Aaple Report 11.23.23
Aaple Report 11.23.23
Aaple Report 11.23.23
AAPL A Outperform
Apple Inc NASDAQ Data as of 11/24/2023
20%
S&P 500
0%
© 2023 Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. (1120-0XS8, 0322-2ZHD, 0822-2FMU) Page 1 of 5
Schwab Equity Ratings® Report
Report generated on 11/26/2023, 03:15 AM
Powered by Schwab's QORE ANALYTICS®
AAPL A Outperform
Apple Inc NASDAQ Data as of 11/24/2023
© 2023 Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. (1120-0XS8, 0322-2ZHD, 0822-2FMU) Page 2 of 5
Schwab Equity Ratings® Report
Report generated on 11/26/2023, 03:15 AM
Powered by Schwab's QORE ANALYTICS®
Apple Inc
NEWS HEADLINES
4 3 2 1 $200
190
180
170
Oct 23 30 Nov 6 13 20
1 11/03/23 12:49 am ET... CFRA Maintains Buy Opinion on Shares 3 10/31/23 1:06 am ET... CFRA Maintains Buy Opinion on Shares of
of Apple Inc. (AAPL 177.57 ****) : We adjust our 12-month Apple Inc. (AAPL 170.29 ****) : At its “Scary Fast” virtual
target to $210 from $220 based on a P/E of 28.4x our CY 25 EPS event on Halloween eve, AAPL announces three new processors with
estimate of $7.39, above peers given AAPL’s installed base/financial the M3 chip family (M3, M3 Pro, M3 Max), upgraded 14- and 16-inch
position. We hold our FY 24 (Sep.) EPS at $6.56 and FY 25 at $7.20. MacBook Pro laptops, and a new iMac. The M3 line-up based on
We believe results provide ammunition for bulls and bears (see prior 3nm offers considerably faster speeds/greater unified memory (up to
note for Sep-Q color). On the negative side, AAPL offers conservative 128GB) and better graphics (e.g., ray tracing; up to 2.5x faster GPU
Dec-Q guide (flat sales Y/Y vs. +5% view) to partly reflect a rendering). While most upgrades are internal in nature, the new
shortened week vs. a year ago. AAPL also pointed to more MacBook Pro has an attractive-looking space black color option that
pronounced declines on the iPad and Wearables front to reflect the should appeal to consumers. The 14-inch MacBook Pro w/M3 starts
timing of product launches. On the positive, iPhone revenue is at $1,599 (M2 Pro version previously started at $1,999), while the
holding up while Services sees strong momentum from the App Store 16-inch version has only M3 Pro and M3 Max options. The iMac
and subscriptions. China was the biggest question and while the w/M3 starts at $1,299 and Macs expected in stores 11/7. We think
-2% was a miss, AAPL points to a 600-bp forex headwind (+4% CC) timing of the new Macs will allow AAPL’s Mac segment to return to
and remains optimistic about prospects. We stay constructive on growth in the Dec-Q (we project +6% growth; Macs about 8% of
AAPL given the improving margin profile, Services upside, and sales) after 4 straight Qs of Y/Y declines. More importantly, the chips
attractive pipeline, but investors will likely need to contend with give AAPL a strategic advantage (will be leveraged in iPads/Vision
China/regulatory unknowns.. /Angelo Zino, CFA Pro devices).. /Angelo Zino, CFA
2 11/02/23 5:21 pm ET... CFRA Maintains Buy Opinion on Shares of 4 10/16/23 12:14 am ET... CFRA Maintains Buy Opinion on Shares
Apple Inc. (AAPL 177.57 ****) : AAPL posted Sep-Q EPS of of Apple Inc. (AAPL 178.85 ****) : Our 12-month target price
$1.46 vs. $1.29, beating the $1.39 consensus. Sales fell 1%, near of $220 is based on a P/E of 29x our CY 25 EPS estimate of $7.59,
expectations, with iPhone growth of 3%, which matched our forecast. above peers given AAPL’s installed base and financial position. We
We believe the biggest negative from the results was the 2% Y/Y hold our FY 23 (Sep.) EPS estimate at $6.01 while tweaking FY 24 to
decline in China, worse than we expected, as we look for greater $6.56 from $6.61 and FY 25 to $7.20 from $7.30. Ahead of Sep-Q
clarity about AAPL’s outlook for the region in the Dec-Q, given results set to be released after the close on 11/2, we look for EPS of
concerns about increasing competitive pressures in the region. That $1.39 on revenue of $89.3B. We believe that Services (+8%
said, growth of 16% from AAPL’s higher margin Services business Jun-Q/+5% Mar-Q) will accelerate in the Sep-Q/Dec-Q (+10%),
was a bright spot (beating our 10% growth forecast), an acceleration benefiting from a higher installed base, China momentum, and
from the 8% pace in Jun-Q and 5% in Mar-Q. This supported a improving app store/gaming/digital ad growth. We forecast iPhone
