December 15, 2023

HPCL-Mittal Energy Limited: Rating reaffirmed; rated amount enhanced

Summary of rating action

Previous Rated Amount Current Rated Amount

Instrument* Rating Action
(Rs. crore) (Rs. crore)
Long-term fund-based – Term [ICRA]AA+ (Stable);
13,441.00 14,785.00
loan reaffirmed/assigned
NCD 1 1,000.00 1,000.00 [ICRA]AA+ (Stable); reaffirmed

NCD 2 1,000.00 1,000.00 [ICRA]AA+ (Stable); reaffirmed

Total 15,441.00 16,785.00

*Instrument details are provided in Annexure-I

Rationale

To arrive at the rating of HPCL-Mittal Energy Limited (HMEL), ICRA has taken a consolidated view of HMEL and HMPL because
of the synergies between the two entities.

The rating reaffirmation factors in HMEL’s strategic importance and its operational linkages with parent Hindustan Petroleum
Corporation Limited (HPCL, [ICRA]AAA(Stable)/[ICRA]A1+). The rating action is also backed by the high complexity of its
refinery, which aids its gross refining margins (GRMs), and the financial flexibility that has enabled the company to refinance
most of the long-term debt, resulting in low debt repayments in the near to medium term and an elongated maturity profile.
This, along with some deleveraging of the balance sheet through prepayment of existing debt, has resulted in the break-even
GRM for HMEL to service its debt obligations and meet the operational expenses being lower than the actual GRMs posted.
Moreover, HMEL’s refinery is one of the most complex refineries in India with a Nelson Complexity Index (NCI) of 12.6, and its
distillate yield is high with more than 50% of the product slate comprising diesel. Further, HMEL has commissioned the 1.2-
MMTPA petrochemical plant which will result in downstream integration and revenue diversification, apart from providing a
boost to the cash flow generation.

The GRMs have remained strong, resulting in healthy EBITDA generation for the company. While the GRMs have started to
moderate now with some pressure in global product demand, they are likely to remain healthy. On the other hand, the
petrochemical unit is largely stabilised, but the profitability is likely to remain depressed owing to weak spreads and the
oversupply situation globally. ICRA notes that the two segments are likely to compensate each other in case of downturn in
any one segment, resulting in annualised EBITDA generation of Rs. 7,500-8,500 crore, which, in the absence of any major capex
plan would result in steady deleveraging of the balance sheet.

Further, HMEL is strategically important for HPCL to meet the demand for petroleum products in North India as HPCL does not
have any refinery in this region. HMEL has a product offtake agreement with HPCL with a take-or-pay clause for its liquid
products till CY2026 (with rollover option for another 5+5 years), mitigating the offtake risk. Additionally, HPCL has provided
operational and financial support to HMEL in the past.

However, the ratings are tempered by the elevated debt levels on account of the recently commissioned large petrochemical
project (1.2 MMTPA mixed feed cracker). Moreover, the petrochemical spreads have remained subdued owing to the excess
capacities in Asia as well as subdued demand from China and Europe and the company remains exposed to the inherent
volatility in petrochemical spreads.
The ratings also take into account the vulnerability of the company’s profitability to the global refining margin cycle, import
duty protection and INR-USD parity levels. The ratings also consider the asset concentration risk from being a single-location
refinery and the sensitivity of profits to crude oil price volatility. The inventory losses/gains are likely to be higher for land-
locked refineries like HMEL when there is a sharp fall/rise in crude oil prices because of the high inventory holdings.

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 Moreover, ICRA notes that there is a credit rating linked trigger with respect to the coupon step-up and step-down as well as
a mandatory prepayment event, in case of a rating downgrade to a particular level for some of the NCDs of the company.

The Stable outlook reflects ICRA’s expectation of adequate cash generation from the refinery and petrochemical operations,
driven by healthy capacity utilisation of the refinery, to meet the debt obligations. While the debt levels are expected to remain
elevated in the near term, they are expected to improve as the petrochemical project starts generating profits.

