On the other hand, there is a forensic momentum that refers to a restless

modern past that is currently being exhumed, unburied, and investigated,

Floating Bodies
at a time when not just the nature of violence, but also the means of holding Adrian Lahoud
perpetrators accountable, are dramatically changing. The forensic here can
serve the identitarian agenda of states or certain minorities, but it can also
be essentially turned against state and symbolic power. The countless restitu-
tion claims concerning not only artifacts, but also human remains, which
museums and other institutions are currently facing from victims of violence
and formerly colonized people, further testify to the scope of forensic aes- Weaponizing Earth
thetics as a mode not only of restoration of histories/continuities otherwise
lost, but of their active construction. Forensic identification serves to estab- Our peacetime economic relations, working slowly and continuously, pro-
lish “truth” as a means of the reconstruction of social bonds that have been duce the same results as would a short global conflict, as if war no longer
destroyed, of different possible societies, a task which is most often related belonged to soldiers alone now that it is prepared and waged with devices
in this context to the identification of human remains. A map of exhumations as scientific as those used by civilians in research and industry. Through
of sites of political violence would show that we can truly speak of a global a kind of threshold effect, the growth of our means makes all ends equal.
momentum, which points to a universal dimension of political violence — Michel Serres 1
in modernity and in the name of the state — a “negative” universality,
to be sure, but one whose explication provides a possible “common ground,” On July 14, 2008, an arrest warrant is issued from The Hague by the Chief
a basis on which we can imagine what is missing from actual universality. Prosecutor of the International Criminal Court (ICC) Luis Moreno Ocampo
alleging that Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir systematically attempted
to eradicate the Fur, Zaghawa, and Masalit people of Darfur. The charges
in the warrant include war crimes, crimes against humanity, and genocide.
Some eighteen months later in a convention center in Copenhagen,
the Sudanese diplomat Lumumba Di-Aping, representing the G77 Group
of Developing Nations, calls an impromptu press conference during the
2009 Climate Conference. Di-Aping will return the accusation of geno-
cide back to the industrialized nations of the world: he will accuse them
of systematically thwarting negotiation on climate change, failing to prevent
a catastrophic temperature increase, and, therefore, condemning millions
in Africa to certain death. Di-Aping is immediately described as a hysteric
by sections of the press.
Between Ocampo and Di-Aping the contours of two different con-
cepts of violence come into view. The first addresses the past in order
to deliver justice in the present. The second addresses the present in order
to avert a future harm. The alleged genocide in the first instance is familiar,
1 See Nabil Ahmed, “Entangled Earth,” Third Text, vol. 5 See Shelagh Ranger, “Animals in African Legend and involving militias and their sponsors, a sequence of brutal massacres.
27, no. 1 (January 2013): 44–53; and Radical Meteorol- Ethiopian Scriptures,” in The Encyclopedia of Religion and The alleged genocide in the second is little understood and involves a set
ogy (2013), three-channel video (3’46”, 4’12”, 5’53”) and Nature, ed. Bron Taylor (London: Continuum, 2006).
two-channel audio. 6 See Anselm Franke, ed., Animism, vol. 1 (Berlin: Sternberg
of unlikely agents: atmospheric patterns, ocean temperatures, indigenous
2 Russell Schweickart, “Whose Earth?,” 1974. Transcription Press, 2010). groups, and climate scientists.
available at http://settlement.arc.nasa.gov/CoEvolution 7 Giorgio Agamben, The Open: Man and Animal (Stanford, Whether it is ritualized through acts meant to subsume the individual
Book/SPACE.HTML, accessed November 2013. CA: Stanford University Press, 2004).
3 See Steven Shapin and Simon Schaffer, Leviathan and the 8 Bruno Latour, We Have Never Been Modern, trans. within a group, or industrialized within the apparatus of modern warfare,
Air-Pump: Hobbes, Boyle, and the Experimental Life (Princeton, Catherine Porter (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University it is impossible to think violence without an act which sets into play the
NJ: Princeton University Press, 1985). Press, 1993), 29. very tools of violence. When it occurs, violence takes a punctual form —
4 Donna J. Haraway, Modest_Witness@Second_ Millennium.
FemaleMan©_ Meets_OncoMouseª: Feminism and Technoscience a solitary projectile moving through space, a cloud of shrapnel blooming
(New York: Routledge, 1997), 24. in a crowded room. In turn, this occurrence organizes a space according

494 The Forensic Scenography Ecologies 495

to the trajectories of confrontation between the little resemblance to the conflicts of the past.
aggressor and their victim within a limit circum- Every new weapon goes on to produce
scribed by the possible extension through space a new geopolitical relation. Nuclear weapons
of the combatants and their weapons. gave us bipolar cold war politics, “deter-
Nor is violence endless; its occurrence rence,” “balance of power,” and “mutually
occupies a moment within time, finding its assured destruction”; similarly, “the war
origin in the pressure applied to a trigger only against terror” leaves us with “security,”
to be extinguished with the life this pressure “targeted assassination,” “nonstate actors,”
means to end. In its continual potential for and a burgeoning theoretical literature
escalation — even in our wartime invocations on urban warfare and its asymmetries.
of peace — violence abides by all of this. It In turn, the conflict over carbon now calls
involves a weapon whose possible action and for its own sets of terms and concepts, ones
consequence is limited within the space-time able to capture the diffuse, unfamiliar cau-
of a violent event. The various ethical and moral sality of violence that this conflict marks.
norms which regulate and distinguish between Beginning with the production of
the acceptable and unacceptable forms of vio- energy from fossil fuels, in what follows
lence arise from human experiences of violence: a series of episodes that connect human
experiences whose character offends moral industrialization to tropical weather sys-
norms and solicits collective response in the tems, food production, and human move-
form of laws that must be enforced, procedures ment will be set out in order to begin the
that must distinguish between claimants project of depicting this violence to come.
in order to produce verdicts from which either In turn, each episode is brought into exis-
recompense or punishment can flow. tence through a specific event with a spe-
This is the violence and law we know. Is it pos- cific scale. The concept of “scale” must
sible, however, to imagine another kind of violence? Can we imagine a crime Fig. 1. International Fig. 2. Draft of the be given a new sense here if we are to think our way beyond the mono-
Criminal Court, Warrant so-called “Danish Text”
without a criminal? A violence without coordinates on which transgressions for the Arrest of Omar from the 2009 United theistic reductionism of the common, the complex, or the universal. 2
might be plotted? A violence with no “x” and with no “y”? A violence with al-Bashir issued March Nations Climate Change Scale is defined in terms of an ontological, epistemic, and discursive
4, 2009. Source: http:// Conference in Copenha-
no weapon and no witness, passing invisibly through the human sensori- www.icc-cpi.int/iccdocs gen. Source: http:// genesis in which a problématique produces a bounded set of relations. 3
um — leaving no memory, no testimony, and no record? That is to say, can /doc/doc639078.pdf. www.theguardian.com
/environment/2009/dec
With regard to the problem of climate, we will see that the concept
we imagine violence without a violent event? /08/copenhagen-climate of scale forces a Faustian reinscription of the political within the very
-change.
By what right would this impossibility warrant the word “violence,” let heart of reason itself.
alone the term “crime”? If this early proposition is still too unformed, can
we instead conceive of a world become weaponized? A world in which the
very facts of everyday life, the basic habits and simple routines, by the sheer Floating Bodies
cumulative weight of their repetition, begin to consume, overwhelm, and
finally destroy their host. Our sum, which now totals seven billion, does The clinamen manifests neither contingency nor indetermination […].
not only grow, it changes phase, bringing forth a different problem and It manifests something entirely different, that is the irreducible plural-
a new internal topology, presenting a violence without limit and end — ity of causes…
a violence that we are yet to recognize. — Gilles Deleuze 4
The hypothesis here is that structural violence is criminal. If this is true,
then the genesis of structure is a criminal event, the space of genesis its In order to liberate the potential energy fossilized in aromatic hydro-
crime scene. This essay attempts to describe this violence to come, the signs carbons such as oil, coal and gas, the compressed remains of organic com-
of which have been with us since the start of our industrial society. It pro- pounds must undergo combustion, transforming dead photosynthetic
poses that the conflict over global carbon capacity is in very real terms material into heat. The advent of machines able to reliably convert these
a war, but a war whose agents, weapons, and theater of operations bear resources into energy has driven a radical intensification of human activity.

