A Level Milestone S2
A Level Milestone S2
A Level Milestone S2
CANDIDATE
NAME
CENTRE CANDIDATE
NUMBER NUMBER
*0584750042*
MATHEMATICS 9709/62
Paper 6 Probability & Statistics 2 May/June 2023
1 hour 15 minutes
INSTRUCTIONS
³ Answer all questions.
³ Use a black or dark blue pen. You may use an HB pencil for any diagrams or graphs.
³ Write your name, centre number and candidate number in the boxes at the top of the page.
³ Write your answer to each question in the space provided.
³ Do not use an erasable pen or correction fluid.
³ Do not write on any bar codes.
³ If additional space is needed, you should use the lined page at the end of this booklet; the question
number or numbers must be clearly shown.
³ You should use a calculator where appropriate.
³ You must show all necessary working clearly; no marks will be given for unsupported answers from a
calculator.
³ Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place for angles in
degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question.
INFORMATION
³ The total mark for this paper is 50.
³ The number of marks for each question or part question is shown in brackets [ ].
JC23 06_9709_62/2R
© UCLES 2023 [Turn over
2
1 In a survey of 200 randomly chosen students from a certain college, 23% of the students said that they
owned a car.
Calculate an approximate 93% confidence interval for the proportion of students from the college who
own a car. [3]
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
(b) The random variable X has the distribution B n, p. Jyothi wishes to use a Poisson distribution
as an approximate distribution for X .
Use the formulae for E X and Var X to explain why it is necessary for p to be close to 0 for
this to be a reasonable approximation. [1]
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
(c) Given that Y has the distribution B 20 000, 0.000 07, use a Poisson distribution to calculate an
estimate of P Y > 2. [3]
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
3 The masses, in kilograms, of newborn babies in country A are represented by the random variable X ,
with mean - and variance 3 2 . The masses of a random sample of 500 newborn babies in this country
were found and the results are summarised below.
n = 500 Σ x = 1625 Σ x2 = 5663.5
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
A researcher wishes to test whether the mean mass of newborn babies in a neighbouring country, B,
is different from that in country A. He chooses a random sample of 60 newborn babies in country B
and finds that their sample mean mass is 2.95 kg.
Assume that your unbiased estimates in part (a) are the correct values for - and 3 2 . Assume also that
the variance of the masses of newborn babies in country B is the same as in country A.
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
4 The number, X , of books received at a charity shop has a constant mean of 5.1 per day.
(a) State, in context, one condition for X to be modelled by a Poisson distribution. [1]
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
(b) Find the probability that exactly 10 books are received in a 3-day period. [2]
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
(c) Use a suitable approximating distribution to find the probability that more than 180 books are
received in a 30-day period. [4]
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
The number of DVDs received at the same shop is modelled by an independent Poisson distribution
with mean 2.5 per day.
(d) Find the probability that the total number of books and DVDs that are received at the shop in
1 day is more than 3. [3]
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
5 (a) Two random variables X and Y have the independent distributions N 7, 3 and N 6, 2
respectively. A random value of each variable is taken.
Find the probability that the two values differ by more than 2. [5]
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
(b) Each candidate’s overall score in a science test is calculated as follows. The mark for theory
is denoted by T , the mark for practical is denoted by P, and the overall score is given by
T + 1.5P. The variables T and P are assumed to be independent with distributions N 62, 158
and N 42, 108 respectively. You should assume that no continuity corrections are needed when
using these distributions.
(i) A pass is awarded to candidates whose overall score is at least 90.
Find the proportion of candidates who pass. [5]
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
(ii) Comment on the assumption that the variables T and P are independent. [1]
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
BLANK PAGE
6 When a child completes an online exercise called a Mathlit, they might be awarded a medal. The
publishers claim that the probability that a randomly chosen child who completes a Mathlit will be
awarded a medal is 13 . Asha wishes to test this claim. She decides that if she is awarded no medals
while completing 10 Mathlits, she will conclude that the true probability is less than 13 .
(a) Use a binomial distribution to find the probability of a Type I error. [2]
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
(b) Given that the probability of a Type II error is 0.8926, find the value of p. [3]
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
7 (a)
f x
x
0 4
The diagram shows the graph of the probability density function, f, of a random variable X which
takes values between 0 and 4 only. Between these two values the graph is a straight line.
(i) Show that f x = kx for 0 ≤ x ≤ 4, where k is a constant to be determined. [2]
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................
(b)
g w
w
0 a
The diagram shows the graph of the probability density function, g, of a random variable W
which takes values between 0 and a only, where a > 0. Between these two values the graph is a
straight line.
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................
Additional Page
If you use the following lined page to complete the answer(s) to any question(s), the question number(s)
must be clearly shown.
........................................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................................................................
BLANK PAGE
BLANK PAGE
Permission to reproduce items where third-party owned material protected by copyright is included has been sought and cleared where possible. Every
reasonable effort has been made by the publisher (UCLES) to trace copyright holders, but if any items requiring clearance have unwittingly been included, the
publisher will be pleased to make amends at the earliest possible opportunity.
To avoid the issue of disclosure of answer-related information to candidates, all copyright acknowledgements are reproduced online in the Cambridge
Assessment International Education Copyright Acknowledgements Booklet. This is produced for each series of examinations and is freely available to download
at www.cambridgeinternational.org after the live examination series.
Cambridge Assessment International Education is part of Cambridge Assessment. Cambridge Assessment is the brand name of the University of Cambridge
Local Examinations Syndicate (UCLES), which is a department of the University of Cambridge.