Ethiopian Econmy Compiled by Fike
Ethiopian Econmy Compiled by Fike
Ethiopian Econmy Compiled by Fike
CHAPTER ONE
AN OVERVIEW OF THE ETHIOPIAN ECONOMY
1.1. OVERVIEW AND STRUCTURE OF THE ETHIOPIAN ECONOMY
Ethiopia, with a total land area of about 113,000,000 hectares, is one of the largest countries in
Africa. It has diverse physical features ranging from about 500 meters below sea level in the
Danakil depression of the Afar region to over 4,600 meters above sea level in the Semien
Mountains. The varied nature of the topography coupled with other environmental features
resulted in a variety of agro-ecological zones in the country. The country is endowed with huge
human resource, arable land, livestock and natural resources. However, much of its potential has
not yet been exploited. The population of Ethiopia was estimated at over 63 million in the year
2000, making it the third most populous nation in Africa and twentieth in the world. The annual
growth rate of the population is estimated at 3%. Almost 66% of Ethiopia’s landmass is known
to have a potential for agricultural development. But only a quarter of this is said to be developed
until now. Although the livestock contribution to the economy is limited, its wealth is the largest
in the African continent. The forest, water, fish and the mineral resource potential of the country
are enormous. These minerals include gold, platinum, marble, tantalum, copper, potash, soda
ash, zinc, nickel, iron and natural gas. Of course, these are not yet exploited in the desired and
appropriate manner. The economy is characterized by its dualistic nature: the traditional
(subsistence) and modern (technological) sector. The traditional sector consists of mainly peasant
agriculture, which is the backbone of the country. The modern sector is composed of
underdeveloped industrial and service sector. The structure of the economy, in general, is
decomposed into the three main sectors: the primary agricultural sector, the secondary-industrial
(manufacturing) sector and the tertiary-service sector. The agricultural sector includes, among
other things, such activities as crop production, animal husbandry, fishery, bee keeping and
forestry. This sector remains to be the most important sector of the economy since it produces
much of the country's annual output, absorbs huge amount of the labor force and generates large
proportion of the foreign exchange earnings of the country. The industrial sector includes such
activities like mining and quarrying, construction, energy, water supply, small handicrafts and
cottage industries, medium and large-scale manufacturing firms. The 2 level of development of
the manufacturing sector is at its infancy and the country’s industrial base is at its lowest level.
The sector is dependent on imported semi-processed materials, raw materials, spare parts and
fuel. It is mainly dominated by the food, textile and beverage sub-sectors. The service sector, on
the other hand, includes all the activities in the production of the intangibles. For the purpose of
analysis, it is divided into distributive and other services sub-sectors. The distributive service
sub-sector includes such activities as tourism, trade, hotels and restaurants, and transport and
communication. The other services sub-sector includes the provision of public administration,
defense, finance, banking and insurance, social services (education and health), and real estate
development. The Ethiopian modern transport sector is dominated by road transport accounting
for more than 90% of the freight and passenger transport. Air, rail and water transportation also
CHAPTER TWO
RECENT PERFORMANCE OF THE DIFFERENT SECTORS IN THE
ETHIOPIAN ECONOMY
2. The Agricultural Sector
The agricultural sector is the backbone of the Ethiopian economy. Hence its performance
determines the economic well-being of the people. Also, many other economic activities,
including transportation and manufacturing, rely heavily on the agricultural sector. As records
reveal, the agricultural sector in Ethiopia is the mainstay of the country’s economy. It is also the
most volatile sector, as exhibited in the unevenness of its growth patterns, which is the effect of
its heavy dependence on rainfall and the seasonal shocks that are frequently observed in
Ethiopia. However, it contributes the largest share to the GDP, export trade earnings, and
employment. It also provides raw materials for the various industries in the country to a great
extent. With this scenario, the various strategies so far adopted to develop it need rethinking.
This serious work of rethinking the development priorities should be made considering the
various regional as well as local objective conditions.
Agricultural versus industrial development
Different views or paradigms have been adapted for the development of a country. The role of
agriculture in economic development has been considered as largely passive and supportive or
secondary. In the Western economies, the industrial sector was given priority, based on the
assumption that it has the largest potential to adopt technology and to create forward and
backward linkages with the other sectors. However, the desirability of placing such heavy
priority on industrial growth is questionable for most developing countries like Ethiopia. Since
the 1970s, development economists have come to realize that the agricultural sector needs to be
viewed as a leading and dynamic sector. They further state that, without the development of the
agricultural sector, the growth of the industrial sector will become weak. Hence, the agricultural
sector has to be the leading sector, and this is the approach of the current Ethiopian strategy of
development, ADLI.
Uni-modal agricultural strategy
It is a pathway based on the proposal that the achievement of transformation in the agricultural
sector is possible through intensification of small-scale peasant farms. It is based on the concept
of a specific peasant economy in which small producers who are not separated from their means
of production retain a degree of control over land and family labour in spite of international
secular differentiations (example: Japan, Thailand and China).
Characteristics of the Uni-modal Strategy
The central element of this approach is the development and diffusion of highly divisible
innovations that promote output expansion within the existing agrarian structure (small size
holdings)
As the name implies, this is a farming system practiced in the highlands of Ethiopia by
integrating crop production with animal husbandry. Livestock rearing is a means to supplement
additional cash income, source of food and insurance against crop failure. The highland areas of
Ethiopia are said to be inhibited by 80% of the population. The predominant agro ecological
zones in these farming systems are Dega and Weyna Dega.
2. Lowland Mixed Agriculture
As the name implies, this is a farming system exercised in the low lands together with animal
husbandry. Farming is usually practiced in the mountain foothills and in the lower valley at
elevations below 1500m above sea level. The area is characterized by hot and dry climate with
mean annual rainfall ranging between 450 and 800mm per year.
3. Pastoral Complex
Pastoral nomads in the low lands of Afar, Somali, Southern regions and Borena zone of Oromia
region, practice this. Animal husbandry is the main economic activity in these sparsely populated
dry areas due to the scanty nature of rainfall. Camels serve as a source of food and as a means of
transport. These nomads also keep goats and smaller number of sheep.
4. Shifting Cultivation
This is a farming system exercised by leaving farmlands to remain idle for several years. The
land is then cleared by setting fires in the dry season to make it ready for plantation during the
rainy season. It is mostly practiced in the Western and Southwestern parts of Ethiopian highlands
and lowlands.
