Deri - Note Class
Deri - Note Class
Deri - Note Class
Introduction
● Where are derivatives traded?
⇒ Exchange markets or Over-the-counter markets (OTC)
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Underlying assets: các tài sản tài chính mà giá của các công cụ phái sinh dựa trên đó
4. Derivatives market size
5. Exchange trading & OTC trading
6. Futures Contracts
What is a futures contract?
● A future contract is an agreement to buy or sell an asset at a certain time in the future for a certain
price
● By contrast in a spot contract, there is an agreement to buy or sell the asset immediately (or within a
very short period of time)
Terminology
● The party that has agreed to buy has a long position
● The party that has agreed to sell has a short position
Futures Price
● The futures prices for a particular contract is the price at which you agree to buy or sell.
● It is determined by supply and demand in the same way as a spot price2.
● Supply and demand is itself determined by such factors as the possibility of arbitrage and
expectations about the future spot price of the underlying.
7. Forward Contracts
● Forward contracts are similar to futures except that they trade in the over-the-counter market
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Spot price: giá hiện hành trên thị trường giao ngay
● Forward contracts are popular on currencies and interest rates
8. Options
● There are two basic types
○ A call option is an option to buy a certain asset by a certain date for a certain price (the strike
price)
○ A put option is an option to sell a certain asset by a certain date for a certain price (the strike
price)
● American v. European Options
○ An American option can be exercised at any time during its life
○ A European option can be exercised only at maturity
1. Forward contracts
● A forward contract is an OTC agreement to buy or sell an asset at a certain time in the future for a
certain price
● There is no daily settlement (but collateral may have to be posted). At the end of the life of the
contract one party buys the asset for the agreed price from the other party
● No money changes hands when first negotiated & the contract is settled at maturity
● The initial value of the contract is zero
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Standardized contract dimension: "kích thước hợp đồng được chuẩn hóa," đó có nghĩa là các yếu tố như giá trị, số lượng, ngày
thanh toán và các điều kiện khác của hợp đồng đã được xác định trước đó và đồng nhất cho tất cả các hợp đồng tương lai cùng loại.
○ Default risk 4
○ Lack of liquidity
● How Futures Contracts Solve These Problems
○ Standardized contract dimension
○ Default risk is controlled by the clearing corporation and regulations
○ Market liquidity is assured by the structure of the mark
4. Futures contract
Long and short
● Buying futures is called being long futures.
● Selling futures is called being short futures.
Future payoff5
● Buying a futures contract (long future) locks in a price now (t=0) for you to buy the underlying
asset (S) for the locked-in futures price (K) at maturity (t=T).
● The payoff of a long futures (LF) contract at maturity is:
● Selling a future (short future) gives you the obligation to sell the underlying asset (S) to the long
future trader for the locked-in futures price (K) at maturity (t=T).
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Default risk: rủi ro không trả tiền
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The payoff: the value of the contract at the maturity date, or we can say what you receive at time T. Payoff is different from profit.
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The amount of LF lose (or gain) = The amount of SF gain (or lose)
Future Profit
● The profit at maturity (π𝑇) on a futures contract is exactly the same as the payoff at maturity (𝑓𝑇)
since nothing is paid to enter into the future at time zero.
● Khác với options, profit at maturity của options sẽ không bằng payoff của options. Tại vì profit của
options sẽ thâm hụt bởi phải trả phí mua options đó.
4. Exchange Trading
● Futures contracts are exchange-traded. Exchange trading has many advantages; one being that is
solves the problem of the 'double coincidence of wants7'. The futures exchange matches buyers and
sellers so that individuals don’t have to search for a counterparty with exactly the opposite
requirements – someone who wants to buy the same thing that you want to sell at the same point in
the future.
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double coincidence of wants: bạn muốn con gà của bạn A nhưng bạn A không muốn đưa con gà cho bạn
● Specifications have to be clearly defined:
○ What is to be delivered,
○ Where it can be delivered, &
○ When it can be delivered
○ Losses and gains are settled daily (margins)
7.Margins
● A margin is cash or marketable securities deposited by an investor with his or her broker
● The balance in the margin account is adjusted to reflect daily settlement
● Margins minimize the possibility of a loss through a default on a contract
● The maintenance margin is the minimum amount that a margin account is allowed to fall to
before a margin call is made requiring the investor to top up the margin account back to its original
level.
● The variation margin is known as the extra funds deposited
Explanation:
● A margin call occurs if $2000 is lost on the contract;
○ Initial margin - maintenance margin = $4000 - $2000 = $2000.
● The company has a long futures contract; therefore it will lose if the futures price falls.
● The total value of the contract is 6000 bushels* $2.70 = $16,200.
● The contract would have to be worth $2000 less ($14,200) for a margin call to be made.
Solutions:
● Let x = the price required for a margin call to be made:
○ 6000 × (2.7 − x) = 4000 − 2000 ⇒ x = $2.37 (rounded)
⇒ The futures price would have to fall below $2.37 for a margin call to be made.
