generated more than $18.6 billion in tax revenues at the local, state, and federal levels (IHS, 2011). Similarly, the study by Considine, et al. (2011) finds that development of the Marcellus Shale in Pennsylvania
Shale energy resources during 2010 alone supported more than 600,000 jobs, increased gross domestic product or value added by $76 billion
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supported nearly 140,000 jobs and generated $11.6 billion and $1.1 billion in value added and state and local taxes, respectively. If shale gas development was allowed in New York State, Considine (2010, 2011a) estimates that the accumulated value added from 2012 to 2021 would come to more than $11.4 billion, with more than 18,000 additional jobs in 2021 and approximately $214 million in state and local taxes by 2016 (see Appendix A).
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4.
Two distinct technologies horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracture stimulation enable shale energy development. Horizontal drilling involves vertically drilling down to the shale-bearing strata and then drilling horizontally to establish lateral well sections that may be up to a mile in length. This approach allows greater surface contact with the energy-bearing shale layer. Producers then inject a waterbased solution that contains between 2 and 4 percent sand and chemicals under high pressure into the well, which cracks the rock and increases the permeability of the reservoir. Most of the gas reserves in the Marcellus Shale are only economically recoverable using horizontal wells and hydraulic fracturing. Companies are constantly increasing the speed and efficiency of these operations. The first step in drilling a well is to install a well pad to support a drilling rig. Land is cleared, an area for the well is leveled off, and gravel roads are laid. After a well is completed, all surrounding land is restored and replanted, typically required under regulatory and bond release programs. Two types of wells can be constructed: a vertical well in which a large drilling rig rotates a steel pipe with a drill bit on the end; and a horizontal well in which a drilling motor pushes fluid through a stationary drill pipe, causing the bit to rotate. In either case, as the well is drilled, a new length of pipe is connected to the one already in use so that the latter can be pushed deeper into the hole. Currently, both vertical and horizontal wells are being drilled in most shale plays. Both types of wells are drilled to a predetermined vertical depth, but the latter then makes a turn, permitting it to be drilled sideways for several thousand feet. While the cost of a horizontal well is three to four times that of a vertical well, they are much more productive because they have far more contact with the gas-bearing rock (Figure 2). Standard drilling practice includes several measures intended to protect the environment. Oil and gas wells penetrate the water table, generally extending several thousand feet below potable water supplies. As the well is drilled, steel pipe called casing is inserted into the well bore and then
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cemented into place to form a barrier that protects subsurface groundwater from contamination. Well drillers are also responsible for ensuring that any fluids or chemicals used or produced during drilling and completion of the well do not contaminate surface waters such as streams, rivers, or lakes. In Pennsylvania, all fluids on a well site are now contained within plastic tarpaulins, plasticlined pits, or steel tanks, facilitating the recycling or transportation of these fluids to well-disposal sites permitted by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. After the well is drilled to its final depth, another steel pipe is installed inside of larger ones above it and cemented into place. The drilling rig then leaves the site, and a wellhead is installed on the surface. The wellhead is a collection of valves, often referred to as a Christmas tree, which controls the flow of gas and allows it to be turned off completely if necessary and allows the use of equipment for performing well stimulation and maintenance. Once drilling is complete, hydraulic fracturing, which stimulates the well to produce more gas by creating new fractures that intersect and connect to as many of the natural fractures to the well as possible, can occur. The first step in this process is to use shaped explosive charges to perforate the bottom section of the steel pipe. Doing so allows hydraulic fracturing fluid to be pumped into the rock to fracture the shale, and then allows hydraulic fracturing fluid and gas into the pipe casing and to the wellhead at the surface. The resulting well is a set of pipes within pipes known as casing strings. The point where one casing string ends and another extends is known as the shoe. Most companies use multiple strings of casings of varying lengths, diameters, and grades (Figure 3).
SOIL
2,000 FT
5,000 FT
6,000 FT
TARGET FORMATION
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5.
The extraction, processing, and transportation of natural gas all affect the environment. Koomey and Krause (1997) outline the basic steps for estimating environmental externalities5 and the costs they impose on society, involving these general steps: Identifying insults to the physical and human environment; Charting pathways that convert the insults to stresses; Estimating the physical or social consequences of the stresses; and Valuing the environmental and social costs of the stresses.
The first three steps collectively can be referred to as environmental-impact assessment and can be accomplished with varying degrees of accuracy or confidence. As a result, most studies estimating environmental externalities specify a degree of uncertainty. Some upstream negative externalities of natural gas production are unavoidable. They involve the clearing of land for well pads and pipelines; local congestion due to truck traffic; and noise and dust. Lease and bonus payments to landowners or direct outlays by companies to repair infrastructure damage caused by gas drilling activity compensate for most of these impacts. Nonetheless, the sheer presence of gas wells has effects on the ecosystem. Environmental hazards associated with natural gas production are infrequent, but can lead to contamination of local water supplies and impairment of air quality. Perhaps the most publicized environmental risk arises from the use and disposal of fluids used in hydraulic fracturing. The New York City Department of Environmental Protection (2009) study of the potential impacts of natural gas drilling on the New York City watershed raised the possibility that water from hydraulic fracturing could migrate from the gas-bearing layers, which are 5,000 feet below the surface, up to water tables less than 500 feet from the surface. The presence of 4,500 feet of rock above the hydraulic fractured zone makes such an eventuality unlikely. Indeed, there exists no documented evidence of such an event since hydraulic fracturing was first introduced approximately 60 years ago. Vaughan (2010) argues that water-supply contamination from so-called stray gas occurs more often from failures in well design and construction, breaches in spent hydraulic-fracturing water-containment ponds, and spills of leftover natural gas liquids used in drilling. Where groundwater has been impacted, the PA DEP has concluded that the issue stems not from hydraulic fracturing per se, but poorly formulated cement and improperly designed wells traits that should be of concern in all wells, not just high-volume hydraulic fracture (HVHF) wells. Methane contamination of water is manageable with the use of water treatment systems that remove methane and metals related to methane contamination. Migration of natural gas into structures, however, poses a serious risk of explosions, which have happened on a number of occasions. Stray gas events can be significantly mitigated by proper well construction. These methods, however, cannot entirely eliminate stray gas emissions because there are many sources of stray gas,
5 Environmental externalities refer to effects external to production and consumption activities by firms or households. For example, water pollution from natural gas production is a production externality, while air pollution during combustion of natural gas for home heating is a consumption externality.