wider-than-projected gross margin of 45.2% vs. 42.3% a year earlier sales will rise 2%-3% in the Sep-Q and 7% in the Dec-Q, on iPhone
(we were looking for 44.5%). We note that Macs plunged a 15 momentum, higher Pro Max pricing, and given easier comps from
worse-than-expected 34% (potentially reflecting AAPL clearing sharp declines across hardware last year (ex. iPads). Geographic
channel inventory), while iPads were down 10%. We believe the commentary, specifically in China, will be important to monitor, but
biggest question heading into the call surrounds AAPL’s China we think concerns about iPhone 15 competitive pressures/state bans
business and we will provide more clarity about our expectations are unwarranted. We see an M3 silicon chip release in CY 24 helping
after its earnings call today.. /Angelo Zino, CFA Mac sales rebound.. /Angelo Zino, CFA
© 2023 Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. (1120-0XS8, 0322-2ZHD, 0822-2FMU) Page 3 of 5
Schwab Equity Ratings® Report
Report generated on 11/26/2023, 03:15 AM
Powered by Schwab's QORE ANALYTICS®
Apple Inc
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES FOR AAPL
CR1 Schwab received compensation for products or services other than investment banking services from this company in the past 12 months.
IB2 Schwab or its affiliates has received compensation for investment banking services from this company in the past 12 months.
Regulation Analyst Certification: The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect Schwab's quantitative research model, and no part of Schwab's compensation
was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views disclosed in the research report.
Note the Price Chart in the disclosures of this report which shows the rating and price history over applicable periods for this stock, including if and when coverage was
terminated or suspended.
Within the previous 12 months, the percentage of companies that have a Schwab Equity Rating and for which Schwab has provided investment banking services are as
follows:
• 3.38% in Buy Category (Schwab Equity Ratings and Schwab Equity Ratings International of A or B)
• 2.61% in Hold Category (Schwab Equity Ratings and Schwab Equity Ratings International of C)
• 1.59% in Sell Category (Schwab Equity Ratings and Schwab Equity Ratings International of D or F)
Price History for AAPL Schwab Equity Rating History for AAPL
$200
A
180
B
160
C
140
D
120
100 F
Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct
21 22 23
*The general buy/hold/sell guidance is relative to other rated equities only. Before considering whether to take any action, an investor should consider whether equities
generally are performing well in comparison to other asset classes and whether other equities in the same sector or category with the same or better rating may be more
appropriate.
Percentile Rankings Explanation: Each of the approximately 3,000 stocks rated in the Schwab Equity Ratings U.S. universe is given a composite score that is derived from the
research factors used in the Schwab Equity Ratings model. Once the stock’s composite score, which includes all research factor scores, is calculated, the universe of rated
stocks is divided into percentiles ranging from 1 to 100. The lowest percentile rankings represent the best Schwab Equity Rating Model scores and correspond to the best letter
grades. For example, in a universe of 1000 stocks, the top 10 stocks would receive a percentile ranking of 1 and the bottom 10 stocks would receive a percentile ranking of
100. Stocks ranked in percentile groups 1-10 are rated "A" and those in percentile groups 11-30 are rated "B", and so forth.
Model Risks
Schwab Equity Ratings uses quantitative analyses in its modeling method. Any limitations or inaccuracies in its analyses or models could affect model performance and the
results investors may achieve. Models that appear to explain prior market data can fail to predict future market events. While the data used in the models has been taken from
sources Schwab believes to be reliable; its accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Schwab Equity Ratings may not capture subjective, qualitative
influences on return and risk such as changes in management, business and political trends, or legal and regulatory developments. Thus, it is important to conduct additional
research prior to making a trading decision.
