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Schwab Equity Ratings® Report

Report generated on 04/13/2020, 06:07 AM


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OKE F Strongly Underperform


ONEOK Inc NYSE Data as of 04/09/2020

SCHWAB EQUITY RATING BUSINESS SUMMARY


Source: Reuters
F Strongly Underperform Last week's rating: D Underperform
Percentile Ranking: 93 Data as of 04/09/2020
Percentile Ranking: 90 ONEOK, Inc. is an energy midstream service
Data as of 04/03/2020 provider in the United States. The Company
owns and operates natural gas liquids (NGL)
A 1-10 Strongly Outperform BUY Schwab Equity Ratings is a quantitative measure of the
systems, and is engaged in the gathering,
equity's prospects for stock price appreciation over the next
B 11-30 Outperform BUY twelve months in relation to its market peers. processing, storage and transportation of
For more details about the quantitative model's design and natural gas. THe Company's operation...
C 31-70 Marketperform HOLD intent, please review the Schwab Equity Foundations For more details, see page 2.
document.
D 71-90 Underperform SELL For more information on important disclosures please visit
page 4 within this report. OVERVIEW
F 91-100 Strongly Underperform SELL Source: Reuters

Price as of 4/9/20 $28.40


PRICE VOLATILITY OUTLOOK Market Capitalization $11.8 Billion
Asset Class Mid Cap
Above average price volatility Last week's rating: High Data as of 04/03/2020
High Data as of 04/09/2020
Beta 2.05

Price Volatility Outlook measures the degree of variance


typically demonstrated by the equity in relation to its peers SECTOR/INDUSTRY
High Above average price volatility Source: S&P Global
within the same A-F ratings group. The outlook's
measurement is based on a six month forecast.
Medium Average price volatility Sector Energy
Investment suitability is partially dependent on your portfolio
risk tolerance. Positive or negative connotations associated
Industry Oil, Gas & Consumable
Low Below average price volatility Fuels
with the price volatility outlook score should mirror your
personal risk appetite. For more information, please consult Sub-Industry Oil & Gas Storage &
N/A Volatility score not available Managing a Portfolio Using Schwab Equity Ratings.
Transportation
RATIONALE BEHIND OUR F RATING ON OKE
Schwab Sector Viewpoint Marketperform
For details about inputs to Schwab Equity Rating, see "Schwab Equity Ratings IMPROVED VS. PREVIOUS WEEK
Foundations" in the "Stocks" article library under Market Insight. DECLINED VS. PREVIOUS WEEK

F VALUATION GRADE THIS WEEK LAST WEEK IMPORTANCE METRICS


Source: Reuters
Balance Sheet Evaluation Negative Negative High
VALUE METRICS OKE S&P 500
Income Statement Evaluation Negative Negative Medium P/E last 4Q 9.2 19.3
F QUALITY GRADE P/E forecast EPS 8.2 42.3
Profitability Negative Negative High P/Free Cash Flow last 4Q -- 19.2
Capital Intensity Negative Negative Low P/Sales last 4Q 1.16 1.96
Price/Book 1.9 10.8
A SENTIMENT GRADE
Dividend Yield(%) 13.2 2.3
Price Momentum Positive Positive Medium
GROWTH METRICS (%)
Analyst Sentiment Positive Positive Low 1 year sales growth -19.3 4.7
Investor Sentiment Positive Positive Medium 3 year sales growth 4.4 12.0
1 year EPS growth 10.7 -10.2
PRICE & VOLUME HISTORY Data source: Reuters 3 year EPS growth 22.6 21.5
1-year forecast EPS growth 13.0 19.4
OKE Daily Close Prices E E QUARTERLY POSITIVE/NEGATIVE --- 200-DAY
EARNINGS SURPRISE ANNOUNCEMENT MOVING AVERAGE Long term growth rate 3-5 years 7.5 12.2
$80
$0.74 Next earnings announcement is expected in the week of 4/28
$0.77 1 year dividend growth 8.8 9.0
E $0.75 3 year dividend growth 12.8 12.7
60
MOMENTUM METRICS (%)
4 week stock price change -.2 2.9
40 26 week stock price change -58.8 -6.1
FINANCIAL METRICS (%)
20 Gross margin -- 43.1
Net margin 12.6 10.1
Return on assets 6.4 4.1
Return on equity 20.0 15.1
75 Return on invested capital 7.1 12.8
50
Long-term debt/capital .67 .45
25
Vol.
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan 20 Feb Mar Mil

