Group 2 Section B PDF
Group 2 Section B PDF
Group 2 Section B PDF
Dell’s Perspective
Submitted to:
Shabnaz Amin Auditi
Associate Professor
Department of Finance
University of Dhaka
Submitted by:
Group 2
Batch: 23rd
Section: B
Department of Finance
University of Dhaka
2
Group Profile:
SL No Student’s Name ID No Remarks
01 Rakib Mostak 23-020
02 Israt Jahan Ritu 23-084
03 Risha Afsara Fariha 23-145
04 Sifat Zahan Mim 23-188
05 Afia Siddique 23-313
06 Bir Bahadur Tripura 23-323
3
Contents
1.0 Case Overview .......................................................................................................................6
2.0 Problem Defining; Analyst’s Perspective ................................................................................6
2.1 Scenario Analysis ...............................................................................................................6
2.1.1 Working Capital Policy as the Competitive Advantage ................................................6
2.2.2 Dell’s Growth in 1996 .................................................................................................7
2.2 Problem Statement ...........................................................................................................9
3.0 Developing Solution Alternatives ...........................................................................................9
3.1 Funding Growth of 50% in 1997 .........................................................................................9
3.2 Recommending Alternatives of Working Capital Strategy ................................................10
3.3 Scenario of Capital Restructuring; Growth Funding in 1997 .............................................10
4.0 Defining Decision Criteria ....................................................................................................11
4.1 Decision Objective ...........................................................................................................11
4.2 Current Strategy Analysis.................................................................................................11
4.2.1 Working Capital Strategy ..........................................................................................11
4.2.2 Financing Strategy ....................................................................................................12
4.2.3 Profit Scenario ..........................................................................................................12
4.3 Decision Dimensions ........................................................................................................12
5.0 Analysis and Evaluation of Alternatives ...............................................................................13
5.1 Evaluation of Internal Financing Alternatives ...................................................................13
5.2 Recommendations for Working Capital Strategy .............................................................13
5.2.1 Cash Forecasting; Working Capital Perspective .........................................................13
5.2.2 Investment Strategy; Working Capital Perspective ....................................................14
5.2.3 Evaluation of Investment Strategies; Profit Perspective of January ...........................14
5.2.4 Analyzing Effect on Net profit ...................................................................................14
5.3 Financing Sales Growth in 1997; Capital Restructuring Perspective .................................15
5.3 2 Incremental Value Analysis .......................................................................................15
6.0 Decision Optimization and Implementation Plan .................................................................16
6.1 Analysis of Preferred Alternative .....................................................................................16
4
6.2 Solution Outlining ............................................................................................................16
6.2.1 50% Growth Strategy without Restructuring .............................................................16
6.2.2 Working Capital Strategy ..........................................................................................17
6.2.3 50% Growth with Capital Restructuring ....................................................................17
6.3 Implementation Plan .......................................................................................................18
6.3.1 General Implementation Plan ...................................................................................18
6.3.2 Implementation Schedule .........................................................................................19
7.0 References ..........................................................................................................................21
8.0 Appendix .............................................................................................................................22
8.1 Working Capital Scheduling .........................................................................................22
8.2 Restructuring Perspective; Working Capital Strategy .......................................................23
8.3 Effect of Growth Funding in 1997 (Projection) .................................................................24
8.4 Cash Forecasting; 1997 1st Quarter ..................................................................................25
8.5 Investment Planning ........................................................................................................25
8.5.1 Stone Model Application...........................................................................................25
8.5.2 Investment Planning Schedule ..................................................................................26
8.5.3 Stone Model Assumptions ........................................................................................26
8.5.3 Fund Available for Investment ..................................................................................26
8.6 Quarterly Working Capital ...............................................................................................27
8.7 Financing Portfolio in 1996 ..............................................................................................27
5
1.0 Case Overview
The buzzword “technological revolution” was thriving during the 90’s decade when Dell was
born. The scenario states the journey of Dell along with the dynamic passages of computer-
hardware industry of America. When Dell entered the market, the initial move was to go for a
vertical integration with IBM. Basing on IBM’s brand, the company created their existence. But,
along with the time preceded, the industry became more competitive. Thus, Dell introduced
another strategy “built-in order” to survive over the competition, thus gained competitive
advantage internally through the working capital tactics. After beginning with only 1% industry
share, the founder anticipated the potential threats of consolidation in the fragmented industry
of America. Though they moved on to an extended supply chain for sales growth, regretfully Dell
was subjected to their huge corporate loss of $76 million along with a decline in net margin. It
was supposed to be growing revenue instead, which was not practical due to the dynamic
consumer perceptions. Without the sole focus on growth, Dell concurrently shifted focus toward
liquidity and profitability due to the previous performance decline. After changing the focus, Dell
beat the industry with its 52% growth in 1996, which was not in the estimations of the founder,
rather he hoped to hold only 5-10% industry pace. Hopefully, the founder, Michael Dell is
assuming the growth to be 50% in 1997, which will again outpace the industry growth.