© 2023 Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. (1120-0XS8, 0322-2ZHD, 0822-2FMU) Page 4 of 5
Schwab Equity Ratings® Report
Report generated on 11/26/2023, 03:15 AM
Powered by Schwab's QORE ANALYTICS®
Apple Inc
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES FOR AAPL
Descriptions for Non-Rated Stocks
Category Definition Description
NR Not Rated Schwab has decided not to publish a rating on this stock due to unusual or extraordinary business circumstances related to this company.
Although Schwab generally does not monitor C, D, and F rated stocks for unusual or extraordinary business circumstances, from time to
time, a rating of NR may appear on a particular stock.
NC Not Covered This stock is not currently in the Schwab Equity Ratings universe or is prohibited from coverage for regulatory or other reasons.
DISCLAIMER INFORMATION
VARYING VIEWPOINTS - The information contained in these materials reflects the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. Schwab Equity Rating on a particular stock. Schwab, its
affiliates and/or their employees may publish or otherwise express other viewpoints or trading strategies that may conflict with the Schwab Equity Rating included in this report.
Please be aware that Schwab and/or its affiliates and the investment funds and managed accounts they manage may take positions, which may be contrary to the included
Schwab Equity Rating.
GENERAL INFORMATION - This material is for informational purposes only and is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy. Additionally, Schwab Equity Ratings,
Percentile Rankings, and the general guidance are not personal recommendations for any particular investor or client and do not take into account the financial, investment or
other objectives or needs of, and may not be suitable for any particular investor or client. Investors and clients should consider Schwab Equity Ratings as only a single factor in
making their investment decision while taking into account the current market environment. Schwab Equity Ratings utilize third-party data in computing a rating. While Schwab
believes such third-party information is reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy, timeliness or completeness. The Schwab Center for Financial Research may provide
research consulting services, such as those related to Schwab Equity Ratings model design and performance, to Schwab investment advisory affiliates for their asset
management purposes. Such services are not available to all other clients. Schwab Equity Ratings are generally updated weekly, so you should review and consider any recent
market or company news before taking any action. Past history is no indication of future performance and you may lose money on your investment. For questions, please call
877-284-9817.
GICS - The industry classification information contained in these materials reflects The Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) which was developed by and is the
exclusive property of Morgan Stanley Capital International Inc. and Standard and Poor's. GICS is a service mark of MSCI and S&P and has been licensed for use by Schwab.
ESG - Environmental, social and governance (ESG) ratings given to publicly traded companies are currently subject to inconsistent industry definitions and standards for the
measurement and evaluation of ESG factors; therefore, such factors may differ significantly across each ESG ratings provider. As a result, it may be difficult to compare ESG
ratings.
A stock’s ESG rating may or may not significantly influence its performance. Because stocks are evaluated based on ESG factors rather than other investment criteria, the
stock’s performance may differ (either higher or lower) from its ESG rating(s), the overall market or comparable stocks that have different ESG ratings. Environmental (“E”)
factors can include climate change, pollution, waste, and how a company protects and/or conserves natural resources. Social (“S”) factors can include how a company
manages its relationships with individuals, such as its employees, shareholders, and customers as well as its community. Governance (“G”) factors can include how a company
operates, such as its leadership composition, pay and incentive structures, internal controls, and the rights of equity and debt holders. Carefully review the ESG rating
provider’s methodology and framework to learn more about how they incorporate ESG factors into their overall rating.
Copyright MSCI 2022. All Rights Reserved. Without prior written permission of MSCI, this information and any other MSCI intellectual property may only be used for your
internal use, may not be reproduced or re-disseminated in any form and may not be used to create any financial instruments or products or any indices. The information is not
intended to constitute investment advice or a recommendation to make (or refrain from making) any investment decision and may not be relied on as such, nor should it be
taken as an indication or guarantee of any future performance, analysis, forecast or prediction. This information is provided on an “as is” basis, and the user of this information
assumes the entire risk of any use made of this information. Neither MSCI nor any third party involved in or related to the computing or compiling of the data makes any
express or implied warranties, representations or guarantees concerning the information, and in no event will MSCI or any third party have any liability for any direct, indirect,
special, punitive, consequential or any other damages (including lost profits) relating to any use of this information.
© 2023 Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. (1120-0XS8, 0322-2ZHD, 0822-2FMU) Page 5 of 5