496 Floating Bodies Ecologies 497

It has also given rise to two byproducts, the best known of which is a mol-
ecule called carbon dioxide. A less familiar side effect in this conversion
process is the production of a diverse range of particles called aerosols. 5
Fig. 3. GEOS-5 aerosol
transport simulation
by William Putnam and
Horace Mitchell. Aerosols
are small atmospheric
particles that can be
produced by various
means, such as dust or
sand being blown into
the sky above a desert,
by volcanic eruptions, or
by burning fossil fuels.
Aerosols have become
an important heuristic
device for understand-
ing atmospheric air
patterns since they carry
a signature of their origin,
allowing climate models
projecting aerosol dis-
persion to be calibrated
against observations Unlike C02, the proper-
and therefore improving ties of aerosol particles
their accuracy. The image depend on their size,
on the left is a close- shape, and atmospheric Meteora
up taken from a global location.
simulation of aerosol
dispersion run between
April 2006 and April 2007
Fig. 4. (left) Field-emis-
sion scanning electron
Scientists can predict the time of an eclipse, but they cannot predict
showing dust marked microscope images of whether they will be able to see it […]. Meteorology is the repressed
red, sea salt marked blue, four different catego-
sulphate marked white ries of soot particles.
content of history.
and black, and organic This image reveals the — Michel Serres 8
carbon green. It clearly morphological variation
Not all aerosols are human in provenance: besides particles with an anthro- demonstrates the intensi- of aerosol particles. Scale
pogenic origin like sulfates and black carbon, the total aerosol budget for the ty of aerosol production bars measure, 500 nm. In many ways, its spherical shape lends the Earth a sense of symmetry
from the industrialized Source: Swarup China
planet includes dust and salt particles lifted off the surface of the earth and northern hemisphere as et al., “Morphology and that is as complete as it is ideal. Even as our cartographic imaginary
oceans by wind. The unique character of aerosol dispersion has been noted for well as the winds that
carry these particles
mixing state of individual carves the globe into sovereign parts and their jurisdictions, dividing
freshly emitted wildfire
some time, as in observations of the measurable temperature decrease that can southeast. Image source: carbonaceous particles,” hemisphere from hemisphere, land from sea, and sea from air, the clin-
NASA/Goddard Space
occur downwind of industrial areas when the amount of solar energy reaching Flight Center.
Nature Communications,
vol. 4 (2013), article no.
amen threads its complex path across all these parts, obeying no sover-
the surface is “dimmed.” 6 A dramatic natural equivalent occurred in 1816, 2122. eignty or law, save those of physical and chemical interaction. The globe
known as the “year without a summer,” when a veil of sulfates caused by volca- Fig. 5. (right) Image
has no symmetry as such, only gradients of moisture, temperature, and
nic eruptions shrouded the earth, tinting sunsets a dark reddish hue, inspiring showing scalar variation pressure fighting to reach equilibrium, bandwidths of relative stability
in soot and sulphate
J. M. W. Turner’s iconic images of the skies above London painted that same aerosols. Source: Mihály whose fate will be broken by infinitesimal fluctuations. The despotic
year, and leading to devastating crop failure in much of Europe and North Pósfai, Arizona State blue sphere collapses this differentiation into a benign picture of balance
University.
America. 7 The scientific recognition of this cataclysmic event, along with the and finitude when it is anything but.
Cold War fear that nuclear war would make for endless winters, prompted For example, as the industrialized North pours aerosols into the
further attention to aerosol particles and their effects. Despite the renewed atmosphere, important equatorial asymmetries are differentially loaded,
scrutiny, these floating bodies are only now beginning to reveal their impact forcing shifts in precipitation patterns around the tropics. 9 The behav-
on the world’s climate. Researching aerosol patterns is like a fractal form of bal- ior of the climatic system around the tropics is rich and complex due
listics, a difficult science of trade winds, turbulence, and jet streams that only to powerful heat differentials and the intensity of moisture supply. The
climatologists have learned to read. Their baroque scripts are kaleidoscopic, relatively high amount of solar exposure on the equator poses a problem
describing maps of oceanic and atmospheric transport, and an astonishing in energy transportation that is resolved by a continual genesis of pattern
interlinking of human fortune that is as glorious as it is terrifying. and structure whose morphological paradigm is the convection cell.

498 Floating Bodies Ecologies 499

 The World Dies from the North

…the desert is one of the faces of the Mediterranean.

— Fernand Braudel 13

Fig. 7. Atmospheric The Sahel is one of the most heavily researched climatic zones in the world
carbon absorption by because it was the first to undergo significant and initially inexplicable cli-
plants. The fluidity of
climate change is poorly matic variation at timescales longer than a decade — longer therefore than
understood through
cartographic forms of
the El Niño Southern Oscillation cycle of seven years. 14 The droughts
representation. As this brought more than deprivation. An institutional apparatus of international
still from a visualiza-
tion demonstrates, the
aid agencies, donor organizations, financial institutions, medical missions,
amount of vegetation and other bodies united by concern, contractual obligation, and a lega-
in the Sahel changes
Towering some fifteen kilometers above the surface of the earth, the for- Fig. 6. Biases in the
dramatically with the cy of colonial politics arrived soon after. Then, with the waning of the
Atlantic Inter-tropical
mation of these cells is held in check by the stability of the atmosphere in Convergence Zone (ITCZ)
seasons, especially the drought in the ’90s and the recovery of the Sahel from its extended period
monsoon rains which
the area. Much like the crystallization processes where small irregularities in seasonal interannual
sweep up and down the of desiccation, a second wave of expertise converged upon the region:
variations for a coarse
in structure initiate the cascading process of molecular transformation, and a high resolution,
continent. These oscilla-
tions repeat but they do
meteorologists, climate scientists, anthropologists, and ethnographers.
only if a certain threshold of instability is exceeded can the process of cell coupled climate model.
This visualization
so differentially as the Like an epistemic force field, every problem in the environment would
patterns shift and adjust
genesis begin. 10 As tropical ocean temperatures rise, the threshold for effectively shows the
according to annual and
soon attract new forms of knowledge around it. If a complex causal chain
movement of the ITCZ,
this instability also rises because it depends on a temperature differential especially the insta-
decadal time scales due stretching over five thousand kilometers threads industrial activity in the
to variations in anthro-
between warm and cold seawater. 11 bility of different Sea
pogenic forcing. The Ruhr Valley to the number of water droplets hitting the ground in Senegal,
Surface Temperatures
Rain results from this instability. In the fertile equatorial region (SST) as they meet and
variability of this redistri- Darfur or Burkina Faso, then another thread can be constructed in the
bution poses a continual
called the Intertropical Convergence Zone, this effect is organized intermix along a shift-
challenge to populations opposite direction. If the first thread weaves through the atmosphere
ing equatorial line. The
around a conflict between mechanisms working at two different scales. temperature differences
that must find ways to and the ocean, this second thread links distant territories across the
earn a livelihood from
In the first, the increase in the mean ocean temperature makes the indicated here by a red-
the land such as farmers surface of the earth. The two threads touch when the rain hits the earth.
green color spectrum
and pastoralists. Image
threshold for convection difficult to reach. In the second, a local increase are a critical factor in the
source: NASA/Goddard
This moment of contact rests on a plurality of causes that must conspire
in terrestrial radiation increases evaporation and precipitation. The winner strength of the African
Monsoon, which depends
Space Flight Center, 2009. in just the right way to produce an effect, be it drought or rain, or a delayed
drives rainfall in West Africa. 12 on differentials in SST
for its intensity. Source:
Let us put this another way. Every single event of fossil fuel com- Tom Delworth and Keith
bustion in Europe conspires to send a small stream of aerosol particles Dixon, National Oceanic
Atmospheric Administra-
into the atmosphere. If these particles are emitted in the right kind of tion (NOAA)/Geophysical
weather system, they will be carried high into the atmosphere and trans- Fluids Dynamics Labora-
tory (GFDL), 2008.
ported along air currents toward the Atlantic Ocean. Here, suspended
thousands of meters above the seas, the particles will interact with
incoming and outgoing solar energy, changing the temperature of the
seas below. This affects evaporation levels in the sea and transforms
moisture supply to the atmosphere. The shift in moisture supply in turn
affects the location, timing, and intensity of the wet season that brings
annual rain to the Sahel.
If it is the case that activity in one part of the globe triggers a cli-
matic bifurcation in another then mapping, understanding, and repro-
ducing this system of gradients and differentials constitutes more than
a particularly intractable problem in thermodynamic calculus, particle
transport, or physicochemical interaction. What it becomes instead
is the medium through which a future political claim will be made and
a present crime prosecuted.

