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Civil Aircraft Forecast

ARCHIVED REPORT
For data and forecasts on current programs please visit
www.forecastinternational.com or call +1 203.426.0800

Airbus Industrie A310 - Archived 4/2004

10 Year Unit Production Forecast


Outlook 2004 - 2013
Units

 None sold in last five years, no further production forecast


 Five-unit Iraqi Airways order still on books but suspect
NO PRODUCTION FORECAST
 Some demand for used A310s for MRTT and cargo conversions
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Years

Orientation
Description. Twin-engine, medium/long-range, wide- Status. None produced since 2000.
body commercial transport.
Total Produced. Deliveries totaled 255. Total orders
Sponsors. The governments of France, Great Britain, stated at 260 but includes five for Iraqi Airways which
Germany, and Spain. may well have lapsed.
Contractors. GIE Airbus Industrie, Blagnac Application. Medium/long-range, medium- and high-
(Toulouse), France. This is a consortium consisting of density routes, scheduled passenger transportation.
Aerospatiale (37.9 percent), Deutsche Airbus (37.9
Price Range. Approximately $88 million in 2004 U.S.
percent), British Aerospace (20 percent), and CASA
dollars.
(4.2 percent). Fokker of the Netherlands and Belairbus
of Belgium are associate members of the consortium.

Contractors

Technical Data
(A310-200/300)
Design Features. Low-swept-wing design derived from Forward-Facing Crew Cockpit (FFCC) utilizing digital
A300 but incorporates several advanced systems for avionics and cathode ray tube displays gives the flight
improved reliability and cost/weight reductions. A crew operational and systems performance parameters.

April 2003
Airbus Industrie A310, Page 2 Civil Aircraft Forecast

Metric US
Dimensions
Length overall 46.66 m 153.09 ft
Height overall 15.80 m 51.84 ft
Wingspan 43.90 m 144.03 ft
Cabin width 5.28 m 17.33 ft
Cabin length 33.24 m 109.06 ft

Weight
Max operating, empty 76,803/80,451 kg 169,320/177,362 lb
Max payload 34,210/34,014 kg 75,420/74,987 lb
Max take-off weight 142,318/164,000 kg 313,100/361,554 lb

Capacities
Max fuel(a) 62,200/68,300 liters 16,432/18,043 gal
Cargo volume 102.1 cu m 3,606 cu ft

Performance
Range, 218 passengers 7,172/9,933 km 3,870/5,360 nm
L/R cruise speed(b) 828 km/h 447 kt

Propulsion
A310-200 (2) GE Aircraft Engines CF6-80A two-spool, high-bypass turbofan engines. Ratings:
CF6-80A1, 209.01 kN (46,990 lbst); -80A3, 217.81 kN (48,970 lbst) each.
(2) Pratt & Whitney JT9D-7R4 two-spool, high-bypass turbofan engines. Ratings:
JT9D-7R4D1, 213.50 kN (48,000 lbst); -7R4E1, 222.4 kN (50,000 lbst) each.
A310-300 (2) GE CF6-80C2 turbofans, rated 249.08-275.77 kN (56,000-62,000 lbst) each.
(2) Pratt & Whitney PW4152/4156 turbofans, rated 231.3-249.11 kN (52,000-56,000
lbst) each.

Seating
Standard arrangement is 210-265 seats at six-, seven-, or eight-abreast. Nine-abreast seating accommodates 280
passengers (76 cm/30 in). A310-300ER is also configured for 179 passengers when flying maximum range.
(a)
With tail section fuel.
(b)
At 11,275 m (36,994 ft).

AIRBUS A310
Source: Airbus

April 2003
Civil Aircraft Forecast Airbus Industrie A310, Page 3

Variants/Upgrades
A310-200. Initial variant also offered in convertible deliveries in late 1985. More than 3,090 pounds
and freighter versions. Max TOW and range increased trimmed from basic airframe to permit higher take-off
to 313,055 pounds and 3,870 nautical miles, weight, longer range. The use of carbon brakes yielded
respectively. a savings of 1,100 pounds; 660 pounds cut by use of
improved aluminum alloys in upper wing skins and
A310-300. Extended-range variant with strengthened
stringers; 330 pounds saved by use of carbon fiber-
wing areas, landing gear, and drag reducing wing-tip
reinforced plastic tail fin.
fences. Range with 218 passengers is 9,933 kilometers
(5,360 nm) with Pratt & Whitney PW4156 turbofans.
MTOW is 164,000 kilograms (361,560 lb). First

Program Review
Background. The A310 is a direct spin-off from the The A310 represents a scaling down of its A300
A300. The proposal was shelved in 1976, a time when stablemate. The fuselage was shortened by 13 frames
the A300 was not selling well. However, expanding the and typically seats about 210 in a mixed class. The
range of the Airbus family continued to generate major design challenge involved an all-new wing,
interest, stimulated to a large extent by the desire of constructed at the BAE Systems Hatfield facility.
A300 operators to have a longer-range aircraft.
The first two prototypes flew in 1982, powered by
In 1978 Airbus began taking provisional A310 orders JT9D-7R4 engines. The third was powered by the GE
prior to a launch decision. Lufthansa led with orders CF6-80A3. French and German certification was
and options for 25 (later expanded to 50), Swissair awarded in March 1983, with UK certification in
came in initially for six, and Air France promised to buy January 1984. The first aircraft were delivered in
at least four. Airbus launched the A310 that same year. March 1983. French and German authorities awarded
JAR Category IIIA certification in September 1983.

Funding
The A310 was funded by Airbus members’ governments through direct subsidy and/or repayable loans equal to 100
percent of total development cost. Development cost in 1993 dollars was an estimated $2 billion.

Timetable
Month Year Major Development
Early 1970s A310 originally proposed as A300B10
Sep 1976 Project shelved
Oct 1976 Project restarted
Jul 1978 German and French governments authorize program go-ahead
Jan 1979 UK rejoins Airbus Industrie
Early 1979 Formal contracts, official launch decision
Apr 1982 Prototype first flight
Mar 1983 A310 certificated
Apr 1983 Service entry
Apr 1983 Formal A310-300 launch order
Dec 1985 A310-300 certification, initial deliveries
Late 1986 PW4000-powered A310-300 flies
Mid 1987 Certification of PW4000-powered A310-300
2000 Final deliveries

April 2003
Airbus Industrie A310, Page 4 Civil Aircraft Forecast

Worldwide Distribution
See Airline Inventories appendix.

Forecast Rationale
The A310 logged its last sale six years ago and none has Used A310s are enjoying some demand for conversion
been delivered in nearly four years. Airbus still carries a to all-cargo configurations and for use as military Multi-
five-unit Iraqi Airways order on its books but the status Role Tanker/Transport (MRTT) platforms, but these
of that sale is suspect, to say the least. We are not projects will not result in a production re-start.
forecasting additional production for that or any other
Consequently, no additional A310s are forecast.
customer.

Ten-Year Outlook
ESTIMATED CALENDAR YEAR PRODUCTION
High Confidence Good Confidence Speculative
Level Level
Total
Aircraft (Engine) thru 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 04-13
AIRBUS (Consortium)
A310-200 CF6-80A1 56 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
A310-200 JT9D-7R4 37 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
A310-300 CF6-80C2 95 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
A310-300 JT9D-7R4 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
A310-300 PW4152/4156 54 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total Production 256 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

April 2003

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