Ibtex081112023
Ibtex081112023
Ibtex081112023
INTERNATIONAL NEWS
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China’s strangle-hold over global garment exports frustrates
1
many brands
2 UK's retail sales surge 2.5% in October 2023: BRC
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NATIONAL NEWS
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India taking up EU carbon tax issue with WTO, onboarding
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other countries for support: Goyal
UK PM Rishi Sunak likely to visit India as and when FTA is
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ready to be announced
Walmart on track to meet $10b annual exports from India
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by 2027, says sourcing head Andrea Albright
SEZs should be allowed to sell goods in domestic market on
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payment of duty foregone on inputs: GTRI
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INTERNATIONAL NEWS
China’s strangle-hold over global garment exports
frustrates many brands
Since 2016, China has been seeing a slow but steady downgrading of its
status as the world’s number one exporter of consumer goods as its share
declines. One reason could be increasing labour costs are pushing Western
importers to look at more lucrative manufacturing hubs, particularly in
textiles and apparel. For decades, China has been the world's factory,
churning out cheap products for the masses. However, the tide is turning,
as many companies are looking to shift their manufacturing operations
away from China.
While the breakaway from China was on a big high from 2020 as the
Chinese forced a nation-wide pandemic lockdown and the Biden
administration kept issuing warnings about sourcing from the country,
the reality is it has been an arduous journey for many brands. Brands are
questioning their decision to have left and many are hoping to renegotiate
and return their manufacturing to China.
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So where does that leave the likes of Adidas AG and Nike Inc. as garment
and footwear manufacturers have been relocating their supply chains
away from China, driven by geopolitical concerns and drawn by reduced
production costs? Will they find their new hub up to their satisfaction?
However, Vietnam still finds itself in a bind – it has tried investing in and
creating textiles that meet the sustainability benchmarks for the EU but
the same EU customers are demanding the products be priced as cheap as
the Chinese variant which is not possible due to economies of scale the
bigger manufacturing hub enjoys.
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UK’s retail sales increased by 2.5 per cent in October 2023, surpassing the
1.6 per cent growth observed in October 2022, according to the British
Retail Consortium (BRC) Retail Sales Monitor. Despite this growth, the
retail sector's performance fell short of the three-month average of 3.1 per
cent and the 12-month average of 4.2 per cent.
Online non-food sales also faced a downturn, decreasing by 2.5 per cent in
October, though this was less severe than the 6.3 per cent decline recorded
in October of the previous year. However, this decrease was more
pronounced than the 12-month average decline of 2.9 per cent.
The penetration rate for non-food items dropped slightly to 36.5 per cent
in October from 36.6 per cent in October 2022.
“Retail sales growth slowed as high mortgage and rental costs further
shook consumer confidence. Many households are also delaying their
Christmas spending in the hopes they can grab a bargain in the upcoming
Black Friday sales.
“Retail sales remained weak in October with growth of just 2.5 per cent.
Online sales continued to struggle, with negative sales growth recorded in
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every category other than health and other non-food. This could herald
the most competitive Black Friday period that we’ve seen in a while,” said
Paul Martin, UK head of retail, KPMG.
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Although the ICAC notes that some drops in planted area would be
expected given average cotton prices and declining demand, the overall
predicted planted area is expected to be 32.2 million hectares, a
“perplexing” 2 per cent increase over the previous season.
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China has witnessed a slight uptick in its trade figures for the first ten
months of 2023, with the nation's total goods imports and exports
recording a marginal year-on-year increase of 0.03 per cent, reaching
34.32 trillion yuan (approximately 4.78 trillion US dollars), as per the
General Administration of Customs.
The month of October marked a positive note with foreign trade climbing
0.9 per cent to 3.54 trillion yuan.
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Bangladesh and South Korea are celebrating 50 years of their bilateral ties.
The former crossed $55 billion in exports to the latter in fiscal 2022-23.
Helaly also urged South Korean companies to explore joint ventures, and
subcontracting arrangements with companies from his country, especially
small and medium enterprises.
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For the first time since 2019, the inspection and audit demands by western
apparel buyers in Bangladesh declined by 10 per cent year on year (YoY)
between January and September this year, while rising by 14 per cent in
China, according to a new report by Hong Kong-headquartered quality
control and supply chain audit company QIMA.