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entirely unrelated to shale gas drilling, such as shallow gas reserves, unplugged orphan wells, decaying plant and animal materials, and septic fields. To address this issue, mandatory standards for water-well construction should be adopted in Pennsylvania, which surprisingly do not yet exist due to strong opposition from rural communities and the agricultural industry. To determine the frequency of environmental incidents, a detailed examination of the environmental violations reported in the Pennsylvania Marcellus appears in the next section.
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6.
The Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection (PA DEP) regulates natural gas development in the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. The responsibility of the PA DEP is to enforce a body of regulations that date back to the 1930s that recently have been updated to reflect the environmental impact of the development of the Marcellus Shale and other unconventional sources of natural gas. If an operating company fails to comply with these regulations, the PA DEP issues a Notice of Violation (NOV). These violations are indicative of many different situations. To fully understand the effectiveness of current regulations in mitigating the environmental impacts of Marcellus Shale development and the various incidents that garnished an NOV, a closer examination of these violations is required. A notice of environmental violation often does not indicate an actual environmental event because many of these citations are for administrative violations or are issued to prevent pollution from occurring. Consequently, to estimate the actual environmental impact of shale gas drilling, a careful analysis is required of the environmental violations to determine what actually happened, which appears in section seven below and in greater detail in Appendix B. Meanwhile, this section provides an overview of environmental violations to provide a context for the identification and discussion of the environmental events that resulted in measurable pollution or harm to the environment that are discussed below. The database for this inquiry includes NOVs issued to operators from January 2008 through August of 2011.6 Each NOV is analyzed by first determining the legal statute that prompted its issuance, and then by comparing the statute with the descriptions of the violation provided by the PA DEP and its well site inspectors. This study classifies the violations into seven categories: cement & casing, blowouts & venting, major and non-major spills on land, gas migration, site restoration, and water contamination. More detailed definitions of these categories appear in Table 1 below.
The next step reconciles the legal citation with the description of the violation to determine if pollution took place. For example, if a statute discussed discharges of material into waters of the Commonwealth, then the NOV would be classified as a violation involving water contamination as long as this matched the PADEP description and inspectors comments. This close scrutiny of each
6 http://www.depreportingservices.state.pa.us/ReportServer/Pages/ReportViewer.aspx?/Oil_Gas/OG_Compliance
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violation allows a more precise determination of the frequency of NOVs that result in measurable pollution or damage to the environment. This approach also allows the identification of those violations that affected the environment. To identify these violations, our analysis used a series of indicators developed from the well inspectors comments for each NOV. These violations stood out based upon the amount of fluids spilled, the amount of water or land disturbed, and the potential threat to human health or safety. Once these violations had been identified, our analysis employed the Environmental Facility Applications Tracking System (eFACTS) from the PADEP to classify the violations into those that did and did not involve actual environmental harm. The raw number of NOVs does not tell the whole story. Our analysis of the NOVs reveals that only a fraction of them were issued for a violation that involved an environmental impact. Among the 2,988 violations issued, only 1,144 were for a violation that involved an environmental event. The other 1,844 violations issued were administrative violations or citations to prevent pollution. Hence, 38.3 percent of the 2,988 NOVs issued were for environmental violations of some type, which is illustrated below in Figure 4. Determining what proportion of these environmental violations were preventative in nature is problematic because it is nearly impossible to assess whether pollution would have occurred had these violations not been issued. Regardless, the number of these violations that did not involve pollution should be considered as a good metric for regulatory oversight. While some in the industry may find these NOVs a nuisance, state oversight through robust regulation does provide incentives for companies to more closely comply with environmental regulations and, most importantly, adopt technological innovations to avoid these citations altogether.
ADMINISTRATIVE VIOLATIONS
61.7%
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A further disaggregation of the environmental violations using the six categories of violations identified above in Table 1 is displayed below in Figure 5. Understanding the distinctions of these categories is important to understanding the key risks of concern to regulators. The environmental violations constitute 38.3 percent of all NOVs and are split seven ways in Figure 5. For example, the largest portion is the 13.4 percent of all NOVs arising from breaking site restoration rules (Figure 5). The next largest category is water contamination with 11.6 percent of all NOVs. Minor spills on land constitute 7.9 percent of all violations. Cement and casing violations comprise 3.3 percent of all NOVs. Violations for major land spills, blowouts and venting, and gas migration constitute 1.5, 0.3, and 0.2 percent of all violations, respectively (Figure 5).
FIGURE 5: SHARES OF ADMINISTRATIVE VIOLATIONS AND ENVIRONMENTAL VIOLATIONS BY CATEGORY MINOR LAND SPILLS
7.9%
WATER CONTAMINATION
11.6%
SITE RESTORATION
13.4%
GAS MIGRATION
0.2%
ADMINISTRATIVE
61.7%
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Figure 6 below displays a disaggregation of the environmental violations. Of these 1,144 violations, 35 percent involved site restoration issues, slightly more than 30 percent entailed surface water contamination, and almost 21 percent were for minor spills on land. Cement and casing violations constituted 8.7 percent of violations that resulted in pollution. Major land spills comprised 4 percent of these violations, while blowouts and venting and gas migration comprised 0.9 and 0.5 percent, respectively (Figure 6).