Now, it is ambiguous in the stated scenario, and is a matter of researcher’s concern, what should
be the optimum working capital and profit modification tactics recommended for Dell, which
should be supported by other industry journals and financial statements. Besides, the query also
stands for Dell, what would be their growth policy if they would repurchase $500 million of
common equity, while repaying all leverages of long term.
6
inventory management as the leading tactics of working capital management, which contributed
to attaining the competitive advantage over the competitors. But, how this happened? According
to the theory of porter model, the competitive advantage comes with three distinct forms, which
are the probable alternatives; cost leadership, differentiation and focus (William, 2018).
Dell strictly followed the “Built to order” model. This model in specification deals with providing
customers directly what they want, along with integrating with IBM for inbound components.
Through using this model, Dell established three core golden rules for their strategy; disdain
inventory, mass customization and direct selling. How this influenced the working capital policy?
Working capital policy is the differential between the current assets and current liabilities. Due
to utmost mass customization, Dell was able to provide the exact demand satisfying products to
customers, thus they could raise the consumer demand. Besides, the just in time inventory
management reduced their inventory holding to 20%, which is much lower than the competitors.
The inventory turnover was 122 per year which was an efficient lean expertise. The direct selling
strategy enabled them to skip the distributor group leading to lower the cost. These altogether
resulted in lower inventory holding, lower account payable as well as minimized account
receivable. The minimal working capital figure held mostly the cash figures, which were freed up
from idle resources. The low holding of working capital was correlated to run the operation at
the minimal expenditures (Chegg, 2015). Thus, Dell gain the cost leadership advantage over their
competitors. Dell was able to minimize each component of the cost function. Cost of Dell=
Thus, according to the Porter model, Dell adopted the cost leadership strategy to survive and
grow in the market through minimizing the operation lever through unique supply and
manufacturing chain along with holding the proportionate profit figures.
7
Thus, Sales growth =
(𝑖𝑚𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑑 𝑞𝑢𝑎𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑦, 𝑡𝑒𝑐ℎ𝑛𝑜𝑙𝑜𝑔𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑒𝑓𝑓𝑖𝑐𝑖𝑒𝑛𝑐𝑦, 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑢𝑐𝑡 𝑑𝑖𝑓𝑓𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛, 𝑚𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡 𝑒𝑥𝑝𝑎𝑛𝑠𝑖𝑜𝑛,
∫
𝐻𝑅 𝑒𝑥𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑡𝑖𝑠𝑒, 𝑚𝑜𝑑𝑖𝑓𝑖𝑒𝑑 𝑎𝑑𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑡𝑖𝑠𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑚𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔)
For attaining each variable of the sales growth, the founder had to afford huge funding for
extended market place, new product, enhanced technology as well as modified operational
activities.
Despite huge loss in 1993 along with working capital shortage, how could Dell grow 52.4% in 1996
outpacing the industry by 22%? Despite suffering from significant loss in 1993, Dell reached the
milestone of 52.4% sales growth in 1996. In this section, it will be analyzed, how this happened.