● A $5000 surplus would occur if the contract was worth $5000 more than at the start: $16,200 + $5000
= $21,200
● We now solve for the price that would cause the contract value to reach $21200.
○ 6000 × (x − 2.7) = 5000 ⇒ x = $3.53 (rounded)
● If the price rose to $3.53 the company would have $5000 extra in its margin account (above the initial
margin), all or part of which could have been withdrawn from the margin account by the company.
● If the futures price is above the spot price very close to delivery, an arbitrage mechanism should
ensure that the two prices will converge. A trader could sell in the futures market and buy in the
spot market. If traders were doing this, the effect would be to drive up the spot price and drive down
the futures price until they converge.
○ Ex: Giả sử giá hợp đồng tương lai cho dầu thô là 60 đô la, trong khi giá chốt hiện tại là 58 đô
la. Một nhà giao dịch có thể bán một hợp đồng tương lai ở mức giá 60 đô la và đồng thời mua
dầu thô trong thị trường chốt ở giá 58 đô la. Hành động này sẽ tăng giá chốt và giảm giá hợp
đồng tương lai cho đến khi chúng hội tụ ở mức giá cân bằng.
● If the futures price is below the spot price very close to delivery, simply buying the underlying
via the futures represents a cheaper method of obtaining the underlying. Or, if an arbitrageur did not
require the underlying, it could simply be sold in the spot market immediately. In either case, the
futures price would be driven up to meet the spot price.
○ Ex: Nếu giá hợp đồng tương lai cho vàng là 1400 đô la, trong khi giá chốt hiện tại là 1420 đô
la, người mua có thể mua một hợp đồng tương lai với giá 1400 đô la và sau đó bán vàng ngay
lập tức trong thị trường chốt với giá 1420 đô la. Hành động này sẽ làm tăng giá hợp đồng
tương lai và giảm giá chốt cho đến khi chúng hội tụ.
12. Orders
● Instructions given by clients to brokers (we give the information of our demand: which stock we
want to buy at which price,...)
● Similar to share trading orders
● Market Order: a request that a trade be carried out immediately at the best market price available.
● Limit Order: a particular price is specified.
○ An investor taking a long position by means of lodging a limit order of $30 with his broker
expects that the asset will be bought at no more than $30.
■ Ex: Lệnh giới hạn mua (Limit Order to Buy):
● Một nhà đầu tư muốn mua một tài sản cụ thể và quyết định đặt một lệnh giới
hạn mua với giá $30.
● Điều này có nghĩa là người đó sẽ chỉ đồng ý mua tài sản nếu giá của nó không
vượt quá $30.
● Nếu giá tài sản giảm và đạt đến hoặc dưới mức giá $30, lệnh giới hạn sẽ được
kích hoạt và tài sản sẽ được mua với giá $30 hoặc giảm hơn.
○ The equivalent short position limit order would be to sell at not less than $30.
■ Lệnh giới hạn bán (Limit Order to Sell):
● Ngược lại, một nhà đầu tư khác muốn bán một tài sản và đặt một lệnh giới hạn
bán với giá $30.
● Người đó chỉ sẽ bán tài sản nếu giá của nó không thấp hơn $30.
● Nếu giá tài sản tăng và đạt đến hoặc vượt qua mức giá $30, lệnh giới hạn sẽ
được kích hoạt và tài sản sẽ được bán với giá $30 hoặc cao hơn.
● There is a risk that a limit order may not be executed.
● Answer:
○ Trading volume is 6 contracts, the sum of all contracts bought.
○ Open interest is 4, best calculated by adding the traders’ net long positions (positive ‘net’
numbers = 2+2) as below.
● If the rate is compounded m times per annum, the terminal value of the investment is:
Examples
● A = $100 ; r = 10%; t = 1 ⇒ 100(1+10%)= 110 (1)
● t=1, m=2 ⇒100(1+10%/2)^2 = 110.25 (2)
● t=1, m=4 ⇒ 100(1+10%/4)^4=110.38 (3)
2. Continuous Compounding ⇒ m = ∞
● With continuous compounding, it can be shown that an A invested for n years at rat R grows to:
Công thức
Or
2. Short Selling
● Short selling involves selling securities you do not own
● Your broker borrows the securities from another client and sells them in the market in the usual way
● At some stage, you must buy the securities back so they can be replaced in the account of the client
● You must pay to the broker any income, such as dividends or interest received from the securities that
have been shorted. There may be a small fee for borrowing the securities.
Example:
You short 100 shares when the price is $100 and close out the short position three months later when the
price is $90. During the three months, a dividend of $3 per share is paid.
● What is your profit?
● What would be your loss if you had bought 100 shares?
4. Arbitrage Opportunities?
Problem 1
Suppose that:
● The spot price of a non-dividend-paying stock is $40
● The 3-month forward is $43
● The 3-month US$ interest rate is 5% per annum
Is there an arbitrage opportunity?