500 Floating Bodies Ecologies 501

monsoon. Climate science renders this complexity perceptible, threading chain of causes and effects is forged within a unique field of inquiry, it carries
a line of reasoning that allows us to follow the aerosol on its path and visual- with it the tones, manners of speaking, practices, instruments, historical ten-
ize the effects it leaves in its wake. Science is very good at posing these kinds dencies, and rationalities that structure thought and decision making within
of problems, but it will tell that field. Incommensu-
you almost nothing about rability between the
how to organize kinship scales of climatic interac-
structures or manage social tion is as real as the
bonds in a condition of incommensurability
scarcity. For this one turns between different cogni-
to other forms of knowledge. tive and epistemic practic-
Take the nuanced tempo- es. What is so often for-
ral descriptions of rain within gotten in the discussion
West African communities, of ecology is that differ-
which — far from treating ence pertains, and it per-
precipitation in numerical tains in such a way as to
terms—describe rainfall tim- prevent making one thing
ing with respect to planting, the measure of all others.
to its character in relation Points will always fail
to runoff, to its effects to coincide —and conflict
in terms of crop yield. 15 While can never cease to ensue.
scientific reason must isolate
Fig. 8. Languages in Afri- Fig. 9. Areas affected by
each element from its neighbor to uncover correlations and then causal ca. This map of language vegetative drought cor-
groups is an indication related to areas affected
structures, indigenous forms of knowledge conceive of rain as part of an of the diversity of the by conflict. Source: UNEP
assemblage that has always already held together a series of different ele- Sahel. The viability of & Centre for Geoinfor- The Anthropocenic Equator
rich cultural and spatial matics (Z_GIS), Univer-
ments such as soil, water, and crops. Or consider the names of famine traditions is under threat sity of Salzburg, Austria,
in Darfur, which attract no generic appellation and are instead in each as the quality of produc- October 2010. Rather than celebrating or affirming a post-human world, where man
tive land transforms in
instance referred to through a singular name describing the moral and response to anthropo- no longer deludes himself with regard to his primacy or distinction,
behavioral effects of the event on the community. Most notably, Fur defini- genic climate change. and rather than asserting the joyous truth of ecology where life is finally
Map © Steve Huffman,
tions of famine refer to lived experiences; they distinguish between differ- Global Mapping Interna- understood as one vast, self-furthering interconnected organic whole,
ent effects such as a scarcity or the erosion of social bonds, but they do not tional, 2013. we should perhaps take note of the violent distinction of the human.
refer to starvation or to mortality, nor do they appeal to metrics, statistics, — Clare Colebrook 19
or other quantifiable forms of description, “… rural people of Darfur
do not think of the populace as an anonymous aggregate population, but As of January 2013, all eight situations before the International Criminal
as a moral community.” 16 Court (ICC) involve African nations between the twentieth northern and
These short examples of epistemological and cognitive differences are the tenth southern parallel. Investigations in Uganda, Democratic Republic
not presented in order to suggest a Babel of communities condemned of Congo, Central African Republic, Darfur-Sudan, Kenya, Libya, Côte
to speak in indecipherable tongues, only to say that one cannot begin with d’Ivoire, and now Mali are confined to a narrow equatorial belt on a single
the presumption of sameness, consistency, or unity among the various continent, which US security experts now refer to as a “corridor of terror.”
parties—be they scientific or indigenous—either in the kinds of claims they Within the Western media, war crimes, crimes against humanity, and
make or the meanings one can draw from them. Instead, one must begin a legacy of camps, displaced persons, and famines repetitively reinforce the
with the idea of differences that are real and therefore not simply translat- view of the Sahel as a space synonymous with violence and suffering. The
able. 17 Beyond their instrumentality in the region’s geopolitics, the multiper- perception of a landscape characterized by either warlords, jihadists, and
spectival character of these various forms of knowledge production do not child soldiers on one side, or drought-stricken adults and starving children
resolve to form a unified picture. 18 There is no single map upon which each on the other, leaves sub-Saharan Africa in a bind, caught in a cliché of
point can finally be plotted, each blank space filled. Because each link in the either hyperaggressivity (genocide, terror, and massacre) or hyperpassivity

502 Floating Bodies Ecologies 503

(malnutrition and underdevelopment). The very constitution of this crisis earth. The former conceive of territory according to a clear north-south
and the “concern” it enables form an integral component of the neoco- striation forming a gradient of decreasing nomadism as one moves away
lonial machinery and its management of foreign territories. 20 The ICC’s from the desert; while in the latter, spatial practices follow a fluid distribu-
international jurisdiction, as set out in the Rome Statute and as outlined tion of opportunity that knows no clear territorial demarcation. These dif-
at the outset of this essay, is more imagined than real; today it is a tribunal ferences are not essentialist traits; in fact, cultural markers such as Arab
established to judge the sins of the “South.” or African are fixed to livelihoods more than ethnicity. What is happening
This South is always posed as a “not-yet” modern, “not-yet” complete in the Sahel, besides conflicts over resources, institutional failure, and the
project. It is framed in terms of its underdevelopment, described in terms instrumentalizaton of disorder by competing political claimants, is a con-
of stagnations and pathologies which cannot but elicit sympathetic aid frontation between different modes of existence, as multiple spatial and
programs and rescue packages from the ever-vigilant North. 21 There cognitive practices superimpose on the same territory.
is no more emblematic case of this As the Sahara colonizes the Sahel, continuing its expansion down
gaze and its concrete material effects into once fertile landscapes, the deadly march is perfectly captured by the
than Africa, whose supposed state Zaghawa people of Chad and Sudan who say, “the world dies from the
of primordial chaos, poised forever north.” 24 In a condition of scarcity and within an ever narrowing band-
on the threshold of arbitrary disor- width of viability, the peoples of the Sahel are facing pressures to coexist:
der and habitual violence exists — they make direct contact, they do not coincide, and yet they must still relate.
if indeed it does so — only to reflect Fig. 11. The expansion of
back and secure an image of the the Sahara. This image
shows study areas over
norms and values of its paternalistic a 45-year time series of The Nation Ex-situ
other. For decades, it was assumed dune mobility indicating
constant wind velocity
that desertification in the Sahel was over the central Sahara. At least until the process of the dissolution of the nation-state and its
primarily caused by poor farming Due to the paucity of
local wind measure-
sovereignty has come to an end, the refugee is the sole category in which
practices — that unsophisticated ments, scientists Pieter it is possible today to perceive the forms and limits of a political com-
Vermeesch and Sebas-
local farmers could not adapt tien Leprince turned to
munity to come.
to changing environmental condi- Landsat imagery and — Giorgio Agamben 25
a sophisticated form of
tions as quickly as they needed algorithmic analysis to
to, leading to overgrazing, deforesta- construct a time series Climate simulations reveal more than kaleidoscopic gradients of color; they
of dune mobility and
tion, and erosion; similarly, military therefore of wind veloc- expose the dynamic and differentiated form of climate impact, the dramatic
conflict was and still is too often ity. This image shows reorganization of resource availability, biological viability, and human for-
the three study areas for
seen as a simple byproduct of eth- the Bodélé Depression tune — in short they present a set of new geopolitical maps. The emergence
in northern Chad. Image:
nic and religious differences, the Pieter Vermeesch and
of newly productive land on the one hand and the exhaustion of existing
manifestation of ancient hatreds and tribal rivalries. More recently, Fig. 10. The Anthropoce- Sebastien Leprince, 2008. productive territories on the other does more than generate alternative
nic Equator. Today, the
however, anthropogenic climate change has forced a reexamination remit of the ICC exists
of these alleged causes. 22 between two parallels:
20 degrees north and 10
The Sahel is marked by a high variability of annual precipitation. degrees south. Image:
It is certain that heightened competition over shrinking plots of productive Adrian Lahoud and Alina
McConnochie, 2012.
land have worked in concert with ongoing governmental and institutional
failure to exacerbate existing conflicts, a situation that has been exploited
by local elites — not only to further existing claims over land and markets,
but also to displace narrations of conflict from a political to an environmen-
tal register. 23 Nonetheless, it is also the case that tensions between pastoral-
ists and farmers over dwindling resources has brought different territorial
practices into closer proximity. As with the different conceptions of famine
and drought noted above, in the case of Fur villagers and Arab pastoralists
one finds radically different understandings of, and relationships to, the