Global apparel brands and retailers are pushing for higher sourcing from
China and lower from Bangladesh, it noted. US-based buyers, in
particular, appear to be scaling back textile and clothing sourcing from
Bangladesh, it said.
Interest in China sourcing may be picking up again among the US- and
EU-based buyers - in the first nine months of 2023 - the relative share of
China in their supplier portfolios has increased for the first time since
2019, according to the report.
The QIMA report, however, suggested that Bangladesh should diversify its
supplier offering to protect its exports from future shocks. "The country's
apparel industry, which is currently heavily cotton-oriented, can benefit
from branching out into manmade textiles," it said.
Bangladesh holds 34.7 per cent share in the EU's cotton imports, whereas
its share for non-cotton garments is only 12 per cent. Besides readymade
textiles, there is a lot of potential in export of footwear, leather and home
textiles, it noted.
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Texworld Los Angeles and Apparel Sourcing Los Angeles, leading fashion
textile and apparel sourcing platforms, have announced the dates for their
2024 edition. Following the triumphant debut in 2023, Texworld Los
Angeles and Apparel Sourcing Los Angeles are gearing up for another
impactful event.
The co-located premier sourcing event will return to the California Market
Center (CMC), taking place on August 13-14, 2024, offering industry
leaders, designers, and buyers an unparalleled opportunity to explore the
latest trends, innovative materials, and sustainable practices, organiser
Messe Frankfurt said in a press release.
Just like the debut event, the 2024 edition will feature an extensive range
of fashion textiles, apparel, accessories, local sourcing resources, and
more from countries including South Korea, Peru, China, the US, India,
Turkiye, and more.
Attendees can once again look forward to engaging seminars and panel
discussions led by top industry experts, as well as an inspiring F/W 24/25
trend display, curated by NYC-based agency, Doneger | TOBE.
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“Texworld Los Angeles and Apparel Sourcing Los Angeles were envisioned
to elevate the textile and fashion landscape on the West Coast. We were
delighted with the turnout and the positive feedback received from
participants.
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Artificial intelligence has become more than just a buzzword for most
fashion and apparel brands. Implementing the technology could be
necessary to help retailers and manufacturers keep up with changing
markets, trends and demands.
Resonance helps its customers design, produce and track the progress of
made-to-order garments using AI. This means brands can produce less
waste caused by rampant overproduction. Lenihan said the technology
addresses the concern of brands having to rapidly adapt to trends and
fluctuating demand.
“It’s the problem of everything’s dynamic. And the complexity of dealing
with [being] dynamic is… how AI really will make its impact in the
industry,” he said.
Zhang said Hyran brings together a number of data points, like forecast
history and accuracy, product descriptions and manufacturing
information, and uses its AI model to make a decision based on that intel.
“We bring that all together into a model, the goal of which is to say, at this
given point in time, what is the best possible action for all stages of my
supply chain… that minimizes the incremental risk that I’m taking on?”
Zhang said.
AI has reached a peak in its hype cycle due to the influx of conversation
and action surrounding generative AI since OpenAI’s launch of ChatGPT
in 2022. Lenihan said, unlike other technologies, he believes AI’s impact
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And Zhang said that in order to achieve better forecasting and production
models, companies need to change their structural architecture.
“A lot of people we speak to, seeing our AI DNA in our company say, ‘Well,
can you use AI to make forecasting better?’ … And our answer to them is
not if you do everything the same way you’re doing right now,” he said.
“Things have to change on the production side, to increase the amount of
agility and flexibility that is possible and reduce the amount of time it
takes to get the products and to make decisions. Otherwise, there is a
fundamental ceiling [on] the ability to forecast accurately.”
And though that kind of overhaul and rebuilding may take time to happen,
Lenihan said the fashion and apparel industry desperately needs to
evolve—and AI could be a productive way to move forward.
“This industry is broken. It’s the second most polluting industry on the
planet; nobody is making any money,” he said. “Optimizing little different
parts isn’t going to change this industry, it’s not going to change the
impact. You have to change completely.”
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Of the total investment, the World Bank loan capital is $106.96 million
non-refundable aid capital from the Australian government, $0.58
million.
Both the corridors can then accommodate large container ships and
connect better and faster with deep-water inland ports.