SITE RESTORATION
35.0%
Many of the NOVs that resulted in measurable pollution, however, were rather minor, involving, for example, a gallon of diesel fuel or antifreeze spilled on the ground. The next section identifies the incidents that presented or had the potential to present significant environmental impact.
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Significantly, the record of environmental violations in Pennsylvania shows that the rate of environmental violations expressed as a percentage of wells drilled declined over time. For example, in 2008 there were 170 wells drilled and 99 environmental violations, or more than 58 percent of all wells drilled in that year incurred some violation. In the first eight months of 2011, there were 331 recorded violations, or 26.5 percent of the 1,248 wells drilled during the first eight months of 2011. So, on this basis, the Marcellus industry has cut its incidence of environmental violations by more than half in three years, a rather notable indicator of improvement by the industry and oversight by the regulators. While a 26.5 percent rate of environmental violations appears high, it is important to note that most of these violations are not major.
[
286
The Marcellus industry has cut its incidence of environmental violations by more than half in three years, a rather notable indicator of improvement by the industry
1,248
50%
40%
40.3%
710
30%
30.5% 26.5%
20%
428 331
10%
170 99
0%
2008
Wells Drilled
2009
Environmental Violations
2010
2011 August
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While difficult to conclusively illustrate causation between regulatory actions and decreases in environmental violations, the history of regulations in Pennsylvania suggests such a relationship may exist. The PA DEP has made significant regulatory changes over the four-year time frame. The agency opened up a new field office, hired additional staff, and made a number of rule changes that were heavily advertised. These regulatory milestones are summarized in Table 2. This trend is expected to continue as stronger regulatory requirements are promulgated, enforcement efforts become well established, and industry gains a better understanding of the new regulatory requirements.
2008 August
December
2009 January
February
April
2010 May
June
October
While the distinction between administrative and other violations is important, an additional delineation is required because some environmental events generate multiple environmental violations. Using a count of environmental violations, therefore, would over-estimate the number of actual environmental events that took place. Accordingly, to fully understand the effectiveness of current regulations on mitigating environmental impacts of Marcellus Shale development and the various incidents that garnished an NOV, an even closer examination of these events is required.
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7.
Environmental Events
In this section, the notices of environmental violation are analyzed to determine how many actual events took place that resulted in environmental pollution. These events were found by examining each individual inspection report and determining what took place based upon the various NOVs issued. The classification system for environmental events is the same as it is for environmental violations. Below is a closer look at each category of environmental event and their nature.
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0 0 0 1 0 1
0 2 1 0 5 8
2 2 1 0 1 6
2 5 0 1 2 10
4 9 2 2 8 25
0 72 4 13 89 90
2 68 56 39 165 173
56 98 23 73 250 260
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Of all the polluting environmental events, 38.8 percent involved site restoration, 30.5 percent involved spills contaminating surface water, 17.6 percent were nonmajor land spills, and 10.1 percent involved cement and casing problems. Three percent of all environmental events created major problems for the environment, 1.1 percent from major land spills, 0.9 percent involving major water contamination, 0.5 percent from blowouts and venting, 0.2 percent involving major site restoration problems, and 0.2 percent from gas migration (see Figure 8 below).
GAS MIGRATION
0.2%
MAJOR EVENTS
3%
SITE RESTORATION
38.8%
Like the environmental violations, the number of environmental events varied with the number of wells drilled, as illustrated in Figure 9 below. The incidence of these events, however, steadily declined over the past four years. For example, more than half of all wells involved some level of environmental pollution in 2008, albeit most instances were minor, but that proportion declined to slightly over a fifth of all wells in 2011.
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52.9% 50%
30%
710
24.4% 22.9% 20.8%
20%
322
10%
170 90
260
173
0%
2008
Wells Drilled
2009
Environmental Events
2010
2011 August
These findings are based solely on the Pennsylvania Marcellus record and are not necessarily indicative of the incidence of polluting environmental events one would expect to find in the future in other regulatory jurisdictions or involving other drilling companies. As indicated previously, however, enforcement activity and awareness of new regulatory requirements by the regulated community is likely to result in a decline in the incidence of polluting environmental events as illustrated above. Moreover, as the analysis presented in Appendix B illustrates, the long-term environmental impacts of these events are almost completely mitigated by remedial actions taken by the companies. In most cases, due to the severity of these 25 major environmental events, information is available to determine what went wrong, who was responsible, and how the impact was remediated. Appendix B discusses each of the major environmental events that occurred during Marcellus Shale development in Pennsylvania. The first major conclusion that can be reached from this analysis is that there are only two documented cases in which subsurface potable water supplies were tainted from Marcellus gas drilling activity. These subsurface water contamination events resulted from stray gas or gas migration into potable water supplies due to improper casing of multiple wells in the areas. According to our analysis, local water supplies have been completely restored to one of the affected areas, and in the second area the impacts are still being mitigated. Further, additional safety protocols and engineering measurements through proper state-based regulation can and should eliminate future incidents. The second finding is that there were four serious well blowouts, implying a 0.11 percent probability of a well blowout. In other words, there is roughly a one-tenth of one percent chance of a serious
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well blowout in the Pennsylvania Marcellus gas drilling industry. To put this in some context and relative perspective, there are 40,000 highway deaths in America each year. If an individual drives an average amount each year for 50 years, there is a one percent chance of dying in an accident, roughly 12 times higher than the odds of a well blowout in the Pennsylvania Marcellus. Also, it is important to keep in mind that these four well blowouts did not result in loss of life. The third major conclusion is the environmental damages resulting from these events were mitigated with the exception of six cases, two of which are too early to determine if remediation has been completed and for the other four cases, remediation efforts have been undertaken but not verified as completely effective. Hence, even when there are serious environmental impacts, regulators and drilling companies act to completely remediate the environmental damages. This implies that the PA DEP is acting effectively to minimize and in many cases prevent environmental harm from occurring. Hence, the Pennsylvania data shows that of the polluting environmental events that resulted in environmental damage, the regulatory agencies and drilling companies acted to completely remediate those damages. The fourth and final conclusion is that the majority of the events were due to operator error, negligence, or a failure to follow proper procedures when drilling. This suggests that the industry has room for improvement, and the frequency of environmental events can be reduced. The following subsections discuss the implications of these findings for Pennsylvania and New York.
