Cambridge International AS & A Level: Mathematics 9709/63

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Cambridge International AS & A Level
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MATHEMATICS 9709/63
Paper 6 Probability & Statistics 2 May/June 2024
1 hour 15 minutes
You must answer on the question paper.
You will need: List of formulae (MF19)
INSTRUCTIONS
● Answer all questions.
● Use a black or dark blue pen. You may use an HB pencil for any diagrams or graphs.
● Write your name, centre number and candidate number in the boxes at the top of the page.
● Write your answer to each question in the space provided.
● Do not use an erasable pen or correction fluid.
● Do not write on any bar codes.
● If additional space is needed, you should use the lined page at the end of this booklet; the question
number or numbers must be clearly shown.
● You should use a calculator where appropriate.
● You must show all necessary working clearly; no marks will be given for unsupported answers from a
calculator.
● Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place for angles in
degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question.
INFORMATION
● The total mark for this paper is 50.
● The number of marks for each question or part question is shown in brackets [ ].
This document has 12 pages.
DC (PQ) 330132/2
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1 The random variable X has the distribution B (4000, 0.001) .
(a) Use a suitable approximating distribution to find P (2 G X 1 5) . [3]
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(b) Justify your approximating distribution in this case. [1]

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2 The widths, w cm, of a random sample of 150 leaves of a certain kind were measured. The sample mean
of w was found to be 3.12 cm.
Using this sample, an approximate 95% confidence interval for the population mean of the widths in
centimetres was found to be [3.01, 3.23].
(a) Calculate an estimate of the population standard deviation. [3]
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(b) Explain whether it was necessary to use the Central Limit theorem in your answer to part (a). [1]
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3 The masses in kilograms of large and small bags of cement have the independent distributions
N(50, 2.4) and N(26, 1.8) respectively.
Find the probability that the total mass of 5 randomly chosen large bags of cement is greater than the
total mass of 10 randomly chosen small bags of cement. [5]
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4 In this question you should not use an approximating distribution.
At an election in Menham last year, 24% of voters supported the Today Party. A student wishes to test
whether support for the Today Party has decreased since last year. He chooses a random sample of
25 voters in Menham and finds that exactly 2 of them say that they support the Today Party.
Test at the 5% significance level whether support for the Today Party has decreased. [5]
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5 A random variable X has probability density function f given by
ax - x 3 0 G x G 2,
f (x) = )
0 otherwise,
where a is a constant.
(a) Show that a = 2 . [3]
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(b) Find the median of X. [4]
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(c) Find the exact value of E(X ). [3]
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6 The numbers of green sweets in 200 randomly chosen packets of Frutos are summarised in the table.
Number of green sweets 0 1 2 3 23

Number of packets 32 50 97 21 0
(a) Calculate an unbiased estimate for the population mean of the number of green sweets in a packet
of Frutos, and show that an unbiased estimate of the population variance is 0.783 correct to
3 significant figures. [3]

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The manufacturers of Frutos claim that the mean number of green sweets in a packet is 1.65 .
Anji believes that the true value of the mean, n , is less than 1.65 . She uses the results from the 200
randomly chosen packets to test the manufacturers’ claim.
(b) State suitable null and alternative hypotheses for the test. [1]
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(c) Show that the result of Anji’s test is significant at the 5% level but not at the 1% level. [4]
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(d) It is given that Anji made a Type I error.
Explain how this shows that the significance level that Anji used in her test was not 1%. [1]
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7 The independent random variables X and Y have the distributions Po(1.9) and Po(2.2) respectively.
(a) Find P (X + Y 1 4) . [3]
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(b) Find the probability that X = 2 given that X + Y 1 4 . [4]

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(c) A sample of 60 randomly chosen pairs of values of X and Y is taken, and the value of X + Y is
calculated for each pair. The sample mean of these 60 values is found.
Find the probability that the sample mean of X + Y is less than 4.0 . [6]
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Additional page
If you use the following lined page to complete the answer(s) to any question(s), the question number(s)
must be clearly shown.
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Permission to reproduce items where third-party owned material protected by copyright is included has been sought and cleared where possible. Every
reasonable effort has been made by the publisher (UCLES) to trace copyright holders, but if any items requiring clearance have unwittingly been included, the
publisher will be pleased to make amends at the earliest possible opportunity.
To avoid the issue of disclosure of answer-related information to candidates, all copyright acknowledgements are reproduced online in the Cambridge
Assessment International Education Copyright Acknowledgements Booklet. This is produced for each series of examinations and is freely available to download
at www.cambridgeinternational.org after the live examination series.
Cambridge Assessment International Education is part of Cambridge Assessment. Cambridge Assessment is the brand name of the University of Cambridge
Local Examinations Syndicate (UCLES), which is a department of the University of Cambridge.
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* 0019655001501 *

Cambridge International AS & A Level

You must answer on the question paper.

You will need: List of formulae (MF19)

This document has 12 pages.

DO NOT WRITE IN THIS MARGIN

1 The random variable X has the distribution B (4000, 0.001) .

(a) Use a suitable approximating distribution to find P (2 G X 1 5) . [3]

DO NOT WRITE IN THIS MARGIN

DO NOT WRITE IN THIS MARGIN

DO NOT WRITE IN THIS MARGIN

(b) Justify your approximating distribution in this case. [1]

(a) Calculate an estimate of the population standard deviation. [3]

DO NOT WRITE IN THIS MARGIN

DO NOT WRITE IN THIS MARGIN

DO NOT WRITE IN THIS MARGIN

DO NOT WRITE IN THIS MARGIN

4 In this question you should not use an approximating distribution.

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5 A random variable X has probability density function f given by

(a) Show that a = 2 . [3]

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DO NOT WRITE IN THIS MARGIN

(b) Find the median of X. [4]

(c) Find the exact value of E(X ). [3]

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Number of green sweets 0 1 2 3 23

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(d) It is given that Anji made a Type I error.

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(a) Find P (X + Y 1 4) . [3]

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(b) Find the probability that X = 2 given that X + Y 1 4 . [4]

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