Total Exposure: Expected Construction Activity

Total Exposure
March 2011 http://totalinteriors.net/ Volume 2, Issue 1
Market Analysis by Gary Seaton Jr.

Special points of
interest:
 Market Analysis
(page 1)
 March Madness
(page 2)
 38th Annual St.

Patrick’s Day Pa-
rade (page 3)
 U.S. economy in an
expansion phase
(page 3)
 Want your project

done right? Give us
The graph below illustrates expected construction activity based upon the
a call (page 4) Architects Billing Index (graph above) and its impact on the construction industry 12
months later. Billings by architects (ABI) is the most accurate predictor of future
construction activity, according to economic scholars. In theory, we expect to see
the impact of a respective ABI score roughly 12 months later. Further, any score
above 50 indicates an increase in billings while a score below 50 reflects a contrac-
tion in design services. As you can see below, we are in the midst of a gradual im-
provement for market conditions.
To access prior issues of Total Exposure, please visit our website @ http://
totalinteriors.net/newsletter.html.
Expected Construction
60
Activity
55
50
45
40
35
March Madness Preview
By: Gary Seaton, Jr.
Let the madness begin! In a one seed at 88th. considering.
mad dash to get your bracket filled The second figure I looked at For more facts and trends
out, there is no shortage of expert is scoring margin, which indicates how based upon past Tournament results,
analysis on TV and the internet. When comfortably each team won through- check out the article linked below by
I thought of what I could add to the out the season. Often considered a ESPN’s Keith Lipscomb and Chris Fal-
surplus of information, three figures good predictor of success in March lica; I found it to be helpful. Good luck!
came to mind. Madness, ESPN’s Jay Bilas believes
First, I compiled ‘Gary’s Re- that “if you only use one statistic to http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/basketball/fba/story?page=tcmen\11brackettrends
cruiting Rankings,” which represents make your picks, use scoring margin.”
how well each school has recruited in Further, Fantasy Sports Analysis’ Josh
recent years. I identified seven play- Culp writes, “11 of the last 12 NCAA
ers on each team which play the most Tournament Champions have had at
minutes and evaluated how highly least a +14 Scoring Margin, combin-
coveted they were as a high school ing for an average Scoring Margin of
recruit, according to rivals.com. For 16.9 points over their opposition. In
each high school class, Rivals ranks fact, the average Scoring Margin of all
players from 1 to 150 nationally. In the Final Four teams in these same
the event that one of players was not 12 tournaments is 13.2 points.
ranked coming out of high school, I Lastly, I identified how many
figured 150 as their ranking. To illus- NBA Draft picks each team has, ac-
trate, the average ranking of recruit cording to the latest mock draft at
among the top 7 in minutes played for nbadraft.com. At first, I was not a
Duke is 33rd, quite impressive. On believer in Ohio State’s ability to get to
the other hand, Pittsburgh’s ranking is the Final Four but after realizing they
notably high for a number have three NBA Draft picks, I am re-
Ave. Recruiting Rankings Scoring Margin # of NBA Draft Picks

Kansas 45 17.1 2
Ohio St. 49 17.3 3
Duke 33 16.8 2
Pitt 88 13.1 1

Notre Dame 84 10.4 0
Florida 38 8.5 1
SDSU 97 13.2 1
UNC 27 8.9 1

Uconn 39 7 1
BYU 90 14.1 1
Syracuse 44 10.3 1
Purdue 77 11.2 2

Texas 52 13.5 2
Wisconson 90 9.9 1
Kentucky 43 12.6 3
Louisiville 71 10.7 0

West Virginia 98 5.5 0
Kansas State 71 7.1 1
Vandy 49 8.6 0
Arizona 49 9.1 1
Page 3
Happy St. Patrick’s Day 2011

Don’t miss Kansas City’s 38th Annual
St. Patrick’s Day Parade on March 17th (St.
Patrick’s Day) from 11:30 to 1:30. The pa-
rade will take place on Broadway, begin-
ning at 33rd (Linwood) and ending at 43rd
Street in Westport. KMBC reporter, Mi-
chael Mahoney, will serve as this year’s
Grand Marshall. More informa-
tion @ http://
kcirishparade.com/.
Data Indicates United States Economy Now in Expansion

By: Greg Robb, MarketWatch
The U.S. economy, fu- fourth quarter exceeded its previous Read more @ http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-economic-
eled by gains in consumer peak, which signifies that the econ- growth-accelerates-to-32-rate-2011-01-28
spending, grew at a faster pace omy has now moved from a recovery
in the 2010 fourth quarter, rais- phase into an expansion phase of
ing hopes that it’s on self- the business cycle.
sustaining path. In its first esti- For all of 2010, the econ-
mate of growth for the final omy increased 2.9%, marking the
three months of 2010, the Com- biggest annual increase since 2005.
merce Department said gross Treasury Secretary Timothy
domestic product rose at a 3.2% Geithner told global leaders gath-
annual rate, faster than the ered in Davos, Switzerland, that he
2.6% pace seen during the inter- was “more confident that now we
val spanning July, August and have a sustainable expansion, not a
September. boom,” and that will allow the U.S.
In an important mile- economy to avoid slipping back into
stone, the level of GDP in the recession or a period of sub-trend
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the commercial construction industry in Kansas City
and beyond. Whether the project is a major new con-
110 Greystone Ave.
Kansas City, KS 66103
struction or a small remodel, our focus is always on
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and field staff collaborate to provide a cohesive effort,
P: 913.621.2844
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F: 913.621.6222
Email: [email protected]
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highest profile projects and have developed a reputa-
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Total Exposure

March 2011 http://totalinteriors.net/ Volume 2, Issue 1

Market Analysis by Gary Seaton Jr.

 38th Annual St.

 Want your project

Ave. Recruiting Rankings Scoring Margin # of NBA Draft Picks

Happy St. Patrick’s Day 2011

Data Indicates United States Economy Now in Expansion

Support Your Local Business!!

Like us on facebook by clicking

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