Price Performance vs. the S&P 500


20%
S&P 500 0%
-20%
-40%
-60%

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OKE F Strongly Underperform


ONEOK Inc NYSE Data as of 04/09/2020

EARNINGS PER SHARE Earnings data source: Reuters OTHER OPINIONS


Fiscal Year ending Quarterly $ Annual $ CFRA RANKING SINCE 01/03/2019
in December 2019 2019 2019 2019 2020 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020E Recommendation
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1E
★ ★★ ★★★ ★★★★ ★★★★★
$1.00 0.81 0.83 $4.00 3.47
0.75 0.74 0.77 3.07
$0.75 $3.00 2.78 Morningstar Rating RATING SINCE 03/09/2020
$0.50 $2.00 1.67 1.76 ★ ★★ ★★★ ★★★★ ★★★★★
$0.25 $1.00
$0.00 $0.00 Credit Suisse Rating RATING SINCE 03/11/2020
UNDERPERFORM NEUTRAL OUTPERFORM
vs. prior year (%) 26.6 10.3 -1.3 10.0 -- 39.8 5.7 57.6 10.7 --
Argus 12 Month Rating RATING SINCE 06/21/2017
Earnings Surprise(%) ▲ 11.0 ▲ 5.8 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
SELL HOLD BUY
# of analysts 17 19 17 19 16 13 8 19 22 21
Next earnings announcement is expected in the week of 4/28 Ned Davis Rating RATING SINCE 03/02/2020
SELL NEUTRAL BUY

REVENUE Revenue data source: Reuters RATING SINCE


Market Edge Second Opinion® 03/02/2020
Fiscal Year ending Quarterly $ Annual $
AVOID NEUTRAL LONG
in December 2019 2019 2019 2019 2020 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020E
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1E Reuter's Average Rating RATING SINCE 04/09/2020
2.78B 2.98B NO UNDER- OUT-
$3.0B 2.46B 2.66B $15B 12.17B 12.59B 12.23B SELL HOLD BUY
2.26B 10.16B OPINION PERFORM PERFORM
$2.0B $10B 8.92B

$1.0B $5B BUSINESS DESCRIPTION


Source: Reuters
$0.0B $B
ONEOK, Inc. is an energy midstream service
vs. 1 year ago (%) -10.4 -17.0 -33.3 -15.1 -- 14.9 36.5 3.4 -19.3 -- provider in the United States. The Company
owns and operates natural gas liquids (NGL)
systems, and is engaged in the gathering,
ANNUAL EARNINGS FORECAST Source: Reuters processing, storage and transportation of
CONSENSUS natural gas. THe Company's operations
MEAN CHANGE IN FORECAST NUMBER OF
FORECAST LAST 30 DAYS RANGE FORECASTS
include a 38,000-mile integrated network of
NGL and natural gas pipelines, processing
12/31/2020 $3.47 $-0.23 $2.70-$4.49 21
plants, fractionators and storage facilities in
12/31/2021 $3.76 $-0.61 $2.92-$5.16 21 the Mid-Continent, Williston, Permian and
Next 5 Yr. Growth Rate 7.5% -2.7% 0.5%-14.4% 2 Rocky Mountain regions. The Company
operates through three business segments.
DIVIDENDS Dividends data source: Reuters The Natural Gas Gathering and Processing
Quarterly $ Annual $
segment provides midstream services to
contracted producers in North Dakota,
$1.00 0.86 0.86 0.87 0.89 0.92 $4.00 3.53
3.25 Montana, Wyoming, Kansas and Oklahoma.
$0.75 $3.00 2.46 2.72
The Natural Gas Liquids segment owns and
$0.50 $2.00
operates facilities that gather, fractionate,
$0.25 $1.00
treat and distribute NGLs and store NGL
$0.00 $0.00
Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 2016 2017 2018 2019 products primarily in the Mid-Continental,
Dividends are paid on a Quarterly basis. Permian Basin and the Rocky Mountain
regions. The Natural Gas Pipelines segment
provides transportation and storage services
to end users.