504 Floating Bodies Ecologies 505

 twin poles of individuals without a state
such as Palestinian refugees, or individuals
that must be resettled due to the redraw-
ing of sovereign territorial borders as took
place in the former Yugoslavia. Interna-
tional law emerges in response to violence
between nation states as a way of redress-
ing conflict, including these issues of
refugee status. Legal scholarship has
internalized the concept of the refugee
only in so far as the two possibilities
“patterns” of human settlement; it makes proximate foreign spatial practices, Figs. 12–14. Rescue of described above continue to operate.
Migrants in the Mediterra-
it makes different worlds touch — abundant evidence of which can already nean Sea. Helicopter foot- New kinds of challenges emerge once the very viability of the nation
be found in our present condition of diasporic movements and displacements. age published on October state is threatened with dissolution. In response to this, legal scholar
24, 2013 by Maltese Coast
Because there is no movement without countermovement, and in re- Guard showing the rescue Maxine Burkett radicalizes the very idea of the deterritorialized subject
sponse to this displacement, today the European border network is concep- of migrants attempting to
reach Italy. Source: Navy
by proposing the concept of “the Nation Ex-Situ”; that is to say, a nation for
tualized through the idea of “prefrontiering,” a precognition of illegality of Malta, 2013. citizens without a territory. When a catastrophic loss of territorial produc-
materialized through treaties and cooperative security frameworks. 26 This tivity is incurred due to distant causes rather than indigenous acts, a chal-
infrastructure attempts to counteract refugee movement into the EU by lenge is posed to normative legal principles of harm, redress, and responsi-
shifting the burden of policing to non-EU states in order to limit the legal bility. Climate migration is thus doubly complex, because its cause is not
obligations conferred upon claimants within sovereign European territory. always attributable while its consequences in terms of human life considered
Refugee movements intensify during periods of drought. In Africa, in terms of numbers are also unclear, and for these reasons it occupies no
drought is thought to be partially responsible for the long-term pattern distinct legal category. 28 The idea of a “nation ex-situ” then is an attempt
of urbanization that the continent is experiencing. From the northward to maintain a semblance of continuity through a legal construction that
migrations out of the Sahara toward the Nile and Levant during the Holo- supports projects of cultural protection through the loss of land, resources,
cene, to annual routes of herders that follow the rains and pasture, the and an economy.
movement of people through the Sahel and across the Sahara has a long Fig. 15. Frontex Risk The veracity of testimony is one basis on which both genocide and
Analysis Unit. Source:
and rich history that, since the great drying of the Sahara thousands of Frontex, Beyond the refugee claims will be assessed. Within international law, evidence in the
Frontiers. Frontex: The
years ago, has been increasingly organized by the coastal area to its distant First Five Years (Warsaw,
form of human testimony assumed a singular importance after World War II,
north, and the cities to its south. 27 The tragedy of today’s Mediterranean 2010). building on definitions of genocide and crimes against humanity used in
is that this history of human trials such as that of Adolf Eichmann. 29 More recently, however, in the case
passage is subject to a calculus of dangers posed to larger populations by environmental destruction,
in which bodies are marked mathematical and scientific modes of knowing have come to complement
as weapons on one side, demons human ones. 30 The mobilization of science and especially advanced forms
on the other. Our own legacy of spatial and statistical analysis occupy an increasingly prominent position
in this story of passage will now within the biopolitical problem of environmental violence. 31 Though they
resemble a loop, where bodies do not touch the body directly, environmental violations affect the milieu
floating south through the that bodies depend upon for their survival.
atmosphere eventually receive But what happens to the “era of the witness” when a crime is no longer
a ghastly human complement visible to unmediated human perception? In the case of climate change,
floating north in the sea far below. climate justice and its deterritorialized claimants, will the era of the scientific
The figure of the refugee — model come to replace human testimony in adjudicating humanitarian
the deterritorialized subject par claims? These new questions in law emerge in recognition of the challenges
excellence — has a history that that climate change brings, the most important of which will be the nexus
has been organized around the formed between climatology and criminology.

506 Floating Bodies Ecologies 507

 Climate Forensics All Things Being Equal

We are in a different world of proof than that of the archetypical …when a concurrence of causes produces an effect, these causes have
smoking gun. to be studied one at a time, and their laws separately investigated […]
— Jack Weinstein, Major General in the US Air Force 32 since the law of the effect is compounded of the laws of all the causes
which determine it.
Because the mechanics of climate form a complicated transport sys- — John Stuart Mill 34
tem, redistributing the effects of pollution according to a process that
is nonlinear and transboundary, the space of violation is separated Because any event, climatic or otherwise, is irreducible to a single expla-
from the space of its repercussion. Those least responsible for carbon nation, one way to imagine each event is as an outcome of causes conspir-
emission will be most susceptible to drought and rising sea levels. 33 ing, or more simply as other events intersecting. In turn, because each
Edmund Locard’s principle that “every contact leaves a trace” — cause is also an event in itself with its own private network of precursors,
the very cornerstone of modern forensics — still applies, but with one it is impossible to fully explicate any single event since this would mean
impossible catch: the contact and the trace drift apart, carried away following an infinite network. This is not really a problem, however, since
on ocean currents and diffused into the atmosphere. The earth’s cli- some causes will contribute to the event’s character more than others.
mate loosens the bond between cause and effect; it breaks the link By disturbing this network of relations we can test which connections
between attribution, responsibility, and, potentially, justice. In the are relevant: an easy way to imagine this is to think about cutting threads
elongated space-time between the crime and its consequence, myriad on a web — if the web stays the same shape the thread was not structurally
forces intervene — clarifying them becomes not only a scientific priori- important. To “explain” an event is to set out causes with regard to a con-
ty, but also a political and ethical one. text; implicit in this idea is that any reliable explanation will attend to the
Furthermore, because the cause is in some way coextensive with most relevant of causes — effectively pruning back unimportant threads
everyday life, and because its consequence often occurs beyond our in order to limit the potentially infinite space of explanation. 35 In turn, this
everyday experience of that life, the consequence is no longer recog- means that any explanation is always indeterminate since it rests on a net-
nizable or even proximate to its cause. We are summoned, then, work of amputated relations which are implicit or presupposed without
to address a problem whose consequences we may never experience. being stated, either because they are thought not to bear upon the event
Testimony, institutions of justice, their jurisdictions and modes significantly, or because they are commonly understood and do not need
of political, legal, or financial redress emerge from events that are repeating. The Latin phrase ceteris paribus, meaning “all other things being
more historically/experientially familiar. Unlike many indigenous equal” — or, less literally, “in the absence of disturbing factors” — refers
cosmologies, Judeo-Christian ethics is finally circumscribed by the to this method first described by Mill and found within different forms
horizon of human experience; Western ethical systems drawn from of reasoning, of isolating causal factors from a complex network. 36
the Enlightenment and forming the basis for Western law have little Let’s now consider the way some climatic zones produce a morphologi-
purchase on events beyond this horizon — events that are impercepti- cally distinct type of weather pattern. The pattern exists in series, repeating
ble without sophisticated technical mediation. In order for an alter- annually over each wet season or, as with the El Niño cycle, every seven years;
native ethico-legal reasoning to secure itself, a new kind of aesthetic none of these forms are identical and yet they share a recognizable structure.
and epistemic space must be established. This fragile tethering Then let’s suppose that at some point in time, a mutation — that is to say
of different ways of knowing calls for a style of thought that is more a signal — emerges from the noise of “normal” morphological variability
attentive to shifting sites of veridiction, matters of sense and intelligi- (the norm is in itself entirely contingent, the invocation of nature’s end —
bility. Much is at stake in holding this diverse series together if it means anything it points only to the difficulty of establishing a baseline
(as we will see when we turn to the 2009 Copenhagen Climate Con- or reference in the sea of temporal variation). In attempting to identify this
ference in the conclusion of the essay); displacing violence from the mutation, different causal factors will be isolated step-by-step in a simulation
battlefield to the forum already required no less. Before this, howev- to see if a correlation can be found between a specific cause and this specific
er, it is worth considering climatological reasoning and the question mutation or, as in the words of the previous analogy, a thread whose loss
of scale a little more closely since it is here in the calculus—in fact, changes the shape of the web. However, correlation in itself does not give
in the very mathematics — of the model that the political insists causation — it doesn’t say anything about the process that makes these vari-
on re-inscribing itself. ables relate. In order for causation to be determined, first there must be proof