Key rating drivers and their description

Credit strengths

Long and established track record of HPCL in domestic refining and marketing business – The rating of HMEL considers the
support from HPCL, the lead sponsor, which has a long track record in the refining segment and provides financial flexibility.
HPCL, which has a strong credit profile, is also responsible for product marketing through a take-or-pay agreement with HMEL
for liquid products and has set up the relevant marketing infrastructure to facilitate the same. HMEL is also of strategic
importance for HPCL as the latter does not have any other refinery in the product-deficit northern region of the country.

Favourable location of refinery in petroleum product-deficit and high-growth northern region – HMEL’s refinery is situated
in the petroleum product-deficit northern region of the country, where demand has been growing faster than other parts of
the country. There are only three refineries in the north — at Panipat in Haryana and Mathura in Uttar Pradesh, both owned
by Indian Oil Corporation Limited (IOC, rated [ICRA]AAA(Stable)/[ICRA]A1+), and HMEL’s unit Bathinda. The demand in this
region surpasses the combined capacity of these refineries. Hence, the products are transported from the western part of the
country. Post the commissioning of HMEL’s refinery, the shortage has decreased in the northern region.

Superior refining capability, high operational efficiency and healthy capacity utilisation in last couple of years – HMEL’s
refinery can process mostly heavy and sour crude oil (average APIº: 26) and achieve a high distillate yield. As the demand for
middle distillates is expected to increase in the domestic market, the configuration has been selected to maximise the yield.
The refinery also has the flexibility to change its product slate marginally. Overall, the Nelson Complexity Index (NCI), a
measurement of the complexity, is high at 12.6 for the refinery. The operational performance of the refinery has been healthy
in the recent past, characterised by higher capacity utilisation levels (>100%). The throughput was 12.7 MMTPA in FY2023,
indicating capacity utilisation of 113%, and remained high for H1 FY2024 as well.

Downstream integration with commencement of petrochemical project – The commencement of the 1.2-MMTPA
petrochemical ethylene cracker plant in March 2023 helped HMEL to diversify its product portfolio, producing a range of
petrochemical products. This diversification will reduce the company's reliance on traditional fuel products and expand its
offerings to cater to different market demands. The new petrochemical plant will also generate additional revenue streams
for the company. HMEL, being an integrated energy company, can leverage the synergy between its existing refining operations
and the new petrochemical plant. By using the refinery’s by-products as feedstock for the petrochemical plant, the company
can optimise operational efficiency and cost-effectiveness.

Healthy financial flexibility – The rating factors in the heathy financial flexibility of HMEL, reflected in its ability to refinance
its term loan obligations. Further, the company has demonstrated some deleveraging of the balance sheet owing to healthy
accruals. The term debt repayments will remain low for FY2024, with a gradual increase, going forward.

Credit challenges

Large debt-funded capex for petrochemical project, which has faced cost and time overruns – HMEL has commissioned a
petrochemical project during Mar 2023 to diversify its product slate, which should reduce the exposure to the commodity
cycles of petroleum products. The project is a 1.2-MMTPA (of ethylene) multi-feed cracker with fuel gas, naphtha and other
petroleum outputs of the refinery as feedstocks, which witnessed cost and time overruns, which were funded through debt.
However, healthy cash generation post strong refining margins have started the steady deleveraging of the balance sheet.

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 Moreover, the debt tied up for the petrochemical project has a long moratorium and repayment tenure, which provides
comfort from a credit perspective.

