CES Order PDF
CES Order PDF
CES Order PDF
August 1, 2016
TABLE OF CONTENTS
I. INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY................................1
State Policy Goals ......................................3
Customer Choice .........................................7
Jurisdiction and Markets ................................9
Cost Containment .......................................11
Program Elements .......................................12
Renewable Energy Standard ..............................14
Tier 1 New Renewable Resources .....................14
Tier 2 Maintenance Tier ............................17
Offshore Wind ........................................18
Zero-Emissions Credit Requirement ......................19
II. PROCEDURAL BACKGROUND.................................21
III. NOTICE OF PROPOSED RULEMAKING........................25
IV. STAFF PROPOSALS, COST STUDY, AND PARTY COMMENTS.......26
A. Renewable Standard: Obligation
of Participating Entities ...........................26
1. Staff Proposal....................................26
a. Jurisdictional Entities ........................26
b. Non-Jurisdictional Entities ....................27
2. Party Comments....................................27
B. Eligible Resources ..................................30
1. Staff Proposal....................................30
2. Party Comments....................................30
C. Tiers ...............................................32
1. Staff Proposal....................................32
2. Party Comments....................................33
D. Annual Targets ......................................35
1. Defining the Baseline.............................35
a. Staff Proposal .................................35
b. Party Comments .................................36
2. Establishing Tier Targets.........................36
a. Staff Proposal .................................36
-iv-
Increasing the
Increased use
Reduced
Unlike in
Through better
cause not only sea level rise, heat waves, and extreme weather
events, but also threatens massive economic and lifestyle
disruption from damage to agriculture, water resources, public
health, energy and communication systems, and the natural
ecosystems that define and support communities.2
Nationally, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
estimates that in the absence of emission reductions and
adaptation measures, damage to U.S. coastal property by 2100
will exceed $5 trillion.3
prolonged and extremely cold weather system coupled with overreliance on natural gas for both heating fuel and electric
production.
It
The Energy to Lead, 2015 New York State Energy Plan, p.112.
-5-
Moreover, given
In this Order,
-6-
-7-
The
resource mix and the benefits they will bring should be shared
by all energy consumers regardless of their energy supplier.
While all suppliers are not subject to the Commissions
jurisdiction, the Commission is looking to all suppliers,
including NYPA, LIPA and all others, to participate by
satisfying their requisite share of responsibility.
These energy policies are also reflecting the fact
that New Yorkers are concerned about the natural environment and
when they have the choice and financial opportunity, many New
Yorkers will gladly choose the more environmentally benign
resource.9
The
Under well-designed
Public interest
As the laboratories of
Today
In recent
10
In
Generally, long-
The existing
For that
As the
-11-
Retail customers
Year
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
Percentage
of LSE Total
Load
0.6%
1.1%
2.0%
3.4%
4.8%
11
As
The
The
periodic review and target setting will also take into account
the balance of likely incremental supply with demand.
Based on
Year
Distribution
Utilities &
ESCOs
2017
Direct
Customers
Statewide
Total
LIPA
NYPA
705,595
120,244
139,225
8,936
974,000
2018
1,261,429
214,967
248,900
15,975
1,741,270
2019
2,263,192
385,682
446,563
28,662
3,124,100
2020
3,841,197
654,599
757,928
48,647
5,302,371
2021
5,455,424
929,688
1,076,440
69,090
7,530,642
Baseline
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
Renewable
Resource
MWhs
41,296,000
42,270,000
43,037,270
44,420,100
46,598,371
48,826,642
-15-
Percentage
Renewable
Resources
25.71%
26.32%
26.81%
27.69%
29.08%
30.54%
that came into operation after January 1, 2015, and that meet
the eligibility criteria set forth in Appendix A.
This Order also provides for NYSERDA to conduct
regularly scheduled solicitations for the long-term procurement
of RECs to achieve the following anticipated and minimum results
for the years 2017 through 2021:12
Year
Anticipated
Procurement
Target
(MWh)
Minimum
Procurement
Target
(MWh)*
2017
1,966,449
1,769,804
2018
2,022,004
1,819,804
2019
2,077,560
1,869,804
2020
2,133,116
1,919,804
2021
2,188,671
1,969,804
12
Measures to achieve
-18-
electric generation mix in 2014 was 37% gas, 31% nuclear, 23.5%
hydro, 4.5% coal, 3.5% wind, solar, biomass and biogas, 1.3%
solid waste, and 0.4% oil.
The added
New
Germanys
NYSERDA
$17.48 per MWh for the first two-year tranche designated Tranche
1.
