Toughness Analysis
Toughness Analysis
Toughness Analysis
368 Science and Technology of Welding and Joining 1999 Vol. 6 No. 6 ISSN 1362 – 1718
Metzbower et al. Toughness of welding alloys for HSLA steels 369
Standard
Variable Minimum Maximum Mean deviation
CVN Charpy V notch; DT dynamic tear. Dynamic tear test data are
generated on welds that did not contain titanium. A more detailed
description of both the data set and the neural network employed
can be found elsewhere.1
Table 3 Standard set of inputs used to observe trends (wt-%, except where indicated)
C Si Mn P S Cr Mo Ni Al B Cu N, wt-ppm Nb Ti V O, wt-ppm
0.036 0.31 1.72 0.001 0.004 0.03 0.59 2.63 0.005 0 0.061 8 0 0.007 0.001 181
2 Predicted values using best models versus measured 3 Predicted values using best models versus measured
values for Charpy V notch tests at a,b 218 and c,d values for dynamic tear tests at a,b 21 and c,d 229uC
251uC for training and test data: all data are normalised for training and test data: all data are normalised
(a)
(b)
(c)
4 Comparison of predicted and measured Charpy V notch
values for as deposited weld metal tested at a 218 and
b 251uC: calculations were carried out using committees
of models (error bars represent ¡1s values, where s is
standard deviation)
Predictions
The most effective method of examining the performance of
the models is to use them to make predictions regarding
trends as a function of each of the inputs, for a reasonable
selection of baseline inputs. The set of baseline inputs is
given in Table 3. The cooling rate was set at 61.2 K s21.
These inputs were selected to represent a weld metal of
particular interest in the context of ship construction. As
pointed out in Ref. 1, an alloy such as this should have a
mixed microstructure of bainite and low carbon martensite, (d)
given the combination of high manganese and nickel
concentrations and the presence of molybdenum.
Figure 5 shows example plots of the effects on the Charpy
values of varying the carbon, manganese, and nickel
concentrations and the cooling rate. All the plots have
the same vertical scale. It is particularly interesting that all
these factors cause a substantial increase in strength1 but
have a different effect on the Charpy values. Figure 5 shows
that to achieve the combined strength and toughness in the
weld, limits must be placed on the concentration of different
elements; for example, contrary to the general assumption,
the presence of nickel in the range 2 – 4 wt-% does not lead
to an improvement in toughness in the present context.
Varying the molybdenum concentration from 0 to 1 wt-%
did not affect the Charpy toughness values significantly.
Figure 6 shows example plots of the effects of varying the
concentrations of nitrogen, oxygen, aluminium, and tita- 5 Variations of Charpy V notch values at 218 and 251uC,
nium. Nitrogen is expected to increase the strength of the calculated using committee models, as functions of
weld metal and thus decrease its toughness, so the reason a carbon, b manganese, and c nickel concentrations and
for the initial increase is not understood. By contrast, those d cooling rate: error bars represent ¡1s values
(a)
(b)
(c)
7 Comparison of predicted and measured dynamic tear
values for as deposited weld metal tested at a 21 and
b 229uC: calculations were carried out using commit-
tee models (error bars represent ¡1s values)
(a)
(a)
(b) (b)
(c) (c)
(d)
(d)
8 Variations of dynamic tear values at 21 and 229uC 9 Variations of dynamic tear values at 21 and 229uC
predicted using committee models, as functions of a predicted using committee models, as functions of a
nickel, b molybdenum, and c nitrogen concentrations carbon, b manganese, c oxygen, and d aluminium con-
and d cooling rate: error bars represent ¡1s values centrations: error bars represent ¡1s values
to a microstructure consisting of a mixture of bainite and models. The error bars become very large, indicating that
low carbon martensite, given the combination of high the models frequently lack the knowledge to make reliable
manganese and nickel concentrations and the presence of predictions given the experimental data.
molybdenum.1
Figure 8 shows plots of the effects on the dynamic tear
values of varying the nickel, molybdenum, and nitrogen CONCLUSIONS
concentrations and the cooling rate. It is particularly A neural network method within a Bayesian framework has
interesting that all of these factors cause a substantial been used to model experimental data for both the Charpy
increase in strength1 but have a different effect on the toughness values at 218 and 251uC and the dynamic tear
dynamic tear values. These plots show the contrary effects test values at 21 and 229uC for ferritic steel weld metals
of strength1 and toughness. All the plots have the same appropriate for the welding of high strength low alloy steels.
vertical scale. The inputs for the neural network were the concentrations
In contrast, carbon and manganese, which both increase of sixteen chemical elements and the weld cooling rate at
the strength,1 show a different effect on the dynamic tear 538uC.
values (Fig. 9). At 21uC carbon increases the dynamic tear The Charpy model behaves well and can often be used to
value, whereas at 229uC carbon shows the expected make reliable predictions. By contrast, the dynamic tear
behaviour of decreasing the dynamic tear values as the data do not seem to be sufficiently comprehensive to give
carbon content is increased. Figure 9 indicates that reliable extrapolation behaviour, the predictions being
manganese, a strengthening element, must be limited to a associated with large uncertainties. This information in
surprisingly small range of values for the weld to surpass the itself is valuable and would not have been revealed without
minimum levels required. This plot shows that to achieve a the Bayesian framework.
desirable combination of strength and toughness in the
weld, limits must be placed on the concentration of different
elements; these limits are ordinarily problematic to assess ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
given the complex effects of the individual elements. Funding support from the Office of Naval Research
However, models such as those presented here allow the (Arlington, VA, USA) and from the Cambridge Common-
exploration of the input space to determine the optimum wealth Trust is gratefully acknowledged.
combination of inputs.
Figure 9c and d show the effects of oxygen and
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