Session 7
Session 7
Session 7
Options 360
Content
• The best bid-ask rates for near month and next-month Nifty options contracts are used for
computation of India VIX
• India VIX indicates the investor’s perception of the market’s volatility in the near term (next 30
calendar days)
• Higher the India VIX values, higher the expected volatility and vice-versa
• When the markets are highly volatile, market tends to move steeply and during such time the
volatility index tends to rise
• Volatility index declines when the markets become less volatile. Volatility indices such as India
VIX are sometimes also referred to as the ‘Fear Index’, because as the volatility index rises, one
should become careful, as the markets can move steeply into any direction. Investors use
volatility indices to gauge the market volatility and make their investment decisions
Put-Call Ratio (PCR)
• The put-call ratio is a measurement that is widely used by traders to gauge the
overall mood of a market.
• One way to calculate PCR is by dividing the number of open interest in a Put contract
by the number of open interest in Call option at the same strike price and expiry date
on any given day.
• It can also be calculated by dividing put trading volume by call trading volume on a
given day.
• If PCR is above 1 it means that there are more Put buyers in market and market can
go down now.
• If PCR is below 1 it means that there are more Call buyers in market and market can
go up now.
PCR
• PCR is called a contrarian indicator.
• If the PCR value is above 1, say 1.3 – then it suggests that there are more Puts being
bought compared to Calls. This suggests that the markets have turned extremely
bearish, and therefore sort of oversold. One can look for reversals and expect the
markets to go up.
• Low PCR values such as 0.5 and below indicates that there are more calls being
bought compared to puts. This suggests that the markets have turned extremely
bullish, and therefore sort of overbought. Once can look for reversals and expect the
markets to go down.
Max Pain Theory
• Max pain is the point where option owners (buyers) feel "maximum pain," or will
stand to lose the most money. Option sellers, on the other hand, may stand to reap
the most rewards.
• Max pain, or the max pain price, is the strike price with the most open
contract puts and calls - and the price at which the stock would cause financial losses
for the largest number of option holders at expiration.
• Max pain is a simple but time consuming calculation. Essentially, it is the sum of the
outstanding put and call Rupee value of each in-the-money strike price.
• The Maximum Pain theory states that an option's price will gravitate towards a max
pain price, in some cases equal to the strike price for an option, that causes the
maximum number of options to expire worthless.
Option Chain Analysis
• Call Price increasing + Call OI Increasing = Call Long Buildup – Bullish indication.
• Call Price decreasing + Call OI Increasing = Call Short Buildup – Bearish indication.
• Put Price increasing + Put OI increasing = Put Long Buildup – Bearish indication.
• Put Price decreasing + Put OI Increasing = Put Short Buildup – Bullish indication.
• Call Price increasing + Call OI decreasing = Call Shorts exiting – Bullish indication.
• Call price decreasing + Call OI decreasing = Call longs exiting – Bearish Indication.
• Put Price increasing + Put OI reducing = Put Shorts exiting – Bearish indication.
• Put Price decreasing + Put OI reducing = Put longs exiting – bullish indication
Thank You
Options 360