The ZEC price would be adjusted every two years for Tranches
Facilities
-20-
In
Also in
14
15
16
17
On January
18
19
20
21
22
adopted the social cost of carbon, less the RGGI value already
internalized, as a component of externality values that could
not otherwise be calculated.24 The Commission further expanded
the instant proceeding on February 24, 2016 to consider an
expedited program to maintain the viability of certain nuclear
power plants in order to maintain their zero-emissions
characteristics.25
Staff filed its White Paper on January 25, 2016.
One
hundred and five comments were filed on the White Paper and 34
replies.
23
24
25
Over 3,500
Public comments
26
27
Under REV,
A Notice of
Comment Period for the Staff White Paper and Cost Study was
issued April 8, 2016.
28
Final
As noted
It
customers are LSEs in their own right and are subject to the CES
obligation.
b. Non-Jurisdictional Entities.
Staff states that NYPA and LIPA are expected to adopt
renewable and non-emitting energy targets that are proportional
to their load.
The
30
31
EDF
The General
32
The Companies are New York State Electric & Gas Corporation
(NYSEG), Rochester Gas and Electric Corporation (RG&E) and
Central Hudson Gas & Electric Corporation (Central Hudson).
33
NYPA
The
This
Party Comments
The
The Cow
The Independent
HQ states that it is
34
Co-incentives may
The categories of
Because
Tier 2a
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often associated with other more local emissions, and the CES
should provide an opportunity to reduce local emissions in the
concentrated downstate area.
NYC also observes that the multi-tier purchase
requirement could discourage customers who choose to voluntarily
purchase 100% of their supply from new renewables, if those
customers must also purchase a share of RECs and ZECs from Tiers
2 and 3.
HQ
The
From this
In 2014,
35
36
CEC and
The REC
As
The
followed.
MI voices the strongest concerns over the use of RECs.
MI cites Staffs acknowledgement that interstate REC markets
could result in generation owners pursuing the highest revenues
-38-
An
Parties
disagree over the method for setting ACP levels and over the
disposition of ACP proceeds.
CEOC states that ACPs should only be used during
scarcity conditions to guard against price spikes.
Direct
Solar, CEOC and EDF suggest that best practices identified from
other states with REC markets should be used.
Nucor and MI
Others
UIU,
The
Significant risks
Also, if
-41-
Staff draws
heavily on the June 2015 Options Report and party comments that
followed it.
Long-term contracts backed by EDCs provide near-term
benefits for CES compliance, but they carry risks for utility
ratepayers if energy costs or technology costs decline below
forecasted levels.
Although
The
REI and
CEOC states
The Companies
38
39
EIA
The closure
It would result in an
In
However, upon
40
however, and emphasized the urgent need for action based on the
refueling cycles of individual plants and the imminence of
closure decisions.
12-year contracts
Entergy argued
REI, CLP,
Both MI and
They
Staff
produce the ZECs and to sell them to NYSERDA for the duration of
the contract, except during periods when the calculated ZEC
price pursuant to the contract is $0.
This contractual
The price
Both comments
Many
comments opposing the proposal claim the review process was too
truncated for such a long-lived program.
A vast number of comments from individuals members of
the public were submitted either opposing or supporting Staffs
Responsive Proposal.
Those opposing
The Coalition,
AGREE
The
-53-
MI further
CENG also notes that tying the ZEC price to the cost
-55-
National Grid
MI
Joint Utilities and others argue that RGGI values should not be
held constant.
Other parties,
According to
comments from the City of Kingston which points out that because
the mandate will be allocated across all retail customers, it
becomes impossible for customers to pay only for renewable
energy and be 100% renewable.
A number of commenters are dissatisfied with the time
frame in which the Commission is acting on the ZEC program
generally and Staffs Responsive Proposal.
Nucor
MI points to
-59-
on FERC jurisdiction.
New York City states that the proposal lacks a
discussion of the Commissions statutory authority to mandate
that load serving entities enter into contracts with NYSERDA to
purchase ZECs and that the City is unaware of any such
authority.
MI and
others state that NYPA customers should not pay any ZEC cost, as
they have the ability to leave the State and go where there is
no subsidy for the nuclear plants.
42
43
usage scenario.
High and low energy price scenarios, applied to the
base case, result in a difference of 0.65% in bill impacts
directly tied to the CES.
very important.
Conversely, higher
overall net benefits and minimal bill impacts, and REI notes
that the bill impacts were consistent with a comprehensive study
of other states renewable programs conducted in 2014 by the
National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL).
Numerous parties comment that the Study was lacking in
detail and transparency, to the point that it was not adequate
to support a full decision on the issues.44
A subset of these
The
MI
state that the energy price forecasts used in the Study may be
too high, which has the result of lowering forecasts of net
costs from the CES.