5. Commercial Agriculture
This is a farming system characterized by the use of large-scale machinery and equipment, other
inputs, extensive land area and hired labor. It was introduced in Ethiopia in the late1950’s. It is
market oriented to meet the growing demand for food in urban areas and to supply agricultural
raw materials for industries
2.2.2. Livestock Sub - Sector
When we come to the livestock sub sector of the economy, we find that the country has the
largest population in Africa. A significant proportion of the livestock potential of the country is
also located in the highlands of Ethiopia. It is also an integrated part of the highland and lowland
mixed farming system.
2.3. Agricultural Sector Policy Issues and Strategies Since 1960
Examine the specific policies and strategies of the agricultural sector that existed during
the different regimes.
Pre–1974 Agricultural Policies and Strategies
There were two policy paths for the development of the agricultural sector in the late 1960s.
They were large-scale mechanized commercial farms and the establishment of package
projects to assist the sector in diffusing agricultural innovations.
A. Large-Scale Mechanized Commercial Farm
The main objective of this path was to facilitate agricultural exports and to create new
employment opportunities. As the name implies, LSMCF requires bringing extensive area of
land under cultivation with the use of modern agricultural inputs. As can be seen from the inputs
this kind of farming system requires huge amount of capital.
B. Establishment and Development of Package Projects
The basic objective of donors and the government in initiating the package project in Ethiopia
was to repeat the success of the Green Revolution of India in Ethiopia. The Green Revolution
was a type of agrarian revolution characterized by the large-scale use of improved and high yield
variety (HYV) seeds and other inputs. There were two types of package projects:
Comprehensive package projects and
Minimum package projects
Post 1991 the ESDP (Education Sector Development programme) was launched. The program
has the following six components:
1. Primary Education: include: construction, expansion, and rehabilitation of primary schools;
curriculum revision and development; upgrading of teachers’ skills; and increasing the supply of
textbooks.
2. Secondary Education: include: expansion of school services; curriculum revision and
development; and increases in the supply of educational equipment and material.
3. Technical-Vocational Training: Under this component, there are plans to expand programs
that train students in technical and vocational fields.
4. Teacher Training: This component includes: the upgrading and expansion of training
institutions; in-service (on-the-job) training of primary school teachers; curriculum revision and
development; introduction of distance learning and alternative education methods; and the
training of school directors or coordinators in school management.
5. Tertiary Education: the goal is to meet growing demand for teachers, engineers, health
specialists, public administrators, and others.
6. Institutional Capacity Building: upgrading the Ministry’s and Regional Education Bureaus’
skills in planning, financial management, implementation, monitoring and evaluation of policies
and strategies.
Problems, of education sectors are;
Great disparity between the relatively developed and undeveloped regions and between rural
and urban areas;
An important measure of the level of economic development of a country is its total as well as its
per capita production. A country's annual production or income can be measured using variables
such as GDP and GNP.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the value of all final goods and services produced in
a country in one year. GDP can be measured by adding up all of an economy's incomes
(i.e., wages, interest, profits, and rents). This is known as the income approach to
measuring GDP. GDP can also be measured by adding expenditures (consumption,
investment, government purchases, and net exports). This method of measuring GDP is
Generally, the higher the capital formation of an economy, the faster an economy can grow its
aggregate income. Increasing an economy's capital stock also increases its capacity for
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production, which means an economy can produce more. Producing more goods and services can
lead to an increase in national income levels. In the modern economic life the importance of
capital has increased. As human life depends upon circulation of blood likewise
modern industrial system is running on the basis of capital.
In order to accumulate capital goods some current consumption has to be sacrificed. The greater
the extent to which the people are willing to abstain from present consumption, the greater the
extent that society will devote resources to new capital formation. If society consumes all that it
produces and saves nothing, future productive capacity of the economy will fall as the present
capital equipment wears out. In other words, if whole of the current productive activity is used to
produce consumer goods and no new capital goods are made, production of consumer goods in
the future will greatly decline. To cut down some of the present consumption and wait for more
consumption in the future require far-sightedness on the part of the people. There is an old
Chinese proverb, “He who cannot see beyond the dawn will have much good wine to drink at
noon, much green wine to cure his headache at dark, and only rain water to drink for the rest of
his days.” Three Stages in Capital Formation: Although saving is essential for capital formation,
but in a monetized economy, saving may not directly and automatically result in the production
of capital goods. Savings must be invested in order to have capital goods. In a modern economy,
where saving and investment are done mainly by two different classes of people, there must be
certain means or mechanism whereby the savings of the people are obtained and mobilized in
order to give them to the businessmen or entrepreneurs to invest in capital. Therefore, in a
modern free enterprise economy, the process of capital formation consists of the following three
stages:
A. Creation of Savings: An increase in the volume of real savings so that resources that would
have been devoted to the production of consumption goods, should be released for purposes of
capital formation.
The level of savings in a country depends upon the power to save and the will to save. The
power to save or saving capacity of an economy mainly depends upon the average level of
income and the distribution of national income. The higher the level of income, the greater will
be the amount of savings.
Savings may be either voluntary or forced. Voluntary savings are those savings which people do
of their own free will. On the other hand, pension cut from employee salary by the Government
represent forced savings. The greater the amount of taxes collected and profits made, the
greater will be the government savings. The savings so made can be used by the government for
building up new capital goods like factories, machines, roads, etc., or it can lend them to private
enterprise to invest in capital goods.
C. Investment of Savings: The act of investment itself so that resources are actually used for the
production of capital goods. There must be a good number of honest and dynamic entrepreneurs
in the country who are able to take risks and bear uncertainty of production.
The two determinants of incentive to invest are the marginal efficiency of capital and the rate
of interest
The size of the market for goods determine expectations regarding profits (marginal
efficiency) and low interest rate forced investors to choose investment rather than depositing
money in Bank.
Internal Sources: Internal sources consist of domestic savings, borrowing from the public,
taxes; deficit financing and external sources consist of grants, loan, investment and foreign
aids.
A. Internal Sources
Use of Hoardings: Due to limited banking facilities people keep their savings in the shape
of hoardings. They also keep gold and silver in the shape of ornaments for the sake of their
dignity, pride and social status.
