Editors Note

The Journal of Mediterranean and Balkan Intelligence is a new peer-reviewed

Operation Diamond (1966)-
journal that addresses a wide range of intelligence issues in the Mediterranean
and Balkan region. The journal fills a significant gap in the current study and Obtaining the MiG-21
research of intelligence and is supported by the Research Institute for European
and American Studies based in Athens, Greece. The Journal of Mediterranean
and Balkan Intelligence offers a regional perspective of intelligence studies.
Jet Fighters Technologies
The Mediterranean and the Balkans region has assumed a key geopolitical and
strategic role since the end of the Cold War, with a long tradition of intelligence Eyal Pascovich
spanning over 3000 years. Located at the intersection between Europe, Africa,
and Asia, the region has experienced a rapid socio-political transformation over
the past two decades. The dismantling of Yugoslavia, the rise of nationalism
and political unrest, the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, the proliferation of weapons Abstract
of mass destruction, international terrorism, religious extremism, migration,
Operation Diamond was a unique and complex HUMINT (Human Intelligence)
maritime security, multinational peace operations, security sector reform, the
operation, in which the Israeli MOSSAD succeeded in obtaining a Russian-
enlargement of NATO, and the EU, the rise of new regional powers, the discovery
made MiG-21 jet fighter, whose technological characteristics were unknown to
of substantial energy resources at sea and the Arab Spring revolutions are only
Israel and the rest of the Western world. The operations complexity is reflected
some of the topics that have challenged conventional wisdom and increase the
in the way the MOSSAD succeeded in recruiting an Iraqi fighter pilot as a
importance of the uses and limitations of intelligence, both for scholars and
human source, and its uniqueness is manifested in the process of turning this
decision makers at all levels.
source into the operation leader, who defected in 1966 to Israel with his MiG-
These transformations have radically altered the strategic landscape of the region,
21. The careful study of the aircrafts technological systems, its capabilities and
bringing new security challenges to both local and external actors. Governments
weak points by Israeli Air Force (IAF) experts played an important role in the
are constantly looking for timely and accurate intelligence. Scholars and
grand achievements of the IAF a year later, in the 1967 Six-Day War, during
intelligence analysts need to develop a better understanding of this unstable and
which its pilots succeeded in shooting down dozens of MiG-21 jet fighters in
conflict-prone region. The Journal of Mediterranean and Balkan Intelligence
aerial battles. Operation Diamond also contributed to the advancement of
opens a new window to the world of intelligence in this key region.
US-Israeli security and Intelligence relations following Israels consent to
The journal encourages an interdisciplinary approach to intelligence studies
lend the MiG-21 to the Americans for enabling them to extract technological
and promotes analyses that use conceptual tools from all major social science Intelligence from the aircraft too. This article portrays the chain of events that
discipline notably, political science, sociology, history, law, ethics, security led to the successful completion of Operation Diamond, with special focus on
studies and international relations. The Journal of Mediterranean and Balkan the operations Intelligence and technological aspects.
Intelligence is published twice a year and invites manuscripts that offer greater
intellectual diversity in intelligence-related issues. The Journal aims to serve as
a medium for intelligence scholars and practitioners to exchange views on all Introduction
aspects of intelligence studies and influence both scholarly debates and policy
making. The articles included in the journal are based on original research. On We named the pilot 'Diamond'. Our challenge was to find a way to set this
occasion, special issues that include guest-edited collections of articles will also diamond into the alluring ring of the MiG-21 and to put this ring on our Air Force's
be published. We aim to publish articles that make a contribution to scholarship finger (Meir Amit, MOSSAD Director, 1963-68)1
and bridge theory and practice. The Journal of Mediterranean and Balkan Alongside their focus on the two main Intelligence spheres of Political and Military
Intelligence is proud to act as a forum for intelligence scholars and practitioners Intelligence, all three main Intelligence agencies in Israel - AMAN (military
from around the world. Intelligence), the MOSSAD (foreign Intelligence) and Shin Bet (internal Intelligence)
- are also involved in collection and research of Technological Intelligence. This sub-
John M Nomikos field of Intelligence seeks to collect information on technologies - predominantly
Editor in Chief

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E y a l Pa s c o v i c h Operation Diamond (1966) - Obtaining the MiG-21 Jet Fighters Technologies

