wasde0624
wasde0624
wasde0624
ISSN: 1554-9089
and Demand Estimates
Office of the Agricultural Marketing Service Economic Research Service
Chief Economist Farm Service Agency Foreign Agricultural Service
WASDE - 649 Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board June 12, 2024
WHEAT: The outlook for 2024/25 U.S. wheat this month is for larger supplies, unchanged
domestic use, increased exports, and lower stocks. Supplies are raised as all wheat
production is forecast at 1,875 million bushels, up 17 million from last month on higher Hard
Red Winter production more than offsetting reductions in Soft Red Winter and White Winter.
The all wheat yield is 49.4 bushels per acre, up 0.5 bushels from last month. The export
forecast is raised 25 million bushels to 800 million, as U.S. wheat prices are expected to be
increasingly competitive with reduced exportable Black Sea supplies. Ending stocks are
lowered slightly to 758 million bushels but still significantly higher than the previous year. The
2024/25 season-average farm price is raised $0.50 per bushel to $6.50 on higher expected
futures and cash prices and tightening global wheat supplies.
The global wheat outlook for 2024/25 is for smaller supplies, consumption, trade, and ending
stocks. Supplies are projected to decrease 5.7 million tons to 1,050.3 million, as significant
reductions in production for Russia, Ukraine, and the EU are only partly offset by larger
global beginning stocks. Production for Russia is lowered 5.0 million tons to 83.0 million, all
for winter wheat, as hot and dry weather lowered yield prospects following May frosts. In
Ukraine, production is lowered 1.5 million tons to 19.5 million based on similar hot and dry
weather conditions. The EU forecast is lowered 1.5 million tons to 130.5 million after
prolonged wet weather in France resulted in fewer growing degree days and lowered the
yield potential.
Global consumption is lowered 4.3 million tons to 798.0 million, mainly on lower feed and
residual use in the EU, Russia, and Ukraine. As global supplies tighten and prices increase,
wheat for feed use is becoming less competitive in some countries. World trade is lowered as
well, down 3.2 million tons to 212.8 million, as lower exports from Russia and Ukraine are
only partly offset by increases for the EU and the United States. Projected 2024/25 global
ending stocks are lowered 1.3 million tons to 252.3 million, primarily on reduced stocks in the
EU.
COARSE GRAINS: The 2024/25 U.S. corn outlook is unchanged relative to last month. The
season average price received by producers remains at $4.40 per bushel. USDA will release
its Acreage report on June 28, which will provide survey-based indications of planted and
harvested area.
Global coarse grain production for 2024/25 is forecast 1.4 million tons lower to 1.511 billion.
This month’s foreign coarse grain outlook is for lower production, slightly higher trade, and
smaller ending stocks relative to last month. Foreign corn production is marginally higher,
with increases for Ukraine and Zambia partially offset by a reduction for Russia. Corn area is
raised for Ukraine but lowered for Russia. Zambia is higher reflecting increases to both area
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and yield. Foreign barley production is cut, reflecting reductions for the EU, India, Argentina,
Russia, and Ukraine that are partly offset by an increase for Australia.
Major global trade changes for 2024/25 include larger corn exports for Ukraine and Tanzania
but a reduction for Russia. Corn imports are raised for Malawi, Zambia, and Mozambique.
For 2023/24, corn exports are raised for South Africa, Russia, the EU, and Uruguay. Barley
exports for 2024/25 are lowered for Argentina, Russia, and the EU but raised for Australia.
Barley imports are raised for China. Foreign corn ending stocks are down relative to last
month, mostly reflecting reductions for South Africa, Russia, and Tanzania. Global corn
ending stocks, at 310.8 million tons, are down 1.5 million.
RICE: The outlook for 2024/25 U.S. rice this month is for slightly reduced supplies,
unchanged domestic use and exports, and slightly lower ending stocks. Supplies are reduced
on lower beginning stocks with 2023/24 exports raised (all long-grain) by 1.0 million cwt to
95.0 million cwt. U.S. rice exports continue to be competitive in the Western Hemisphere
despite the recent harvests of South American exporters. With no changes to 2024/25
domestic use and exports, all of the reduction in supplies lowers ending stocks by an
equivalent amount to 44.5 million cwt, still up 12 percent from last year. The 2024/25 season-
average price for all rice is unchanged at $15.60 per cwt with prices by all classes also
unchanged.
The 2024/25 global outlook this month is for larger supplies, slightly higher consumption and
trade, and increased ending stocks. Supplies are raised 1.9 million tons to 704.4 million,
primarily on higher beginning stocks for India as its 2023/24 crop size is raised on the
government’s Third Advanced Estimates. World 2024/25 consumption is fractionally higher at
526.4 million tons on increases for Kenya and the Philippines more than offsetting a
reduction for Pakistan. Global 2024/25 trade is raised 0.1 million tons to 53.9 million on
higher exports for Pakistan. Projected world ending stocks are raised 1.9 million tons to
178.0 million, primarily on increases for India and the Philippines more than offsetting
reductions for Pakistan and Vietnam.