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ONEOK Inc
NEWS HEADLINES
1 $75

50

25

Mar 2 9 16 23 30 Apr 6

1 02/27/20 09:37 am ET... CFRA Keeps Hold Opinion on Shares of


ONEOK, Inc. (OKE 73.29 ***) : Our 12-month target price of
$73, up $3, reflects a 14.1x multiple of enterprise value to projected
‘20 EBITDA, slightly above OKE’s historical forward average. We cut
our ‘20 EPS estimate by $0.06 to $3.78, and initiate ‘21’s at $4.34. Q4
EPS of $0.77 vs. $0.70 missed the consensus view by $0.01. OKE’s
growth program has several key catalysts in coming years, including
projects that should reduce flaring of natural gas by producers, and
offer better connectivity to the U.S. Gulf Coast. OKE is guiding to a
25% increase in EBITDA in ‘20. Despite the anticipated rise in
EBITDA, however, we see the combination of growth capex and
dividends in ‘20 far outstripping operating cash flow. As a result, we
remain somewhat wary on OKE’s ability to reduce debt balances
near-term. Shares yield 5.1%.. /Stewart Glickman, CFA

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ONEOK Inc
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES FOR OKE
IB2 Schwab or its affiliates has received compensation for investment banking services from this company in the past 12 months.

Regulation Analyst Certification: The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect Schwab's quantitative research model, and no part of Schwab's compensation
was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views disclosed in the research report.
Note the Price Chart in the disclosures of this report which shows the rating and price history over applicable periods for this stock, including if and when coverage was
terminated or suspended.
Within the previous 12 months, the percentage of companies that have a Schwab Equity Rating and for which Schwab has provided investment banking services are as
follows:
• 0.0% in Buy Category (Schwab Equity Ratings and Schwab Equity Ratings International of A or B)
• 0.16% in Hold Category (Schwab Equity Ratings and Schwab Equity Ratings International of C)
• 0.0% in Sell Category (Schwab Equity Ratings and Schwab Equity Ratings International of D or F)
Price History for OKE Schwab Equity Rating History for OKE
$80
A
60
B
40 C

20 D

0 F
Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan
18 19 20

SCHWAB EQUITY RATINGS MEANING AND DISTRIBUTION


Schwab Equity Ratings are assigned to approximately 3000 U.S.-traded stocks. The Schwab Equity Ratings model universe is generally composed of the combined set of
stocks in the Russell Investments’ (“Russell”) 3000 Index and the Standard & Poor’s (“S&P”) 500 Index. Additional universe coverage may be incorporated from time to time.
The explanation and table below are included to assist you in using Schwab Equity Ratings as one component of your own research to evaluate stocks and investment
opportunities.
Schwab rates stocks using a scale of A/B/C/D/F. Schwab’s outlook is that "A" rated stocks, on average, will strongly outperform and "F" rated stocks, on average, will strongly
underperform the equities market over the next 12 months. Schwab Equity Ratings are based upon a disciplined, systematic approach that evaluates each stock on the basis of
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Ratings ("A" or "B" ratings), while stocks with high and potentially falling investor expectations tend to receive the worst Schwab Equity Ratings ("D" or "F" ratings). From time
to time, Schwab may update the Schwab Equity Ratings methodology.

Schwab Equity Ratings Distribution


Schwab Percentile Distribution 12 Month General
Equity Rating Ranking Distribution of Rating Within Sector Return Outlook Buy/Hold/Sell Guidance*
A 1 - 10 Top 10% Strongly Outperform Buy
B 11 - 30 Next 20% Outperform Buy
C 31 - 70 Next 40% Marketperform Hold
D 71 - 90 Next 20% Underperform Sell
F 91 - 100 Bottom 10% Strongly Underperform Sell

*The general buy/hold/sell guidance is relative to other rated equities only. Before considering whether to take any action, an investor should consider whether equities
generally are performing well in comparison to other asset classes and whether other equities in the same sector or category with the same or better rating may be more
appropriate.