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Cotton is a dynamic crop. It is the most widely used natural fibre for
clothing and apparel, as it is soft, breathable, durable, and easy to wash
and dye. Cotton can be woven into different types of fabrics, it can also be
blended with other fibres, such as polyester, rayon, or wool, to create
different textures and properties.
The global cotton textile and apparel market was valued at $1.1 trillion in
2020, making the industry one of the most dynamic and labour-intensive
sectors in the global economy.
Cotton is not only a source of fiber, but also a source of oil, seed, and lint.
Cottonseed oil is extracted from the seeds of the cotton plant and can be
used for cooking, baking, salad dressing, and margarine. It can also be
refined into biodiesel.
The residue left after the oil is extracted, known as the cottonseed meal,
can be used as animal feed, fertilizer, or protein supplement. The cotton
lint, the short and fuzzy fiber that covers the cottonseed, can be used for
making paper, cardboard, cotton swabs, bandages, and filters. According
to the World Economic Forum, the value of cotton lint is about four times
higher than that of seed cotton, and the value of finished garments is about
20 times higher than that of lint.
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The leftover material from cotton production known as cotton waste can
be recycled, reused, or converted into useful products, such as soap,
candles, mats, rugs, pillows, quilts, and insulation. It can also be
composted, fermented, or gasified to produce organic fertilizer, ethanol,
or biogas. The global cotton mill consumption is projected to grow by 1.3%
per year over the next decade, reaching 28.5 million tonnes in 2030.
However, Africa’s share of this cotton market is very low, as most of its
cotton is shipped to Asia, especially China, Vietnam, Bangladesh, and
Turkey, where it is used in the textile industry. The Asia-Pacific Textile
Market size is estimated at $381.47 billion in 2023, expected to reach
$432.69 billion by 2028.
One of the reasons why Africa exports most of its raw cotton rather than
transforming and using it locally is the lack of adequate infrastructure and
technology for cotton processing. Cotton is almost entirely cultivated by
smallholder farmers in Africa, with very few major plantations.
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Cotton also uses about 6% of the world’s pesticides and 16% of the world’s
insecticides. These chemicals can have negative effects on human health,
biodiversity, and soil fertility and contribute to climate change. African
countries essentially export their scarce and valuable natural resources
without receiving adequate compensation or investing in their
conservation and restoration.
The economic implications of Africa not using its raw cotton locally are
significant. The African cotton processing market has the potential to
reach $7.34 billion by 2028, growing at a CAGR of 4.91% during the
forecast period (2023-2028). By exporting raw cotton, Africa loses the
opportunity to add value to its products and create more jobs and income
for its people.
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Case Details
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The Recent political and labour unrest in the country has further
exacerbated the situation, leading to a decline in work orders even if the
sluggish global demand for apparel, driven by high inflation, has also
contributed to this situation.
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NATIONAL NEWS
India taking up EU carbon tax issue with WTO,
onboarding other countries for support: Goyal
“We are taking it (CBAM) up with the EU and at the WTO very, very
seriously,” Goyal said during his speech at the fourth edition of the Indian
Steel Association’s annual conclave here. “India will not be accepting any
unfair levies and taxes,” he said adding that India is “work(ing) and
fight(ing) for a fair deal”.
The CBAM or carbon tax (a kind of import duty) will come into effect from
January 1, 2026. But in the transition phase, which came into effect from
October 1 this year, domestic companies across seven identified carbon-
intensive sectors - like steel, cement, fertiliser, aluminium, and
hydrocarbon products - have to share data regarding emissions
(embedded) in the products exported to the EU.
According to the minister, apart from India, other countries have also
taken a stand on this proposed carbon tax. India is also in discussions with
other countries to “onboard” them on the issue and also address this “very
serious concern”.
China and Japan have been among the Asian countries, apart from India,
which reportedly have been quite vocal against CBAM. “We are not scared
of anything that the other countries have to throw at us. Collectively the
world will have to take a view on this (CBAM) and we shall be focussing
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our energies to get other countries on board to address this very serious
concern,” Goyal said.
Trade sources say, that while countries like China, South Korea, and even
Australia have established emission trading schemes (to price carbon)
most of the exporters across these countries lack broad awareness about
EU rules, and there isn’t an established uniform emission accounting and
reporting practice. Recently, Japan’s carbon pricing scheme kicked off on
the Tokyo Stock Exchange.