As the initial view, a company can boost sales growth, if they can increase the asset turnover or
asset utilization.
Operating asset of Dell in 1995 = (total asset – short term investment) = (1594-484) $ million =
$1110 million. As the sales of Dell in 1995 was = $3475 million, Operating asset held =
($1110/$3475) % or 31.94% of sales. If the ratio is assumed to be operative in 1996, the estimated
target operating asset level is derived. The sales stands for $5296 million in 1996. Thus, the
annual operating asset in 1996 should be = ($5296*32%) million or $1694.72 million. But, the
actual operating asset was = ($2148-$591) million = $1557 million. Required funding is = ($1557
million-$1110 million) = $447 million
From the balance sheet, it is derived that, the liability and equity side has increased in 1996
(except the payable) = {(2148-466)-(1594-403)} = $491 million. This additional $491 million was
utilized by Dell to support the required funding of $447. From the following diagram, it is clear
that dell funded the additional operating asset through both internal and external sources. Dell
mostly relied on internal sources and avoided long term debt sources to maintain solvency
But, how the growth happened? Well, the sales growth of 52.4% happened in three ways.
a) Firstly, Dell required less operation assets to generate the sales than the estimated, thus the
asset utilization or asset turnover has increased from 3.13 to 3.40 times, as they introduced
trendy technologies.
8
b) Dell increased its equity component comparatively from the previous year in 1996.
c) Keeping the long term debt same, they increased the current assets to improve asset
efficiency.
2.2 Problem Statement
The dilemma arises, as the industry growth is probable to follow a slow trend (Csimarket, 2020).
In the second scenario, there might be potential restructure in the balance sheet. Thus, how Dell
can grow 50% in 1997? Besides, Dell has been already faced the dilemma of liquidity versus
profitability for several years. They suffered from huge loss in 1993 due to change in working
capital policy, while the policy was also not sufficiently supporting the growth.
1. As Michael Dell is assuming to outpace the industry with 50% growth in the upcoming
year 1997, what is the probable solution to support that growth?
2. What is the optimum working capital policy of Dell, balanced with the profit target?
3. If the year 1997 is entailed by repurchasing shares of $500 million and repayment of long
term debts, what would be the growth strategy for 50% estimations?
Thus, the probable problem statement could be formed as, developing working capital and
growth strategies for Dell. The growth policies should recognize two micro and macro scenarios;
restructuring the balance sheet of the company and the industry growth.
9
$156 million $311.2million $311.2 million
Strategic alternative 2 25% 50% 25%
$194.5 million $389million $194.5million
Strategic alternative 3 25% 25% 50%
$194.5 million $194.5 million $389 million
Strategic alternative 4 33% 33% 33%
$259 million $259 million $259 million
Current strategy
DSI DSO DPO CCC
Q196 34 47 42 39
Q296 36 50 43 43
Q396 37 49 43 43
10
Q496 31 42 33 40
Proposed Strategy 1
DSI DSO DPO CCC
Q197 30 40 42 28
Q297 28 40 35 33
Q397 25 38 37 26
Q497 24 35 40 19
Proposed Strategy 2
DSI DSO DPO CCC
Q197 25 20 33 12
Q297 25 20 30 15
Q397 25 20 30 15
Q497 25 20 30 15
Proposed Strategy 3
DSI DSO DPO CCC
Q197 15 25 33 7
Q297 15 25 35 5
Q397 15 25 37 3
Q497 15 25 39 1
The second objective stands for evaluating and recommending the optimum working capital and
profitability policies.
The daily cash holding of Dell is derived to be $6.60 million recently (1996), which is far above
the expected balance.
a) Dell’s current assets are twice than current liabilities, thus they don’t depend on current
liabilities only, rather match the most liabilities with current assets.
b) Dell’s asset structure is based on current assets. And liability is very lower than the equity.
This means Dell is focused on internal funding mostly for solvency assurance.
c) Dell is using equity financing to support the fixed asset and the majority of current assets.