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21
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8.
The oil and gas industry in New York dates back to the early 1800s, and the state has formally regulated the industry since 1963. New York State regulates the oil and gas industry using a combination of statute, regulation, and a generic environmental impact statement with authority under the State Environmental Quality Review Act (SEQRA) passed in 1976. The Environmental Conservation Law, Article 23 Mineral Resources, and Article 71 Enforcement, govern the industry. Regulations affecting oil and gas are found in Title 6 of the New York State Register and Official Compilation of Codes, Rules and Regulations of the State of New York (NYCRR) Chapter V Resource Management Services, Subchapter B: Mineral Resources.7 At first glance, these seem somewhat limited in breadth. However, SEQRA gave state regulators significant authority to develop a robust regulatory program to identify potential environmental risks and provided the flexible framework to mitigate them. Adopted in 1976, SEQRA was designed to encourage productive and enjoyable harmony between man and his environment. SEQRA requires that government agencies review the environmental impact of its actions, not limited to a specific environmental medium, such as air or water, but includes all environmental and many socioeconomic issues that arise in considering the result of any governmental action. The agency must disclose and address impacts that can be reasonably anticipated and, to the best of their ability, attempt to avoid or minimize adverse environmental impacts. The goal of the SEQRA process is not to eliminate all activities that may have risk, but to identify potential adverse impacts and ways to mitigate them. Ultimately, this is a subjective decision making legal challenges complex and difficult. Until three decades ago, New Yorks oil and gas industry was regulated through inconsistent state and municipal requirements for drilling. This approach resulted in a few well site issues and generally inconsistent state and local rules governing the industry. In 1980, state legislators chose to revise the regulatory program using its SEQRA authority rather than promulgate new regulations. The process started in 1980 and ended in 1992 with the adoption of the final Generic Environmental Impact Statement (GEIS). The GEIS abrogated the right of municipalities to regulate any aspect of oil and gas development, and provided a flexible permitting program that could react quickly to changes on the ground and allow the issuance of permits in a timely fashion. The 1992 GEIS looked at all common impacts deemed significant, including surface waters, groundwater, agriculture, historical sites, archaeological sites, significant habitats, floodplains, freshwater wetlands, state lands, coastal zones, streams, and general habitat loss. A unique environmental assessment form for drilling was developed from the GEIS.
7 http://www.dos.ny.gov/info/nycrr.html
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impacts of the high-volume hydraulic fracture stimulations (HVHF) used to develop the natural gas resources in the Marcellus Shale formation. In accordance with SEQRA, the purpose of the 2009 draft SGEIS (DSGIES) was to inventory the potential environmental risks, determine which impacts are significant, and provide mitigation measures. This process is routinely used to address the environmental impacts of many industrial processes. The host of complex environmental impacts analyzed in the draft SGEIS range from the initial water withdrawals to the ultimate disposal of the waste products. In preparing the DSGEIS, NYS DEC sought to recognize, characterize, and provide appropriate mitigation measures based upon sound science, engineering, and experience. The 2009 DSGEIS was put forth for public comment, a process that ended December 31, 2009, with the receipt of more than 13,000 comments. Comment evaluation lasted through 2010 and well into a new state executive administration. In 2011, the DEC released a revised DSGEIS (RDSGEIS), which outlines a much more procedural approach to regulating wells using high-volume hydraulic fracture stimulations (HVHF), defined in the RDSGEIS as a completion using 300,000 gallons of water or more. Concurrently, NYSDEC issued revised draft regulations based on the RDSGEIS. This can be seen as a major change in approach. Since 1992, the GEIS has been used as a flexible regulatory tool allowing real-time modernization of regulations to match industry innovation. Now, a much more detailed and formal regulatory structure is proposed for wells using HVHF. The most productive way to evaluate whether this framework will be ultimately successful is to study prior environmental incidents using the new RDSGEIS. The Department has indicated that they have done this. In 2011, DEC staff studied high-volume hydraulic fracturing incidents throughout Pennsylvania to assess their causes and identify solutions. Given the above analysis that aggregates all environmental incidents occurring in Pennsylvania, we will be able to assess the degree to which New York regulators have been successful in incorporating lessons learned into the RDSGEIS.
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testing to avoid blowout preventer failure and reduce blowout severity: The current DSGEIS requires pressure testing of blowout prevention equipment, the use of at least two mechanical barriers that can be tested, the use of specialized equipment designed for entering the wellbore when pressure is anticipated, and the on-site presence of a certified well control specialist. (NYS DEC 2011A, p. ES-25) A remote blowout preventer actuator, which is powered by a source other than rig hydraulics, shall be located at least 50 feet from the wellhead. All lines, valves and fittings between the blowout preventer and the remote actuator and any other actuator must be flame resistant and have an appropriate rated working pressure. (NYS DEC 2011B) Rigorous testing may prevent problems with blowout preventers. Also, requiring properly certified staff and remote actuation also may limit the severity of a blowout. Berms and other secondary containment may help mitigate the impact. These types of systems may help prevent blowouts similar to those described in Appendix B.