They say CBAM is being viewed as a trade barrier across industry; while
the EU is pitching it as an environmental measure. “We will always find
innovative solutions. But I can assure you that India will not be accepting
unfair taxes or levies being put on its steel or aluminium industry or on
any industry,” Goyal said.
Review of FTAs
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Sunak has also been kept busy by developments in West Asia and there
are speculations that a trip in the middle of a conflict may not be feasible,
ET has learnt. There are reports that the deal could be sealed in December
after the state assembly elections. The two sides have differences whether
taxation will be included in a proposed investment protection pact, as well
as the UK’s demand that tariffs be cut on electric vehicle exports to India.
Launched on January 13, 2022, the India-U.K. FTA began its latest 13th
round of negotiations on September 18. The two sides were earlier looking
to conclude FTA negotiations in October for a visit by Sunak in October
last week ahead of Diwali. But final deal is yet to be
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India is already one of the top sourcing markets for the world’s largest
retailer with annual exports worth about $3 billion, according to the
company.
Major differentiators for India include the size of the workforce, the range
of category coverage, and the price point being “very competitive”,
Albright said. “Everything from food to antibiotics, drug manufacturing,
toys, apparel and home…it is such a breadth of categories and that’s quite
unique to have in one country,” she said.
Walmart had in December 2020 said it would triple its exports of goods
from India to $10 billion a year by 2027.
The summit will bring together dozens of Walmart buyers from the United
States and Indian companies to evaluate their products for export, with
buyers offering real-time, on-the-ground deals and prospects.
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The Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI) said the government already
allows DTA sales on payment of duty foregone on input basis to firms
operating under the 'Manufacturing and Other Operations in Warehouse
Regulations (MOOWR)' scheme.
The government can "extend the same concession to the SEZs for parity
sake. This will encourage value addition within the SEZ, as in most cases,
the tariff on finished products is higher than on inputs," GTRI Co-Founder
Ajay Srivastava said.
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importing goods duty-free for the domestic market, defeating the purpose
of having export-focused zones," it said.
Such a move would also adversely affect the domestic industry by the
influx of SEZ-made goods sold at lower prices due to duty exemption.
"This could lead to unfair competition and potential job losses in domestic
manufacturing sectors," Srivastava said.
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The daily arrivals to the market at present is 70,000 to one lakh bales.
Currently, Indian cotton prices are on a par with the international prices.
If the international prices decline, Indian cotton will become expensive.
This will hit the domestic textile industry further, he said. The
International Cotton Advisory Committee said in a press release on
November 1 that global cotton production in 2023-2024 is expected to be
higher 3% (25.42 million tonnes) and consumption lower by 0.43 % (23.35
million tones), thus resulting in global stocks seeing 10% jump.
“Cotton prices will remain low because global demand for textiles and
clothing is very low,” said J. Thulasidharan, president of the ICF. The price
of Shankar-6 variety of cotton on Monday, November 7, was ₹56,500 per
candy.
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The production strike would leave around 2 lakh workers jobless till the
end of this month while resulting in a production loss of 60 crore every
day for the mills.
The mills said they would not resume production till November 30.
There are 600 open end spinning mills operating in the state and they are
into the production of household textiles such as towels, floormats and
bedsheets.
The mills wanted the centre to prohibit waste cotton export, their primary
raw material, and the state to reduce electricity tariff.
The mills said waste cotton price has spiked to 117/kg from 97 a few
months back. While cotton export is allowed despite demand in the
domestic market, a 11% tax levied on import of waste cotton, the mills said.
As far as the state government is concerned, the mills wanted the peak
hours power charges to be scrapped. They also urged the state government
not to levy ‘Fixed Demand Charges’ when the plant is not in use.
The open-end spinning mills have been going through a tough phase for
more than a year. President of Open-End Spinning Mills Association
(OSMA) G Arulmozhi said several mills were neither able to pay back the
obtained loans nor proceed with the production due to mounting financial
stress.
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“The industrial bodies are anguished over the power tariff revision that
would paralyze the MSMEs, which are already facing a lot of hardships
after Covid-19, such as economic slowdown, rise in the price of raw
materials and shortage of workers,” Dhinakaran said in a statement.
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