And the little figure of current asset is being invested in short term investments, their
strategy is currently very conservative (Danielson, 2011).
4.2.3 Profit Scenario
It was previously analyzed that, Dell has achieved a net margin of almost 5% in 1996, but their
profitability is hampered in three ways.
a) As they follow conservative working capital strategy, they hold 48% higher liquidity, if
those are invested in short term funds, there would be approximately 48% higher non-
operating income, which figure is very trivial in current balance sheet.
b) If the equity funding was transformed to debt funding, there would be less after-tax
expenses for rising profit figure (Daly, 2002).
c) The equity structure is common stock-based, ignoring the preferred stock, yet the
preferred stock may avoid excess financial outflow.
4.3 Decision Dimensions
For evaluating internal financing problem in 1997, alternatives would be analyzed through risk,
liquidity, and solvency and profitability dimensions. Especially the opportunity cost would be
incorporated in profit analysis. The relative analysis would provide the optimum alternative. For
working capital strategy, the cash forecasting would be used for getting the optimum cash
balance (Day, 2016). The excess cash would be invested for profit purpose, which will lower the
working capital. The alternative providing the highest return incorporating transaction cost is the
12
optimum. The cash balance target will be based on the stone model and the investment schedule
will follow the Beranek model. Finally, the restructuring scenario will be dealt with the optimum
alternative which provides the highest incremental revenue figures.
Even, the working capital policy was the mainstream competitive advantage of Dell from the
beginning (Hutchison, 2007). But, despite raising the sales, the net profit lags than the
competitors. A projection of cash in the upcoming year is represented in the following section.
13
Beginning balance 198.1241 102.4662 135.6119
Total Cash Holding (forecasted) 102.4662 135.6119 172.0721
Daily cash holding (Approximate) 3.31 4.84 5.55
Currently, the daily cash holding target of Dell stands for $ 6.60 million. But as per the projection,
the daily holding would probably be much lower.
14
5.3 Financing Sales Growth in 1997; Capital Restructuring Perspective
This segment considers significant financing dilemma. The year is estimated to grab minimum
6.00% net margin for Dell, the retained earnings is available for $476.64 million.
15
6.0 Decision Optimization and Implementation Plan
6.1 Analysis of Preferred Alternative
For three distinct scenarios of Dell Corporation, the researcher has already evaluated the
probable alternatives. The optimum alternatives are selected based on the evaluation, objectivity
and specified assumptions (Kim, 2001).
Working capital 1st Selling UC2 at $0.98 million and LC2 Contributing to NPM
policy alternative at $0.66 million by 0.0232% (highest)
50% growth with 3rd Reducing DSI and DSO by huge Highest value of
capital strategy counts, keeping DPO same $2549 million
restructuring
16
6.2.2 Working Capital Strategy
Attributes Amount ($million)
Thus, in the first quarter, the working capital reduction would be altogether almost $371 million,
which is far upper than the targeted 311.2 million, if the company goes for sales growth. This
strategy allows that Dell can free up working capital in a more flexible manner. If the current year
is ignored, the working capital reduction would be altogether $317 million. If this flow is
continued, Dell have two opportunity aspects;
17
Q397 15 25 37 3 along with a gradual rise in
DPO in each quarter for
Q497 15 25 39 1
capital freeing up.
Financing target Asset Short Share Loan Targeted working capital fund
growth term repo 5% freeing $2011.158 million
39% 31% 25% (annual), quarterly average
$502.7895 million
18
daily fund 0.0232% funds will be
planning profit rise traded for
short term
securities in
each
upcoming
month.
1st Task 1 Reducing cash balance 31st December Investing in short term
quarter initially by $54.02 1997 securities.
million
Task 2 Selling off short term From 1st January Equally increasing asset
investments worth 1997 to 31st base by $103.73 million.
$311.2 million March, 1997 Initial asset base will be
technologically focused.