military and scientific ones - that are possessed by the enemy, and in rare cases, even Moscow in 1939 as a Soviet fighter aircrafts design company. Over the years,
physically getting a hold of them. This information may be of great help for preparing it has designed numerous models of the MiG fighter aircraft, among which the
the proper response to the enemy's capabilities in the event of a war. MiG-21 - a most sophisticated supersonic jet fighter which constituted, in the
The collection of Technological Intelligence can be executed by every method 1960s and 1970s, a staple of the Soviet Air Force, as well as of USSRs allies in
used by Intelligence agencies for obtaining information, including SIGINT the Eastern Bloc and the Arab world. Therefore, it was not surprising that many
(Signal Intelligence) and VISINT (Visual Intelligence), as well as HUMINT Western countries, and particularly Israel and the USA, were highly interested
(Human Intelligence). Thus, human sources are extremely important not only in revealing the MiG-21s technological secrets for achieving aerial superiority
for attaining pieces of technological information, but also for the preparation when engaging in dogfights with this aircraft. However, the Soviets and their
of complex operations aimed at physically attaining the technologies that allies kept these secrets close to their chest5.
are possessed by the enemy. However, most unique are the cases, in which Israel's efforts to put its hands on a MiG aircraft and its technological secrets
the human source becomes the operation leader. Such was the case of the began already in the late 1950s, however, these attempts were to no avail. The
1966 Operation Diamond (also known as Operation Blue Bird), in which the introduction of the state-of-the-art MiG-21 into Arab air forces from 1962
MOSSAD phenomenally succeeded in capturing an Iraqi MiG-21 jet fighter, onward, turned this mission into a more urgent one. IAFs knowledge on this jet
which constituted the spearhead of all Arab air forces. This achievement granted fighter was minimal and it had almost no experience in dogfights with it. IAF
the Israeli Air Force a clear advantage over its Arab opponents, which was well Commander at the time, Ezer Weizman, knew that capturing a MiG-21 may be
manifested, a year later, during the Six-Day War. of great help for bridging this gap. Weizman, who headed the IAF since 1958,
recalled the defection to Israel of an Egyptian pilot, Mahmoud Abbas Hilmi, who
unexpectedly landed in January 1964 with a Czech-built Yak training airplane
Israeli and Arab Air Forces in the 1960s in one of IAF's bases6. However, the MiG-21 was a much more sophisticated
The Israeli Air Force (IAF) was established piecemeal during Israel's 1948 War aircraft than the Yak and Weizman knew that the Arab air forces were tightly
of Independence. At that time, it was based on a relatively small fleet of old safeguarding its secrets. Nevertheless, a few months later, Weizman held a
airplanes, mainly civilian aircrafts that have been converted for military use. meeting with then-MOSSAD Director Meir Amit, in which he chose to challenge
Although the IAF has gradually developed during the 1950s and the 1960s, it Amit with the mission of bringing a MiG-21 to Israel. Although Amit's first
still played, at that point, a minor role in Israel's war strategy in comparison to the reaction - as he described it, in retrospect, in his memoirs - was that this mission
Israel Defense Forces' (IDF) ground and armored troops. Thus, Israel consented is impossible, he promised Weizman that his people will do whatever they can to
to join France and the United Kingdom in the 1956 Sinai Campaign against Egypt meet the challenge7. This was the beginning of Operation Diamond.
only after the two European powers promised to supply air support to the IDF2.
The Israeli-French cooperation began already before the Sinai Campaign with
the French provision of the IAF's first jet fighters - the Ouragans and the Mystres3.
Looking for a Lead
The collaboration between the two countries has further tightened following the war, The MOSSAD, which was established in the beginning of the 1950s, earned a
and the French supplied Israel with dozens of modern jet fighters - Vautours, Super global reputation following two famous operations it was responsible for during
Mystres, and the crowning glory of that time, the Mirage III4. The French aerial its early years. In 1956 the MOSSAD succeeded in getting a hold of a copy
assistance to Israel, led by the supply of 72 Mirage III jet fighters during the 1960s, of Nikita Khrushchev's secret speech in which the Soviet leader denounced
was extremely important to Israel also in light of the Americans refusal, at the time, the acts of his predecessor Joseph Stalin. Handing over the speech to the CIA
to supply Israel with any kind of offensive weapons, including strike aircrafts, as well opened the door to an era of cooperation between the two agencies. And in 1960
as the Soviets ongoing efforts to arm the Arab ground and air forces. the MOSSAD succeeded in capturing the Nazi criminal Adolf Eichmann and
As part of the Cold War, the Soviet Union has become the main supplier of bringing him to justice in Israel.
weapons to the Arab armies. Following the 1955 Egyptian-Czech arms deal, As any other foreign Intelligence agency, the MOSSAD has spun, throughout the
which was one of the key reasons that brought Israel to join the Sinai Campaign, years, a wide network of human sources and collaborators all around the world,
the Soviets supplied Egypt, via Czechoslovakia, with hundreds of military whether in rival states or in friendly ones8. Until the 1979 Islamic revolution
aircrafts, including, for the first time, MiGs. in Iran, Israel enjoyed warm relations with the Iranian Shahs regime, and the
Mikoyan-and-Gurevich Design Bureau (acronym - MiG) was founded in MOSSAD, as well as the IDF and Israel's Ministry of Defense (MOD), have