Vulnerability of profitability to volatility in refining margins and petrochemical spreads, USD-INR parity, import duty
differentials – The refining of crude oil is a capital-intensive industry and lumpy large capacity additions lead to cyclicality in
GRMs globally. Being a deregulated sector, HMEL’s profits are exposed to the international refining cycle. Besides, crude oil
and most petroleum products are priced in US$/bbl or US$/MT, which along with significant foreign currency debt, makes the
profits vulnerable to foreign currency movements (especially INR-USD levels). Further, the domestic refining industry, including
HMEL, has duty protection due to the differential in the duties of finished petroleum products and crude oil, and any adverse
regulatory development will negatively impact the profits. HMEL’s refinery at Bathinda is land-locked, which makes it more
vulnerable to crude oil price volatility as inventory losses/gains are likely to be higher for such refineries in a scenario of a sharp
fall/rise in crude oil prices because of the high inventory holdings.

Asset concentration risk as a single-location refinery – HMEL has refining operations only at Bathinda, Punjab, and derives all
its revenues from this single unit. The operations at one location expose it to asset concentration risks related to natural
calamities, accident at the plant etc. Nonetheless, the risk is partly mitigated by various insurance covers that address these
risks.

Liquidity position: Adequate

The liquidity position of the company is expected to remain adequate with the capex cycle largely over and the presence of
free cash balances of around Rs. 2,800 crore as on June 30, 2023 along with some cushion in the working capital limits.

Rating sensitivities

Positive factors – The rating can be upgraded if there is a ramp-up of the petrochemical capacities, coupled with steady refining
margins, that would lead to a healthy cash flow generation and translate into material deleveraging of the balance sheet.

Negative factors – Factors leading to a downward revision of the rating include weakening of the credit risk profile of HPCL,
weakening of the linkages of HMEL with HPCL, and any significant deterioration in HMEL’s standalone financial risk profile.

Analytical approach

Analytical Approach Comments

Corporate Credit Rating Methodology

Applicable rating methodologies
Rating Methodology for Refining and Marketing

Parent: Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited

The ratings take into account the parentage of HPCL as the parent has provided significant
Parent/Group support equity support in the past. HMEL is of strategic importance to the parent, given the take-or-
pay offtake agreement for liquid products and the absence of an HPCL refinery in petroleum
product-deficit northern India.

Consolidation/Standalone The ratings are based on the consolidated financials of HMEL.

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 About the company

HPCL-Mittal Energy Limited (HMEL), incorporated as Guru Gobind Singh Refinery Limited (GGSRL) in 2000, is a joint venture
between HPCL and Mittal Energy Investment Pte Ltd (MEIL, Singapore - a L. N. Mittal group company). Both the JV partners
hold 48.99% stake each in the company, while the remaining 2.02% is held by financial institutions (IFCI – 0.96%, SBI – 0.65%
and HDFC Life – 0.4%).

In February 2012, HMEL commercially commissioned a greenfield refinery complex with a 9-MMTPA capacity at Bathinda
(Punjab) along with a captive power plant of 165 MW. The refinery is configured to process a wide range of crude, including
heavy crude, and achieved EURO III/EURO IV specifications for auto fuels. In June 2017, HMEL completed the expansion of its
refining capacity to 11.3 MMTPA from 9 MMTPA. The company has recently commissioned a 1.2-MMTPA ethylene cracker at
its Bathinda facility.

To meet the crude receipt and storage facilities as well as to transport the crude for the company, its wholly-owned subsidiary
- HPCL-Mittal Pipelines Ltd (HMPL) - set up a crude oil terminal (COT) and single point mooring (SPM) at Mundra port, Gujarat,
and a cross-country pipeline to transport crude oil from Mundra to Bathinda.