Through Taxes: If sufficient quantity of capital is not available through voluntary savings
and by the use of hoardings the government receives amount through direct and indirect
taxes for capital formation and for this purpose either new taxes are imposed or tax rate is
increased. While imposing new taxes it is necessary that it should not affect private
investment nor the burden of tax is as such that it lowers the purchasing power of the
people. It is also necessary that tax collecting staff is honest hardworking and efficient and
people do not avoid taxes.
3.3. Poverty
Poverty is general scarcity or dearth, or the state of one who lacks a certain amount of material
possessions or money. It is the state or condition of having little or no money, goods, or means of
support; condition of being poor. It is also defined as the deficiency of necessary or desirable
ingredients, etc.: poverty of soil. It is the state of one who lacks a usual or socially acceptable
amount of money or material possessions. Poverty is said to exist when people lack the means to
satisfy their basic needs. In this context, the identification of poor people first requires a
determination of what constitutes basic needs. It includes low incomes and the inability to
acquire the basic goods and services necessary for survival with dignity. Poverty also
encompasses low levels of health and education, poor access to clean water and sanitation,
inadequate physical security, lack of voice, and insufficient capacity and opportunity to better
one’s life.
The classification between poor people and those who are not poor, in accordance with this last
criterion, depends on the degree of development of the society under study and cannot be
transferred to a different society. For example, one country may consider poor people to be all
those whose annual income is less than 3,000 Euros, whereas another country may classify a
person as being poor whose income is below 7,000 Euros. Thus, a supposedly poor person in the
second country may not be classified as such if the first country's criteria are used. Poverty is not
a static phenomenon however and a person's situation may change with time, moving in and out
of poverty. It is therefore essential to carry out dynamic poverty studies that take into
consideration changes and transitions and analyze a population over a sufficiently long enough
period, not only during specific years and in an isolated way.
Poverty in Ethiopia
In 1973 during imperial period about 3 million Ethiopians were affected by food shortages. A
prolonged drought between 1984 and 1986 plunged the country into famine. During the 1980s,
an estimated 1 million Ethiopians died from starvation as a result of famine. The present
government of Ethiopia has taken various steps of reduction of poverty especially in rural areas,
such as, Agricultural Development-Led Industrialization (ADLI), Sustainable Development and
Poverty Reduction Program (SDPRP), etc. The government has stressed on the development of
agriculture, food security and vulnerability, export development, private sector development,
tourism, mining, infrastructure, health and education. The main causes of poverty in Ethiopia are
as follows:
Poverty Measures
Absolute poverty lines
These lines reflect the value of the resources needed to maintain a minimum level of welfare.
The aim is to measure the cost involved in purchasing a basket of essential products (goods and
services), which allow a person to reach minimum levels of satisfaction in terms of basic needs.
One of the characteristics of the absolute poverty lines is that results can be taken from them that
are sensitive to economic development, although this is shared out homogeneously amongst the
population. For example, if there is an increase in income levels in a society, even though this
increase is distributed homogeneously amongst the population, the percentage of poor people
calculated with absolute poverty lines will decrease.
One of these absolute lines that are widely used fixes a dollar per capita a day as the value of
minimum resources needed for a person to not be considered in poverty. This line can be used in
a world context with the implication therefore that any person who lives on less than a dollar a
day is poor.
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same. The number of poor people depends on the relative position of each household or
individual in the society. If these relative positions are maintained, the relative poverty lines do
not reflect changes that could result in economic development shared out equally. In order for the
percentages of poor people calculated with this type of line to diminish, it is necessary for there
to be changes in income distribution.
Relative poverty lines usually use indicators based on monetary variables such as income or
expenditure. In both cases, a minimum variable level is fixed below which people are classified
as poor and above which as not poor. If we suppose for example that the chosen variable is
income, the level will depend on the population's income distribution. In fact, it is usually fixed
at a certain percentage of a distribution measure, normally the average or the median.
Poverty Reduction/ Poverty Alleviation
Enabling the poor to create wealth for them as a means for ending poverty forever.
Improving the living conditions of people who are already poor.
Improving water management is an effective way to help reduce poverty among farmers.
With better water management, they can improve productivity and potentially move
beyond subsistence-level farming
Good institutions
Efficient institutions that are not corrupt and obey the rule of law make and enforce good laws
that provide security to property and businesses. Efficient and fair governments would work to
invest in the long-term interests of the nation rather than plunder resources through corruption.
Good governance (such as accountability, effectiveness, rule of law, low corruption) to be related
to higher rates of economic development. Having understood the severity of the level of poverty
the world over, leaders of the world have in their Millennium Summit of September 2000 have
pledged to reduce people below poverty line by half by the year 2015 as part of the Millennium
Development Goals (MDGs) agreed by 191 countries. (The MDGs are shown on the next page).
With nearly half of its population below poverty line, the challenge for Ethiopia is very huge.
The Ethiopian Government has put poverty reduction high on its agenda, and the Poverty
Reduction Strategy Paper (PRSP) is issued on July 2002 under the title " Ethiopia: Sustainable
Development and Poverty Reduction Strategy".
The Millennium Development Goals (MDGs)
(By the year 2015, all 191 United Nations Member States have pledged to meet these goals)
1 Eradicate extreme Reduce by half the proportion of people living on
poverty and hunger less than a dollar a day
Reduce by half the proportion of people who suffer
from hunger
2 Achieve Universal Ensure that all boys and girls complete a full course
Primary Education of primary schooling
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4 Reduce Child Mortality Reduce by two thirds the mortality rate among
children under five
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Lack of Experience: Recent graduates may find themselves underemployed while looking for
their first job after college. Even entry-level jobs sometimes require more experience than
students may have to offer right after graduation. Take part-time work while doing internships,
taking classes, or networking their way to a new position.
Credentials Aren't Acceptable: In many cases, highly skilled individuals come to work in a
new country, but face underemployment because their foreign credentials are not be accepted nor
considered to be an equivalent fit for the position in question. Few employers are willing to send
foreign documents for evaluation by a third party, so many professional individuals such as
doctors, lawyers, or engineers take necessary jobs that would otherwise be seen as inferior
positions.
Discrimination Issues: In addition to students, foreign nationals, and trade workers, those with
disabilities, mental illnesses, or former inmates are often discriminated against and are forced to
take the first job available for fear of not finding another.