Nucor
NYC,
IJU, CEOC, and REI argue that other environmental benefits such
as reductions in criteria pollutants should be counted.
IJU
MI
interrelated but the goals are additive; that is, the carbon
benefits of preserving the nuclear zero-emissions attributes
will not count toward achieving the required number of renewable
resources to satisfy the 50% by 2030 goal.
Pursuant to
PSL 5(2)
The program
Under the
46
47
48
49
See FERC v Elec. Power Supply Assn, 136 S. Ct. 760 (2016); The
Federal Power Act (June 10, 1920, ch. 285, pt. III, 321,
formerly 320, as added Aug. 26, 1935, ch. 687, title II,
213, 49 Stat. 863; renumbered Pub. L. 95617, title II,
212, Nov. 9, 1978, 92 Stat. 3148).
50
51
In deregulated markets
For bilateral
contracts between generators and LSEs, FERC may review the rate
in the contract for reasonableness, although FERC generally
presumes that rates established by good-faith arms-length
negotiation are reasonable.
52
The comments
Parties
The purpose of
The CES
In
To
53
It is certain,
The
The
State Energy Plan determined that New York take its place among
the leaders in this effort.
Of the 29 states
The
54
55
See, e.g., Cal S.B. 350 (adopted February 14, 2015); Oregon
S.B. 1547 (2016); Hawaii H.B. 623 (2015); Vermont H.B. 40
(2015).
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The CES
-72-
Ensuring
The positive
While the
The Commission is
In
-73-
New York
The
The 50 by 30 goal is
As the licenses of
-76-
The 50 by 30
However, in
The carbon
For those
In
57
Staff relies on
the NYISO Gold Book forecast to estimate the total load expected
in 2030.
behind the meter, with the net result that no load is measured
at the meter, whether the customers consumption counts toward
the base forecast depends on whether the generation results in
RECs that are counted toward an LSEs RES compliance obligation.
However, this criterion creates a version of double counting if
the load is being served by renewable resources and the owner of
the renewable attribute wishes to receive RECs for the MWh
production.
In effect, as
The
58
59
61
In
Similarly,
In addition, as
63
-83-
2030 MWhs
176,619,000
(35,627,000)
140,992,000
70,496,000
The Commission
-84-
70,496,000
(41,296,000)
29,200,000
2. Annual Targets
Although the 2030 target of 50% renewable resources is
clear as a percentage goal, the targeted number of MWh that must
be procured by LSEs in any time period is dependent on a number
of factors that will necessarily alter the level of annual
requirements.
In particular, the
64
65
As
Thus, in defining a
It is
67
This action
In
The
68
As
This type of
In this circumstance,
69
The
70
Year
2017
Percentage
of LSE Total
Load
0.6%
2018
1.1%
2019
2.0%
2020
3.4%
2021
4.8%
The
periodic review and target setting will also take into account
the balance of likely incremental supply with demand.
Based on
2017
Distribution
Utilities &
ESCOs
705,595
2018
120,244
139,225
Direct
Customers
8,936
1,261,429
214,967
248,900
15,975
1,741,270
2019
2,263,192
385,682
446,563
28,662
3,124,100
2020
3,841,197
654,599
757,928
48,647
5,302,371
2021
5,455,424
929,688
1,076,440
69,090
7,530,642
Year
LIPA
NYPA
Statewide
Total
974,000
3. LSE Obligation
Achieving the statewide 50 by 30 goal will involve a
variety of elements and resources, including market-based,
regulatory, and non-jurisdictional factors.
The basic
This
Placing
-93-
This
This adoption of
71
72
73
As
the LSE obligation grows, ESCOs will have timed out of their
fixed price obligations, and the RES obligation will provide
both incentives for ESCOs to develop new products, and
opportunities to appeal to voluntary 100% green markets.
Municipal utilities have argued that they should be
exempt from the LSE obligation because they already are supplied
with large amounts of hydropower.
Potential
The
There
They cited
Utilities
IPPNY
argued that allowing utility ownership would reverse a longstanding Commission policy.
sell the power commodity in capacity and energy markets and only
the REC is subject to a long-term contract.
-97-
Proponents of PPAs
The
74
For this it is
In the
Without the
This is
Because there
Because a
Although
exemptions for certain renewable resources or other policydriven procurements have been discussed in various orders, no
clear policy delineations exist at this time.
For instance, a
Whether this
Long-term
procurement will begin by employing the current method of fixedprice REC contracts.