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The revised DSGEIS continues this practice, but adds a wellbore integrity review for wells proposing to use HVHF: The Departments staff reviews the proposed casing and cementing plan for each well prior to permit issuance. Permits are not issued for improperly designed wells, and in the case of high-volume hydraulic fracturing the as-built wellbore construction would be verified before the operation is allowed to proceed. (NYS DEC 2011A, p. ES-23- 24) In the proposed regulations, NYS DEC will also require extensive testing of the casing to make sure it can adequately ensure a sufficient margin of safety in HVHF operations, avoiding a casing breach, and potential migration of methane and fluids. These proposed regulations also set boundaries on how hard a well can be pushed during operations: If hydraulic fracturing operations are performed down casing, prior to introducing hydraulic fracturing fluid into the well, the casing extending from the surface of the well to the top of the treatment interval must be tested with fresh water, mud or brine to at least the maximum anticipated treatment pressure for at least 30 minutes with less than a 5 percent pressure loss. This pressure test may not commence for at least 7 days after the primary cementing operations are completed on this casing string. A record of the pressure test must be maintained by the operator and made available to the department upon request. The actual hydraulic fracturing treatment pressure must not exceed the test pressure at any time during hydraulic fracturing operations. (NYS DEC 2011B) Under the proposed regulations, the operator must sample water wells within a 1,000- to 2,000foot radius before any site disturbance, and for a period after drilling and completion of a well using HVHF. If gas migration is detected, NYS DEC, like the PA DEP, can begin an enforcement action to force the operator to mitigate the problem. The proposed regulations also give NYS DEC the authority to revoke previously issued permits and approvals for noncompliance (as described in proposed regulations 750-3.5).
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As with the PA DEPs approach, an improperly restored site would subject the operator to fines and other enforcement actions. This enforcement power rests in statute and regulation.
Looking at the incidences described in Appendix B, it is not clear that these offsets alone would necessarily eliminate contamination of streams or aquifers. Topography and the severity of the incident played a role. It seems that improved site design and better containment, if used in conjunction with bright line setbacks, is likely to avoid or reduce the occurrence of these impacts.
8.26 Commentary
New York State has the luxury of learning from the experience of Pennsylvania. As shown above, some of the strict procedures included in the RDSGEIS and proposed regulations may indeed help avoid or mitigate the impact of well site events. Many others, however, might provide little extra protection, while creating restrictions that ultimately stifle industry and investment. The 1992 GEIS recognized the need for flexibility when complex engineered systems are involved. Only time will tell if this strict approach fares as well or better than the landmark 1992 GEIS. Below in Table 4 is a summary of some of the major environmental events discussed in Appendix B if SGEIS requirements had been applied to the five polluting environmental categories.
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PA Event
Incident B.12: Chief Oil and Gas Bradford County uncontrolled flowback Incident B.13: EOG Resources Clearfield County well blowout Incident B.17: Talisman Energy Tioga County blowout Incident B.23: Chesapeake Energy Leroy Township blowout
Spills on Land
Incident B.7: Atlas Resources Diesel spill Incident B.12: Chief Oil and Gas Susquehanna County fluid spill Incident B.11: Anadarko Clinton County mud spill Incident B.14: JW Operating Company Mud spill Incident B.15: Cabot Oil & Gas Susquehanna County hose failure Incident B.18: Talisman Jackson production fluid release Incident B.19: Carrizo Monroe mud spill Incident B.20: Carrizo Wyoming County drilling mud spill Incident B.22: Ultra Resources Flowback spill
Requiring a Spill Prevention Control and Countermeasure Plan (SPCC) Completing a regulatory review of the proposed layout of the well site Requiring a site visit by DEC staff to make sure the site can be designed for adequate containment Prior to the initiation of HVHF operations, pressure test all fracturing equipment components Approval of risky site plans would be subject to enhanced site-specific construction requirements Bans surface access on most state lands The authority by regulators to revoke previously issued permits and approvals for noncompliance (e.g., chemical spills)
Incident B.2: PA General Energy Creek discharge Incident B.4: Cabot Oil & Gas Stevens Creek fish kill
Require a State Pollutant Discharge Elimination System (SPDES) permit covering HVHF operations
Including restrictions on siting of surface locations will take substantial acreage out of possible production, including (1) within 4,000 feet of, and including, Incident B.5: the unfiltered surface water supply watersheds; (2) Range Resources Stream discharge into Brush Run within 500 feet of, and including, a primary aquifer; Incident B.6: (3) within 100-year floodplains; (4) within 2,000 feet EOG Resources Clearfield County stream discharge of any public (municipal or otherwise) water supply, including wells, reservoirs, natural lakes, or manIncident B.8: Talisman Energy Armenia pit overflow made impoundments, and river or stream intakes; and (5) in the New York City and Skaneateles Lake Incident B.9: watersheds Atlas Resources Hopewell pit overflow into Dunkle Demonstrate a source to treat or otherwise legally Creek dispose of wastewater associated with flowback and Incident B.16: production water Chief Oil and Gas Susquehanna County fluid spill Incident B.24: CNX Gas Company Mud spill continued on next page
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PA Event
Incident B.3: Cabot Oil & Gas Dimock gas migration Incident B.10: Chesapeake Energy Bradford County gas migration incident
Site Restoration
Incident B.1: Atlas Resources Major site restoration failure Incident B.21: Chesapeake Energy Washington County pit fire Incident B.25: Ultra Resources Major site restoration failure
Sites must be designed to mitigate erosion, sedimentation During operations, topsoil must be stockpiled Require partial site reclamation after all planned wells at the well pad have been completed Department inspectors must verify that the drilling/fracturing equipment has been removed; pits used for those operations have been reclaimed, and surface disturbances not associated with production activities have been scarified or ripped to alleviate compaction prior to replacement of topsoil Reclaimed areas must be seeded and mulched after topsoil replacement, and vegetative cover reestablished that will ultimately return the site to pre-construction conditions
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9.