Low Demand: Some individuals with acceptable experience and skills are underemployed
because of low demand in their local job market. For example, computer science BSc graduate
may employed as secretary because there is no demand for computer science
Poor Economy: During a recession, many skilled workers who would ordinarily have little
trouble landing a good job in their field may wind up underemployed.
Market Changes: Underemployment can also be caused by larger market changes. For
example, automation has affected workers in industries, as employers cut hours and workers lose
bargaining power in the market.
Problems of unemployment in Ethiopia
Employment is expected to play the sustained political and economic stability of the country
Unemployment rate in Ethiopia averaged 19.88% until 2015, but the actual figure may go up
further than projected by government
Urban unemployment is more severe than rural unemployment, rural youth lacks land which
support his living thus migrate to urban create overcrowded cities.
Effects of unemployment in Ethiopia
Immediate effect is starvation
Create very serious social problem, crime, violence
Vulnerable to substance abuse
Youth hopeless in education
Easily manipulated by armed rebel groups
Briefly, the socioeconomic infrastructure is still at a very low level of development even
compared with other Sub-Saharan African Countries, which are regarded as the least developed
countries of the world.
Many factors have contributed to the poor socioeconomic realities of the country some of the
major reasons are outlined below:
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a) Ethiopia has for a longer period maintained a traditional economic base that has missed
the benefits of modern scientific and technological revolution.
b) Despite its huge potential, the agricultural sector has remained sluggish due to
inappropriate policies and practices.
c) For an extended period in the past, Ethiopia has been a land of social upheavals, civil war
and other forms of instability.
d) The low productivity and saving rate (capital formation) coupled with unsound utilization
of the country's available resources have resulted in the deterioration of the standards of
living of the population.
To summarize development is both a physical reality and a state of mind in which society has,
through some combination of social, economic and institutional process, secured the means for
obtaining a better life. Development must be conceived as a multidimensional process involving
major changes in social structures, popular attitudes and national institutions, as well as the
acceleration of economic growth, minimize inequality and the eradication of absolute poverty.
Absolute poverty is a situation where a population is able to meet only its bare subsistence
essentials of food, clothing and shelter in order to maintain minimum levels of living. This
absolute poverty is in many cases calculated on the basis of the international poverty line which
is an arbitrary international real income measure, usually expressed in constant dollars used for
estimating the proportion of the world’s population that exist at bare levels of subsistence that
is those whose incomes fall below this poverty line.
This absolute poverty is found in many developing countries of the world with varied degrees of
scale. In fact, there are common economic features that illustrate developing countries in a
broadly similar framework. These common features can be classified in six broad categories.
a) Low levels of living as expressed by their low per capita national incomes,
slow or stagnant growth rates of Gross National Product (GNP), the degree of
inequality and extent of poverty and poor social services like health, education etc.
b) Low levels of productivity that is the absence or severe lack of complementary factor
inputs such as physical capital and /or experienced and rational management.
c) High rates of population growth and dependency burdens, which affect all economic
gains to be annulled or quickly wiped out.
d) High and rising levels of unemployment and underemployment this arises from the
inadequate or inefficient utilization of labor.
e) Substantial dependence of agricultural production and primary product exports which is
based on primitive technologies, poor organizations and limited physical and human
capital inputs.
f) Dominance, dependence and vulnerability in international relations due to the highly
unequal distribution of economic and political power between rich and poor nations. This
includes the dominant power of rich nations to control international trade, dictate the
terms in which technology, foreign aid and private capital transfers.
CHAPTER FOUR
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Trade is the buying and selling of goods and services in the market. It is the exchange
of goods between individuals or groups either directly through barter or indirectly
through a medium of exchange. Trade has two types: Domestic and International.
Domestic trade: - is the exchange of goods and services within the territory of a country.
International Trade: - Is the exchange of goods and services between and/or among different
countries.
1. Earth's resources are not equally distributed among nations. Different countries have
different factor of productions. i.e., one nation is rich in labor and other nation is rich in
capital. Therefore, trade is important to acquire what the nation lacks.
2. Level of technological development
If one nation (USA) is rich in technology advancement, those nations have to export this
technology to the rest of the world like Ethiopia.
3. Increasing Return to Scale (IRTS)
IRTS happens when if input is increasing by 5% and output is increasing by more than
5%, there is IRTS.
4. Difference in demand
In developed nations, there is high demand and price is high as well. Exporters from developed
nation imports input from developing nations and exports raw material and import finished
products from developed nations.
Trade was started during Axumite kingdom. Both domestic and international trade was
conducted. The major trading ports were Adulis on Red sea coast. After Italian invasion,
modernization of trade achieved land mark. Ministry backed by rules and regulations were set
up. Institutions were also set up for training Ethiopians who wants to trade. Commercial code
was introduced in order to enforce laws governing business transactions. During the Derg,
There was change in economic management, including domestic trade. There was also mass
nationalization. The economic activity was guided by central planning. The profit motive was
given way to social objectives and every measure to strengthen socialism was subsidized.
During EPRDF, the government took a radical change in all spheres, a business environment
governed by market law.
4.1.2. Role and Importance of Trade in Economic Development
Role of Domestic Trade
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Ethiopia Takes 2 days to produce 1 meter of cloth but Sudan takes 10 days.
Ethiopia has an absolute advantage in the production of cloths.
Ethiopia should specialize on cloth production and should export. Ethiopia should also import
shoes production from Sudan because Ethiopia has an absolute disadvantage over Sudan on
shoes.
Sudan Takes 2 days to produce 1 pair of shoes, but Ethiopia takes 10 days to produce 1 pair of
shoes. Sudan has an absolute advantage on shoes production and should export to Ethiopia and
Sudan also should import cloth production from Ethiopia.
B. Comparative Advantage
Comparative advantage happens when one nation have full efficient cost advantage than its
trading partner. Here, mutual beneficial trade still exists. Less efficient nation should export
goods (where its absolute disadvantage is the least). The country still gains even the other
country can produce at low cost.
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On international trade, there is import and export. Nations use different policy on international
trade (Free trade vs. international trade)
Free trade is a trade policy without any tariff, quota, and exchange control, etc. on import or
exported items. It is a complete freedom of international trade without any restriction on
movement of goods between nations.
