Probability and Statistics 2019-2020 (Se2)

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HCMC UNIVERSITY OF FINAL EXAMINATION

TECHNOLOGY AND EDUCATION SEMESTER 2 - ACADEMIC YEAR 2019-2020


Faculty of Applied Sciences Course name: Mathematical Statistics for Engineers
------------------- Course ID: MATH132901E
Duration: 90 minutes. Number of pages: 02 pages
Open book.

Question 1. (1.0/10) Three plants manufacture hard drives and ship them to a warehouse for
distribution. Plant I produces 54% of the warehouse’s inventory with a 4% defect rate. Plant II
produces 35% of the warehouse’s inventory with an 8% defect rate. Plant III produces the remain-
der of the warehouse’s inventory with a 12% defect rate.
a. What is the probability that a randomly selected hard drive is defective?
b. Suppose a hard drive is defective. What is the probability that it came from Plant II?
Question 2. (1.0/10) A large lot of tires contains 5% defectives. 4 tires are to be chosen for a
car.
a. Find the probability that you find at most 2 defective tires before 4 good ones.
b. Find the mean and variance of the number of defective tires you find before finding 4 good tires.
Question 3. (1.0/10) A shipment of 25 integrated circuits (ICs) arrives at an electronics man-
ufacturing site. The site manager will randomly select 4 ICs and test them to see whether they
are faulty. Unknown to the site manager, 5 of these 25 ICs are faulty. Suppose the shipment will
be accepted if and only if at most one of the inspected ICs is faulty. What is the probability this
shipment of 25 ICs will be accepted?
Question 4. (1.5/10) Based on extensive data from an urban freeway near Toronto, Canada,
“it is assumed that free speeds can best be represented by a normal distribution”. The mean and
standard deviation reported in the article were 118 km/h and 13.1 km/h, respectively.
a. The posted speed limit was 100 km/h. What percentage of vehicles was traveling at speeds
exceeding this posted limit?
b. If five vehicles are randomly and independently selected, what is the probability that at least
one is not exceeding the posted speed limit?
Question 5. (2.0/10)
a. A randomly selected sample of n = 16 students at a university is asked, “How much did you
spend for textbooks this semester?” The responses, in dollars, are

380, 290, 310, 200, 175, 450, 300, 350, 250, 150, 200, 320, 370, 404, 250, 420

Calculate a 95% confidence interval for the population mean.


b. A soft drink manufacturer wants to determine if one of its fill operations is working properly.
A random sample of twenty "1 liter" bottles of the same soft drink showed an average file of 0.996
liters with a standard deviation of 0.008 liters. At a 1% level of significance, is it true that the
average fill is under 1 liter? Show your working and reasoning.
Question 6. (2.5/10)
a. A study was conducted to determine if office background noise at an office decreases productivity.
Fifteen office workers were studied at work for one week both before and after the wearing of
noise-reduction head gear. Their productivity on a 100 point scale as determined by the company

Document ID: BM1/QT-PĐBCL-RĐTV-E Page: 1/2


conducting the study were recorded as follow:

Subject 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Before 91 88 95 81 86 79 84 79 87 86 75 87 93 85 77
After 92 90 94 83 84 89 85 78 87 91 74 89 86 89 78

At a 5% level of significance is there evidence that wearing the noise reduction head gear increases
worker productivity?
b. “Would you marry a person from a lower social class than your own?” Researchers asked this
question of a sample of 685 never-married students at two historically colleges in the South. Of the
349 men in the sample, 291 said “Yes.” Among the 336 women, 217 said “Yes.” At a 2% level of
significance is there reason to think that different proportions of men and women in this student
population would be willing to marry beneath their class?
Question 7. (1.0/10) Do heavier people burn more energy? We have data on the lean body mass
and resting metabolic rate for 12 women who are subjects in a study of dieting. Lean body mass,
given in kilograms, is a person’s weight leaving out all fat. Metabolic rate, in calories burned per
24 hours, is the rate at which the body consumes energy.
Mass 36.1 54.6 48.5 42.0 50.6 42.0 40.3 33.1 42.4 34.5 51.1 41.2
Rate 995 1425 1396 1418 1502 1256 1189 913 1124 1052 1347 1204
Determine the correlation coefficient for the above set of results and the equation of least-squares
regression line for predicting metabolic rate from body mass. Another woman has lean body mass
45 kilograms. What is her predicted metabolic rate?

Note: Proctors are not allowed to give any unauthorised explaination.

Learning outcome mapping Assessed in


[LO 2.1.1]: Compute mean, median, mode, standard deviation, vari-
Question 1
ance, and know their function
[LO 2.4.3; 2.4.4]: Become familiar with various graphical represen-
Question 2
tations of data and learn to recognize misleading graphs.
[LO 2.1.1; 2.1.2; 2.4.3; 2.4.4]: Use binomial, normal, Poisson distri-
Questions 3,4
butions, Hyper geometric distribution and their relationships.
[LO 2.1.1, 2.1.2]: Calculate the confidence intervals for proportion,
Question 5
mean, variance based on a sample collected.
[LO 2.1.3, 2.1.4]: Use test procedures to solve and develop profi-
Question 6
ciency in its applications.
[LO 2.4.4]: Use linear regression model. Question 7

July 16th , 2020


Approved by program chair

Nguyễn Văn Toản

Document ID: BM1/QT-PĐBCL-RĐTV-E Page: 2/2

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