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E y a l Pa s c o v i c h Operation Diamond (1966) - Obtaining the MiG-21 Jet Fighters Technologies

held offices in Tehran. Yaakov Nimrodi, who headed the MOSSADs office in During the periodic meetings the MOSSAD held with Redfa, which was
Tehran (1955-59) and later-on also served as IDF attach (1960-69) and MOD also attended by a representative from the IAF Intelligence, the Iraqi pilot
representative in Tehran (1966-69), has established, during his lengthy stay exposed important pieces of information on the Iraqi army in general and
in Iran, a network of acquaintances and collaborators. In 1965, Mimrodi was more specifically on its air force. In addition, Redfa estimated that a request
asked by Rehavia Vardi, who headed the MOSSAD's HUMINT department by him to his supervisors to be transferred to a MiG-21 squadron may be
and was nominated to lead the MiG-21 operation, to utilize his connections for approved, and expressed to his Israeli operators his willingness to defect to
the mission9. Israel with a MiG-21, on condition that the MOSSAD will help his family to
Thanks to his network of acquaintances, Nimrodi succeeded in contacting a escape too. Although Redfa's operators were under the impression that his
Jewish Iraqi businessman named Yusuf Shamash, who was active in both Iran intentions were serious, they also noticed that he still had doubts concerning
and Iraq10. Although Yusuf has made a negative impression on the MOSSADs the entire endeavor.
representatives, eventually he appeared to be playing a vital role in the entire In order to allay Redfa's fears and to increase his confidence in Israel and in his
operation; as retrospectively portrayed by Nimrodi in his memoirs: planned mission, the MOSSAD brought him to Israel - under an alias - for a
Yusuf knew how to make contacts with almost everyone, juniors and preparatory one-day visit in January 26, 1966, during which he was trained by
seniors alike, and how to make people with whom he met feel that they the IAF in landing an aircraft in Hatzor Israeli Air Force Base in south-central
are special On the other hand, he gave the impression of an unpleasant Israel. The decision to let Redfa fly an Israeli aircraft, accompanied by an Israeli
person. Some cringed from him or saw him as a greedy person who will pilot, was not taken lightly, and the aircraft was escorted by Israeli Mirages to
not recoil from any deed for money, whereas others saw him as boastful be prepared for any unexpected scenario, such as an Iraqi conspiracy to take an
and imaginative person and did not treat him with respect. However, in Israeli pilot captive with his aircraft14.
my opinion, this negative impression has done him injustice. Those who Redfa returned to Iraq and started preparations for D-day. At this stage,
understood his way of life and knew how to approach him were able to MOSSAD Director Amit chose to inform, for the first time, the Israeli Prime
highly benefit from him11. Minister at the time, Levi Eshkol, about the ongoing operation for the capture of
a MiG-21. Although the MOSSAD's code name for the aircraft was 'penicillin',
With Yusuf's connections, the MOSSAD succeeded in contacting Munir Redfa, Eshkol preferred to refer to it as 'the blue bird'15.
an Iraqi fighter pilot who became deeply frustrated by the fact that his promotion Before leaving Israel, the MOSSAD instructed Redfa on the different ways,
was blocked due to his AssyrianChristian origin. In addition, Redfa was also including encoded letters, he should use to inform his operators of any development,
experiencing feelings of remorse for bombing Iraqi Kurdish villages as part particularly concerning his planned transfer to a MiG-21 squadron. And indeed,
of his missions. Unlike some human sources who are willing to betray their on April 29, 1966 a letter from Redfa has reached a MOSSAD European mailbox,
homeland and work for the MOSSAD, or for any other Intelligence service, for in these words: I have asked for a transfer from the hospital [code word for the
greed, Redfa was mainly interested in ensuring a better future for himself and Kirkuk air base in Northern Iraq] which I currently attend to the internal ward
his family. The sum of money he requested from the MOSSAD for his services [meaning, Rashid air base near Baghdad] and they have approved it, but the
was relatively low - only 55,000$. transfer will be executed in July In the same month I will bring the penicillin
A MOSSAD HUMINT operator, who previously served as an IAF pilot, began [meaning, MiG-21] from the pharmacy16. The following letter that was sent by
meeting with Redfa periodically in European capitals12. His first mission was Redfa in mid-July announced on his upcoming arrival to Israel.
to verify that Redfa was indeed a pilot and not a charlatan. In view of the high During the next few weeks, both the MOSSAD and the IAF finalized their
importance of the matter-at hand, MOSSAD Director Amit decided to observe preparations for the D-day, involving only a handful of officers, due to
Redfa in person, without his knowledge, in one of the first meetings with him the top secrecy of the operation. As promised to Redfa, the MOSSAD
that took place at a caf in Rome in January 1966 (with the attendance of Yusuf arranged for the departure of his family from Iraq to an intermediate
Shamash, the contact person). All the participants in the meeting agreed that stay in Europe. At this stage, Redfas family did not know yet about the
Redfa, whose nickname in the MOSSAD was Diamond, was trustworthy entire operation and what will be the final destination of their journey. In
and was not operating as a double agent. They also assessed that Redfa had a addition, Yusuf Shamash and his family were also transferred to Europe.
potential to deliver the goods, although, at the time, he was not yet positioned When all preparations have been completed, Israeli radio station in the
in a MiG-21 squadron13. Arabic language - whose broadcasts have also reached Iraq - played, at