508 Floating Bodies Ecologies 509

that this deviation is not explainable by other causes. 37 Furthermore, some cess of scalar individuation by which a climate model is progressively speci-
mechanism or relation must be proposed for connecting the elements together. fied in scale until it is able to reliably capture the relevant parts of the prob-
Climatologists have learned to exploit the unique, nonlinear nature lem in question much like a sieve that must be calibrated so that its
Fig. 16. Scalar subdi-
of climatological patterns. The fact that no two climate patterns are the vision of earth within openings catch the correctly sized elements.
same (despite sharing morphological similarities), far from being a problem, a climate model. There These five points—correlation, causation, path dependency, determina-
have been significant
is precisely what allows for a forensic climatology: spatiotemporal pattern advances in the resolu- tion, and scale—form the basis for forensic climatology. The importance of
tion of climate models in
is the key. The difference is much like a fingerprint. Though left and right the last twenty years as
this form of reasoning for constructing durable claims about climate change
finger prints are expressions of the same gene, the difference between them computational speed has and climate attribution is not in doubt. What is as yet unclear, however, is the
increased, and yet many
results from the reciprocal interaction between genes and an information-rich important phenomena
way this form of reasoning enters into and shapes nonscientific disputes over
environment of enzyme gradients, the relation between which guides mor- such as aerosols and climate and climate justice: for hidden within the amputated web of relations
clouds exist at a sub-cal-
phological development during embryogenesis. The path dependency of this culable scale — being too that structure such reasoning is an indeterminate payload, one with the capac-
process gives a unique signature on left and right prints since each print small to be caught by ity to radically repoliticize the apparent objectivity of any scientific claim.
existing methods of spa-
actualizes in response to a unique context of developmental noise. Climate tial subdivision. There is
forensics takes this principle of identification through path dependency a step no agreement on the opti-
mal grid type, with some
much further. Instead of simply noting the shape of left and right prints scientists and mathema- The Third Degree
ticians arguing for the
in order to register formal difference, it will attempt to explain differentiations; dynamic transformation
that is, to uncover why the process of morphogenesis unfolded in exactly of resolution in response We have been asked to sign a suicide pact.
to the scale of phenom-
this as opposed to any other way. ena that must captured. — Lumumba Di-Aping 39
It is here that a durable claim about causal relations begins to be threaded Others argue for an
even grid coverage,
through the different elements of the climate system. To accomplish this suggesting that areas Computational models seek to explain and predict the world’s climate.
feat, the question of scale is paramount. Take aerosol dispersion: even with seemingly little They can be understood in purely scientific terms, but only at the expense
activity may nonetheless
if it were computationally possible, little would be gained by tracking every play an important, if as of unmeshing the models from the political and economic forces in which
yet unknown, role. Image:
single one of the 10 40 particles in the atmosphere. Similarly, conceiving Adrian Lahoud and Jose
they are installed and for which they are called upon to work. By locating
aerosol content as a global mean, in the way that CO2 is measured, would Sanchez, 2012. these models against the milieu of conflicts and negotiations that charac-
reveal almost nothing. In the first terize the struggle over global carbon capacity, the objectivity of science
instance, the explanatory mesh can be reframed in terms of its relevance within a political force field which
is overdetermined, carrying too scientific attention both enters into and shapes. A problem can be objective
high a resolution and too much in a scientific sense yet nonetheless partial in a political sense, as we shall
redundant information (taking into see with the argument about global average temperature increase.
account every single particle); in the According to the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Fifth
second case, the explanatory mesh Assessment Report Climate Change 2013, the Earth’s temperature is likely
is underdetermined and has too to rise by 1.5 degrees according to most long-term scenarios (projection for
coarse a resolution (a global mean). 38 2081–2100) and 2.0 degrees for many others. 40 As a nonscientist, there
What is missed in both these exam- is no reason to question the accuracy of this figure or the objectivity of the rea-
ples is the spatiotemporal pattern. soning that lies behind it, but there are very good reasons to scrutinize its
The epistemic frame that tries relevance within discourse on climate change. First, the figure is a global aver-
to capture the salient ontological age and conceals the uneven transformation of the planet’s climate; second,
characteristics is poorly calibrated, it obscures the fact that climate negotiations are first and foremost economic
there is something in between that negotiations, arguments over growth rather than negotiations over tempera-
must be understood— namely, scale; ture; third, it invites public misperception as to the consequences of even
that is to say, an objective correlation small temperature changes since humans experience far larger changes over
between the ontological causal the course of a normal day. 41
structure and its reproduction Economic activity is highly carbon dependent: industrial and agricul-
in some epistemic frame. In this tural production as well as consumption link GDP to emission. For these
sense, we can understand the pro- reasons, over the next century, forums charged with allocating global carbon