OILSEEDS: The 2024/25 outlook for U.S. soybeans includes higher beginning and ending
stocks. Higher beginning stocks reflect reduced crush for 2023/24, down 10 million bushels
on lower soybean meal domestic use that is partly offset by higher exports. Soybean oil
domestic use is also lowered for 2023/24 and partly offset by higher exports. With increased
supplies for 2024/25 and no use changes, soybean ending stocks are projected at 455
million bushels, up 10 million. The soybean price is forecast at $11.20 per bushel, unchanged
from last month. Soybean meal and oil prices are also unchanged, at $330 per short ton and
42 cents per pound, respectively.
Global oilseed production for 2024/25 is lowered 1.3 million tons to 685.8 million mainly on
lower rapeseed production for Australia and the European Union. Rapeseed production is
lowered for Australia on lower harvested area while production in the EU is lowered on a
reduced yield for France.
The 2024/25 global soybean outlook includes lower beginning and ending stocks. Higher
beginning stocks for the U.S. are offset by lower stocks for Brazil and Paraguay. Brazil’s
stocks are lowered on a downward revision to 2023/24 production, down 1.0 million to 153.0
million, reflecting further in-country assessments of flooding in Rio Grande do Sul by Brazil’s
state agency Emater. Paraguay’s 2024/25 beginning stocks are lowered on higher exports for
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the prior marketing year. Global soybean ending stocks are lowered 0.6 million tons to 127.9
million.
SUGAR: U.S. sugar supply for 2023/24 is decreased 34,257 short tons, raw value (STRV) to
14.377 million on lower production partially offset by an increase in imports. Beet sugar
production is decreased 50,040 STRV mainly on lower sugar from desugared molasses
forecast by processers and also on slightly higher beet pile shrink and slightly lower recovery.
Imports from Mexico are reduced 31,434 STRV on a reduction in Mexico production of below
99.2 polarity sugar. More than offsetting is an increase in high tier tariff/Other sugar. High-tier
raw and refined sugar are on pace to meet the combined total of 855,000 STRV estimated in
the WASDE. The “Other” component is the raw sugar equivalent of refiners molasses
imported by SMD cane sugar reporters as an input in the production of refined cane sugar.
The molasses is reported by the U.S. Census under the HTS 1703.10.3000 and is consistent
with Additional U.S. Note 10 that distinguishes it as molasses distinct from sugar.
USDA/WAOB estimates the raw sugar-equivalent quantity of product used in refiners’ melt
operations at a monthly average of 3,929 STRV. Extending this monthly average for the
remaining 5 months of 2023/24 and the 12 months of 2024/25 increases High Tier/Other by
47,146 STRV over last month in both years. This inclusion in the supply balance leads to a
correct calculation of the Direct Consumption Imports, a component of deliveries for human
consumption in Use.
U.S. sugar supply for 2024/25 is decreased by 18,959 STRV as lower beginning stocks and
reduced production more than offset an increase in imports. U.S. cane sugar production in
Florida for 2024/25 is decreased 31,848 STRV to 2.004 million on processers’ forecasts in
the SMD. Use is unchanged from last month. Ending stocks are projected at 1.445 million
STRV for a stocks-to-use ratio of 11.51 percent.
Mexico production for 2023/24 is estimated at 4.718 million metric tons (MT), an increase of
69,067 over last month. While sugarcane yield at 62.50 MT/hectare and recovery at 10.20
percent are very close to estimates from last month, late season production is picking up on
increases in area harvested to a total of around 740,000 hectares. The low polarity sugar
share of total production continues its downward trend and is now estimated at 6.00 percent,
down from 6.5 percent last month. Assuming that all projected low polarity sugar is exported
to the U.S. market and constitutes 71 percent of the total exported, exports to the United
States are projected at 398,704 MT. Imports for consumption are increased 21,000 MT to
496,000 on estimates made by CONADESUCA through the end of April. Given that USDA
expects Mexico to import significantly high levels of high-tier tariff sugar to compensate for
relatively low production of 5.189 million MT in 2024/25, Mexico is estimated to carry stocks
over from 2023/24 to reduce imports by 182,159 MT in 2024/25 to 342,655. Following
CONADESUCA’s lead, ending stocks in 2024/25 are increased by 78,277 MT to 978,457 to
cover Use in 2025/26 for 2.5 months before the start of that year’s sugar campaign, up from
2.3 months last month.
LIVESTOCK, POULTRY, AND DAIRY: The total U.S. red meat and poultry production
forecast for 2024 is raised from last month. Beef production is virtually unchanged for the
year with largely offsetting changes in the quarters as lower expected slaughter is largely
offset by higher dressed weights. Pork production is raised for the second quarter on a more
rapid pace of slaughter and slightly higher dressed weights. No changes were made to the
outlying quarters; the Quarterly Hogs and Pigs report, to be released on June 27, will provide
indications of supplies of hogs for slaughter in the outlying quarters as well as into early
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2025. Broiler production is raised on higher bird weights and recent hatchery data. Turkey
production is raised on recent hatchery data. The egg production forecast is lowered based
on recent discoveries of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI) in commercial laying
flocks. For 2025, the red meat and poultry production forecast is raised on higher expected
beef production. The beef production forecast is raised on higher expected placements in the
fourth quarter of 2024 and faster expected pace of marketings during the first half. In
addition, dressed weights are expected to remain relatively high into 2025.
No changes are made to beef trade for 2024 or 2025. Pork exports are raised for 2024 on
recent demand strength. Broiler export forecasts are lowered for 2024 and 2025 based on
recent trade data and expectations of relatively uncompetitive prices vis-à-vis other
exporters. Turkey exports are raised slightly for 2024 based on recent trade data.