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E y a l Pa s c o v i c h Operation Diamond (1966) - Obtaining the MiG-21 Jet Fighters Technologies

a specific date and time, the song Marhabtain Marhabtain (a welcome aircrafts manual - which helped IAF's technological experts to carefully study
greeting in the Arabic language), which has been agreed upon, in advance, all its systems, explore its capabilities and learn about its weaknesses.
with Redfa as a sign that Israel was expecting him. Arie Hillel, then-head of IAF's equipment department, was thrilled by the
opportunity to directly examine a MiG-21:
It was a unique experience for me. Throughout the years we have
The Arrival of the Blue Bird compiled and learned every available piece of information regarding
IAF was expecting Redfa to arrive on Sunday, August 14, 1966. Early that this aircraft, which posed one of the major threats to our hold in the
morning, Mordechai (Mottie) Hod, Ezer Weizmans successor as IAF skies. We have learned about its designers Mikoyan and Gurevich and
Commander since April 1966, asked Ran Pekker, one of the most decorated made efforts to get to know all the aircrafts they have designed and their
IAF fighter pilots who, at the time, commanded over a Mirage squadron, to unique characteristics. In this way we have tried to draw a picture of the
hold two Mirage fighters on alert at the start of the airstrip. For reasons of MiG-21's characteristics and performances. And here we were standing,
information security, neither Pekker nor the second pilot has been informed on my colleagues and I, next to the aircraft and actually able to touch it,
the nature of the mission for which they were asked to wait. Retrospectively, examine it and get to know it physically and not only in theory21.
Pekker described, in his memoirs, the long hours of waiting in the small and
In addition, IAF's chief test pilot, Danny Shapira, took the MiG-21 to several
dense Mirage's cockpit, which also repeated itself in the following day, as both
test and training flights, simulating dogfights with Israeli Mirage aircrafts22.
boring and frustrating17. Later on, it turned out, that Redfa did set out for the
Contrary to similar cases of a physical capture of enemy weapon systems, IAF's
mission on Sunday, as agreed, but after flying almost half of the way he chose to
technicians did not deconstruct the aircraft to its parts for examining it - using
turn back following an unexpected technical failure in his MiG-21.
the Reverse Engineering method - due to a lack of spare parts in case of a
Two days later, on August 16, Redfa took off for another supposed routine flight,
technical failure23; as retrospectively described by Shapira in his memoir:
when suddenly he made an unexpected turn westward, ignoring the Iraqi air
traffic control's radio calls. After a nerve-racking one hour of low-altitude flight The MiG-21 interested us as an aerial combat system, and we did not
over the territories of Iraq and Jordan, Redfa's MiG-21 approached the Israeli ask to understand its structure or the materials from which it was built.
airspace. At that point, IAF Commander Hod ordered Pekker and his fellow-pilot And even if we were interested in these technical details, we could not
to take off southward and prepare for an air battle, but at the same time they were have done much to explore them since we did not have any spare parts in
also instructed to hold their fire. The two Mirages approached the target, which, case of a damage that may have been caused during such examination.
much to their surprise, turned out to be an Iraqi MiG-21. With no direct radio This was also the reason why each flight was prepared and carried out as
contact with Redfa, Pekker signaled him, with nods and hand gestures, to follow if it were the last MiG-21 flight, adding to the already strict atmosphere
him until their safe landing, as planned, in Hatzor Air Force Base18. and to the careful utilization of time24.
The world was astonished when IAF Commander introduced - in a press During the MiG-21's test flights, Shapira had the opportunity to explore the
conference held on the same day - the Iraqi pilot and his MiG-21, while aircraft's capabilities and reached the conclusion that its legendary image as an
deliberately keeping the MOSSAD involvement undisclosed. For this purpose, undefeated aircraft was not entirely correct. Moreover, Shapira identified the
the MOSSAD has fabricated a letter which had been supposedly sent by Redfa rear part of the MiG-21 as its Achilles heel, due to a design flaw that placed the
to the IAF Commander, informing him on his plans to defect to Israel with a aircraft's gas tank and its compressed air and oxygen's tanks together25.
MiG-21 and asking for a safe landing19. This cover story, which was aimed at Ran Pekker, who simulated several dogfights with his Mirage against the MiG-
safeguarding the involved MOSSAD collaborators, seemingly worked so well, 21, shared Shapira's impression on the surprising inferiority of the Soviet jet
that even most of IAFs senior officers were under the impression that Redfa fighter in comparison to the French fighter:
defected to Israel of his own accord20. The MOSSAD's major role in Operation I flew against Danny [Shapira] several times and enjoyed every second.
Diamond has become publicly known only years later. In conclusion, we have realized that the Mirage was a more sophisticated
and effective weapon system than the Russian MiG. The Russian
Technological Analysis aircraft's main disadvantages were the fact that it was equipped with
only one 37 millimeters cannon, in addition to limited visibility from the
Redfa had brought with him to Israel another small yet valuable gift - the cockpit, difficulty in high speeds, an unorganized and cluttered cockpit,