510 Floating Bodies Ecologies 511

capacity will become paradigmatic spaces of conflict both between states As the climate conference disbanded, with
and nonstate actors such as corporations. The 2009 Climate Change news of Di-Aping’s claim of “climate genocide”
Conference in Copenhagen, as well as Kyoto before it, were unique histori- spreading, hundreds of thousands of protestors
cal events. Despite Copenhagen’s failure, it is worth reflecting on the gathered outside the Bella Centre in Copenha-
unprecedented strangeness of a forum in which world leaders ostensibly gen. Di-Aping’s response to the colonial men-
gather to discuss the acceptable level of the earth’s temperature. tality of the G20 (“we have been asked to sign
During the 2009 Copenhagen Climate Conference the public debate a suicide pact”) and his invocation of the death
was framed by two simple questions: Would an accord be signed or not? camps of the Second World War (“climate
And what would be an acceptable temperature increase? The latter question genocide”) were unexpected. His dissident
revolved around a series of figures: would it be 1.5 degrees, 2 degrees, utterance succeeded in breaking all protocol.
3 degrees, 3.5 degrees? But in the midst of the negotiations, and with the He was immediately criticized by conservative
fate of Africa’s Sahel at stake, a transformative moment occurred which sections of the media who, indignant that
welded the scientific and the economic to the political again. On Decem- he had so intentionally failed to follow the
ber 8, 2009, during a hastily convened private press conference, the norms of diplomacy, called for his resignation.
Sudanese diplomat representing the G77 group of 132 developing The idea that a Sudanese person would speak
nations, Lumumba Di-Aping, broke down and uttered a distinctly undip- out in such a way in the context of a major
lomatic phrase, “We have been asked to sign a suicide pact,” in reference international conference elicited derisory
to the so called “Danish text” that had been tabled, and its proposed comments that suggested a lack of responsibility,
2 degree global average increase. This brief eruption carries into speech disingenuousness, and unproductive hyperbole.
within a public forum the reality of a private calculus and its implicit pre- Fig. 17. (above) Lumumba Di-Aping’s status as a speaking subject and chairman of 132 nations was
Di-Aping. Press confer-
supposition, linking responsibility for climate change, economic activity ence December 11, 2009. called into further question because of the continuing criminal proceedings
and, most importantly, foregrounding the unequal distribution of United Nations Climate against President Omar al-Bashir regarding war crimes in Darfur. What
Change Conference,
anthropogenic impact. The proposed global average of 2 degrees meant Copenhagen, Denmark. many commentators failed to realize is that it was precisely Di-Aping’s
3.5 degrees in many of the nations that Di-Aping represented — Still image capture from
“Lumumba Di-Aping
proximity to events in Darfur that provided him with a visceral sense
a catastrophic result for sub-Saharan Africa. 42 Committing the G77 of the G77—The Most of what a change in temperature could mean.
Important COP Briefing
to the Danish proposal would not only condone this catastrophe, the World Never Heard |
Di-Aping’s statement disrupted the existing order of what can and cannot
it would legitimize it: the organization was being invited to become Part 5,” http://youtu.be/ be said, what can and cannot be seen, and what can and cannot be constituted
Vtjbuq4fsRY.
party to the devastation of its members. as a problem. After this disruption a new terrain of relevance was produced,
Why should temperature increase be posed at a global scale rather Fig. 18. (below) Luis no longer posed in terms of global averages and degrees but rather in terms
Gabriel Moreno Ocampo,
than a local one, which would allow for an assessment of impact accord- first Prosecutor for the of mortality, livelihoods, and the differential impact of heat. Beyond even this
ing to specific populations? The answer is both technical and political. International Criminal however, a far more radical reading might be possible: Di-Aping’s comments
Court, Tallinn, February
It is technical in so far as smaller scale predictions are more difficult, 7, 2012. Photo: Estonian constitute more than an articulate plea for participation in dialogue; they
which is why predicting the climate is easier than predicting the weather. Foreign Ministry, Creative
Commons License.
might be much more still than a dissident speech act or disruption of the dip-
It is political — not because the average figure is subjective, but because lomatic order. Is it not possible that what this statement amounted to is a
its very objectivity operates at a scale that mystifies the real and uneven political demand for a new type of mathematics—a differently-scaled calculus?
extent of change; what is at stake here is the relevance of the truth — its His call, then, is an attempt to reestablish the proper political scale within
truer truth — and not its objectivity or disputability. The conceptualiza- a debate about temperature increases in order to make specific populations
tion of climate change as a global average does little to clarify its impact visible and calculable within the model and therefore the argument.
on people. 43 If the scale of argument is shifted from a planetary one Di-Aping’s deliberate violation of diplomatic protocol should finally
to a local one, different pictures emerge. In the Sahel, the impact of water be read in these terms, since what the event in Copenhagen conclusively
stress, reduced crop yields, and new disease vectors could lead to an addi- revealed is that within each degree of temperature increase, billions of “first
tional 300,000 deaths on the continent per year in the immediate term, world” dollars are congealed. Fossilized deep within every scientific model
with double that number in the coming decades. 44 This does not include and dispute over average temperature increase is a nonscientific, ethico-
any possible deaths caused by the exacerbation of existing conflicts and political paradigm. Inside every simulation, inside every single degree, a new
refugee movements due to war and famine. calculus of life and death is disguised. 45

512 Floating Bodies Ecologies 513

 to absolve agents or individuals from responsibility, as if the structure
itself should be indicted. On the contrary, it is to make individuals aware
of and responsible for the consequences of their actions, whether they
represent themselves or larger entities such as nations and corporations.
In the indigenous understanding of famine and territory, the medical
calculus of mortality, the statistical patterning of genocide, the scale of math-
ematical models, the visualizations of sea-surface temperatures, the plurality
of legal structures and their conflicting jurisdictions, in satellite photos reg-
istering changes in vegetation and tracking boats packed with migrants
attempting to cross the Mediterranean without succumbing to the seas, one
finds epistemic frames and virtues that do not coincide to form a single
Fig. 19. (left) Kuwait Oil world but rather superimpose like the split perspectives in a fractured mir-
Fires, 1991. Photo: Robert
The Chain of Immanence Bumpas/National Science ror. So too with the various forums and spaces of discourse that this visual
Foundation. Creative evidence enters into, and where it attempts to make itself heard: the hotel
Commons License.
UN climate change negotiations are not “environmental”: they are conference halls used for an ICC investigation or to host a climate summit,
about the economic future of nations. Fig. 20. (right) Ruhr valley
Industrial Centre, 2009.
the press conferences, the rural councils, the courts and parliaments, and
— Radoslav S. Dimitrov 46 Photo: AP Photo/Frank academic institutions. Each ontological, epistemic, and discursive individua-
Augstein.
tion — each phenomenon, frame, and forum — creates its own distribution
In the 1991 Gulf War, for every day the fires caused by the detonation of relevant and irrelevant points, a unique order of what can be counted, what
of almost six hundred Kuwaiti wellheads burned, they released ten times can be said, what can be made visible.
more oil-related pollutants than the daily industrial output of the United And what is now becoming visible, what is being represented, made
States. In this comparative fact lies an interesting equation, a certain kind available for experience and also for judgment, is more than a set of bonds
of equivalence between war and peace, captured well by Michel Serres in the that tie together distant fates. What appears today is the extension of a colo-
epigraph to this essay when he writes: “Our peacetime economic relations, nial project into the atmosphere itself. Like the industrial age that produced
working slowly and continuously, produce the same results as would a short it, the Anthropocene is playing host to its own scramble for sovereignty,
global conflict, as if war no longer belonged to soldiers alone now that a colonial drive that now extends into the air and its capacity for life. As with
it is prepared and waged with devices as scientific as those used by civilians the Berlin Conference of 1884 before it, Copenhagen assumed all the proto-
in research and industry. Through a kind of threshold effect, the growth cols and formalities of international law and diplomacy, and though the con-
of our means makes all ends equal.” 47 In some sense then, what for Serres flict is now over atmospheric resources like carbon, rather than terrestrial
separates the state of war from the state of peace is a speed, a difference resources like ivory, Copenhagen, like Berlin, attempted to exclude African
in pattern or intensity, a distribution in time and space. 48 representation from the forum of negotiation. Lumumba Di-Aping was one
It is now possible to precisely reframe the question posed at the begin- of the only delegates present to recognize Copenhagen for what it was —
ning of this essay: can we imagine a form of violence without a violent a crime scene. 49 His speech act reminds us that when it came to the decol-
event? The question we face now is: can we clarify the genesis of structures onization of land, the law followed force. As the earth closes in on us, what
that authorize indirect violence? Or in other terms, can we bring the contact makes us think that decolonizing the sky will be any different?
and the trace back together again?
Do we risk making familiar forms of violence more ambiguous and
therefore less operative through the concept of structural violence? It is
an important question: if everything is violent, then nothing is violent.
This hesitation rests on a flawed premise however: “structure” is not every-
thing. Nor is it simply a punctually violent event, and here lies the philo-
sophical and political challenge: to discern with enough precision and
attention the action of this network and its agents, to follow the threads
of relation where they lead, to rigorously unfold the complex causal links
in this thing called “structure.” The purpose of this new cartography is not

