Y Ssa Da La Y-Predict Et Error E 2 Et-E (T-1)

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Y SSA DA LA y-predict ET ERRor E^2 et-e(t-1)

1 195.21 207.08 38.03 2.320693 -1.320693 1.7442287592171


2 276.85 246.79 49.28 2.588103 -0.588103 0.3458647556369 0.7325898557583
3 336.12 319.55 55.14 2.804903 0.195097 0.0380627402066 0.7831994201615
4 603.76 470.75 50.37 3.775356 0.224644 0.0504649301485 0.0295472618342
5 815 761 68 4.567333 0.432667 0.1872011627326 0.2080234891416
6 958 1216 99 5.170037 0.829963 0.6888388805977 0.3972956835293
7 1054 1630 100 5.659515 1.340485 1.7968997299191 0.5105217058549
8 2005 3232 163 9.379081 -1.379081 1.9018639611551 -2.71956572536
9 1641 4603 167 8.708236 0.291764 0.0851259852645 1.6708444169252
10 2053 5936 465 10.02674 -0.026744 0.0007152335326 -0.318507428056
6.8392661384106
demonetor

1.7402332142806
(et-e(t-1))^2 SUMMARY OUTPUT

0.536687896760002 Regression Statistics


0.61340133174126 Multiple R 0.957653
0.000873040681901 R Square 0.9171
0.043273772034654 Adjusted R 0.87565
0.15784386015105 Standard E 1.067651
0.260632412148952 Observatio 10
7.39603773455135
2.79172106557023 ANOVA
0.101446981726901 df SS MS F Significance F
11.9019180953663 Regression 3 75.66073 25.22024 22.1254 0.001207
numerator Residual 6 6.839266 1.139878
Total 9 82.5

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Intercept 1.658264 0.758187 2.187143 0.071355 -0.196953 3.513481
SSA 0.003359 0.001349 2.489954 0.047165 5.806E-05 0.006659
DA 0.000408 0.00065 0.628626 0.552757 -0.001181 0.001998
LA -0.002046 0.006637 -0.308279 0.768292 -0.018286 0.014194
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
-0.196953 3.513481
5.806E-05 0.006659
-0.001181 0.001998
-0.018286 0.014194

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