19
2nd Task 4 Freeing up $311.2 1st April to 30th Achieving another rise in
quarter million, investing in June asset base within June.
operating assets
3rd Task 4 Retained earnings 1st November to Achieving 20% rest of asset
quarter funding of $156 million 31st December base within 1997.
1997
Task 5 Asset base, share 30th October 1997 Funding growth by $1391
repurchase and loan million
repayment
20
7.0 References
Beaumont, C., 2009. Cash flow forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting, 4(2), p.300.
Chegg, S., 2015. The Competitive Advantage. [Toronto]: Ontario Ministry of Industry Trade and
Technology.
Chen, X. and Tian, W., 2019. A consistent investment strategy. Journal of Investment Strategies,.
Csimarket.com. 2020. Dell Technologies Inc (DELL) Growth Rates Comparisons To Computer
Hardware Industry, Sector, Market. Sales, Income, EPS. [online] Available at:
<https://csimarket.com/stocks/growthrates.php?code=DELL> [Accessed 10 September
2020].
Day, G., 2016. GAINING INSIGHTS THROUGH STRATEGY ANALYSIS. Journal of Business Strategy,
4(1), pp.51-58.
Hutchison, G., 2007. The Strategy Of Corporate Financing. New York: Presidents Pub. House.
Kim, Y., 2001. Advances In Working Capital Management. Oxford: Jai / Elsevier Science.
Smith, N., 2014. Alternatives in Teacher Evaluation. American Journal of Evaluation, 3(2), pp.90-
93.
William, M., 2018. Creating Tomorrow's Competitive Advantage. Washington, D.C.: Urban Land
Institute.
Winterton, A., 2013. Modelling for the future. Balance Sheet, 8(1), pp.11-14.
21
8.0 Appendix
8.1 Working Capital Scheduling
DSI DSO DPO CCC Cogs Sales Cogs Sales
turnover turnover
(Quarter (Quarter
Cogs/90) sales/90)
Q193 40 54 46 48 391.25 728.5 4.347222222 8.094444444
Q293 44 51 55 40 391.25 728.5 4.347222222 8.094444444
Q393 47 52 51 48 391.25 728.5 4.347222222 8.094444444
Q493 55 54 53 56 391.25 728.5 4.347222222 8.094444444
Q194 55 58 56 57 610 718.25 6.777777778 7.980555556
Q294 41 53 43 51 610 718.25 6.777777778 7.980555556
Q394 33 53 45 41 610 718.25 6.777777778 7.980555556
Q494 33 50 42 41 610 718.25 6.777777778 7.980555556
Q195 32 53 45 40 684.25 868.75 7.602777778 9.652777778
Q295 35 49 44 40 684.25 868.75 7.602777778 9.652777778
Q395 35 50 46 39 684.25 868.75 7.602777778 9.652777778
Q495 32 47 44 35 684.25 868.75 7.602777778 9.652777778
Q196 34 47 42 39 1057.25 1324 11.74722222 14.71111111
Q296 36 50 43 43 1057.25 1324 11.74722222 14.71111111
Q396 37 49 43 43 1057.25 1324 11.74722222 14.71111111
Q496 31 42 33 40 1057.25 1324 11.74722222 14.71111111
AP AR Inventory WC (cash requirement) Daily Cash Balance
Q193 199.9722 437.1 173.8889 411.0166667 4.566851852
Q293 239.0972 412.8167 191.2778 364.9972222 4.055524691
Q393 221.7083 420.9111 204.3194 403.5222222 4.483580247
Q493 230.4028 437.1 239.0972 445.7944444 4.953271605
Q194 379.5556 462.8722 372.7778 456.0944444 5.067716049
22
Q294 291.4444 422.9694 277.8889 409.4138889 4.54904321
Q394 305 422.9694 223.6667 341.6361111 3.79595679
Q494 284.6667 399.0278 223.6667 338.0277778 3.755864198
Q195 342.125 511.5972 243.2889 412.7611111 4.586234568
Q295 334.5222 472.9861 266.0972 404.5611111 4.495123457
Q395 349.7278 482.6389 266.0972 399.0083333 4.433425926
Q495 334.5222 453.6806 243.2889 362.4472222 4.027191358
Q196 493.3833 691.4222 399.4056 597.4444444 6.638271605
Q296 505.1306 735.5556 422.9 653.325 7.259166667
Q396 505.1306 720.8444 434.6472 650.3611111 7.226234568
Q496 387.6583 617.8667 364.1639 594.3722222 6.604135802
(a) Account payable = Cogs turnover*DPO, (b) Account receivable = Sales turnover*DSO, (c)
Inventory balance = Cogs turnover*DSI, (d) Working capital balance = receivables + inventory –
payable, (e) Fund freeing = current working capital requirement – strategic working capital
requirement.