Restriction Is imposing some level of restriction on international trade. Usually, most nations
follow trade restrictions on international trade. This trade restriction may be non-tariff such as
labeling requirements, food safety regulations, etc.
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1. Quota
Quota is a limit on the amount of the product that can enter into a country. Quota has a limit, so
that entrance of the good into a country is stopped when the quota is met.
2. Tariff
Tariff is duties or taxes imposed by the government of a nation on goods entering that country.
Tariff will increase the price of imported product.
Objectives of Tariff
(Why tariff is levied?)
1. tariff is one of the source of government revenue
2. Tariff is also levied to protect locally produced goods. If the imported good is cheap as
compared to domestic, domestic producers will shut down their plants or factories, hence,
tariff is necessary to equalize the selling price of domestically produced goods and
imported products. Tariff in general discourages import of product.
There are three types of tariffs
A. Specific tariff Are type of tariffs imposed on each unit imported or based on physical
quantity. It’s levied irrespective of quality, price, etc.
C. Compound tariffs a combination of both specific and ad valorem duties. E.g., if the Ethiopian
government taxes Sony TV 5% + 500 birr/1 TV.
3. Exchange control
Government can use exchange control to limit or avoid import of some goods by not giving the
foreign currency that the importer needs.
Payment in domestic trade is quite simple because the distance between the buyer and seller is
very close to each other. Payment in international trade can be made in one of the following
ways.
1. Bankers transfer
This is simple transfer of money from the bank account of the buyer (importer) to the bank
account of the seller in the seller’s country.
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2. Bill of exchange
Bill of exchange is an order in written form addressed by a creditor (seller) to a debtor (buyer)
and signed by the creditor, requiring the person to whom it is addressed to pay either on demand
or at fixed date, or at a determinable future time, a certain sum of money to the person named on
the bill or to his order. The bill is drawn by the creditor on the debtor and is sent to the debtor (or
his agent) for the letter to pay or accept. The debtor accepts by signing his name on the face
(front) of the bill together with the date.
3. Letter of credit
Letter of credit is a document-containing guarantee of a bank to make payment to the exporter,
under certain conditions and up to a certain amount, provided the conditions contained in the LC
and compiled with.
4.1. Trade policies, strategies and the structure and performance of trade in Ethiopia (self-
read assignment)
In the modern world, there is no country, which is self-sufficient, so, import and export is must.
Some nations import if and only if they have cost disadvantage in producing that specific type
of the product and others export if and only if they have cost advantage. This indicates that there
is a relationship between one countries with the rest of the world. This is called BOP.
Definitions of BOP
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The principal tool for the analysis of the monetary aspects of international trade is the balance of
international payment statement. This statement, also simply known as the balance of payment
(BOP), is a systematic record of all international economic transactions, visible and invisible, of
a country during a given period, usually a year. In other words, the statement is a device for
recording all the economic transactions within a given period between the residents of a country
and the residents of other countries.
All payments and receipts of foreign exchange arising from such transactions are listed in the
balance of payment accounts. It is, thus, a complete statement of a country`s payments and
receipts of foreign exchange in the given period of one year. Note that the trade of merchandise
(goods) is only one of the many items on account of which a country makes payment or receives
it. There are many other items, such as shipping and insurance services, interest and dividends,
tourist traffic, etc., which give rise to payments or receipts of foreign exchange. They too are
recorded, along with many others, to make a complete statement of accounts of how much
foreign currency of a country has to pay and how much of it is to receive in a given year.
Balance of payments accounts are prepared using the double-entry system of accounting, in
which the sum of all debits equals the sum of all credits, and the accounts are always in balance.
If a transaction earns foreign currency for the country, it is called a credit and recorded using a
plus sign. On the other hand, if a transaction refers to a spending of foreign currency by the
country, it is called a debit and is recorded in BOP accounts using a minus sign.
In other words, all receipts of foreign currency are credit items, whereas all payments of foreign
currency are debit items. If the total of the debit items and the total of the credit items are equal
in value, the country`s international payments are balanced. If the credit items are larger, so that
there is a net balance due to it, the country is said to have a favorable balance. If the debit items
are larger, so that there is a net balance due to foreigners, the country is said to have an
unfavorable balance.
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To inform the government of the country’s international position. (What will be the level
of export and import).
To help the country in receiving decision on monitory and fiscal policy.
Component (Elements) of BOP
1. Current account
2. Capital account
1. Current account
The current account records inflows and outflows of foreign currency resulting from flow of
goods, flow of services and unrequited (or unilateral) transfers. Accordingly, a current account
has three parts: trade balance, net services and net transfers.
Trade balance: The difference between the export and import of goods is called the trade
balance. The export and import of goods is also called visible trade, since goods are visible
items.
Net services: The difference between the export and import of services is called net services.
There are many services that are made use of in international trade, for example, shipping,
insurance, and banking services. Ships have to be hired for transporting goods from one country
to another. The merchandise carried by the ships has to be insured for any loss and damage in
transit. Banking services are used to facilitate receipts from and payments to foreign dealers.
When foreign ships ( for example, ships from a company in the USA) are hired by a country to
bring in goods imported from the USA, then, in addition to the payment for the imported goods,
payment has to be made to the US shipping company in foreign currency. Conversely, if foreign
countries use the services of, say Ethiopian insurance companies and banks, Ethiopia will receive
foreign currency from such countries an account of these services.
Nowadays, tourism and travel among countries has also become an important item on balance of
payments. When foreign tourists come to Ethiopia, they bring foreign currency in with them and
convert it into our currency to spend it in our domestic market. The country thus receives foreign
currency. Similarly, when Ethiopian tourists go abroad, they have to convert Ethiopian currency
in to foreign currency to spend it abroad. This involves outflow or payment of foreign exchange.
We may conclude that the difference between the inflow and outflow of foreign currency
because of the export and import of services, such as banking, insurance, transport, tourism, etc.,
constitutes what we call net services Note that the export and import of services is called
invisible trade.
Net transfers: Transactions such as gifts, remittance, donations, etc., are unreturned or unilateral
receipts and payments, because residents of a country receive them ‘for free’. Nothing has to be
paid in return, either at present or in the future, for such receipts. The difference between the
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receipts and payments of such transfers is known as net transfers. The sum of the three
components such as trade balance, net services and net transfers is called balance of payment on
current account or simply current account balance (CAB).