Because of the
much larger procurement levels under the RES, and because the
75
76
For that
Criteria to be
77
The
There is no
The
Unlike other
directing Staff to work with the ISO to make sure as part of the
development of the CES, the ISO is improving the bulk power
market to better signal and value the ability of storage to firm
resources and improve the reliability of the bulk power system
in a manner that is more efficient and secure than transmission
alone.
issue.78
However,
78
The
The
As
Accordingly, for
79
The settlement
The details
the weighted average cost per MWh NYSERDA paid to acquire the
RECs to be offered, plus a reasonable Commission-approved adder
to cover the administrative costs and fees incurred by NYSERDA
to administer Tier 1.
80
During
the 2017 compliance period, NYSERDA will offer the RECs for sale
in the compliance period to each participating LSE with a right
of first refusal to each participating LSE to purchase their
proportional share of the available RECs based on historical
share of load.
-109-
ACP payments
consider the ways this policy can be achieved and will make
recommendations for consideration by the Commission as part of
an implementation order.
By December 1, 2016 for the Year 2017 compliance
period, NYSERDA shall publish on its website a per MWh ACP price
for the 2017 compliance period.
Staff
The alignment or
Accordingly, as part of
The Commission
Banking
implementation order.
risk of non-compliance.
If borrowing is
Rather
Developers
81
under the RES will be more predictable and reliable from the
developers standpoint thereby enabling the commitment of
resources to actively participate in the New York market.
Instead of being budget-bounded, RES procurements will be driven
by a process that is predictable with established dates for
solicitations, fixed targets and clear procurement goals set
forth in both the compliance and procurement schedules.
To that
-113-
Anticipated
Procurement
Direct
Target
Customers
(MWh)*
Year
Distribution
Utilities &
ESCOs
LIPA
NYPA
2017
1,424,555
242,766
281,087
18,041
1,966,449
2018
1,464,801
249,624
289,028
18,551
2,022,004
2019
1,505,047
256,483
296,969
19,061
2,077,560
2020
1,545,293
263,342
304,911
19,570
2,133,116
2021
1,585,539
270,200
312,852
20,080
2,188,671
* Assumes that NYSERDA will be procuring RECs for NYPA and LIPA customer loads. In
the event that NYPA and LIPA do not participate in NYSERDAs procurements, the
procurement targets will be adjusted accordingly by reviewing the NYPA or LIPA
portions shown in this table.
Minimum
Procurement
Direct
Target
Customers
(MWh)*
Year
Distribution
Utilities &
ESCOs
LIPA
NYPA
2017
1,282,099
218,489
252,978
16,237
1,769,804
2018
1,318,321
224,662
260,125
16,696
1,819,804
2019
1,354,542
230,835
267,272
17,155
1,869,804
2020
1,390,764
237,007
274,419
17,613
1,919,804
2021
1,426,985
243,180
281,567
18,072
1,969,804
7. Procurement Guidelines
Staff, in consultation with NYSERDA, will propose
procurement guidelines for consideration by the Commission as
part of the implementation plan.
Diversity of owners;
B. Tier 2
Staff proposes that Tier 2 be subdivided between Tier
2a representing renewable resources that are eligible to compete
in other states procurements, and Tier 2b representing
renewable resources with no opportunities, likely due to
vintage, to sell their resources outside of New York.
The
that even with the low level of New York payments proposed by
Staff under Tier 2b, the clean energy attributes of certain
small hydroelectric facilities in the Tier 2b category would be
at risk because the facilities might fail financially and retire
for the lack of sufficient overall revenues.
adopted.
Staffs proposal for Tier 2b includes facilities that
by definition do not have competitive opportunities outside of
New York because of their size and location.
There is no need
for a Tier 2b except for the concern that the clean energy
attributes of these facilities may be at risk because they may
fail financially and retire for the lack of sufficient overall
revenues due to the failure of markets to fully internalize the
value of their clean energy and fuel diversity benefits.
Rather
Each
Eligible costs,
Staff will
The
The targets
-118-
Under Staffs
The parties in
82
Constellation proposed a
83
have asked for even more time to comment for the sake of broader
participation.
In correspondence with the Secretary about the need to
act expeditiously, Constellation, as the owner of R.E. Ginna and
Nine Mile Station nuclear electric generating facilities,
asserts that it must make critical, multi-million dollar
business investment decisions by September 2016 regarding the
future of its nuclear facilities that have been losing money,
and that those decisions cannot be made in reliance on a mere
proposal.
Constellation also
MI similarly
84
-124-
86
However, it is simply
88
To offset
Since the
Losing the
In the near-
This is an entirely
the Tranche 1 ZEC price be based upon the average April 2017
through March 2019 projected SCC as published by the USIWG in
July 2015 (nominal $42.87/short ton).
