Book 1

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2012-13 2013-14

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
GDP 2074589.0 2047909.0 2177528.0 2246251.0 2206230.0 2193897.0
NIFTY 5278.9 5703.3 5,905.10 5,682.55 5,842.20 5,735.30

GDP NIFTY
2074589 5278.9 SUMMARY OUTPUT
2047909 5703.3
2177528 5905.1 Regression Statistics
2246251 5682.55 Multiple R 0.962718134
2206230 5842.2 R Square 0.926826205
2193897 5735.3 Adjusted R S 0.924116064
2314941 6304 Standard Erro531.2768036
2348579 6704.2 Observations 29
2377154 7611.35
2379356 7964.8 ANOVA
2457010 8280.7 df SS MS
2498612 8491 Regression 1 96526864.3 96526864.3
2498612 8368.5 Residual 27 7620886.14 282255.042
2578225 7948.9 Total 28 104147750
2637004 7946.35
2716448 7738.4 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat
2797534 8287.75 Intercept -4083.98448 678.622653 -6.0180491
2791258 8611.15 GDP 0.004650285 0.00025146 18.4928244
2832025 8185.8
2898152 9173.75
2962815 9520.9
NIFTY
2974645 9788.6 13000
3039403 10530.7 12000
3127303 10113.7 11000 f(x) = 0.0046502846x - 4083.9844787774
R² = 0.926826205
3190452 10714.3 10000
3178747 10930.45 9000
NIFTY

3231406 10862.55 8000


3306332 11623.9 7000
3348005 11788.85 6000
5000
4000
1900000 2100000 2300000 2500000 2700000 2900000 3100000 3
GDP
2013-14 2014-15 2015-16
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2314941.0 2348579.0 2377154.0 2379356.0 2457010.0 2498612.0 2498612.0 2578225.0
6,304.00 6,704.20 7,611.35 7,964.80 8,280.70 8,491.00 8,368.50 7,948.90

F Significance F
341.984553 7.3513E-17

P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%


2.0174E-06 -5476.4031 -2691.5658 -5476.4031 -2691.5658
7.3513E-17 0.00413432 0.00516625 0.00413432 0.00516625

NIFTY

2846x - 4083.9844787774
205

2500000 2700000 2900000 3100000 3300000 3500000


GDP
2015-16 2016-17 2017-18
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2637004.0 2716448.0 2797534.0 2791258.0 2832025.0 2898152.0 2962815.0 2974645.0
7,946.35 7,738.40 8,287.75 8,611.15 8,185.80 9,173.75 9,520.90 9,788.60
2017-18 2018-19 2019-20
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
3039403.0 3127303.0 3190452.0 3178747.0 3231406.0 3306332.0 3348005.0
10,530.70 10,113.70 10,714.30 10,930.45 10,862.55 11,623.90 11,788.85
Inflation NIFTY
Aug-19 3.28 11,023.25
Jul-19 3.15 11,118.00
Jun-19 3.18 11,788.85 NIFTY
May-19 3.05 11,922.80
Apr-19 2.99 11,748.15 14,000.00

Mar-19 2.86 11,623.90 12,000.00


Feb-19 2.57 10,792.50
10,000.00 f(x) = - 604.9499336987x + 11947.8183248831
Jan-19 1.97 10,830.95 R² = 0.3921320084
Dec-18 2.11 10,862.55 8,000.00
Nov-18 2.33 10,876.75
Oct-18 3.38 10,386.60 6,000.00

Sep-18 3.7 10,930.45 4,000.00


Aug-18 3.69 11,680.50
Jul-18 4.17 11,356.50 2,000.00

Jun-18 4.92 10,714.30 0.00


May-18 4.87 10,736.15 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Apr-18 4.58 10,739.35


Mar-18 4.28 10,113.70 SUMMARY OUTPUT
Feb-18 4.44 10,492.85
Jan-18 5.07 11,027.70 Regression Statistics
Dec-17 5.21 10,530.70 Multiple 0.626204
Nov-17 4.88 10,226.55 R Square 0.392132
Oct-17 3.58 10,335.30 Adjusted 0.382483
Sep-17 3.28 9,788.60 Standard 1101.814
Aug-17 3.28 9,917.90 Observati 65
Jul-17 2.36 10,077.10
Jun-17 1.46 9,520.90 ANOVA
May-17 2.18 9,621.25 df SS MS
Apr-17 2.99 9,304.05 Regressio 1 49337803 49337803
Mar-17 3.89 9,173.75 Residual 63 76481569 1213993
Feb-17 3.65 8,879.60 Total 64 1.26E+08
Jan-17 3.17 8,561.30
Dec-16 3.41 8,185.80 Coefficients
Standard Errort Stat
Nov-16 3.63 8,224.50 Intercept 11947.82 437.6647 27.29902
Oct-16 4.2 8,625.70 Inflation -604.9499 94.89376 -6.375023
Sep-16 4.39 8,611.15
Aug-16 5.05 8,786.20
Jul-16 6.07 8,638.50
Jun-16 5.77 8,287.75
May-16 5.76 8,160.10
Apr-16 5.47 7,849.80
Mar-16 4.83 7,738.40
Feb-16 5.26 6,987.05
Jan-16 5.69 7,563.55
Dec-15 5.61 7,946.35
Nov-15 5.41 7,935.25
Oct-15 5 8,065.80
Sep-15 4.41 7,948.90
Aug-15 3.74 7,971.30
Jul-15 3.69 8,532.85
Jun-15 5.4 8,368.50
May-15 5.01 8,433.65
Apr-15 4.87 8,181.50
Mar-15 5.25 8,491.00
Feb-15 5.37 8,901.85
Jan-15 5.19 8,808.90
Dec-14 4.28 8,282.70
Nov-14 3.27 8,588.25
Oct-14 4.62 8,322.20
Sep-14 5.63 7,964.80
Aug-14 7.03 7,954.35
Jul-14 7.39 7,721.30
Jun-14 6.77 7,611.35
May-14 8.33 7,229.95
Apr-14 8.48 6,696.40
correlation analysis
coulumn 1 coulumn 2
coulumn 1 1
coulumn 2 -0.6262 1
NIFTY

6987x + 11947.8183248831

4 5 6 7 8 9

F Significance F
40.64092 2.42E-08

P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%


Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
1.29E-36 11073.22 12822.42 11073.22 12822.4213942008
2.42E-08 -794.58 -415.3199 -794.58 -415.3198882862

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