How Make Decision Basing On P Value

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To make a decision based on a p-value, you need to first specify the null

hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis. The null hypothesis is the statement
that there is no difference between the two populations being compared. The
alternative hypothesis is the statement that there is a difference between the two
populations.

Once you have specified the null and alternative hypotheses, you need to set a
significance level. This is the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is
actually true. The most common significance level is 0.05, which means that
there is a 5% chance of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true.

The p-value is the probability of obtaining the observed results or more extreme
results if the null hypothesis is true. If the p-value is less than or equal to the
significance level, then you reject the null hypothesis. This means that you have
sufficient evidence to support the alternative hypothesis.

If the p-value is greater than the significance level, then you fail to reject the null
hypothesis. This means that you do not have sufficient evidence to support the
alternative hypothesis.

It is important to note that a p-value does not tell you whether the null hypothesis
is true or false. It only tells you how likely it is to be true given the observed
results.

Here is an example of how to make a decision based on a p-value:

● Null hypothesis: There is no difference between the average height of men


and women.
● Alternative hypothesis: The average height of men is different from the
average height of women.
● Significance level: 0.05
● P-value: 0.01

Since the p-value is less than the significance level, we reject the null hypothesis.
This means that we have sufficient evidence to support the alternative
hypothesis, which is that the average height of men is different from the average
height of women.

It is important to note that the p-value is just one factor to consider when making
a decision. Other factors, such as the power of the study and the effect size,
should also be considered.

Here are some additional things to keep in mind when interpreting p-values:

● A p-value of 0.05 is often considered to be the "gold standard" for


statistical significance. However, this is just a convention and there is no
one-size-fits-all answer. The significance level should be chosen based on
the specific context of the study.
● A p-value can be misleading if the sample size is small. A small sample
size can lead to a high p-value even if there is a real difference between
the two populations.
● The p-value does not tell you the size of the difference between the two
populations. To get this information, you need to look at the effect size.

I hope this helps!

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