Indian
At
A methodology to
89
90
formula is as follows:
Social
Cost of
Carbon
Baseline
RGGI
Effect
ZEC
Price
($/MWh)
Period
Tranche 2
Tranche 3
Tranche 4
Tranche 5
Tranche 6
SCC
$46.79
$50.11
$54.66
$59.54
$64.54
MI
MI also
the value of carbon and the ZEC payment needed to maintain the
operation of the nuclear plants.
NYU Institute for Policy Integrity supports use of the
SCC as the best available estimate of the marginal external
damage caused by carbon dioxide emissions.
-131-
Environmental
It
To the
has led the worlds best scientists and economists to warn that
inefficiencies caused by this externality will be significant
unless action is taken immediately.91
91
See, e.g., IPCC, 2014: R.K. Pachauri and L.A. Meyer, Climate
Change 2014: Synthesis Report, Contribution of Working Groups
I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; IPCC, Geneva,
Switzerland, p. 151; William Nordhaus, The Climate Casino:
Risk, Uncertainty, and Economics for a Warming World (New
Haven: Yale University Press, 2013).
-133-
constant 2007 dollars per metric ton, and reflects the federal
groups estimation that the climate change damage caused by
carbon emissions will increase over time.
Staff correctly
92
93
part of the adjustment in the methodology would capture forwardgoing changes due to RGGI.
Some parties (e.g. MI, the Indicated Joint Utilities)
urge that RGGI values not be held constant in future tranches.
MI states that if RGGI allowances are reduced, the impact of
RGGI on wholesale energy prices might be much higher in the
future.
If for some
Indicated Joint
94
This rate
-136-
The
However,
Tranche 4, which
will cover the April 2023 through March 2025 time period, will
use a marginal emissions rate based on the renewable energy
consumed in the State during calendar year 2022.
If this level
tons per MWh for each 1,000,000 MWh of renewable energy consumed
above 50,000,000 MWh.96
95
See id.
96
This is a
It is
Based
It
97
See Appendix E.
-139-
A forecast of approximately
When the
That
98
99
If the basis
The exact
It
energy and capacity prices may not act in a manner which would
lead to Staffs Responsive Proposal making sense over the full
12 years.
Like MI, Nucor is concerned with the proposed 12-year
duration of the ZEC mechanism and states that the term of the
program should not extend beyond 2020.
National
-142-
Just as it is
Given the
The 12-
-144-
the Ginna and Nine Mile Point facilities, the caps will all be
combined and treated as a single group.
Clearly the mechanism that pays for ZECs on a per unit
output basis provides incentives for the generators to maximize
output.
of performance.
However, the
A performance mechanism
The
of the Ginna and Nine Mile Point facilities all three facilities
will be considered together as a group for these purposes.
If
group perform at or above the new lower cap and obligation, the
original cap and obligation will be restored for the subsequent
tranche.
7. Facility Closure Contingency
Should any of the three facilities (FitzPatrick, Ginna
and Nine Mile Point100) permanently cease producing zeroemissions attributes for any reason whatsoever the overall cap
of 27,618,000 MWh will be reduced by one-third for each facility
that permanently ceases producing zero-emissions attributes.
Therefore, if one of the facilities ceases producing zeroemissions attributes, the overall cap will be reduced to
18,412,000 MWh; if two of the facilities cease producing zeroemissions attributes, the overall cap will be reduced to
9,206,000 MWh.
Nine Mile
facility.
emissions
qualified
producing
customers should not pay any ZEC cost, as they have the ability
to leave the State and go where there is no subsidy for the
nuclear plants.
Further, a mandate to
LIPA also
Similarly,
ClearChoice
Applying
The Commission is
It is fair and
Accordingly, the
101
that ZECs will not be tradable except between NYSERDA and the
Load Serving Entities during this balancing process.
102
Given the
But there
Those additional
Full implementation
The
In conjunction with
The
The CES
In
The
will equal the weighted average cost per MWh NYSERDA paid to
acquire the RECs to be offered, plus a reasonable Commissionapproved adder to cover the administrative costs and fees
incurred by NYSERDA to administer Tier 1.
period, NYSERDA shall publish on its website a per MWh ACP price
for the 2017 compliance period.
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closed.
By the Commission,
(SIGNED)
KATHLEEN H. BURGESS
Secretary
APPENDICES
Appendix A Eligibility of Resources
Appendix B Comment Summaries
Appendix C New York Generation Attribute Tracking System
Appendix D Renewable Energy Standard - Tier 2
Appendix E Zero-Emissions Credits Requirement
Appendix F Implementation Phase
Appendix G SEQRA Findings Statement
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