Conclusions
Since 2008, more than 3,533 Marcellus wells have been drilled in Pennsylvania from more than 100 drilling rigs. This study assesses the effectiveness of the states regulations in mitigating environmental impacts associated with the development of Marcellus Shale in Pennsylvania by surveying records of notices of violations from the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection (PA DEP) from January 2008 through August 2011. The major findings are as follows: Of the 2,988 notices of environmental violations (NOVs), the majority (62 percent) are administrative violations or violations issued to prevent pollution from occurring. The remaining citations (38 percent) were in response to an event that impacted the surrounding environment. Of the 845 incidents that caused measurable amounts of pollution, 820 were classified as non-major, and only 25 involved major impacts to air, water, and land resources. This implies that over the 44 months surveyed, there was a [0.7 percent] probability of a major environmental event. Of the 25 problematic incidents that involved major environmental impacts, six cases did not have their environmental impacts completely mitigated. Both the number of environmental violations and subsequent environmental events that caused some physical impact on the environment steadily declined over the past four years, in conjunction with action by state regulators. Notably, the percentage of wells resulting in a major environmental event declined significantly; an indicator that the attention of regulators was focused on the areas of greatest concern. The foregoing suggests that surface activity, rather than the drilling or development process itself, remains the greatest ongoing risk. The findings are significant as they illustrate how the PA DEP has been able to effectively manage the brisk pace of unconventional gas development, while preserving the economic opportunity that development has afforded the community. Pennsylvania provides a strong metric to gauge the regulatory proposal being proposed for New York State. Our research classifying the 25 major events that occurred in Pennsylvania with the 2011 New York SGEIS guidelines demonstrates that each of these specific events would be avoided or mitigated under New York States regulatory framework currently in place.
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10.
References
Considine, Timothy (2010) The Economic Impacts of the Marcellus Shale: Implications for New York, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia, American Petroleum Institute, July, 38 pages. Considine, Timothy, R. Watson, and N. Considine (2011a) The Economic Opportunities of Shale Energy Development, The Manhattan Institute, June, 28 pages. Considine, Timothy, R. Watson, and S. Blumsack (2011b) The Pennsylvania Marcellus Shale Natural Gas Industry: Status, Economic Impacts, and Future Potential, The Pennsylvania State University, Department of Energy and Mineral Engineering, July 2011, 59 pages. Energy Information Administration (2011) Review of Emerging Resources: U.S. Shale Gas and Shale Oil Plays, July, ftp://ftp.eia.doe.gov/natgas/usshaleplays.pdf. Koomey, Jonathan, and F. Krause (1997). Introduction of Environmental Externality Costs. In CRC Handbook on Energy Efficiency, ed. Frank Kreith and Ronald E. West (Boca Raton, Fla.: CRC). Martin, John P. and F. Charles Dayter, Developing Shale Resources in New York State: A Brief Review of Technical, Environmental and Legal Issues, Paper developed for the Drilling into Hydraulic Fracturing and Shale Gas Development: A 3-State Perspective (PA, TX and NY), a seminar sponsored by the ALI - ABA, October 18, 2011. New York State Department of Environmental Protection (2009) Final Impact Assessment Report: Impact Assessment of Natural Gas Production in the New York City Water Supply Watershed (December). New York State Department of Environmental Conservation (Lead Agency), Generic Environmental Impact Statement on the Oil, Gas and Solution Mining Regulatory Program, September 1992 (http://www.dec.ny.gov/energy/45912.html). New York State Department of Environmental Conservation (Lead Agency), Draft Supplemental Generic Environmental Impact Statement on the Oil, Gas and Solution Mining Regulatory Program Well Permit Issuance for Horizontal Drilling and High-Volume Hydraulic Fracturing to Develop the Marcellus Shale and Other Low-Permeability Gas Reservoirs, September 2009 (http://www.dec.ny.gov/energy/58440.html). New York State Department of Environmental Conservation (Lead Agency), Revised Draft Supplemental Generic Environmental Impact Statement on the Oil, Gas and Solution Mining Regulatory Program Well Permit Issuance for Horizontal Drilling and High-Volume Hydraulic Fracturing to Develop the Marcellus Shale and Other Low-Permeability Gas Reservoirs, September 2011A (http://www.dec.ny.gov/energy/75370.html). New York State Department of Environmental Conservation, High-Volume Hydraulic Fracturing Proposed Regulations 6 NYCRR Parts 52, 190, 550-556, 560, and 750, September, 2011B (http://www.dec.ny.gov/regulations/77353.html). North Dakota State Government, Department of Natural Resources, Oil and Gas Division, https://www.dmr.nd.gov/oilgas/stats/statisticsvw.asp. Pennsylvania Fish and Boat Commission (2011) Texas Company Pays $208,625 in Settlements for Polluting Creeks in Clearfield County http://www.fish.state.pa.us/newsreleases/2011press/EOG_settle.htm. Railroad Commission of Texas, Eagle Ford Information http://www.rrc.state.tx.us/eagleford/index.php. Vaughan, A. (2010). Frac Attack: Risks, Hype, and Financial Reality of Hydraulic Fracturing in the Shale Plays. Reservoir Research Partners; and Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. (July 8). Sovas, Gregory, Oil & Gas Permitting and Regulation in NY, presentation to the Marcellus Shale Lecture Series, University at Buffalo, Amherst, NY, April 21, 2011.
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APPENDIX
A.