The 2024 cattle price forecast is raised from last month on recent prices. Hog prices for the
second and third quarter are lowered from last month on observed prices. Broiler prices are
raised on expected demand strength. Turkey prices are raised on slightly improved demand.
Egg prices are raised based on the most recent prices and lowered production forecasts. For
2025, strength in cattle prices is carried forward into the first quarter of 2025. Higher egg
prices from 2024 are also expected to carry into the first half of 2025. No changes are made
to 2025 price forecasts for hogs, broilers, or turkeys.
Milk production forecasts for both 2024 and 2025 are unchanged from last month with slight
adjustments to cow inventories offset by slower growth in milk per cow.
For 2024 commercial exports are raised on a fat basis, largely due to higher expected
shipments of cheese. Skim-solids basis exports are unchanged. For 2025, exports are raised
on a fat basis and a skim-solids basis based on expectations of continued strong
international demand. Imports for 2024 are raised for both a fat and skim-solids basis,
supported by higher expected butter and milk protein containing products, respectively.
Import forecasts for 2025 are raised as well.
For 2024, butter, cheese, whey, and nonfat dry milk (NDM) price forecasts are raised from
the previous month on recent price strength. With the changes in product prices, Class III
and Class IV prices are raised. The all-milk price forecast is raised to $21.60 per cwt. Strong
demand for dairy products is expected to carry into 2025 and prices are raised for butter,
cheese, and whey. The forecast for NDM is unchanged. As a result of higher product prices,
Class III and Class IV price forecasts are also raised. The 2025 all milk price forecast is
$21.50 per cwt.
COTTON: The 2024/25 U.S. cotton projections show higher beginning and ending stocks
compared to last month. Projected production, domestic use and exports are unchanged.
The 2024/25 season average upland farm price is down 4 cents from the May forecast to 70
cents per pound following a decline in new-crop cotton futures. Ending stocks are 400,000
bales higher at 4.1 million, or 28 percent of use. Revisions to the 2023/24 U.S. cotton
balance sheet include a 500,000-bale reduction in exports to 11.8 million based on the
slowing pace of export shipments, a 50,000-bale increase in domestic use, and a 450,000-
bale gain in ending stocks.
In the global 2024/25 cotton balance sheet, beginning stocks, production and consumption
are increased, with world trade unchanged. As a result, world ending stocks are projected
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480,000 bales higher than in May at 83.5 million. The forecast for production is raised 90,000
bales based solely on higher area and yield in Burma. Consumption is 80,000 bales higher
with increases in Vietnam and Burma offsetting reductions elsewhere. Revisions to the
2023/24 world balance sheet include higher beginning stocks and production, with reduced
trade and consumption, raising ending stocks approximately 500,000 bales.
Approved by the Secretary of Agriculture and by the Chairman of the World Agricultural Outlook
Board, Mark Jekanowski, (202) 720-6030. This report was prepared by the Interagency
Commodity Estimates Committees.
APPROVED BY:
JASON HAFEMEISTER
SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE DESIGNATE
WASDE-649-6
Note: The World Agricultural Outlook Board reviews and approves the World Agricultural Supply and
Demand Estimates (WASDE) report. The Board’s analysts chair the Interagency Commodity
Estimates Committees (ICECs) that prepare the monthly report.
In 2024 the WASDE report will be released on Jul 12, Aug 12, Sep 12,
Oct 11, Nov 8, and Dec 10.
WASDE-649-7
T A B L E OF C O N T E N T S
Page
Highlights............................................................................................................. 1
Interagency Commodity Estimates Committees .................................................... 6
World & U.S. Supply & Use for Grains .................................................................. 8
World & U.S. Supply & Use for Cotton .................................................................. 9
World & U.S. Supply & Use for Oilseeds ............................................................ 10
U.S. Wheat Supply & Use .................................................................................. 11
U.S. Wheat Supply & Use by Class .................................................................... 11
U.S. Feed Grain & Corn Supply & Use ............................................................... 12
U.S. Sorghum, Barley & Oats Supply & Use ....................................................... 13
U.S. Rice Supply & Use ..................................................................................... 14
U.S. Soybeans & Products Supply & Use ........................................................... 15
U.S. Sugar Supply & Use ................................................................................... 16
Mexico Sugar Supply and Use ........................................................................... 16
U.S. Cotton Supply & Use .................................................................................. 17
World Wheat Supply & Use ................................................................................ 18
World Coarse Grains Supply & Use.................................................................... 20
World Corn Supply & Use .................................................................................. 22
World Rice Supply & Use ................................................................................... 24
World Cotton Supply & Use ................................................................................ 26
World Soybean Supply & Use ............................................................................ 28
World Soybean Meal Supply & Use .................................................................... 29
World Soybean Oil Supply & Use ....................................................................... 30
U.S. Quarterly Animal Product Production .......................................................... 31
U.S. Quarterly Prices for Animal Products .......................................................... 31
U.S. Meats Supply and Use ............................................................................... 32
U.S. Egg Supply & Use ...................................................................................... 33
U.S. Milk Supply and Use .................................................................................. 33
U.S. Dairy Prices ............................................................................................... 34
Reliability Tables................................................................................................ 35
Related USDA Reports ...................................................................................... 38
Metric Conversion Factors ................................................................................. 38
Electronic Access and Subscriptions ...................................................................... 40
June 2024
WASDE - 649 - 8
1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Based on export estimate. See individual commodity tables for treatment of
export/import imbalances. 3/ Total use for the United States is equal to domestic consumption only (excludes exports). 4/
Wheat, coarse grains, and milled rice. 5/ Corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes millet
and mixed grains).