Key financial indicators (audited)

HMEL Consolidated FY2022 FY2023

Operating income 59,105.2 78,040.4
PAT 1,257.6 4,898.6
OPBDIT/OI 10.9% 13.4%
PAT/OI 2.1% 6.3%
Total outside liabilities/Tangible net worth (times) 4.6 3.7
Total debt/OPBDIT (times) 5.3 3.7
Interest coverage (times) 6.5 3.7
PAT: Profit after tax; OPBDIT: Operating profit before depreciation, interest, taxes and amortisation; Amount in Rs crore

Status of non-cooperation with previous CRA: Not applicable

Any other information: None

Rating history for past three years

Chronology of rating history

Current rating (FY2024)
for the past 3 years
Amount Date & Date &
Amount outstanding as rating in rating in Date & rating in FY2021
Instrument Date & rating in FY2024
rated on Sep 30,
Type FY2023 FY2022
(Rs. 2023
crore) (Rs. crore) Mar 23, Aug 24,
Dec 15, 2023 Jul 28, 2023 Jul 29, 2022 Jul 30, 2021
2021 2020
Long [ICRA]AA+ [ICRA]AA+ [ICRA]AA+ [ICRA]AA+ [ICRA]AA+ [ICRA]AA+
1 Term loans 14,785.0 12,407.0
term (Stable) (Stable) (Stable) (Stable) (Stable) (Stable)
Long term -
Non- Long [ICRA]AA+ [ICRA]AA+ [ICRA]AA+ [ICRA]AA+ [ICRA]AA+ [ICRA]AA+
2 2,000.0 2,000.0
convertible term (Stable) (Stable) (Stable) (Stable) (Stable) (Stable)
debentures
Long term -
[ICRA]AA+
Non- Long [ICRA]AA+
3 - -- - (Stable); - - -
convertible term (Stable)
withdrawn
debentures

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 Long term -
[ICRA]AA+
Non- Long [ICRA]AA+
4 - -- - - (Stable); - -
convertible term (Stable)
withdrawn
debentures
Commercial
Short [ICRA]A1+;
5 paper - -- - - - - [ICRA]A1+
term withdrawn
programme

Complexity level of the rated instruments

Long-term fund-based – Term loan Complexity Indicator

Long-term fund-based – Term loan Simple
Long-term – NCD Very Simple

The Complexity Indicator refers to the ease with which the returns associated with the rated instrument could be estimated.
It does not indicate the risk related to the timely payments on the instrument, which is rather indicated by the instrument's
credit rating. It also does not indicate the complexity associated with analysing an entity's financial, business, industry risks or
complexity related to the structural, transactional or legal aspects. Details on the complexity levels of the instruments are
available on ICRA’s website: Click Here

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 Annexure I: Instrument details

Instrument Coupon Amount Rated Current Rating and

ISIN Date of Issuance Maturity
Name Rate (Rs. crore) Outlook
FY2024-
- Term loans FY2018-FY2021 7-7.3% 14,785.0 [ICRA]AA+(Stable)
FY2028
Bond February
INE137K07042 February 28, 2020 9.18% 1000.0 [ICRA]AA+(Stable)
programme 28, 2030
Bond Sep 3,
INE137K07059 September 3, 2020 7.15% 1000.0 [ICRA]AA+(Stable)
programme 2025
Source: Company

Please click here to view details of lender-wise facilities rated by ICRA

Annexure II: List of entities considered for consolidated analysis

Consolidation
Company Name Ownership
Approach
HPCL-Mittal Pipelines Limited 100.0% Full Consolidation
RJ-ONN-2005/2 E&P block in Rajasthan 20.0% Equity method
Source: HMEL

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 ANALYST CONTACTS
Sabyasachi Majumdar Prashant Vasisht
+91 124 4545 304 +91 124 4545 322
[email protected] [email protected]

Ankit Jain Manish Dwivedi

+91 124 4545 865 +91 124 4545 814
[email protected] [email protected]

RELATIONSHIP CONTACT
L. Shivakumar
+91 22 6114 3406
[email protected]

MEDIA AND PUBLIC RELATIONS CONTACT

Ms. Naznin Prodhani
Tel: +91 124 4545 860
[email protected]

Helpline for business queries

+91-9354738909 (open Monday to Friday, from 9:30 am to 6 pm)

[email protected]

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