2. Capital account
The capital account of BOP records all such transactions between residents of a country and the
rest of the world that causes a change in the assets or liability status of residents of a country or
its government. It represents the international flow of loans and investments that changes the
country`s foreign assets and liabilities. A capital account is made up two major parts: the
country`s assets held abroad (which are recorded as a negative entry) and the assets held by
foreigners in the country (recorded as a positive entry). The sum total of these two components
gives the balance of payments on capital account or simply the capital account balance.
a) Private Transactions: These are transactions, which affect the assets and liabilities of
individuals, businesses, and other non-government entities.
b) Official transactions: These include transactions affecting the assets and liabilities of the
government and its agencies.
c) Direct Investment: It means purchasing as asset and, at the same time, acquiring control
of. For example, the acquisition of a firm in one country by a firm in another country or
the purchase of a house by individual abroad.
Portfolio Investment: It is the acquisition of an asset that does not give the purchaser
control over the asset. Examples are the purchase of shares in a foreign country or the
purchase of bonds issued by a foreign government
BOT = Balance of trade is the difference b/n export and import. (Export-Import).
NTP = Net Transfer Payment = is transaction such as gifts, remittances, donations, etc., are
unrequited or unilateral receipts and payments, because residents of a county receive them free.
Nothing has to be paid in return, either in present or in future, for such receipts.
Service account has been the only component of foreign trade in Ethiopia showing positive
BOP because transaction earning from shipping lines were increased and due to decline in net
interest payment to the rest of the world because of two reasons:
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By adding the balance on the capital account and the balance on current accounts, we get the
complete balance of the payments account. When receipts and payments are equal, the
balance of payments is said to be in balance. If the total BOP receipts are more than the
payments, the excess goes to a third account, the Foreign Exchange Reserves. When
payments exceed receipt, there is a depletion of foreign exchange reserves.
Every country has its own currency, which is used as a medium of exchange with in the
national borders of that country (and not outside the country). For instance, the currency of
Ethiopia is the Birr; of America it is the US dollar that of the UK is the British pound that of
Japan is the Yen, etc. There is no problem of payment if transactions (sales and purchases)
are made within the national border of a country. For instance, if a seller in Addis Ababa
sells goods to a buyer in Dire Dawa, he/she is paid in Birr. There is no problem because both
use the same currency. Nevertheless, if a seller sells goods to a buyer in England, the
problem of foreign currency occurs because the seller wants to receive payment in birr,
whereas the buyer wants to pay in Pounds. Payments across national borders give rise to a
new situation that of international payments. Currency that is used for making international
payments is called Foreign Exchange. Thus, foreign exchange refers to all currencies other
than the domestic currency of a given country. For instance, for Ethiopia, all currencies other
than birr are foreign exchange, and similarly for America, all currencies other than its US
dollar are foreign exchange.
The price of one currency in terms of another is known as the foreign exchange rate. One unit
of a foreign currency is exchanged for domestic currency at the rate. Since there is symmetry
between two currencies, their exchange rate can be quoted in two ways, i.e., foreign
currency expressed in terms of domestic currency or domestic currency expressed in terms of
foreign currency. There are various concepts of exchange rate system. Its two broad types
are Fixed Exchange Rate and Floating Exchange Rate.
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1. Fixed Exchange Rate: It is the rate at which is officially fixed (or pegged) in terms of
gold or any other currency by the government and adjusted only infrequently. Only a very
small deviation from this fixed value is possible. In this system, foreign central banks
stand ready to buy and sell their currencies at a fixed price. In case there is disequilibrium
in the balance of payment, causing excess demand or excess supply of foreign exchange,
the central bank of the country has to buy or sell the quantities of foreign exchange
required to eliminate the excess demand or supply. Note that the value of a currency fixed
in terms of another currency or in terms of gold is known as the parity value of the
currency.
2. Floating Exchange Rate: It is the rate at which is determined by forces of supply and
demand in the foreign exchange market. There is no (official) government intervention.
Here the value a currency is to be left completely free to be determined by market forces
of demand and supply of foreign exchange. Under this system, the central banks, without
intervention, allow the exchange rate to adjust to equate the demand and supply for
foreign currency. The foreign exchange market is busy at all times with changes in the
exchange rate. Just like the market price of a commodity, the exchange rate of a currency
is determined by demand and supply of foreign exchange in a freely fluctuating exchange
market.
Determinants of Exchange Rate
e) Expectation
When people expect the value of foreign currency will increase, they reduce the supply of
foreign currency that increases the Exchange Rate.
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The value of a currency in terms of foreign currency may increase or decrease under these two
systems of exchange rate, i.e., fixed and floating. Under the fixed exchange rate system, these
changes take place because of a policy decision by the monetary authority (government) of the
country, whereas under the floating exchange rate system, these changes are the result of changes
in the demand and supply of the currency in the free exchange market.
Under a fixed exchange regime, when a country raises the value of its currency in terms of
foreign currency, it is called revaluation. On the other hand, when a country brings down the
value of its currency in terms of foreign currency it is called devaluation. For example, in 1983
E.C., the Ethiopian transitional government devaluated the exchange rate of birr from birr 2.07
per US dollar to birr 5 per US dollar. Thus, because of devaluation, more birr were required to
buy one US dollar, i.e., the value of birr in terms of dollar went down. Under the floating
exchange rate system, an increase in the value of a currency in terms of foreign currency is called
appreciation. On the other hand, a fall in the value of a currency in terms of foreign currency is
called depreciation.
Remarks:
Under the floating exchange system, the exchange value of a currency frequently
appreciates or depreciates, depending up on the exchange in the demand for and supply
of the currency in the free exchange market.
Managed Floating is a hybrid of the fixed and floating exchange rate systems. It is
characterized by some intervention in the exchange rate movements by the government of
the country when a particular situation requires it. Currently the exchange rate of the birr
is determined by the managed floating exchange rate system.
The US dollar, British pound, French franc, and Japanese yen are considered to be strong
or hard currencies because, worldwide, people have faith in their general acceptance as
money. The Ethiopian birr and currencies of other developing countries are called soft
currencies since their exchange value is weak.