June 2024
WASDE - 649 - 9
1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Based on export estimate. See individual commodity tables for treatment of
export/import imbalances. 3/ Total foreign is equal to world minus United States. 4/ Wheat, coarse grains, and milled rice.
5/ Corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains.
1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. 2/ Based on export estimate. 3/ Includes mill use only. 4/ Total Foreign is equal to
world minus United States. See global cotton tables for treatment of export/import imbalances.
June 2024
WASDE - 649 - 10
Foreign 3/ Output
Total
Supply Trade
Total
Use 2/
Ending
Stocks
1/ Aggregate of local marketing years with Brazil and Argentina on an Oct.-Sept. year. 2/ Crush only for oilseeds. 3/ Total
Foreign is equal to World minus United States.
June 2024
WASDE - 649 - 11
Million Acres
Area Planted 88.2 94.6 90.0 * 90.0 *
Area Harvested 78.7 86.5 82.1 * 82.1 *
Bushels
Yield per Harvested Acre 173.4 177.3 181.0 * 181.0 *
Million Bushels
Beginning Stocks 1,377 1,360 2,022 2,022
Production 13,651 15,342 14,860 14,860
Imports 39 25 25 25
Supply, Total 15,066 16,727 16,907 16,907
Feed and Residual 5,486 5,700 5,750 5,750
Food, Seed & Industrial 2/ 6,558 6,855 6,855 6,855
Ethanol & by-products 3/ 5,176 5,450 5,450 5,450
Domestic, Total 12,045 12,555 12,605 12,605
Exports 1,661 2,150 2,200 2,200
Use, Total 13,706 14,705 14,805 14,805
Ending Stocks 1,360 2,022 2,102 2,102
Avg. Farm Price ($/bu) 4/ 6.54 4.65 4.40 4.40
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for corn and sorghum; June 1 for
barley and oats. 2/ For a breakout of FSI corn uses, see Feed Outlook table 5 or access the data on the Web through the
Feed Grains Database at www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/feed-grains-database.aspx. 3/ Corn processed in ethanol plants to
produce ethanol and by-products including distillers' grains, corn gluten feed, corn gluten meal, and corn oil. 4/ Marketing-
year weighted average price received by farmers. * Planted acres reported in the March 28, 2024, "Prospective Plantings."
For corn, harvested acres projected based on historical abandonment and use for silage. The yield projection is based on a
weather-adjusted trend, estimated using the 1988-2023 time period, assuming normal planting progress and summer
growing season weather.
June 2024
WASDE - 649 - 13
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for sorghum; June 1 for barley and
oats. 2/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. * Planted acres reported in the March 28, 2024,
"Prospective Plantings." Harvested area for sorghum, barley and oats based on historical average harvested-to-planted
ratios. For sorghum the projected yield is the median yield for 2004-2023. For barley and oats, projected yields are based on
the 1994-2023 linear trends. Yields shown reflect production rounding.
June 2024
WASDE - 649 - 14
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. 2/ Includes the following quantities of broken kernel rice (type undetermined) not
included in estimates of ending stocks by type (in mil. cwt): 2020/21-2.5; 2021/22-2.0; 22/23- 2.3. 3/ Residual includes unreported use, processing losses, and
estimating errors. Use by type may not add to total rice use because of the difference in brokens between beginning and ending stocks. 4/ Includes rough rice and
milled rice exports. Milled rice exports are converted to an equivalent rough basis. 5/ Expressed as a percent, i.e., the total quantity of whole kernel and broken rice
produced divided by the quantity of rough rice milled. 6/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. 7/ Includes imports. 8/ Exports by type of rice
are estimated. 9/ The California medium/short-grain season-average- farm price (SAFP) largely reflects rice that is marketed through price pools in California. The
pool price is not final until all the rice in the pool is marketed for the crop year. Therefore, SAFP forecasts based on the average of NASS monthly prices and the final
price may differ. 10/ Marketing year beginning October 1. * Planted acres reported in March 28, 2024, "Prospective Plantings." Harvested acres are estimated using
long run harvested-to-planted ratios by rice class. Projected yield is based on by class trend analysis.