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E y a l Pa s c o v i c h Operation Diamond (1966) - Obtaining the MiG-21 Jet Fighters Technologies

an inferior and limited ejection seat, and a deficient maneuverability in was captured) - was put into operational readiness in the southern Israeli border
low speeds. However, with every passing day we were more surprised with Egypt, as described by IAF's test pilot Danny Shapira:
from its high usability levels. It reminded us of a reliable 'fuel and go' During May 1967, there were several cases in which the Egyptians have
Volkswagen car26. sent their MiG-21 jet fighters for a mission of aerial photography of IDF
Following the inevitable publicity of the Israeli capture of a MiG-21, international troops which were deployed in the Israeli Negev desert IAF Mirages
pressure on Israel has begun to build up in two different avenues: On the one that were launched against the MiGs usually failed to intercept them due
hand, Iraq and the USSR demanded from Israel, via the United Nations, to hand to issues of time and space I have raised the idea of intercepting the
back the aircraft to its owners. This demand was also aided by members of invading MiGs using our captured MiG-21 My idea was approved, and
Mapam, the Israeli pro-Communist political party. On the other hand, a few we installed two modern Israeli-made Shafrir missiles under the aircraft's
allies of Israel have asked to send their experts to Israel in order to join in the wings I spent many hours, day by day, sitting in the MiG-21's cockpit
MiG-21s technical examination. Thus, due to the long border Iran shares with and waiting for the Egyptian aircrafts, but they did not come again
the USSR, Iranian experts have arrived to Israel to explore the aircraft27. In Meanwhile, the Six-Day War erupted and turned the tables31.
addition, German and other Western Intelligence agencies have received, via The Six-Day War between Israel and the Arab coalition of Egypt, Syria and
the MOSSAD, the IAF's technological analysis of the MiG-21. Jordan began on the morning of June 5, 1967 with Operation Moked - a surprise
Most heavy was the pressure placed on Israel by the Americans who asked to IAF attack on eleven Egyptian military airfields, followed by a similar attack on
receive the Russian-made aircraft for a careful examination in the USA. Despite Syrian airfields32. Subsequent to IAF's airstrikes during the first day of the war,
the MOSSADs and the IAF's resistance, then-Israel's Prime Minister Levi hundreds of the enemies' aircrafts, constituting 70% of their entire fleets, were
Eshkol has chosen to consent to the American request and ordered to lend the destroyed already on the ground, and most of their airfields became inoperative33.
MiG-21 to the US for a short term of one month. Eshkol's decision appeared to The remainder of the Egyptian and Syrian air fleets encountered in the skies
have had most important implications. Israeli aircrafts, whose pilots - thanks to Operation Diamond - knew well the
technologies, capabilities and weak points of the enemy's MiG-21s. Therefore, it
is not surprising that during the six days of fighting, IAF pilots have succeeded
Implications of Operation Diamond in shooting down dozens of Egyptian and Syrian jet fighters, including many
The Americans opportunity to explore the MiG-21's technologies and Mig-21s, in aerial battles. These IAF's phenomenal achievements played a major
capabilities - which was awarded the name Project Have Doughnut, carried role in Israel's astonishing victory at the end of the war34.
out in the US Air Force's Area 51 facility in Nevada28 - has helped improve the
performance of American combat pilots in the Vietnam War29 and launched a
new era of national security cooperation between the US and Israel. As part of Epilogue
this cooperation, the American embargo on the supply of offensive weapons to Until today, Operation Diamond is considered one of the MOSSADs most
Israel was lifted, and the IAF was awarded, for the first time, American strike successful operations, which brought the agency enormous prestige among its
aircrafts - A-4 Skyhawks and F-4 Phantoms30. This change in American policy allies (and rivals) worldwide. The operation, which was the subject of several
appeared to be extremely important for Israel in light of the embargo that was popular books and films35, served as an important boost for the MOSSAD's
imposed by the French on Israel following the 1967 Six-Day War and brought morale, especially after the capture and execution of the agency's agent, Eli
about the halt in the supply of Mirages to the IAF. Cohen, in Syria a year before36.
The IAF's careful examination of the MiG-21's technologies and capabilities However, even after the successful completion of Operation Diamond, the
gave Israeli jet fighters a significant advantage over their Arab opponents, as agency still had some loose ends to tie up, as mirrored in the words of MOSSAD
manifested during the June 1967 Six-Day War, as well as during the weeks Director Meir Amit:
that preceded it. Thus, on April 7, 1967, during aerial battles over the Golan
Heights, the IAF brought down no less than 6Syrian MiG-21s without losing We, the Mossad people, still had much 'cleaning up' to do, in taking care
any one of its Mirages. At the same time, the captured MiG-21 - whose original of the pilot's problematic family and more. We have worked hard, far
Iraqi 534 serial number was changed by the IAF to 007 (as the famous movie from the media spotlight and the glory. After the guests leave, we stay
character James Bond, in reference to the secret operation in which the aircraft behind to wash the dishes37

