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ATRN 314

Air Transport
Economics
► TOPICS:

► THE AIRLINE INDUSTRY


► THE FINANCIAL CONDITION OF THE AIRLINE
INDUSTRY
► AIRLINE INDUSTRY CONSOLIDATION
► IMPACT OF PANDEMIC IN THE AVIATION
INDUSTRY.
OBJECTIVES

► To be able the students to describe the


evolution of air transport industry.
► To be able the students to understand the
impact of pandemic in the aviation
industry.
The Evolving Air Transport
Industry
► THE AIRLINE INDUSTRY
► Since the US Airline Deregulation Act of
1978, the US airline industry (and, to a
certain
► extent, the global airline industry) has
been characterized by volatility.
THE AIRLINE INDUSTRY
► Periods of high revenues are followed by
periods of economic drought.
► The most recent economic "trough"
followed the 11 September terrorist
attacks in 2001.
►Prior to deregulation,
Airline industry was:

► Stable
► With minimal losses
► Healthy profits
DEREGULATION
► 1.It caused financial losses to airlines when it was
introduced.

What is the reason?

► 2. Opened up the opportunity for some airlines, such


as Southwest Airlines and Ryanair
► to post some of the greatest profits in the history of the
industry.
THE FINANCIAL CONDITION OF THE
AIRLINE INDUSTRY.
► The US Airline Deregulation Act of 1978
dramatically changed the global financial
► condition of the airline industry as other
countries began to follow suit and
deregulate
► their own industries.
► The post-deregulation era the industry took on the more
cyclical
► nature of a competitive industry, in which periods of robust
financial profitability could
► be followed by periods of severe economic distress.
► As in other competitive industries,
► the financial condition of the airline industry is highly related to
economic growth, so it is
► not surprising that it suffered when the economy stalled.
EARLY 1980
► 1. Shortly after US deregulation, the airline industry
suffered a minor
► crisis as the economy slowed and competition soared.
► 2. The US domestic industry experienced overcapacity
as the many new airlines that were formed as a result
► of deregulation either went bankrupt or merged with
other carriers.
► 3. A similar situation occurred in the early 1990s as the
economy once again experienced a
► downturn, but this downturn was aggravated by
political uncertainty from the first Gulf
► War and increased fuel costs.
TOOLS IN CONTROLLING COSTS/
AND OR INCREASE REVENUE
► 1.Revenue management
► 2. Frequent-flyer program
► 3. Simpler cockpit design
► 4. Better engine designs
► 5. E-ticketing
► The post-deregulation airline profitability cycle
continued into the twenty-first century,
► with the global industry experiencing its worst
downturn in the history of commercial
► Aviation.
► Although the 9/11 terrorist attacks were the proximate
cause of the global
► airline industry's financial problems, the root cause
was a slowing economy that reduced
► passenger yields
► Added to this were rising jet fuel costs,
increased airline operating
► costs stemming from overcapacity in domestic
markets, and increased security costs at
► commercial airports
► (NOTE: the airline industry was in trouble before
the 9/11 disaster,
► with many airlines losing money and with no
significant initiatives to reduce costs and
► increase productivity)
AIRLINE INDUSTRY CONSOLIDATION

► The definition of merger can be
explained as two companies
combine to form a single company. It
is similar to an acquisition or takeover,
but it also mean that stockholders
from both companies retain a shared
interest in the new corporation 
► Historically, mergers have not been very successful in
the aviation industry.
► Many
► mergers do not realize the benefits envisioned when
planned, and one-off merger
► costs, such as aircraft painting and IT harmonization,
end up being far more costly than
► planned.
► Airline mergers also bring difficulties in
dealing with labor groups, especially
► with regard to such issues as merging
seniority lists.
► Corporate culture can also be a much
underestimated barrier to successful
mergers as different companies' cultures
may
► impede merger success
► Finally, one of the greatest challenges a
merger faces is managing
► multiple and powerful stakeholders; these
can include, but are not limited to,
politicians,
► regulators, labor leaders, and consumers.
MAJOR BENEFIT OF MERGER

1. COST RATIONALIZATION

2. NETWORK HARMONIZATION

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