June 2024
WASDE - 649 - 15
Million Acres
Area Planted 87.5 83.6 86.5 * 86.5 *
Area Harvested 86.2 82.4 85.6 * 85.6 *
Filler
Bushels
Yield per Harvested Acre 49.6 50.6 52.0 * 52.0 *
Million Bushels
Beginning Stocks 274 264 340 350
Production 4,270 4,165 4,450 4,450
Imports 25 25 15 15
Supply, Total 4,569 4,454 4,805 4,815
Crushings 2,212 2,290 2,425 2,425
Exports 1,992 1,700 1,825 1,825
Seed 75 77 78 78
Residual 27 37 32 32
Use, Total 4,305 4,104 4,360 4,360
Ending Stocks 264 350 445 455
Avg. Farm Price ($/bu) 2/ 14.20 12.55 11.20 11.20
Total
Million Pounds
Beginning Stocks 1,991 1,607 1,677 1,662
Production 4/ 26,227 26,955 28,515 28,515
Imports 376 550 450 450
Supply, Total 28,594 29,112 30,642 30,627
Domestic Disappearance 26,609 27,000 28,300 28,200
Biofuel 3/ 12,491 13,000 14,000 14,000
Food, Feed & other Industrial 14,118 14,000 14,300 14,200
Exports 378 450 500 600
Use, Total 26,987 27,450 28,800 28,800
Ending stocks 1,607 1,662 1,842 1,827
Avg. Price (c/lb) 2/ 65.26 48.00 42.00 42.00
Total
Filler 1 2 3 4
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. Reliability calculations at end of report. 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for
soybeans; October 1 for soybean oil and soybean meal. 2/ Prices: soybeans, marketing year weighted average price received by farmers;
oil, simple average of crude soybean oil, Decatur; meal, simple average of 48 percent protein, Decatur. 3/ Reflects soybean oil used for
biofuels as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration. 4/ Based on an October year crush of 2,290 million bushels for
2023/24 and 2,425 million bushels for 2024/25. *Planted acres are reported in the March 28, 2024 Prospective Plantings report.
Harvested acres are based on historical planted-to-harvested ratios. The projected yield is based on a weather-adjusted trend model and
assumes normal weather.
June 2024
WASDE - 649 - 16
1/ Fiscal years beginning Oct 1. Data and projections correspond to category components from "Sweetener Market Data"
(SMD). 2/ Production projections for 2023/24 and 2024/25 are based on Crop Production and/or processor
projections/industry data and/or sugar ICEC analysis where appropriate. 3/ For 2023/24, WTO raw sugar TRQ shortfall
(44) and for 2024/25 (94). 4/ Composed of sugar under the re-export and polyhydric alcohol programs. 5/ Transfers
accompanying deliveries for sugar-containing products to be exported (SCP) and polyhydric alcohol manufacture (POLY),
and deliveries for livestock feed and ethanol. Total refiner license transfers for SCP and POLY inclusive of WASDE-
reported deliveries: 2022/23 -- 304; estimated 2023/24 -- 291; projected 2024/25 -- NA.
Mexico Sugar Supply and Use and High Fructose Corn Syrup Consumption 1/
Beginning Ending
Stocks Production Imports Domestic 2/ Exports Stocks
Pounds
Yield per Harvested Acre 953 899 842 * 842 *
Million 480 Pound Bales
Beginning Stocks 4.05 4.25 2.40 2.85
Production 14.47 12.07 16.00 16.00
Imports 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01
Supply, Total 18.52 16.32 18.41 18.86
Domestic Use 2.05 1.85 1.90 1.90
Exports, Total 12.77 11.80 13.00 13.00
Use, Total 14.82 13.65 14.90 14.90
Unaccounted 2/ -0.55 -0.18 -0.20 -0.15
Ending Stocks 4.25 2.85 3.70 4.10
Avg. Farm Price 3/ 84.8 76.0 74.0 70.0
Total
Note: Reliability calculations at end of report. 1/ Upland and extra-long staple; marketing year beginning August 1. Totals
may not add due to rounding. 2/ Reflects the difference between the previous season's supply less total use and ending
stocks. 3/ Cents per pound for upland cotton. *Planted area as reported in March 28, 2024 Prospective Plantings. Harvested
area based on 10-year average abandonment by region, with the Southwest adjusted to reflect moisture conditions. Yield
based on 5-year average yields by region.
June 2024
WASDE - 649 - 18
Total Foreign May 78.08 103.05 44.94 114.96 31.98 -0.18 79.31
Jun 78.12 103.14 44.95 115.04 31.95 -0.18 79.39
Major Exporters 4/ May 26.56 59.83 2.22 34.43 27.77 -0.18 26.59
Jun 26.68 59.83 2.22 34.42 27.77 -0.18 26.72
Central Asia 5/ May 3.24 5.19 0.03 4.10 1.31 0.00 3.05
Jun 3.46 5.19 0.03 4.09 1.36 0.00 3.23
Afr. Fr. Zone 6/ May 1.33 5.12 3/ 0.10 4.90 0.00 1.45
Jun 1.33 5.12 3/ 0.10 4.90 0.00 1.45
S. Hemis. 7/ May 10.12 24.05 0.15 4.36 19.13 -0.18 11.00
Jun 10.06 24.05 0.15 4.36 19.18 -0.18 10.89
Australia May 3.95 5.00 3/ 0.01 5.30 -0.18 3.81
Jun 4.15 5.00 3/ 0.01 5.40 -0.18 3.91
filler filler filler filler filler filler filler
2024/25 Proj.