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E y a l Pa s c o v i c h Operation Diamond (1966) - Obtaining the MiG-21 Jet Fighters Technologies

The problems with Redfa's family have indeed surfaced immediately after their took place: Bill Gunston and Yefim Gordon, MiG Aircraft since 1937 (London: Putnam, 1998);
arrival to Israel, the same day Redfa landed in Israel with his MiG-21. Redfa's Anna Slomovic, MIG-21 Fishbed: A Case Study in Soviet Weapons Acquisition (Santa Monica,
CA : Rand Corporation 1987).
wife was greatly disappointed to discover that the final destination of their 6_ Hilmi was interrogated by officers from both the MOSSAD and IAFs Intelligence
journey was Israel rather than Western Europe, while other family members department and provided a great deal of information on the Egyptian Air force, including its
were furious with Redfa for his betrayal of his Iraqi homeland. Though the squadrons, regulations and combat doctrine. For elaboration on the Mahmoud Abbas Hilmi
affair see: Thomas Van Hare, Defection to Israel, Historic Wings, April 13, 2015 - http://fly.
MOSSAD helped Redfa find a job as a commercial pilot in a local Israeli airline, historicwings.com/2015/04/defection-to-israel/
his family members came across difficulties in adjusting to their new life. A few 7_ Meir Amit, Head On, pp. 180-181.
years later, most likely following heavy pressure from his wife, Redfa decided 8_ All three main Israeli Intelligence agencies operate HUMINT sources, according to the
to leave Israel with his family and the MOSSAD arranged their relocation to a following distribution of responsibilities: Shin Bet recruits human sources within Israel and the
Palestinian Authority (PA); AMANs 504 HUMINT unit recruits sources in the PA and in Israels
foreign country under an alias. neighboring states; and the MOSSAD is responsible for Israels HUMINT activity worldwide;
As any Intelligence agency, the MOSSAD makes efforts for rehabilitating its see: Avner Barnea, The Unique Nature of HUMINT, in Amos Gilboa and Ephraim Lapid,
human sources who have been exposed. The reasons behind this policy are either eds., Israels Silent Defender: An Inside Look at Sixty Years of Israeli Intelligence, translated
from Hebrew by Elizabeth Yuval (Springfield, NJ, Jerusalem and Ramat Hasharon, Israel:
moral or practical, led by the drive to be able to further recruit human sources.
Gefen and Israel Intelligence Heritage and Commemoration Center, 2012), pp. 207-216.
Although some writers argue that Redfa was disappointed from the assistance, 9_ It should be noted, that the MOSSAD simultaneously examined at least two other channels for
especially the financial one, that he has been given by the MOSSAD38, the capturing a MiG-21, but these attempts did not materialize; see: Meir Amit, Head On, pp. 182.
agency kept in touch with him, mainly out of concern to his safety39. Redfa also 10_ All MOSSADs meetings with Yusuf were held out of his Iraqi homeland, in order to avoid
putting him at risk. MOSSAD Director Amit indicated that this guideline led the agency in all
maintained personal contacts with a few MOSSAD and IAF officers whom he its meetings with Jewish collaborators and agents abroad; see: The Blue Bird (in Hebrew), a film
got to know during Operation Diamond, including Danny Shapira and Ze'ev directed by Shmuel Imberman for the Israel Intelligence Heritage and Commemoration Center
Liron. The two indicated that Redfa and his family continued to experience and Channel 1, 2007.
difficulties in their new location too, while living under constant fear for their 11_ Yaakov Nimrodi, My Lifes Journey (in Hebrew; Or Yehuda: Maariv Book Guild, 2003), p. 245.
12_ Redfas operator, fighter pilot Zeev Liron, was borrowed from the IAF to the MOSSAD