Impacts of Foreign Exchange Rate on BOP
The balance of payments account of a country largely indicates the monetary aspect of its
foreign trade, i.e., exports and imports. In addition, exports earn foreign currency for a
country, whereas imports imply the spending of foreign currency by the country. Naturally,
a change in the value of the currency of the country, in terms of the foreign currency, has an
impact on its balance of payments. An increase in the value of the currency of a country
makes its imports cheaper and its exports costlier (for foreign countries). In such a situation,
imports increases and exports decreases, thus leading to a trade deficit, i.e., an unfavorable
balance of payments. On the other hand, a decrease in the value of the currency of a country
in terms of foreign currency makes its imports costlier (for the local buyers) and exports
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cheaper (for the foreign buyers). In this situation, imports decreases and export increases,
thus leading to a trade surplus or favorable balance of payments.
CHAPTER-5
Definition: Public finance means public economics. Public finance deals with the financial
activity of the government such as collection of taxes, from those who benefited from the
provision of public good by the government, and use of those taxes for production and
distribution of public good and social services. Nevertheless, private finance deals with
individual financial activities.
The private firms may not provide certain goods and services. The reason is they are unwilling or
not allowed to produce. Therefore, the solution will be the government should have to take
responsibility.
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The aim of the government was expanding public sector. The major characteristic of Derg in
public finance includes:
Government adopted special tax policies (high direct and indirect taxes to discourage
private sector)
Raised government expense on defense
Strong involvement of the government into the economy
High degree of centralization
Mismanagement of economic resources
Post 1991
EPRDF takes reforms to increase government revenue and reduced expenses. The government`s
aim was to reduce budget deficit.
Fiscal policy has two parts: Expansionary and contractionary fiscal policy
Expansionary Fiscal policy: Happens when the revenue of the government is decreasing, such
as reduction of taxes and when the expenditure pattern of the government was reducing.
Contractionary Fiscal policy: Happens when the revenue of the government was increasing and
the expense of the government was reduced.
1. Allocation of resources
The government collects taxes in order to provide public goods to the society.
2. Distribution of income
When the expense of the government increases, aggregate demand increases, production rises,
employment and economic growth will also increases.
This includes the balancing revenue and expense of the government, reducing fluctuation in
price, output and employment level.
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Source of government revenue can be classified into tax and non-tax. Taxes from wage (salary),
agricultural income tax, and rural land use fee, business profit tax, Are examples of tax sources
of government revenues. The government revenue was increased from 21.79 billion in 2006/07
to 40.6 billion in 2008/09.
Data from MOFED (ministry of finance and economic development) indicates that the following
sectors absorb more than 90% of total expenditure in all regions: general administration (organ
of state, public order and security and justice), primary and secondary education (including
TVET), public health, agriculture and natural resources, clean water supply and rural road
construction and maintenance. In today`s economy, the importance of micro and small scale
enterprise and urban development are getting more attention in government policy. The major
reason is that they address urban problems like unemployment and poverty. On table 6.2, from
the period 2007-09, the share of recurrent expenditure shows increasing trend. From 2006-07,
government`s capital expenditure is increased and greater than recurrent expense.
Government Budget:-is a financial plan of the government revenue and expenditure for a
specific period, usually for one fiscal year. Fiscal year of Ethiopia were starts on Hamle 01 (July
7) and Sene 30 (July 6).
Budgeting
Revenue Expenditure
Revenue Budget
Annual forecast of government budget from tax, non-tax external assistance and capital
sources of revenues:
A. Ordinary Revenue
Tax Source of Government Revenue
1. Direct tax: - means a tax paid directly to the government by the persons on whom it’s
imposed. Some of its parts are:
A. Personal Income tax: - every person deriving income from employment in any
government or other private organization or NGO and income from employment were
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including any payments or gains in cash or in kind which he/she receives from
employees.
B. Business Income Tax: - is a tax imposed on firms or vocational activity or other
activity recognized as trade pays tax based on their profit.
C. Corporate tax: - is a direct tax levied on profits made by companies and often includes
capital gains of a company.
D. Inheritance Tax (Estate Tax):- it arises on the death of individual. It is a tax on the
property of a person who has died.
E. Transfer Tax: - a tax on passing of title of property from one person to another.
F. Tax on Dividends is income tax on dividend payments to the stockholders
(shareholders) of a company. It is a tax on the profit of shareholders.
G. Income from Games of chance: - is a tax on the winning at games of chance. E.g.,
lotteries are subject to tax at the rate of 15% who wins more than 100 birr.
H. Rental Income Tax: - is any payment you receive for the use or occupation of
property.
I. Interest Income on Deposits: - every person deriving income from interest on deposits
shall pay tax at the rate of 5%.
2. Indirect Tax: - are types of tax levied indirectly by consumer at the time of
purchase.
A. VAT (Value Added Tax)’- is a sales tax levied based on increase in value or price
of product at each stage in its manufacture and distribution and the cost of tax in
added at the final price and eventually paid by consumer on the purchase price of
15%.
B. Sales Tax: - is a consumption tax charged at the point of purchase for certain goods
and services.
C. Turn over Tax (TOT):- it is similar to sales tax or TOT. However, TOT is
imposed on those who are not registered for VAT in which their annual taxable
transaction is under the total value of birr 500,000.
D. Withholding Tax: - is a government requirement for the payer of an item of
income to withhold or deduct tax from the payment, and pay that tax to the
government.
E. Stamp Duty: - is a tax levied on documents. E.g. on majority of legal documents
like cheques, receipts, marriage licenses and land transactions. A physical stamp
(tax stamp) had to be attached to or impressed up on the document to denote that
stamp duty had been paid before the document was legally effective.
F. Excise duties: - are taxes imposed on selected goods, like luxury and basic goods,
which are demand inelastic. It is a tax on gasoline and other fuel and tax on tobacco
and alcohol.
3.Foreign trade tax: - it is a tax on export and import of products.
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A. Import Tax: - is a tax collected on imported goods. E.g., tariff is a tax levied mostly
on imported goods.
B. Export Tax: - is a tax collected on exported goods.
Non-Tax Source of Government Revenues
e.g., charges and fees, sales of government assets, government investment income,
privatization process.
B. External assistance
Capital revenue
Recurrent Capital
ExpenditurEx
A. Recurrent expenditure
e
It occurs when expenditure of the government is greater than revenue. The most important aspect
of fiscal policy is management of budget deficit financing. Good government finances deficit by
non-inflationary method. E.g., by borrowing from commercial banking or foreign sources.