World 2/ May 111.78 422.26 176.40 345.87 401.74 180.20 128.50
Jun 111.07 422.26 176.40 345.78 401.63 180.20 127.90
World Less China May 75.40 401.56 67.40 242.87 274.94 180.10 89.32
Jun 74.69 401.56 67.40 242.78 274.83 180.10 88.72
United States May 9.26 121.11 0.41 66.00 68.99 49.67 12.11
Jun 9.53 121.11 0.41 66.00 68.99 49.67 12.38
Total Foreign May 102.53 301.15 175.99 279.88 332.75 130.53 116.39
Jun 101.54 301.15 175.99 279.79 332.64 130.53 115.51
Major Exporters 3/ May 58.37 233.80 5.68 97.75 109.78 120.10 67.97
Jun 57.37 233.80 5.68 97.60 109.63 120.10 67.12
Argentina May 26.15 51.00 5.50 40.00 47.60 5.50 29.55
Jun 26.15 51.00 5.50 40.00 47.60 5.50 29.55
Brazil May 31.42 169.00 0.15 54.00 58.10 105.00 37.47
Jun 30.57 169.00 0.15 54.00 58.10 105.00 36.62
Paraguay May 0.54 10.70 0.02 3.65 3.83 6.80 0.63
Jun 0.39 10.70 0.02 3.50 3.68 6.80 0.63
Major Importers 4/ May 39.28 24.62 143.36 132.35 164.28 0.42 42.56
Jun 39.28 24.62 143.36 132.41 164.32 0.42 42.52
China May 36.38 20.70 109.00 103.00 126.80 0.10 39.18
Jun 36.38 20.70 109.00 103.00 126.80 0.10 39.18
European Union May 1.46 3.05 14.30 15.20 17.02 0.30 1.49
Jun 1.46 3.05 14.30 15.20 17.02 0.30 1.49
Southeast Asia 5/ May 0.95 0.46 10.01 5.00 10.16 0.01 1.24
Jun 0.95 0.46 10.01 5.00 10.16 0.01 1.24
Mexico May 0.26 0.16 6.70 6.65 6.71 0.00 0.41
Jun 0.26 0.16 6.70 6.65 6.71 0.00 0.41
1/ Data based on local marketing years except Argentina and Brazil which are adjusted to an October-September year. 2/ World imports
and exports may not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between reported exports and imports.
Therefore, world supply may not equal world use. 3/ Includes Uruguay 4/ Includes Japan 5/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Vietnam,
and Thailand. Totals may not add due to rounding.
June 2024
WASDE - 649 - 29
2024/25 Proj.
World 2/ May 14.19 271.31 70.94 265.64 74.51 16.29
Jun 14.28 271.24 70.94 265.65 74.60 16.21
World Less China May 13.15 189.74 70.89 185.19 73.51 15.07
Jun 13.23 189.67 70.89 185.20 73.60 14.99
United States May 0.36 51.78 0.54 36.58 15.69 0.41
Jun 0.36 51.78 0.54 36.40 15.88 0.41
Total Foreign May 13.83 219.54 70.39 229.05 58.82 15.88
Jun 13.91 219.47 70.39 229.25 58.72 15.80
Major Exporters 3/ May 5.57 81.58 0.07 32.38 49.00 5.85
Jun 5.56 81.58 0.07 32.38 49.00 5.84
Argentina May 2.14 31.20 0.01 3.55 27.30 2.50
Jun 2.14 31.20 0.01 3.55 27.30 2.50
Brazil May 3.04 41.58 0.01 21.20 20.50 2.93
Jun 3.04 41.58 0.01 21.20 20.50 2.93
India May 0.40 8.80 0.05 7.63 1.20 0.42
Jun 0.39 8.80 0.05 7.63 1.20 0.41
Major Importers 4/ May 2.17 23.04 39.70 61.19 1.19 2.53
Jun 2.18 23.09 39.70 61.32 1.19 2.45
European Union May 0.61 12.01 16.20 27.24 0.90 0.68
Jun 0.61 12.01 16.20 27.24 0.90 0.68
Mexico May 0.19 5.26 2.20 7.40 0.00 0.24
Jun 0.19 5.26 2.20 7.43 0.00 0.22
Southeast Asia 5/ May 1.30 3.90 19.55 22.94 0.29 1.53
Jun 1.30 3.90 19.55 22.99 0.29 1.48
China May 1.05 81.58 0.05 80.45 1.00 1.22
Jun 1.05 81.58 0.05 80.45 1.00 1.22
1/ Data based on local marketing years except for Argentina and Brazil which are adjusted to an October-September year. 2/ World
imports and exports may not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between reported exports and imports.
Therefore, world supply may not equal world use. 3/ Argentina, Brazil, and India. 4/ Includes Japan. 5/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines,
Vietnam, and Thailand. Totals may not add due to rounding.
June 2024
WASDE - 649 - 30
2024/25 Proj.
World 2/ May 5.31 65.39 11.14 64.54 12.01 5.28
Jun 5.28 65.37 11.24 64.60 12.05 5.25
World Less China May 4.29 46.93 10.74 45.74 11.91 4.31
Jun 4.26 46.92 10.84 45.80 11.95 4.27
United States May 0.76 12.93 0.20 12.84 0.23 0.84
Jun 0.75 12.93 0.20 12.79 0.27 0.83
Total Foreign May 4.54 52.46 10.93 51.71 11.78 4.45
Jun 4.53 52.44 11.04 51.81 11.77 4.42
Major Exporters 3/ May 1.53 22.28 0.49 14.27 8.56 1.48
Jun 1.53 22.25 0.57 14.34 8.53 1.48
Argentina May 0.28 7.90 0.00 2.36 5.50 0.32
Jun 0.28 7.90 0.00 2.36 5.50 0.32
Brazil May 0.58 10.80 0.04 9.43 1.40 0.60
Jun 0.58 10.80 0.04 9.43 1.40 0.60
European Union May 0.64 2.89 0.45 2.41 1.05 0.52
Jun 0.64 2.89 0.53 2.48 1.05 0.52
Major Importers 4/ May 1.74 21.87 5.80 27.64 0.21 1.56
Jun 1.72 21.87 5.80 27.64 0.21 1.54
China May 1.02 18.46 0.40 18.80 0.10 0.97
Jun 1.02 18.46 0.40 18.80 0.10 0.97
India May 0.39 1.98 3.50 5.60 0.02 0.26
Jun 0.38 1.98 3.50 5.60 0.02 0.25
North Africa 5/ May 0.27 1.04 1.25 2.20 0.08 0.29
Jun 0.27 1.04 1.25 2.20 0.08 0.29
1/ Data based on local marketing years except for Argentina and Brazil which are adjusted to an October-September year. 2/ World
imports and exports may not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between reported exports and imports.
