PMT

Cambridge International AS & A Level

CANDIDATE
NAME

CENTRE CANDIDATE
NUMBER NUMBER
*7297762714*

MATHEMATICS 9709/51
Paper 5 Probability & Statistics 1 May/June 2020

1 hour 15 minutes

You must answer on the question paper.

You will need: List of formulae (MF19)

INSTRUCTIONS
³ Answer all questions.
³ Use a black or dark blue pen. You may use an HB pencil for any diagrams or graphs.
³ Write your name, centre number and candidate number in the boxes at the top of the page.
³ Write your answer to each question in the space provided.
³ Do not use an erasable pen or correction fluid.
³ Do not write on any bar codes.
³ If additional space is needed, you should use the lined page at the end of this booklet; the question
number or numbers must be clearly shown.
³ You should use a calculator where appropriate.
³ You must show all necessary working clearly; no marks will be given for unsupported answers from a
calculator.
³ Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place for angles in
degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question.

INFORMATION
³ The total mark for this paper is 50.
³ The number of marks for each question or part question is shown in brackets [ ].

This document has 16 pages. Blank pages are indicated.

JC20 06_9709_51/FP
© UCLES 2020 [Turn over
 PMT

1 The score when two fair six-sided dice are thrown is the sum of the two numbers on the upper faces.

1.
(a) Show that the probability that the score is 4 is 12 [1]

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

The two dice are thrown repeatedly until a score of 4 is obtained. The number of throws taken is
denoted by the random variable X .

(b) Find the mean of X . [1]

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(c) Find the probability that a score of 4 is first obtained on the 6th throw. [1]

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(d) Find P X < 8
. [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2020 9709/51/M/J/20

 PMT

2 (a) Find the number of different arrangements that can be made from the 9 letters of the word
JEWELLERY in which the three Es are together and the two Ls are together. [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the number of different arrangements that can be made from the 9 letters of the word
JEWELLERY in which the two Ls are not next to each other. [4]

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2020 9709/51/M/J/20 [Turn over

 PMT

3 A company produces small boxes of sweets that contain 5 jellies and 3 chocolates. Jemeel chooses
3 sweets at random from a box.

(a) Draw up the probability distribution table for the number of jellies that Jemeel chooses. [4]

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2020 9709/51/M/J/20

 PMT

The company also produces large boxes of sweets. For any large box, the probability that it contains
more jellies than chocolates is 0.64. 10 large boxes are chosen at random.

(b) Find the probability that no more than 7 of these boxes contain more jellies than chocolates. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2020 9709/51/M/J/20 [Turn over

 PMT

4 In a music competition, there are 8 pianists, 4 guitarists and 6 violinists. 7 of these musicians will be
selected to go through to the final.

How many different selections of 7 finalists can be made if there must be at least 2 pianists, at least
1 guitarist and more violinists than guitarists? [4]

................................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2020 9709/51/M/J/20

 PMT

BLANK PAGE

© UCLES 2020 9709/51/M/J/20 [Turn over

 PMT

5 On Mondays, Rani cooks her evening meal. She has a pizza, a burger or a curry with probabilities
0.35, 0.44, 0.21 respectively. When she cooks a pizza, Rani has some fruit with probability 0.3.
When she cooks a burger, she has some fruit with probability 0.8. When she cooks a curry, she never
has any fruit.

(a) Draw a fully labelled tree diagram to represent this information. [2]

© UCLES 2020 9709/51/M/J/20

 PMT

(b) Find the probability that Rani has some fruit. [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(c) Find the probability that Rani does not have a burger given that she does not have any fruit. [4]

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2020 9709/51/M/J/20 [Turn over

 PMT

10

6 The lengths of female snakes of a particular species are normally distributed with mean 54 cm and
standard deviation 6.1 cm.

(a) Find the probability that a randomly chosen female snake of this species has length between
50 cm and 60 cm. [4]

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2020 9709/51/M/J/20

 PMT

11

The lengths of male snakes of this species also have a normal distribution. A scientist measures the
lengths of a random sample of 200 male snakes of this species. He finds that 32 have lengths less than
45 cm and 17 have lengths more than 56 cm.

(b) Find estimates for the mean and standard deviation of the lengths of male snakes of this species.
[5]

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2020 9709/51/M/J/20 [Turn over

 PMT

12

7 The numbers of chocolate bars sold per day in a cinema over a period of 100 days are summarised in
the following table.

Number of chocolate bars sold 1 − 10 11 − 15 16 − 30 31 − 50 51 − 60

Number of days 18 24 30 20 8

(a) Draw a histogram to represent this information. [5]

© UCLES 2020 9709/51/M/J/20

 PMT

13

(b) What is the greatest possible value of the interquartile range for the data? [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(c) Calculate estimates of the mean and standard deviation of the number of chocolate bars sold.
[4]

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2020 9709/51/M/J/20

 PMT

14

Additional Page

If you use the following lined page to complete the answer(s) to any question(s), the question number(s)
must be clearly shown.

........................................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2020 9709/51/M/J/20

 PMT

15

BLANK PAGE

© UCLES 2020 9709/51/M/J/20

 PMT

16

BLANK PAGE

Permission to reproduce items where third-party owned material protected by copyright is included has been sought and cleared where possible. Every
reasonable effort has been made by the publisher (UCLES) to trace copyright holders, but if any items requiring clearance have unwittingly been included, the
publisher will be pleased to make amends at the earliest possible opportunity.

To avoid the issue of disclosure of answer-related information to candidates, all copyright acknowledgements are reproduced online in the Cambridge
Assessment International Education Copyright Acknowledgements Booklet. This is produced for each series of examinations and is freely available to download
at www.cambridgeinternational.org after the live examination series.

Cambridge Assessment International Education is part of the Cambridge Assessment Group. Cambridge Assessment is the brand name of the University of
Cambridge Local Examinations Syndicate (UCLES), which itself is a department of the University of Cambridge.

© UCLES 2020 9709/51/M/J/20