514 Floating Bodies Ecologies 515

1 Michel Serres, The Natural Contract (Ann Arbor: increase in SST in which aerosol emission plays an import- a contributor. Ban Ki-moon, “A Climate Culprit in such as Darfur are being held up as cautionary tales for the
University of Michigan Press, 1995), 32. ant role. See Michela Biasutti and Alessandra Giannini, Darfur,” Washington Post, June 16, 2007. See also note potential impact of climate change everywhere. In other
2 The term “monotheism” is used here to refer to any “Robust Sahel drying in response to late 20th century 12 above. words, African nations are not the intended audience of the
system of thought with a consistent ontological and forcings,” Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 33 (2006), 23 H. Verhoeven, “Climate Change, Conflict and Develop- post-Kyoto debate, but they are part of the evidence being
epistemological structure. L11706. See also Leon D. Rotstayn and Ulrike Lohmann, ment in Sudan: Global Neo-Malthusian Narratives and used to make it. See Oli Brown, Anne Hammill, and Robert
3 The French problématique is used to indicate the way this “Tropical rainfall trends and the indirect aerosol effect,” Local Power Struggles,” Development and Change, vol. McLeman, “Climate change as the ‘new’ security threat:
concept emerges from a history of French epistemological Journal of Climate, vol. 15 (2002): 2103–16. For an overview 42, no. 3 (2011): 679–707; and Mathieu Couttenier, and implications for Africa,” International Affairs, vol. 83, no. 6
thought, primarily in the writings of Gaston Bachelard see Alessandra Giannini, Michela Biasutti, Isaac M. Held, Raphael Soubeyran, “Drought and Civil War in Sub- (2007): 1141–54.
and Michel Foucault, and then especially later in Gilles and Adam H. Sobel, “A global perspective on African Saharan Africa,” The Economic Journal (2013), doi: 10.1111. 34 John Stuart Mill, Principles of Political Economy with some of
Deleuze’s Difference and Repetition (London: Continuum, climate,” Climatic Change, vol. 90 (2008): 359–83. See also 24 Alex De Waal, “Is Climate Change the Culprit for their Applications to Social Philosophy (London: Longmans,
2004). Alessandra Giannini et al., “A unifying view of climate Darfur?” African Arguments, June 25, 2007, http:// Green and Co., 1843), VI.9.3.
4 Gilles Deleuze, The Logic of Sense (London: Continuum, change in the Sahel linking intra-seasonal, interannual and africanarguments.org/2007/06/25/is-climate-change 35 See also Alan Garfinkel, Forms of Explanation: Rethinking
2004), 306–07. longer time scales,” Environmental Research Letters, vol. 8 -the-culprit-for-darfur/. the Questions in Social Theory (New Haven: Yale University
5 Unlike CO2, which is temporally long-lived and spatially (2013), 024010. 25 Giorgio Agamben, “Beyond Human Rights,” in Means Press, 1981).
diffuse, aerosol particles remain suspended in the atmo- 13 Fernand Braudel, The Mediterranean and the Mediterranean without End: Notes on Politics, trans. Vincenzo Binetti and 36 As a conditional statement, it makes any cause dependent
sphere for less than a week and are therefore localized World in the Age of Phillip II (Berkeley and Los Angeles: Cesare Casarino (Minneapolis: University of Minnesota on a supposition, and therefore non-universal, and only
within parts of the earth’s atmosphere. Nonetheless they University of California Press, 1995), 24. Press, 2000), 15–26, at 16. generalizable if said conditions are met. See also Marc
have a significant, if more spatio-temporally patterned, 14 The word Sahel is thought to mean “shore,” as in the Arabic 26 See Anthony Lodge, Beyond the Frontiers. Frontex: The First Lange, “Who’s afraid of Ceteris-Paribus Laws? Or: How
effect on climate. See also J.M. Prospero, R.J. Charlson, Sahil, which refers to the edge where land meets sea — the Five Years (Warsaw: Frontex, 2010). I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love Them,” Erkenntnis,
V. Mohen, R. Jaenicke, A.C. Delany, J. Moyers, W. Zoller, Sahara desert forming an analogous edge with the savan- 27 Terms like “displacement,” “migration,” and “refugee” vol. 57, no. 3 (2002): 407–23.
and K. Rahn, “The Atmospheric Aerosol System: An nah. In fact the word Sahel becomes — among West African are tactically adopted and refused, in that they form the 37 Nonlinear systems like the climate produce signature
Overview,” Review of Geophysics and Space Physics, vol. 21, Arabs, initially — the word for the sea to their north, that is frame through which political claims can be made. Because bifurcations in response to different forcings. Exploiting
no. 7 (1983): 1607–29; and S.K. Satheesh and K. Kirshna to say the Mediterranean. the political management of movement depends on these this path dependency by exploring a set of counter-factuals
Moorthy, “Radiative effects of natural aerosols: A Review,” 15 C.T. West, C. Roncoli, and F. Ouattara, “Local percep- terms, the legal thresholds that distinguish between the allows for different forcings to be compared to observations.
Atmospheric Environment, vol. 39 (2005): 2089–110. tions and regional climate trends on the central plateau of practices and therefore the actors involved become heavily 38 Biological mathematicians Giuseppe Longo and Francis
6 H. Moosmüller, R.K. Chakrabarty, and W.P. Arnott, Burkina Faso,” Land Degradation & Development, vol. 19, contested. More recently, paleoclimatologists suggest that Bailly argue that the impossibility of computing non-
“Aerosol light absorption and its measurement: A review,” no. 3 (May/June 2008): 289–304. the great drying of the Sahara can only be explained by linear behavior in open systems can be attributed to the
Journal of Quantitative Spectroscopy & Radiative Transfer, 16 In Darfur the names of famine refer to conditions of social simulating non-anthropogenic aerosols in the atmosphere, non-trivial difference between the continuous nature
vol. 110 (2009): 844–78. breakdown—the suspension of community and the prom- i.e. the influence of Saharan dust. For a long-term history of the phenomena and the repeatable addressability
7 C.S. Zerefos, V.T. Gerogiannis, D. Balis, and ise of its reformulation at some point in the future. Alex see Rudolph Kuper and Stefan Kröpelin, “Climate-Con- of discrete points in the systems used to describe them.
A. Kazantzidis, “Atmospheric effects of volcanic eruptions De Waal notes an important distinction in naming deadly trolled Holocene Occupation in the Sahara: Motor of For Longo and Bailly, it is possible to say that language
as seen by famous artists and depicted in their paint- famines that do not merit a separate name but are simply Africa’s Evolution,” Science, vol. 313 (2006): 803–07. and matter are incommensurable, or perhaps that while
ings,” Atmospheric Chemisty and Physics, vol. 7 (2007): appended with the term “famine that kills” (maja’a al gat- 28 See Maxine Burkett, “The Nation Ex-Situ: On climate computers can repeat, only God can miscalculate.
4027–42. ala). He concludes that this state marks a crossing “where change, deterritorialized nationhood and the post-climate Giuseppe Longo and Francis Bailly, “Objective and
8 Michel Serres, The Birth of Physics (Manchester: Clinamen naming breaks down” and, more critically perhaps, that era,” Climate Law, vol. 2 (2011): 345–74. Epistemic Complexity in Biology (Towards a ‘conceptual
Press, 2000), 67. “the destitution and social breakdown it causes are more 29 For a discussion of shifting ideas of testimony, see Thomas organization’),” invited lecture, International Conference
9 Leon D. Rotstayn and Ulrike Lohmann, “Tropical Rainfall significant for the sufferers than the fact of mortality.” Keenan and Eyal Weizman, Mengele’s Skull: The Advent of on Theoretical Neurobiology, New Delhi, National Brain
Trends and the Indirect Aerosol Effect,” Journal of Climate, Alex de Waal, Famine That Kills: Darfur, Sudan (New York: a Forensic Aesthetics (Berlin and Frankfurt am Main: Stern- Research Centre, February 2003. See also Guiseppe
vol. 15 (2002): 2103–16. Oxford University Press, 2005), 75. For a comprehensive berg Press and Portikus, 2012). Longo, “From exact sciences to life phenomena:
10 Gilbert Simondon uses this example to introduce the treatment of the calculus and the politics of humanitarian 30 See Solomon M. Hsiang, Marshall Burke, Edward following Schrödinger and Turing on Programs, Life
concept of transduction, finally extending it beyond the aid, see the chapter “Arendt in Ethiopia” in Eyal Weizman, Miguel, “Quantifying the Influence of Climate on Human and Causality,” Information and Computation, no. 207
action of crystallization to describe the structuring of any The Least of All Possible Evils: Humanitarian Violence from Conflict,” Science, vol. 341, no. 6151 (September 2013), (2009): 545–58, at 553.
metastable field. See Gilbert Simondon, “The Genesis of Arendt to Gaza (London: Verso, 2011), 27–62. doi: 10.1126/science.1235367. 39 “Di-Aping first attacked the 2 degrees C warming
the Individual,” in Jonathan Crary and Stanford Kwinter, 17 See Bruno Latour, An Inquiry into Modes of Existence (Cam- 31 Tal Golan, “A preliminary history of epidemiological maximum that most rich countries currently consider
eds., Incorporations (New York: Zone Books, 1992). bridge MA: Harvard University Press, 2013). evidence in the twentieth-century American Courtroom.” acceptable. Referring continuously to science, in particular
11 Alessandra Giannini, “Mechanisms of Climate Change in 18 See Eduardo Batalha Viveiros de Castro, “Exchanging Unpublished manuscript, 2011. See also Sheila Jasanoff, to parts of the latest IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on
the Semiarid African Sahel: The Local View,” Journal of Perspectives: The Transformation of Objects into Subjects “Science and the Statistical Victim: Modernizing Knowl- Climate Change) report, which he referenced by page
Climate, vol. 23 (2010): 743–56. in Amerindian Ontologies,” Common Knowledge, vol. 10, edge in Breast Implant Litigation,” Social Studies of Science, and section, he said that 2 degrees C globally meant 3.5
12 The key role played by Sea Surface Temperatures (SST) no. 3 (Fall 2004), 463–84. vol. 32, no. 1 (Feb. 2002): 37–69. degrees C for much of Africa. He called global warming
has been the subject of a series of landmark papers pub- 19 Claire Colebrook, “Extinction: Framing the End of the 32 Weinstein speaking in reference to the 1984 Agent Orange of 2 degrees C ‘certain death for Africa,’ a type of ‘climate
lished by Alessandra Giannini at The Earth Institute at Species,” in Colebrook, ed., Extinction (Living Books claim lodged by US veterans of the Vietnam War against the fascism’ imposed on Africa by high carbon emitters. He
Columbia University in collaboration with colleagues in About Life/Open Humanities Press, 2012), unpaginated. government. Quoted in Golan, “A preliminary history,” 7. said Africa was being asked to sign on to an agreement that
other climate research centers in the United States. Build- 20 See also Arturo Escobar, Encountering Development: The 33 African nations, in both absolute and per capita terms, are would allow this warming in exchange for $10 billion, and
ing on important work by Leon Rotstayn and colleagues at Making and Unmaking of the Third World (Princeton: Prince- insignificant sources of emissions on a global scale. On that Africa was also being asked to 'celebrate' this deal.”
the CSIRO on the sensitivity of SST to aerosol emission, ton University Press, 1994). average, each resident of sub-Saharan Africa produces Adam Welz, “Emotional scenes at Copenhagen: Lumumba
this research reverses decades of orthodoxy that argued 21 See also Franco Cassano, “For a Thought from the South,” less than a ton of CO2 per year, compared with an average Di-Aping @ Africa civil society meeting—8 Dec 2009,”
that local anthropogenic transformation (i.e., African in Southern Thought and Other Essays on the Mediterranean European’s annual output of 8.2 tons of CO2 and the http://adamwelz.wordpress.com/2009/12/08
agricultural practice) were responsible for desertification. (New York: Fordham University Press, 2012), 1–6. average North American’s of 19.9 tons. Whether or not /emotional-scenes-at-copenhagen-lumumba-di-aping
The work concludes by proposing that persistent drought 22 In a 2007 Washington Post article, UN Secretary-General most sub-Saharan countries sign up to a post-Kyoto deal -africa-civil-society-meeting-8-dec-2009/, last accessed
in the Sahel is not local in origin but rather the result of an Ban Ki-moon proposed anthropogenic climate change as will have little impact on global emissions. However, cases November 2013.