The development path for New York shale energy will likely follow one similar to that experienced in northern Pennsylvania. During 2008, 52 Marcellus wells were drilled in five counties in northern Pennsylvania: McKean, Potter, Tioga, Bradford, and Susquehanna. The number of Marcellus wells drilled in the same five counties during 2009 was 296 (see Considine et al. 2011b). The New York counties due north of this zone include, from west to east: Allegany, Steuben, Chemung, Tioga, and Broome. As the Marcellus Shale formation extends northward into New York State, it comes closer to the surface, making it less attractive to drilling companies to exploit. Therefore, drilling would probably be concentrated in the southern half of the New York border counties mentioned above. The Utica shale is another promising natural gas resource extending into New York, but there is no evidence to date that the New York Utica shale is productive. Range Resources completed and tested a horizontal Utica well in western New York, but the results are confidential. Ranges only comment is that it plans to drill additional Utica wells. Hence, prospects for the Utica shale in New York are promising, but there is simply not enough evidence of commercial prospects that would justify its inclusion in the scenarios developed below. Leasing activity in the Utica shale in northeastern Ohio, however, is rather intense, given the prospects of rich deposits of oil and natural gas liquids, especially in Stark County. In light of these considerations, a safe assumption is that the Marcellus Shale will be the first formation to be developed in New York State if horizontal drilling with hydraulic fracturing is allowed. Hypothetical trajectory of future drilling appears in Table A1 (Considine, et al. 2011a).
TABLE A1: PROJECTED MARCELLUS ACTIVITY IN NEW YORK (2012, 2016, 2021)
Millions of Current Dollars 2012 Total spending Lease and bonus Exploration Drilling and completion Pipeline and processing Royalties Other 172.6 66.6 5.9 78.2 19.1 0 2.9 2016 1,899.9 502.2 68.9 918.5 224.5 152.3 33.5 2021 2,209.9 502.2 73.8 984 240.5 373.5 35.9
Assumed Number of Wells* Horizontal Vertical Total 14 28 42 304 9 314 330 10 340
Gas Equivalents of Million Cubic Feet per Day Production 0.1 487.6 952.1
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Under this scenario, 42 wells would be drilled in the first year, 314 wells four years later, and 340 wells in 2021. Horizontal drillings share is based on the observed ratio in northern Pennsylvania (Considine, et al. 2011a). Total spending under this scenario would start out at $172.6 million; increase eleven fold, to $1.9 billion by 2016; and reach $2.2 billion in 2021 (Table A1). The value added that such activity from direct, indirect, and induced effects would create is $1.7 billion in 2016 (see Table A2). Note that the impacts are spread across a broad array of industries, which reflects the stimulus that natural gas investments have on the supply chain, boosting output in key shale energy supply chain industries, such as construction, wholesale trade, truck transportation, and engineering and scientific services (see Table A2). Similar gains in employment are achieved with Marcellus development supporting more than 15,000 jobs in 2016 alone. Assuming a 3 percent discount rate, the accumulated value added from 2012 to 2021 would come to more than $11.4 billion. There would be more than 18,000 additional jobs in 2021 (see Table A2). And local and state tax revenues would have grown by more than $214 million in 2010 dollars by 2016 (Considine, et al. 2011a).
TABLE A2: PROJECTED VALUE ADDED IN NEW YORK BY SECTOR (2012, 2016, 2021)
Sector Millions of 2010 Dollars 2012 Ag., forestry, fishing, and hunting Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retail trade Transportation and warehousing Information Finance and insurance Real estate and rental Professional/scientific and tech services Business management Administrative and waste services Educational services Health and social services Arts/entertainment and recreation Hotel and food services Other services Government and misc. Total 0.3 19.8 3.5 14 4 16.4 9.9 3.9 4.9 12.5 21 13.2 2.3 4.1 3.1 10.6 1.2 3.3 3.4 1.7 153 2016 3.3 232.3 38.1 163.4 44.8 189.1 107.4 43.6 53.9 136.9 224 150.1 25.9 45.5 32.1 112.1 13.1 35 35.8 18.4 1,704.8 2021 3.8 249.2 44.8 175.7 51.1 207 125.9 48.9 62.9 158.6 268.3 166.5 28.8 51.6 40.6 135.3 15.7 42.1 42.9 21.6 1,941.2
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APPENDIX
B.
The sections below explain the nature of the 25 major environmental events and their impacts. For each event, this discussion explains what went wrong, why, who was responsible, and what remedies were followed.
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water. The three wells that were found to be the source of the migrating gas were plugged, and since then there has been a noticeable improvement in the water quality of the affected water wells.
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This event was considered a water contamination event and is another example of a company being negligent. The area that was affected by this spill was also heavily used for fishing, so the Fish and Boat Commission was also present during the evaluation of this incident. The impacts from the incident were mitigated, but the area is still undergoing testing to ensure that water quality is normal. With better training of crews and the paying of more attention to details like storage containers, events like this one can easily be prevented in the future.
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the situation was exacerbated by the fact that Atlas failed to report this event to the PA DEP. The cause of this event was considered negligence on the part of Atlas Resources and should have been prevented. This event is an example of what can go wrong when an operator fails to follow regulations and guidelines for pit construction. In conclusion, this event could have been avoided.