lives and suffering from a severe mental condition. These difficulties may have in the years 1966-1973, during which he served as a HUMINT operator for the purpose of
been the reason behind Redfa's sudden death from heart attack on August 1998, attaining information on Arab countries air forces; see in Lirons biography: Moshe Ronen
32 years after his defection to Israel with the 'blue bird'. (Rainish), Takeoff from Hell (in Hebrew; Tel-Aviv: Miskal - Yedioth Ahronoth Books and
Chemed Books, 2013), pp. 195-224.
In 1999, a year after Redfa's death, the MOSSAD organized a closed event 13_ Meir Amit, Head On, p. 183.
for the commemoration of Operation Diamond in general and the late Redfa 14_ Cases of human sources who double crossed their operators are well known to every
in particular. The special event was attended by Redfa's family, as well as Intelligence agency, including the MOSSAD. In 1972, only a few years after Operation
MOSSAD and IAF officers who participated in this complex and unique Diamond, a MOSSAD HUMINT operator, Baruch Cohen, was killed in Madrid in an ambush
set by a Palestinian source whom he operated.
HUMINT operation for obtaining the MiG-21 and revealing its technologies. 15_ Meir Amit, Head On, pp. 186-187.
16_ Ibid, pp. 188-189.
17_ Ran Ronen (Pekker), Operations Log (in Hebrew; Tel-Aviv: Miskal - Yedioth Ahronoth
Endnotes Books and Chemed Books, 2013), p. 136-138.
18_ Ibid, pp. 139-142.
1_ Meir Amit, Head On (in Hebrew; Or Yehuda: Hed Arzi, 1999), pp. 181-182. 19_ Meir Amit, Head On, pp. 190-191.
2_ On the IAFs early years see: Shlomo Aloni, Arab-Israeli Air Wars, 1947-82, Osprey Combat 20_ See, for instance, former senior IAF pilot Eliezer Cheetah Cohens account on this
Aircraft23 (Oxford: Osprey Aviation,2001), pp. 6-28. matter which was written in 1993 and fully accepted the formal Israeli narrative on the affair:
3_ Both the Ouragans and the Mystres were manufactured by the French Dassault Eliezer Cohen, Israels Best Defense: The First Full Story of the Israeli Air Force, translated
Aviation Company; see their technical specifications in the companys website - http:// from Hebrew by Jonathan Cordis (New York: Orion Books, 1993), pp. 186-187.
www.dassault-aviation.com/en/passion/aircraft/military-dassault-aircraft/md-450- 21_ Arie Hillel, And They had the Hands of a Man under their Wings (Ezekiel, 1:8): Israeli
ouragan/?xtmc=ouragan&xtrc=0; http://www.dassault-aviation.com/en/passion/aircraft/ Air Force Material Command from its Beginning to the Yom Kippur War (Tel Aviv: IAF, IDF
military-dassault-aircraft/mystere-iv/?xtmc=myst%c3%a8re-iv&xtrc=10 - Maarachot and the MOD publications, 1999), p. 140-141.
4_ The Super Mystre and the Mirage III were manufactured by the French Dassault Aviation 22_ Danny Shapiras first test flight with the MiG-21 was captured in a few video clips that
Company too, while the Vautour was a product of the French Sud Aviation Company; see have been recently released by the Israel State Archives and the IDF and Defense Establishment
their technical specifications - http://www.dassault-aviation.com/en/passion/aircraft/military- Archives - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o-gRZgvC0IA; https://www.youtube.com/
dassault-aircraft/super-mystere/?xtmc=mystere&xtrc=0; http://www.dassault-aviation.com/ watch?v=FT8XzTayqx4; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lRTbgfiaa50
en/passion/aircraft/military-dassault-aircraft/mirage-iii/?xtmc=mirage&xtrc=0 23_ The Only spare parts that were needed for the routine maintenance of the aircraft were MiG-
5_ For further elaboration on the characteristics of the MiG aircrafts in general and the MiG- 21s tires, which used to wear down quite rapidly. The MOSSAD succeeded in attaining such tires
21 in particular see the following books, which were written well after Operation Diamond