516 Floating Bodies Ecologies 517

40 For more detailed analysis of the scenarios, see Thomas
Case: Guatemala
Stocker, Qin Dahe, Gian-Kasper Plattner, et al., “Work-
ing Group I contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment
Report Climate Change 2013: the Physical Science Basis,”
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2013, 53.
41 In his otherwise excellent book, A Vast Machine, Paul
Edwards states: “On an idealized view, high-quality scientif-
ic knowledge should and will automatically command policy
choices, limiting disputes by partisans to no.s of imple-
mentation. Yet the implication of this profound authority is
that credible science can be translated directly into political
power.” This is indicative of a certain technocratic concept
of information and its relation to decision making. What is
in question here is exactly the opposite: less the credibility
of science vis-à-vis science and more the relevance of science
vis-à-vis politics. Paul N. Edwards, A Vast Machine: Com-
puter Models, Climate Data and the Politics of Global Warming
(Massachusetts: MIT Press, 2010), 406.
42 See Brodie Ramin, “Slums, climate change and human
health in sub-Saharan Africa,” Bulletin of the World Health
Organization, vol. 87 (2009), 886–86. Increasingly there
are calls to link climate change analysis to health and mor-
tality projections. See Simon Lewis, “It’s time for a body
count,” Guardian, February 26, 2008. Mortality rates
are difficult to estimate due to the mixed causal factors
involved. Nonetheless some attempts have been made.
For a review see Andrew C. Revkin, “Forum Says Climate
Shift Brings Deaths,” New York Times, May 29, 2009.
43 Part of the reason for this is that scientific research has been
directed toward global models, in part due to the need to
understand the climate system in comprehensive terms, but
also because this is where funding has been directed. Fur-
ther, there are real technical limits on existing capacities to
model impact at smaller resolutions.
44 Andrew C. Revkin “Forum says Climate Shift Brings
Death,” New York Times, May 29, 2009.
45 For further elaboration on Copenhagen see also Adrian
Lahoud, “The Third Degree: Interrogating the Scale of
Climate Conflict,” in Ines Weizman, ed., Architecture and
the Paradox of Dissidence (London: Routledge, 2013).
46 Radoslav S. Dimitrov, “Inside UN Climate Change Nego-
tiations: The Copenhagen Conference,” Review of Policy
Research, vol. 27, no. 6 (2010): 795–821.
47 Serres, The Natural Contract, 32.
48 See also Paulo Tavares and Adrian Lahoud, “Fifth Geneva
Convention: Nature, conflict, and international law in the
Anthropocene,” http://www.forensic-architecture.org
/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/5th-Geneva-Convention
-Tavares-Lahoud.pdf.
49 The crime scene was even marked with blood: Claudia
Salerno, G77 member and Lead Climate Negotiator for
Venezuela was forced to slam the table in order to be heard
during a session in which the chair continually ignored her
requests to speak; eventually, she continued her speech
with her bloodied palm raised in front of her.

518 Floating Bodies Forensic Architecture in collaboration with SITU Research Ecologies 519