Investment Rating Explanation


A (Strongly Outperform): If an investor is looking to add a stock to his or her portfolio, "A" rated stocks may be the best candidates for consideration.
B (Outperform): An investor looking to add a stock to his or her portfolio might also consider a "B" rated stock, though preference should be given to "A" rated stocks.
C (Marketperform): An investor would not usually consider a "C" rated stock for purchase. An investor holding a "C" rated stock in his or her portfolio should consider
continuing to hold the stock, and might monitor the stock’s ongoing performance and compare the potential benefits of owning a stock with higher ratings.
D (Underperform): An investor holding a "D" rated stock should consider whether it is appropriate to continue to hold that stock in his or her portfolio. An investor would not
usually consider a "D" rated stock for purchase.
F (Strongly Underperform): An investor holding an "F" rated stock should consider whether it is appropriate to eliminate that stock from his or her portfolio. An investor
would not usually consider an "F" rated stock for purchase.

Percentile Rankings Explanation: Each of the approximately 3,000 stocks rated in the Schwab Equity Ratings U.S. universe is given a score that is derived from the research
factors used in the Schwab Equity Ratings model. Once the stock’s composite score, which includes all research factor scores, is calculated, the universe of rated stocks is
divided into two groups: large-capitalization (“large-cap”) stocks – generally the combined set of stocks in the Russell 1000 Index and the S&P 500 Index – and small-cap
stocks – generally those stocks in the Russell 2000 Index. The large- and small-cap groups are further divided into eleven economic sectors within each capitalization group.
The assignment of a final Schwab Equity Rating depends on how well a given stock’s composite score ranks against the composite scores of other stocks in the same
capitalization group and sector. The result is a stock's within-capitalization-group and within-sector, or cap-neutral and sector-neutral, percentile ranking. The lowest
percentile rankings represent the best scores and correspond to the best letter grades. For example, in a sector of 400 rated stocks, the top 4 stocks would receive a percentile
ranking of 1 and the bottom 4 stocks would receive a percentile ranking of 100. Stocks ranked in percentile groups 1-10 are rated "A" and those in percentile groups 11-30 are
rated "B."

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ONEOK Inc
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES FOR OKE
Model Risks
Schwab Equity Ratings uses quantitative analyses in its modeling method. Any limitations or inaccuracies in its analyses or models could affect model performance and the
results investors may achieve. Models that appear to explain prior market data can fail to predict future market events. While the data used in the models has been taken from
sources Schwab believes to be reliable; its accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Schwab Equity Ratings may not capture subjective, qualitative
influences on return and risk such as changes in management, business and political trends, or legal and regulatory developments. Thus, it is important to conduct additional
research prior to making a trading decision.

Descriptions for Non-Rated Stocks


Category Definition Description
NR Not Rated Schwab has decided not to publish a rating on this stock due to unusual or extraordinary business circumstances related to this company.
Although Schwab generally does not monitor C, D, and F rated stocks for unusual or extraordinary business circumstances, from time to
time, a rating of NR may appear on a particular stock.
NA Not Available A Schwab Equity Rating is not available on this stock due to insufficient information about this stock.
NC Not Covered This stock is not currently in the Schwab Equity Ratings universe or is prohibited from coverage for regulatory or other reasons.

DISCLAIMER INFORMATION
VARYING VIEWPOINTS - The information contained in these materials reflects the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. Schwab Equity Rating on a particular stock. Schwab, its
affiliates and/or their employees may publish or otherwise express other viewpoints or trading strategies that may conflict with the Schwab Equity Rating included in this report.
Please be aware that Schwab and/or its affiliates and the investment funds and managed accounts they manage may take positions, which may be contrary to the included
Schwab Equity Rating.

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¹Markit on Demand used S&P Global's data in making its calculations.

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