● Action now:
○ Borrow $40 at 5% (per annum) for 3 months
○ Buy one unit of asset
○ Enter into forward contract to sell asset in 3 months for $43
● Action in 3 months:
○ Sell asset for $43
0.05 𝑥 3/12
○ Use $40.50 = $40 x 𝑒 to repay loan with interest
● Profit realized = $2.50 = $43 - $40.50
If they say nothing, that means the interest rate is continuously compounding
Problem 2
Suppose that:
● The spot price of non-dividend-paying stock is $40
● The 3-month forward price is $39
● The 3-month US$ interest arte is 5% per annum
Is there an arbitrage opportunity?
● Action now:
○ Short one unit of asset to realize $40
○ Sau đó lấy $40 lợi nhuận kiếm được từ short → Invest $40 at 5% for 3 months
○ Enter into forward contract to buy asset in 3 months for $39
● Action in 3 months:
○ Buy asset for $39
○ Close short position
0.05 𝑥 3/12
○ Received $40.50 = $40 x 𝑒 from investment
● Profit realized = $1.50 = $40.50 - 39
This equation relates the forward price and the spot price for any investment asset that provides no income
and has no storage costs
𝑟𝑇
If 𝐹0 > 𝑆0𝑒 , an investor can adopt the following strategy:
● Borrow 𝑆0 dollars at an interest rate r for T year
● Buy one unit of the asset
● Short a forward contract on one unit of the asset
𝑟𝑇
● At time T, the asset is sold for 𝐹0. An amount 𝑆0𝑒 is required to repay the loan at this time and the
𝑟𝑇
investor makes a profit of 𝐹0 > 𝑆0𝑒
𝑟𝑇
If 𝐹0 < 𝑆0𝑒 , an investor who owns the asset can:
● Sell the asset for 𝑆0
● Invest the proceeds at interest rate r for time T
● Take a long position in a forward contract on the asset
𝑟𝑇
● At time T, the cash invested has grown to 𝑆0𝑒 . The asset is repurchased for 𝐹0 and the investor
𝑟𝑇
makes a profit of 𝑆0𝑒 − 𝐹0 relative to the position the investor would have been in if the asset had
been kept
● Where I is the present value of the income during life of forward contract.
𝑟𝑇
● If 𝐹0 > (𝑆0 − 𝐼)𝑒 , an arbitrageur can lock in profit by buying the asset and shorting a forward
contract on the asset
𝑟𝑇
● If 𝐹0 < (𝑆0 − 𝐼)𝑒 an arbitrageur can lock in a profit by shorting the asset and taking a long in a
forward contract
● Where q is the average yield during the life of the contract (expressed with continuous
compounding)
* Equation (4.3):
Or
○ The value of a long forward contract on an investment asset that provides a known income
with present value I
○ The value of a long forward contract on an investment asset that provides a known yield at
rate q
○ Where q is the dividend yield on the portfolio represented by the index during life of contract
● For the formula to be true it is important that the index represent an investment asset
● In other words, changes in the index must correspond to changes in the value of a tradable portfolio
● The Nikkei index viewed as a dollar number does not represent an investment asset
13. Index Arbitrage
(𝑟−𝑞)𝑇
● When 𝐹0 > 𝑆0𝑒 an arbitrageur buys the stocks underlying the index and sells futures
(𝑟−𝑞)𝑇
● When 𝐹0 < 𝑆0𝑒 an arbitrageur buys futures and shorts or sells the stocks underlying the index
● Index arbitrage involves simultaneous trades in futures and many different stocks
● Very often a computer is used to generate the trades
⇒ Suppose that an individual starts with 1,000 units of foreign currency. There are two ways it can be
converted to dollars at time T. One is by investing it for T years at rf and entering into a forward contract to
sell the proceeds for dollars at time T. This generates 1,000erf T F0 dollars. The other is by exchanging the
foreign currency for dollars in the spot market and investing the proceeds for T years at rate r. This generates
1,000S0erT dollars.
● where u is the storage cost per unit time as a percent of the asset value.
● Alternatively,
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Consumption asset: Một tài sản được coi là "consumption asset" nếu nó mang lại lợi ích tiêu thụ cho chủ sở hữu. Ví dụ điển hình của
"consumption asset" là vàng. Vàng không chỉ có giá trị tài chính mà còn được sử dụng trong việc làm đồ trang sức, trang trí, và thậm chí làm nền
tảng cho một số nền kinh tế văn hóa. Đối với nhà đầu tư, việc nắm giữ "consumption asset" không chỉ là để đầu tư mà còn để sử dụng hoặc tiêu
thụ trong tương lai.
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Convenience yield: "Convenience yield" là một yếu tố khó đo lường nhưng quan trọng trong tài chính, liên quan đến việc nắm giữ một tài sản cụ
thể. Nếu một người nắm giữ một tài sản như hàng hóa hoặc chứng khoán, và việc nắm giữ đó mang lại lợi ích ngoại trừ lợi ích tài chính, thì phần
lợi ích đó được gọi là "convenience yield". Ví dụ, nếu việc nắm giữ một loại hàng hóa cụ thể mang lại lợi ích thuận tiện như sẵn có khi cần sử
dụng ngay lập tức, thì đó là một "convenience yield".