14 15
E y a l Pa s c o v i c h Operation Diamond (1966) - Obtaining the MiG-21 Jet Fighters Technologies

in one of the Eastern European countries; see: Ran Ronen-Pekker, Operations Log, p. 144. mentioned Egyptian pilot who defected to Israel with a Yak aircraft, on his own initiative,
24_ Daniel (Danny) Shapira, Alone in the Sky (in Hebrew; Or Yehuda: Maariv Book Guild, two years before Operation Diamond took place. Hilmi, who found it difficult to adapt to life
1994), p. 252. in Israel, chose to leave to Argentina, where the Egyptian security services located him and
25_ Ibid, p. 253. smuggled him back to Egypt. Shortly thereafter, an Egyptian court convicted him of treason
26_ Ran Ronen-Pekker, Operations Log, p. 144. and he was executed.
27_ MOSSAD Director Amit was convinced to allow the Iranians access to the captured MiG-
21 only following heavy pressure from Yaakov Nimrodi, IDF attach in Tehran, who recognized
the high importance of this Israeli gesture for the relationship between the two countries; see:
Yaakov Nimrodi, My Lifes Journey, p. 250.
28_ The US findings regarding the MiG-21s technological characteristics, strengths and
weaknesses were briefed in the following classified report, which was later approved for
public release: Rob Young, Project Have Doughnut: Exploration of the MiG-21, National Air
and Space Intelligence Center, Foreign Technology Division - https://upload.wikimedia.org/
wikipedia/commons/8/8f/Project_have_doughnut_area51_49.pdf
29_ Robert K. Wilcox, Scream of Eagles: The Dramatic Account of the U.S. Navys Top Gun
Fighter Pilots and how they Took Back the Skies Over Vietnam (New York: Pocket Star Books,
2005), pp. 75-77.
30_ Both the A-4 Skyhawk and the F-4 Phantom were manufactured by the US McDonnell
Douglas Corporation, which later on merged with the Boeing Company; the latters website
elaborates on the aircrafts technical specifications - http://www.boeing.com/history/products/
a4d-a-4-skyhawk-light-attack-bomber.page; http://www.boeing.com/history/products/f-4-
phantom-ii.page
31_ Daniel Shapira, Alone in the Sky, p. 256.
32_ The same day, IAF aircrafts also struck Jordanian military airfields, as well as Iraqi ones,
following the participation of Iraqi strike aircrafts in the Arab aerial efforts.
33_ For more elaboration on Operation Moked (Focus in Hebrew) see: Michael Oren, Six Days
of War: June 1967 and the Making of the Modern Middle East (Oxford: Oxford University
Press 2002), pp. 170-178; Lon Nordeen, Fighters over Israel (New York: Orion Books, 1990),
pp. 66-87.
34_ It should be noted, that a year following the Six-Day War, on August 1968, the IAF was
awarded another gift - two Syrian MiG-17s whose pilots have mistakenly landed in an
abandoned runway in Northern Israel. Similarly to the captured MiG-21, these aircrafts were
also carefully examined by IAFs technicians and experts, and their findings truly contributed
to IAFs pilots in future air battels with Arab MiG-17s. See the account on this affair by Danny
Shapira, who had the opportunity to take these captured aircrafts as well for test flights and air
battle simulations: Daniel Shapira, Alone in the Sky, p. 274-277.
35_ Such as the 1988 American movie Steal the Sky starring Mariel Hemingway, or the
Hebrew book MiG 21 Lands: Steal the Sky, directed by John D. Hancock, Home Box Office
- HBO, 1988 - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=inc0b2QtHso; M.P. Gal, MiG 21 Lands (in
Hebrew; Ramat Gan: Masada, 1968).
36_ Eli Cohen was a secret MOSSAD agent, who, in the beginning of the 1960s, succeeded -
under an alias - in developing close contacts with high-ranking political and military officials
in the Syrian regime. In 1965 he was exposed by the Syrians and executed following a short
military trial. Cohens tragic end deeply demoralized the Israeli public in general and the
MOSSAD in particular.
37_ Meir Amit, Head On, p. 203.
38_ Sara Leibovich-Dar, Broken Wings (in Hebrew), NRG-Maariv, June 2, 2007 - http://
www.nrg.co.il/online/1/ART1/588/674.html. Complaints for alleged financial deprivation on
behalf of the MOSSAD were also raised by Yusuf Shamash, who helped recruiting Munir
Redfa. Despite the recognition of Rehavia Vardi, the MOSSAD senior who headed Operation
Diamond, that if it were not for this Jew [meaning, Yusuf], this operation would not have taken
place (as he stated in Shmuel Imbermans film The Blue Bird), Yusuf accused the MOSSAD of
abandoning him; see: Yaakov Nimrodi, My Lifes Journey, pp. 250-251, 381-391.
39_ This was a lesson learned from the tragic end of Mahmoud Abbas Hilmi, the above-

16 17
 Chaos Theory
and International Relations
Dimitrios Kantemnidis

For want of a nail, the shoe was lost;

For want of a shoe, the horse was lost;
For want of a horse, the rider was lost;
For want of a rider, the battle was lost;
For want of a battle, the kingdom was lost!

Abstract
A matter of considerable controversy is the issue of using a theory from Natural
Sciences to analyze a topic of Social Sciences, such as International Relations.
Previous works show that sociologists, and generally some researchers on Social
Sciences, violate some basic mathematical rules. This paper is trying to show that
Chaos Theory, as a pure mathematical theory, can work properly for analysts
to explain and describe some extremely complex situations. Several approaches
to this topic are presented and are accompanied by counterarguments. The
optimistic purpose of this paper is to start an academic dialogue on how Natural
Sciences can help Social Sciences to improve their analytical tools.

Introduction
Is it possible, because of the butterfly effect, for a kingdom to be lost for want
of a nail? Global Studies, and especially International Relations (IR), is the
field of Political Science which studies relationships among countries. As an
academic and public policy field, it is constituted from theories which analyze
and formulate the foreign policy of a given state. The conventional approach
of IR is using the lenses of specific socio-political theories such as Realism,
Liberalism, Constructivism, or Marxism. During the last two decades there has
been an attempt to analyze IR through the field of Physics using the renowned
Chaos Theory in order to answer question like the one above. James Gleick
in his famous book stresses that, after relativity and quantum mechanics,

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