Unhealthy way of budget financing is printing paper money. There are three ways to finance
budget deficit:-
I. Domestic borrowing
II. External borrowing
III. Printing money
I. Domestic Borrowing
The government may borrow money from domestic sources like banks. When the government
borrows money from domestic sources, problem occurs called “crouding out effect” which
means when the government borrows money from domestic financial sources, lending capacity
of the commercial banks and insurance were reduced; so that they will increase, the interest rate
will increase. This will finally reduce investment. The reduction of investment due to domestic
borrowing is called croud out effect.
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Fiscal Decentralization
It is the sharing of revenue between regions and central government and introduced transfers and
subsidies.
It is a type of tax levied on goods and services rather than persons. The consumer ultimately
pays in the form of higher price.
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Money –is anything that people are willing to accept in payment for goods and services or to
pay off debt. Before money was used as a medium of exchange, barter system was used. Then
metallic money made up of precious metals and paper money was used as money. Coins made
up of precious metals were disappeared because the intrinsic values of these metals were greater
than their face value. Exchange with the help of money was dated back to Axumite Kingdom.
Coins, minted from gold, silver and bronze were used to facilitate international trade. After the
fall of Axumite kingdom, salt and iron bar were used to conduct domestic trade. From 1789-
1887, Harari inhabitants used coins to conduct economic activities. The name of coins called
Mahlek and Ashrafi. Amole chew (salt bar) served as a medium of Exchange for a long period.
In the 19th century, Maria Theresa served as a medium of exchange in Ethiopia. Maria Theresa
were first minted in Vienna, Austria in 1741 and it contains 80% pure silver. It was widely
accepted as money in Ethiopia until 1945.
5.1.3 The role and function of central and commercial banks
Central banks-is a common name for other nation and not established for seeking of profit.
It does not transact directly with public. In Ethiopia, it was established in 1964 with 10
million birr of capital. The bank is owned and operated by the government.
Currency issue-the bank has an exclusive or monopolistic right to mint coins and print
money to bring uniformity in currency circulation.
Bank of the government –the bank accepts cash and check, advice make draft, supplies
cash for salaries to the government.
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Banks are established for the purpose of profit, they are profit oriented. Banks gain profit
through interest differential.
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F. Agency functions-banks travel funds from place to place, they pay insurance fee for
its customers, and they sell and purchase shares and t-bills of their customers…
Commercial bank of Ethiopia
It is the biggest and leading bank in Ethiopia. The bank has more than 171 branches. It was
established in 1963. The bank was merged with Addis bank in 1980. The bank performs what
other commercial bank performs.
In 1945 Agricultural bank was established, and in 1963 investment bank was established. In
1974, these two banks were merged together and renamed as Agriculture and Industrial
Development Bank. Its initial capital was 100,000 birr. From its important function, the bank
gives loan to agriculture investment development projects, controls, supervises and monitors
activities of projects financed by the bank.
Its first name was Housing and Saving Bank, which was established in 1975.its main role
includes advancing of loan to construction of house in urban areas. The bank also performs
similar activities that other commercial banks are doing.
Insurance is needed because the future is uncertain and risky. e.g., accident, damage, so for these
causalities, insurance companies pay a return and it is called premium. In Ethiopia, since
Axumite era, there were traditional self-helping groups were existed like idir, equb and mahber.
Europeans started modern types of insurance in Ethiopia in 1920. The first insurance company
established in 1923 by an Austrian named Muzinger. The first insurance company owned by
Ethiopian government was established in 1951 with was named imperial insurance company of
Ethiopia.
The financial policy of the government was like capitalist economic system. There were private
banks owned by foreigners and Ethiopians. There was no capital ceiling by the government.
The government nationalized all financial institutions. The National bank of Ethiopia
performs-
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Discriminates Lending Rate-the government charges high lending rate for private
borrowers and low lending rate for socialized sectors and cooperatives. Also the
government has low saving rate policy. For a deposit less than or equals to 100,000,
saving rate was 6% and for 100,000 and more, saving rate was 2%.
Over-valued birr- Derg kept the exchange rate at low level and applied fixed exchange
rate system. The consequence is it damages export because foreigners were not willing
to trade with Ethiopia due to exchange rate policy.
Followed high restrictive FOREX policy. The government restricted import of luxury
goods and levy high imported duty to stop outflow of FOREX. Consequently, due to the
above policy, smuggling of goods was increased. In addition, black market of FOREX
was increased as well. However, Derg achieved relative macroeconomic stability
through forced saving and the government raised FOREX reserve.
Financial policies of EPRDF
The objective of financial policy is achieving macroeconomic stability and bringing low level
of inflation. There is a conducive environment for private sectors in financial areas. The
government abolished discriminatory lending rate. The government fixed minimum deposit
and maximum lending rates since 1994, but later the ceiling was abolished in January 1998.
The government use indirect monetary policy like OMO and other monetary policy
instruments. In addition, the government devaluated birr in 1992 to increase export. i.e., the
value of birr in terms of foreign nation was decreased.
During the Derg period, the performance of governmental owned banks were poor. The
reason was that the government followed restrictive and discriminatory policy. The private
sectors were highly discriminated, e.g. advancement of credit to public enterprises at low
interest rate.
Collection of loan from public have problems –the money that was borrowed from was
used improperly and the public unable to return back money. Here there are two concepts,
Narrow money and broad money.
A. Narrow money-includes currency in circulation + demand deposit. Alternatively, an asset
can be used as money directly.
B. Broad money-includes money one (M1) + saving +time deposit. It includes money that is
not used directly as money. Saving + time deposit are called quasi (near) money. Quasi
money shows annual growth rate of 10%. Also broad money shows annual growth rate of
13.4% during Derg regime.
During EPRDF government followed tight monetary policy until 1996, like
contractionary monetary policy. The performance of national bank was increasing after
1991. The performance of financial sector during EPRDF was high as compared to Derg
regime.
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5.4. problems and possible remedies for the financial sector in Ethiopia
Major problems
Financial sector in Ethiopia is under developed. The economy is less monetized; i.e. limited
circulation of money and financial institutions throughout the country. Transactions are
mainly conducted informally.
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