Therefore, world supply may not equal world use. 3/ Includes Paraguay 4/ Includes Bangladesh 5/ Algeria, Egypt, Morocco, and
Tunisia. Totals may not add due to rounding.
June 2024
WASDE - 649 - 31
Year and Quarter Beef Pork Red Meat Broiler Turkey Total Red Meat Egg Milk
2/ Poultry 3/ & Poultry
Million Pounds Mil doz Bil lbs
2023 II 6,712 6,593 13,351 11,546 1,410 13,106 26,457 2,272 58.0
III 6,622 6,490 13,153 11,681 1,355 13,195 26,348 2,311 56.0
IV 6,810 7,148 14,003 11,611 1,343 13,090 27,094 2,352 55.5
Annual 26,967 27,302 54,448 46,387 5,457 52,431 106,880 9,142 226.4
2024 I 6,560 7,094 13,699 11,430 1,269 12,834 26,533 2,266 57.0
II* 6,775 6,730 13,550 11,735 1,320 13,200 26,750 2,210 57.8
III* 6,640 6,820 13,505 11,900 1,320 13,365 26,870 2,270 56.4
IV* 6,615 7,460 14,122 11,800 1,325 13,265 27,387 2,340 56.1
Annual
May Proj. 26,595 28,064 54,842 46,805 5,214 52,584 107,426 9,230 227.3
Jun Proj. 26,590 28,104 54,875 46,865 5,234 52,664 107,539 9,086 227.3
2025 I* 6,410 7,180 13,635 11,800 1,300 13,245 26,880 2,355 57.2
Annual
May Proj. 25,120 28,400 53,698 47,550 5,320 53,450 107,148 9,480 229.3
Jun Proj. 25,365 28,400 53,943 47,550 5,320 53,450 107,393 9,470 229.3
* Projection. 1/ Commercial production for red meats; federally inspected for poultry meats. 2/ Beef, pork, veal and lamb & mutton. 3/
Broilers, turkeys and mature chicken.
Pork 2023 504 27,318 1,143 28,965 6,818 471 21,676 50.2
2024 Proj. May 471 28,079 1,203 29,754 7,262 445 22,047 50.8
Jun 471 28,119 1,213 29,804 7,362 460 21,982 50.6
2025 Proj. May 445 28,415 1,230 30,090 7,615 450 22,025 50.4
Jun 460Filler
28,415
Filler
1,230Filler
30,105
Filler
7,615Filler
495Filler
21,995
Filler
50.3
Filler
Total Red 2023 1,256 54,540 5,154 60,950 9,861 1,130 49,959 109.5
Meat 5/ 2024 Proj. May 1,130 54,934 5,693 61,758 10,084 1,052 50,622 110.4
Jun 1,130 54,966 5,706 61,803 10,184 1,067 50,552 110.3
2025 Proj. May 1,052 53,790 5,790 60,631 10,120 1,041 49,471 107.3
Jun 1,067Filler
54,035
Filler
5,790Filler
60,891
Filler
10,120Filler
1,086
Filler
49,686
Filler
107.7
Filler
Broiler 2023 892 45,890 131 46,914 7,265 835 38,814 99.5
2024 Proj. May 835 46,304 178 47,317 6,889 800 39,628 101.0
Jun 835 46,364 165 47,364 6,734 790 39,840 101.6
2025 Proj. May 800 47,041 200 48,041 7,025 800 40,216 101.8
Jun 790Filler
47,041
Filler
180Filler
48,011
Filler
6,875Filler
800Filler
40,336
Filler
102.1
Filler
Total 2023 1,087 51,934 178 53,200 7,774 1,085 44,341 115.9
Poultry 6/ 2024 Proj. May 1,085 52,083 211 53,379 7,427 1,006 44,946 116.8
Jun 1,085 52,162 200 53,447 7,277 1,006 45,164 117.4
2025 Proj. May 1,006 52,941 246 54,193 7,568 1,006 45,619 117.8
Jun 1,006Filler
52,941
Filler
226Filler
54,173
Filler
7,418Filler
1,016
Filler
45,739
Filler
118.1
Filler
Red Meat & 2023 2,343 106,474 5,332 114,149 17,635 2,215 94,300 225.4
Poultry 2024 Proj. May 2,215 107,017 5,905 115,137 17,512 2,058 95,567 227.2
Jun 2,215 107,128 5,907 115,250 17,462 2,073 95,716 227.6
2025 Proj. May 2,058 106,730 6,036 114,824 17,688 2,047 95,089 225.1
Jun 2,073 106,975 6,016 115,064 17,538 2,102 95,424 225.8
1/ Total including farm production for red meats and, for poultry, federally inspected plus non-federally inspected, less
condemnations. 2/ Pounds, retail-weight basis for red meat and broilers; certified ready-to-cook weight for turkey. 3/
Population source: Dept. of Commerce. 4/ Carcass weight for red meats and certified ready-to-cook weight for poultry. 5/
Beef, pork, veal, lamb and mutton. 6/ Broilers, turkeys and mature chicken.