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B.26 References
Hamill, James (2011) Gas Drilling Emergency in Bradford County http://www.wnep.com/wnepbrad-leroy-gas-drillingemergency20110420,0,1884646.story Levy, Marc (2011) Talisman Cited for Gas Well Blowout http://thetimes-tribune.com/news/gasdrilling/talisman-cited-for-gas-well-blowout-1.1095503#axzz1doztpMg8 Lustgarten, Abraham (2009) Frack Fluid Spill in Dimock Contaminates Stream, Killing Fish http:/ /www.propublica.org/article/frack-fluid-spill-in-dimock-contaminates-stream-killing-fish-921 Myers, Robert (2011) Frac Record, August 24, The Express, http://www.lockhaven.com/page/content.detail/id/533549/Frac-record.html Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection (2008) Marcellus Shale inspections/violations 2008 Inspection comment ID 1742054 http://www.dep.state.pa.us/dep/deputate/minres/oilgas/OGInspectionsViolations/OGInspviol.htm Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection (2009a) Marcellus Shale inspections/violations 2009 Inspection comment ID 1836100 http://www.dep.state.pa.us/dep/deputate/minres/oilgas/OGInspectionsViolations/OGInspviol.htm Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection (2009b) Marcellus Shale inspections/violations 2009 Inspection comment ID 1843344 http://www.dep.state.pa.us/dep/deputate/minres/oilgas/OGInspectionsViolations/OGInspviol.htm Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection (PA DEP2010a) Dimock Residents to Share $4.1 Million, Receive Gas Mitigation Systems Under DEP-Negotiated Settlement with Cabot Oil and Gas; Additional $500,000 to Reimburse DEP for Investigative Costs DEP to Drop Montrose Water Line Plan Given Uncertain Prospects http://www.portal.state.pa.us/portal/server.pt/community/search_articles/14292 Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection (2010b), DEP Penalizes Range Resources $141,175 for Spill in High-Quality Waterway, Newsroom Press Release May 14 http://www.portal.state.pa.us/portal/server.pt/community/newsroom/14287?id=11412&typeid=1
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Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection (2010c) DEP Fines Talisman Energy USA for Bradford County Drilling Wastewater Spill, Polluting Nearby Water Resource, Newsroom Press Release August 2, 2010 http://www.portal.state.pa.us/portal/server.pt/community/newsroom/14287?id=13249&typeid=1 Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection (2010d) DEP Fines Atlas Resources for Drilling Wastewater Spill in Washington County, Newsroom Press Release August 17, 2010 http://www.portal.state.pa.us/portal/server.pt/community/newsroom/14287?id=13595&typeid=1 Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection (2010e) Marcellus Shale inspections/violations 2010 Inspection comment ID 1872559 http://www.dep.state.pa.us/dep/deputate/minres/oilgas/OGInspectionsViolations/OGInspviol.htm Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection (2010f) Marcellus Shale inspections/violations 2010 Inspection comment ID 1887635 http://www.dep.state.pa.us/dep/deputate/minres/oilgas/OGInspectionsViolations/OGInspviol.htm Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection (2010g) Marcellus Shale inspections/violations 2010 Inspection comment ID 1832875 http://www.dep.state.pa.us/dep/deputate/minres/oilgas/OGInspectionsViolations/OGInspviol.htm Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection (2010h) Marcellus Shale inspections/violations 2010 Inspection comment ID 1926568 http://www.dep.state.pa.us/dep/deputate/minres/oilgas/OGInspectionsViolations/OGInspviol.htm Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection (2011a) Marcellus Shale inspections/violations 2011 Inspection comment ID 1944136 http://www.dep.state.pa.us/dep/deputate/minres/oilgas/OGInspectionsViolations/OGInspviol.htm Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection (2011b) Marcellus Shale inspections/violations 2011 Inspection comment ID 1945795 http://www.dep.state.pa.us/dep/deputate/minres/oilgas/OGInspectionsViolations/OGInspviol.htm Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection (2011c) Marcellus Shale inspections/violations 2011 Inspection comment ID 1946716 http://www.dep.state.pa.us/dep/deputate/minres/oilgas/OGInspectionsViolations/OGInspviol.htm Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection (2011d) Marcellus Shale inspections/violations 2011 Inspection comment ID 1950300 http://www.dep.state.pa.us/dep/deputate/minres/oilgas/OGInspectionsViolations/OGInspviol.htm Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection (2011e) Marcellus Shale inspections/violations 2011 Inspection comment ID 1989916 http://www.dep.state.pa.us/dep/deputate/minres/oilgas/OGInspectionsViolations/OGInspviol.htm Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection (2011f) Marcellus Shale inspections/violations 2011 Inspection comment ID 1974213 http://www.dep.state.pa.us/dep/deputate/minres/oilgas/OGInspectionsViolations/OGInspviol.htm
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Pennsylvania Department of Environment Protection (2011g), DEP Fines Chesapeake Energy More Than $1 Million; Penalties Address Violations in Bradford, Washington Counties http://www.portal.state.pa.us/portal/server.pt/community/search_articles/14292 Swift, Robert (2011) Driller Fined for Spill http://thetimes-tribune.com/news/driller-fined-for-spill1.1099217#axzz1doztpMg8 WJAC TV (2010) Gas Well Blowout Under Control in Clearfield County http://www.wjactv.com/news/news/gas-well-blowout-under-control-in-clearfieldcount/nD4kX/ Jim Efstathiou (2010) Chesapeake Gas Wells May Cause Susquehannas Bubbles, State Says, Bloomberg http://66.147.244.96/~damascu5/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/Susquehanna-gasmigration-Chesapeake-Gas-Wells-May-Cause-Susquehanna-Bubbles_StateSays_Bloomberg_090710.pdf WTAE Pittsburg (2011) Explosion, Fire At Marcellus Shale Gas Well Site Under Investigation http://www.wtae.com/r/26973100/detail.html CBS Pittsburg (2011) Authorities Identify Workers Injured in Gas Well Fire http://pittsburgh.cbslocal.com/2011/02/24/authorities-identify-workers-injured-in-gas-well-fire/
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ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS
DURING MARCELLUS SHALE GAS DRILLING: CAUSES, IMPACTS, AND REMEDIES
TIMOTHY CONSIDINE CENTER FOR ENERGY ECONOMICS AND PUBLIC POLICY SCHOOL OF ENERGY RESOURCES | THE UNIVERSITY OF WYOMING ROBERT WATSON THE PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY NICHOLAS CONSIDINE CENTER FOR ENERGY ECONOMICS AND PUBLIC POLICY JOHN MARTIN SHALE RESOURCES AND SOCIETY INSTITUTE STATE UNIVERSITY OF NEW YORK AT BUFFALO