23
Q497 352.4167 294.2222 293.6806 235.4861 2.616512
Strategy 3
AP AR Inventory WC (cash requirement) Daily Cash Balance
Q197 387.6583 367.7778 176.2083 156.3278 1.736975
Q297 411.1528 367.7778 176.2083 132.8333 1.475926
Q397 434.6472 367.7778 176.2083 109.3389 1.214877
Q497 458.1417 367.7778 176.2083 85.84444 0.953827
2500
2000
508.5277778
1500
358.8861111
541.0222222
1000 414.875
267.4388889 520.4916667
417.8388889
500
232.3055556
147.1111111 397.2 441.1166667
0 149.9666667
Strategy 1 Strategy 2 Strategy 3
24
8.4 Cash Forecasting; 1997 1st Quarter
January February March
Sales (50% growth in quarter 1) 600 660 726
Cash sales (47.65%) 285.9546 314.5501 346.0051
AR (collection) (next month collection)
314.0454 345.4499
Total receipt (cash sales + collection) 285.9546 628.5955 691.455
Cogs (79.85%) 479.1163 527.0279 579.7307
Operating expense (13.02%) 78.17221 85.98943 94.58837
Total expenses (Cogs + operating) 557.2885 613.0174 674.3191
Cash payment (68.47%) 381.6125 419.7738 461.7512
Payable disburse (31.52%) 175.676 193.2436
Total disburse (cash payment +payable 381.6125 595.4498 654.9948
disbursement)
NCF (total receipts- total disburse) -95.6579 33.14569 36.46026
Beginning cash 198.1241 102.4662 135.6119
Total cash (NCF+ beginning cash) 102.4662 135.6119 172.0721
All proportions are derived from the geometric mean of quarter based financial ratios of the
current year.
25
8.5.2 Investment Planning Schedule
136.96686
140
108.02764
120
100
71.926479
80
54.02
60
40
20
0
31-Dec
4-Feb
7-Feb
12-Mar
15-Mar
18-Mar
21-Mar
24-Mar
27-Mar
30-Mar
2-Apr
11-Jan
14-Jan
17-Jan
20-Jan
23-Jan
26-Jan
29-Jan
3-Mar
6-Mar
9-Mar
31/1/1997
2-Jan
5-Jan
10-Feb
13-Feb
16-Feb
19-Feb
22-Feb
25-Feb
28-Feb
8-Jan
3 0.5833
3 3𝑎𝑉 3( )1.4366
Return point, R = √ =√ 1000000
= $0.1617 million
4𝑖 4(0.0001486)
V = variance of daily cash flows from 1993 to 1996, A = transaction cost = $0.58 per million per
30 day, I = short term monthly yield = 0.0001486.
26
8.6 Quarterly Working Capital
700
653.325
650.3611111
600
597.4444444
594.3722222
500
Cash Requirement
456.0944444
445.7944444
400
412.7611111
411.0166667
409.4138889
404.5611111
403.5222222
399.0083333
364.9972222
362.4472222
341.6361111
338.0277778
300
200
100
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
Quarters from 1993 to 1996
18%
Retained earning
Equity issuance
10%
55% Loan agreement
Accrual
17%
27
28
29
2
3
4