June 2024
WASDE - 649 - 33
2022 2023 2024 Proj. 2024 Proj. 2025 Proj. 2025 Proj.
Commodity
May Jun May Jun
Eggs Million Dozen
Supply
Beginning Stocks 19.1 18.8 23.1 23.1 23.0 22.5
Production 9,116.6 9,142.4 9,229.9 9,085.7 9,480.0 9,470.0
Imports 26.0 27.6 23.3 27.3 24.0 30.0
Total Supply 9,161.7 9,188.7 9,276.3 9,136.1 9,527.0 9,522.5
Use
Exports 226.5 250.4 260.5 237.5 269.0 264.0
Hatching Use 1,117.3 1,112.5 1,132.2 1,138.4 1,135.0 1,135.0
Ending Stocks 18.8 23.1 23.0 22.5 23.0 23.0
Disappearance
Total 7,799.1 7,802.7 7,860.6 7,737.7 8,100.0 8,100.5
Per Capita (number) 280.5 279.3 279.9 275.6 286.5 286.6
Total
2022 2023 2024 Proj. 2024 Proj. 2025 Proj. 2025 Proj.
Commodity
May Jun May Jun
Milk Billion Pounds
Production 226.4 226.4 227.3 227.3 229.3 229.3
Farm Use 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Fat Basis Supply
Beginning Stocks 14.3 14.4 13.8 13.8 13.2 13.5
Marketings 225.4 225.4 226.3 226.3 228.3 228.3
Imports 7.1 7.4 8.2 8.6 8.1 8.2
Total Supply 246.8 247.1 248.3 248.7 249.6 250.0
Fat Basis Use
Exports 13.4 10.6 11.0 11.2 11.2 11.5
Ending Stocks 14.4 13.8 13.2 13.5 13.0 13.1
Domestic Use 219.1 222.8 224.2 223.9 225.3 225.3
Skim-solid Basis Supply
Beginning Stocks 11.1 11.7 9.9 9.9 9.7 10.0
Marketings 225.4 225.4 226.3 226.3 228.3 228.3
Imports 6.7 6.3 7.0 7.3 6.9 7.0
Total Supply 243.2 243.3 243.2 243.5 244.9 245.3
Skim-solid Basis Use
Exports 52.9 49.9 49.3 49.3 50.2 50.5
Ending Stocks 11.7 9.9 9.7 10.0 9.5 9.5
Domestic Use 178.7 183.5 184.2 184.2 185.2 185.4
Total
2022 2023 2024 Proj. 2024 Proj. 2025 Proj. 2025 Proj.
Commodity
May Jun May Jun
Product Prices 1/ Dollars Per Pound
Cheese 2.1122 1.7593 1.695 1.790 1.665 1.795
Butter 2.8665 2.6170 2.935 2.970 2.915 2.945
Nonfat Dry Milk 1.6851 1.1856 1.160 1.175 1.140 1.140
Dry Whey
Filler
0.6057 0.3618 0.400 0.435 0.375 0.400
Dollars Per Cwt
Milk Prices 2/
Class III 21.96 17.02 16.75 17.90 16.30 17.70
Class IV 24.47 19.12 20.25 20.50 19.95 20.10
All Milk 3/ 25.34 20.34 21.20 21.60 20.90 21.50
All prices are January-December averages. 1/ Simple average of monthly prices calculated by AMS from weekly average
dairy product prices for class price computations. 2/ Annual Class III and Class IV prices are the simple averages of monthly
minimum Federal order milk prices paid by regulated plants for milk used in the respective classes. All milk price is the
simple average of monthly prices received by farmers for milk at average test. 3/ Does not reflect any deductions from
producers as authorized by legislation.
June 2024
WASDE - 649 - 35
The WASDE report incorporates information from a number of statistical reports published by USDA and
other government agencies. In turn, the WASDE report provides a framework for more detailed reports
issued by USDA’s Economic Research Service and Foreign Agricultural Service. For more information on
how the WASDE report is prepared, go to: http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde.
The Foreign Agricultural Service publishes Production, Supply, and Demand Online, a comprehensive
database of supply and demand balances by commodity for 190 countries and regions at
https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html. Data for grains, oilseeds, and cotton are updated
monthly and data for other commodities are updated less frequently.
Preliminary foreign production assessments and satellite imagery analysis used to prepare the WASDE
report are provided by the International Production Assessment Division (IPAD) of the Foreign Agricultural
Service. IPAD is located at https://ipad.fas.usda.gov/.
The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs and
activities on the basis of race, color, national origin, gender, religion, age, disability, political
beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital or family status. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all
programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program
information (Braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact USDA’s TARGET Center at 202-
720-2600 (voice and TDD).
To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 326-W,
Whitten Building, 1400 Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, D.C. 20250-9410 or call (202)
720-5964 (voice or TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer.